(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,0730 +0,81%
GBP/USD $1,2842 +2,16%
USD/CHF Chf0,996 -0,79%
USD/JPY Y108,43 -0,53%
EUR/JPY Y116,34 +0,28%
GBP/JPY Y139,24 +1,64%
AUD/USD $0,7557 -0,42%
NZD/USD $0,7038 +0,40%
USD/CAD C$1,3379 +0,48%
01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) March -4.1%
01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) March -2.7%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y (Finally) March 0.9% 0.7%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI March 0.4% 0.8%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) March 2% 1.5%
09:00 Eurozone Trade balance unadjusted February -0.6
12:00 Eurozone ECB's Benoit Coeure Speaks
14:30 Eurozone ECB's Peter Praet Speaks
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories April -2.166
16:30 U.S. FOMC Member Rosengren Speaks
19:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book
22:45 New Zealand CPI, y/y Quarter I 1.3% 2%
22:45 New Zealand CPI, q/q Quarter I 0.4% 0.8%
23:50 Japan Trade Balance Total, bln March 813.4 575.8
U.S fiscal policy a potential upside risk that pushes inflation higher
Not incorporating fiscal stimulus into economic forecasts
EURUSD: 1.0500 (EUR 485m) 1.0530-40 (312m) 1.0600 (3.6bln) 1.0630 (495m) 1.0650 (2.8bln) 1.0670-80 (470m) 1.0690 (385m) 1.0700 (1.74bln) 1.0740-50 (1.65bln)
USDJPY: 108.00-10 (USD 905m) 108.55-65 (700m) 109.00 (500m) 109.80 (230m) 110.00 (600m) 110.30-40 (270m)
USDCHF 0.9975 (USD 250m)
EURGBP 0.8565 (EUR 210m) 0.8602 (240m)
AUDUSD: 0.7530 (AUD 295m) 0.7550-55 (1.34bln) 0.7650 (303m) 0.7680-90 (700m)
USDCAD 1.3200-10 (USD 610m) 1.3300 (336m) 1.3400 (300m)
Industrial production was unchanged in February following a 0.1 percent decrease in January. In March, manufacturing output moved up 0.5 percent for its sixth consecutive monthly increase. Mining output jumped 2.7 percent, but the index for utilities fell 5.7 percent, as continued unseasonably warm weather further reduced demand for heating. At 104.7 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production in February was 0.3 percent above its level of a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector declined 0.1 percentage point in February to 75.4 percent, a rate that is 4.5 percentage points below its long-run (1972-2016) average.
Foreign investment in Canadian securities reached a record high $38.8 billion in February, led by issuances of new Canadian shares to non-resident investors. At the same time, Canadian investors acquired $6.3 billion of foreign securities, mainly US instruments.
Foreign investment in Canadian securities reached a record high $38.8 billion in February. This investment was largely in Canadian equities with the vast majority resulting from cross-border merger and acquisition activities. Foreign investors also acquired $3.0 billion of Canadian debt securities in February.
Foreign investment in Canadian equities amounted to $35.9 billion in February, the largest such investment on record. Issuances of new Canadian shares to non-resident portfolio investors resulting from cross-border mergers and acquisitions led the investment during the month. Sales by non-residents on the secondary market slightly moderated the overall inflow of funds. Canadian stock prices edged up and the Canadian dollar was down by 1.6 US cents against its US counterpart in February.
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,260,000. This is 3.6 percent (±2.8 percent) above the revised February rate of 1,216,000 and is 17.0 percent (±1.2 percent) above the March 2016 rate of 1,077,000. Single-family authorizations in March were at a rate of 823,000; this is 1.1 percent (±1.9 percent)* below the revised February figure of 832,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 401,000 in March.
Housing Starts
Privately-owned housing starts in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,215,000. This is 6.8 percent (±12.5 percent)* below the revised February estimate of 1,303,000, but is 9.2 percent (±9.1 percent) above the March 2016 rate of 1,113,000. Single-family housing starts in March were at a rate of 821,000; this is 6.2 percent (±10.0 percent)* below the revised February figure of 875,000. The March rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 385,000.
EUR/USD
Offers: 1.0670 1.0685 1.0700 1.0730 1.0750 1.0780 1.0800
Bids: 1.0635 1.0620 1.0600 1.0580 1.0565 1.0550 1.0530 1.0500
GBP/USD
Offers: 1.2600 1.2620 1.2650 1.2675-80 1.2700
Bids: 1.2570 1.2550 1.2520 1.2500 1.2480 1.2465 1.2450
EUR/JPY
Offers: 116.30 116.50 116.80 117.00 117.30 117.50
Bids: 115.80-85 115.50 115.20 115.00
EUR/GBP
Offers: 0.8480 0.8500-05 0.8520 0.8550-55 0.8580 0.8600
Bids: 0.8450 0.8425-30 0.8400 0.8385 0.8350
USD/JPY
Offers: 109.20-25 109.50 109.80 110.00 110.30 110.50
Bids: 108.80 108.65 108.50 108.30 108.00 1.0780 1.0750
AUD/USD
Offers: 0.7580 0.7600 0.7620 0.7650 0.7670 0.7700
Bids: 0.7530 0.7500 0.7480-850.74650.7450
plans to seek early U.K. election on June 8
EURUSD: 1.0500 (EUR 485m) 1.0530-40 (312m) 1.0600 (3.6bln) 1.0630 (495m) 1.0650 (2.8bln) 1.0670-80 (470m) 1.0690 (385m) 1.0700 (1.74bln) 1.0740-50 (1.65bln)
USDJPY: 108.00-10 (USD 905m) 108.55-65 (700m) 109.00 (500m) 109.80 (230m) 110.00 (600m) 110.30-40 (270m)
USDCHF 0.9975 (USD 250m)
EURGBP 0.8565 (EUR 210m) 0.8602 (240m)
AUDUSD: 0.7530 (AUD 295m) 0.7550-55 (1.34bln) 0.7650 (303m) 0.7680-90 (700m)
USDCAD 1.3200-10 (USD 610m) 1.3300 (336m) 1.3400 (300m)
Swiss sight deposits of domestic banks at 480.63 bln CHF in week ending april 14 versus 476.198 bln CHF a week earlier
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.0798 (1057)
$1.0751 (462)
$1.0720 (126)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.0646
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.0597 (507)
$1.0556 (762)
$1.0505 (1755)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 54761 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1000 (5047);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 59558 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0400 (5218);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.09 versus 1.07 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 17
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.2807 (1268)
$1.2711 (660)
$1.2615 (425)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.2575
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2488 (648)
$1.2391 (808)
$1.2294 (907)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 16489 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (1368);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 19170 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3063);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.16 versus 1.17 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 17
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
Recent data provide more confidence that global growth accelerating broadly
Chinese economy appeared to have strengthened; protectionist policies in U.S still a risk
Tighter regulations to reinforce prudent lending, curb interest-only loans
Would take some time to assess effects of new rules, ready to do more if needed
Repeats a rising in AUD would complicate economic adjustment
Gdp likely expanded at moderate pace in q1, impact of cyclone debbie unlikely to be large
Commodity prices to boost national income in q1, but terms of trade to decline from here
Labour market somewhat weaker than expected, keeping wage growth low
Cpi expected to pick up above 2 pct in 2017, core inflation to rise more slowly
Appreciate the challenging times in which the people of Japan live, says "we are with you 100 percent"
Look forward to announcing framework for ongoing economic dialogue with Japan deputy PM Aso
Told Abe alliance between U.S and Japan is cornerstone of peace and security in region