(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,0903 -0,22%
GBP/USD $1,2842 +0,07%
USD/CHF Chf0,993 -0,04%
USD/JPY Y111,09 +0,03%
EUR/JPY Y121,13 -0,20%
GBP/JPY Y142,65 +0,08%
AUD/USD $0,7474 -0,78%
NZD/USD $0,6893 -0,75%
USD/CAD C$1,3617 +0,32%
01:30 Australia Import Price Index, q/q Quarter I 0.2% -0.5%
01:30 Australia Export Price Index, q/q Quarter I 12.4% 8%
03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision -0.1% -0.1%
03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement
03:00 Japan BOJ Outlook Report
06:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey May 9.8 9.9
06:00 Switzerland Trade Balance March 3.1 3.01
06:30 Japan BOJ Press Conference
09:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Finally) April -5 -3.6
09:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator April 0.82 0.82
09:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence April 1.2 1.3
09:00 Eurozone Economic sentiment index April 107.9 108.1
09:10 Australia RBA's Governor Philip Lowe Speaks
10:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance April 9 6
11:45 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision 0% 0%
11:45 Eurozone Deposit Facilty Rate -0.4% -0.4%
12:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Preliminary) April 0.2% -0.1%
12:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Preliminary) April 1.6% 1.9%
12:30 Eurozone ECB Press Conference
12:30 U.S. Goods Trade Balance, $ bln. March -64.8 -65.5
12:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims 1979 2005
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders March 1.7% 1.2%
12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense March 2.1%
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 244 245
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation March 0.4% 0.4%
14:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) March 5.5% -1%
22:45 New Zealand Building Permits, m/m March 14.0%
22:45 New Zealand Trade Balance, mln March -18 370
23:05 United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence April -6 -7
23:30 Japan Unemployment Rate March 2.8% 2.9%
23:30 Japan Household spending Y/Y March -3.8% -0.3%
23:30 Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y April -0.4% -0.2%
23:30 Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y April -0.4% -0.2%
23:30 Japan National Consumer Price Index, y/y March 0.3% 0.3%
23:30 Japan National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y March 0.2% 0.3%
23:50 Japan Retail sales, y/y March 0.1% 1.5%
23:50 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Preliminary) March 3.2% -0.8%
23:50 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Preliminary) March 4.7%
Administration does not think border tax will work in its current form
There is fundamental agreement with congress on goals of tax reform, details to be worked out
Small business will have the benefit of business rate
Retail sales declined 0.6% to $47.8 billion in February, following a 2.3% increase in January. Sales were down in 5 of 11 subsectors, representing 67% of total retail sales.
Lower sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers and gasoline stations were the main contributors to the decline. Excluding these two subsectors, retail sales were up 0.5%.
After removing the effects of price changes, retail sales in volume terms edged down
Sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers (-1.8%) were down for the first time in seven months, largely reflecting weaker sales at new car (-1.7%) and other motor vehicle (-5.5%) dealers. Following gains in January, sales were 1.3% lower at used car dealers.
Gasoline stations (-3.6%) posted their first sales decline in three months, largely reflecting lower prices at the pump.
Following an increase in January, receipts at food and beverage stores decreased 0.4% in February. Lower sales at beer, wine and liquor stores (-1.7%) was the main contributor to the decline. Sales at specialty food stores (-0.6%) also declined, while supermarkets and other grocery stores sales were relatively unchanged from January0.1%.
Says Russia-brokered Syria peace is going well, sees no need to widen list of participants to Astana talks
EURUSD: 1.0800 (EUR 465m) 1.0850 (500m) 1.0880 (380m) 1.0900 (1.1bln) 1.0930 (385m) 1.0950 (345m) 1.1000 (1.1bln) 1.1050 (415m)
USDJPY: 110.00-10 (2.6bln) 110.45-55 (1.4bln) 112.70-80 (300m) 113.00 (1.4bln)
GBPUSD: 1.2800 (GBP 227m) 1.2830 (180m) 1.2850 (220m)
USDCHF: 1.0000 (USD 175m)
AUDUSD: 0.7500 (AUD 310m) 0.7550 (260m) 0.7600 (265m) 0.7620 ( 450m)
USDCAD: 1.3500 (USD 500m) 1.3600 (240m) 1.3705 (500m)
NZDUSD: 0.7000 (NZD 236m)
EURJPY: 121.00 (EUR 265m)
Should be under no illusions about scale of the task ahead of us in Brexit negotiations
Moodys Investors Service is maintaining its stable outlook on the Czech banking system, reflecting the rating agencys view that a favourable operating environment will support the countrys banks. The outlook expresses Moodys expectation of how bank creditworthiness will evolve in the Czech Republic over the next 12-18 months.
Moodys report, entitled "Banking System Outlook: Czech Republic: Economic and Employment Growth Will Support Loan Demand," is available on www.moodys.com. Moodys subscribers can access this report via the link provided at the end of this press release.
"Household spending, rising employment and low funding costs in the Czech Republic will support debt servicing and credit demand into 2018, creating favourable conditions for the countrys banks," says Arif Bekiroglu, Assistant Vice President and Analyst at Moodys.
Migrant arrivals numbered 129,500 in the March 2017 year, a new annual record, Stats NZ said today. Migrant departures were 57,600 in the 12 months to March 2017. This led to a record annual net gain in migration of 71,900, which surpasses the previous annual record net gain of 71,300 migrants in the February 2017 year.
Annual net migration has been steadily increasing since 2012. "This was mainly due to the rising number of migrant arrivals to New Zealand," population statistics senior manager Peter Dolan said. "Fewer migrant departures also contributed to the increase in net migration."
The UBS Consumption Indicator stood at 1.50 in March, and the February figure was revised downwards slightly to 1.45. Following strong growth at the beginning of the year (5.5%), domestic tourism fell by 0.8% in February compared with the same month in the previous year. New car registrations, on the other hand, increased by 4.8% compared with the previous year. A sour mood prevails among retailers, according to a survey conducted by the Swiss Economic Institute (KOF) at ETH Zurich
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1036 (4205)
$1.1012 (4151)
$1.0985 (959)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.0935
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.0852 (842)
$1.0798 (1130)
$1.0732 (1234)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 68591 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1100 (5755);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 69708 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0400 (5206);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.02 versus 0.99 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 25
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3106 (1935)
$1.3009 (2397)
$1.2913 (1166)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.2824
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2787 (676)
$1.2591 (302)
$1.2694 (1310)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 22767 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (2397);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 26569 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2500 (4956);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.17 versus 1.22 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 25
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
The all groups CPI:
Rose 0.5% this quarter, compared with a rise of 0.5% in the december quarter 2016.
Rose 2.1% over the twelve months to the march quarter 2017, compared with a rise of 1.5% over the twelve months to the december quarter 2016.
Overview of CPI movements:
The most significant price rises this quarter are automotive fuel (+5.7%), new dwelling purchase by owner-occupiers (+1.0%), medical and hospital services (+1.6%) and electricity (+2.5%).
The most significant offsetting price falls this quarter are international holiday travel and accommodation (-3.8%), fruit (-6.7%) and furniture (-3.5%).