The main US stock indices grew moderately against the backdrop of the rebound in the energy sector due to higher oil prices. In addition, the focus was on data on the US labor market.
The US Department of Labor reported that in April, employment growth accelerated sharply, and the unemployment rate fell to an almost 17-year low, which is another sign of tightening labor market conditions. The number of non-agricultural jobs increased by 211,000 jobs, well above the monthly average of 185,000 for this year and sharply higher than the 79,000 increase in March (revised from +98,000). Analysts had expected employment to grow by 185,000. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell by 0.1%, to 4.4%, reaching its lowest level since May 2007. Experts predicted an increase in unemployment to 4.6%. The average hourly wage rose by 0.3% last month, in part because of calendar shifts. Although this slowed the annual growth from 2.7% to 2.5%, which is the lowest since August 2016, there are indications that wage growth accelerates as the labor market weakens.
The cost of oil futures has increased by almost 2%, partially recovering from yesterday's collapse by almost 5%. However, the current week, oil is preparing to be completed with a decrease of more than 6%. Some support for the oil quotations was made by the representative of Saudi Arabia in OPEC Adib al-Aama. He said that OPEC and non-OPEC countries are close to agreeing on an extension of the deal to reduce oil production.
Most components of the DOW index finished trading in positive territory (21 out of 30). The leader of growth was the shares of E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company (DD, + 3.12%). More fell shares of International Business Machines Corporation (IBM, -2.50%).
Almost all sectors of the S&P index showed an increase. The leader of growth was the sector of basic materials (+ 2.2%). Only the health sector declined (-0.1%).
At closing:
Dow +0.26% 21.006.94 +55.47
Nasdaq +0.42% 6,100.76 +25.42
S & P +0.41% 2,399.29 +9.77
EURUSD: 1.0850 (EUR 1.1bln) 1.0890 (410m) 1.0900 (2.54bln) 1.0930 (538m) 1.0950 (1.9bln) 1.0970 (652m) 1.0980 (716m) 1.1000 (2.7bln) 1.1050 (582m) 1.1100 (525m) 1.1180 (800m)
USDJPY: 111.00 (366m) 111.30 (388m) 111.50 (705m) 112.00 (787m) 112.50-60 (860m) 113.00 (292m) 113.60 (250m)
GBPUSD: 1.2800 (GBP 197m) 1.2850 (223m)
EURGBP: 0.8625 (EUR 246m)
USDCHF: 1.0170 (USD 240m)
USDCAD: 1.3725-35 (USD 524m) 1.3800 (360m)
AUDUSD: 0.7400 (AUD 270m) 0.7450-60 (379m) 0.7500 ( 1.3bln)
U.S. stock-index futures rose, supported by sound data on the U.S. labour market for April.
Stocks:
Nikkei -
Hang Seng 24,476.35 -207.53 -0.84%
Shanghai 3,103.36 -24.01 -0.77%
S&P/ASX 5,836.56 -39.81 -0.68%
FTSE 7,252.56 +4.46 +0.06%
CAC 5,388.25 +15.83 +0.29%
DAX 12,646.00 -1.78 -0.01%
Crude $45.53 (+0.02%)
Gold $1,231.50 (+0.24%)
Employment was little changed in April, while the unemployment rate declined 0.2 percentage points to 6.5%, the lowest rate since October 2008. The decrease was mostly the result of fewer youth searching for work.
Compared with 12 months earlier, there were 276,000 (+1.5%) more people employed and the unemployment rate was 0.6 percentage points lower. Over the same period, the total number of hours worked rose 1.1%.
n April, employment increased among people 55 and older, while it declined among men aged 25 to 54. Employment was little changed among women aged 25 to 54 and youths aged 15 to 24.
Employment rose in British Columbia and Prince Edward Island, while it was virtually unchanged in the other provinces.
More people were employed in educational services, health care and social assistance, and transportation and warehousing in April. At the same time, employment declined in business, building and other support services, as well as in accommodation and food services.
Public sector employment increased in April, while the number of private sector employees fell. Self-employment was little changed.
Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 211,000 in April, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 4.4 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in leisure and hospitality, health care and social assistance, financial activities, and mining.
Both the unemployment rate, at 4.4 percent, and the number of unemployed persons, at 7.1 million, changed little in April. Over the year, the unemployment rate has declined by 0.6 percentage point, and the number of unemployed has fallen by 854,000.
In April, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 7 cents to $26.19. Over the year, average hourly earnings have risen by 65 cents, or 2.5 percent. In April, average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees increased by 6 cents to $21.96.
(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 70.04 | -0.27(-0.38%) | 220 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 939.3 | 1.77(0.19%) | 5486 |
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP | AIG | 63.65 | 0.98(1.56%) | 400 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 146.91 | 0.38(0.26%) | 43834 |
AT&T Inc | T | 38.24 | 0.23(0.61%) | 4937 |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 16.18 | 0.18(1.13%) | 63642 |
Boeing Co | BA | 182.9 | -0.17(-0.09%) | 200 |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 99.5 | 0.11(0.11%) | 2235 |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 105.32 | 0.51(0.49%) | 806 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 60.35 | 0.14(0.23%) | 7334 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 81.72 | 0.08(0.10%) | 3641 |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 151.23 | 0.38(0.25%) | 97840 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 11.03 | 0.03(0.27%) | 20915 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 11.84 | 0.16(1.37%) | 23202 |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 33.21 | 0.06(0.18%) | 3343 |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 227.25 | 0.66(0.29%) | 2436 |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 935.79 | 4.13(0.44%) | 2325 |
Intel Corp | INTC | 36.95 | 0.10(0.27%) | 2378 |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 153.5 | -5.55(-3.49%) | 467081 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 123.65 | -0.30(-0.24%) | 1070 |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 87.4 | 0.30(0.34%) | 9407 |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 63.5 | 0.12(0.19%) | 480 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 68.89 | 0.08(0.12%) | 1894 |
Nike | NKE | 54.4 | -0.07(-0.13%) | 936 |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 33.4 | -0.05(-0.15%) | 23615 |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 296.75 | 1.29(0.44%) | 26526 |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 18.45 | -0.03(-0.16%) | 46166 |
UnitedHealth Group Inc | UNH | 176.19 | 2.17(1.25%) | 1010 |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 46.08 | 0.20(0.44%) | 4173 |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 111.51 | 0.34(0.31%) | 4098 |
EUR/USD
Offers: 1.0985 1.1000 1.1030 1.1050 1.1080 1.1100 1.1130 1.1150
Bids: 1.0950-55 1.0920 1.0900 1.0870 1.0850 1.0820 1 .0800 1.0780 1.0750 1.0700
GBP/USD
Offers: 1.2950-60 1.2975 1.3000 1.3020 1.3050 1.3080 1.3100
Bids: 1.2920 1.2900 1.2880 1.2850 1.2830 1.2800 1.2775-80 1.2760 1.2750
EUR/JPY
Offers: 123.50 123.75 124.00 124.20 124.50 125.00
Bids: 123.00 122.80 122.50 122.35 122.20 122.00 121.85 121.65 121.50
EUR/GBP
Offers: 0.8500 0.8530 0.8550 0.8580 0.8600
Bids: 0.8465 0.8450 0.8435-40 0.8400 0.8385 0.8350
USD/JPY
Offers: 112.50 112.85 113.00-05 113.20 113.50 113.80 114.00
Bids: 112.00 111.80 111.50 111.30 111.00 110.80 110.50
AUD/USD
Offers: 0.7400 0.7420-25 0.7550-55 0.7480 0.7500
Bids: 0.7365 0.7350 0.7335 0.7300 0.7280 0.7250
Cuts minimum reserve requirements on banks' hard currency liabilities to 8 pct from 10 pct as of may 24
But Britain will be less connected to us after Brexit
Still regards Trans-Atlantic free trade agreement as important project
The headline number for total hires last month was 98,000. April ADP employment number declined after two consecutive months of rocketing to 177,000 slightly lower than market expectation of 180,000. Today payrolls are expected at 190,000.
Instruments to watch - Euro (major resistance at 1.10), gold (broken but hovering close to key support at $1230), yen (waiting to break the resistance at 113), Aussie (hovering close to key support of 0.74), Kiwi (trading close to key support of 0.69) and treasuries (short end could gain grounds on stronger report).
Eurozone retailers recorded a rise in like-for-like sales during April, thereby reversing the downward trend seen in the previous two months. The upturn was underpinned by a strong expansion in Germany − the sharpest since July 2015 − and supported by a modest rise in France. In contrast, retail sales in Italy continued to fall, albeit to the weakest extent in five months.
The headline Markit Eurozone Retail PMI - which tracks the month-on-month changes in like-for-like retail sales in the bloc‟s biggest three economies combined - rose to 52.7 in April, from 49.5 in March, and signalled the steepest increase since July 2015
EURUSD: 1.0850 (EUR 1.1bln) 1.0890 (410m) 1.0900 (2.54bln) 1.0930 (538m) 1.0950 (1.9bln) 1.0970 (652m) 1.0980 (716m) 1.1000 (2.7bln) 1.1050 (582m) 1.1100 (525m) 1.1180 (800m)
USDJPY: 111.00 (366m) 111.30 (388m) 111.50 (705m) 112.00 (787m) 112.50-60 (860m) 113.00 (292m) 113.60 (250m)
GBPUSD: 1.2800 (GBP 197m) 1.2850 (223m)
EURGBP: 0.8625 (EUR 246m)
USDCHF: 1.0170 (USD 240m)
USDCAD: 1.3725-35 (USD 524m) 1.3800 (360m)
AUDUSD: 0.7400 (AUD 270m) 0.7450-60 (379m) 0.7500 ( 1.3bln)
EURJPY: 121.75 (EUR 181m)
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1072 (3668)
$1.1046 (3622)
$1.1030 (4098)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.0978
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.0930 (269)
$1.0887 (1478)
$1.0828 (2704)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 78567 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1000 (8318);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 83587 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0200 (5697);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.06 versus 1.06 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 4
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3204 (1659)
$1.3106 (2147)
$1.3009 (2928)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.2935
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2889 (1094)
$1.2793 (1602)
$1.2696 (1183)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 28452 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (2928);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 32244 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2500 (4982);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.13 versus 1.12 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 4
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
Expected increase in underlying inflation still quite gradual due to low wage growth, heightened retail competition, low home rental growth
Wage growth unlikely to slow any further but will remain low
Forecast for unemployment rate implies ongoing spare capacity in labour market, likely to constrain wage growth going forward
Household income growth likely to stay weak, making it hard to be certain about future pace of consumption growth
Further signs emerging that slowdowns in mining states - Queensland, Western Australia - are coming to an end
If commodity prices do not fall as far as anticipated the impact on growth, employment could be greater than assumed in the forecasts
Residential investment will contribute less to growth in the period ahead than it did in the recent past
Difficult to know if and when a stronger and durable recovery in non-mining business investment might take hold
Stage higher commodity prices are not expected to add "materially" to domestic demand
Recent regulatory measures likely to lead to "some slowing" in housing credit growth
Japanese public's mindset is still quite cautious in terms of inflation expectations
Ready to hold talks with OPEC on possible extension of global oil output freeze
Jan-april oil production up 7.5 pct to 28.2 mln tons
Europe's benchmark stock index closed at almost 21-month high on Thursday, boosted by a round of well-received earnings reports from heavyweights such as Royal Dutch Shell PLC and HSBC Holdings PLC.
Stocks finished little changed Thursday, after a choppy session of trade as the energy sector tumbled in sync with a drop in crude oil and House Republicans took a step to begin rolling back Dodd-Frank reforms and Obamacare.
Slumping commodities prices in China sent stock markets there lower Friday, leading declines across the region as investors feared that the nation's crackdown on speculation and borrowing could hurt metals demand.