(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

06:45 France Trade Balance, bln March -5.18 -4.4

07:50 France Services PMI (Finally) April 49.9 50.8

07:55 Germany Services PMI (Finally) April 55.1 54.6

08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Finally) April 53.1 53.2

08:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction April 54.2 54

09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) March 0.2% -0.1%

09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) March 2.4% 2.6%

11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications April -4.1%

12:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report April 200 194

12:30 U.S. Unit Labor Costs, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter I 3.3% 3.3%

12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Productivity, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter I -2.2% -1.5%

12:30 U.S. International Trade, bln March -47.06 -41.5

13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Finally) April 51.3 52.1

14:00 U.S. Factory Orders March -1.7% 0.6%

14:00 U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing April 54.5 54.7

14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories April 1.999

The British pound dropped significantly against the dollar, reaching a minimum of 28 April, which was caused by the publication of weak data on the UK and increased demand for the US currency ahead of the release of statistics on the labor market. In addition, some investors opted to take profits after the rise of the pair to a new 3-month high. As it became known, the business activity index of the manufacturing sector by Markit UK in April fell to 49.2 from 50.7 the previous value. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 51.2. Thus, the figure fell below the neutral value of 50 for the first time since March of 2013. The most significant decrease in activity is observed in the segment of consumer and investment goods. Investors are more likely to decide not to spend money in anticipation of the June referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union. New export orders fell amid slowing global growth.

Later this week, investors will be watching UK data on business activity in the construction sector and the service sector. That the PMI index is expected for the construction sector fell to 54.0 from 54.2, while the PMI index for the services sector fell to 53.6 from 53.7.

The euro fell significantly against the US dollar, having lost all previously-earned positions today. Experts point out that market participants are beginning to take profits on short positions on the US currency ahead of the release of Friday's employment report, which in recent years has been supporting the dollar.

Moderate pressure on the euro also provided updated projections by the European Commission. Currently, the European Commission expects the euro area GDP growth in 2016 will be around 1.6% against the previous forecast of 1.7% and EU GDP growth of 1.8% against the previous forecast of 1.9%. The growth of the EU's GDP in 2017 will be at 1.9% against the previous forecast of 2.0%. Inflation in the euro area in 2016 is projected to be 0.2% against the previous forecast of 0.5%. In 2017, inflation is expected to rise by 1.4% against the previous forecast of 1.5%. It is also expected in the European Commission, that unemployment in the eurozone in 2016 was 10.3% against the previous forecast of 10.5%. In 2017, unemployment is expected to reach 9.9% against the previous forecast of 10.2%. Eurozone budget deficit in 2016 is expected to reach 1.9% of GDP, and in 2017 at 1.6% of GDP. The European Commission believes that growth in the euro zone economy may put pressure slowing growth in China and in other developing countries, as well as the uncertainty associated with possible withdrawal of Great Britain from the EU.

The Australian dollar has fallen 2.3 percent against the US dollar, its lowest level since March 24. The negative impact of the currency have had the results of the meeting of the RBA, as well as the annual budget presented today. Additional pressure has had a widespread strengthening of the American currency. Recall, the Reserve Bank of Australia for the first time decided to lower the interest rate by 0.25% to a new record low of 1.75% this year. Most economists are not waiting for such decisive action. Central Bank lowered the rate trying to overcome the low inflation rate and become strong Australian currency. In general, according to the Central Bank, economic growth continues and is stable, but it is still lower compared to 2015. In addition, the increasing rate of the national currency could hamper economic recovery. Another reason for the rate cut was the situation in the labor market. The Central Bank said the recent labor market indicators have been sending mixed signals, but a very moderate growth in labor costs contribute to lower inflation forecasts.

As regards the annual budget, the Australian government announced that the budget deficit forecast at 39.9 billion in 2015-16 and fingodu 37.1 billion. Fingodu in 2016-17. Meanwhile, the government has lowered the forecast for GDP growth in 2016-17 fingodu to 2.5% from 2.75%. In addition, it became known that the government forecasts inflation of consumer prices in 2016-17 at the level of 2%. The government also lowered the forecast of unemployment in mid-2017 to 5.5% from 6.0%

The Australian government released its annual budget on Tuesday. The government expects a deficit of A$39.9 billion in the current fiscal year, up from a December estimate of A$37.4 billion. The deficit is expected to decline to A$37.1 billion in the fiscal year 2017. Australian Treasurer Scott Morrison said that the budget would be balanced in the fiscal year 2021.

Morrison noted that the budget should support job creation and growth, and boost the economy.

San Francisco Fed President John Williams said on Monday that the U.S. economy was ready for further interest rate hikes, adding that interest rate hikes should be gradual.

He expressed concerns that assets could drop if the Fed would raise its interest rate.

Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said on Tuesday that an interest rate hike in June was still possible if the U.S. economy would improve. He added that two interest rate hikes were possible this year. But he noted that the possible Britain's exit from the European Union was a risk to the U.S. economy.

Lockhart is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.

German Ifo Institute released its economic climate figures for the Eurozone on Tuesday. The Ifo economic climate index for the Eurozone declined to 112.7 in the second quarter from 118.9 in the first quarter. The decline was driven by a less favourable assessment of the current economic situation and slightly more sceptical business expectations.

Ifo expects the Eurozone's economy to expand 1.6% this year, while inflation is expected to be 0.8%.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Monday that the recent rise in the yen may have a negative impact the recovery of Japan's economy.

"We are closely watching how such market developments could affect Japan's economy and prices," he added.

Kuroda reiterated that the BoJ was ready to add further stimulus measures if needed to reach 2% inflation target.

The BoJ pointed out that the central bank's monetary policy did not target the weakening of the yen.

USDJPY 107.00 (USD 200m)

EURUSD: 1.1320 (EUR 402m) 1.1340 (334m) 1.1400 (708m) 1.1485 (275m) 1.1500 (2.25bln) 1.1520 (430m) 1.1592 (315m)

GBPUSD 1.4500 (GBP 310m) 1.4590 (452m)

AUDUSD 0.7400 (AUD 577m) 0.7550 (458m) 0.7600 (365m) 0.7650 (276m)

European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Benoit Coeure said in a speech on Tuesday that the central bank would not cut its deposit rate to "absurdly low levels".

"If anything, the smooth changeover to negative rates has only underlined the adaptability of market participants to this new environment, especially the money market funds industry," he said.

Coeure noted that banks' profitability improved, supported by the ECB's monetary policy.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics released its building permits data on Tuesday. Building permits in Australia climbed 3.7% in March, beating expectations for a 3.0% drop, after a 2.9% rise in February. February's figure was revised down from a 3.1% increase.

Building permits for private sector houses rose 2.6% in March, while building permits for private sector dwellings excluding houses jumped 6.7%.

The seasonally adjusted estimate of the value of total building approved was down 0.9% in March.

On a yearly basis, building permits fell 6.5% in March, after a 9.0% decrease in February.

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

00:00 Japan Bank holiday

01:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m March 2.9% Revised From 3.1% -3% 3.7%

01:45 China Markit/Caixin Manufacturing PMI April 49.7 49.4

04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate 2% 2% 1.75%

04:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement

08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing April 50.7 Revised From 51 51.2 49.2

09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM March -0.7% -0.1% 0.3%

09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) March -4.2% -4.3% -4.2%

09:30 Australia Annual Budget Release

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. No major economic reports in the U.S. will be released today.

The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the release of the mixed producer price inflation data from the Eurozone. Eurostat released its producer price index for the Eurozone on Tuesday. Eurozone's producer price index rose 0.3% in March, beating expectations for a 0.1% fall, after a 0.7% decrease in February.

On a yearly basis, Eurozone's producer price index dropped 4.2% in March, beating expectations for a 4.3% decline, after a 4.2% fall in February.

Eurozone's producer prices excluding energy fell 1.1% year-on-year in March, after a 0.8% decline in February. Energy prices dropped at an annual rate of 12.1% in March.

The European Commission released its Spring 2016 Economic Forecast report on Tuesday. The European Commission lowered its growth forecasts for this and next years. The Eurozone's economy is expected to expand 1.6% in 2016, down from its previous estimate of 1.7%, and 1.8% in 2017, down from its previous forecast of 1.9%.

Inflation was downgraded to 0.2% from 0.5% for this year, and to 1.4% from 1.5% for next year.

The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the release of the weaker-than-expected manufacturing PMI data from the U.K. Markit Economics released its manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. on Tuesday. The Markit/Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply manufacturing PMI for the U.K. dropped to 49.2 in April from 50.7 in March, missing expectations for a rise to 51.2. It was the lowest level since February 2013. March's figure was revised down from 51.0.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion, below indicates contraction.

The drop was driven by declines in output, new orders, employment and stocks of purchases.

"Manufacturing production is now falling at a quarterly pace of around 1%, and will likely act as a drag on the economy again during the second quarter and putting greater pressure on the service sector to sustain GDP growth," Markit's Senior Economist Rob Dobson said.

The Canadian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar ahead of a speech by the Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz later in the day.

The Swiss franc traded higher against the U.S. dollar. The State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) released its consumer confidence index data for Switzerland on Tuesday. The index fell to -15 in April from -14 in January.

"Consumer sentiment has remained below the long-term average for several quarters. The latest survey in April 2016 shows hardly any major changes; only expectations over price trends have risen slightly," the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs said in a statement.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.4612

USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y105.92

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

14:30 U.S. FOMC Member Mester Speaks

16:30 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks

22:45 New Zealand Employment Change, q/q Quarter I 0.9% 0.7%

22:45 New Zealand Unemployment Rate Quarter I 5.3% 5.5%

The European Commission released its Spring 2016 Economic Forecast report on Tuesday. The European Commission lowered its growth forecasts for this and next years. The Eurozone's economy is expected to expand 1.6% in 2016, down from its previous estimate of 1.7%, and 1.8% in 2017, down from its previous forecast of 1.9%.

Inflation was downgraded to 0.2% from 0.5% for this year, and to 1.4% from 1.5% for next year.

"Growth in Europe is holding up despite a more difficult global environment. There are signs that policy efforts are gradually delivering more jobs and supporting investment. But we have much more to do to tackle inequality," Pierre Moscovici, Commissioner for Economic and Financial Affairs, Taxation and Customs, said.

"The recovery in the euro area remains uneven, both between Member States and between the weakest and the strongest in society," he added.

The State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) released its consumer confidence index data for Switzerland on Tuesday. The index fell to -15 in April from -14 in January.

"Consumer sentiment has remained below the long-term average for several quarters. The latest survey in April 2016 shows hardly any major changes; only expectations over price trends have risen slightly," the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs said in a statement.

The household expectations sub-index declined to -17 in April from -16 in January, while the expected unemployment sub-index was up to 70 from 68.

The sub-index that measures price trends in the past twelve months climbed to 7 in April from -4 in January, while the sub-index for expected price trends increased to 22 from 16.

Eurostat released its producer price index for the Eurozone on Tuesday. Eurozone's producer price index rose 0.3% in March, beating expectations for a 0.1% fall, after a 0.7% decrease in February.

Intermediate goods prices fell 0.1% in March, capital goods prices were flat, non-durable consumer goods prices were down 0.1% and durable consumer goods prices were up 0.2%, while energy prices increased 1.2%.

On a yearly basis, Eurozone's producer price index dropped 4.2% in March, beating expectations for a 4.3% decline, after a 4.2% fall in February.

Eurozone's producer prices excluding energy fell 1.1% year-on-year in March, after a 0.8% decline in February. Energy prices dropped at an annual rate of 12.1% in March.

Markit Economics released its manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. on Tuesday. The Markit/Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply manufacturing PMI for the U.K. dropped to 49.2 in April from 50.7 in March, missing expectations for a rise to 51.2. It was the lowest level since February 2013.

March's figure was revised down from 51.0.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion, below indicates contraction.

The drop was driven by declines in output, new orders, employment and stocks of purchases.

"Manufacturing production is now falling at a quarterly pace of around 1%, and will likely act as a drag on the economy again during the second quarter and putting greater pressure on the service sector to sustain GDP growth," Markit's Senior Economist Rob Dobson said.

"Manufacturers are emphasising slower domestic demand growth and declining new export orders as the key weaknesses they are facing, amid rising uncertainty about the global economy, the oil & gas industry, retail sector and the EU referendum," he added.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) President Thomas Jordan said in a speech on Monday that the Swiss franc remained significantly overvalued. He also said that the central bank's monetary policy helped "to stabilise price developments and support economic activity".

"The SNB will continue to make the most of the latitude afforded by monetary sovereignty to respond pragmatically to the challenges ahead," he noted.

"However, monetary policy cannot remedy all economic ills, especially those of a structural nature," Jordan added.

The Chinese Markit/Caixin manufacturing PMI fell to 49.4 in April from 49.7 in March. The decrease was driven by declines in total new orders and new export work. Output was little-changed, while employment continued to decline.

"The fluctuations indicate the economy lacks a solid foundation for recovery and is still in the process of bottoming out," Dr. He Fan, Chief Economist at Caixin Insight Group, said.

"The government needs to keep a close watch on the risk of a further economic downturn," he added.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lowers its interest rate to 1.75% from 2.00% on Tuesday. This decision was not expected by analysts.

The RBA Governor Glenn Stevens said that the interest rate cut was needed to reach a sustainable growth in the economy and to boost inflation.

He pointed out that the reason for the interest rate cut was a larger-than-expected drop in inflationary pressures.

The RBA governor also said that the Australian economy continued to rebalance after the mining investment boom, adding that the economic growth was expected to expand at a more moderate pace, while labour market indicators were more mixed.

Stevens also said that inflation was expected to be lower than previously estimated.

He noted that a stronger Australian dollar could complicate the adjustment of the economy in Australia.

USD/JPY 107.00 (USD 200m)

EUR/USD: 1.1320 (EUR 402m) 1.1340 (334m) 1.1400 (708m) 1.1485 (275m) 1.1500 (2.25bln) 1.1520 (430m) 1.1592 (315m)

GBP/USD 1.4500 (GBP 310m) 1.4590 (452m)

AUD/USD 0.7400 (AUD 577m) 0.7550 (458m) 0.7600 (365m) 0.7650 (276m)

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1632 (3343)

$1.1601 (3451)

$1.1576 (6375)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1555

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1486 (293)

$1.1461 (1063)

$1.1428 (1401)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 6 is 42830 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (6375);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 6 is 61769 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1000 (10024);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.44 versus 1.38 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 2

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.5001 (709)

$1.4901 (281)

$1.4803 (1171)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4733

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.4690 (701)

$1.4595 (327)

$1.4498 (899)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 6 is 24781 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4400 (2063);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 6 is 35740 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3850 (4025);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.44 versus 1.37 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 2

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

The Aussie fell as more than a year since the last time the Reserve Bank of Australia cut interest rates. That could change when the central bank wraps up its May policy meeting Tuesday afternoon in Sydney. Last week, a quarterly measure of inflation came in well below expectations, stoking a massive run-up in expectations for a hike at Tuesday's meeting.

Regardless of the central bank's decision, it is likely we'll see a strong reaction in the currency. But if the bank follows through with a cut, a sharp selloff could materialize, market strategists said.

The Aussie is widely viewed as a proxy for investors' economic views on China. The currency often reacts strongly to Chinese economic data. But the shifts in investors' expectations for a possible cut are more firmly rooted in the domestic economic outlook. Namely, a recent report on Australian inflation which came in unexpectedly weak.

EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $1.1520-40

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $1.4660-85

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to Y106.00

Based on Reuters materials

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1526 +0,65%

GBP/USD $1,4665 +0,40%

USD/CHF Chf0,9547 -0,48%

USD/JPY Y106,40 -0,08%

EUR/JPY Y122,66 +0,75%

GBP/JPY Y156,03 +0,45%

AUD/USD $0,7661 +0,74%

NZD/USD $0,7016 0,57%

USD/CAD C$1,2533 -0,22%

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:00 Japan Bank holiday

01:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m March 3.1% -3%

01:45 China Markit/Caixin Manufacturing PMI April 49.7

04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate 2% 2%

04:30 Australia RBA Monetary Policy Statement

08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing April 51 51.2

09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM March -0.7% -0.1%

09:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) March -4.2% -4.3%

09:30 Australia Annual Budget Release

14:30 U.S. FOMC Member Mester Speaks

16:30 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks

20:00 U.S. Total Vehicle Sales, mln April 16.57 17.15

22:45 New Zealand Employment Change, q/q Quarter I 0.9%

22:45 New Zealand Unemployment Rate Quarter I 5.3%

23:30 Australia AIG Services Index April 49.5