The Bank of France released its growth forecasts on Friday. France's central bank expects the French economy to expand 1.4% in in 2016, unchanged from the previous estimate, 1.5% in 2017, down from the previous estimate of 1.6%, and 1.6% in 2018.

Inflation is expected to be 0.2% in 2016, down from the previous estimate of 1.0%, and 1.1% in 2017, down from the previous estimate of 1.5%.

Bundesbank downgraded its growth forecasts for Germany. The economic growth is expected to be 1.7% in 2016, down from the previous estimate of 1.8%, and 1.4% in 2017, down from the previous estimate of 1.7%.

"The German economy's underlying cyclical trend is fairly robust. Its main driver is buoyant domestic demand, which is being bolstered by the favourable situation in the labour market and by rising household income," Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann said.

Inflation is expected to be 0.2% in 2016, down from the previous estimate of 1.1%, and 1.5% in 2017, down from the previous estimate of 2.0%.

Inflation forecasts were downgraded due to low inflation rate for services and industrial goods.

"Fluctuations in the price of crude oil continue to present a risk, particularly for the price projection, but on the whole appear balanced, as do the risks to economic growth," Weidmann noted.

The U.S. Commerce Department released factory orders data on Friday. Factory orders in the U.S. climbed 1.9% in April, in line with expectations, after a 1.7% rise in March. March's figure was revised up from a 1.1% increase.

Durable goods orders were up 0.5% in April, while non-durable goods orders rose 0.4%.

Orders for transportation equipment jumped 1.1% in April.

Factory orders excluding transportation increased 0.5% in April, after a 1.0% rise in March.

The Institute for Supply Management released its non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index for the U.S. on Friday. The index slid to 52.9 in May from 55.7 in April, missing expectations for a decrease to 55.5.

A reading above 50 indicates a growth in the service sector.

The ISM's new orders index dropped to 54.2 in May from 59.9 in April.

The business activity/production index decreased to 55.1 in May from 58.8 in April.

The ISM's employment index was down to 49.7 in May from 53.0 in April.

The prices index jumped to 55.6 in May from 53.4 in April.

Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.S. on Friday. Final U.S. services purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 51.3 in May from 52.8 in April, up from the preliminary reading of 51.2.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector, a reading below 50 indicates contraction of activity.

The decline was driven by a slower growth in output, new orders and emplyoment.

"The service sector reported one of the weakest expansions seen since the recession in May, adding to signs that any rebound of the economy in the second quarter may be disappointingly muted," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.

"Add these disappointing service sector numbers to the downturn now being seen in manufacturing, and the PMI surveys point to GDP growing at an annualised rate of just 0.7-8% in the second quarter, notwithstanding any marked change in June," he added.

The U.S. Commerce Department released the trade data on Friday. The U.S. trade deficit widened to $37.4 billion in April from a deficit of $35.5 billion in March. March's reading was the smallest gap since December 2013.

March's figure was revised up from a deficit of $40.44 billion.

Analysts had expected a trade deficit of $41.3 billion.

The increase of a deficit was driven by a rise in imports. Exports of goods increased by 0.9% in April, while imports of goods rose by 2.3%.

USDJPY 107.00 (USD 293m) 108.00 (434m) 108.70 (466m) 109.00 (1.07bln) 109.90-110.00 (563m) 110.50 (591m)

EURUSD: 1.1000 (EUR 500m) 1.1100 (1.05bln) 1.1150 (398m) 1.1175 (318m) 1.1200 (1.03bln) 1.1250 (705m) 1.1300 (883m)

GBPUSD 1.4300 (GBP 190m) 1.4400 (287m) 1.4425 (250m) 1.4450 (181m)

AUDUSD 0.7100 (AUD 570m) 0.7170-75 (586m) 0.7200 (500m) 0.7250-55 (422m)

USDCAD 1.2500 (USD 640m) 1.2800-10 (845m) 1.2850 (330m) 1.2900 (755m) 1.3000 (975m) 1.3050 (600m) 1.3100 (300m)

NZDUSD 0.6600 (NZD 394m)

AUDNZD 1.0750 (AUD 350m)

The U.S. Labor Department released the labour market data on Friday. The U.S. economy added 38,000 jobs in May, missing expectations for a rise of 164,000 jobs, after a gain of 123,000 jobs in April. It was the smallest rise since September 2010.

April's figure was revised down from a rise of 160,000 jobs.

The increase was mainly driven by rises in health care. Health care added 45,700 in May, while mining sector shed 10,200 jobs.

The manufacturing sector shed 10,000 jobs in May.

A strike by Verizon workers weighed on nonfarm payrolls.

The U.S. unemployment rate dropped to 4.7% in May from 5.0% in April, beating expectations for a fall to 4.9%. It was the lowest level since November 2007.

The decline was driven by a fact that people dropped out of the labour force.

Average hourly earnings increased 0.2% in May, in line with forecasts, after a 0.4% rise in April. April's figure was revised up from a 0.3% increase.

The labour-force participation rate decreased to 62.6% in May from 62.8% in April.

The Fed could delay its interest rate this month.

Statistics Canada released labour productivity data of Canadian businesses on Friday. The labour productivity of Canadian businesses rose by 0.4% in the first quarter, in line with expectations, after a flat reading in the fourth quarter. The fourth quarter's figure was revised down from a 0.1% gain.

The increase was mainly driven by a rise in productivity of service-producing businesses, which was up 0.6% in the first quarter.

Productivity of goods-producing businesses rose 0.2%.

Statistics Canada released the trade data on Wednesday. Canada's trade deficit narrowed to C$2.94 billion in April from a deficit of C$3.18 billion in March. March's figure was revised up from a deficit of C$3.41 billion.

Analysts had expected a trade deficit of C$2.45 billion.

The decline in deficit was driven by a rise in exports. Exports rose 1.5% in April.

Exports of energy products rose 7.6% in April, exports of metal and non-metallic mineral products climbed by 5.7%, while exports of industrial machinery, equipment and parts jumped 10.5%.

Imports rose 0.9% in April.

Imports of aircraft and other transportation equipment and parts jumped by 52.0% in April, imports of energy products increased by 5.9%, while imports of imports of industrial machinery, equipment and parts fell 5.1%.

Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said in an interview with CNBC on Friday that the Fed could raise its interest rates twice this year if the U.S. economy continues to improve. He added that timing of an interest rate hike was not important.

Evans pointed out that the referendum on Britain's membership in the European Union was likely to have an effect on the Fed's interest rate decision in June.

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

00:00 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY April 1.5% Revised From 1.4% 0.9% 0.3%

01:45 China Markit/Caixin Services PMI May 51.8 52 51.2

07:50 France Services PMI (Finally) May 50.6 51.8 51.6

07:55 Germany Services PMI (Finally) May 54.5 55.2 55.2

08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Finally) May 53.1 53.1 53.3

08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services May 52.3 52.5 53.5

09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) April -0.6% Revised From -0.5% 0.3% 0.0%

09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) April 1.8% Revised From 2.1% 1.9% 1.4%

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the release of the U.S. labour market data. Analysts expect that U.S. unemployment rate is expected to decline to 4.9% in May from 5.0% in April. The U.S. economy is expected to add 162,000 jobs in May, after adding 160,000 jobs in April.

The U.S. factory orders are expected to rise 1.9% in April, after a 1.5% gain in March.

The U.S. trade deficit is expected to widen to $41.3 billion in April from $40.44 billion in March.

The ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index is expected to decline to 55.5 in May from 55.7 in April.

The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the release of the mixed economic data from the Eurozone. Eurostat released its retail sales data for the Eurozone on Friday. Retail sales in the Eurozone were flat in April, missing expectations for a 0.3% rise, after a 0.6% fall in March. March's figure was revised down from a 0.5% decrease.

Non-food sales were flat in April, food, drinks and tobacco sales increased 0.5%, while automotive fuel sales were down 0.1%.

On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone climbed 1.4% in April, missing forecasts of a 1.9% gain, after a 1.8% increase in March. March's figure was revised down from a 2.1% rise.

Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the Eurozone on Friday. Eurozone's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 53.3 in May from 53.1 in April, up from the preliminary reading of 53.2.

The increase was driven by rises in employment and input prices.

Eurozone's final composite output index increased to 53.1 in May from 53.0 in April, up from the preliminary reading of 52.9.

The increase was mainly driven by a rise in output.

"The final PMI numbers for May have come in slightly ahead of the earlier flash readings, but still point a Eurozone economy which seems unable to move out of low gear," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.

"The survey data are signalling a GDP rise of 0.3% in the second quarter, suggesting the growth spurt seen at the start of the year will prove frustratingly short-lived," he added.

The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the release of the better-than-expected services PMI data from the U.K. Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. rose to 53.5 in May from 52.3 in April, exceeding expectations for an increase to 52.5. The increase was driven by a faster growth in output. Employment continued to rise in May.

"The PMI surveys show that the pace of economic growth remained subdued in May, as 'Brexit' worries exacerbated existing headwinds. The data so far indicate that the second quarter is likely to see the economy grow by just 0.2%," the Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.

The Canadian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar ahead of the release of the Canadian economic data. The Canadian trade deficit is expected to narrow to C$2.45 billion in April from C$3.41 billion in March.

EUR/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.1136

GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

USD/JPY: the currency pair was up to Y109.02

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:30 Canada Labor Productivity Quarter I 0.1% 0.4%

12:30 Canada Trade balance, billions April -3.41 -2.45

12:30 U.S. Average workweek May 34.5 34.5

12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings May 0.3% 0.2%

12:30 U.S. International Trade, bln April -40.44 -41.3

12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate May 5% 4.9%

12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls May 160 164

13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Finally) May 52.8 51.2

14:00 U.S. Factory Orders April 1.5% 1.9%

14:00 U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing May 55.7 55.5

16:30 U.S. FOMC Member Brainard Speaks

EUR/USD

Ордера на продажу: 1.1180 1.1200 1.1220-25 1.1250 1.1280-85 1.1300

Bids 1.1130 1.1100-10 1.1080 1.1065 1.1050 1.1030 1.1000

GBP/USD

Offers 1.4450-55 1.4480 1.4495-505 1.4530 1.4550 1.4580 1.4600 1.4625-30 1.4650

Bids 1.4400 1.4385 1.4365 1.4350 14330 1.4300-10 1.4280 1.4250 1.4200

EUR/GBP

Offers 0.7750 0.7770 0.7785 0.7800-10 0.7830 0.7850

Bids 0.7720 0.7700 0.7670 0.7650 0.7630 0.7600

EUR/JPY

Offers 121.60 122.00 122.30 122.60 122.80 123.00 123.30 123.50 123.80 124.00

Bids 121.00 120.50 120.00 119.00

USD/JPY

Offers 108.85 109.00 109.20 109.50-60 109.80 110.00 110.20 110.50 110.80 111.00

Bids 108.50 108.00 107.80 107.50 107.20-25 107.00

AUD/USD

Offers 0.7260 0.7285 0.7300 0.7320-25 0.7350 0.7375-80 0.7400

Bids 0.7225 0.7200 0.7180-85 0.7150 0.7135 0.7100

Markit/ADACI's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Italy dropped to 49.8 in May from 52.1 in April.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector.

The index was mainly driven by drops in output, new business and job creation, while input prices rose.

"The latest PMI data raise the likelihood of Italy's economic recovery slowing in the second quarter. Activity fell slightly across the vast service sector in May, which coincided with a slowdown in manufacturing output growth to a three-month low," an economist at Markit Phil Smith said.

Markit Economics released services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Spain on Friday. Spain's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) was up to 55.4 in May from 55.1 in April.

The rise was driven by a faster growth in in new orders, output and input cost inflation.

"Following on from Wednesday's disappointing Spain manufacturing PMI numbers, the latest services data are something of a relief, with growth in activity and new business ticking up slightly," Senior Economist at Markit Andrew Harker said.

Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Germany on Friday. Germany's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) increased to 55.2 in May from 54.5 in April, in line with the preliminary reading.

The index was mainly driven by a faster growth in output.

"German service providers enjoyed another month of steady output growth in May, with the pace of expansion picking up since April. Moreover, it seems as if the German employment machine keeps humming, with companies continuing adding to their payrolls," an economist at Markit, Oliver Kolodseike, said.

Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the Eurozone on Friday. Eurozone's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 53.3 in May from 53.1 in April, up from the preliminary reading of 53.2.

The increase was driven by rises in employment and input prices.

Eurozone's final composite output index increased to 53.1 in May from 53.0 in April, up from the preliminary reading of 52.9.

The increase was mainly driven by a rise in output.

"The final PMI numbers for May have come in slightly ahead of the earlier flash readings, but still point a Eurozone economy which seems unable to move out of low gear," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.

"The survey data are signalling a GDP rise of 0.3% in the second quarter, suggesting the growth spurt seen at the start of the year will prove frustratingly short-lived," he added.

Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. rose to 53.5 in May from 52.3 in April, exceeding expectations for an increase to 52.5.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector.

The increase was driven by a faster growth in output. Employment continued to rise in May.

"The PMI surveys show that the pace of economic growth remained subdued in May, as 'Brexit' worries exacerbated existing headwinds. The data so far indicate that the second quarter is likely to see the economy grow by just 0.2%," the Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.

The final Markit/Nikkei services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for Japan increased to 50.4 in May from 49.3 in April.

A reading below 50 indicates contraction of activity.

The increase was driven by a stronger rise in new orders.

"The service sector in Japan showed signs of improving mid-way through the second quarter of 2016. Both activity and new orders rose, albeit only marginally," economist at Markit, Amy Brownbill, said.

Eurostat released its retail sales data for the Eurozone on Friday. Retail sales in the Eurozone were flat in April, missing expectations for a 0.3% rise, after a 0.6% fall in March. March's figure was revised down from a 0.5% decrease.

Non-food sales were flat in April, food, drinks and tobacco sales increased 0.5%, while automotive fuel sales were down 0.1%.

On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone climbed 1.4% in April, missing forecasts of a 1.9% gain, after a 1.8% increase in March. March's figure was revised down from a 2.1% rise.

Non-food sales gained 1.9% year-on-year in April, gasoline sales jumped 2.2%, while food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 0.8%.

Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare released its labour cash earnings data on Friday. Labour cash earnings in Japan rose 0.3% year-on-year in April, missing expectations for a 0.9% gain, after a 1.5% increase in March. March's figure was revised up from a 1.4% gain.

Contractual earnings rose 0.2% year-on-year in April, while special cash earnings gained 4.3%.

Total real wages climbed 0.6% in April, after a 1.6% rise in March.

The Australian Industry Group (AiG) released its services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Australia on the late Thursday evening. The index rose to 51.5 in May from 49.7 in April.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction in the sector.

Three of the five activity sub-indexes were above 50 points in May. The increase was mainly driven by rises in new orders, sales and stock levels.

USD/JPY 107.00 (USD 293m) 108.00 (434m) 108.70 (466m) 109.00 (1.07bln) 109.90-110.00 (563m) 110.50 (591m)

EUR/USD: 1.1000 (EUR 500m) 1.1100 (1.05bln) 1.1150 (398m) 1.1175 (318m) 1.1200 (1.03bln) 1.1250 (705m) 1.1300 (883m)

GBP/USD 1.4300 (GBP 190m) 1.4400 (287m) 1.4425 (250m) 1.4450 (181m)

AUD/USD 0.7100 (AUD 570m) 0.7170-75 (586m) 0.7200 (500m) 0.7250-55 (422m)

USD/CAD 1.2500 (USD 640m) 1.2800-10 (845m) 1.2850 (330m) 1.2900 (755m) 1.3000 (975m) 1.3050 (600m) 1.3100 (300m)

NZD/USD 0.6600 (NZD 394m)

AUD/NZD 1.0750 (AUD 350m)

According to data from the Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index, consumers' expectations for U.S. economy increased to 43.2 in in the week ended May 29 from 42.0 the prior week.

The increase was driven by rises in all sub-indexes. The measure of views of the economy was up to 32.2 from 31.7, the buying climate index climbed to 40.1 from 38.9, while the personal finances index rose to 57.3 from 55.3.

The Caixin/Markit Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for China declined to 51.2 in May from 51.8 in April, missing expectations for a rise to 52.0.

The decline was mainly driven by a slower growth in new business and job creation.

"All of the index categories, with the exception of output prices, which remained stable, showed signs of deterioration," Dr. Zhengsheng Zhong, Director of Macroeconomic Analysis at CEBM Group said.

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1302 (3894)

$1.1255 (3972)

$1.1214 (4766)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1152

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1120 (4040)

$1.1088 (5052)

$1.1046 (3229)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 3 is 74153 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1400 (5187);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 3 is 85574 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (7342);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.15 versus 1.16 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 2

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4700 (1991)

$1.4600 (2559)

$1.4501 (3023)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4413

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.4299 (2543)

$1.4200 (3018)

$1.4100 (1486)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 3 is 33433 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4500 (3023);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 3 is 35341 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4200 (3018);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.06 versus 1.07 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 2

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

The dollar dropped to a two-week low against its Japanese counterpart, though investors' caution ahead of the U.S. jobs report later in the session limited its losses.

Markets expect U.S. employment data due at 1230 GMT to show a non-farm payroll increase of about 164,000 and 0.2 percent rise in average wage earnings in May.

The data will be followed by a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Monday, the last chance for the Fed to communicate with markets before it begins a blackout period ahead of its policy meeting on June 14-15.

"If we see a job figure that is largely in line with market consensus and if Yellen maintains a positive tone on rate hikes, I think the chance of a rate hike in June is pretty high," said Masahiro Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management.

Currently U.S. money market futures are pricing in only about 20 percent chance of a hike in June and 60 percent by July.

In recent weeks global markets have been puzzling over what the Fed will do in the near term as relatively upbeat U.S. data have been eclipsed by a still-sluggish global economy and worries over the risk of Britain exiting the European Union.

"Markets are pricing in smaller chances of a hike partly because of worries about 'Brexit'. That is also something that could influence the Fed," Ichikawa added.

The uncertain global backdrop was underlined by the European Central Bank, which on Thursday predicted consumer price growth would remain below target through 2018 as it struggles with cheap energy feeding into the price of other goods and services.

The ECB kept its negative rates unchanged, with President Mario Draghi saying stimulus from previously approved and yet to be implemented measures were expected to work its way through the system.

The euro was little changed at $1.115 on Friday, after sliding from this week's high of $1.1221 touched early on Thursday.

Against the yen, it last stood at 121.38 after falling to a three-year low of 121.065 yen in the previous session.

The yen held steady at 108.915 per dollar, after hitting a two-week high of 108.525 on Thursday, a move some market players attributed to disappointment over a lack of a clear plan on stimulus from Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. It is poised for a gain of 1.3 percent for the week.

The yen tends to strengthen when there is bad news on the economy because it is often used as a funding currency for investment in higher-yielding riskier assets.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair was trading in the $ 1.1145-50

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair was trading in the $ 1.4405-10

USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair is trading in the range of $ 108.50-109.15

Based on Reuters materials

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1151 -0,30%

GBP/USD $1,4415 +0,03%

USD/CHF Chf0,9905 +0,23%

USD/JPY Y108,84 -0,56%

EUR/JPY Y121,37 -0,87%

GBP/JPY Y156,88 -0,55%

AUD/USD $0,7224 -0,37%

NZD/USD $0,6807 -0,10%

USD/CAD C$1,3095 +0,14%

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:00 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY April 1.4% 0.9%

01:45 China Markit/Caixin Services PMI May 51.8 52

07:50 France Services PMI (Finally) May 50.6 51.8

07:55 Germany Services PMI (Finally) May 54.5 55.2

08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Finally) May 53.1 53.1

08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services May 52.3 52.5

09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) April -0.5% 0.3%

09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) April 2.1% 1.9%

12:30 Canada Labor Productivity Quarter I 0.1% 0.4%

12:30 Canada Trade balance, billions April -3.41 -2.45

12:30 U.S. Average workweek May 34.5 34.5

12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings May 0.3% 0.2%

12:30 U.S. International Trade, bln April -40.44 -41.3

12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate May 5% 4.9%

12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls May 160 162

13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Finally) May 52.8 51.2

14:00 U.S. Factory Orders April 1.5% 1.9%

14:00 U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing May 55.7 55.5

16:30 U.S. FOMC Member Brainard Speaks