Noticias del mercado

11 mayo 2016
  • 20:21

    American focus: the US dollar depreciated significantly against the euro and the Canadian dollar

    The euro has appreciated strongly against the dollar, updating the maximum of 9 May, which was due to profit-taking after a six-day growth of the US currency. Little influenced by the statements of Bundesbank board member Dombreta. He noted that the loose monetary policy of the European Central Bank is justified by depressed prospects for economic growth in the euro zone. "Currently, expansionary monetary policy is justified subdued inflation outlook and fragile growth. Although, of course, there are side effects that increase with time, and may have a negative impact on banks' profitability." - Said a board member of the Bundesbank Andreas Dombret. His words were similar to the latest comments from the head of the Bundesbank, Weidmann, who also defended the ECB policy after criticism German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble.

    Also today, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development reported that the economic downturn in emerging economies shows signs of easing, data showed that the leading economic indicator covering all OECD countries fell to 99.6 in March from 99.7 in February. China's index remained at 98.3, while the index for the US fell to 98.8 from 98.9. The figure for the UK remained at around 99.1, while the indicator for Germany was 99.7, as in February. Indicator for the euro area fell to 100.4, the indicator for France stabilized at 100.9, while the index for Italy fell to 100.7 from 100.8.


    The pound rose moderately against the US dollar, rebounding after falling in the first half of the session, which was caused by the publication of weak data on Britain. As it became known, the total volume of industrial production in the UK fell in March by 0.2% per annum, leveling the February increase of 0.1%. Output in the manufacturing sector decreased by 1.9%, accelerating compared with February, when production fell by 1.6%. However, the latest update in line with expectations. In monthly terms, the total volume of industrial production increased by 0.3% after falling 0.2% in February. Analysts had expected an increase of 0.5%. In manufacturing, output grew by 0.1% in the fall of 0.9% the previous month and the forecast of + 0.3%.

    In the course of trading is also affected by the expectations of the meeting of the Central Bank of England, which is scheduled for tomorrow. Economists will be closely watching those to preserve the unity of opinion among the leadership of the Bank of England after increasing downside risks to GDP growth. Over the weekend edition of the Guardian reported that at least one member of the Committee of Central Bank may act for the interest rate cut to stimulate the economy.


    The Canadian dollar rose strongly against the dollar, reaching a peak on 6 May. Support currency had a sharp rise in oil prices following the publication of statistics on US petroleum inventories. US Department of Energy reported that in the week of April 30 - May 6 crude oil inventories fell by 3.4 million barrels to 540 million barrels. Analysts on average had expected an increase of 0.5 mln. Barrels. Oil reserves in Cushing terminal rose by 1.5 million barrels to 67.8 million barrels. Gasoline inventories fell by 1.2 million barrels to 240.6 million barrels. Analysts had expected stocks will decline by only 0.6 million. Barrels. Meanwhile, distillate inventories decreased by 1.6 million barrels to 155.3 million barrels. Analysts expected distillate stocks to decrease by 0.8 million. Barrels. The utilization of refining capacity fell 0.6% to 89.1%. Analysts expected an increase of 0.5%. It was also reported that oil production in the US in the week from 30 April to 6 decreased to 8.802 million. Barrels per day versus 8.825 million barrels per day in the previous week.

  • 20:00

    U.S.: Federal budget , April 106 (forecast -112)

  • 17:32

    China's vice premier Zhang Gaoli: China will reach its economic growth target this year

    China's vice premier Zhang Gaoli said on Wednesday that the country would reach its economic growth target this year. China expects its economy to expand 6.5%-7.0% in 2016, after a 6.9% growth in 2015.

    Zhang noted that China's economy remained resilient.

  • 17:22

    European Central Bank Governing Council member Vitas Vasiliauskas: there is no need in further stimulus measures at the moment

    European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Vitas Vasiliauskas said on Wednesday that there was no need in further stimulus measures as the recent stimulus measures were working. He added that the ECB had tools to act if needed.

  • 17:16

    European Central Bank Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny: the exchange rate of the euro is not the target of the ECB’S stimulus measures

    European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny said in a speech on Wednesday that the exchange rate of the euro was not the target of the central bank's stimulus measures. He also said that helicopter money could not be implemented in the Europe, adding that was little more than a "fantasy discussion" in the Eurozone.

  • 16:53

    NIESR’s gross domestic product rises by 0.3% in three months to April

    The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) released its estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) for the U.K. on Wednesday. The GDP estimate rose by 0.3% in three months to April, after a 0.4% growth in three months to March. The previous figure was revised up from a 0.3% growth.

    "UK economic growth continues to be subdued compared with the rates we saw at the end of last year. Some of this slowdown is undoubtedly a result of heightened uncertainty around the impending EU referendum, and so is likely to be temporary should the UK decide to remain in the EU after June 23rd," Jack Meaning, NIESR Research Fellow, said.

    The NIESR yesterday lowered its GDP growth forecast for the U.K. If Britain remains in the European Union (EU), the U.K. GDP will be expected to grow 2.0% in 2016, down from the previous estimate of 2.3%. The NIESR expects the U.K. economy to expand at 2.7% in 2017, unchanged from the previous estimate.

  • 16:30

    U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, May -3.41 (forecast 0.5)

  • 16:00

    United Kingdom: NIESR GDP Estimate, April 0.3%

  • 15:54

    Ifo World Economic Climate index increases to 90.5 in the second quarter

    German Ifo Institute released its Ifo World Economic Climate figures on Wednesday. The Ifo World Economic Climate index increased to 90.5 in the second quarter from 87.8 in the first quarter. The increase was driven by rises of economic climate indexes in North America and Europe. The index for Asia declined slightly in the second quarter.

    The current economic situation index for the global economy dropped to 86.0 in the second quarter from 87.9 in the first quarter, while the economic expectations index jumped to 94.7 from 87.7.

    Ifo expects the global economy to expand 2.0% this year, while the recovery remained moderate.

  • 15:40

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    USDJPY 107.50 (USD 406m) 107.85 (308m) 108.95 (330m) 109.06 (420m)

    EURUSD: 1.1280 (EUR 249m) 1.1350 (454m) 1.1400-05 (355m) 1.1450 (525m) 1.1500 (270m)

    AUDUSD 0.7400 (AUD 201m) 0.7500 (663m)

    USDCAD 1.2500 (USD 365m) 1.2895 (240m)

    NZDUSD 0.6795-0.6807 (NZD 686m) 0.6800 (238m) 0.6905 (202m)

    AUDNZD 1.0750 (AUD 700m) 1.1050 (600m) 1.1215 (1.14bln)

  • 15:38

    Westpac’s consumer confidence index for Australia climbs 8.5% in May

    Westpac Bank released its consumer confidence index for Australia on Wednesday. The index climbed 8.5% in May, after a 0.4% decline in April.

    The index was driven by rises in all sub-indexes.

    "Our analysis indicates that the dominant driver of the boost to confidence has been the rate cut," Westpac Chief Economist Bill Evans said.

    "The Reserve Bank board next meets on June 7. We expect the Board to keep rates on hold at that meeting although we are expecting a further rate cut at the August meeting," he added.

  • 14:46

    OECD’s leading composite leading indicator declines to 99.6 in March

    The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) released its leading indicators on Monday. The composite leading indicator decreased to 99.6 in March from 99.7 in February.

    It signalled stable growth in Canada, the Eurozone as a whole, Germany and France.

    The index for Japan showed signs of growth stabilisation.

    There were signs of firming growth momentum in India.

    The index for the U.S., the U.K., and Italy pointed to an easing in growth momentum.

    The index for China signalled stable growth.

    The index for Russia showed signs of positive change in growth momentum.

  • 14:10

    Foreign exchange market. European session: the British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar on the U.K. industrial production data

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    (Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

    00:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence May -4.0% 8.5%

    01:30 Australia Home Loans March 0.9% Revised From 1.5% -1.5% -0.9%

    05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Preliminary) March 110.7 111.2

    05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index (Preliminary) March 98.9 Revised From 96.8 96.4 98.4

    08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) March -0.2% Revised From -0.3% 0.5% 0.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) March 0.1% Revised From -0.5% -0.4% -0.2%

    08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) March -0.9% Revised From -1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

    08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) March -1.6% Revised From -1.8% -1.9% -1.9%

    11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications May -3.4% 0.4%

    The U.S. dollar traded mixed to lower against the most major currencies in the absence of any major economic reports from the U.S.

    The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from the Eurozone.

    Destatis released its manufacturing turnover data for Germany on Wednesday. Manufacturing turnover declined on seasonally adjusted and on adjusted for working days basis by 1.1% in March, after a 0.2% fall in February. February's figure was revised down up a 0.5% decrease.

    Domestic turnover decreased by 1.3% in March, while the business with foreign customers dropped 0.8%.

    Sales to euro area countries fell 0.5% in March, while sales to other countries were down 1.1%.

    On a yearly basis, real manufacturing turnover in Germany was up on adjusted for working days basis by 0.7% in March, after a 1.8% rise in February.

    The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar on the U.K. industrial production data. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its manufacturing and industrial production figures for the U.K. on Wednesday. Industrial production in the U.K. rose 0.3% in March, missing forecasts of a 0.5% increase, after a 0.2% fall in February. February's figure was revised up from a 0.3% decline.

    The increase was mainly driven by a rise in electricity, gas, steam & air conditioning output, which climbed by 3.3% in March.

    On a yearly basis, industrial production in the U.K. decreased 0.2% in March, beating expectations for a 0.4% drop, after a 0.1% increase in February. February's figure was revised up from a 0.5% fall.

    The decline was driven by a drop in manufacturing, which slid 1.9% year-on-year in March.

    Manufacturing production in the U.K. was up 0.1% in March, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.9% decline in February. February's figure was revised up from a 1.1% decrease.

    The rise was mainly driven by an increase in manufacture of transport equipment, which rose by 2.7% in March.

    On a yearly basis, manufacturing production in the U.K. decreased 1.9% in March, in line with forecasts, after a 1.6% drop in February. It was the largest decrease since May 2013.

    EUR/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.1404

    GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

    USD/JPY: the currency pair climbed to Y109.27

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    12:45 Canada Gov Council Member Wilkins Speaks

    14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate April 0.3%

    14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories May 2.784 0.5

    18:00 U.S. Federal budget April -108 -112

    22:30 New Zealand Business NZ PMI April 54.7

    23:50 Japan Current Account, bln March 2435 3005

  • 13:00

    U.S.: MBA Mortgage Applications, May 0.4%

  • 11:35

    Japan's leading index declines to 98.4 in March

    Japan's Cabinet Office released its preliminary leading index data on Wednesday. The leading index decreased to 98.4 in March from 98.9 in February, beating expectations for a decline to 96.4. It was the lowest level since November 2012.

    February's figure was revised up from 96.8.

    Japan's coincident index climbed to 111.2 in March from 110.7 in February.

  • 11:25

    Germany’s manufacturing turnover declines by 1.1% in March

    Destatis released its manufacturing turnover data for Germany on Wednesday. Manufacturing turnover declined on seasonally adjusted and on adjusted for working days basis by 1.1% in March, after a 0.2% fall in February. February's figure was revised down up a 0.5% decrease.

    Domestic turnover decreased by 1.3% in March, while the business with foreign customers dropped 0.8%.

    Sales to euro area countries fell 0.5% in March, while sales to other countries were down 1.1%.

    On a yearly basis, real manufacturing turnover in Germany was up on adjusted for working days basis by 0.7% in March, after a 1.8% rise in February.

  • 11:08

    U.K. industrial production rises 0.3% in March

    The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its manufacturing and industrial production figures for the U.K. on Wednesday. Industrial production in the U.K. rose 0.3% in March, missing forecasts of a 0.5% increase, after a 0.2% fall in February. February's figure was revised up from a 0.3% decline.

    The increase was mainly driven by a rise in electricity, gas, steam & air conditioning output, which climbed by 3.3% in March.

    On a yearly basis, industrial production in the U.K. decreased 0.2% in March, beating expectations for a 0.4% drop, after a 0.1% increase in February. February's figure was revised up from a 0.5% fall.

    The decline was driven by a drop in manufacturing, which slid 1.9% year-on-year in March.

    Manufacturing production in the U.K. was up 0.1% in March, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.9% decline in February. February's figure was revised up from a 1.1% decrease.

    The rise was mainly driven by an increase in manufacture of transport equipment, which rose by 2.7% in March.

    On a yearly basis, manufacturing production in the U.K. decreased 1.9% in March, in line with forecasts, after a 1.6% drop in February. It was the largest decrease since May 2013.

    February's figure was revised up from a 1.8% decline.

  • 10:51

    Home loans in Australia fall 0.9% in March

    The Australian Bureau of Statistics released its home loans data on Wednesday. Home loans in Australia fell 0.9% in March, beating expectations for a 1.5% drop, after 0.9% increase in February. February's figure was revised down from a 1.5% rise.

    The value of owner occupied loans decreased at a seasonally adjusted 1.2% in March, investment lending climbed 1.5%, while the number of loans for the construction of dwellings slid 2.0%.

  • 10:31

    United Kingdom: Manufacturing Production (YoY), March -1.9% (forecast -1.9%)

  • 10:30

    United Kingdom: Industrial Production (MoM), March 0.3% (forecast 0.5%)

  • 10:30

    United Kingdom: Manufacturing Production (MoM) , March 0.1% (forecast 0.3%)

  • 10:30

    United Kingdom: Industrial Production (YoY), March -0.2% (forecast -0.4%)

  • 10:20

    San Francisco Fed President John Williams: it is unlikely that the Fed would cut its interest rates into negative territory

    San Francisco Fed President John Williams said on Monday that it was unlikely that the Fed would cut its interest rates into negative territory. He also said that the U.S. banking system was safer than before the financial crisis, due to higher reserve requirements and stress testing.

    Williams noted that the U.S. economy was in a good shape.

  • 10:09

    Reserve Bank of New Zealand Graeme Wheeler: risks to the financial stability have increased

    The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) released its Financial Stability Report on Tuesday. The RBNZ Graeme Wheeler said that risks to the financial stability have increased further in the past six months.

    "Although New Zealand's economic growth remains solid, the outlook for the global economy has deteriorated. Despite highly accommodative monetary policies and low oil prices, growth is slowing in a number of trading partner economies," he said.

    "Dairy prices remain low with global dairy supply continuing to increase. Many farmers now face a third season of negative cash flow with heavy demand for working capital," the RBNZ governor added.

    Wheeler expressed concerns about a rise in prices in the Auckland housing market, adding that the imbalance between housing demand and supply in Auckland should be reduced.

  • 10:03

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    USD/JPY 107.50 (USD 406m) 107.85 (308m) 108.95 (330m) 109.06 (420m)

    EUR/USD: 1.1280 (EUR 249m) 1.1350 (454m) 1.1400-05 (355m) 1.1450 (525m) 1.1500 (270m)

    AUD/USD 0.7400 (AUD 201m) 0.7500 (663m)

    USD/CAD 1.2500 (USD 365m) 1.2895 (240m)

    NZD/USD 0.6795-0.6807 (NZD 686m) 0.6800 (238m) 0.6905 (202m)

    AUD/NZD 1.0750 (AUD 700m) 1.1050 (600m) 1.1215 (1.14bln)

  • 08:31

    Options levels on wednesday, May 11, 2016:

    EUR / USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.1550 (4212)

    $1.1488 (4505)

    $1.1443 (2129)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.1387

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.1331 (1683)

    $1.1292 (3710)

    $1.1237 (5494)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 3 is 63954 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (5212);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 3 is 86691 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (8154);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.35 versus 1.35 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 10


    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.4705 (1871)

    $1.4608 (2170)

    $1.4512 (2163)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.4455

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.4387 (1209)

    $1.4290 (2307)

    $1.4193 (2800)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 3 is 29156 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4600 (2170);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 3 is 32056 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4200 (2800);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.10 versus 1.08 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 10


    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 08:25

    Asian session: The dollar dipped

    The dollar dipped on Wednesday as investors locked in gains following its steep rise against the yen after intervention warnings from Japanese officials. Both currencies had suffered losses in late April when the Bank of Japan held off from expanding monetary stimulus, touching off a rally in the yen that stoked investors' fears that Japan's Ministry of Finance would decide to intervene.

    Still, many expect that Japan would be wary of conducting direct currency intervention before it hosts a G7 meeting later this month, as Tokyo is sensitive to criticism that it is trying to engineer a weaker yen.

    Koichi Hamada, a key economic adviser to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, was the latest to sound a currency market warning. Hamada said on Tuesday Japan will intervene in foreign exchange markets if the yen strengthens to 90-95 per dollar, even if that upsets the United States.

    The New Zealand dollar stole some limelight, rising 0.6 percent to 68 U.S. cents NZD=D4, climbing well away from a recent low of $0.6717. Markets had sold the kiwi on Tuesday on speculation the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) would introduce new measures to curb Auckland's housing market. When the RBNZ held off from that course on Wednesday investors were quick to unwind those moves.


    EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $1.1370-90

    GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $1.4440-60

    USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to Y108.60


    Based on Reuters materials

  • 07:17

    Japan: Coincident Index, March 96.8

  • 07:01

    Japan: Leading Economic Index , March 98.4 (forecast 96.4)

  • 03:30

    Australia: Home Loans , March -0.9% (forecast -1.5%)

  • 00:32

    Currencies. Daily history for May 10’2016:

    (pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,1370 -0,10%

    GBP/USD $1,4443 +0,25%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9759 +0,48%

    USD/JPY Y109,34 +0,80%

    EUR/JPY Y124,31 +0,68%

    GBP/JPY Y157,92 +1,05%

    AUD/USD $0,7371 +0,79%

    NZD/USD $0,6794 +0,44%

    USD/CAD C$1,291 -0,37%

  • 00:01

    Schedule for today, Wednesday, May 11’2016:

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    01:30 Australia Home Loans March 1.5% -1.5%

    05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Preliminary) March 110.7

    06:00 Japan Leading Economic Index (Preliminary) March 96.8

    08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) March -0.3% 0.5%

    08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) March -0.5% -0.4%

    08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) March -1.1% 0.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) March -1.8% -1.9%

    11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications May -3.4%

    14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate April 0.3%

    14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories May 2.784

    18:00 U.S. Federal budget April -108 -100

    22:30 New Zealand Business NZ PMI April 54.7

    23:50 Japan Current Account, bln March 2435

11 mayo 2016
Enfoque del mercado
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Símbolo Bid Ask Tiempo
AUDUSD
EURUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
XAGEUR
XAGUSD
XAUUSD
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