Noticias del mercado

15 julio 2015
  • 23:59

    Schedule for today, Thursday, Jul 16’2015:

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    00:00 China New Loans June 900.8 1050

    1:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation July 3%

    04:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report

    07:15 Switzerland Retail Sales Y/Y May 1.6%

    07:16 Switzerland Retail Sales (MoM) May 2.1%

    09:00 Eurozone Trade balance unadjusted May 24.9

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI June 0.2% 0%

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) June 0.3% 0.2%

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y (Finally) June 0.9% 0.8%

    11:45 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision 0.05%

    12:30 Eurozone ECB Press Conference

    12:30 Canada Foreign Securities Purchases May 12.94

    12:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims 2334 2295

    12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims July 297 285

    14:00 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index July 59 59

    14:00 U.S. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey July 15.2 12.0

    14:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Janet Yellen Speaks

    18:00 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks

    20:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows May 106.6

    20:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows May 53.9

  • 20:01

    American focus: the dollar strengthened significantly against most major currencies

    The dollar strengthened sharply against the euro, approaching to a maximum of 7 July, which was related to statements of Fed Yellen and publication of data on the United States. Today, Fed Chairman Yellen reiterated that the Central Bank may raise interest rates this year if the economy will maintain its current rate of growth. "If the economy develops as we expect it, then most likely, the economic conditions at some point in the current year will be appropriate to increase the interest rates on federal credit funds", - said Yellen. She also expressed the view that the pace of US economic growth will increase in the second half of the year, while the unemployment rate will continue to decline gradually. She added that the situation in the labor market has improved significantly, but the FOMC does not consider it appropriate criteria of maximum employment. Yellen also noted tentative signs of recovery in the growth rate of wages, although it is recognized that they still remain relatively low, supporting other signs of a sagging economy. The head of the Federal Reserve suggested that the debt crisis in Greece and the situation on the stock market in China may carry risks for the United States. However, it noted the likelihood that global economic growth will be stronger than the average expected by experts that will provide additional support for economic activity in the United States.

    With regard to statistics, the Fed reported that manufacturing in the last month, with the exception of car production increased by 0.3 percent after falling 0.1 percent. Total industrial production, which also includes mining and utilities rose 0.3 percent after a 0.2 percent decline. Production of utilities increased 1.5 percent after rising 1.2 percent the previous month. Production in mining, which includes oil drilling, increased by 1 percent after falling 2.1 percent. Drilling of oil and gas wells fell by 3.7 percent after falling 8.7 percent. The median forecast of economists called for an increase of 0.2 percent in industrial production. Fed report also showed that capacity utilization rose to 78.4 percent compared with 78.2 percent a month ago.


    The Canadian dollar depreciated significantly against the US dollar, reaching its lowest level since March 2009, which was caused by the unexpected decision of the Bank of Canada rate. Recall, the Bank of Canada announced reduction of rates by 0.25% to 0.50%., Citing a significant effect on the reduction in price of oil and the deterioration of the export of goods, not including the energy sector. It is worth emphasizing, expectations for rates before the meeting split exactly in half. In an accompanying statement, the regulator has also revised forecasts for GDP for the 2nd quarter, as well as 2015-2016 downward. Central Bank reported that the forecasts for economic growth in Canada in 2015 were substantially reduced from the April estimates, and also referred to the slowing global economy, particularly the US and China. However, the Bank expects renewed growth in the 3rd quarter. Central Bank considered that at this point, additional monetary stimulus to help the economy confidently embark on growth and inflation to return to target levels that are projected to happen in the 1st half of 2017. Meanwhile, the head of the Bank of Canada Poloz said that QE is included in the arsenal of tools that may, if necessary to involve the Central Bank. However, he added, the Central Bank expects that the use of other monetary policy instruments will be required.


    The Swiss franc declined against the US currency, updating a minimum of 27 of May. In the course of trading influenced the widespread strengthening of the US dollar and weak data on Switzerland. As previously reported, in July 2015 the index of investor expectations in Switzerland ZEW-CS decreased. The indicator dropped by 5.5 points and now stands at minus 5.4 points value. This reading indicates that slightly larger share of financial experts expect the Swiss economy is getting worse, compared with the current situation. ZEW-CS indicator reflects the expectations of surveyed financial market experts regarding the economic development in Switzerland on a six-month period. It is calculated monthly by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim in cooperation with Credit Suisse (CS), Zurich. Estimates of the current economic situation in Switzerland are slightly more positive in July compared with the previous month. The corresponding indicator increased by 1.4 points. Nevertheless, the indicator "balance of performance" is clearly in the negative area with a -21.6 reading.

  • 16:38

    Fed Chair Janet Yellen expects the U.S. economy to strengthen in the rest of the year and interest rate hike “at some point this year”

    The Fed Chair Janet Yellen testified before the Senate Banking Committee on Wednesday. She said that she expects the U.S. economy to strengthen in the rest of the year. Yellen pointed out that the Fed could raise its interest rate "at some point this year".

    "Looking forward, prospects are favourable for further improvement in the U.S. labour market and the economy more broadly," she said.

    The Fed chairwoman pointed out that the U.S. dollar could expand faster than expected in the second half of the year due to lower gasoline prices and as a negative impact on the U.S. exports due to a stronger U.S. dollar begins to fade.

    She noted that there is "still some slack" in the U.S. labour market.

    Yellen also said that the situation in Greece and China could "pose some risk" to the U.S. economy.

  • 16:30

    U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, July -4.346 (forecast -2.1)

  • 16:17

    Bank of Canada lowers its interest rate to 0.50%

    The Bank of Canada (BoC) released its interest rate decision on Wednesday. The central bank lowered its interest rate to 0.50% from 0.75%. It was the second interest rate cut this year.

    This decision was not expected by analysts.

    "Additional monetary stimulus is required at this time to help return the economy to full capacity and inflation sustainably to target," the bank said in its statement.

    A weak global economic growth, low inflation in Canada and low oil prices lead to this decision.

    The central bank said that the real GDP in Canada contracted in the first half of the year.

    Canada's real GDP is expected to expand by just over 1% in 2015 and about 2.5% in 2016 and 2017. The central bank expect the economy to return to full capacity and inflation to 2% on a sustained basis in the first half of 2017.

    The BoC said that inflation in Canada was about 1% in the recent months due to lower energy prices, while core inflation was about 2%.

    "The lower outlook for Canadian growth has increased the downside risks to inflation," the central bank said.

  • 16:00

    Canada: Bank of Canada Rate, 0.5% (forecast 0.75%)

  • 15:45

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EUR/USD: $1.1000(E588mn), $1.1050(E225mn), $1.1100(E400mn), $1.1200(E334mn)

    USD/JPY: Y122.00($654mn), Y123.25($380mn), Y123.50($645mn), Y125.00($992mn)

    EUR/JPY: Y134.75(E320mn)

    EUR/GBP: Gbp0.7000(E525mn), Gbp0.7080(E420mn), Gbp0.7100(E349mn), Gbp0.7120(E320mn)

    USD/CAD: C$1.2700($973mn)

  • 15:43

    U.S. industrial production rises 0.3% in June

    The Federal Reserve released its industrial production report on Wednesday. The U.S. industrial production rose 0.3% in June, exceeding expectations for a 0.2% increase, after a 0.2% decline in May. It was the biggest increase since November 2013.

    The increase was driven by higher mining and utilities output. Mining output climbed by 1.0% in June, while utility output rose by 1.5%.

    The U.S. manufacturing production flat in June.

    Capacity utilisation rate increased to 78.4% in June from 78.2% in May. May's figure was revised up 78.2%. Analysts had expected a capacity utilisation rate of 78.1%.

  • 15:15

    U.S.: Capacity Utilization, June 78.4% (forecast 78.1%)

  • 15:15

    U.S.: Industrial Production (MoM), June 0.3% (forecast 0.2%)

  • 15:15

    U.S.: Industrial Production YoY , June 1.5%

  • 15:12

    U.S. producer price index rises 0.4% in May

    The U.S. Commerce Department released the producer price index figures on Wednesday. The U.S. producer price index increased 0.4% in June, exceeding expectations for a 0.2% gain, after a 0.5% rise in May.

    On a yearly basis, the producer price index decreased 0.7% in June, beating forecasts of a 0.9% decline, after a 1.1% fall in May.

    The rise was driven by higher food and gasoline prices. Gasoline prices jumped 4.3% in June. Food prices climbed by 0.6%, driven by a shortage of eggs, and as wholesale egg prices soared a 84.5% in June.

    The producer price index excluding food and energy climbed 0.3% in June, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.1% increase in May.

    On a yearly basis, the producer price index excluding food and energy climbed 0.8% in June, beating forecasts of a 0.7% increase, after a 0.6% rise in May.

    The figures added to speculation on that the Fed will start raising its interest rate this year.

  • 14:57

    NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index climbs to 3.86 in July

    The New York Federal Reserve released its survey on Wednesday. The NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index climbed to 3.86 in July from -1.98 in June, exceeding expectations for an increase to 3.0.

    The increase was driven by a rise in the general business conditions expectations index. The general business conditions expectations index for the next six months rose to 27.04 in July from 25.84 in June.

    The new orders index dropped to -3.50 in July from 2.12 in June.

    The price-paid index decreased to 7.45 in July from 9.62 in June.

    The index for the number of employees fell to 3.19 in July from 8.65 last month. It was the lowest level since December 2013.

  • 14:45

    Canadian manufacturing shipments are up 0.1% in May

    Statistics Canada released manufacturing shipments on Wednesday. Canadian manufacturing shipments rose 0.1% in May, missing forecasts of a 0.4% increase, after a 2.2% drop in April. April's figure was revised down from a 2.1% decline.

    The rise was driven by higher sales of aerospace products and parts, and petroleum and coal products. Production in aerospace products and parts jumped 22.2% in June, while sales of petroleum and coal products climbed 5.6%

    Sales increased in 6 of 21 categories.

  • 14:38

    Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda: inflation in Japan will reach 2% target by next year

    The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said at the press conference on Wednesday that inflation in Japan will reach 2% target by next year. He noted that it is unlikely the economy in Japan will continue to slow down this quarter.

    "Prices will likely pick up at a significant pace some time during the end of this fiscal year," he said.

    Kuroda reiterated that the central bank will adjust its quantitative easing if needed.

  • 14:30

    U.S.: PPI excluding food and energy, m/m, June 0.3% (forecast 0.1%)

  • 14:30

    U.S.: PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, June 0.8% (forecast 0.7%)

  • 14:30

    U.S.: PPI, m/m, June 0.4% (forecast 0.2%)

  • 14:30

    Canada: Manufacturing Shipments (MoM), May 0.1% (forecast 0.4%)

  • 14:30

    U.S.: PPI, y/y, June -0.7% (forecast -0.9%)

  • 14:30

    U.S.: NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index , July 3.86 (forecast 3)

  • 14:17

    Foreign exchange market. European session: the British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar on the weaker-than-expected U.K. labour market data

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    (Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

    00:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence July -6.9% -3.2%

    01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) June 1.0% Revised From 0.8% 4.0%

    01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) June -0.8% Revised From -1.3% 3.8%

    02:00 China Retail Sales y/y May 10.1% 10.2% 10.6%

    02:00 China Industrial Production y/y May 6.1% 6.0% 6.8%

    02:00 China Fixed Asset Investment May 11.4% 11.2% 11.4%

    02:00 China GDP y/y Quarter II 7.0% 6.9% 7.0%

    03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0% 0%

    03:00 Japan Bank of Japan Monetary Base Target 275 275

    03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement

    06:30 Japan BOJ Press Conference

    06:45 France CPI, m/m June 0.2% -0.1%

    06:45 France CPI, y/y June 0.3% 0.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y May 2.7% 3.3% 3.2%

    08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y May 2.7% 3% 2.8%

    08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate May 5.5% 5.5% 5.6%

    08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count June -1.1 Revised From -6.5 -8.8 7

    09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) July 0.1 -5.4

    The U.S. dollar traded mixed to higher against the most major currencies ahead the release of the U.S. economic data. The U.S. PPI is expected to increase 0.2% in June, after a 0.5% rise in May.

    The U.S. producer price inflation excluding food and energy is expected to rise 0.1% in June, after a 0.1 gain in May.

    The U.S. industrial production is expected to climb 0.2% in June, after a 0.2% drop in May.

    The Fed Chair Janet Yellen will testify before the Senate Banking Committee at 14:00 GMT.

    The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar as investors are cautious if the Greek government will be able to pass a series of reforms in the Greek parliament.

    The deal also needs to be approved by national parliaments before talks about a bailout programme can start.

    The French consumer price inflation fell 0.1% in June, after a 0.2% increase in May.

    On a yearly basis, the consumer price index climbed 0.3% in June, after a 0.3% rise in May.

    The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar on the weaker-than-expected U.K. labour market data. The U.K. unemployment rate rose 5.6% in the March to May quarter from 5.5% in three months to February. It was the first increase in two years.

    Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 5.5%.

    The claimant count increased by 7,000 people in June, missing expectations for a drop by 8,800, after a decrease of 1,100 people in May. May's figure was revised down from a decline of 6,500.

    Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, climbed by 2.8% in the March to May quarter, missing expectations for a rise by 3.0%, after a 2.7% gain in the December to February quarter. It was the highest gain in more than six years.

    The previous three months' figure was revised up from a 2.2% increase.

    Average weekly earnings, including bonuses, rose by 3.2% in the March to May quarter, missing expectations for a gain of 3.3%, after a 2.7% increase in the December to February quarter. It was the highest rise since June to April 2010.

    The Canadian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Bank of Canada's (BoC) interest rate decision. Analysts expect the central bank to keep its monetary policy unchanged.

    Canada's manufacturing shipments are expected to increase 0.4% in May, after a 2.1% drop in April.

    The Swiss franc traded lower against the U.S. dollar. A survey by the ZEW Institute and Credit Suisse Group showed on Wednesday that Switzerland's economic sentiment index dropped to -5.4 points in July from 0.1 points in June as Swiss economic expectations worsened.

    EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

    GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.5601

    USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) May -2.1% 0.4%

    12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m June 0.5% 0.2%

    12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y June -1.1% -0.9%

    12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m June 0.1% 0.1%

    12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y June 0.6% 0.7%

    12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index July -1.98 3

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) June -0.2% 0.2%

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production YoY June 1.4%

    13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization June 78.1% 78.1%

    14:00 Canada Bank of Canada Rate 0.75% 0.75%

    14:00 Canada Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report

    14:00 Canada BOC Rate Statement

    14:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Janet Yellen Speaks

    16:25 U.S. FOMC Member Mester Speaks

    18:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book

    19:00 U.S. FOMC Member Williams Speaks

    22:45 New Zealand CPI, q/q Quarter II -0.3% 0.6%

    22:45 New Zealand CPI, y/y Quarter II 0.1% 0.4%

  • 14:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers 1.1050 1.1080 1.1100 1.1125 1.1140 1.1165 1.1180 1.1200 1.1220-25 1.1245

    Bids 1.0985 1.0960-65 1.0940 1.0925 1.0900 1.0880 1.0850 1.0825 1.0800


    GBP/USD

    Offers 1.5680 1.5700-10 1.5725-30 1.5750 1.5780 1.5800

    Bids 1.5625-30 1.5600 1.5580 1.5550 1.5530 1.5500 1.5485 1.5450 1.5425-30 1.5400


    EUR/GBP

    Offers 0.7050-55 0.7085 0.7100 0.7120-25 0.7150 0.7170 0.7185 0.7200

    Bids 0.7020-25 0.7000 0.6980 0.6950 0.6925-30 0.6900


    EUR/JPY

    Offers 136.50 136.75 137.00 137.50 137.80 138.00

    Bids 135.85 135.60 135.20 135.00 134.80 134.50 134.30 134.000


    USD/JPY

    Offers 123.80 124.00 124.30 124.50 124.75 125.00

    Bids 123.20-25 123.00 122.80 122.50-60 121.85 121.60 121.40 121.00


    AUD/USD

    Offers 0.7485 0.7500 0.7520 0.7550 0.7580 0.7600

    Bids 0.7425-30 0.7400 0.7380 0.7350 0.7330 0.7300

  • 11:47

    ZEW Institute and Credit Suisse Group’s survey: Switzerland's economic sentiment index climbs drops to -5.4 points in July

    A survey by the ZEW Institute and Credit Suisse Group showed on Wednesday that Switzerland's economic sentiment index dropped to -5.4 points in July from 0.1 points in June as Swiss economic expectations worsened.

    The current conditions index by 1.4 points to -21.6 points in July from -23.0 points in June.

    "The economic outlook for Switzerland has dimmed again, and while analysts expect to see the strongest economic momentum in the Eurozone over the next six months, the present state of the Eurozone economy is still rated as poor," Credit Suisse said.

  • 11:39

    French consumer price inflation falls 0.1% in June

    The French statistical office Insee released its consumer price inflation for France on Wednesday. The French consumer price inflation fell 0.1% in June, after a 0.2% increase in May.

    On a yearly basis, the consumer price index climbed 0.3% in June, after a 0.3% rise in May.

    Fresh food prices rose 5.2% year-on-year in June, while petroleum products prices dropped by 7.3%.

  • 11:27

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EUR/USD: $1.1000(E588mn), $1.1050(E225mn), $1.1100(E400mn), $1.1200(E334mn)

    USD/JPY: Y122.00($654mn), Y123.25($380mn), Y123.50($645mn), Y125.00($992mn)

    EUR/JPY: Y134.75(E320mn)

    EUR/GBP: Gbp0.7000(E525mn), Gbp0.7080(E420mn), Gbp0.7100(E349mn), Gbp0.7120(E320mn)

    USD/CAD: C$1.2700($973mn)

  • 11:17

    U.K. unemployment rate increases to 5.6% in the March to May quarter, the first increase in two years

    The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its labour market data on Wednesday. The U.K. unemployment rate rose 5.6% in the March to May quarter from 5.5% in three months to February. It was the first increase in two years.

    Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 5.5%.

    The claimant count increased by 7,000 people in June, missing expectations for a drop by 8,800, after a decrease of 1,100 people in May. May's figure was revised down from a decline of 6,500.

    Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, climbed by 2.8% in the March to May quarter, missing expectations for a rise by 3.0%, after a 2.7% gain in the December to February quarter. It was the highest gain in more than six years.

    The previous three months' figure was revised up from a 2.2% increase.

    Average weekly earnings, including bonuses, rose by 3.2% in the March to May quarter, missing expectations for a gain of 3.3%, after a 2.7% increase in the December to February quarter. It was the highest rise since June to April 2010.

    The Bank of England monitors closely the wages growth it considers when to start hiking its interest rate.

  • 11:04

    Chinese economy expands 7.0% in the second quarter

    Today's Chinese economic data was better than expected. Chinese economy expanded 7.0% in the second quarter, beating expectations for a 6.9% growth, after a 7.0% rise in the first quarter.

    The weak housing market and industrial production in China weighs on the Chinese economic growth.

    Industrial production in China increased 6.8% in May, exceeding expectations for a 6.0% rise, after a 6.1% gain in April.

    Retail sales in China increased 10.6% in May, beating forecast of 10.2% gain, after a 10.1% rise in April.

  • 11:00

    Switzerland: Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations), July -5.4

  • 10:54

    Bank of Japan keeps its monetary policy unchanged, but lowers its inflation forecasts

    The Bank of Japan (BoJ) released its interest rate decision on Wednesday. The BoJ kept its monetary policy unchanged (interest rate: 0.00-0.10%, monetary base target: 275 trillion yen). The central bank will expand its monetary base at an annual pace of 80 trillion yen. This decision was expected by analysts.

    The BoJ board member, Takahide Kiuchi, said again that the central bank should cut its asset purchases to 45 trillion yen annually.

    The BoJ lowered its GDP growth forest for financial year 2015/16 to 1.7% from the previous estimate of 2.0%. Forecasts for financial years 2016/17 and 2017/18 remained unchanged.

    The central bank cut its inflation for financial year 2015/16 to 0.7%, down from previous estimate of 0.8%, for financial year 2016/17 to 1.9%, down from previous estimate of 2.0%, and for financial year 2017/18 to 1.8%, down from previous estimate of 1.9%.

    The BoJ noted that the country's economy continued to recover moderately.

  • 10:43

    IMF: Greece will need far bigger debt relief that was considered by the Eurozone governments

    Reuters reported on Tuesday that Greece will need far bigger debt relief that was considered by the Eurozone governments, according to a confidential study by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

    "The dramatic deterioration in debt sustainability points to the need for debt relief on a scale that would need to go well beyond what has been under consideration to date - and what has been proposed by the European Stability Mechanism (ESM)," the IMF said.

    A senior IMF official said on Tuesday that the debt relief would give Greece's economy a chance to recover.

  • 10:34

    European Central Bank Executive Board member Yves Mersch: the economy in the Eurozone is slowly but steadily improving

    European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Yves Mersch said on Tuesday that the economy in the Eurozone is slowly but steadily improving, supported by the ECB's accommodative monetary policy.

    "I am confident that the economic recovery will continue," he said.

    Mersch repeated that the Eurozone's inflation will hit 2% target in the medium terms.

    He also said that the central bank will keep its bond-buying programme until September 2016.

  • 10:30

    United Kingdom: Average Earnings, 3m/y , May 3.2% (forecast 3.3%)

  • 10:30

    United Kingdom: Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y, May 2.8% (forecast 3%)

  • 10:30

    United Kingdom: Claimant count , June 7 (forecast -8.8)

  • 10:30

    United Kingdom: ILO Unemployment Rate, May 5.6% (forecast 5.5%)

  • 10:14

    Cash levels rise to 5.5%

    According to the latest Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML) fund manager survey, which was conducted between July 2 and July 9, cash levels rose to 5.5% due to concerns over Greece, China and a possible interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. It was the highest level since December 2008.

    "When average cash balance rises above 4.5% a contrarian buy signal is generated for equities. When the cash balance falls below 3.5% a contrarian sell signal is generated," BofAML analysts said.

  • 08:46

    France: CPI, y/y, June 0.3%

  • 08:45

    France: CPI, m/m, June -0.1%

  • 08:43

    Foreign exchange market. Asian session: yen little changed amid BOJ decision

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual

    00:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence July -6.9% -3.2%

    01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) June 0.8% 4.0%

    01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) June -1.3% 3.8%

    02:00 China Retail Sales y/y May 10.1% 10.2% 10.6%

    02:00 China Industrial Production y/y May 6.1% 6.0% 6.8%

    02:00 China Fixed Asset Investment May 11.4% 11.2% 11.4%

    02:00 China GDP y/y Quarter II 7.0% 6.9% 7.0%

    03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0% 0%

    03:00 Japan Bank of Japan Monetary Base Target 275 275

    03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement

    06:30 Japan BOJ Press Conference

    The sterling continued climbing on BOE Carney's comments, which suggest that a probability of a rate hike in the near future increases. Carney also noted that higher wages are the key factor of consumption growth. Today investors await employment data. Median forecast suggests a 3.3% growth in average earnings in the three months through May compared to a 2.7% growth reported previously.

    The yen showed little reaction to BOJ decision to keep its monetary policy unchanged. The decision was made by 8-1 vote. The bank reiterated that Japan's economy continued to recover moderately.

    The Australian dollar rose after data showed that new motor vehicle sales rose by 3.3% in June compared to the previous month. However the AUD was mostly influenced by China GDP data (the index advanced by 7.0% vs 6.9% expected).

    EUR/USD: the pair declined to $1.0990 in Asian trade

    USD/JPY: the pair traded around Y123.25-45

    GBP/USD: the pair rose to $1.5650

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    06:45 France CPI, m/m June 0.2%

    06:45 France CPI, y/y June 0.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y May 2.7% 3.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y May 2.7% 3%

    08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate May 5.5% 5.5%

    08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count June -6.5 -8.8

    09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) July 0.1

    12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) May -2.1% 0.4%

    12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m June 0.5% 0.2%

    12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y June -1.1% -0.9%

    12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m June 0.1% 0.1%

    12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y June 0.6% 0.7%

    12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index July -1.98 3

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) June -0.2% 0.2%

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production YoY June 1.4%

    13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization June 78.1% 78.1%

    14:00 Canada Bank of Canada Rate 0.75% 0.75%

    14:00 Canada Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report

    14:00 Canada BOC Rate Statement

    14:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Janet Yellen Speaks

    14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories July 0.384 -2.1

    16:25 U.S. FOMC Member Mester Speaks

    18:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book

    19:00 U.S. FOMC Member Williams Speaks

    22:30 New Zealand Business NZ PMI June 51.5

    22:45 New Zealand CPI, q/q Quarter II -0.3% 0.6%

    22:45 New Zealand CPI, y/y Quarter II 0.1% 0.4%

  • 08:24

    Options levels on wednesday, July 15, 2015:

    EUR / USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.1147 (872)

    $1.1107 (450)

    $1.1078 (102)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.1001

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.0954 (2572)

    $1.0919 (3130)

    $1.0871 (4400)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 7 is 46290 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1400 (3426);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 7 is 59751 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0800 (6264);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.29 versus 1.28 from the previous trading day according to data from July, 14


    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.5903 (1164)

    $1.5806 (1715)

    $1.5709 (949)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.5652

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.5588 (1669)

    $1.5492 (1030)

    $1.5395 (1148)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 7 is 20025 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5750 (2457);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 7 is 21874 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5250 (2061);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.09 versus 1.09 from the previous trading day according to data from July, 14


    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 05:24

    Japan: BoJ Interest Rate Decision, 0%

  • 04:01

    China: Industrial Production y/y, May 6.8% (forecast 6.0%)

  • 04:01

    China: Fixed Asset Investment, May 11.4% (forecast 11.2%)

  • 04:00

    China: GDP y/y, Quarter II 7.0% (forecast 6.9%)

  • 04:00

    China: Retail Sales y/y, May 10.6% (forecast 10.2%)

  • 03:31

    Australia: New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) , June 3.8%

  • 03:31

    Australia: New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) , June 4.0%

  • 02:29

    Australia: Westpac Consumer Confidence, July -6.8%

  • 00:29

    Currencies. Daily history for Jul 14’2015:

    (pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,1007 +0,02%

    GBP/USD $1,5631 +0,92%

    USD/CHF Chf0,945 -0,49%

    USD/JPY Y123,37 -0,06%

    EUR/JPY Y135,80 -0,04%

    GBP/JPY Y192,83 +0,86%

    AUD/USD $0,7449 +0,64%

    NZD/USD $0,6707 +0,28%

    USD/CAD C$1,2731 -0,05%

Enfoque del mercado
Cuotas
Símbolo Bid Ask Tiempo
AUDUSD
EURUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
XAGEUR
XAGUSD
XAUUSD
Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer
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