Noticias del mercado

20 noviembre 2015
  • 17:35

    St. Louis Fed President James Bullard: the U.S. inflation will reach 2% target by the end of 2016

    St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said in a speech on Friday that the U.S. inflation will reach 2% target by the end of 2016.

    "Let's suppose that oil prices stabilize at the current level and stay around that level for several years. Let's further suppose that all other prices continue to increase at the same pace as they have during 2015 so far. Under such a scenario, the headline consumer price index inflation rate at the end of 2016 would be more than 2%," he said.

    Bullard also said that the probability of a hard landing in China is low now, and that the U.S. labour market "largely normalized".

  • 16:47

    China’s leading economic index climbs 0.6% in October

    The Conference Board released its leading economic index (LEI) for China on Thursday. The leading economic index climb 0.6% in October, after a 1.6% gain in September.

    The index was mainly driven by total loans issued by financial institutions.

    The coincident economic index rose 2.0% in October, after a 1.5% drop in September.

  • 16:32

    Eurozone’s preliminary consumer confidence index increases to -6.0 in November

    The European Commission released its preliminary consumer confidence figures for the Eurozone on Friday. Eurozone's preliminary consumer confidence index increased to -6.0 in November from -7.6 in October, beating expectations for a rise to -7.5%. October's figure was revised up from -7.7%.

    European Union's consumer confidence index climbed by 1.3 points to -4.4 in November.

  • 16:12

    Greece’s current account surplus falls to €0.84 billion in September

    The Bank of Greece released its current account data on Friday. Greece's current account surplus fell to €0.84 billion in September from €2.09 billion in September last year.

    The Greek deficit on trade in goods declined to €1.4 billion in September from €2.1 billion in September last year, while the services surplus fell to €2.3 billion from €2.8 billion.

    The surplus on primary income increased to €55.8 million in September from €2.8 million in September last year, while the deficit on secondary income declined to €37.1 million from €50.0 million last year.

    The capital account surplus rose to €61.2 in September from 56.7 last year.

  • 16:02

    Eurozone: Consumer Confidence, November -6 (forecast -7.5)

  • 14:52

    Canadian retail sales slide by 0.5% in September

    Statistics Canada released retail sales data on Friday. Canadian retail sales plunged by 0.5% in September, missing expectations for a 0.2% gain, after a 0.5% increase in August.

    The decline was mainly driven by lower sales at gasoline stations. Sales at gasoline stations declined 3.7% in September.

    Motor vehicle and parts sales decreased 0.5% in September, while sales at furniture and home furnishings stores were down 1.2%.

    Sales at food and beverage stores were up 0.1% in September.

    Sales fell in 8 of 11 subsectors.

    Canadian retail sales excluding automobiles dropped 0.5% in September, missing expectations for a 0.2% decline, after a flat reading in August.

  • 14:50

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    USD/JPY 123.00 (USD 436m) 123.50 (485m) 124.00 (1.67bln)

    EUR/USD 1.0600 (EUR 2.3bln) 1.0700 (1.3bln) 1.0735 (1.4bln) 1.0750 (421m) 1.0765 (1.1bln) 1.0815 (1.6bln)

    AUD/USD 0.7050 (AUD 530m) 0.7075 (202m) 0.7150 (260m)

    NZD/USD 0.6400 (NZD 695m)

  • 14:42

    Canadian consumer price inflation rises 0.1% in October

    Statistics Canada released consumer price inflation data on Friday. Canadian consumer price inflation rose 0.1% in October, in line with expectations, after a 0.2% decline in September.

    The monthly increase was mainly driven by a rise in clothing and footwear prices, which climbed 1.0% in October.

    On a yearly basis, the consumer price index remained unchanged at 1.0% in October, in line with expectations.

    The consumer price index was partly driven by higher food prices. Food prices climbed 4.1% year-on-year in October, while transportation prices decreased 3.2%.

    The index for recreation, education and reading climbed by 1.9% in October from the same month a year earlier, the shelter index gained 1.1%, while gasoline prices dropped 17.1%.

    The Canadian core consumer price index, which excludes some volatile goods, rose 0.3% in October, after a 0.2% gain in September.

    On a yearly basis, core consumer price index in Canada remained unchanged at 2.1% in October, in beating expectations for a fall to 2.0%.

    The Bank of Canada's inflation target is 2.0%.

  • 14:30

    Canada: Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y, October 2.1% (forecast 2%)

  • 14:30

    Canada: Retail Sales, m/m, September -0.5% (forecast 0.2%)

  • 14:30

    Canada: Consumer price index, y/y, October 1.0% (forecast 1%)

  • 14:30

    Canada: Consumer Price Index m / m, October 0.1% (forecast 0.1%)

  • 14:30

    Canada: Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m, September -0.5% (forecast -0.2%)

  • 14:30

    Canada: Retail Sales YoY, September 1.2%

  • 14:12

    Foreign exchange market. European session: the euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar on comments by the European Central Bank President Mario Draghi

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    (Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

    05:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report

    07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) October -2.1% -2% -2.3%

    07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) October -0.4% -0.2% -0.4%

    08:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

    09:30 United Kingdom PSNB, bln October 8.33 Revised From 8.63 5.5 7.47

    10:15 Eurozone ECB's Jens Weidmann Speaks

    The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies in the absence of any major economic reports from the U.S.

    The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar on comments by the European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi said in a speech in Frankfurt on Friday that the central bank is ready to use "all the instruments" to boost inflation in the Eurozone.

    The ECB president pointed out that there are downside risks to the central bank's scenario.

    "The downside risks to our baseline scenario for the euro area economy have increased in recent months due to the deterioration of the external environment. The outlook for global demand, especially in emerging markets, has notably worsened, while uncertainty in financial markets has increased," he noted.

    The ECB Governing Council member Jens Weidmann said in a speech in Frankfurt on Friday that the low inflation in the Eurozone was driven by lower energy prices. He pointed out that the ultra-loose monetary policy could lead to risks.

    "We need to be aware that the longer we stay in ultra-loose monetary policy mode, the less effective this policy will become and the more the attendant risks and side-effects will come into play," Weidmann said.

    The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar. The Office for National Statistics released public sector net borrowing for the U.K. on Tuesday. The public sector net borrowing in the U.K. fell to £7.47 billion in October from £8.33 billion in September. September's figure was revised down from £8.63 billion.

    Analysts had expected a decrease to £5.5 billion.

    Public sector net borrowing excluding public sector banks increased to £8.2 billion in October from £7.1 billion in October 2014.

    The Canadian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar ahead of the release of the economic data from Canada. The consumer price index in Canada is expected to remain unchanged at 1.0% year-on-year in October.

    The core consumer price index in Canada is expected to decline to 2.0% year-on-year in October from 2.1% in September.

    Canadian retail sales are expected to increase 0.2% in September, after a 0.5% rise in August.

    EUR/USD: the currency pair decreased to $1.0663

    GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.5233

    USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    13:30 Canada Retail Sales, m/m September 0.5% 0.2%

    13:30 Canada Retail Sales YoY September 2.8%

    13:30 Canada Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m September 0% -0.2%

    13:30 Canada Consumer Price Index m / m October -0.2% 0.1%

    13:30 Canada Consumer price index, y/y October 1.0% 1%

    13:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y October 2.1% 2%

    15:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Preliminary) November -7.7 -7.5

    16:15 U.S. FOMC Member Dudley Speak

  • 13:50

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers 1.0700 1.0720-25 1.0745 1.0760 1.0780-85 1.0800 1.0830 1.08500

    Bids 1.0680-85 1.0665 1.0650 1.0630-35 1.0620 1.0600 1.0580 1.0550 1.0525-30 1.0500


    GBP/USD

    Offers 1.5300 1.5325-30 1.5350 1.5380 1.5400 1.5420 1.5435 1.5450

    Bids 1.5250-60 1.5220-25 1.5200 1.5185 1.5150 1.5125-30 1.5100


    EUR/GBP

    Offers 0.7020 0.7035 0.7050 0.7075-80 0.7100 0.7125-30 0.7150

    Bids 0.7000 0.6980-85 0.6965 0.6950 0.6930 0.6900 0.6885 0.6865 0.6850


    EUR/JPY

    Offers 131.85 132.00 132.40 132.60 132.75-80 133.00

    Bids 131.50 131.20 131.00 130.80 130.50 130.25-30 130.00


    USD/JPY

    Offers 122.85-90 123.00 123.20 123.35 123.50 123.65.70 123.85 124.00

    Bids 122.65-70 122.50 122.25 122.00 121.80 121.50-60


    AUD/USD

    Offers 0.7220 0.7250 0.7275-80 0.7300 0.7325-30 0.7350

    Bids 0.7185-90 0.7165 0.7150 0.7120-25 0.7100 0.7085 0.7065 0.7050

  • 12:01

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    USD/JPY 123.00 (USD 436m) 123.50 (485m) 124.00 (1.67bln)

    EUR/USD 1.0600 (EUR 2.3bln) 1.0700 (1.3bln) 1.0735 (1.4bln) 1.0750 (421m) 1.0765 (1.1bln) 1.0815 (1.6bln)

    AUD/USD 0.7050 (AUD 530m) 0.7075 (202m) 0.7150 (260m)

    NZD/USD 0.6400 (NZD 695m)

  • 11:58

    European Central Bank Governing Council member Jens Weidmann: the low inflation in the Eurozone was driven by lower energy prices

    The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Jens Weidmann said in a speech in Frankfurt on Friday that the low inflation in the Eurozone was driven by lower energy prices.

    "At the moment, the sharp fall in energy prices is what is mainly driving the low rates. This drop has pushed down headline inflation by about one percentage point. Correspondingly, the core inflation rate stands at 1% and should gradually increase towards our definition of price stability, which is - let me remind you - a medium-term concept," he said.

    "Crucially, the decline in oil prices is more of an economic stimulus for the euro area than a harbinger of deflation. Lower oil prices reduce energy bills for both households and firms," Weidmann added.

    He pointed out that the ultra-loose monetary policy could lead to risks.

    "We need to be aware that the longer we stay in ultra-loose monetary policy mode, the less effective this policy will become and the more the attendant risks and side-effects will come into play," Weidmann said.

  • 11:38

    European Central Bank President Mario Draghi: the central bank is ready to use “all the instruments” to boost inflation in the Eurozone

    The European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi said in a speech in Frankfurt on Friday that the central bank is ready to use "all the instruments" to boost inflation in the Eurozone.

    "If we conclude that the balance of risks to our medium-term price stability objective is skewed to the downside, we will act by using all the instruments available within our mandate," he said.

    "If we decide that the current trajectory of our policy is not sufficient to achieve our objective, we will do what we must to raise inflation as quickly as possible," Draghi added.

    The ECB president pointed out that there are downside risks to the central bank's scenario.

    "The downside risks to our baseline scenario for the euro area economy have increased in recent months due to the deterioration of the external environment. The outlook for global demand, especially in emerging markets, has notably worsened, while uncertainty in financial markets has increased," he noted.

  • 11:29

    Public sector net borrowing in the U.K. declines to £7.47 billion in October

    The Office for National Statistics released public sector net borrowing for the U.K. on Tuesday. The public sector net borrowing in the U.K. fell to £7.47 billion in October from £8.33 billion in September. September's figure was revised down from £8.63 billion.

    Analysts had expected a decrease to £5.5 billion.

    Public sector net borrowing excluding public sector banks increased to £8.2 billion in October from £7.1 billion in October 2014.

  • 11:17

    German producer prices drop 0.4% in October

    Destatis released its producer price index (PPI) for Germany on Friday. German PPI producer prices declined 0.4% in October, missing expectations for a 0.2% fall, after a 0.4% drop in September.

    On a yearly basis, German PPI dropped 2.3% in October, missing expectations for a 2.0% decrease, after a 2.1% fall in September.

    PPI excluding energy sector fell by 0.7% year-on-year in October.

    Energy prices were down 6.5% year-on-year in October.

    Consumer non-durable goods prices fell 0.5% year-on-year in October, intermediate goods sector prices decreased by 1.9%, while capital goods prices increased 0.6% and durable consumer goods sector prices rose 1.3%.

  • 11:02

    Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer: some central bank could raise its interest rates in the near future

    The Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said on Thursday that some central bank could raise its interest rates in the near future.

    "In the relatively near future probably some major central banks will begin gradually moving away from near-zero interest rates," he said.

    Fischer also said that the Fed has done everything to prepare markets for the possible interest rate hike.

    "While we continue to scrutinize incoming data, and no final decisions have been made, we have done everything we can to avoid surprising the markets and governments when we move," the Fed vice president noted.

  • 10:49

    Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart: the pace of interest rate hikes will be slow once the Fed starts raising its interest rate

    Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said on Thursday that the pace of interest rate hikes will be slow once the Fed starts raising its interest rate.

    "The pace of increases may be somewhat slow and possibly more halting than historic episodes of rising rates. Moreover, to the extent the evolving economic picture allows a process leading to a "resting place" (a neutral or equilibrium rate), that point might be lower than in the past, as implied by a somewhat lower trend rate of economic growth," he said.

    Lockhart noted that the Fed should raise its interest rate soon.

    "I'm comfortable with moving off zero soon, conditioned on no marked deterioration in economic conditions. Given my reading of current conditions and my outlook views, I believe it will soon be appropriate to begin a new policy phase," Atlanta Fed president said.

  • 10:32

    United Kingdom: PSNB, bln, October -7.47 (forecast -5.5)

  • 10:21

    Bank of Japan‘s monthly report: the slowdown in emerging economies weighed on exports

    The Bank of Japan (BoJ) released its monthly report on Friday. The central bank said that Japan's economy continued to recover moderately. The slowdown in emerging economies weighed on exports, the central bank added.

    "Exports are expected to remain more or less flat for the time being, but after that, they are likely to increase moderately, as emerging economies move out of their deceleration phase," the BoJ noted.

    Private consumption is expected to remain resilient, according to the BoJ.

    Producer price inflation declined due to lower commodity prices, the central bank said.

  • 08:30

    Options levels on friday, November 20, 2015:

    EUR / USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.0861 (2019)

    $1.0798 (946)

    $1.0754 (200)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.0706

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.0647 (5393)

    $1.0599 (7461)

    $1.0570 (3495)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 4 is 90984 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (5553);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 4 is 115837 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0500 (8190);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.27 versus 1.27 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 19


    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.5502 (1002)

    $1.5404 (1873)

    $1.5308 (2632)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.5276

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.5195 (2213)

    $1.5098 (2597)

    $1.4999 (2897)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 4 is 28403 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5600 (3583);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 4 is 32435 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5050 (4995);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.14 versus 1.15 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 19


    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 08:01

    Germany: Producer Price Index (MoM), October -0.4% (forecast -0.2%)

  • 08:01

    Germany: Producer Price Index (YoY), October -2.3% (forecast -2%)

  • 07:55

    Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the euro little changed

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual

    05:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report

    The euro was quite stable ahead of today's speech by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi. Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann is also scheduled to speak today. Yesterday Greece's Parliament voted in favor of economic reforms demanded by the country's international lenders.

    On Thursday Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said in prepared remarks that volatility in financial markets has declined and he would be comfortable if the central bank raised its benchmark interest rate "soon".

    The U.S. dollar fell against the yen amid Bank of Japan's decision not leave its monetary policy unchanged. The decision was made at the bank's meeting yesterday. The BOJ reiterated that inflation expectations were growing on the whole. BOJ officials used to say that declines in oil prices are in the way of inflation growth. However the tone of the bank's statement signaled that risks for the 2% inflation target had grown.

    EUR/USD: the pair fell to $1.0710 in Asian trade

    USD/JPY: the pair traded within Y122.85-05

    GBP/USD: the pair traded within $1.5270-00

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) October -2.1% -2%

    07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) October -0.4% -0.2%

    08:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

    09:30 United Kingdom PSNB, bln October -8.63 -5.5

    13:30 Canada Retail Sales, m/m September 0.5% 0.2%

    13:30 Canada Retail Sales YoY September 2.8%

    13:30 Canada Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m September 0% -0.2%

    13:30 Canada Consumer Price Index m / m October -0.2% 0.1%

    13:30 Canada Consumer price index, y/y October 1.0% 1%

    13:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y October 2.1% 2%

    15:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Preliminary) November -7.7 -7.5

    16:15 U.S. FOMC Member Dudley Speak

  • 01:01

    Currencies. Daily history for Nov 19’2015:

    (pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,0733 +0,69%

    GBP/USD $1,5289 +0,36%

    USD/CHF Chf1,0126 -0,70%

    USD/JPY Y122,85 -0,63%

    EUR/JPY Y131,87 +0,08%

    GBP/JPY Y187,84 -0,27%

    AUD/USD $0,7192 +1,15%

    NZD/USD $0,6554 +1,28%

    USD/CAD C$1,3282 -0,14%

  • 00:02

    Schedule for today,Friday, Nov 20’2015:

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    05:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report

    07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) October -2.1% -2%

    07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) October -0.4% -0.2%

    08:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

    09:30 United Kingdom PSNB, bln October -8.63

    13:30 Canada Retail Sales, m/m September 0.5% 0.2%

    13:30 Canada Retail Sales YoY September 2.8%

    13:30 Canada Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m September 0% -0.2%

    13:30 Canada Consumer Price Index m / m October -0.2% 0.1%

    13:30 Canada Consumer price index, y/y October 1.0% 1%

    13:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y October 2.1% 2%

    15:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Preliminary) November -7.7 -7.5

    16:15 U.S. FOMC Member Dudley Speak

Enfoque del mercado
Cuotas
Símbolo Bid Ask Tiempo
AUDUSD
EURUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
XAGEUR
XAGUSD
XAUUSD
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