U.S. stocks rose, led by gains in energy shares to extend a three-week rally before Friday's payrolls report that may provide a clearer picture on the strength of the economy and path for interest rates.
Energy producers in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index erased 2016 declines as a rally in the group helped equities shake off earlier weakness for a second day. Banks also gained momentum in the afternoon, rising for the fifth time in six days. Health-care and technology shares struggled, with Microsoft Corp. losing 1.1 percent. Kroger Co. sank 7 percent after the grocer forecast slower growth this year.
The S&P 500 rose 0.4 percent to 1,993.39 at 4 p.m. in New York, wiping out a drop of as much as 0.5 percent to hold at an eight-week high.
Investors are watching economic reports as central-bank meetings approach, with the government's monthly nonfarm payroll figures looming large tomorrow. Data today showed growth in service industries slowed for a fourth straight month in February. A separate gauge showed factory orders in January rose less than expected, while the number of claims for unemployment benefits remained consistent with a steady labor market.
With improvement in recent data, coupled with the rebound in equities, traders have lifted their bets on higher borrowing costs this year. While they're pricing in a less than one-in-10 chance of a rate increase at the end of the Federal Reserve's next meeting on March 16, the probability of a boost by June is 36 percent, up from 24 percent a week ago. Odds for a December move stand at nearly 64 percent compared to 36 percent last week.
As the earnings season draws to a close, about three-quarters of S&P 500 companies have beaten profit projections, while less than half have topped sales forecasts. Analysts estimate earnings at S&P 500 companies fell 3.7 percent in the fourth quarter, compared with Jan. 15 predictions for a 7 percent slump.
Major U.S. stock-indexes slightly lower in late morning trading on Thursday as investors parsed a barrage of economic data and awaited the monthly jobs report. Earlier in the day, data showed weekly jobless claims rose unexpectedly, but the underlying trend continued to point to a strengthening labor market. The data comes ahead of the comprehensive labor report for February on Friday. The report is expected to show an addition of 190,000 jobs, compared with 151,000 in January.
Most of Dow stocks in negative area (22 of 30). Top looser McDonald's Corp. (MCD, -2,22%). Top gainer - Caterpillar Inc. (CAT, +2,22%).
S&P sectors mixed. Top looser - Conglomerates (-3,1%). Top gainer - Basic Materials (+0,7%).
At the moment:
Dow 16814.00 -54.00 -0.32%
S&P 500 1977.75 -5.75 -0.29%
Nasdaq 100 4303.25 -26.00 -0.60%
Oil 34.50 -0.16 -0.46%
Gold 1257.50 +15.70 +1.26%
U.S. 10yr 1.82 -0.03
Polish equity surged on Thursday. The broad market measure, the WIG Index, added 2.37%. All sectors in the WIG gained, with materials (+7.85%) outperforming.
The large-cap stocks' benchmark, the WIG30 Index, grew by 2.79%. There were only three decliners among the index components. Clothing retailer LPP (WSE: LPP) recorded the biggest decline of 0.96%. Other underperformers were IT-company ASSECO POLAND (WSE: ACP) and oil and gas producer PGNIG (WSE: PGN), dropping by 0.53% and 0.2% respectively. On the other side of the ledger, thermal coal miner BOGDANKA (WSE: LWB) topped the list of outperformers, climbing by 13.73% on the back of the announcement the company signed a PLN 760.1 mln contract for the supply of thermal coal in 2016 to ENEA (WSE: ENA). It was followed by coking coal producer JSW (WSE: JSW) and copper producer KGHM (WSE: KGH), jumping by 13.46% and 7.35% respectively on a rebound in prices of industrial metals. Other noticeable risers were gencos ENEA (WSE: ENA), PGE (WSE: PGE), TAURON PE (WSE: TPE) and ENERGA (WSE: ENG), FMCG-wholesaler EUROCASH (WSE: EUR) and oil refiner PKN ORLEN (WSE: PKN), gaining by 4.05%-5.77%.
Stock indices closed lower as markets participants are awaiting the release of the U.S. labour market tomorrow. Analysts expect that U.S. unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.9% in February. The U.S. economy is expected to add 190,000 jobs in February, after adding 151,000 jobs in January.
Market participants also eyed the mixed economic data from the Eurozone. Eurostat released its retail sales data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Retail sales in the Eurozone increased 0.4% in January, beating expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a 0.6% gain in December. December's figure was revised up from a 0.3% increase.
Non-food sales increased 0.7% in January, food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 0.5%, while automotive fuel sales were up 0.1%.
On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone climbed 2.0% in January, beating forecasts of a 1.3% gain, after a 2.1% increase in December. December's figure was revised up from a 1.4% gain.
Non-food sales gained 3.0% year-on-year in January, gasoline sales increased 0.3%, while food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 1.4%.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the Eurozone on Thursday. Eurozone's final services PMI declined to 53.3 in February from 53.6 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 53.0. It was the lowest level since January 2015.
The index was mainly driven by a weaker rate of improvement in new business, while job creation also slowed.
Eurozone's final composite output index fell to 53.0 in February from 53.6 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 52.7.
"The survey data raise the prospect of economic growth deteriorating further from the already meagre pace seen late last year, when GDP rose only 0.3%," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Germany's final services PMI rose to 55.3 in February from 55.0 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 55.1. The index was mainly driven by a faster growth in new orders.
France's final services PMI slid to 49.2 in February from 50.3 in January, down from the preliminary reading of 49.8. It was the lowest level since November 2014. The index was driven by declines in new business and backlogs of work.
Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's services PMI for the U.K. dropped to 52.7 in February from 55.6 in January, missing expectations for a fall to 55.1. It was the lowest level since March 2013.
The decrease was driven by a slower growth in new business and employment.
"The slowdown in February leaves the PMI surveys suggesting that economic growth could weaken to 0.3% in the first quarter, but there are downside risks to even this modest expansion," the Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,130.46 -16.60 -0.27 %
DAX 9,751.92 -24.70 -0.25 %
CAC 40 4,416.08 -8.81 -0.20 %
Dallas Federal Reserve President Robert Kaplan said on Thursday on the Fed should be patient in raising its interest rates further.
"While I believe that excessive accommodation carries a cost in terms of distortions and imbalances in hiring, asset allocation and investment decisions, I also believe that, at this juncture, the Fed needs to show patience in decisions to remove accommodation," he said.
"I believe that the Fed should avoid having a predetermined mindset regarding the path of policy," Kaplan added.
Dallas Federal Reserve president expects the U.S. economy to be resilient in 2016.
He pointed out that he did not expect the oil market to balance until mid-2017.
Kaplan is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.
Oil prices rose on hopes that top oil producers could cooperate to stabilise the oil market. Nigeria's petroleum minister Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu said on Thursday that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC members will meet in Moscow on March 20.
"Both the Saudis and the Russians, everybody is coming back to the table," Kachikwu said.
The Russian Energy Ministry Aleksandr Novak said that oil producers are ready to discuss options for the stabilisation of the oil market.
WTI crude oil for April delivery increased to $35.32 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent crude oil for April rose to $37.18 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
The Australian Industry Group (AiG) released its services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Australia on the late Wednesday evening. The index rose to 51.8 in February from 48.4 in January.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction in the sector.
Four of the five activity sub-indexes were above 50 points in February.
Main contributor to the rise were sales and new orders sub-indexes.
Gold price rose on a weaker the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar fell against other currencies on the weak data from the U.S. services sector. The Institute for Supply Management released its non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index for the U.S. on Thursday. The index fell to 53.4 in February from 53.5 in January, beating expectations for a decrease to 53.2.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.S. on Thursday. Final U.S. services purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 49.7 in February from 53.2 in January, down from the preliminary reading of 49.8. It was the lowest level since October 2013. The index was driven by a decline in new business.
The world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust, climbed to 25.35 million ounces on Wednesday, the highest level since September 2014.
March futures for gold on the COMEX today rose to 1256.90 dollars per ounce.
Markit Economics released services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Spain on Thursday. Spain's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 54.1 in February from 54.6 in January. It was the lowest level since November 2014.
The decline was driven by a slower growth in new business. Political uncertainty also weighed on the index.
"While the latest set of PMI data for Spanish services companies paint a broadly positive picture of the state of the sector, there are some headwinds which appear to be limiting the scope for growth," Senior Economist at Markit Andrew Harker said.
Markit/ADACI's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Italy increased to 53.8 in February from 53.6 in January.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector.
The index was driven by a faster growth in new business.
"The service sector maintained growth momentum into February, with businesses recording higher levels of activity as well as a faster rise in incoming new work," an economist at Markit Phil Smith said.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.S. on Thursday. Final U.S. services purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 49.7 in February from 53.2 in January, down from the preliminary reading of 49.8. It was the lowest level since October 2013.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector, a reading below 50 indicates contraction of activity.
The index was driven by a decline in new business.
"The Markit PMIs are signalling a stagnation of the economy in February, suggesting growth has deteriorated further since late last year," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
The U.S. Commerce Department released factory orders data on Thursday. Factory orders in the U.S. rose 1.6% in January, missing expectations for a 2.0% gain, after a 2.9% decline in December. It was the biggest rise since June 2015.
The increase was mainly driven by a rise in orders for transportation equipment. Orders for transportation equipment climbed 11.4% in January, while orders for automobiles and parts climbed 2.9%.
Durable goods orders were jumped 4.7% in January.
Factory orders excluding transportation declined 0.2% in January, after a 0.9% drop in December. December's figure was revised down from a 0.8% fall.
The Institute for Supply Management released its non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index for the U.S. on Thursday. The index fell to 53.4 in February from 53.5 in January, beating expectations for a decrease to 53.2.
A reading above 50 indicates a growth in the service sector.
The ISM's new orders index slid to 55.5 in February from 56.5 in January.
The business activity/production index increased to 57.8 in February from 53.9 in January.
The ISM's employment index was down to 49.7 in February from 52.1 in January.
The prices index declined to 45.5 in February from 46.4 in January.
U.S. stock-index futures were little changed.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 16,960.16 +213.61 +1.28%
Hang Seng 19,941.76 -61.73 -0.31%
Shanghai Composite 2,859.92 +10.24 +0.36%
FTSE 6,134.72 -12.34 -0.20%
CAC 4,408.48 -16.41 -0.37%
DAX 9,758.26 -18.36 -0.19 %
Crude oil $34.41 (-0.72%)
Gold $1243.20 (+0.11%)
The U.S. Labor Department released its final non-farm productivity figures on Thursday. Final productivity in the U.S. non-farm businesses declined at a 2.2% annual rate in the fourth quarter, up from the preliminary reading of a 3.0% drop, after a 2.1% increase in the third quarter. It was the biggest drop since the first quarter of 2014.
The upward revision was driven by higher nonfarm business output, which rose 1.0% in the fourth quarter, up from the preliminary reading of a 0.1% gain.
Hours worked increased by 3.2% in the fourth quarter, down from the preliminary reading of a 3.3% rise.
In 2015 as whole, productivity rose 0.7%, the weakest rise since 2013, up from the preliminary reading of a 0.6% gain, after a 0.7% increase in 2014.
Final unit labour costs climbed 3.3% in the fourth quarter, up from the preliminary reading of a 4.5% increase, after a 1.9 gain in the third quarter.
In 2015 as whole, labour costs climbed 2.1, down from the preliminary reading of a 2.4% rise, after a 2.0% gain.
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
Intel Corp | INTC | 31.22 | 2.23% | 107.1K |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 98.07 | 1.10% | 8.0K |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 18.60 | 0.32% | 4.5K |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 33.00 | 0.27% | 3.6K |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 59.70 | 0.24% | 2.9K |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 13.25 | 0.23% | 1.5K |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 13.60 | 0.15% | 16.2K |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 136.40 | 0.07% | 0.9K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 26.90 | 0.00% | 5.6K |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 188.34 | 0.00% | 4.1K |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 109.94 | -0.01% | 24.2K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 52.87 | -0.15% | 0.5K |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 66.11 | -0.15% | 1.2K |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 100.60 | -0.15% | 45.4K |
General Electric Co | GE | 30.13 | -0.17% | 1.0K |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 30.10 | -0.17% | 2.7K |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 82.55 | -0.18% | 2.1K |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 61.39 | -0.18% | 2.8K |
AT&T Inc | T | 37.61 | -0.21% | 1.6K |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 52.01 | -0.21% | 1.1K |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 29.91 | -0.23% | 0.5K |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 42.12 | -0.24% | 2.3K |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 59.55 | -0.35% | 0.2K |
United Technologies Corp | UTX | 95.20 | -0.35% | 3.7M |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 578.00 | -0.38% | 2.1K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 86.75 | -0.45% | 13.4K |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 69.00 | -0.55% | 0.2K |
Boeing Co | BA | 118.50 | -0.96% | 3.2K |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 14.00 | -1.27% | 9.4K |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 9.43 | -1.98% | 75.9K |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 8.70 | -3.01% | 168.0K |
USDJPY: 112.75 (USD 1.3bln) 113.50 (584m) 114.00-05 (456m) 115.00 (780m)
EURUSD: 1.0700 (EUR 342m) 1.0800 (379m) 1.0945-50 (556m) 1.0975 (222m) 1.1000 (734m) 1.1100 (1.8bln)
GBPUSD: 1.3975 (GBP 444m)
EURGBP: 0.7500-05 (EUR 307m) 0.7545 (317m) 0.7600 (360m)
USDCHF: 0.9900 (USD 190m) 0.9935 (220m)
AUDUSD: 0.6900 (AUD 1.76bln) 0.7170-75 (396m)
USDCAD 1.3500 (USD 410m) 1.3600 (2.2bln) 1.3865 (400m)
NZDUSD 0.6650-55 (314m) 0.6700 (NZD 1.35bln)
AUDNZD 1.0710 (AUD 275m) 1.0900 (203m)
AUDJPY: 85.10 (AUD 411m)
Upgrades:
Walt Disney (DIS) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray; target raised to $120 from $105
Intel (INTC) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird; target raised to $38
Downgrades:
Alcoa (AA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill
Boeing (BA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord Genuity
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS
Other:
Alcoa (AA) initiated with a Hold at Berenberg; target $9
The U.S. Labor Department released its jobless claims figures on Thursday. The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending February 27 in the U.S. increased by 6,000 to 278,000 from 272,000 in the previous week.
Analysts had expected jobless claims to decline to 271,000.
Jobless claims remained below 300,000 the 52nd straight week. This threshold is associated with the strengthening of the labour market.
Continuing jobless claims climbed by 3,000 to 2,257,000 in the week ended February 20.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
00:30 Australia Trade Balance January -3.52 Revised From -3.535 -3.1 -2.94
01:45 China Markit/Caixin Services PMI February 52.4 52.6 51.2
07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index February 0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y February 4.4% 5% 4.8%
08:30 United Kingdom Halifax house price index February 1.7% 0% -1.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y February 9.7% 10.4% 9.7%
08:50 France Services PMI (Finally) February 50.3 49.8 49.2
08:55 Germany Services PMI (Finally) February 55 55.1 55.3
09:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Finally) February 53.6 53 53.3
09:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services February 55.6 55.1 52.7
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) January 2.1% Revised From 1.4% 1.3% 2.0%
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) January 0.6% Revised From 0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
The U.S. dollar traded mixed to lower against the most major currencies ahead of the release of the U.S. economic data. The ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index is expected to fall to 53.2 in February from 53.5 in January.
The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. is expected to decrease by 1,000 to 271,000 last week.
Final productivity in the U.S. non-farm businesses is expected to decline at a 3.2% annual rate in the fourth quarter, after a 2.1% rise in the third quarter.
Final unit labour costs are expected to increase 4.7% in the fourth quarter, after a 1.9 gain in the third quarter.
The U.S. factory orders are expected to rise 2.0% in January, after a 2.9% drop in December.
The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the release of the mixed economic data from the Eurozone. Eurostat released its retail sales data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Retail sales in the Eurozone increased 0.4% in January, beating expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a 0.6% gain in December. December's figure was revised up from a 0.3% increase.
Non-food sales increased 0.7% in January, food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 0.5%, while automotive fuel sales were up 0.1%.
On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone climbed 2.0% in January, beating forecasts of a 1.3% gain, after a 2.1% increase in December. December's figure was revised up from a 1.4% gain.
Non-food sales gained 3.0% year-on-year in January, gasoline sales increased 0.3%, while food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 1.4%.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the Eurozone on Thursday. Eurozone's final services PMI declined to 53.3 in February from 53.6 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 53.0. It was the lowest level since January 2015.
The index was mainly driven by a weaker rate of improvement in new business, while job creation also slowed.
Eurozone's final composite output index fell to 53.0 in February from 53.6 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 52.7.
"The survey data raise the prospect of economic growth deteriorating further from the already meagre pace seen late last year, when GDP rose only 0.3%," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Germany's final services PMI rose to 55.3 in February from 55.0 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 55.1. The index was mainly driven by a faster growth in new orders.
France's final services PMI slid to 49.2 in February from 50.3 in January, down from the preliminary reading of 49.8. It was the lowest level since November 2014. The index was driven by declines in new business and backlogs of work.
The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the release of the weaker-than-expected U.K. services PMI data. Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's services PMI for the U.K. dropped to 52.7 in February from 55.6 in January, missing expectations for a fall to 55.1. It was the lowest level since March 2013.
The decrease was driven by a slower growth in new business and employment.
"The slowdown in February leaves the PMI surveys suggesting that economic growth could weaken to 0.3% in the first quarter, but there are downside risks to even this modest expansion," the Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
EUR/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.0910
GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
USD/JPY: the currency pair fell to Y113.80
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
13:30 U.S. Unit Labor Costs, q/q (Finally) Quarter IV 1.9% 4.7%
13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims February 272 271
13:30 U.S. Nonfarm Productivity, q/q (Finally) Quarter IV 2.1% -3.2%
14:45 U.S. Services PMI (Finally) February 53.2 49.8
15:00 U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing February 53.5 53.2
15:00 U.S. Factory Orders January -2.9% 2%
EUR/USD
Offers 1.0875-80.0900 1.0920 1.0935 1.0950 1.0975-80 1.1000 1.1025-30.1050
Bids 1.0845-50 1.0830 1.0800 1.0785 1.0750 1.0730 1.0700
GBP/USD
Offers 1.4100-05 1.4120 1.4135 1.4150 1.4180 1.4200
Bids 1.4070 1.4045-50 1.4020 1.4000 1.3985 1.3945-50 1.3920 1.3900
EUR/JPY
Offers 124.30 124.50 124.80 125.00 125.30 125.50 125.75 126.00
Bids 123.60 123.20 123.00 122.50 122.30 122.00
EUR/GBP
Offers 0.7730 0.7750 0.7775-80 0.7800 0.7820-25 0.7850
Bids 0.7700 0.7675 0.7650 0.7625-30 0.7600
USD/JPY
Offers 114.25-30 114.50 114.75-80 115.00 115.20 115.35 115.50
Bids 113.80 113.50 113.20 113.00 112.70-75 112.50
AUD/USD
Offers 0.7320 0.7350 0.7375-80 0.7400 0.7430 0.7450
Bids 0.7300 0.7280 0.7260 0.7220 0.7200 0.7180 0.7165 0.7150
Stock indices traded mixed on the mixed economic data from the Eurozone. Eurostat released its retail sales data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Retail sales in the Eurozone increased 0.4% in January, beating expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a 0.6% gain in December. December's figure was revised up from a 0.3% increase.
Non-food sales increased 0.7% in January, food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 0.5%, while automotive fuel sales were up 0.1%.
On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone climbed 2.0% in January, beating forecasts of a 1.3% gain, after a 2.1% increase in December. December's figure was revised up from a 1.4% gain.
Non-food sales gained 3.0% year-on-year in January, gasoline sales increased 0.3%, while food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 1.4%.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the Eurozone on Thursday. Eurozone's final services PMI declined to 53.3 in February from 53.6 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 53.0. It was the lowest level since January 2015.
The index was mainly driven by a weaker rate of improvement in new business, while job creation also slowed.
Eurozone's final composite output index fell to 53.0 in February from 53.6 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 52.7.
"The survey data raise the prospect of economic growth deteriorating further from the already meagre pace seen late last year, when GDP rose only 0.3%," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Germany's final services PMI rose to 55.3 in February from 55.0 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 55.1. The index was mainly driven by a faster growth in new orders.
France's final services PMI slid to 49.2 in February from 50.3 in January, down from the preliminary reading of 49.8. It was the lowest level since November 2014. The index was driven by declines in new business and backlogs of work.
Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's services PMI for the U.K. dropped to 52.7 in February from 55.6 in January, missing expectations for a fall to 55.1. It was the lowest level since March 2013.
The decrease was driven by a slower growth in new business and employment.
"The slowdown in February leaves the PMI surveys suggesting that economic growth could weaken to 0.3% in the first quarter, but there are downside risks to even this modest expansion," the Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,168.88 +21.82 +0.35 %
DAX 9,785.22 +8.60 +0.09 %
CAC 40 4,423.07 -1.82 -0.04 %
The Markit/Nikkei services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for Japan decreased to 51.2 in February from 52.4 in January.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector, a reading below 50 indicates contraction of activity.
The index was mainly driven by declines in new business and employment.
"Latest survey data pointed to a general slowdown of growth in the Japanese service sector. Business activity and new order growth both slowed, leading to an easing in the rate of staff hiring," economist at Markit, Amy Brownbill, said.
Halifax released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. House prices in the U.K. slid 1.4% in February, missing expectations for a flat reading, after a 1.7% gain in January.
On a yearly basis, house prices climbed 9.7% in the three months to February, missing expectations for a 10.4% rise, after a 9.7% increase in the three months to January.
"Prices continue to rise at a robust pace driven by a significant imbalance between supply and demand. Whilst this position is likely to continue over the coming months, there are some tentative signs that the supply situation may be beginning to improve," Halifax's housing economist Martin Ellis said.
The Nationwide Building Society released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. UK house prices were up 0.3% in February, missing expectations for a 0.5% rise, after a 0.3% increase in January.
On a yearly basis, house prices rose to 4.8% in February from 4.4% in January. Analysts had expected house prices to rise by 5.0%.
"Much of the increase is likely to be related to the impending increase in Stamp Duty on second homes which is due to take effect in April 2016. This is likely to have brought forward a significant number of purchases, which in turn will probably result in a fall back in approvals during the spring/summer, Nationwide's Chief Economist, Robert Gardner, said.
The French statistical office Insee released its unemployment data on Thursday. The unemployment rate in France fell to 10.3% in the fourth quarter from 10.4% in the third quarter. The third quarter's figure was revised down from 10.6%.
The number of unemployed people in metropolitan France dropped by 47,000 to 2.86 million in the fourth quarter.
The employment rate remained unchanged at 64.3% in the fourth quarter.
The number of unemployed people under 24 years fell to 24.0% in the fourth quarter from 24.3% in the third quarter.
The unemployment in France remains at high levels since French President Francois Hollande took office in 2012.
The French government is struggling to bring down unemployment.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for France on Thursday. France's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) slid to 49.2 in February from 50.3 in January, down from the preliminary reading of 49.8. It was the lowest level since November 2014.
The index was driven by declines in new business and backlogs of work.
"February's PMI data highlight a disappointing performance of France's dominant service sector, precipitated by a fall in new business intakes. A fragile and uncertain economic climate continues to cloud the outlook for the sector, with businesses and consumers reluctant to commit to new spending," Senior Economist at Markit Jack Kennedy said.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Germany on Thursday. Germany's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 55.3 in February from 55.0 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 55.1.
The index was mainly driven by a faster growth in new orders.
"Today's PMI results for Germany's service sector offer some relief and suggest that the Eurozone's largest economy is not performing as poorly as signalled by the manufacturing numbers earlier this week. However, trends in the two sectors are clearly diverging, with manufacturers recording the weakest growth of production in 14 months, while service sector firms enjoyed a further above average expansion," an economist at Markit, Oliver Kolodseike, said.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the Eurozone on Thursday. Eurozone's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) declined to 53.3 in February from 53.6 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 53.0. It was the lowest level since January 2015.
The index was mainly driven by a weaker rate of improvement in new business, while job creation also slowed.
Eurozone's final composite output index fell to 53.0 in February from 53.6 in January, up from the preliminary reading of 52.7.
"The survey data raise the prospect of economic growth deteriorating further from the already meagre pace seen late last year, when GDP rose only 0.3%," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. dropped to 52.7 in February from 55.6 in January, missing expectations for a fall to 55.1. It was the lowest level since March 2013.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector.
The decrease was driven by a slower growth in new business and employment.
"The slowdown in February leaves the PMI surveys suggesting that economic growth could weaken to 0.3% in the first quarter, but there are downside risks to even this modest expansion," the Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Eurostat released its retail sales data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Retail sales in the Eurozone increased 0.4% in January, beating expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a 0.6% gain in December. December's figure was revised up from a 0.3% increase.
Non-food sales increased 0.7% in January, food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 0.5%, while automotive fuel sales were up 0.1%.
On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone climbed 2.0% in January, beating forecasts of a 1.3% gain, after a 2.1% increase in December. December's figure was revised up from a 1.4% gain.
Non-food sales gained 3.0% year-on-year in January, gasoline sales increased 0.3%, while food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 1.4%.
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Hiroshi Nakaso said in a speech on Thursday that structural reforms were needed to boost the Japanese economy.
"I believe that monetary policy to overcome deflation and the structural reform to raise the potential growth rate must be pursued in tandem to bring Japan's economy back on track toward sustained growth," he said.
"I expect the original third arrow of Abenomics, the growth strategy, to fly higher and faster," Nakaso added.
BoJ deputy governor noted that the economy continued to expand.
"Although global financial markets have been volatile since the turn of the year, I believe there is no need to be too pessimistic as the fundamentals of Japan's economy have been firm," he said.
The Fed released its Beige Book on Wednesday. The central bank said that the U.S. economic activity expanded in most districts since the previous Beige Book report.
The Districts of Cleveland's, Atlanta's, Chicago's and Minneapolis' activity grew modestly, Richmond's and San Francisco's economy expanded moderately, Philadelphia's economy rose slightly, St. Louis' and Boston's economies were mixed, the New York District's and the Kansas City District's growth was steady, while Kansas City's activity declined modestly.
The growth outlook was generally optimistic, the Fed said.
Consumer spending rose in the majority of districts.
The manufacturing sector was flat, according to the Beige Book.
Labour markets continued to improve, while wage growth varied from flat to strong across all Districts, the Fed noted.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics released its trade data on Thursday. Australia's trade deficit narrowed to A$2.94 billion in January from A$3.52 billion in December, beating expectations for a decline to a deficit of A$3.1 billion. December's figure was revised up from a deficit of A$3.54 billion.
Exports increased by 1.0% in January, while imports fell 1.0%.
The Caixin/Markit Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for China declined to 51.2 in February from 52.4 in January, missing expectations for a rise to 52.6.
The index was driven by a softer growth in new business and employment.
"The services sector has outperformed manufacturing industries, reflecting continued improvement in the economic structure. While implementing measures to stabilize economic growth, the government needs to push forward reform on the supply side in the services sector to release its potential," Dr. He Fan, Chief Economist at Caixin Insight Group, said.
San Francisco Federal Reserve President John Williams said on Wednesday that the Fed could change the number of interest rate hikes after its monetary policy meeting in March.
"It is really just the tactics, how many rate increases this year versus next year," he added.
Williams noted that there was no deterioration in the U.S. economy.
San Francisco Federal Reserve president declined to say if he would support an interest rate hike in March.
USD/JPY: 112.00 (USD 210m) 113.25 (200m) 113.70-75 (320m) 114.00-05 (390m) 115.00 (500m)
EUR/USD: 1.0800 (EUR 225m) 1.0950 (495m) 1.1000 (335m) 1.1100 (1.1bln)
USD/CHF: 1.0150 (USD200m)
EUR/CHF: 1.0950 (EUR 180m)
AUD/USD: 0.7100 (AUD 192m) ) 0.7150-55 (431m) 0.7200-05 (300m)
USD/CAD 1.3370 (USD 380m) 1.3800 (250m)
NZD/USD 0.6510-15 (NZD 190m) 0.6630 (181m) 0.6725 (249m)
AUD/JPY: 80.40 (AUD 225m) 82.95 (202m)
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1102 (4298)
$1.1008 (6383)
$1.0930 (2932)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.0860
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.0783 (7676)
$1.0743 (3680)
$1.0697 (6421)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 4 is 74227 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1000 (6383);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 4 is 90247 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0800 (7676);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.22 versus 1.25 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 2
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.4300 (1414)
$1.4201 (516)
$1.4104 (460)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.4074
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3997 (2044)
$1.3899 (1778)
$1.3800 (1045)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 4 is 31352 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4350 (1966);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 4 is 31513 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4350 (2954);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.01 versus 1.05 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 2
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
The yen fell against all its major counterparts as improving U.S. economic data and a recovery in oil prices damped demand for safer assets. The currency approached the weakest level in two weeks against the greenback as Japanese shares advanced for a third day following gains in U.S. equities on Wednesday. The yen has still strengthened at least 2 percent versus all of its 16 major peers this year as concern China's economy is slowing roiled financial markets around the world. Demand for higher-yielding assets rose after a report on U.S. payrolls showed companies added more workers last month than economists projected. The U.S. will release monthly employment data Friday.
The Australian dollar rose for a fourth day against the greenback as oil climbed toward $35 a barrel and iron-ore futures on the Dalian Commodity Exchange traded at an eight-month high. Investors had shunned the currency as anxiety over China's ability to manage a slowing economy clouded the outlook for global growth, casting doubts on the Fed's ability to add to its December rate increase.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair was trading in the $ 1.0855-75
GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair was trading in the $ 1.4070-90
USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y114.25
Moving back to the markets we have a busy data calendar today with UK services PMI the key release this morning given that sector's large impact on GDP.
European stocks finished higher for a fifth straight session Wednesday, drawing support from financials and miners, as markets consolidated after a string of winning sessions. Investors will be watching for the European Central Bank to say next week whether it has decided to increase its stimulus efforts for the eurozone.
U.S. stocks closed higher Wednesday, building on the previous session's advance, partly thanks to a jump in the energy sector following sharp gains in crude. A somber take on the U.S. economy in the Federal Reserve's Beige Book bolstered the view that the central bank is likely to be slow to raise interest rates this year-typically a boon to stock investors hoping for lower-for-longer interest-rate policies.
Most Asian stock markets gained Thursday as rising oil prices and signs of an improving U.S. economy appeared to restore investor confidence. Chinese shares edged up ahead of the National People's Congress, an annual legislative session, which convenes Saturday.
Based on the materials MarketWatch
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 34.73 +0.20%
Gold 1,240.50 -0.10%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 16,746.55 +661.04 +4.1 %
Hang Seng 20,003.49 +596.03 +3.1 %
Shanghai Composite 2,849.1 +115.93 +4.2 %
FTSE 100 6,147.06 -5.82 -0.1 %
CAC 40 4,424.89 +18.05 +0.4 %
Xetra DAX 9,776.62 +59.46 +0.6 %
S&P 500 1,986.45 +8.10 +0.4 %
NASDAQ Composite 4,703.42 +13.83 +0.3 %
Dow Jones 16,899.32 +34.24 +0.2 %
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,0867 +0,02%
GBP/USD $1,4076 +0,89%
USD/CHF Chf0,9964 -0,09%
USD/JPY Y113,46 -0,47%
EUR/JPY Y123,30 -0,46%
GBP/JPY Y159,73 +0,44%
AUD/USD $0,7292 +1,63%
NZD/USD $0,6674 +0,69%
USD/CAD C$1,3415 +0,05%