Polish equity market retreated on Friday, with the broad market measure, the WIG Index, sliding 0.58%. Sector-wise, telecommunications names (-2.03%) recorded the biggest decline, while chemicals names (+0.48%) posted the largest rise.
The large-cap stocks fell by 0.76%, as measured by the WIG30 Index. There were only a few gainers among the Index components. GRUPA AZOTY (WSE: ATT) fared the best, posting advance of 2.43%, followed by PGNIG (WSE: PGN), CYFROWY POLSAT (WSE: CPS), LOTOS (WSE: LTS), TVN (WSE: TVN) and KGHM (WSE: KGH), adding 0.19%-0.89%. On the other side of the ledger, HANDLOWY (WSE: BHW) and ORANGE POLSKA (WSE: OPL) lagged, dropping 2.18% and 2.16% respectively. Other major decliners included LPP (WSE: LPP), ENEA (WSE: ENA), SYNTHOS (WSE: SNS), PEKAO (WSE: PEO) and PGE (WSE: PGE), losing 1.48%-1.74%.
Stock indices closed lower ahead of the Greek referendum on Sunday. Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras said on Friday that that Greece's debt was not sustainable. He also noted that the vote "No" would not mean that Greece have to leave the Eurozone.
Tsipras also said that he asked Greece's lenders to accept a 30% haircut on the country's debt. He pointed out that he also wants a 20-year "grace period" on repaying the rest debt.
Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said on Friday that a deal between Greece and its creditors will be reached regardless of the outcome of Sunday's referendum. He noted that a deal was "more or less done".
Head of the Eurogroup Jeroen Dijsselbloem Jeroen Dijsselbloem said on Friday that Greece faced a difficult future regardless of the outcome of the referendum on Sunday.
He also said that a deal between Athens and its lenders is near is "completely false". He added that no new proposals have been sent to Greece.
Meanwhile, the economic data from the Eurozone was solid. Retail sales in the Eurozone rose 0.2% in May, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.7% increase in April.
The increase was driven by higher food, drinks and tobacco and non-food sales.
On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone rose 2.4% in May, beating forecasts of a 2.3% gain, after a 2.7% increase in April. April's figure was revised up from a 2.2% rise.
Eurozone's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) increased to 54.4 in June from 53.8 in May, in line with the preliminary reading.
The increase was driven by rises in new business and employment.
Eurozone's final composite output index increased to 54.2 in June from 53.6 in May, up from the preliminary reading of 54.1. It was the highest level since May 2011.
"Despite the escalation of the Greek crisis in the second half of the month, the final PMI for June came in slightly above the 'flash' estimate, suggesting the turmoil has so far had little discernible impact on the real economy," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Germany's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 53.8 in June from 53.0 in May, missing the preliminary reading of 54.2.
The increase was driven by rises in new orders and employment.
"June's PMI results signalled a re-acceleration of service sector activity growth in Germany, after May data pointed to the weakest rise in output for five months. Encouragingly, a further increase in staff recruitment highlighted confidence about upcoming workloads despite new business rising at the slowest pace in 2015 so far," an economist at Markit, Oliver Kolodseike,said.
France's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) climbed to 54.1 in June from 52.8 in May, in line with the preliminary reading. It was the highest reading since August 2011.
The increase was driven by a rise in new business.
"Activity growth picked up pace further in June, rounding off a solid quarter of expansion in French private sector output. The PMI figures suggest that second quarter GDP will show a further robust expansion following the 0.6% rise seen in Q1," Senior Economist at Markit Jack Kennedy said.
Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. jumped to 58.5 in June from 56.5 in May, exceeding expectations for a rise to 57.4.
The increase was driven by robust expansion in new work inflows.
"While uncertainty caused by the Greek debt crisis rules out any imminent hike in interest rates, the post-election rebound in service sector business activity adds to the likelihood of the Bank of England starting to nudge rates higher later this year. The survey data are indicating an acceleration of economic growth to 0.5% in the second quarter, up from 0.4% in the first three months of the year," the Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,585.78 -44.69 -0.67 %
DAX 11,058.39 -40.96 -0.37 %
CAC 40 4,808.22 -27.34 -0.57 %
Oil prices declined on concerns over the global oil glut. The oil driller Baker Hughes reported on Thursday that the number of active U.S. rigs climbed by 12 rigs to 640 last week. It was the first rise since December 5, 2014.
Combined oil and gas rigs rose by 2 to 859.
News that Chinese regulators opened an investigation into suspected stock market manipulation also weighed on oil prices.
Traders expect the results of talks on the Iranian nuclear program. Talks will continue until July 07. The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said on Friday that Iran and the agency have worked out "some ways forward".
WTI crude oil for August delivery decreased to $55.69 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent crude oil for August fell to $60.44 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
Gold traded higher on a weaker U.S. dollar as investors remained cautious ahead of the Greek referendum on Sunday. Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras said on Friday that that Greece's debt was not sustainable. He also noted that the vote "No" would not mean that Greece have to leave the Eurozone.
Tsipras also said that he asked Greece's lenders to accept a 30% haircut on the country's debt. He pointed out that he also wants a 20-year "grace period" on repaying the rest debt.
Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said on Friday that a deal between Greece and its creditors will be reached regardless of the outcome of Sunday's referendum. He noted that a deal was "more or less done".
Head of the Eurogroup Jeroen Dijsselbloem Jeroen Dijsselbloem said on Friday that Greece faced a difficult future regardless of the outcome of the referendum on Sunday.
He also said that a deal between Athens and its lenders is near is "completely false". He added that no new proposals have been sent to Greece.
August futures for gold on the COMEX today rose to 1166.90 dollars per ounce.
The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council Member Ewald Nowotny said on Friday that the central bank will discuss emergency liquidity assistance (ELA) to Greek banks on Monday.
He ruled out the idea of a parallel currency to the euro in Greece.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Spain on Friday. Spain's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) declined to 56.1 in June from 58.4 in May.
"The June services PMI survey rounds off an encouraging second quarter of the year for Spanish service providers, with strong rises in activity and new business recorded throughout. The latest survey also continued the recent trend of quickening employment growth," Senior Economist at Markit Andrew Harker said.
Markit/ADACI's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Italy was up to 53.4 in June from 52.5 in May.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector.
The increase was driven by rises in new work and employment.
"PMI survey data show economic growth in Italy picking up in the second quarter from the 0.3% expansion seen in Q1. Importantly, the upturn in services activity has gathered pace in recent months alongside continued solid growth in manufacturing, with the latest increase in tertiary sector output the second-fastest since November 2010," an economist at Markit Phil Smith said.
Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras said on Friday that that Greece's debt was not sustainable. He also noted that the vote "No" would not mean that Greece have to leave the Eurozone.
Tsipras also said that he asked Greece's lenders to accept a 30% haircut on the country's debt. He pointed out that he also wants a 20-year "grace period" on repaying the rest debt.
Greece's debt totals €323 billion.
EUR/USD: $1.1000(E746mn), $1.1040/45(E445mn), $1.1100(E439mn), $1.1150/55(E1.1bn)
USD/JPY: Y122.15($502mn), Y122.50($845mn), Y124.00($585mn)
EUR/JPY: Y136.50(E270mn)
AUD/NZD: NZ$1.1300(A$486mn)
AUD/USD: $0.7600(A$485mn)
USD/CAD: Cad1.2470($200mn), Cad1.2500($585mn)
EUR/GBP: stg0.7000($270mn)
German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said on Friday that new debt talks with Greece after a weekend referendum would take time to reach a deal. He added that negotiations would take place "on an entirely new basis and under more difficult economic conditions".
"It will take a while," Schaeuble said.
Head of the Eurogroup Jeroen Dijsselbloem Jeroen Dijsselbloem said on Friday that Greece faced a difficult future regardless of the outcome of the referendum on Sunday.
"Any politician who says that wouldn't be necessary in the case of a 'No' vote is making a fool of his people," he said.
He also said that a deal between Athens and its lenders is near is "completely false". He added that no new proposals have been sent to Greece.
Earlier on Friday, Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said that a deal between Greece and its creditors will be reached regardless of the outcome of Sunday's referendum. He noted that a deal was "more or less done".
European Central Bank (ECB) Vice President Vitor Constancio said on Friday that he could not say whether the ECB would provide emergency liquidity assistance (ELA) to Greek banks if Greeks vote 'No' in Sunday's referendum.
"It will be a decision by the Governing Council. We will have to wait and see how the Governing Council as a whole will analyse the situation," he said.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
01:30 Australia Retail Sales, M/M May -0.1% Revised From 0.0% 0.5% 0.3%
01:45 China HSBC Services PMI June 53.5 51.8
07:50 France Services PMI (Finally) June 52.8 54.1 54.1
07:55 Germany Services PMI (Finally) June 53.0 54.2 53.8
08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Finally) June 53.8 54.4 54.4
08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services June 56.5 57.4 58.5
09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) May 2.7% Revised From 2.2% 2.3% 2.4%
09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) May 0.7% 0.1% 0.2%
12:00 U.S. Bank holiday
The U.S. dollar traded mixed to higher against the most major currencies in the absence of any major economic reports from the U.S. Markets in the U.S. are closed for a public holiday.
The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Greek referendum on Sunday. Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said on Friday that a deal between Greece and its creditors will be reached regardless of the outcome of Sunday's referendum. He noted that a deal was "more or less done".
The head of the Eurogroup Jeroen Dijsselbloem said on Thursday that if Greeks vote "No" on Sunday, it could mean that Greece have to leave the Eurozone. He added that Greeks should not expect better conditions if they vote "No".
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said in its report on Thursday that Greece requires €50 billion and easier terms on existing debt from October 2015 to end 2018 to maintain its finances sustainable, including at least €36 billion from Eurozone.
The IMF expects that Athens needs about €29 billion over the next 12 months from October 2015.
The lender downgraded Greece's economic growth forecast for this year to zero from April's estimate of 2.5%
Meanwhile, the economic data from the Eurozone was solid. Retail sales in the Eurozone rose 0.2% in May, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.7% increase in April.
The increase was driven by higher food, drinks and tobacco and non-food sales.
On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone rose 2.4% in May, beating forecasts of a 2.3% gain, after a 2.7% increase in April. April's figure was revised up from a 2.2% rise.
Eurozone's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) increased to 54.4 in June from 53.8 in May, in line with the preliminary reading.
The increase was driven by rises in new business and employment.
Eurozone's final composite output index increased to 54.2 in June from 53.6 in May, up from the preliminary reading of 54.1. It was the highest level since May 2011.
"Despite the escalation of the Greek crisis in the second half of the month, the final PMI for June came in slightly above the 'flash' estimate, suggesting the turmoil has so far had little discernible impact on the real economy," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Germany's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 53.8 in June from 53.0 in May, missing the preliminary reading of 54.2.
The increase was driven by rises in new orders and employment.
"June's PMI results signalled a re-acceleration of service sector activity growth in Germany, after May data pointed to the weakest rise in output for five months. Encouragingly, a further increase in staff recruitment highlighted confidence about upcoming workloads despite new business rising at the slowest pace in 2015 so far," an economist at Markit, Oliver Kolodseike,said.
France's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) climbed to 54.1 in June from 52.8 in May, in line with the preliminary reading. It was the highest reading since August 2011.
The increase was driven by a rise in new business.
"Activity growth picked up pace further in June, rounding off a solid quarter of expansion in French private sector output. The PMI figures suggest that second quarter GDP will show a further robust expansion following the 0.6% rise seen in Q1," Senior Economist at Markit Jack Kennedy said.
The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the release of the services PMI from the U.K. Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. jumped to 58.5 in June from 56.5 in May, exceeding expectations for a rise to 57.4.
The increase was driven by robust expansion in new work inflows.
"While uncertainty caused by the Greek debt crisis rules out any imminent hike in interest rates, the post-election rebound in service sector business activity adds to the likelihood of the Bank of England starting to nudge rates higher later this year. The survey data are indicating an acceleration of economic growth to 0.5% in the second quarter, up from 0.4% in the first three months of the year," the Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.5642
USD/JPY: the currency pair fell to Y122.86
EUR/USD
Offers 1.1120 1.1145-50 1.1180 1.1200 1.1220-25 1.1245 1.1280 1.1300 1.1330 1.1350
Bids 1.1080 1.1050 1.1030 1.1000 1.0980 1.0960 1.0930 1.0900 1.0880 1.0850 1.0825 1.0800
GBP/USD
Offers 1.5625 1.5640-50 1.5665 1.5680 1.5700 1.5725 1.5750-55 1.5780 1.5800
Bids 1.5600 1.5580 1.5565 1.5550 1.5525 1.5500 1.5485 1.5470 1.5450 1.5430 1.5400
EUR/GBP
Offers 0.7125-30 0.7150 0.7170 0.7180-85 0.7200 0.7225 0.7240
Bids 0.7100-0.7090 0.7075 0.7060 0.7040 0.7020 0.7000 0.6985 0.6965 0.6950
EUR/JPY
Offers 137.00 137.30 137.50 137.80 138.00 138.50 138.85 139.00
Bids 136.50 136.30 136.00 135.80 135.60 135.20 135.00 134.85
USD/JPY
Offers 123.20-25 123.50 123.80 124.00 124.20 124.50 124.80 125.00
Bids 122.80 122.50 122.25 122.00 121.80 121.65 121.50 121.00
AUD/USD
Offers 0.7640 0.7660 0.7680 0.7700 0.7725-30 0.7750-60 0.7785 0.780
Bids 0.7600 0.7585 0.7550 0.7530 0.7500
Stock indices traded slightly lower ahead of the Greek referendum on Sunday. Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said on Friday that a deal between Greece and its creditors will be reached regardless of the outcome of Sunday's referendum. He noted that a deal was "more or less done".
The head of the Eurogroup Jeroen Dijsselbloem said on Thursday that if Greeks vote "No" on Sunday, it could mean that Greece have to leave the Eurozone. He added that Greeks should not expect better conditions if they vote "No".
Meanwhile, the economic data from the Eurozone was solid. Retail sales in the Eurozone rose 0.2% in May, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.7% increase in April.
The increase was driven by higher food, drinks and tobacco and non-food sales.
On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone rose 2.4% in May, beating forecasts of a 2.3% gain, after a 2.7% increase in April. April's figure was revised up from a 2.2% rise.
Eurozone's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) increased to 54.4 in June from 53.8 in May, in line with the preliminary reading.
The increase was driven by rises in new business and employment.
Eurozone's final composite output index increased to 54.2 in June from 53.6 in May, up from the preliminary reading of 54.1. It was the highest level since May 2011.
"Despite the escalation of the Greek crisis in the second half of the month, the final PMI for June came in slightly above the 'flash' estimate, suggesting the turmoil has so far had little discernible impact on the real economy," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Germany's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 53.8 in June from 53.0 in May, missing the preliminary reading of 54.2.
The increase was driven by rises in new orders and employment.
"June's PMI results signalled a re-acceleration of service sector activity growth in Germany, after May data pointed to the weakest rise in output for five months. Encouragingly, a further increase in staff recruitment highlighted confidence about upcoming workloads despite new business rising at the slowest pace in 2015 so far," an economist at Markit, Oliver Kolodseike,said.
France's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) climbed to 54.1 in June from 52.8 in May, in line with the preliminary reading. It was the highest reading since August 2011.
The increase was driven by a rise in new business.
"Activity growth picked up pace further in June, rounding off a solid quarter of expansion in French private sector output. The PMI figures suggest that second quarter GDP will show a further robust expansion following the 0.6% rise seen in Q1," Senior Economist at Markit Jack Kennedy said.
Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. jumped to 58.5 in June from 56.5 in May, exceeding expectations for a rise to 57.4.
The increase was driven by robust expansion in new work inflows.
"While uncertainty caused by the Greek debt crisis rules out any imminent hike in interest rates, the post-election rebound in service sector business activity adds to the likelihood of the Bank of England starting to nudge rates higher later this year. The survey data are indicating an acceleration of economic growth to 0.5% in the second quarter, up from 0.4% in the first three months of the year," the Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,613.43 -17.04 -0.26 %
DAX 11,078.4 -20.95 -0.19 %
CAC 40 4,812.63 -22.93 -0.47 %
Eurostat released its retail sales data for the Eurozone on Friday. Retail sales in the Eurozone rose 0.2% in May, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.7% increase in April.
The increase was driven by higher food, drinks and tobacco and non-food sales. Both food, drinks and tobacco sales and non-food sales increased 0.4% in May.
Gasoline sales declined 0.7% in May.
On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone rose 2.4% in May, beating forecasts of a 2.3% gain, after a 2.7% increase in April. April's figure was revised up from a 2.2% rise.
The annual rise was driven by non-food sales, which gained 3.4% in May.
Food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 1.7% in May, while gasoline sales increased 0.7%.
EUR/USD: $1.1000(E746mn), $1.1040/45(E445mn), $1.1100(E439mn), $1.1150/55(E1.1bn)
USD/JPY: Y122.15($502mn), Y122.50($845mn), Y124.00($585mn)
EUR/JPY: Y136.50(E270mn)
AUD/NZD: NZ$1.1300(A$486mn)
AUD/USD: $0.7600(A$485mn)
USD/CAD: Cad1.2470($200mn), Cad1.2500($585mn)
EUR/GBP: stg0.7000($270mn)
Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said on Friday that a deal between Greece and its creditors will be reached regardless of the outcome of Sunday's referendum. He noted that a deal was "more or less done".
Markit's and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply's services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.K. jumped to 58.5 in June from 56.5 in May, exceeding expectations for a rise to 57.4.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector.
The increase was driven by robust expansion in new work inflows.
"While uncertainty caused by the Greek debt crisis rules out any imminent hike in interest rates, the post-election rebound in service sector business activity adds to the likelihood of the Bank of England starting to nudge rates higher later this year. The survey data are indicating an acceleration of economic growth to 0.5% in the second quarter, up from 0.4% in the first three months of the year," the Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the Eurozone on Friday. Eurozone's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) increased to 54.4 in June from 53.8 in May, in line with the preliminary reading.
The increase was driven by rises in new business and employment.
Eurozone's final composite output index increased to 54.2 in June from 53.6 in May, up from the preliminary reading of 54.1. It was the highest level since May 2011.
"Despite the escalation of the Greek crisis in the second half of the month, the final PMI for June came in slightly above the 'flash' estimate, suggesting the turmoil has so far had little discernible impact on the real economy," Chief Economist at Markit Chris Williamson said.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for Germany on Friday. Germany's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 53.8 in June from 53.0 in May, missing the preliminary reading of 54.2.
The increase was driven by rises in new orders and employment.
"June's PMI results signalled a re-acceleration of service sector activity growth in Germany, after May data pointed to the weakest rise in output for five months. Encouragingly, a further increase in staff recruitment highlighted confidence about upcoming workloads despite new business rising at the slowest pace in 2015 so far," an economist at Markit, Oliver Kolodseike,said.
Markit Economics released final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for France on Friday. France's final services purchasing managers' index (PMI) climbed to 54.1 in June from 52.8 in May, in line with the preliminary reading. It was the highest reading since August 2011.
The increase was driven by a rise in new business.
"Activity growth picked up pace further in June, rounding off a solid quarter of expansion in French private sector output. The PMI figures suggest that second quarter GDP will show a further robust expansion following the 0.6% rise seen in Q1," Senior Economist at Markit Jack Kennedy said.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said in its report on Thursday that Greece requires €50 billion and easier terms on existing debt from October 2015 to end 2018 to maintain its finances sustainable, including at least €36 billion from Eurozone.
The IMF expects that Athens needs about €29 billion over the next 12 months from October 2015.
The lender downgraded Greece's economic growth forecast for this year to zero from April's estimate of 2.5%
The IMF said that state deposits in the Greek banking system dropped to less than €1 billion at the end of May.
The IMF noted that the report didn't reflect developments that happened since it was prepared, including bank closures, capital controls and IMF arrears.
"Greece faces a significantly larger financing need going forward than we thought last year," a senior IMF official said
The HSBC/Markit Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for China declined to 51.8 in June from 53.5 in May. It was the lowest level since January.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector.
"In the service sector, business activity, new orders and employment all expanded at slower rates, while optimism towards the business outlook also moderated," an economist at Markit, Annabel Fiddes, said.
The new business sub-index dropped to 52.2 in June, an 11-month low, from 54.4 in May, while the employment sub-index decreased to its lowest level in three months.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics released its retail sales data on Friday. Retail sales in Australia rose 0.3% in May, missing expectations for a 0.5% gain, after a 0.1% decline in April. April's figure was revised down from a flat reading.
Food retailing climbed 0.7% in May and household goods retailing rose 0.9%, while department stores sales dropped 1.4%, clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing declined-0.8% and cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services sales fell 0.2%.
On a yearly basis, Australian retail sales increased to 4.7% in May from 4.1% in April.
West Texas Intermediate futures for August delivery dropped to $56.63 (-0.53%). Meanwhile Brent crude for August fell to $61.86 (-0.34%) a barrel.
Crude oil prices fell after sources reported that the number of rigs in the U.S. rose by 12 to 640, intensifying concerns of a prolonged supply glut around the globe. According to Reuters, Goldman Sachs analysts believe that U.S. oil production growth will reach 135,000 barrels per day year-on-year by the end of this year. Meanwhile supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries rose to a three-year high of 31.60-million barrels a day in June from 31.30-million barrels a day in May. At the same time Russia doesn't want to lose its position as well.
"U.S. shale producers have brought down the breakeven cost from $35 to $20 per barrel," ANZ bank said on Friday. Demand remains subdued. Considering market conditions economists say that prices may decline further.
Market participants are also waiting for an outcome of negotiations with Iran.
Gold slightly rebounded to $1,165.60 (+0.18%) an ounce. The precious metal has held above a 3-1/2 month low on Friday, as softer-than-expected U.S. jobs report tempered expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve and weighed on the dollar. Bullion declined on Thursday, but it climbed after the jobs report. Nevertheless the U.S. dollar is still on track for a second weekly gain in a row as Greece's crisis weighs on the euro. A strong greenback puts pressure on gold.
According to the Labor Department, the U.S. economy generated 223,000 jobs in June vs 230,000 expected.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual
01:30 Australia Retail Sales, M/M May -0.1% 0.5% 0.3%
01:45 China HSBC Services PMI June 53.5 51.8
The euro holds steady before Sunday Greece's referendum. Volatility of the EUR/USD pair will grow in any case. If Greeks say "no" the situation will return to a starting point. If Greeks say "yes" the current government will probably have to leave and the new one will have to negotiate with lenders and their conditions might be different.
It's worth to remember that a survey conducted June 28-30 and published in Efimerida ton Syntakton showed that 54% of Greeks intend to say 'no' to lenders' conditions and 33% plan to vote 'yes'.
The Australian dollar fell after retail sales data missed expectations. Retail sales rose by 0.3% in May vs +0.5% expected. April reading was revised to -0.1% from 0%. Sales mostly improved in New South Wales, while sales in other areas were generally unchanged.
EUR/USD: the pair traded around $1.1080-00 this morning
USD/JPY: the pair traded around Y123.00
GBP/USD: the pair traded around $1.5600-20
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index June -0.1%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y June 8.6%
07:50 France Services PMI (Finally) June 52.8 54.1
07:55 Germany Services PMI (Finally) June 53.0 54.2
08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Finally) June 53.8 54.4
08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services June 56.5 57.4
09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) May 2.2% 2.3%
09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) May 0.7% 0.1%
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1269 (1657)
$1.1227 (575)
$1.1193 (415)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1091
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1011 (3326)
$1.0979 (13187)
$1.0939 (2928)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 7 is 38389 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (2828);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 7 is 46612 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0800 (5002);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.21 versus 1.44 from the previous trading day according to data from July, 2
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.5904 (984)
$1.5806 (1105)
$1.5710 (267)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.5608
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.5490 (1102)
$1.5393 (910)
$1.5295 (640)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 7 is 14737 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5600 (1648);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 7 is 14492 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5600 (1620);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.98 versus 1.18 from the previous trading day according to data from July, 2
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 56.56 -0.65%
Gold 1,165.20 +0.15%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
HANG SENG 26,337.49 +87.46 +0.33%
S&P/ASX 200 5,599.8 +84.14 +1.53%
TOPIX 1,648.24 +11.83 +0.72%
SHANGHAI COMP 3,871.79 -181.91 -4.49%
FTSE 100 6,630.47 +21.88 +0.33 %
CAC 40 4,835.56 -47.63 -0.98 %
Xetra DAX 11,099.35 -81.15 -0.73 %
S&P 500 2,076.78 -0.64 -0.03 %
NASDAQ Composite 5,009.21 -3.91 -0.08 %
Dow Jones 17,730.11 -27.80 -0.16 %
(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1086 +0,30%
GBP/USD $1,5604 -0,07%
USD/CHF Chf0,9433 -0,48%
USD/JPY Y123,06 -0,09%
EUR/JPY Y136,42 +0,20%
GBP/JPY Y192,02 -0,16%
AUD/USD $0,7632 -0,20%
NZD/USD $0,6720 -0,19%
USD/CAD C$1,2541 -0,33%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
01:30 Australia Retail Sales, M/M May 0.0% 0.5%
01:45 China HSBC Services PMI June 53.5
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index June -0.1%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y June 8.6%
07:50 France Services PMI (Finally) June 52.8 54.1
07:55 Germany Services PMI (Finally) June 53.0 54.2
08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Finally) June 53.8 54.4
08:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services June 56.5 57.4
09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) May 2.2% 2.3%
09:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) May 0.7% 0.1%
12:00 U.S. Bank holiday