(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
01:30 Australia Home Loans February -3.5% 3.1%
01:30 China PPI y/y March -4.8% -4.7%
01:30 China CPI y/y March 1.4% 1.3%
02:00 China New Loans March 1020 1050
05:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate March 3.2% 3.2%
06:45 France Industrial Production, m/m February 0.4% -0.1%
06:45 France Industrial Production, y/y February 0.6%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) March -0.1% 0.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) March 1.3% 0.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) March -0.5% 0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) March 1.9% 1.3%
12:15 Canada Housing Starts March 156 175
12:30 Canada Employment March -1.0 0.1
12:30 Canada Unemployment rate March 6.8% 6.8%
12:30 U.S. FOMC Member Laсker Speaks
12:30 U.S. Import Price Index March 0.4% -0.4%
14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate March 0.6%
18:00 U.S. Federal budget March -192.3 -43.2
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) released its monthly economic report on Wednesday. The BoJ said that the economy recovered moderately. Exports are expected to rise due to the recovery in overseas economies.
"Private consumption is expected to remain resilient," the central bank said.
The BoJ expects the consumer price inflation to be about 0% year-on-year.
Stock indices closed higher on a weaker euro, lower oil prices and quantitative easing by the European Central Bank (ECB).
German industrial production increased 0.2% in February, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a 0.4% decline in January. January's figure was revised down from a 0.6% increase.
Greece repaid the International Monetary Fund (IMF) tranche of 448 million euros today.
The Bank of England kept its monetary policy unchanged today.
The U.K. trade deficit in goods widened to £10.3 billion in February from £9.2 billion in January, missing expectations for a deficit of £9.1 billion. January's figure was revised down from a deficit of £8.4 billion.
The increase of the deficit was driven by a decline in exports of goods to countries outside the European Union.
The U.K. Halifax house price index climbed 0.4% in March, after a 0.4% decline in February. February's figure was revised down from a 0.3% decrease.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 7,015.36 +77.95 +1.1 %
DAX 12,166.44 +130.58 +1.1 %
CAC 40 5,208.95 +72.09 +1.4 %
The price of oil has increased significantly today after the largest decline over the past two months after Iran said it would refuse to enter into an agreement, if not sanctions are lifted.
Today, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said Iran will agree to enter into an agreement on its nuclear program, provided that immediately after signing the document sanctions against the country are lifted. According to Rouhani, all economic sanctions should be lifted immediately - after the signing of a definitive agreement. We are talking about economic sanctions against Iran over its nuclear program.
Also, market participants continue to analyze yesterday's data on oil reserves in the United States. Recall the week 28 March to 3 April oil reserves increased by 10.9 million barrels to 482.4 million barrels, while experts waited for an increase of 3.4 million barrels. The report also reported that weekly growth of oil reserves was the most significant since March 2001. "Total oil reserves in the US are much higher than the five-year maximum weekly reaching new records," - analysts said Societe Generale. According to their data, storage in Cushing capacity of 70.1 million. Barrels filled to 85%.
Rising prices may also be associated with profit-taking on the part of participants, covering short positions. Private investors have also increased the activity of making purchases after prices fall. They are counting on a large-scale recovery in the market, brokers say.
Little impact also had reports that the company UK Oil and Gas Investments found near London deposit with significant oil reserves. According to the company, the estimated oil reserves at the field may be around 100 billion barrels - 158 million barrels per square mile. But can be removed only a small fraction. According to executive director UKOG Steve Sanderson, "is perhaps the most significant discovery" from taking place in the last 30 years on land and in the UK "is of great national importance."
May futures for US light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) rose to 50.90 dollars per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
May futures price for North Sea petroleum mix of Brent increased by $ 0.82 to 56.90 dollars a barrel on the London Stock Exchange ICE Futures Europe.
The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies despite the weaker-than-expected number of initial jobless claims from the U.S. The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending April 04 in the U.S. rose by 14,000 to 281,000 from 267,000 in the previous week. The previous week's figure was revised up from 268,000. Analysts had expected the number of initial jobless claims to increase to 271,000.
Wholesale inventories in the U.S. rose 0.3% in February, missing expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.4% increase in January. January's figure was revised down from a 0.3% rise.
The increase was driven by lower wholesale sales.
The euro declined against the U.S. dollar. German industrial production increased 0.2% in February, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a 0.4% decline in January. January's figure was revised down from a 0.6% increase.
Concerns over Greece's debt problems continue to weigh on the euro. Greece repaid the International Monetary Fund (IMF) tranche of 448 million euros today.
The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar. The Bank of England kept its monetary policy unchanged today.
The U.K. trade deficit in goods widened to £10.3 billion in February from £9.2 billion in January, missing expectations for a deficit of £9.1 billion. January's figure was revised down from a deficit of £8.4 billion.
The increase of the deficit was driven by a decline in exports of goods to countries outside the European Union.
The U.K. Halifax house price index climbed 0.4% in March, after a 0.4% decline in February. February's figure was revised down from a 0.3% decrease.
The Canadian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the mixed Canadian housing market data. Building permits in Canada declined 0.9% in February, missing expectations for a 5.1% gain, after a 12.3% drop in January. January's figure was revised up from a 12.9% fall.
New housing price index in Canada rose 0.2% in February, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.1% decrease in January.
The increase was driven by gains in the Toronto and Oshawa region where prices rose 0.3% as some builders offered promotional packages.
The New Zealand dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the kiwi traded higher against the greenback in the absence of any economic reports from New Zealand.
The Australian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the Aussie traded mixed against the greenback. The Australian Industry Group's construction index supported the Aussie. The index rose to 50.1 in March from 43.9 in February.
The Japanese yen traded lower against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the yen traded lower against the greenback. Japan's preliminary machine tool orders dropped to 14.6% in March from 28.9% in February.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) released its monthly economic report on Wednesday. The BoJ said that the economy recovered moderately. Exports are expected to rise due to the recovery in overseas economies.
Gold prices declined moderately today, entrenched below $ 1200, as investors continued to analyze the minutes of the meeting of the Fed. Also, the pressure on the precious metal has a strengthening of the US dollar after a report on the labor market. Recall protocols Fed meeting on March 17-18 showed that Fed officials at its last meeting were divided in their opinions as to whether they are ready to begin June to raise short-term interest rates. While some managers think that June would be a good time to raise interest rates, while others believed that the decline in energy prices and a stronger US dollar will put pressure on inflation and would justify the preservation rates near zero, where they are from December 2008. At that meeting, the Fed has withdrawn from his statements assurance that it will exercise patience before you raise the stakes. This immediately opened the door for a rate hike in June. Minutes showed that opinions on this subject really razdelilis..Napomnim delay in raising interest rates tend to contribute to the demand for gold, as it reduces the relative cost containment metal, guaranteeing investors a higher profit.
As for the data, the Labor Department said today: the number of Americans filing first time applications for unemployment benefits rose last week but remained at historically low levels, which is consistent with the growth in jobs. Initial claims for unemployment benefits rose by 14,000 and reached a seasonally adjusted 281,000 in the week ended April 4. Economists expected 271,000 initial claims. The data for the previous week were revised up to 267,000 from an initial assessment of 268,000, which corresponds to a 15-year minimum. Moving average of four weeks for applications that aligns weekly volatility, fell by 3,000 to 282,250 last week. This was the lowest level since June 2000. The number of repeated requests for unemployment benefits fell by 23,000 to 2,300,000 in the week ended March 28, the lowest level since December 2000. Continuing claims are presented with one week delay.
Meanwhile, analysts note that the decline in prices could be temporary. "The current decline in gold prices may be just a technical correction. Today, the price may drop to $ 1,190, but I expect that it would again exceed $ 1,200 in the coming weeks," - said the expert Phillip Futures Howie Lee.
As for the situation in the physical market, the demand for gold in China is low, and its price on the Shanghai Gold Exchange for about $ 1 per ounce higher than the reference spot price.
May futures for gold on the COMEX today fell to 1195.30 dollars per ounce.
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development released its monthly growth outlook on Thursday. The composite leading indicator remained unchanged at 100.3 in February.
The OECD said that growth momentum will be stable in the United States, the United Kingdom and Japan.
Growth momentum is expected to ease in China, Canada, Russia and Brazil.
In the Eurozone, growth momentum is expected to strengthen.
The Bank of France Thursday upgraded its first quarter growth forecast for the French economy to 0.4% due to the growth in industrial production and stronger foreign demand.
The central bank had cut its forecast to 0.3% in March, down from a previous estimate of 0.4%.
The French economy grew 0.1% in the fourth quarter.
The European Commission forecast that the French economy will increase by 1% in 2015 and by 1.8% in 2014.
The French economy expanded 0.4% in 2014.
The French government has also estimated 1% growth for 2015.
The Halifax releases its house price index data for the U.K. on Thursday. The U.K. Halifax house price index climbed 0.4% in March, after a 0.4% decline in February. February's figure was revised down from a 0.3% decrease.
The increase was driven by wages growth and low mortgage rates.
On y yearly basis, U.K. Halifax house price index rose 8.1% in March, after a 8.3% increase in February.
"The recent return to real earnings growth for the first time in several years, very low mortgage rates and last December's stamp duty changes are supporting housing demand," the Halifax economist Martin Ellis said.
He added that the rising level of prices in relation to earnings should curb price growth and activity.
The U.S. Commerce Department released wholesale inventories on Thursday. Wholesale inventories in the U.S. rose 0.3% in February, missing expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.4% increase in January. January's figure was revised down from a 0.3% rise.
The increase was driven by lower wholesale sales. Wholesale sales declined by 0.2% in February, driven by a 2.4% fall in sales of durable goods.
Inventories of durable goods increased 0.3% in February, while inventories of non-durable goods climbed by 0.2%.
Statistics Canada released its new housing price index on Thursday. New housing price index in Canada rose 0.2% in February, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.1% decrease in January.
The increase was driven by gains in the Toronto and Oshawa region where prices rose 0.3% as some builders offered promotional packages.
Prices were unchanged in nine of the 21 metropolitan areas.
On a yearly basis, new housing price index in Canada climbed 1.4% in February, after a 1.4% increase in January.
Statistics Canada released housing market data on Thursday. Building permits in Canada declined 0.9% in February, missing expectations for a 5.1% gain, after a 12.3% drop in January. January's figure was revised up from a 12.9% fall.
Building permits for non-residential construction plunged 5.4% in February, while permits in the residential sector rose 1.5%.
Lower non-residential permits were driven by weaker demand in central Canada and Alberta.
EUR/USD: $1.0750/55, $1.0760, $1.0800(E1.3bn), $1.0900, $1.0950(E2.75bn)
USD/JPY: Y119.00($1.0bn), Y120.00($545mn), Y121.00($1.4bn)
GBP/USD: $1.4750(Gbp826mn), $1.4955, $1.4970(Gbp450mn)
AUD/USD: $0.7705(A$295mn), $0.7745(A$310mn)
USD/CAD: Cad1.2375($360mn)
NZD/USD: $0.7495(NZ$404mn)
The U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS) released trade data on Thursday. The U.K. trade deficit in goods widened to £10.3 billion in February from £9.2 billion in January, missing expectations for a deficit of £9.1 billion. It was the lowest level since July 2014.
January's figure was revised down from a deficit of £8.4 billion.
The increase of the deficit was driven by a decline in exports of goods to countries outside the European Union. The value of exports decreased to the lowest level since September 2010.
Exports fell by 3.7% in February, while imports rose by 0.8%.
Shipments to the EU decreased 0.3%, while exports to non-EU countries dropped by 6.6%.
The total trade deficit, including services, widened to £2.86 billion in February from £1.54 billion in January.
U.S. stock-index futures were little changed, after equities advanced, as Alcoa Inc. unofficially kicked off the earnings season with quarterly sales that missed projections.
Global markets:
Nikkei 19,937.72 +147.91 +0.7%
Hang Seng 26,944.39 +707.53 +2.7%
Shanghai Composite 3,958.54 -36.27 -0.9%
FTSE 6,989.95 +52.54 +0.8%
CAC 5,186.13 +49.27 +1.0%
DAX 12,098.5 +62.64 +0.5%
Crude oil $50.97 (+1.05%)
Gold $1198.40 (-0.39%)
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 40.90 | +0.02% | 0.8K |
Hewlett-Packard Co. | HPQ | 31.54 | +0.06% | 0.2K |
AT&T Inc | T | 32.68 | +0.09% | 2.9K |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 34.67 | +0.09% | 0.2K |
FedEx Corporation, NYSE | FDX | 172.00 | +0.09% | 1.5K |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 51.94 | +0.10% | 1.1K |
Intel Corp | INTC | 31.35 | +0.13% | 3.9K |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 61.15 | +0.16% | 4.6K |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 16.04 | +0.19% | 30.4K |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 82.94 | +0.21% | 0.4K |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 84.26 | +0.24% | 7.7K |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 106.64 | +0.26% | 0.1K |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 82.49 | +0.26% | 45.1K |
Visa | V | 66.68 | +0.27% | 1.2K |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 208.43 | +0.37% | 12.9K |
American Express Co | AXP | 79.00 | +0.39% | 2.2K |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 126.09 | +0.39% | 164.6K |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 80.80 | +0.45% | 15.9K |
Nike | NKE | 101.40 | +0.56% | 0.1K |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 17.66 | +1.03% | 4.0K |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 45.65 | +1.06% | 38.5K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 106.66 | 0.00% | 0.1K |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 96.79 | -0.06% | 0.4K |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 115.50 | -0.08% | 0.3K |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 57.10 | -0.09% | 21.1K |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 51.57 | -0.10% | 0.2K |
General Electric Co | GE | 24.98 | -0.12% | 0.2K |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 47.54 | -0.16% | 83.1K |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 52.21 | -0.17% | 32.6K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 27.50 | -0.18% | 0.3K |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 380.50 | -0.18% | 0.8K |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 36.03 | -0.22% | 0.7K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 41.30 | -0.29% | 0.7K |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 18.75 | -0.37% | 23.1K |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 12.24 | -0.65% | 5.7K |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 13.32 | -2.56% | 363.9K |
Upgrades:
Downgrades:
Other:
Alcoa (AA) reiterated at Buy at Stifel, target lowered from $20 to $19
The Bank of England (BoE) released its interest rate decision on Thursday. The BoE kept its interest rates unchanged at 0.5% and its asset purchase program unchanged at £375 billion. This decision was widely expected.
Low inflation weighed on the BoE's interest rate decision. The U.K. consumer price index declined to zero in February from 0.3% in January. It was the lowest level since 1989.
Analysts expect that the BoE will start to raise its interest rate in early 2016.
Investors are awaiting the minutes of the monetary policy committee (MPC). The minutes of the meeting will be released on April 22.
All members voted in March to keep the central bank's monetary policy unchanged, according to MPC's meeting minutes.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
05:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report
06:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) February -0.4% Revised From 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
06:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) February 0.9% -0.3%
06:00 Japan Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y March 28.9% 14.6%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index March -0.4% 0.4%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y March 8.3% 8.1%
08:30 United Kingdom Total Trade Balance February -1.53 Revised From -0.62 -2.85
08:30 United Kingdom Trade in goods February -9.2 Revised From -8.4 -9.1 -10.3
11:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50% 0.5%
11:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility 375 375 375
11:00 United Kingdom MPC Rate Statement
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the number of initial jobless claims from the U.S. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. is expected to rise by 3,000 to 271,000.
The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the better-than-expected German industrial production figures. German industrial production increased 0.2% in February, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a 0.4% decline in January. January's figure was revised down from a 0.6% increase.
Concerns over Greece's debt problems continue to weigh on the euro. Greece repaid the International Monetary Fund (IMF) tranche of 448 million euros today.
The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar. The Bank of England kept its monetary policy unchanged today.
The U.K. trade deficit in goods widened to £10.3 billion in February from £9.2 billion in January, missing expectations for a deficit of £9.1 billion. January's figure was revised down from a deficit of £8.4 billion.
The increase of the deficit was driven by a decline in exports of goods to countries outside the European Union.
The U.K. Halifax house price index climbed 0.4% in March, after a 0.4% decline in February. February's figure was revised down from a 0.3% decrease.
The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Canadian housing market data. Building permits in Canada are expected to climb 5.1% in February, after a 12.9% drop in January.
Canada's new housing price index is expected to rise 0.1% in February, after a 0.1% decline in January.
EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair decreased to $1.4763
USD/JPY: the currency pair fell to Y119.89
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) February -12.9% 5.1%
12:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, MoM February -0.1% 0.1%
12:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, YoY March 1.4%
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims April 268 271
EUR/USD
Offers 1.0850 1.0820 1.0800
Bids 1.0700 1.0650
GBP/USD
Offers 1.4950 1.4900 1.4850
Bids 1.4750 1.4725/20 1.4720/00 1.4685/80
EUR/JPY
Offers 130.50 130.00 129.25/30
Bids 128.50 128.00 127.50
USD/JPY
Offers 121.50 121.00 120.50
Bids 120.00 119.90 119.50
EUR/GBP
Offers 0.7290/00
Bids 0.7210/00 0.7150
AUD/USD
Offers 0.7850 0.7780/00 0.7750
Bids 0.7685/80 0.7650 0.7610/00 0.7550
Federal Reserve released its March monetary policy meeting minutes on Wednesday. Fed officials were divided over when to start to hike interest rate. Some official said that it is better to raise interest rate in June, some officials would like to wait longer and some officials would prefer to wait until 2016.
The Fed dropped "patient" from its outlook for monetary policy at its March monetary policy meeting. Investors expected that the central bank may start to hike its interest rate in June. But the released economic data showed that the U.S. economy slowed in early 2015.
European stocks moderately extend early gains after better-than-expected German data indicating a recovery and the Greek announcement that the country is going to pay a 450 million euro to the International Monetary Fund.
Data on Industrial Production in Germany, Eurozone's biggest economy, came in at +0.2% in February, beating expectations for an increase of +0.1%. In January Industrial Production grew +0.6%. Year on year the Industrial Production shrank -0.3% compared to a previous reading of +0.9%.
In the U.K. the Halifax House Price Index for March rose +0.4% compared to -0.3%. In the first quarter the index rose by +8.1%.
U.K.'s Total Trade Balance for February came in at .2.85 compared to -0.62 in January. Trade in Goods showed a larger deficit. The index has a reading of -10.3 for February, below estimates of -9.1 and a previous reading of -8.4.
The commodity heavy FTSE 100 index is currently trading +0.67% quoted at 6,983.86 points. Germany's DAX 30 is trading at 12,096.28 points +0.50%. France's CAC 40 is currently trading at 5,181.30 points, +0.87%.
Oil is trading higher today after yesterday's slump caused by higher U.S. stockpiles and news that Saudi Arabia increased oil production. Data provided yesterday by US Department of Energy showed that during the week from 28 March to 3 April oil reserves increased by 10.9 million barrels to 482.4 million barrels, while experts waited for an increase of 3.4 million barrels. The report also reported that weekly growth of commercial oil reserves was the most significant since March 2001. Meanwhile, the oil terminal in Cushing rose by 1.2 million barrels to 60.2 million barrels, the highest since April 2004.
Today Bijan Zanganeh, Iran's oil minister, said that the OPEC is going to "coordinate itself" when Iran will resume oil exports after the embargo is lifted. Before the sanctions were imposed Iran was the second largest exporter of oil in the OPEC and may increase its output drastically.
Brent Crude added -+2.66% currently trading at USD57.03 a barrel. On January 13th Crude set a low at USD45.19. West Texas Intermediate gained +2.52% currently quoted at USD51.69.
Gold is trading lower today, falling back under the the USD 1,200 level, retreating for the fourth day in a row. Yesterday the minutes of the last FOMC meeting were published. The minutes show that the board is divided on whether to hike interest rates in June or not. As a consequence of the weaker-than-expected GDP growth and disappointing labour market data a potential interest rate hike might be delayed till September. Speculations for a midyear rate hike by the FED - despite weaker economic data coming from the U.S. - weighed on the precious metal.
A stronger US dollar is putting pressure on gold, as it reduces the metal's appeal as an alternative asset and makes dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies.
Gold is currently quoted at USD1,197.10 -0,47% a troy ounce, still slightly above the USD1,200 level. On Thursday the 22nd of January gold reached a five-month high at USD1,307.40. On Tuesday the 17th of march gold traded as low as USD1,142.50, a three-month low.
EUR/USD: $1.0750/55, $1.0760, $1.0800(E1.3bn), $1.0900, $1.0950(E2.75bn)
USD/JPY: Y119.00($1.0bn), Y120.00($545mn), Y121.00($1.4bn)
GBP/USD: $1.4750(Gbp826mn), $1.4955, $1.4970(Gbp450mn)
AUD/USD: $0.7705(A$295mn), $0.7745(A$310mn)
USD/CAD: Cad1.2375($360mn)
NZD/USD: $0.7495(NZ$404mn)
BLOOMBERG
Tsipras Returns to Reality After Meetings with Putin
When his plane touches back down in Athens, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras will be quickly reacquainted with reality.
Talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on Wednesday focused on a proposed energy pipeline, future investments and sanctions over the conflict in Ukraine, a meeting that had been dismissed before it began by Germany and France as a sideshow. With a payment made to the International Monetary Fund on Thursday depleting Greek cash reserves still further, it's back to haggling with creditors in the euro region over a financial lifeline.
"There's been a big fuss over this trip without immediate economic benefits," said Dimitris Sotiropoulos, an associate professor of political science at the University of Athens. "Now he needs to do something quickly. There's an unbalanced negotiation now, where the Greek side is prepared on some issues and completely unprepared on others."
REUTERS
Fed officials say June rate hike still in play, hinges on data
(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve could still hike interest rates in June despite weak recent U.S. data and investor skepticism, two influential officials with the central bank said on Wednesday, putting the spotlight squarely on the economy's performance in the next two months.
Disappointing U.S. jobs growth, manufacturing activity, and retail sales over the winter had pushed market expectations for a rate hike to later in the year. June has long been seen as the earliest the Fed could tighten policy, after more than six years of near-zero rates.
But New York Fed President William Dudley and Fed Governor Jerome Powell on Wednesday sketched out scenarios in which the central bank could make an initial move earlier than many now expect and then proceed in a slow and gradual manner on further rate increases.
Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/04/09/us-usa-fed-idUSKBN0MZ1UK20150409
BLOOMBERG
For Yuan Short-Sellers, There's One Big Reason to Drop the Trade
There are plenty of things luring short-sellers to the Chinese yuan right now.
Growth is slowing. Capital is flowing out. And by some measures, the yuan is the most overvalued currency in the world.
Yet there's one big reason not to bet against it: the People's Bank of China is on the other side of the trade.
Chinese policy makers will do whatever it takes to ensure a stable exchange rate before the International Monetary Fund starts discussing the possibility of adding the yuan to the ranks of the world's reserve currencies in May, according to Barclays Plc and DBS Group Holdings. They've already been tapping their almost $4 trillion in foreign reserves to do this, spending an estimated $33 billion in the first quarter to halt a slump that had sent the yuan to a two-year low in March.
European stocks open higher today after better-than-expected German data indicating a recovery.
Data on Industrial Production in Germany, Eurozone's biggest economy, came in at +0.2% in February, beating expectations for an increase of +0.1%. In January Industrial Production grew +0.6%. Year on year the Industrial Production shrank -0.3% compared to a previous reading of +0.9%.
In the U.K. the Halifax House Price Index for March rose +0.4% compared to -0.3%. In the first quarter the index rose by +8.1%.
The commodity heavy FTSE 100 index is currently trading +0.50% quoted at 6,972.91 points. Germany's DAX 30 is trading at 12,095.75 points +0.50%. France's CAC 40 is currently trading at 5,162.87 points, +0.51%.
U.S. stocks traded slightly higher on Wednesday. The S&P 500 closed +0.27% with a final quote of 2,081.90 points. The DOW JONES index added +0.15%, closing at 17,902.51 points. Yesterday the minutes of the last FOMC meeting were published. The minutes show that the board is divided on whether to hike interest rates in June or not. As a consequence of the weaker-than-expected GDP growth and disappointing labour market data a potential interest rate hike might be delayed till September.
Chinese stocks are trading mixed. Hong Kong's Hang Seng is trading +2.68% at 26,941.05 points. China's Shanghai Composite is currently trading at 3,942.28 points -1.33%. In yesterday's session the index surpassed the 4,000 points mark for the first time since 2008, doubling since January 2014.
The Nikkei rose to a 15-year high on Thursday. The index rose +0.75% to 19,937.72 points. The highest closing since April 2000. Prelim Machine Tool Orders rose year on year by +14.6% in March compared to a previous reading of 28.9%.
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
05:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report
06:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) February 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
06:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) February 0.9%
06:00 Japan Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y March 28.9% 14.6%
The U.S. dollar is trading mixed against its major peers after yesterday the minutes of the last FOMC meeting were published. The minutes show that the board is divided on whether to hike interest rates in June or not. As a consequence of the weaker-than-expected GDP growth and disappointing labour market data a potential interest rate hike might be delayed till September.
The Australian dollar added small gains against the U.S. dollar. The AiG Performance of Construction Index for March came in at 50.1 compared to a previous reading of 43.9 - back in expansion territory.
New Zealand's dollar booked gains against the greenback during the Asian in the absence of any major economic news.
The Japanese yen traded lower against the greenback in Asian trade. Prelim Machine Tool Orders rose year on year by +14.6% in March compared to a previous reading of 28.9%.
EUR/USD: the euro traded lower against the greenback
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index March -0.3%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y March 8.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Total Trade Balance February -0.62
08:30 United Kingdom Trade in goods February -8.4 -9.1
11:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50%
11:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility 375 375
11:00 United Kingdom MPC Rate Statement
12:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) February -12.9% 5.1%
12:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, MoM March -0.1% 0.1%
12:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, YoY March 1.4%
12:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims April 2325
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims April 268 271
14:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories February 0.3% 0.1%
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.0965 (1333)
$1.0920 (1064)
$1.0871 (1115)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.0761
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.0716 (1783)
$1.0667 (3211)
$1.0607 (3978)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 8 is 45348 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (6081);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 8 is 60704 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0000 (7582);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.34 versus 1.38 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 8
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.5112 (1345)
$1.5016 (2113)
$1.4921 (684)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.4859
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.4781 (2415)
$1.4685 (2760)
$1.4588 (607)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 8 is 19442 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5000 (2113);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 8 is 28346 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4700 (2760);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.46 versus 1.38 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 8
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 50.42 -6.60%
Gold 1,202.60 -0.04%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 19,789.81 +149.27 +0.76 %
Hang Seng 26,236.86 +961.22 +3.80 %
S&P/ASX 200 5,960.73 +34.76 +0.59 %
Shanghai Composite 3,995.5 +34.13 +0.86 %
FTSE 100 6,937.41 -24.36 -0.35 %
CAC 40 5,136.86 -14.33 -0.28 %
Xetra DAX 12,035.86 -87.66 -0.72 %
S&P 500 2,081.9 +5.57 +0.27 %
NASDAQ Composite 4,950.82 +40.59 +0.83 %
Dow Jones 17,902.51 +27.09 +0.15 %
(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)
EUR/JPY $1,0781 -0,28%
GBP/USD $1,4869 +0,38%
USD/CHF Chf0,9662 -0,01%
USD/JPY Y120,16 -0,12%
EUR/JPY Y129,54 -0,40%
GBP/JPY Y178,66 +0,26%
AUD/USD $0,7685 +0,62%
NZD/USD $0,7549 +0,69%
USD/CAD C$1,2539 +0,26%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
02:00 China New Loans March 1020 1050
05:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report
06:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) February 0.6% 0.1%
06:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) February 0.9%
06:00 Japan Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y March 28.9%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index March -0.3%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y March 8.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Total Trade Balance February -0.62
08:30 United Kingdom Trade in goods February -8.4 -9.1
11:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50%
11:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility 375 375
11:00 United Kingdom MPC Rate Statement
12:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) February -12.9% 5.1%
12:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, MoM March -0.1% 0.1%
12:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, YoY March 1.4%
12:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims April 2325
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims April 268 271
14:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories February 0.3% 0.1%