(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
00:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence May -3.2%
05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Finally) March 110.7 109.5
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index (Finally) March 104.7 105.5
07:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks
08:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes
09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) May -23.2
12:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m March -0.4% 0.7%
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories May -2.191
18:00 U.S. FOMC meeting minutes
20:45 New Zealand Visitor Arrivals April -3.6%
22:50 Australia RBA Assist Gov Edey Speaks
Major US stock indexes finished trading in different directions after yesterday Standard & Poor's 500 and the Dow Jones reached historic highs. "The shares are traded at a price above their historical average level, there is no doubt," - said the chief investment officer of Haverford Trust Hank Smith. The expert added that given the low levels of interest rates and inflation, the stock is fairly valued.
The pressure on the indices had poor results Wal-Mart, while positive data from the US housing market have increased expectations that the Fed may start raising interest rates later this year. Thus, indicators of housing starts in the US rebounded in April. It is a sign that the housing market may be restored after a sluggish winter season sales. Bookmarks new homes in the US rose by 20.2% compared to the previous month and reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1135 thousand., In April, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. This is the highest since November 2007, and the largest increase in percentage from February 1991. Share of single-family units, which exclude apartments, and represent almost two-thirds of the market, rose by 16.7%. Bookmarks multifamily units, including apartments and condominiums increased by 27.2%. New applications for building permits, which determine the volume of construction in the coming months, increased by 10.1%. Economists had expected in April bookmarks of new homes reached the level of 1019 thousand.
Prior to the publication of statistics a positive impact on the US stock market provided by the representative of the ECB Benoit Ker that the Central Bank will redeem bonds more actively in the program of quantitative easing (QE) in May and June in anticipation of summer.
Components of the index DOW closed mixed (12 against 18 in the red in the black). Outsider shares were Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT, -4.52%). Most remaining shares rose McDonald's Corp. (MCD, + 2.58%).
Sector S & P index finished trading mixed. Most of the health sector increased (+ 0.3%). Outsiders were the basic materials sector (-1.5%).
At the close:
Dow + 0.07% 18,312.39 +13.51
Nasdaq -0.17% 5,070.03 -8.41
S & P -0.06% 2,127.83 -1.37
The pound weakened significantly against the dollar, having lost about 1% after UK CPI data came out weaker than expected. This has caused a revision of expectations for the Bank of England's rates. Experts note that in this regard tomorrow's publication of the minutes of the meeting of the Central Bank will be of particular interest to investors. Recall, consumer prices fell 0.1 percent in April compared to the previous year, while, according to forecasts, they were to remain unchanged, as it was in March. This was the first annual decline since the official data series began in 1996, and based on comparable estimates this was the first drop since 1960. On a monthly measurement of consumer prices rose by 0.2 percent, showing the same growth rate as in March. Core inflation fell to 0.8 percent from 1 percent in March. Economists forecast that it will remain at 1 percent. Another report from the ONS showed that producer prices continued to decline in April. Selling prices fell by 1.7 percent for the third month in a row in April. On a monthly measurement of sales prices rose by 0.1 percent. The annual decline in purchasing prices slowed to 11.7 percent from 12.8 percent in March. On a monthly basis, prices paid rose by 0.4 percent.
The dollar rose substantially against the euro, updating the maximum on May 11 due to the publication of positive statistics on the US housing market and the ECB's comments with regard to the scope of QE. It is learned that the establishment of new homes in the US rose by 20.2% compared to the previous month and reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1135 thousand. In April. This is the highest since November 2007, and the largest increase in percentage from February 1991. Share of single-family units, which exclude apartments, and represent almost two-thirds of the market, rose by 16.7%. Bookmarks multifamily units, including apartments and condominiums increased by 27.2%. New applications for building permits, which determine the volume of construction in the coming months, increased by 10.1%. Economists had expected in April bookmarks of new homes reached the level of 1019 thousand. Compared with a year earlier bookmarks of new homes rose 9.2% in April, while building permits rose 6.4%.
The Canadian dollar fell against the US dollar, reaching a month low after the release of positive statistics on the US housing market. However, the currency was able to regain some lost ground against the background of the head of the Central Bank of Canada runners, who noted that the Canadian economy is moving in the right direction, increasing the momentum of growth, and that the January reduction in operating rates. Poloz also said that the Central Bank expects partial recovery in the 2nd quarter and reaching its full capacity by the end of 2016. However, he warned that there are many uncertainties in the current economic environment. As for inflation, Poloz said that it will steadily move towards the target level of 2% towards the end of 2016. Investors watched this performance to see whether Poloz is less optimistic about the economy in Canada, but there were no major changes, despite the recent weak data in Canada.
Polish equity market was lower on Tuesday, with the broad market measure - the WIG index losing 0.13%. At the same time, the large liquid companies' benchmark- the WIG30 index ended today's session with a tiny increase of 0.09%.
Among the most liquid names, oil and gas names were the strongest group with PKN ORLEN (WSE: PKN) and LOTOS (WSE: LTS) advancing 5.24% and 3.36% respectively. Coal producer JSW (WSE: JSW) and media sector company TVN (WSE: TVN) also were star performers, gaining a respective 3.88% and 3.69%. At the same time, the biggest underperformer was bank ALIOR (WSE: ALR), the quotation of which went down 4.10%. It was followed by chemicals name GRUPA AZOTY (WSE: ATT) and utilities name PGE (WSE: PGE), declining 1.73% and 1.66% respectively.
The WIG sub-sector indices were mainly lower with the technology-oriented WIG-INFO (-1.12%) suffering the most.
Stock indices closed higher, supported by the European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board Member Benoit Coeure's comments. He said on Monday that the ECB plans to expand its asset purchases in May and June due to low market liquidity in July and August. He added that a selloff in the European government bond market was a normal correction, but the pace of the selloff was worrisome.
The ECB Governing Council Member and the Bank of France Governor Christian Noyer said on Tuesday that there are signs that the central bank's monetary easing had a positive effect on inflation expectations. He added that the ECB was ready to take further action if needed to achieve its inflation target.
Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index dropped to 41.9 in May from 53.3 in April, missing expectations for a decline to 49.0.
The ZEW President Clemens Fuest said that expectations were adjusted after the weak first quarter figures.
Eurozone's ZEW economic sentiment index fell to 61.1 in May from 64.8 in April.
Eurozone's consumer price index rose 0.2% in April, after a 1.1% increase in March.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's final consumer price inflation climbed to 0.0% in April from -0.1% in March, in line with expectations.
Eurozone's consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco remained unchanged at an annual rate of 0.6% in April, in line with expectations.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released the consumer price inflation data for the U.K. on Tuesday. The U.K. consumer price index declined to -0.1% in April from 0.0% in March. It was the lowest level since 1960, based on comparable historic estimates.
Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged.
The fall was driven by a decline in air and sea fares.
The Bank of England Governor (BoE) Mark Carney said last Wednesday that the consumer price inflation could turn negative, but it is expected to rise towards the end of the year.
Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices fell to 0.8% in April from 1.0% the month before.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,995.1 +26.23 +0.38 %
DAX 11,853.33 +259.05 +2.23 %
CAC 40 5,117.3 +104.99 +2.09 %
Oil prices traded lower on a stronger U.S. dollar and despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The greenback was supported by the better-than-expected U.S. housing market data. Housing starts in the U.S. soared 20.2% to 1,135 million annualized rate in April from a 944,000 pace in March, exceeding expectations for a rise to 1.019 million. It was the highest level since November 2007.
The increase was driven by a gain in starts of single-family homes, which jumped to their highest level since January 2008.
Building permits in the U.S. climbed 10.1% to 1.143 million annualized rate in April from a 1.038 million pace in March. Analysts had expected building permits to increase to 1.064 million units.
Housing market seems to pick up as the weakness in first quarter of 2015 seems to be due to harsh weather. But housing market figures are in stark contrast with weakness in consumption, business spending and manufacturing.
Concerns over supply disruptions in the Middle East receded into the background as data showed that the oil production in the Gulf region increased. Crude oil exports from Saudi Arabia hit the highest level since 2005, according to the official data on Monday.
WTI crude oil for June delivery fell to $57.79 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude oil for June decreased to $64.80 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
Gold price traded lower on a stronger U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar rose against the euro on comments by the European Central Bank (ECB) officials and on the better-than-expected U.S. housing market data. The ECB Executive Board Member Benoit Coeure said on Monday that the ECB plans to expand its asset purchases in May and June due to low market liquidity in July and August. He added that a selloff in the European government bond market was a normal correction, but the pace of the selloff was worrisome.
The ECB Governing Council Member and the Bank of France Governor Christian Noyer said on Tuesday that there are signs that the central bank's monetary easing had a positive effect on inflation expectations. He added that the ECB was ready to take further action if needed to achieve its inflation target.
The U.S. Commerce Department released the housing market data on Tuesday. Housing starts in the U.S. soared 20.2% to 1,135 million annualized rate in April from a 944,000 pace in March, exceeding expectations for a rise to 1.019 million. It was the highest level since November 2007.
The increase was driven by a gain in starts of single-family homes, which jumped to their highest level since January 2008.
Building permits in the U.S. climbed 10.1% to 1.143 million annualized rate in April from a 1.038 million pace in March. Analysts had expected building permits to increase to 1.064 million units.
Housing market seems to pick up as the weakness in first quarter of 2015 seems to be due to harsh weather. But housing market figures are in stark contrast with weakness in consumption, business spending and manufacturing.
June futures for gold on the COMEX today declined to 1208.50 dollars per ounce.
Eurostat released its final inflation figures for the Eurozone. Eurozone's consumer price index rose 0.2% in April, after a 1.1% increase in March.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's final consumer price inflation climbed to 0.0% in April from -0.1% in March, in line with expectations.
Higher costs in restaurants and cafes, higher rents and higher vegetables prices supported the annual consumer price inflation, while cheaper gas, heating oil and automotive fuel weighed on the index.
Eurozone's consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco remained unchanged at an annual rate of 0.6% in April, in line with expectations.
The lowest annual inflation was reported in Greece. The consumer price inflation was down 1.8%.
Destatis released its number of persons in employment in Germany on Tuesday. The number of employed persons climbed by 0.7% in the first quarter from the corresponding period last year, after a 0.9% rise in the fourth quarter.
The increase was driven by the growth in the service sector.
Major U.S. stock-indexes are little changed by Wal-Mart's weak results and after a rally that took the Dow Jones industrial average and the S&P 500 to record closing highs. Strong housing data also suggested that the Federal Reserve could have room to raise interest rates sooner rather than later. U.S. housing starts jumped to their highest level in nearly 7-1/2 years in April and permits soared.
Dow stocks are mixed (14 - fell vs 15 - rose). Top looser - Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT, -3.63%). Top gainer - American Express Company (AXP, +1.15%).
S&P index sectors mixed. Top gainer - Healthcare (+0,3%). Top loser - Basic Materials (-1.3%).
At the moment:
Dow 18281.00 +22.00 +0.12%
S&P 500 2127.00 +1.00 +0.05%
Nasdaq 100 4513.75 +6.50 +0.14%
10-year yield 2.28% +0.05
Oil 58.63 -1.61 -2.67%
Gold 1207.20 -20.40 -1.66%
The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council Member and the Bank of France Governor Christian Noyer said on Tuesday that there are signs that the central bank's monetary easing had a positive effect on inflation expectations. He added that the ECB was ready to take further action if needed to achieve its inflation target.
"The Eurosystem is ready to go further if necessary to deliver on its mandate of maintaining inflation close to but below 2 percent," Noyer noted.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Kikuo Iwata said on Tuesday that inflation will likely rise late this year as consumers are expected to start to feel the benefit from lower fuel prices.
"The underlying trend of inflation is improving steadily," he noted.
Iwata also said that Japan's economy continued to recover moderately, and inflation expectations were increasing in a longer view.
The BoJ deputy governor pointed out that monetary easing had intended effects.
USD/JPY: Y120.00($553mn)
USD/CAD: C$1.2125($240mn)
EUR/USD: Weds $1.1450(E1.07bn), Thu $1.1500(E3.2bn). Fri $1.1400(E1.22bn)
USD/JPY: Y120.00 Tues($542mn), Wed($700mn), Fri(1.48bn) - Fri Y122.00($1.63bn)
GBP/USD: Wed $1.5600(Gbp501m), $1.5690(Gbp413mn)
AUD/USD: Fri $0.8000 in A$1.2bn, Fri $0.7920(A$1.2bn)
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its minutes from May monetary policy meeting on Tuesday. The RBA said that it will not release any guidance on the future path of monetary policy in its statement, but the interest rate cut at future meetings is possible if needed.
Board members pointed out that further depreciation of the Australian dollar "seemed to be both likely and necessary".
Board members discussed the timing of the interest rate cut. The interest rate cut at the June meeting was also possible. But the RBA decided to lower its interest rate in May because of the release the same week of its quarterly statement on monetary policy.
The central bank noted that Australia's terms of trade were expected to decline more than forecasted due to the weakness in the Chinese property market.
According to the RBA, the economic growth in Australia was expected to need more time to strengthen and "the unemployment rate was likely to remain elevated for longer".
The RBA cut its interest rate to 2.00% from 2.25% on May 05.
U.S. stock-index futures rose after data showing housing starts surged to a seven-year high.
Global markets:
Nikkei 20,026.38 +136.11 +0.68%
Hang Seng 27,693.54 +102.29 +0.37%
Shanghai Composite 4,418.38 +134.89 +3.15%
FTSE 7,003.31 +34.44 +0.49%
CAC 5,107.07 +94.76 +1.89%
DAX 11,820.47 +226.19 +1.95%
Crude oil $58.47 (-1.62%)
Gold $1214.80 (-1.03%)
Japan's Finance Minister Taro Aso said on Tuesday that monetary easing is not enough to end deflation.
"The deflationary mindset that has beset Japan for such a long time won't change suddenly. But we've seen some changes in the past two years, which is significant," he noted.
Aso added that fiscal policy and growth strategies are needed in addition to monetary easing to end deflation.
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 33.99 | +0.03% | 4.2K |
Nike | NKE | 104.80 | +0.05% | 1.6K |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 15.59 | +0.06% | 0.1K |
General Electric Co | GE | 27.33 | +0.07% | 15.1K |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 103.51 | +0.09% | 2.7K |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 37.33 | +0.13% | 34.4K |
Intel Corp | INTC | 33.46 | +0.15% | 1K |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 49.70 | +0.20% | 2.2K |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 426.20 | +0.23% | 8.8K |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 54.80 | +0.24% | 7.3K |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 98.27 | +0.26% | 0.3K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 47.83 | +0.27% | 10.3K |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 52.09 | +0.27% | 0.5K |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 60.18 | +0.28% | 2.4K |
Visa | V | 70.20 | +0.29% | 9.2K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 29.85 | +0.30% | 5.0K |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 81.12 | +0.30% | 16.2K |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 66.63 | +0.32% | 2.1K |
3M Co | MMM | 163.41 | +0.33% | 1.1K |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 130.62 | +0.33% | 380.0K |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 110.73 | +0.36% | 0.1K |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 44.52 | +0.36% | 1.5K |
E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co | DD | 70.28 | +0.41% | 0.7K |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 35.20 | +0.43% | 2.8K |
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP | AIG | 59.16 | +0.46% | 1.6K |
Boeing Co | BA | 147.40 | +0.47% | 0.6K |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 534.95 | +0.50% | 0.4K |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 205.75 | +0.53% | 0.4K |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 51.56 | +0.74% | 5.3K |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 116.41 | +1.82% | 193.2K |
AT&T Inc | T | 34.85 | -0.06% | 6.4K |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 172.91 | -0.09% | 0.1K |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 248.38 | -0.15% | 12.0K |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 88.15 | -0.16% | 1.7K |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 41.25 | -0.17% | 1.1K |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 86.65 | -0.23% | 15.1K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 106.27 | -0.36% | 5.1K |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 13.34 | -0.45% | 21.5K |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 19.20 | -0.78% | 2.0K |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 13.01 | -1.36% | 0.7K |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 21.75 | -1.72% | 23.7K |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 77.98 | -2.43% | 329.6K |
The U.S. Commerce Department released the housing market data on Tuesday. Housing starts in the U.S. soared 20.2% to 1,135 million annualized rate in April from a 944,000 pace in March, exceeding expectations for a rise to 1.019 million. It was the highest level since November 2007.
March's figure was revised up from 926,000 units.
The increase was driven by a gain in starts of single-family homes, which jumped to their highest level since January 2008.
Building permits in the U.S. climbed 10.1% to 1.143 million annualized rate in April from a 1.038 million pace in March. March's figure was revised down from 1,042 million units.
Analysts had expected building permits to increase to 1.064 million units.
Starts of single-family homes jumped 16.7% in April. Building permits for single-family homes rose 3.7%.
Starts of multifamily buildings rose 27.2% in April. Permits for multi-family housing jumped 20.5%.
Housing market seems to pick up as the weakness in first quarter of 2015 seems to be due to harsh weather. But housing market figures are in stark contrast with weakness in consumption, business spending and manufacturing.
The European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board Member Benoit Coeure said on Tuesday that the ECB plans to expand its asset purchases in May and June due to low market liquidity in July and August.
"If need be, the frontloading may be complemented by some backloading in September when market liquidity is expected to improve again", he added.
Coeure noted that a selloff in the European government bond market was a normal correction, but the pace of the selloff was worrisome.
Company reported Q1 profit of $1.16 per share versus $1.15 consensus. Revenues rose 6.1% year/year to $20.89 bln versus $20.81 bln consensus.
Company reised guidance for FY16, sees EPS of $5.24-$5.27 from $5.11-$5.17 versus $5.23 consensus; FY16 revenue raised to $86.67-$87.1 bln versus $86.8 bln consensus.
HD rose to $115.77 (+1.26%) on the premarket.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
00:45 New Zealand PPI Output (QoQ) Quarter I -0.1% 0.0% -0.9%
00:45 New Zealand PPI Input (QoQ) Quarter I -0.4% -0.7% -1.1%
02:00 Australia Conference Board Australia Leading Index March 0.5% -0.1%
03:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes
05:00 New Zealand Expected Annual Inflation 2y from now Quarter II 1.8% 1.85%
10:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) April 0.4% Revised From 0.3% 0.8% 0.4%
10:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) April -12.8% Revised From -13.0% -11.5% -11.7%
10:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) April 0.1% Revised From 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
10:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) April -1.7% -1.6% -1.7%
10:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m April 0.2% 0.4% 0.4%
10:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y April 0.9% 1.0% 0.9%
10:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m April 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
10:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y April 0.0% 0.0% -0.1%
10:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y April 1.0% 0.8%
11:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment May 64.8 61.2
11:00 Eurozone Trade balance unadjusted March 20.3 22.3 23.4
11:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI April 1.1% 0.2%
11:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) April -0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
11:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y (Finally) April 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
11:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment May 53.3 49 41.9
The U.S. dollar higher against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. housing market data. Housing starts in the U.S. are expected to climb to 1.019 million units in April from 0.926 million units in March.
The number of building permits is expected to rise to 1.065 million units in April from 1.042 million units in March.
The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar after comments by the European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board Member Benoit Coeure. He said on Monday that the ECB plans to expand its asset purchases in May and June due to low market liquidity in July and August. He added that a selloff in the European government bond market was a normal correction, but the pace of the selloff was worrisome.
Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index dropped to 41.9 in May from 53.3 in April, missing expectations for a decline to 49.0.
The ZEW President Clemens Fuest said that expectations were adjusted after the weak first quarter figures.
Eurozone's ZEW economic sentiment index fell to 61.1 in May from 64.8 in April.
Eurozone's consumer price index rose 0.2% in April, after a 1.1% increase in March.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's final consumer price inflation climbed to 0.0% in April from -0.1% in March, in line with expectations.
Eurozone's consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco remained unchanged at an annual rate of 0.6% in April, in line with expectations.
The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the weaker-than-expected inflation data from the U.K. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released the consumer price inflation data for the U.K. on Tuesday. The U.K. consumer price index declined to -0.1% in April from 0.0% in March. It was the lowest level since 1960, based on comparable historic estimates.
Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged.
The fall was driven by a decline in air and sea fares.
The Bank of England Governor (BoE) Mark Carney said last Wednesday that the consumer price inflation could turn negative, but it is expected to rise towards the end of the year.
Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices fell to 0.8% in April from 1.0% the month before.
The Swiss franc traded lower against the U.S. dollar ahead of a speech by the Swiss National Bank Vice President Jean-Pierre Danthine.
The Canadian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar ahead of a speech by the Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz.
EUR/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.1159
GBP/USD: the currency pair decreased to $1.5482
USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y120.18
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
14:30 U.S. Building Permits, mln April 1042 1065
14:30 U.S. Housing Starts, mln April 926 1019
17:45 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks
18:00 Switzerland Gov Board Member Danthine Speaks
EUR/USD
Offers 1.1200 1.1230 1.1250 1.1280 1.1300 1.1320 1.1350-60 1.1380 1.1400 1.1425
Bids 1.1150-60 1.1130 1.1100 1.1080 1.1050 1.1025-40 1.1000 1.0985
GBP/USD
Offers 1.5630 1.5650 1.5670 1.5700 1.5720 1.5740 1.5765 1.5780 1.5800 1.5830
Bids 1.5585 1.5560 1.5525-30 1.5500 1.5485 1.5465 1.5450
EUR/GBP
Offers 0.7185 0.7200 0.7225-30 0.7250 0.7285 0.7300 0.7325 0.7350
Bids 0.7150 0.7130 0.7100 0.7085 0.7065 0.7050
EUR/JPY
Offers 134.40 134.80 135.00 135.40 136.00 136.50
Bids 133.80 133.50 133.00 132.80 132.50
USD/JPY
Offers 120.25-30 120.50 120.80 121.00
Bids 119.80 119.60 119.45 119.30 119.00 118.85 118.65 118.50
AUD/USD
Offers 0.8000 0.8025 0.8040 0.8060 0.8080 0.8100 0.8125 0.8150
Bids 0.7955-60 0.7930 0.7900-05 0.7885 0.7865 0.7850
Stock indices traded higher on comments by the European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board Member Benoit Coeure. He said on Monday that the ECB plans to expand its asset purchases in May and June due to low market liquidity in July and August. He added that a selloff in the European government bond market was a normal correction, but the pace of the selloff was worrisome.
The euro dropped against the U.S. dollar after Coere's comments.
Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index dropped to 41.9 in May from 53.3 in April, missing expectations for a decline to 49.0.
The ZEW President Clemens Fuest said that expectations were adjusted after the weak first quarter figures.
Eurozone's ZEW economic sentiment index fell to 61.1 in May from 64.8 in April.
Eurozone's consumer price index rose 0.2% in April, after a 1.1% increase in March.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's final consumer price inflation climbed to 0.0% in April from -0.1% in March, in line with expectations.
Eurozone's consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco remained unchanged at an annual rate of 0.6% in April, in line with expectations.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released the consumer price inflation data for the U.K. on Tuesday. The U.K. consumer price index declined to -0.1% in April from 0.0% in March. It was the lowest level since 1960, based on comparable historic estimates.
Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged.
The fall was driven by a decline in air and sea fares.
The Bank of England Governor (BoE) Mark Carney said last Wednesday that the consumer price inflation could turn negative, but it is expected to rise towards the end of the year.
Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices fell to 0.8% in April from 1.0% the month before.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,990.79 +21.92 +0.31 %
DAX 11,790.09 +195.81 +1.69 %
CAC 40 5,100.09 +87.78 +1.75 %
Eurostat released its trade data for the Eurozone on Tuesday. Eurozone's unadjusted trade surplus rose to €23.4 billion in March from €20.3 billion in February, exceeding expectations for an increase to €22.3 billion.
Exports soared by 11% due to a weaker euro, while imports climbed by 7%.
The ZEW Center for European Economic Research released its economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone on Tuesday. Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index dropped to 41.9 in May from 53.3 in April, missing expectations for a decline to 49.0.
The ZEW President Clemens Fuest said that expectations were adjusted after the weak first quarter figures.
"Financial market experts have adjusted their optimistic expectations downward in May due to unexpectedly poor growth figures in the first quarter of 2015 and turmoil on the stock and bond markets. However, only a small number of survey participants actually expect a deterioration of the economic situation," Fuest noted.
Eurozone's ZEW economic sentiment index fell to 61.1 in May from 64.8 in April.
USD/JPY: Y120.00($553mn)
USD/CAD: C$1.2125($240mn)
EUR/USD: Weds $1.1450(E1.07bn), Thu $1.1500(E3.2bn). Fri $1.1400(E1.22bn)
USD/JPY: Y120.00 Tues($542mn), Wed($700mn), Fri(1.48bn) - Fri Y122.00($1.63bn)
GBP/USD: Wed $1.5600(Gbp501m), $1.5690(Gbp413mn)
AUD/USD: Fri $0.8000 in A$1.2bn, Fri $0.7920(A$1.2bn)The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released the consumer price inflation data for the U.K. on Tuesday. The U.K. consumer price index declined to -0.1% in April from 0.0% in March. It was the lowest level since 1960, based on comparable historic estimates.
Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged.
The fall was driven by a decline in air and sea fares.
The Bank of England Governor (BoE) Mark Carney said last Wednesday that the consumer price inflation could turn negative, but it is expected to rise towards the end of the year.
Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices fell to 0.8% in April from 1.0% the month before.
The Retail Prices Index remained unchanged at 0.9% in April.
The consumer price inflation is below the Bank of England's 2% target.
Moody's has launched a new credit rating agency Moody's Public Sector Europe (MPSE) on Monday. The new credit rating agency is the first agency, which dedicated to the growing European public sector debt market.
MPSE should help European public service providers such as regional and local governments, universities, hospitals and housing associations expand their financing options and to get greater access to international debt capital markets.
According to Eurostat, the public sector outstanding debt in the EU (excluding central government debt) totalled €1.8 trillion in 2014, increasing at an annual rate of 2.6%. Moody's expects this trend to continue over the longer period.
Goldman Sachs lowered its crude oil price forecasts. It cut it Brent oil price forecast to $60-$65 for 2016-2019 and to $55 for 2020.
Goldman Sachs expects a $5 a barrel spread between Brent and WTI crude through 2016-2020.
The bank said that global oil demand will be covered by improved and effective U.S. shale oil and higher production from OPEC.
Short-term oil forecasts were upgraded. Goldman Sachs projects Brent crude oil this year at $58 a barrel, up from a previous estimate of $52, and WTI crude oil at $52 a barrel, up from a previous estimate of $48.
HANG SENG 27,688.14 +96.89 +0.35%
S&P/ASX 200 5,615.5 -43.70 -0.77%
TOPIX 1,633.33 +6.67 +0.41%
SHANGHAI COMP 4,409.95 +126.46 +2.95%
Kuwait OPEC Governor Nawal al-Fuzaia said on Monday that global crude oil prices are not expected to decline in the second half of 2015.
"It is expected that there will be some sort of a balance in the oil market in the second half of 2015 which will support prices," he said.
Nawal al-Fuzaia noted that it is too early to talk about OPEC's supply decision. Next OPEC's meeting is scheduled to be on June 05.
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1428 (4209)
$1.1387 (4216)
$1.1347 (2067)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1285
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1225 (2333)
$1.1180 (4050)
$1.1121 (4432)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 5 is 102502 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (4721);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 5 is 129607 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1000 (8428)
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.26 versus 1.24 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 18
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.5903 (1201)
$1.5806 (1200)
$1.5709 (2375)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.5644
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.5591 (792)
$1.5494 (1900)
$1.5397 (2893)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 5 is 34755 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5600 (2463);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 5 is 49681 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5000 (3294);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.43 versus 1.42 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 18
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
00:00 Australia Conference Board Australia Leading Index March 0.5% -0.1%
01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes
03:00 New Zealand Expected Annual Inflation 2y from now Quarter II 1.8% 1.85%
The dollar index, a gauge of the greenback versus 10 major peers, was little changed. The measure rallied 0.9 percent Monday, snapping a four-day slump.
The Australian dollar was little changed after the Reserve Bank of Australia said the lack of guidance at its meeting this month doesn't limit the scope for further rate moves.
New Zealand's dollar jumped on increased inflation expectations, and silver retreated.
The euro was little changed at $1.1311. Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said in an interview late Monday with Greece's Star TV Channel that the country is "very close" to a deal with creditors.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.1285
GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.5630
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range Y119.85-05
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 59.43 -0.44%
Gold 1,225.30 -0.19%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 19,890.27 +157.35 +0.80 %
Hang Seng 27,591.25 -231.03 -0.83 %
S&P/ASX 200 5,659.2 -76.33 -1.33 %
Shanghai Composite 4,283.23 -25.46 -0.59 %
FTSE 100 6,968.87 +8.38 +0.12 %
CAC 40 5,012.31 +18.49 +0.37 %
Xetra DAX 11,594.28 +147.25 +1.29 %
S&P 500 2,129.2 +6.47 +0.30 %
NASDAQ Composite 5,078.44 +30.15 +0.60 %
Dow Jones 18,298.88 +26.32 +0.14 %
(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)
EUR/JPY $1,1314 -1,20%
GBP/USD $1,5652 -0,48%
USD/CHF Chf0,926 +1,09%
USD/JPY Y119,98 +0,63%
EUR/JPY Y135,74 -0,55%
GBP/JPY Y187,78 +0,14%
AUD/USD $0,7990 -0,53%
NZD/USD $0,7396 -1,03%
USD/CAD C$1,2154 +1,17%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
00:00 Australia Conference Board Australia Leading Index March 0.5%
01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes
03:00 New Zealand Expected Annual Inflation 2y from now Quarter II 1.8%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) April 0.3% 0.8%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) April -13.0% -11.5%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) April 0.2% 0.2%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) April -1.7% -1.6%
08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m April 0.2% 0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y April 0.9% 1.0%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m April 0.2% 0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y April 0.0% 0.0%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y April 1.0%
09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment May 64.8
09:00 Eurozone Trade balance unadjusted March 20.3 22.3
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI April 1.1%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) April -0.1% 0.0%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y (Finally) April 0.6% 0.6%
09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment May 53.3 49
12:30 U.S. Building Permits, mln April 1042 1060
12:30 U.S. Housing Starts, mln April 926 1020
15:45 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks
16:00 Switzerland Gov Board Member Danthine Speaks
20:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories May -2.0
23:15 Australia RBA Assist Gov Lowe Speaks
23:50 Japan GDP, y/y (Preliminary) Quarter I 1.5% 1.5%
23:50 Japan GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter I 0.4% 0.4%