• Dallas Fed resident Kaplan: Downside risks growing with virus resurgence but we are optimistic in longer run

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10 novembro 2020

Dallas Fed resident Kaplan: Downside risks growing with virus resurgence but we are optimistic in longer run

  • We need to get through the next couple of quarters
  • Businesses will be optimistic once the virus is behind us
  • Fiscal stimulus is going to run out; would not surprise me to see some extension sooner than later
  • Failing to extend some fiscal aid would hit economy
  • Financial conditions are relatively loose
  • Next two quarters are going to be very difficult
  • Still hopeful that in spring, with the vaccine, will see better economy
  • Sees 3.5% GDP growth in 2021, mostly coming later one
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