Notícias do Mercado

3 março 2014
  • 23:50

    Japan: Monetary Base, y/y, February +55.7% (forecast +54.2%)

  • 23:19

    Currencies. Daily history for March 03'2014:

    (pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3834 +0,24%

    GBP/USD $1,6765 +0,13%

    USD/CHF Chf0,8732 -0,70%

    USD/JPY Y101,44 -0,34%

    EUR/JPY Y139,31 -0,84%

    GBP/JPY Y169,04 -0,81%

    AUD/USD $0,8935 +0,15%

    NZD/USD $0,8370 -0,14%

    USD/CAD C$1,1075 +0,04%

  • 23:02

    Schedule for today, Tuesday, March 04’2014:

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m January -2.9% +0.7%     

    00:30 Australia Building Permits, y/y January +21.8%         

    00:30 Australia Current Account, bln Quarter IV -12.7 -10.1     

    01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY January +0.8% +0.3%     

    03:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate 2.50% 2.50%     

    03:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement         

    03:30 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y February +7.3%         

    08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index February +1.1% +0.6%     

    09:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction February 64.6 63.6     

    10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM January +0.2% 0.0%     

    10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) January -0.8% -1.4%     

    10:30 United Kingdom BOE Deputy Governor for Financial Stability Jon Cunliffe speaks                 

    21:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories February +0.8         

    22:30 Australia AIG Services Index February 49.3
  • 19:20

    American focus : the dollar rose

    The U.S. dollar strengthened against major currencies on the back of strong U.S. macro data . U.S. consumer spending rose in January, more than forecast , together with a sharp increase in income , which increases the likelihood that the biggest part of the economy can sustain growth in early 2014 . This was stated in the report, which was submitted to the Ministry of Commerce . According to consumer spending , which accounts for about 70 percent of the economy , rose in January by 0.4 percent after a 0.1 percent increase in the previous month , which was revised to 0.4 %. Experts predicted that the value of this index will rise by only 0.2 %. We also add that the amount of consumer income increased by 0.3 % , after a zero change in December. Expected that revenues will grow by 0.2%. Today's report confirms recent data that indicate that Americans are beginning to overcome the effect of the severe winter , and confidence in the world's largest economy will grow.

    Manufacturing activity in the U.S. rebounded in February after its weakening due to the weather in January, although production decreased . This is according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). According to the report , the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for the manufacturing U.S. in February rose to 53.2 after an unexpected decline to a minimum of 51.3 in January. Index value above 50 indicates growth in the sector of activity . Economists had expected the index to rise in February to 52.3 .

    In turn, the final data from Markit showed that business conditions in the U.S. manufacturing sector improved in February compared with the previous month , and were slightly higher than those reported in the initial assessment . Corresponding PMI rose to 57.1 points, compared with a final reading for January at 53.7 , and a preliminary estimate at around 56.7 .

    Little support for the euro had earlier data on the index of manufacturing activity. Recall that the growth in the eurozone manufacturing sector weakened in February, but to a lesser extent than previously . This was stated in the final data , which were published today Markit Economics. According to the report , the seasonally adjusted purchasing managers' index for the manufacturing fell to 53.2 in February from 54 in January , the highest reading in 32 months . We add that the decline in February was the first in five months. Result was also slightly higher than previously estimated - at 53 points. The index currently remains above the mark of 50 points , which separates growth from contraction for the eighth consecutive month.

    We also learned that the manufacturing sector continued to show growth in Germany in February , and has expanded more than initially expected. According to the report , the manufacturing purchasing managers index from Markit / BME fell to 54.8 points in February from January's 32-month high of 56.5 . Recall that originally reported on the significance of this indicator at the level of 54.7 points. The index remains above the neutral mark of 50 points for the eighth consecutive month.

    The yen rose against the dollar as a result of increased demand for safe-haven currencies after entering the Russian armed forces on the territory of Ukraine. It was learned that U.S. Secretary of State tomorrow John Kerry will travel to Kiev to meet with Ukrainian leaders and likely offer support. Tension in the region has reached its peak since the " cold war ." In addition , the White House announced the termination of countries G7 ( Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK and the U.S.) up to the summit of "eight " in Sochi . G7 countries expressed their support for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine and intend to support the country in dealing with the IMF to draw up a new lending program .

    Pound hardly reacted to the British data , which showed that the UK manufacturing sector continued its expansion in February , registering with several large pace than in the previous month . It became known from the survey results , which were released Markit Economics and the Royal Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS). According to the report , the seasonally adjusted purchasing managers' index for the manufacturing sector rose in February to a level of 56.9 , compared with 56.6 in January , the figure for which was revised down from 56.7 . A reading above 50 indicates an increase in activity, while a drop below indicates contraction. The index currently remains above the neutral point of the eleventh month in a row .

  • 15:01

    U.S.: Construction Spending, m/m, January +0.1% (forecast 0.0%)

  • 15:00

    U.S.: ISM Manufacturing, February 53.2 (forecast 52.3)

  • 14:00

    U.S.: Manufacturing PMI, February 57.1 (forecast 56.7)

  • 13:45

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    USD/JPY Y101.50, Y102.00, Y102.30, Y102.50, Y103.00, Y104.00

    EUR/USD $1.3650, $1.3675, $1.3710, $1.3800, $1.3825

    AUD/USD $0.8800, $0.8860, $0.8900, $0.8920, $0.9000, $0.9100

    EUR/GBP stg0.8200, stg0.8250/55

    USD/CAD Cad1.1100

    GBP/USD $1.6575, $1.6600, $1.6625, $1.6650, $1.6700, $1.6900

    EUR/JPY Y139.50

  • 13:32

    U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m, January +0.1% (forecast +0.1%)

  • 13:32

    U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y, January +1.2%

  • 13:31

    U.S.: Personal spending , January +0.4% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 13:31

    U.S.: Personal Income, m/m, January +0.3% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 13:30

    Canada: Industrial Product Prices, m/m, January +1.4% (forecast +0.9%)

  • 13:30

    Canada: Raw Material Price Index, January +2.6% (forecast +2.3%)

  • 13:15

    European session: The yen has risen considerably against the U.S. dollar

    Data

    00:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m January -0.4% +0.5%

    00:30 Australia ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) February -0.3% +5.1%

    00:30 Australia Company Operating Profits Quarter IV +3.9% +2.3% +1.7%

    01:00 China Non-Manufacturing PMI February 53.4 55.0

    01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Finally) February 48.3 48.5 48.5

    05:30 Australia Commodity Prices, Y/Y February -9.9% -12.1%

    08:30 Switzerland Manufacturing PMI February 56.1 57.2 57.6

    08:48 France Manufacturing PMI (Finally) February 48.5 49.7

    08:53 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Finally) February 54.7 54.8

    08:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Finally) February 53.0 53.0 53.2

    09:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing February 56.7 56.9 56.9

    09:30 United Kingdom Net Lending to Individuals, bln January 2.3 2.5 2.1

    09:30 United Kingdom Mortgage Approvals July 72.79 Revised From 71.64 72.00 76.94


    Rate of the euro retreated from the maximum values ​​against the dollar, while returning to the levels of the session. Little support was data on index of industrial activity , but interest in him was short-lived , and attention gradually began to switch to U.S. reports , which caused the fall of the euro currency . Recall that the growth in the eurozone manufacturing sector weakened in February, but to a lesser extent than previously . This was stated in the final data , which were published earlier today by Markit Economics. According to the report , the seasonally adjusted purchasing managers' index for the manufacturing fell to 53.2 in February from 54 in January , the highest reading in 32 months . We add that the decline in February was the first in five months. Result was also slightly higher than previously estimated - at 53 points. The index currently remains above the mark of 50 points , which separates growth from contraction for the eighth consecutive month.

    We also learned that the manufacturing sector continued to show growth in Germany in February , and has expanded more than initially expected. According to the report , the manufacturing purchasing managers index from Markit / BME fell to 54.8 points in February from January's 32-month high of 56.5 . Recall that originally reported on the significance of this indicator at the level of 54.7 points. The index remains above the neutral mark of 50 points for the eighth consecutive month.

    The yen rose against the dollar significantly as a result of increased demand for safe-haven currencies after entering the Russian armed forces on the territory of Ukraine. It was learned that U.S. Secretary of State tomorrow John Kerry will travel to Kiev to meet with Ukrainian leaders and likely offer support. Tension in the region has reached its peak since the " cold war ." In addition , the White House announced the termination of countries G7 ( Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK and the U.S.) up to the summit of "eight " in Sochi . G7 countries expressed their support for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine and intend to support the country in dealing with the IMF to draw up a new lending program .

    Pound shows sharp fluctuations against the dollar, but in general , trading in a small range. On the dynamics of trade influenced the British data , which showed that the UK manufacturing sector continued its expansion in February , registering with several large pace than in the previous month . It became known from the survey results , which were released Markit Economics and the Royal Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS). According to the report , the seasonally adjusted purchasing managers' index for the manufacturing sector rose in February to a level of 56.9 , compared with 56.6 in January , the figure for which was revised down from 56.7 . A reading above 50 indicates an increase in activity, while a drop below indicates contraction. The index currently remains above the neutral point of the eleventh month in a row .


    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3758

    GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6700 -$ 1.6750

    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair dropped to Y101.19


    At 13:30 GMT , Canada will present the raw material price index for January, while the U.S. will release the main index for personal consumption expenditures for January and will report on changes in the level of expenses for January . At 14:30 GMT , Canada will release PMI index for the manufacturing of RBC in February. At 15:00 GMT the U.S. will release the ISM manufacturing index for February. At 23:50 GMT , Japan will announce to the change in the monetary base in February.

  • 13:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3920, $1.3900, $1.3850/60

    Bids $1.3755/40, $1.3710/00, $1.3645/40


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.6880, $1.6840/50, $1.6795/800, $1.6770/80

    Bids $1.6655/50, $1.6605/00, $1.6585/80, $1.6555/50


    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.9100, $0.9045/50, $0.9000, $0.8985/90

    Bids $0.8850, $0.8800


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8300/05, stg0.8265/70

    Bids stg0.8190-80, stg0.8150, stg0.8120, stg0.8100


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y141.50, Y141.00, Y140.75/80, Y140.30

    Bids Y139.00, Y138.75/80


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y102.90/00, Y102.65/70, Y102.45/50, Y102.20, Y102.00

    Bids Y101.00, Y100.50, Y100.00


  • 10:20

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut


    USD/JPY Y101.50, Y102.00, Y102.30, Y102.50, Y103.00, Y104.00

    EUR/USD $1.3650, $1.3675, $1.3710, $1.3800, $1.3825

    AUD/USD $0.8800, $0.8860, $0.8900, $0.8920, $0.9000, $0.9100

    EUR/GBP stg0.8200, stg0.8250/55

    USD/CAD Cad1.1100

    GBP/USD $1.6575, $1.6600, $1.6625, $1.6650, $1.6700, $1.6900

    EUR/JPY Y139.50

  • 09:32

    United Kingdom: Net Lending to Individuals, bln, January 2.1 (forecast 2.5)

  • 09:30

    United Kingdom: Mortgage Approvals, July 76.94 (forecast 72.00)

  • 09:28

    United Kingdom: Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing , February 56.9 (forecast 56.9)

  • 08:58

    Eurozone: Manufacturing PMI, February 53.2 (forecast 53.0)

  • 08:53

    Germany: Manufacturing PMI, February 54.8

  • 08:48

    France: Manufacturing PMI, February 49.7

  • 06:21

    Asian session: The yen gained

    00:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m January -0.4% +0.5%

    00:30 Australia ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) February -0.3% +5.1%

    00:30 Australia Company Operating Profits Quarter IV +3.9% +2.3% +1.7%

    01:00 China Non-Manufacturing PMI February 53.4 55.0

    01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Finally) February 48.3 48.5 48.5

    05:30 Australia Commodity Prices, Y/Y February -9.9% -12.1%


    The yen gained against all of its 16 major peers as Russian President Vladimir Putin’s threat to invade Ukraine intensified one of the most serious standoffs since the Cold War, boosting demand for haven assets. U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry will travel to Kiev to meet with Ukrainian leaders tomorrow to offer support as Russian troops occupy the nation’s Crimea region, U.S. officials said yesterday. President Barack Obama contacted overseas leaders on how to respond to the incursion, which prompted Ukraine to mobilize its army reserves as it seeks international economic aid. Ukraine said over the weekend an invasion would be “an act of war.”

    The euro slid for a fifth day against the Swiss franc, after the Russian ruble and Ukraine’s hryvnia plunged to record lows last week.

    Australia’s dollar held a four-day decline and the nation’s three-year bonds advanced on signs of a slowdown in China, the nation’s largest export market. China’s purchasing managers’ index of manufacturing released on March 1 dropped to 50.2 in February, the lowest since June. Analysts polled by Bloomberg News projected a reading of 50.1 with levels below 50 signaling shrinking output.



    EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3755-90

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6710-50

    USD / JPY: on Asian session the pair fell to Y101.25


    Events in the Ukraine - Crimea in particular - will continue to grab attention Monday, there will be plenty of interest in the full data calendar on both sides of the Atlantic. Later in the week, the policy decisions from the ECB and BOE will take centre stage. The ECB will be a closer call, but the recent inflation data could be enough to see them stand pat for now. The main releases set for Monday include the European and US manufacturing final PMI numbers. European data gets underway at 0813GMT, with the release of the Spanish Feb final manuf PMI. Italian PMI numbers will be released at 0843GMT, with French data at 0848GMT, Germany at 0853GMT and the amalgamated euro area numbers at 0858GMT. The data is seen in line with the recent flash numbers, but will be closely watched by the ECB ahead of Thursday's rate decision. At 0900GMT, Italy's final 2013 GDP data will be released. Analysts are looking for full year numbers to come in at -0.8%. Central bank speakers will be muted in the first part of the week as the BOE and ECB rate decisions approach. However, ECB Pres Draghi will appear at his quarterly hearing before the European Parliament, in Brussels. UK due due includes the February CIPS Manufacturing PMI at 0928GMT and the January BOE Money and Credit data at 0930GMT. Across the Atlantic, the US calendar gets underway at 1330GMT, with the release of the January personal income, expenditures and PCE data. Personal income is expected to rise 0.3% in January. Nonfarm payrolls rose a disappointing 113,000 in the month, while the average workweek was unchanged. At 1400GMT, the Feb Markit final manufacturing PMI data will be published. US data set for release at 1500GMT includes the January construction spending data and the February ISM index. Construction spending is expected to fall 0.1% in January. The ISM manufacturing index is expected to rebound slightly to a reading of 51.9 in February after falling sharply in January. Domestic-made light vehicle sales are set for release Monday and are expected to hold roughly steady in February near the 12.0 million annual rate posted in January. Seasonal adjustment factors expect another weak month for raw sales in February and will add to unadjusted sales, though not as much as in the previous month.

  • 01:45

    China: HSBC Manufacturing PMI, February 48.5 (forecast 48.5)

  • 01:00

    China: Non-Manufacturing PMI, February 55.0

  • 00:32

    Australia: ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM), February +5.1%

  • 00:32

    Australia: Company Operating Profits, Quarter IV +1.7% (forecast +2.3%)

  • 00:01

    Australia: HIA New Home Sales, m/m, January +0.5%

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