The dollar rose significantly against the euro, the most likely cause of what may be called expectations regarding publication of the minutes of the last meeting of the Committee on the open market. As we all remember , the last meeting of the Committee took an unexpected decision not to reduce the size of the program QE. The current protocol is to better understand the distribution of forces in the Committee , thereby giving more guidance on further Fed action .
It should be noted that the recent failed attempts to make a sustained break above 1.3600 provoked the current correction, which can be accelerated in the event of a friendly tone of the Fed.
Meanwhile, we add that , despite the recent rebound in risk appetite due to Obama's intention to nominate Janet Yellen as the new Fed chairman after the departure Bernanke , the market's attention once again shifted to the ongoing crisis in the Congress , where both parties refuse to compromise .
The news of Yellen was not unexpected , since it has become a prime candidate . However, confirmation that Yellen nominated for the post of head of the Central Bank, will point to the absence of risk of aggressive policy tightening .
But , as expected , the effect of the news of the Yellen gradually fades away , and the players' attention switched back to the situation in the U.S. government and key date coming on October 17. If Congress does not take a bill to raise the debt ceiling, it is unable to service its debt .
Despite rumors of negotiations between Republicans and Democrats , in fact, the situation remains deadlocked and does not receive development.
The pound has fallen against the U.S. dollar, which was triggered by the release of weak data from Britain.
As it became known , the industrial production in the UK unexpectedly fell in August to the lowest in almost a year , putting into question the strength of economic recovery in the third quarter.
Industrial production fell by 1.1 percent from July , when it rose 0.1 percent, the Office for National Statistics . According to the median forecast of economists rate was to increase by 0.2 percent. In the factories production declined by 1.2 percent ( the largest decline contributed to the decline of manufacturing of pharmaceutical preparations).
It should be noted that the International Monetary Fund yesterday raised its forecast for GDP growth in the UK, but today's data suggests that the industrial sector is lagging behind in development. Policy of the Bank of England is likely to keep policy unchanged , to strengthen the recovery.
Meanwhile , it was revealed that the total industrial production rose by 1.1 percent in the three months to August.
In a separate report ONS said that the trade deficit in goods fell to 9630 million pounds ( 15.5 billion U.S. dollars) from 9.94 billion pounds. Exports rose 1.1 percent, while imports fell by 0.1 per cent. The deficit with the European Union expanded.
EUR/USD $1.3450, $1.3500, $1.3530, $1.3550, $1.3555, $1.3560, $1.3570, $1.3585, $1.3600, $1.3665, $1.3700, $1.3725
GBP/USD $1.5850, $1.5890, $1.6075, $1.6180, $1.6200
USD/JPY Y95.75, Y96.00, Y96.40, Y97.00, Y97.50, Y97.90, Y98.00, Y99.00
AUD/USD $0.9300, $0.9380, $0.9400, $0.9500
EUR/NOK Nok8.1000
NZD/USD $0.8100
EUR/GBP stg0.8300, stg0.8425
EUR/USD Y132.80, Y134.00
USD/CAD Cad1.0280
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3660/80, $1.3650, $1.3620, $1.3580, $1.3560/70
Bids $1.3510, $1.3500, $1.3455/50, $1.3420, $1.3400
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6145/50, $1.6100, $1.6035/40
Bids $1.5950, $1.5900, $1.5880
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9550, $0.9500, $0.9480/85
Bids $0.9425/20, $0.9400, $0.9380, $0.9350
EUR/JPY
Offers Y133.20, Y133.00, Y132.80, Y132.50, Y132.20
Bids Y131.20, Y131.00
USD/JPY
Offers Y98.20, Y97.90/00, Y97.80, Y97.50
Bids Y97.00, Y96.85/80, Y96.55/50, Y96.20
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8550, stg0.8500, stg0.8480
Bids stg0.8420, stg0.8400, stg0.8380, stg0.8350
EUR/USD $1.3450, $1.3500, $1.3530, $1.3550, $1.3555, $1.3560, $1.3570, $1.3585, $1.3600, $1.3665, $1.3700, $1.3725
GBP/USD $1.5850, $1.5890, $1.6075, $1.6180, $1.6200
USD/JPY Y95.75, Y96.00, Y96.40, Y97.00, Y97.50, Y97.90, Y98.00, Y99.00
AUD/USD $0.9300, $0.9380, $0.9400, $0.9500
EUR/NOK Nok8.1000
NZD/USD $0.8100
EUR/GBP stg0.8300, stg0.8425
EUR/USD Y132.80, Y134.00
USD/CAD Cad1.0280
The yen declined against all its 16 major peers after a White House official said President Barack Obama will nominate Janet Yellen today to head the Federal Reserve, boosting demand for higher-yielding assets. Fed Vice Chairman Yellen, 67, would succeed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, whose term ends Jan. 31. She was the favorite in surveys of economists and had the backing of 20 members of the Senate Democratic caucus who signed a July 26 letter to Obama.
The Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Index was near its lowest closing level in seven months before the Fed releases minutes of last month’s meeting when it unexpectedly refrained from trimming bond purchases. The congressional standoff that’s halted the release of key economic data and risks a breach of the U.S. debt limit continues. U.S. House Speaker John Boehner insisted yesterday on immediate negotiations with Obama, rejecting the president’s stance that he’ll talk only after the shutdown ends and the risk of default is pushed back. Republicans have sought spending cuts and changes to Obama’s health-care law. The U.S. borrowing authority lapses on Oct. 17.
The euro rose before a report forecast to show German industrial production rebounded in August and the European Central Bank president speaks today. Industrial production in Germany probably rose 1 percent in August after declining 1.7 percent in the previous month, a report today is forecast to show according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey. ECB President Mario Draghi is scheduled to speak today at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3560-00
GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6060-20
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y97.40
There is no early European data, with the first expected release from the UK at 0830GMT. The UK data includes the August industrial production release and the August trade balance. More UK data is set to cross the wire in the afternoon session, when the NIESR releases their October monthly GDP forecast. The release comes the day after the IMF upped its 2013 UK growth forecast to 1.4% from an original 0.7%.
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,3572 -0,03%
GBP/USD $1,6084 -0,02%
USD/CHF Chf0,9040 +0,09%
USD/JPY Y96,88 +0,21%
EUR/JPY Y131,48 +0,14%
GBP/JPY Y155,80 +0,17%
AUD/USD $0,9420 -0,05%
NZD/USD $0,8284 -0,22%
USD/CAD C$1,0368 +0,53%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) August 0.0% +0.2%
08:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) August -1.6% -0.7%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) August +0.2% +0.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) August -0.7% +1.0%
08:30 United Kingdom BOE Credit Conditions Survey Quarter III
08:30 United Kingdom Trade in goods August -9.9 -8.8
10:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) August -1.7% +1.1%
10:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) August -2.2% -1.5%
14:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate September +0.9%
14:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories October +5.5
18:00 U.S. FOMC meeting minutes September
21:30 New Zealand Business NZ PMI September 57.5
22:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks
23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders August 0.0% +2.9%
23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders, y/y August +6.5% +8.5%
23:50 Japan Tertiary Industry Index August -0.4% +0.5%