Notícias do Mercado

11 setembro 2013
  • 19:20

    American focus : the U.S. dollar declined significantly against the euro

    The euro rose sharply against the U.S. dollar since the deposition of the vote on approval of military intervention in Syria has reduced demand for refuge assets . It should be noted that on Monday, the first vote on military intervention in Syria , scheduled in the Senate, was unexpectedly delayed. It was assumed that it will take place later this week, but then the senators have made it clear that the vote be postponed to a later date. Earlier, President Obama liked the statement of Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia Sergey Lavrov, who believes that all stocks of chemical weapons to Syria to pass under international control. Secretariat of the President of Russia has carefully examined the proposal on Syria and decided to postpone the war. Obama said that this could be a first step to ending the conflict .

    Note that many market participants are waiting for tomorrow's speech by Federal Reserve Bank of New York William Dudley . Earlier in his speech , on July 2 , Dudley said that U.S. economic growth is likely to quicken in 2014, and to reduce the quantitative easing program may have in the fall. Recall that the meeting will take place on September 17-18 Open Market Committee Federal Reserve , where, according to the median forecast of experts , politicians will reduce the amount of monthly purchases to $ 75 billion from the current $ 85 billion

    The pound rose against the dollar significantly , which in the first place was due to release better-than- expected data on British employment as well. This has given rise to expectations that the Bank of England may have to raise interest rates earlier than indicated in the long-term plan policy.

    As it became known, in the UK, the number of applications for unemployment benefits fell in August, more than expected , to the lowest level since February 2009 , showed on Wednesday , official data .

    According to the Office for National Statistics , the number of people claiming unemployment benefits fell by 32,600 to 1.40 million, is the lowest level since February 2009 . Economists had expected a drop to 21200 .

    As a result, the unemployment rate in August fell to 4.2 percent from 4.3 percent in July . Economists had expected the rate will remain unchanged at 4.3 percent .

    The unemployment rate in the three months to July was 7.7 percent, up 0.1 percentage points lower than in the period from February to April. Unemployment rates were slightly lower than expected 7.8 percent . Average wages excluding bonuses rose by 1 percent during May to July compared with the same period a year earlier. With bonuses revenues grew by 1.1 percent.

  • 15:30

    U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, September -0.2

  • 15:00

    U.S.: Wholesale Inventories, July +0.1% (forecast +0.3%)

  • 14:45

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3100, $1.3215, $1.3250, $1.3350

    USD/JPY Y99.50, Y99.60, Y100.10, Y100.50, Y101.00, Y101.30

    EUR/JPY Y132.00

    EUR/GBP stg0.8400, stg0.8405, stg0.8420

    USD/CHF Chf0.9275

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2310

    AUD/USD $0.9200, $0.9285, $0.9300

    EUR/AUD A$1.4375

    NZD/USD $0.7950

    USD/CAD C$1.0400, C$1.0650

  • 13:15

    European session: the pound rose

    05:30 France Non-Farm Payrolls (Finally) Quarter II -0.2% -0.2% -0.2%

    06:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Finally) August 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

    06:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Finally) August +1.5% +1.5% +1.5%

    08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y July +1.1% +1.0% +1.0%

    08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate July 7.8% 7.8% 7.7%

    08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y July +2.1% +1.3% +1.1%

    08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count August -29.2 -21.2 -32.6

    08:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate August 4.3% 4.3% 4.2%


    The yen earlier fell to seven-week low after U.S. President Barack Obama at a closed meeting with senators urged the Senate to delay the vote on approval of military intervention in Syria before considering a possible diplomatic solution to the conflict. On Monday, the first vote on military intervention in Syria , scheduled in the Senate, was unexpectedly delayed. It was assumed that it will take place later this week, but then the senators have made it clear that the vote be postponed to a later date. Earlier, President Obama liked the statement of Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia Sergey Lavrov, who believes that all stocks of chemical weapons to Syria to pass under international control. Secretariat of the President of Russia has carefully examined the proposal on Syria and decided to postpone the war. Obama said that this could be a first step to ending the conflict .

    The dollar steadied against major currencies ahead of tomorrow's speech of President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York , William C. Dudley . Earlier in his speech , on July 2 , Dudley said that U.S. economic growth is likely to quicken in 2014, and to reduce the quantitative easing program may have in the fall. Recall that the meeting will take place on September 17-18 Open Market Committee Federal Reserve , where, according to the median forecast of experts , politicians will reduce the amount of monthly purchases to $ 75 billion from the current $ 85 billion

    The pound rose and crossed the mark of $ 1.5800 after a report on employment in the UK. According to the Office for National Statistics , the number of people claiming unemployment benefits fell by 32,600 to 1.40 million, is the lowest level since February 2009 . Economists had expected a fall of 21,200 . As a result, the unemployment rate in August fell to 4.2 percent from 4.3 percent in July . Economists had expected the rate will remain unchanged at 4.3 percent . The unemployment rate in the three months to July was 7.7 percent, up 0.1 percentage points lower than in the period from February to April. Unemployment rates were slightly lower than expected 7.8 percent .


    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3277


    GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.5825

    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair fell to Y100.08

    At 14:30 GMT the U.S. will release data on stocks of crude oil from the Ministry of Energy . At 17:00 GMT the United States spends placement of 10 - year bonds . At 21:00 GMT we will know the RBNZ decision on the basic interest rate will be a press conference by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand , the accompanying statement will be made of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, and will report the monetary policy of the RBNZ . End the day at 23:50 GMT Japan data on the change in orders for machinery and equipment for July.

  • 13:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3320/25, $1.3295/310

    Bids $1.3230/20, $1.3210/00, $1.3150/40


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.5920/30, $1.5900, $1.5870/80, $1.5840/50

    Bids $1.5685/80, $1.5650, $1.5630, $1.5600


    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.9400, $0.9380/85, $0.9350, $0.9330/35, $0.9320

    Bids  $0.9270, $0.9250, $0.9220/15, $0.9205/00


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8550/55, stg0.8520, stg0.8450/65

    Bids stg0.8380, stg0.8350, stg0.8300


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y134.60, Y134.30/40, Y133.80, Y133.50

    Bids Y132.80/70, Y132.10/00, Y131.50, Y130.80, Y130.00/9.80


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y101.50/55, Y101.00, Y100.80, Y100.60/65

    Bids Y100.00, Y99.80/70, Y99.35/30, Y99.20


  • 10:45

    U.K. jobless claims decline sharply in August

    Britain's jobless claims declined more-than-expected in August to the lowest since February 2009, official data showed Wednesday.

    The number of people claiming Jobseeker's Allowance decreased 32,600 to 1.40 million, the smallest since February 2009, the Office for National Statistics said. Economists had expected a fall of 21,000.

    Consequently, the claimant count rate for August edged down to 4.2 percent from 4.3 percent in July. The rate was expected to remain unchanged at 4.3 percent.

    The unemployment rate for three months to July came in at 7.7 percent, down 0.1 percentage point from February to April period. The rate was slightly below the expected 7.8 percent.

    Average earnings excluding bonus payments rose 1 percent during May to July compared with the same period a year earlier. Including bonus payments, earnings climbed 1.1 percent.

  • 10:24

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3100, $1.3215, $1.3250, $1.3350

    USD/JPY Y99.50, Y99.60, Y100.10, Y100.50, Y101.00, Y101.30

    EUR/JPY Y132.00

    EUR/GBP stg0.8400, stg0.8405, stg0.8420

    USD/CHF Chf0.9275

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2310

    AUD/USD $0.9200, $0.9285, $0.9300

    EUR/AUD A$1.4375

    NZD/USD $0.7950

    USD/CAD C$1.0400, C$1.0650

  • 09:33

    United Kingdom: Claimant Count Rate, August 4.2% (forecast 4.3%)

  • 09:31

    United Kingdom: Average Earnings, 3m/y , July +1.1% (forecast +1.3%)

  • 09:30

    United Kingdom: Claimant count , August -32.6 (forecast -21.2)

  • 09:30

    United Kingdom: Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y, July +1.0% (forecast +1.0%)

  • 09:30

    United Kingdom: ILO Unemployment Rate, July 7.7% (forecast 7.8%)

  • 07:20

    Asian session: The yen dropped

    00:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence September +3.5% +4.7%


    The yen dropped to its lowest level in seven weeks after U.S. President Barack Obama called for a pause in authorizing military strikes on Syria, and a worldwide equity rally eroded demand for Japan’s currency as a haven. Obama said in a live broadcast from the White House he would prefer a peaceful solution to the Syrian conflict and that he saw “encouraging signs” of diplomacy ending the confrontation over the Bashar al-Assad regime’s alleged use of chemical weapons. He said he’s asked Congress to postpone a vote on a military strike.

    The dollar rose against its major peers before Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William C. Dudley speaks tomorrow amid forecasts that policy makers will announce a slowing in bond purchases next week. The New York Fed’s Dudley said July 2 that economic growth will probably quicken in 2014, possibly warranting a reduction in bond purchases. The Fed is forecast to slow its monthly buying to $75 billion from the current $85 billion pace at its Sept. 17-18 meeting, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News on Sept. 6.

    The pound traded near the highest since June before data estimated to show U.K. jobless claims fell for a 10th month. In the U.K., unemployment claims probably fell by 21,000 in August, following a 29,200 decline the previous month, according to a poll of economists before today’s report. The unemployment rate is forecast to remain at 7.8 percent, the lowest since November.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair is trading around the $ 1.3260

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair trading around the $ 1.5730

    USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose Y100.60


    There is data on both sides of the Atlantic Wednesday, with the release of the UK employment data likely to be the stand out event. The European calendar gets underway at 0530GMT, when the French second quarter job creations numbers will cross the wires. At 0600GMT, German final August HICP data will be published. Analysts are looking for the rate to be unchanged on month and higher by 1.6% on the year. Further French data will be released at 0645GMT, when the July current account data will be released. At 0700GMT, European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso will deliver the latest 'State of the Union' speech, talking at the European Parliament, in Strasbourg, France. At 0900GMT, Germany's opposition SPD shadow labour minister Klaus Wiesehuegel presents their labour policy program, in Berlin, as the campaign enters the final 10 days. Back in Europe, at 1700GMT, ECB Executive Board Member Joerg Asmussen is slated to speak in Berlin. Sovereign issuance sees Germany sell a new 10-year benchmark Aug 2023 Bund issue for up to E5.0bln. Italy plans to issue new 12-month BOT, maturing Sep 15, 2014 for E8.5bln and a new 3-month flexible T-bill, maturing Dec 13, 2013 for E3.0bln.

  • 07:01

    Germany: CPI, m/m, August 0.0% (forecast 0.0%)

  • 07:01

    Germany: CPI, y/y , August +1.5% (forecast +1.5%)

  • 06:30

    France: Non-Farm Payrolls, Quarter II -0.2% (forecast -0.2%)

  • 06:20

    Currencies. Daily history for Sep 10'2013:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3265 +0,10%

    GBP/USD $1,5732 +0,25%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9348 +0,28%

    USD/JPY Y100,38 +0,78%

    EUR/JPY Y133,16 +0,86%

    GBP/JPY Y157,90 +1,01%

    AUD/USD $0,9309 +0,88%

    NZD/USD $0,8064 +0,58%

    USD/CAD C$1,0349 -0,20%

  • 06:00

    Schedule for today, Wednesday, Sep 11’2013:

    00:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence September +3.5%

    05:30 France Non-Farm Payrolls (Finally) Quarter II -0.2% -0.2%

    06:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Finally) August 0.0% 0.0%

    06:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Finally) August +1.5% +1.5%

    08:00 China New Loans August 700 731

    08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y July +1.1% +1.0%

    08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate July 7.8% 7.8%

    08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y July +2.1% +1.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count August -29.2 -21.2

    08:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate August 4.3% 4.3%

    14:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories July -0.2% +0.3%

    14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories September -1.8

    15:30 United Kingdom MPC Member Miles Speaks

    21:00 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 2.50% 2.50%

    21:00 New Zealand RBNZ Press Conference

    21:00 New Zealand RBNZ Rate Statement

    23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders July -2.7% +2.5%

    23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders, y/y July +4.9% +8.5%


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