Notícias do Mercado

15 março 2013
  • 18:45

    American focus: the euro rose sharply

    The dollar fell to a one-week low against the euro, as the report showed that the level rose more than expected. Labor Department reported that the consumer price index rose 0.7 percent in February after he remained at a minimum level in the previous three months. Economists had expected the consumer price index increased by 0.4 percent. The inflation rate in the measurement of the maximum monthly from June 2009. Meanwhile, the core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2 percent in February after increasing 0.3 percent in January. Increase in price corresponds to the estimates of economists. The rise in prices has occurred as a consequence of a sharp rise in energy prices, which have jumped in February to 5.4%, while food prices rose only 0.1%.

    The U.S. currency is sent to its first weekly decline against the Euro currency since early February, as many participants are waiting for the meeting of the Open Market Committee, which will take place next week. It is assumed that this meeting may be revised terms of asset-purchase program, known as quantitative easing, or QE.


    The pound rose sharply against the dollar in the first half of trading after the Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said that the politicians are not trying to weaken the currency. Pound close to the maximum level against the dollar this month, while the King, in an interview with ITV News said yesterday that "the market determine the exchange rate, and not of us." Once in the past couple quarters of the Bank of England King gave a verbal intervention against the high rate of the national currency, now he changed the tone of his statements and "finds comfort current levels by the pound." But in spite of this strengthening, the pound rose sharply in the second half of the session, helped by weak U.S. data. Note that in March consumer sentiment index, calculated by Reuters and the University of Michigan, dropped to a mark of 71.8 was significantly lower than the forecast 78.2 and February's 77.6 result. Published data have disappointed the markets, especially the expectations of Michigan preliminary index un-ta/Reuters, which in March fell to 61.7 against 70.2 in February. At the same time, a preliminary index of current conditions un-ta/Reuters Michigan in March fell to 87.5 against 89.0 in February. Index of 5-year inflation expectations at Michigan un-ta/Reuters in March rose by 2.9%, while the 12-month inflation expectations un-ta/Reuters Michigan in March added 3.3%.


    The Canadian dollar hit its highest level in three weeks against the U.S. dollar as a report was presented to the U.S. consumer price index.

  • 13:56

    U.S.: Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, March 71.8 (forecast 78.2)

  • 13:44

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD  $1.2900, $1.2920, $1.2950, $1.3050, $1.3100, $1.3150, $1.3180, $1.3195

    USD/JPY Y95.00, Y95.80, Y96.00, Y96.10, Y96.75, Y97.00

    EUR/JPY Y123.50, Y124.70

    GBP/USD $1.4900, $1.4950, $1.5030, $1.5100, $1.5150

    EUR/GBP stg0.8755

    USD/CHF Chf0.9350, Chf0.9450, Chf0.9550

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2200, Chf1.2315, Chf1.2400

    AUD/USD $1.0225, $1.0250, $1.0325, $1.0370, $1.0380, $1.0400


  • 13:29

    U.S. industrial production rises more than expected in February

    Industrial production in the U.S. increased by more than economists had been expecting in the month of February, according to a report released by the Federal Reserve on Friday.

    The Fed said industrial production rose by 0.7 percent in February after coming in unchanged in January. Economists had expected production to increase by 0.5 percent.

    The report also said that the capacity utilization rate rose to 79.6 percent in February from a revised 79.2 percent in January.


  • 13:16

    U.S.: Industrial Production (MoM), February +0.7% (forecast +0.3%)

  • 13:16

    U.S.: Capacity Utilization, February 79.6% (forecast 79.4%)

  • 13:08

    New York Manufacturing index indicates continued improvement in March

    While the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released a report on Friday showing that conditions for New York manufacturers continued to improve in March, the pace of improvement unexpectedly showed a modest slowdown compared to the previous month.

    The New York Fed said its general business conditions index edged down to 9.2 in March from 10.0 in February, with a positive reading indicating an increase in regional manufacturing activity. Economists had expected the index to come in unchanged.

  • 13:00

    U.S.: Net Long-term TIC Flows , January 25.7 (forecast 55.3)

  • 13:00

    U.S.: Total Net TIC Flows, January 110.9

  • 12:53

    U.S. consumer prices rise more than expected in February

    Consumer prices in the U.S. rose by more than expected in the month of February, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Friday, with the monthly price growth largely due to a sharp jump in energy prices.

    The Labor Department said its consumer price index rose by 0.7 percent in February after coming in essentially unchanged in each of the two previous months. Economists had been expecting consumer prices to increase by about 0.5 percent.

    Meanwhile, core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy costs, edged up by 0.2 percent in February following a 0.3 percent increase in January. The increase in core prices matched estimates.

  • 12:32

    U.S.: CPI, Y/Y, February +2.0% (forecast +1.8%)

  • 12:31

    U.S.: CPI, m/m , February +0.7% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 12:31

    U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, m/m, February +0.2% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 12:31

    U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, February +2.0% (forecast +2.0%)

  • 12:30

    U.S.: NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index , March 9.24 (forecast 8.40)

  • 12:17

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3160/65, $1.3130/35, $1.3100/10, $1.3070/80

    Bids $1.2980/70, $1.2960, $1.2880/60, $1.2850


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.5250/60, $1.5220/30, $1.5200, $1.5170/80

    Bids $1.5110/00, $1.5050/40, $1.5010/00, $1.4890


    AUD/USD

    Offers $1.0455/60, $1.0450, $1.0415/20, $1.0400

    Bids $1.0350, , $1.0340/30, $1.0320, $1.0310/00, $1.0285/80


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8800, stg0.8715/25, stg0.8695/700, stg0.8680/85, stg0.8665/70

    Bids stg0.8600, stg0.8575


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y126.95/00, Y126.45/50, Y126.10, Y125.90/00

    Bids Y125.25/20, Y124.90, Y124.85/80, Y124.70/60, Y124.50, Y124.30, Y124.10/00


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y97.50, Y97.25, Y97.00, Y96.45/50, Y96.25/30

    BidsY95.70, Y95.50, Y95.20, Y95.00


  • 10:31

    Eurozone February inflation slows as estimated

    Inflation in euro area slowed to 1.8 percent in February from 2 percent in January, matching preliminary estimates, data from Eurostat showed Friday.

    This was the lowest rate of inflation since August 2010. A year earlier the rate was 2.7 percent. Monthly inflation was 0.4 percent in February.

    Telecommunications, medical and paramedical services and garments had the biggest downward impacts on the overall inflation level, the statistical office said.

    The core inflation rate, that excludes price changes in energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, remained unchanged at 1.3 percent.


  • 10:11

    Asia Pacific stocks close:

    EUR/USD  $1.2900, $1.2920, $1.2950, $1.3050, $1.3100, $1.3150, $1.3180, $1.3195

    USD/JPY Y95.00, Y95.80, Y96.00, Y96.10, Y96.75, Y97.00

    EUR/JPY Y123.50, Y124.70

    GBP/USD $1.4900, $1.4950, $1.5030, $1.5150

    EUR/GBP stg0.8755

    USD/CHF Chf0.9350, Chf0.9450, Chf0.9550

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2200, Chf1.2315, Chf1.2400

    AUD/USD $1.0225, $1.0250, $1.0325, $1.0370, $1.0380, $1.0400
  • 10:01

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y, February +1.3% (forecast +1.3%)

  • 10:01

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, Y/Y, February +1.8% (forecast +1.8%)

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, February +0.4% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 08:42

    Forex: Thursday’s review

    Dollar exchange rate fell substantially against the euro, after reaching the highest level since December, as the attention of many participants shifted to a two-day summit in Brussels.

    We also add that from the fall of the dollar is not saved even better than expected data. Note that The Ministry of Labor will present another positive sign for the U.S. labor market, published a report showing that the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell in the week ended March 9. The report shows that for the week of March 10, the number of applications for unemployment benefits fell to 332,000, which is 10,000 less from the previous week's revised figure 342 000.Padenie surprise to economists, who had expected that the number of applications for unemployment benefits increase to 355,000 from 340,000, which was originally reported last week. The number of repeat orders decreased from 3.113 million to 3.024 million vs. 3.100 million

    The yen rose against the dollar after it dropped to the weakest level since August 2009, which was due to the fact that the lower house of parliament has approved as the next head of the Central Bank Haruhiko Kuroda, who is a proponent of increasing incentives.

    The pound rose against the dollar, departing from the weakest level in seven months, helped by speculation that Qatar will invest in infrastructure projects, which immediately led to a greater demand for sterling. In addition, note that the growth rate was also associated with the fact that many market participants are awaiting publication of the annual budget for 2013, which will be on Wednesday.

    The Australian dollar rose against all 16 major currencies, as the Bureau of Statistics said the number of employed rose last month to 71,500, compared to an increase of 13,100 people in the previous month. We add that according to the average forecast of economists should have been an increase of 10,000 people.


  • 08:17

    Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, m/m, February +0.1% (forecast +0.3%)

  • 08:17

    Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, y/y, February +0.1%

  • 07:03

    Asian session: The U.S. currency was weaker

    21:30 New Zealand Business NZ PMI February 55.2 56.3


    The U.S. currency was weaker after technical charts signaled recent advances may have come too fast. The 14-day relative strength index for the Dollar Index (DXY) was at 71.7 on March 13, above the 70 threshold that signals to some traders that a currency has climbed too far, too fast and is poised to reverse. The gauge is forecast to trade at 82.2 by year-end, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

    A core measure of U.S. consumer prices, which excludes more volatile food and energy costs, probably rose 2 percent for the year to February, economists forecast in a Bloomberg News poll before the Labor Department report today. Core prices picked up 0.2 percent from a month earlier, following a 0.3 percent advance in January, the survey showed.

    The yen fell against the euro after Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s picks to run the central bank were confirmed by the upper house. The upper house of Japan’s parliament today confirmed Haruhiko Kuroda as Bank of Japan (8301) governor along with Kikuo Iwata and Hiroshi Nakaso as his deputies. The vote ushers in a new central bank leadership team amid market expectations for more monetary stimulus.

    Australia’s dollar headed for the strongest weekly gain in six months before minutes on March 19 from the Reserve Bank’s latest meeting, when policy makers refrained from cutting interest rates.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.3030.

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.5070-00.

    USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of Y95.85-25.


    The EU leaders Summit continues in Brussels Friday, with budget issues and single markets talks to dominate. Cyprus is not on the official agenda and will be addressed by a special Eurogroup meeting called for later this afternoon, although it is not certain there will be any conclusive agreements. Although no time is slated, the Bank of Portugal Official Bulletin will be released Friday morning. There is Eurozone data due at 1000GMT, when the fourth quarter labour cost survey and the February final HICP data will hit the wires. At 1430GMT, European Economics and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn and European Council President Herman Van Rompuy are to speak at the Brussels Forum 2013. Lastly, as noted, Eurogroup finmins will meet  at around 1600GMT to discuss Cyprus.


  • 06:21

    Currencies. Daily history for Mar 14'2013:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3002 +0,33%

    GBP/USD $1,5083 +1,09%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9470 -0,57%

    USD/JPY Y96,11 +0,05%

    EUR/JPY Y124,97 +0,38%

    GBP/JPY Y144,96 +1,13%

    AUD/USD $1,0384 +0,84%

    NZD/USD $0,8215 +0,34%

    USD/CAD C$1,0221 -0,57%
  • 06:02

    Schedule for today, Friday, Mar 15’2013:

    08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m February -0.1% +0.3%

    08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y February +0.8%

    10:00 Eurozone EU Economic Summit March

    10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI February -1.0% +0.4%

    10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) February +1.8% +1.8%

    10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y February +1.3% +1.3%

    12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index March 10.04 8.40

    12:30 U.S. CPI, m/m February 0.0% +0.4%

    12:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y February +1.6% +1.8%

    12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m February +0.3% +0.2%

    12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y February +1.9% +2.0%

    13:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows January 25.2

    13:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows January 64.2 55.3

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) February -0.1% +0.3%

    13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization February 79.1% 79.4%

    13:55 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Preliminary) March 77.6 78.2
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