Notícias do Mercado
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13:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.3000, $1.3050, $1.3055, $1.3060, $1.3100, $1.3190, $1.3200
USD/JPY Y95.70, Y96.00, Y96.05, Y96.50, Y97.00
GBP/USD $1.4800, $1.4900, $1.5000, $1.5100, $1.5250
AUD/USD $1.0400, $1.0425, $1.0430
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12:31
Canada: Foreign Securities Purchases, January 13.34 (forecast 7.85)
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12:15
European session: the euro fell sharply
Data
00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) March +2.8% +1.7%
00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) March +1.1% +1.2%
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) February -2.4% 0.0%
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) February +10.8% +9.4%
06:45 Switzerland SECO Economic Forecasts Quarter II
10:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. January 10.3 3.4 9.0
The euro fell sharply against the U.S. dollar today as the controversial decision of the Euro Group, which was adopted on Saturday and the alleged imposition of a one-time tax on all bank deposits in Cyprus, as a condition to assist countries in the amount of 10 billion euros, has caused significant risk aversion in the markets. Growing public opposition to these measures and the desperate attempts to withdraw money in output led the Government of Cyprus to offer to reduce the tax on small deposits from 6.75% to 3%. A tax of 10% may be imposed on deposits to 500,000 euros and 15% for deposits above.
Meanwhile, a team of Deutsche Bank analysts said that even if small depositors with deposits have suffered, it is impossible not to think that this decision has crossed a line, and now all EU investors will look for alternative places of storage, regardless of the size of the deposit. In addition, they say that now you would think that because the markets are calm enough, this problem is unlikely to spread far, however, this solution can easily enhance future crises in Europe, as all will be wary of the risk of lost deposits, no matter what they say policy, or what the terms of insurance. "
But, despite this sharp decline, the single currency rose back to $ 1.2977, after it became known that the government of Cyprus scheduled for today postponed a parliamentary vote on the conditions for the country's financial aid. However, later the representative of Cyprus said that the discussion of the matter was postponed to tomorrow.
Pound at the beginning of the week was up against the euro by about 120 points. This evolution of the single currency due to its reaction to the innovations in the financial assistance program for Cyprus. Note also that the impact on the exchange rate and the data from the Agency of Statistics of the European Union, which were presented not seasonally adjusted, in January imports exceeded the amount of the euro area exports, against which was a deficit of $ 3.9 billion ( $ 5.1 billion). Meanwhile, add that to a seasonally adjusted exports rose by 2.0%, while imports rose by 3.1%, which will allow a surplus of EUR9.0 billion, compared with a revised downwards from the previous month at EUR10.3 billion surplus. Note that according to the average estimates of experts, the surplus was to drop to 3.4 billion euros, compared with a surplus at 12.0 billion, which was originally reported. Eurostat also said that Germany's trade surplus totaled EUR186.7 billion, compared with EUR157.4 billion in 2011, while the Netherlands and Ireland also showed a significant excess of exports over imports.EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.2977
GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.5144, and then fell to $ 1.5106
USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y95.15
At 12:30 GMT, Canada will report on the volume of transactions with foreign securities in January.
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12:00
Orders
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3110, $1.3000, $1.2975/85
Bids $1.2980/70, $1.2860/50, $1.2825/20, $1.2800/790
GBP/USD
Offers $1.5250/60, $1.5220/35, $1.5200, %1.5180
Bids $1.5050/40, $1.5010/00, $1.4965/60
AUD/USD
Offers $1.0455/60, $1.0450, $1.0415/20, $1.0400, $1.0390
Bids $1.0340/30, $1.0310/00, $1.0285/80
EUR/JPY
Offers Y124.45/50, Y124.00, Y123.45/50, Y123.36
Bids Y122.10/00, Y121.50, Y121.20/15, Y121.00, Y120.80
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8695/700, stg0.8680/85, stg0.8650, stg0.8600
Bids stg0.8505/00, stg0.8450/40, stg0.8410/00
USD/JPY
Offers Y96.25/30, Y96.00, Y95.50, Y95.30/40
Bids Y94.50/40, Y94.10/00, Y93.85/80, Y93.50/40, Y93.30/20
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10:10
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.3000, $1.3050, $1.3055, $1.3060, $1.3100, $1.3190, $1.3200
USD/JPY Y95.70, Y96.00, Y96.05, Y96.50, Y97.00
GBP/USD $1.4800, $1.4900, $1.5000, $1.5100, $1.5250
AUD/USD $1.0400, $1.0425, $1.0430
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10:01
Eurozone: Trade Balance s.a., January 9.0 (forecast 3.4)
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08:40
Forex: Friday’s review
The dollar fell to a one-week low against the euro, as the report showed that the level rose more than expected. Labor Department reported that the consumer price index rose 0.7 percent in February after he remained at a minimum level in the previous three months. Economists had expected the consumer price index increased by 0.4 percent. The inflation rate in the measurement of the maximum monthly from June 2009. Meanwhile, the core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2 percent in February after increasing 0.3 percent in January. Increase in price corresponds to the estimates of economists. The rise in prices has occurred as a consequence of a sharp rise in energy prices, which have jumped in February to 5.4%, while food prices rose only 0.1%.
The U.S. currency is sent to its first weekly decline against the Euro currency since early February, as many participants are waiting for the meeting of the Open Market Committee, which will take place week. It is assumed that this meeting may be revised terms of asset-purchase program, known as quantitative easing, or QE.
The pound rose sharply against the dollar in the first half of trading after the Bank of England Governor Mervyn King said that the politicians are not trying to weaken the currency. Pound close to the maximum level against the dollar this month, while the King, in an interview with ITV News said that "the market determine the exchange rate, and not of us." Once in the past couple quarters of the Bank of England King gave a verbal intervention against the high rate of the national currency, now he changed the tone of his statements and "finds comfort current levels by the pound." But in spite of this strengthening, the pound rose sharply in the second half of the session, helped by weak U.S. data. Note that in March consumer sentiment index, calculated by Reuters and the University of Michigan, dropped to a mark of 71.8 was significantly lower than the forecast 78.2 and February's 77.6 result. Published data have disappointed the markets, especially the expectations of Michigan preliminary index un-ta/Reuters, which in March fell to 61.7 against 70.2 in February. At the same time, a preliminary index of current conditions un-ta/Reuters Michigan in March fell to 87.5 against 89.0 in February. Index of 5-year inflation expectations at Michigan un-ta/Reuters in March rose by 2.9%, while the 12-month inflation expectations un-ta/Reuters Michigan in March added 3.3%.
The Canadian dollar hit its highest level in three weeks against the U.S. dollar as a report was presented to the U.S. consumer price index.
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07:03
Asian session: The euro dropped
00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) March +2.8% +1.7%
00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) March +1.1% +1.2%
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) February -2.4% 0.0%
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) February +10.8% +9.4%
The euro dropped to its lowest level this year against the dollar after an unprecedented levy on bank deposits in Cyprus threatened to derail the nation’s bailout and spark a new round in Europe’s debt crisis.
The 17-nation euro declined by the most in three weeks against the yen as investors sought haven assets after Cypriot President Nicos Anastasiades bowed to demands by euro-area finance ministers to raise 5.8 billion euros ($7.5 billion) by taking a piece of every bank account in Cyprus. Scenes of Cypriots lining up at cash machines raised the specter of capital flight elsewhere and threatened to disrupt a market calm that settled over the 17-member currency bloc since the European Central Bank’s pledge in September to backstop troubled nations’ debt.
The yen rose against all 16 major peers after Anastasiades delayed a vote on the measure in parliament until today.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.2885-25.
GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.5070-25.
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell below Y94.50.
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06:09
Schedule for today, Monday, Mar 18’2013:
00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) March +2.8%
00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) March +1.1%
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) February -2.4%
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) February +10.8%
06:45 Switzerland SECO Economic Forecasts Quarter II
10:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. January 12.0 3.4
12:30 Canada Foreign Securities Purchases January -1.92 7.85
22:15 Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks March
22:50 Australia RBA Assist Gov Lowe Speaks March
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