The U.S. dollar fell against major currencies after data unexpected reduction of industrial production and the fall in activity in the region, the New York Fed .
Recent data , which were presented by the Federal Reserve showed that at the end of last month , industrial production unexpectedly fell , although the main figures indicate strong demand for most of the production of goods. According to the report , industrial production fell by a seasonally adjusted 0.1% in October , after increasing 0.7 % in September , while capacity utilization decreased by 0.2 % - to the level of 78.1% . Experts estimate production in October would grow by 0.1% in capacity utilization remain unchanged - at the level of 78.3 %. Note also that the growth of industrial production in September was revised upward from 0.6 %.
The report published by the Federal Reserve , New York showed that manufacturers in the area of responsibility of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that business conditions deteriorated this month , as the reduced volume of orders and deliveries. Fed manufacturing index to New York in November fell to -2.21 , its first negative value since May, against 1.52 in October. Index values below 0 indicate a decline in activity . Economists had expected the index to 5.2 . Subindexes Fed New York as a whole weakened.
Earlier, the euro fell against the dollar, which was associated with the release of the final inflation data , which showed that the annual inflation rate among the 28 member countries of the European Union fell to its lowest level in four years in October . This situation adds to fears that the unit may be in an even more precarious position from a long period of falling prices . According to the report , consumer prices in the EU rose by 0.9 % for 12 months (until October ) , which was significantly lower than the figure at 1.3 % recorded in September. Note that the increase in consumer prices was the lowest since October 2009 . Meanwhile, data showed that the annual rate of inflation in the 17 euro-zone countries was 0.7 % in October , the lowest level since November 2009 . Recall that the preliminary data on inflation , issued October 31 , caused a quick response from the European Central Bank , which cut its benchmark interest rate to a record low of 0.25 % last week .
Pound rose against the U.S. dollar on a background of the Bank of England representative comments Huila . According to Wil , it may be correct to leave its key rate at 0.5 %, even after the unemployment rate of 7%. Member of the Committee on Monetary Policy Martin Weale said that the Bank of England will have to return to my pledge to keep rates low, at least for next year , if the unemployment rate will drop rapidly . He noted that the rate of decline is important in the unemployment rate , and that the faster -than-expected drop should encourage Committee to reconsider its position . " If unemployment will decline ... much faster than in our central forecast , we have to think about the risk of conservation rates too low for too long - he said. - Even with inflation close to the target level , would hardly be appropriate for rates to remain at current levels until not be used in all available power economy. "
USD/JPY Y98.50, Y98.70, Y98.85, Y98.90, Y99.00, Y99.30, Y99.50, Y99.80, Y100.00, Y100.25, Y100.50
EUR/JPY Y132.90, Y133.25
EUR/USD $1.3315, $1.3350, $1.3370, $1.3390, $1.3480, $1.3485, $1.3500, $1.3525, $1.3590, $1.3600
GBP/USD $1.5800, $1.5865, $1.5920, $1.5950, $1.5995, $1.6000, $1.6020, $1.6050
EUR/GBP stg0.8400, stg0.8420, stg0.8450, stg0.8485
AUD/USD Y92.50, Y92.60, $0.9275, $0.9300
AUD/JPY Y95.00
USD/CAD C$1.0490
Data:
10:00 EU Council meeting of European finance ministers
10:00 Eurozone Consumer Price Index m / m in October +0.5% -0.1% -0.1%
10:00 Eurozone CPI Y / Y (final) October +0.7% +0.7% +0.7%
10:00 Eurozone Consumer Price Index, the base value, y / y in October +0.8% +0.8% +0.8%
The euro exchange rate rose slightly against the dollar, while retreating from session lows . Note that this is related to the dynamics of trading data output for the euro area , as well as the expectations of the publication of reports by the United States.
Final data that have been published by Statistics EU agency , showed that the annual rate of inflation among the 28 member countries of the European Union fell to its lowest level in four years in October . This situation adds to fears that the unit may be in an even more precarious position from a long period of falling prices . According to the report , consumer prices in the EU rose by 0.9 % in the 12 months ( to October) , which was significantly lower than the figure at 1.3 % , recorded in September. Note that the increase in consumer prices was the lowest since October 2009 .
Meanwhile, data showed that the annual rate of inflation in the 17 countries of the euro zone was 0.7 % in October , the lowest level since November 2009 . Recall that the preliminary inflation data released on October 31 , caused a rapid response from the European Central Bank, which cut its benchmark interest rate to a record low of 0.25 % last week .
U.S. data will probably show that industrial production rose in October, but at a slower pace than in September , reflecting a pause in production during the 16-day partial closure of the federal government. According to experts , the volume of industrial production increased by 0.2 percent last month after increasing 0.6 percent in September.
In addition, we add that manufacturing activity in New York , estimated in November grew at a faster rate after slowing for three consecutive months. The index of manufacturing activity in New York is likely to grow to 5.2 from 1.52 in October ( the five-month minimum).
The yen continued to fall against the dollar , as markets continued to show a craving for risk after yesterday's speech Janet Yellen to the Senate Banking Committee . Recall that Yellen is a candidate to head the Federal Reserve after the end of the term of office Bernanke. During his speech , she said that tends to create a strong economic recovery and provide monetary stimulus that will not stop anytime soon.
"I think it is necessary to do everything possible to promote a very strong recovery. It is important not to abandon support, especially when the recovery is fragile, and the tools available to monetary policy during disruptions in the economy is limited, given that short-term interest rates are at zero . "
Yellen also said that the benefits of the program of bond purchases is still outweigh the costs. Calling for greater regulation in order to help protect the financial system , she said that she would like to see more progress in reducing unemployment, which currently stands at 7.3 percent . The politician added that he saw no signs of proliferation of bubbles in the stock market or property.
Yellen said that the program of asset purchases by the central bank helped make a significant contribution to economic growth and improved prospects , and that the program will not continue indefinitely . Yellen said that the Fed's key interest rate will remain low even after the policy start to cut back on the purchase of bonds.
EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair is trading in a narrow range - $ 1.3462 -$ 1.3432
GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair has set high at $ 1.6090 and then pulled back to the lows , but then recovered to $ 1.6071
USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y100.43
At 13:30 GMT Canada will announce the change of volume of manufacturing sales in September. Also this time, the U.S. will release the Empire Manufacturing production index for November and the import price index for October. At 14:15 GMT the United States will present the capacity utilization rate and announce the change in the volume of industrial production in October. At 15:00 GMT the United States will announce the percentage of late payments on the mortgage for the 3rd quarter .
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3550, $1.3500, $1.3490-99, $1.3464, $1.3450
Bids $1.3423-18, $1.3400/390, $1.3350, $1.3320-00
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6200/10, $1.6180, $1.6160/65, $1.6140/50, $1.6115/25, $1.6100/05
Bids $1.6050/45, $1.6030, $1.6015/00, $1.5988
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9450, $0.9420, $0.9400, $0.9360/70
Bids $0.9300, $0.9281, $0.9250, $0.9200
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8430, stg0.8415/20, stg0.8390/400, stg0.8383
Bids stg0.8340, stg0.8325/20, stg0.8300
EUR/JPY
Offers Y136.50, Y136.00, Y135.73, Y135.50, Y135.24
Bids Y134.65, Y134.20/00, Y133.88/80, Y133.50, Y133.25/20
USD/JPY
Offers Y101.19, Y101.00, Y100.61, Y100.50
Bids Y99.80, Y99.60, Y99.50/40, Y99.20, Y99.11
USD/JPY Y99.00, Y99.20, Y99.50, Y99.65, Y99.75, Y100.00
EUR/JPY Y134.00, Y135.00
EUR/USD $1.3300, $1.3350, $1.3400, $1.3420, $1.3450, $1.3475, $1.3500, $1.3510, $1.3565, $1.3600
GBP/USD $1.5950, $1.5960, $1.6000, $1.6050, $1.6175
EUR/GBP stg0.8375
USD/CHF Chf0.9165
AUD/USD Y92.50, Y92.60, $0.9300, $0.9350, $0.9365, $0.9400
NZD/USD $0.8100
USD/CAD C$1.0400, C$1.0450, C$1.0500, C$1.0520, C$1.0550
The yen yesterday breached the 100 level for the first time in two months and is set for weekly declines against all its major peers before the Bank of Japan meets next week and following data that showed growth slowed. In Japan, gross domestic product growth slowed to an annualized 1.9 percent in the July-September period from 3.8 percent in the second quarter, the Cabinet Office said yesterday. BOJ policy makers gather next week for a two-day policy meeting that ends Nov. 21. Almost three-quarters of economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the BOJ will add to stimulus in the first half of next year.
The dollar is poised for its first weekly slide versus the euro this month after Janet Yellen, the nominee to head the Federal Reserve, said easing measures won’t be removed too soon. Yellen said the central bank’s key interest rate, at a record zero to 0.25 percent, would remain low even after policy makers start to reduce monetary easing. The Fed has kept its benchmark for borrowing costs near zero since December 2008.
Euro demand may be limited before a report today forecast to confirm annual inflation in the region slowed to 0.7 percent in October, the lowest since 2009, from 1.1 percent in September. Consumer prices fell 0.1 percent on a monthly basis, the data are projected to show, according to the median estimate in Bloomberg survey.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3445-60
GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6050-75
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y100.30
Friday sees a much quieter calendar on both sides of the Atlantic, with the market left to further dissect the policy implications of this weeks comments from Fed Chair-nominate Yellen and BOE Governor Carney. The European calendar kicks off at 1000GMT, with the release of the October final HICP data. At 1215GMT, ECB Executive Board member Yves Mersch is scheduled to speak at the 6th Annual CFA Institute European Investment Conference in London. Last up, at 1730GMT, ECB Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny is scheduled to speak on "Hungary at the Crossroads", in Vienna. The US calendar gets underway at 1330GMT, when the Oct Import/Export Price Index data and the November NY Fed Empire State numbers are set for publication. The Philadelphia Fed index also declined in October, but it remained elevated. At 1415GMT, the October industrial production numbers and the capacity utilisation data will cross the wires. The US Sep wholesale inventories data will cross the wires at 1500GMT, the last data for the week.
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,3461 -0,19%
GBP/USD $1,6062 +0,03%
USD/CHF Chf0,9165 +0,35%
USD/JPY Y100,01 +0,77%
EUR/JPY Y134,62 +0,59%
GBP/JPY Y160,63 +0,82%
AUD/USD $0,9316 -0,43%
NZD/USD $0,8273 -0,17%
USD/CAD C$1,0463 +0,08%
10:00 Eurozone ECOFIN Meetings
10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI October +0.5% -0.1%
10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) October +0.7% +0.7%
10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y October +0.8% +0.8%
13:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) September -0.2% +0.3%
13:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index November 1.52 5.2
13:30 U.S. Import Price Index October +0.2% -0.4%
14:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) October +0.6% +0.1%
14:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization October 78.3% 78.3%
14:30 United Kingdom MPC Member Weale Speaks
15:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories September +0.5% +0.5%