The U.S. dollar fell against major currencies after the deputy chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve Janet Yellen signaled that no major changes in the central bank will not if she will be his next head .
Yellen pointed out that the Fed will consider folding its program of bond purchases at 85 billion dollars a month for the next meetings on monetary policy, although she did not say if it supports these early steps .
"We take note on the costs and effectiveness of the program as it is implemented . At this stage, I think that the benefits exceed the costs , "- said Yellen in early hearings in the Senate Banking Committee , dedicated to her nomination to the post of chairman of the Fed.
The Fed announced that complete the program of bond purchases if the costs and risks become too great. Yellen signaled that , in its opinion , such a moment has not come yet .
She said that there are risks associated with too early or too late completion of the program , as well as the loose monetary policy of the Fed in general.
Impact on the dollar also provided data that was presented by the Ministry of Labour, which showed that the number of people who applied for the first time unemployment benefits fell again last week , registering with the fifth week in a row reduction , that is another sign of strengthening market labor. According to the report , the seasonally adjusted number of initial claims for unemployment benefits fell by 2,000 - to a level of 339,000 in the week ended November 9. Economists forecast that the value of this indicator reduced to the level of 331 thousand also add that the figure for the previous week was revised up from 336 thousand to 341 thousand
Earlier, the euro fell against the dollar, which was associated with the release of a weak report on the euro area. According to data from Eurostat , in the third quarter eurozone economy barely expanded , creating new concerns about the fact that the region faces a combination of stagnation , low prices and high unemployment that threatens to constrain development in the foreseeable future . According to the report , the euro zone 's gross domestic product in the third quarter increased by only 0.1 % compared with the previous quarter . Recall that the eurozone economy declined six consecutive quarters since the end of 2011 , but was able to stop this series in the second quarter of this year. Note that, according to the average forecast of experts economy in the third quarter was to expand by 0.2%.
Meanwhile, adding that economic activity slowed down in Germany and decreased in France during the third quarter. This suggests that began in the summer of eurozone recovery stalled. According to the German GDP rose in the 3rd quarter by 0.3 % compared with the 2nd quarter. French GDP , contrary to expectations, in the 3rd quarter decreased by 0.1 % after rising 0.5% in the 2nd quarter.
In addition, it was reported that in the 3rd quarter of 2013, Italy's GDP contracted by 0.1 % compared to the previous quarter due to growth in the manufacturing sector , while Spain's GDP grew by 0.1 percent.
Pound previously came under pressure after data on retail sales, which showed that at the end of last month in the UK retail sales unexpectedly fell , which was associated with a reduction in demand for electrical goods and clothing. Note that this result indicates the fragility of consumer demand , which was a factor in economic growth since the spring . According to the report , retail sales fell 0.7 % in October , compared with a rise of 0.6 % in September. Add that on an annualized basis , sales increased 1.8% after rising 2.2 % the previous month . Note that many economists had expected growth of 0.2 % on a monthly basis , and an increase of 3.3 % per annum.
The October result recorded deceleration after a 1.3 percent increase in sales in the third quarter, which was revised up from 1.5 %. This revision does not significantly affect the rate of economic growth, which was 0.8 % for the quarter - the fastest pace of expansion in three years. Recall that retail is just over 5 % of the economy.
USD/JPY Y98.50, Y98.70, Y98.85, Y98.90, Y99.00, Y99.30, Y99.50, Y99.80, Y100.00, Y100.25, Y100.50
EUR/JPY Y132.90, Y133.25
EUR/USD $1.3315, $1.3350, $1.3370, $1.3390, $1.3480, $1.3485, $1.3500, $1.3525, $1.3590, $1.3600
GBP/USD $1.5800, $1.5865, $1.5920, $1.5950, $1.5995, $1.6000, $1.6020, $1.6050
EUR/GBP stg0.8400, stg0.8420, stg0.8450, stg0.8485
AUD/USD Y92.50, Y92.60, $0.9275, $0.9300
AUD/JPY Y95.00
USD/CAD C$1.0490
Data:
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast / actual value)
00:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations November +2.0 % +1.9 %
00:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies
4:30 Japan Industrial Production m / m ( final data ) September +1.5 % +1.5 % +1.3 %
4:30 Japan Industrial Production y / y (final ) September +5.4 % +5.4 % +5.1 %
6:30 France GDP q / q ( preliminary data ) III m +0.5 % +0.1 % -0.1 %
6:30 France GDP y / y (preliminary data ) III m +0.4 % +0.2 % +0.2 %
7:00 Germany GDP q / q ( preliminary data ) III m +0.7 % +0.3 % +0.3 %
7:00 Germany GDP y / y (preliminary data ) III m +0.9 % +1.0 % +0.6 %
7:45 France Consumer Price Index m / m in October -0.2 % 0.0 % -0.1 %
7:45 France Consumer Price Index y / y in October +0.9 % +0.7 % +0.7 %
7:45 France Change the number of people employed in non-agricultural sector (preliminary ) III m -0.2 % -0.1 % -0.1 %
08:15 Switzerland PPI and import , m / m in October +0.1 % +0.3 % -0.4 %
08:15 Switzerland PPI and import y / y in October 0.0 % -0.3 % -0.3 %
09:00 EU ECB Monthly Report November
09:30 UK Retail Sales m / m in October +0.6 % +0.2 % -0.7 %
09:30 UK Retail Sales y / y in October +2.2 % +3.3 % +1.8 %
10:00 EU Eurogroup meeting
10:00 Eurozone GDP q / q ( preliminary data ) III m +0.3 % +0.2 % +0.1 %
10:00 Eurozone GDP y / y (preliminary data ) III m -0.6 % -0.3 % -0.4 %
Euro fell against the dollar, which has been associated with the release of a weak report on the euro area. According to data from the European Union's statistics agency Eurostat, for the third quarter of the euro zone economy barely expanded , creating new concerns about the fact that the region is faced with a combination of stagnation , low prices and high unemployment that threatens to hinder the development in the foreseeable future. According to the report, the euro zone 's gross domestic product in the third quarter increased by only 0.1 % compared with the previous quarter . Recall that the euro zone economy declined six consecutive quarters since the end of 2011 , but was able to interrupt the series in the second quarter of this year. Note that according to the average forecast of experts economy in the third quarter was to expand by 0.2 %.
Meanwhile , we add that economic activity slowed in Germany and fell in France during the third quarter. This suggests that began in the summer of eurozone recovery has stalled . According to reports, the German GDP rose in the 3rd quarter by 0.3 % compared with the 2nd quarter. French GDP , contrary to expectations , in the 3rd quarter decreased by 0.1 % after rising 0.5 % in the 2nd quarter.
In addition, it was reported that in the 3rd quarter of 2013, Italy's GDP contracted by 0.1 % compared to the previous quarter due to growth in the manufacturing sector , while Spain's GDP grew by 0.1 percent.
The pound rose against the dollar , recovering from an early fall on expectations the release of the United States .
Note that the initial pressure on the pound had retail sales data , which showed that by the end of last month in the UK retail sales unexpectedly fell, which was associated with a reduction in demand for electrical goods and clothing. Note that this result signals the fragility of consumer demand, which was a factor of economic growth since the spring . According to the report , retail sales fell 0.7 % in October , compared with growth of 0.6 % in September. Add that on an annualized basis , sales increased by 1.8 % after rising 2.2 % the previous month . Note that many economists had expected growth of 0.2 % on a monthly basis , and an increase of 3.3 % per annum.
The October result recorded a slowdown after a 1.3 percent increase in sales in the third quarter, which was revised up from 1.5 %. This revision does not significantly affect the rate of economic growth, which was 0.8 % for the quarter - the fastest pace of expansion in three years. Recall that retail is just over 5% of the total economy .
EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3425
GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair dropped to $ 1.5986 , but then recovered to $ 1.6050
USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y100.04
At 13:30 GMT in Canada will price index for housing in the primary market and the trade balance for September. Also this time the U.S. will report on its trade balance for September, the change in the level of labor productivity in the non-manufacturing sector and the change in the level of labor costs in Q3 . At 18:00 GMT the United States places the 30 - year bonds .
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3550, $1.3500/10, $1.3500, $1.3499
Bids $1.3400/390, $1.3350, $1.3320-00, $1.3295-94
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6200/10, $1.6180, $1.6160/65, $1.6140/50, $1.6120/25, $1.6100/05, $1.6070
Bids $1.5975/70, $1.5950/45, $1.5925/20
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9450, $0.9420, $0.9400, $0.9360/70, $0.9340/50
Bids $0.9250, $0.9200, $0.9195
EUR/JPY
Offers Y136.50, Y136.00, Y135.50, Y135.00
Bids Y134.00, Y133.50, Y133.25/20, Y133.10/00
USD/JPY
Offers Y101.00, Y100.50, Y100.20
Bids Y99.60, Y99.50/40, Y99.20, Y99.00, Y98.80
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8500, stg0.8475/80, stg0.8415/20, stg0.8416
Bids stg0.8380/70, stg0.8325/20, stg0.8300, stg0.8285
USD/JPY Y98.50, Y98.70, Y98.85, Y98.90, Y99.00, Y99.30, Y99.50, Y99.80, Y100.00, Y100.25, Y100.50
EUR/JPY Y132.90, Y133.25
EUR/USD $1.3315, $1.3350, $1.3370, $1.3390, $1.3480, $1.3485, $1.3500, $1.3525, $1.3590, $1.3600
GBP/USD $1.5800, $1.5865, $1.5920, $1.5950, $1.5995, $1.6000, $1.6020, $1.6050
EUR/GBP stg0.8400, stg0.8420, stg0.8450, stg0.8485
AUD/USD Y92.50, Y92.60, $0.9275, $0.9300
AUD/JPY Y95.00
USD/CAD C$1.0490
00:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation November +2.0% +1.9%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) September +1.5% +1.5% +1.3%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Finally) September +5.4% +5.4% +5.1%
The yen weakened against all of its major peers as Asian stocks gained and after data showed Japan’s growth slowed in the third quarter, adding to the case for the central bank to boost stimulus. Growth in Japan’s gross domestic product slowed to an annualized 1.9 percent in the July-September period from 3.8 percent in the second quarter, government figures showed today. The median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a 1.7 percent increase.
The euro snapped a three-day advance after European Central Bank executive board member Peter Praet said the central bank can use negative interest rates. An official report is likely to show today that the euro region’s economy expanded 0.1 percent in the third quarter, based on a separate Bloomberg poll of economists. GDP grew 0.3 percent in the second quarter, marking an end to the longest recession on record.
The Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Index held a decline from yesterday after Federal Reserve chairman nominee Janet Yellen said the economy and labor market are performing “far short of their potential”. “A strong recovery will ultimately enable the Fed to reduce its monetary accommodation and reliance on unconventional policy tools such as asset purchases,” Yellen said in testimony prepared for her nomination hearing today before the Senate Banking Committee. “I believe that supporting the recovery today is the surest path to returning to a more normal approach to monetary policy.”
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.3560
GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair fell to $ 1.6025
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y99.75
The European calendar gets underway at 0700GMT, when German third quarter flash GDP numbers are released. There is a slew of French data expected at 0745GMT, when September current account, Q3 payrolls, Q3 flash GDP and the October HICP numbers will be published. Spain's September industrial orders numbers will be released at 0800GMT, along with the Spanish September service survey. The ECB monthly bulletin will be released at 0900GMT, which is likely to replicate the opening statement read by President Draghi at Thursday's post-rate cut presser. At 0945GMT, ECB Governing Council member Erkki Liikanen will deliver a speech at EBA Research Workshop, in London. At 1000GMT, Bundesbank Vice President Sabine Lautenschlaeger and Buba Board member Andreas Dombret will hold a press conference, in Frankfurt. After individual releases earlier, 1000GMT sees the release of the amalgamated EMU numbers. At midday GMT, Eurogroup finance ministers meet in Brussels, with Greece amongst the topics to be discussed. UK retail sales for October will be released at 0930GMT.
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,3486 +0,39%
GBP/USD $1,6057 +0,97%
USD/CHF Chf0,9133 -0,45%
USD/JPY Y99,24 -0,39%
EUR/JPY Y133,83 -0,01%
GBP/JPY Y159,32 +0,56%
AUD/USD $0,9356 +0,61%
NZD/USD $0,8287 +0,81%
USD/CAD C$1,0455 -0,36%
00:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation November +2.0% +1.9%
00:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) October -0.1%
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) October -3.5%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) September +1.5% +1.5%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Finally) September +5.4% +5.4%
06:30 France GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III +0.5% +0.1%
06:30 France GDP, Y/Y (Preliminary) Quarter III +0.4% +0.2%
07:00 Germany GDP (QoQ) (Preliminary) Quarter III +0.7% +0.3%
07:00 Germany GDP (YoY) (Preliminary) Quarter III +0.9% +1.0%
07:45 France CPI, m/m October -0.2% 0.0%
07:45 France CPI, y/y October +0.9% +0.7%
07:45 France Non-Farm Payrolls (Preliminary) Quarter III -0.2% -0.1%
08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m October +0.1% +0.3%
08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y October 0.0% -0.3%
09:00 Eurozone ECB Monthly Report November
09:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) October +0.6% +0.2%
09:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) October +2.2% +3.3%
10:00 Eurozone Eurogroup Meetings
10:00 Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (Preliminary) Quarter III +0.3% +0.2%
10:00 Eurozone GDP (YoY) (Preliminary) Quarter III -0.6% -0.3%
13:30 Canada Trade balance, billions September -1.3 -1.2
13:30 Canada New Housing Price Index September +0.1% +0.2%
13:30 U.S. International trade, bln September -38.8 -38.7
13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims November 336 331
13:30 U.S. Nonfarm Productivity, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III +2.3% +1.3%
15:00 U.S. Federal Reserve Chairperson Designate Janet Yellen Testifies
15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories November +1.6
17:15 Switzerland Gov Board Member Danthine Speaks
18:45 United Kingdom MPC Member Miles Speaks