Notícias do Mercado

16 abril 2013
  • 19:35

    American focus: the yen and dollar weakened

    The yen and dollar weakened, reversing yesterday’s gains, as a recovery in gold and U.S. stocks sapped demand for the safest assets.

    Japan’s currency dropped versus all of its 16 most-traded peers as investors bet its rally yesterday when investors sought haven investments was excessive.

    Stocks rose after Commerce Department data showed new-home construction in the U.S. jumped more than forecast in March. Housing starts in the U.S. increased 7 percent to a 1.04 million annual rate, the most since June 2008. Economists in a Bloomberg survey forecast 930,000.

    The greenback remained lower versus most major peers as figures from the Federal Reserve showed output at U.S. factories fell 0.1 percent after a 0.9 percent increase in February that was larger than first reported. A survey forecast a 0.1 percent rise. Total industrial production rose 0.4 percent.

    The euro climbed to a seven- week high versus the greenback. The U.S. consumer-price index unexpectedly declined 0.2 percent last month after a 0.7 percent jump in February, the Labor Department said in Washington. The forecast in a Bloomberg survey was for no change. The core measure, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, rose 0.1 percent, less than forecast. For the 12 months that ended in March, consumer prices increased 1.5 percent, the smallest gain since July, compared with a 2 percent year-over-year gain reported in February.

    Sterling fell to the weakest in a month against the euro after a report showed consumer-price inflation stayed above the Bank of England’s target at the same time as growth stagnates. The pound weakened 0.7 percent to 85.88 pence per euro after touching 86.02, the least since March 15. The currency appreciated 0.4 percent to $1.5351.


  • 14:45

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.2975, $1.3000, $1.3045, $1.3050, $1.3065, $1.3100, $1.3135, $1.3150, $1.3200

    USD/JPY Y97.00, Y97.50, Y98.00, Y99.00,

    AUD/USD $1.0500

    GBP/USD $1.5400

    EUR/GBP stg0.8500

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2140

    EUR/AUD Aud1.2600
  • 14:16

    U.S.: Industrial Production (MoM), March +0.4% (forecast +0.3%)

  • 14:16

    U.S.: Capacity Utilization, March 78.5% (forecast 78.4%)

  • 13:33

    U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, March +1.9% (forecast +2.0%)

  • 13:32

    U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, m/m, March +0.1% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 13:32

    U.S.: CPI, Y/Y, March +1.5% (forecast +2.0%)

  • 13:31

    Canada: Manufacturing Shipments (MoM), February +2.6% (forecast +0.6%)

  • 13:31

    Canada: Foreign Securities Purchases, February -6.31 (forecast 7.28)

  • 13:31

    U.S.: CPI, m/m , March -0.2% (forecast 0.0%)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Building Permits, mln, March 0.90 (forecast 0.944)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Housing Starts, mln, March 1.04 (forecast 0.930)

  • 13:00

    European session: the euro has increased significantly

    Data

    01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes April

    01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) March -0.1% -0.6%

    01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) March +9.4% +4.5%

    02:55 Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks

    07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m March +0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

    07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y March +0.1% -0.2% -0.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom RPI-X, Y/Y March +3.2% +3.2% +3.2%

    08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m March +0.7% +0.4% +0.4%

    08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y March +3.2% +3.3% +3.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) March +3.2% -0.3% -0.1%

    08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) March +2.5% +0.4% +0.4%

    08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) March +0.8% +0.3% +0.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) March +2.3% +2.0% +2.0%

    08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m March +0.7% +0.3% +0.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y March +2.8% +2.8% +2.8%

    08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y March +2.3% +2.3% +2.4%

    09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment April 33.4 31.5 24.9

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI March +0.4% +1.2% +1.2%

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) March +1.7% +1.7% +1.7%

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y March +1.3% +1.4% +1.5%

    09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment April 48.5 41.5 36.3

    09:30 United Kingdom BOE Inflation Letter April


    The yen fell against the dollar, despite yesterday's strengthening against the measures easing of monetary policy by the Bank of Japan, which continue to put pressure on the Japanese yen. Note that the dynamics of trade affected the official information published today, which showed that the international rating agency Moody's changed the rating outlook of China's government bonds to stable from positive, confirming its rating to "Aa3". At the same time it was announced that Moody's affirmed the short-term rating in foreign currency at the level of "P-1". Note that this information was provided in a press release from the agency. Meanwhile, the paper by Moody's reported that credit indicators continue to comply with the PRC rated "Aa3", which is supported by continued economic growth, sustainable public finances and exceptionally stable balance of payments. At the same time, it was noted that neither the Chinese government nor the banking sector does not depend on external funding, reducing the vulnerability of the economy to international financial shocks.

    Meanwhile, given the current information, the agency's analysts noted that progress in reducing the hidden risks by increasing the transparency of local government and curb rapid credit growth was not as strong as expected. In this regard, the probability of increasing the rating down.

    The euro exchange rate rose sharply against the dollar, helped by dannye.Zametim submitted that according to the final results, which were presented today by the European Central Bank, following last month's annual rate of inflation in the euro area declined, being at the same time below the target level.

    Economists note that the decline in upward pressure on consumer prices reduces one more obstacle for monetary stimulus from the ECB to support the affected economies of the eurozone in the coming months. Meanwhile, it was observed that not all countries have benefited from the reduction to the same extent. As it became known, the level of inflation has remained considerably higher than the average in Spain and the Netherlands, where falling incomes in real terms undermines the chances of recovery. According to the report, in March the annual rate of inflation in the 17 countries that use the euro fell to 1.7%, compared with 1.8% in February, confirming an earlier estimate. We also add that the March figure was the lowest since August 2010.

    The data also showed that the decline stood at the head of the price of transport fuel, telecommunications, and medical services. At the same time, it was reported that electricity prices have risen.

    Meanwhile, the impact on the dynamics of trade expectations publication of statistics by the United States.

    In the U.S., is expected to slow the pace of increase in the CPI to 1.6% from 2% in February. In addition to the U.S. Census Bureau will publish data on the number of new buildings in the country in March, as well as the number of building permits issued during the period. Analysts believe that the number of new homes in the U.S. will grow by 1.4% compared to February and totaled 930,000 against 917,000, while the number of building permits issued during the same period increased by 0.4% - to 943,000 against 939,000 in February.

    The pound fell to a three-week low against the euro after a report showed that consumer prices remained above the target of the Bank of England. As shown by the latest official data, which were released today by the Office for National Statistics, the inflation rate in the UK remained stable in March, but is still ahead of wage growth.

    According to the report, the annual rate of consumer price inflation in March remained at 2.8%, despite the expectations of economists to rise to 2.9%. As it became known to affect the dynamics of a slowdown in prices gasoline, alcohol, and furniture, which was partially offset by a substantial annual increase in the price of books, DVD-ROMs and auto insurance premiums. In addition, the Office for National Statistics reported that the inflation rate producer prices slowed in March to 2%, compared to the same period in the previous year, registering with the lowest rate since July. Recall that in February, the inflation rate was 2.3% in February. At the same time, the data showed that the company's expenses for raw materials fell in March by 0.1%, which was associated with a reduction in the price of crude oil. However, in the ONS noted that the stability of consumer prices and the slowdown in inflation in producer prices may be short-lived. We add that the forecast of the Bank of England, the annual inflation rate will rise this year and will be above its target of 2% to about 2016.



    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3026, after which rose to a high of $ 1.3125


    GBP / USD: during the European session varies in the range of $ 1.5270-$ 1.5318


    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y98.01


    At 12:30 GMT Canada will report on changes in the volume of production and the supply volume of transactions with foreign securities in February. At the same time, the U.S. will announce the amount of building permits issued, the number of Housing Starts, the consumer price index, consumer price index excluding prices for food and energy, the Consumer Price Index (not seasonally adjusted) and the main index of consumer prices for March . At 13:15 GMT the United States will be released capacity utilization, and become aware of a change in the volume of industrial production in March. At 16:30 GMT Swiss SNB Vice-Manager Jean-Pierre Danthine a speech. At 20:30 GMT the United States will announce the change in the volume of crude oil, according to the API for April. At 22:45 GMT New Zealand will release the consumer price index for the 1st quarter.


  • 12:45

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Ордера на продажу $1.3195/20, $1.3180, $1.3170, $1.3153, $1.3135/40

    Ордера на покупку $1.3020, $1.3000, $1.2950


    GBP/USD

    Ордера на продажу $1.5450/60, $1.5420/25, $1.5395/00, $1.5375/80, $1.5340/50

    Ордера на покупку $1.5250, $1.5225/20, $1.5200, $1.5180, $1.5150


    AUD/USD

    Ордера на продажу $1.0445/50, $1.0420, $1.0390/00

    Ордера на покупку $1.0320, $1.0310/00, $1.0250, $1.0200


    EUR/JPY

    Ордера на продажу Y129.50, Y129.00, Y128.75, Y128.50

    Ордера на покупку Y127.00, Y126.50, Y126.20/00, Y125.55/50, Y125.20, Y125.00


    USD/JPY

    Ордера на продажу Y99.00, Y98.75/80, Y98.50

    Ордера на покупку Y97.00, Y96.80, Y96.55/50, Y96.00, Y95.70


    EUR/GBP

    Ордера на продажу stg0.8650, stg0.8610/15, stg0.8600/05, stg0.8580/85, stg0.8560/65, stg0.8545/50

    Ордера на покупку stg0.8510, stg0.8500, stg0.8485/80, stg0.8460/50, stg0.8410/00


  • 10:30

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.2975, $1.3000, $1.3045, $1.3050, $1.3065, $1.3100, $1.3135, $1.3150, $1.3200

    USD/JPY Y97.00, Y97.50, Y98.00, Y99.00,

    AUD/USD $1.0500

    GBP/USD $1.5400

    EUR/GBP stg0.8500

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2140

    EUR/AUD Aud1.2600
  • 10:17

    Spain auction results:

    1. Sold E5.069bln vs target E4.0-E5.0bln
    2. Sold E1.191bln  6-month Letra at avg yield 0.53% (0.794%); bid-to-cover 3.77 vs 3.22 prev  
    3. Sold E3.878bln 12-month Letra at avg yield 1.235% (1.363); bid-to-cover 2.04 vs 1.85 prev

  • 10:01

    Germany: ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment, April 36.3 (forecast 41.5)

  • 10:01

    Eurozone: ZEW Economic Sentiment, April 24.9 (forecast 31.5)

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, March +1.2% (forecast +1.2%)

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y, March +1.5% (forecast +1.4%)

  • 10:00

    Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, Y/Y, March +1.7% (forecast +1.7%)

  • 09:33

    United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Input (MoM), March -0.1% (forecast -0.3%)

  • 09:32

    United Kingdom: Retail Price Index, m/m, March +0.4% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 09:32

    United Kingdom: Retail prices, Y/Y, March +3.3% (forecast +3.3%)

  • 09:32

    United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) , March +0.4% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 09:31

    United Kingdom: HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y, March +2.4% (forecast +2.3%)

  • 09:31

    United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Output (MoM), March +0.3% (forecast +0.3%)

  • 09:31

    United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) , March +2.0% (forecast +2.0%)

  • 09:30

    United Kingdom: HICP, m/m, March +0.3% (forecast +0.3%)

  • 09:30

    United Kingdom: HICP, Y/Y, March +2.8% (forecast +2.8%)

  • 08:17

    Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, y/y, March -0.3% (forecast -0.2%)

  • 08:16

    Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, m/m, March 0.0% (forecast 0.0%)

  • 07:04

    Asian session: The yen fell

    01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes April

    01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) March -0.1% -0.6%

    01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) March +9.4% +4.5%

    02:55 Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks


    The yen has continued to weaken since that statement as Haruhiko Kuroda took over as BOJ governor and pledged to do whatever it takes to defeat deflation. The U.S. Treasury said in its semi-annual currency report that Japan must “remain oriented towards meeting respective domestic objectives using domestic instruments and to refrain from competitive devaluation.” Draghi said in Amsterdam yesterday that the increased stimulus announced by the BOJ is “determined by domestic policy considerations” and that “there is no currency war.” Finance ministers and central bankers from the G-20 nations will gather this week in Washington.

    The Dollar Index fell for the first time in three days before U.S. data that may show inflation was contained and growth in factory output slowed. The U.S. Labor Department will probably say today that inflation as measured by consumer prices stalled in March from the previous month, when it climbed 0.7 percent, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The consumer-price index advanced 1.6 percent from a year earlier, the poll predicted, following a 2 percent gain in February.

    New Zealand’s dollar rallied from its biggest drop in more than a year.


    EUR / USD: yesterday the pair rose, retreating from yesterday's low

    GBP / USD: yesterday the pair rose to $ 1.5300.

    USD / JPY: yesterday the pair rose to Y97.50.

    .

    Tuesday sees a full calendar on both sides of the Atlantic, with a plethora of central bank speakers. There is no early European data, so the first releases come from the UK, when March CPI and PPI numbers will cross the wires at 0830GMT. Also at 0830GMT, the February House Price Index from the UK government will be released. The main Continental release will see the release of the German April ZEW survey at 0900GMT. Also at 0900G,T. the Eurozone March final HICP numbers are expected. with a month earlier, but the increase was not nearly as sharp as in February and seasonal factors expect a large price rise in March. The core CPI is expected to rise 0.2%.
  • 06:28

    Currencies. Daily history for Apr 15'2013:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3047 -0,51%

    GBP/USD $1,5290 -0,33%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9306 +0,38%

    USD/JPY Y96,58 -1,84%

    EUR/JPY Y126,04 -2,37%

    GBP/JPY Y147,69 -2,17%

    AUD/USD $1,0313 -1,86%

    NZD/USD $0,8421 -1,96%

    USD/CAD C$1,0216 +0,80%
  • 06:02

    Schedule for today, Tuesday, Apr 16’2013:

    01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes April

    01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) March -0.1% -0.6%

    01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) March +9.4%

    02:55 Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks

    07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m March +0.1% 0.0%

    07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y March +0.1% -0.2%

    08:30 United Kingdom RPI-X, Y/Y March +3.2% +3.2%

    08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m March +0.7% +0.4%

    08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y March +3.2% +3.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) March +3.2% -0.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) March +2.5% +0.4%

    08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) March +0.8% +0.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) March +2.3% +2.0%

    08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m March +0.7% +0.3%

    08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y March +2.8% +2.8%

    08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y March +2.3% +2.3%

    09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment April 33.4 31.5

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI March +0.4% +1.2%

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) March +1.7% +1.7%

    09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y March +1.3% +1.4%

    09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment April 48.5 41.5

    09:30 United Kingdom BOE Inflation Letter April

    12:00 U.S. FOMC Member Dudley Speak April

    12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) February -0.2% +0.6%

    12:30 Canada Foreign Securities Purchases February 13.34 7.28

    12:30 U.S. Building Permits, mln March 0.946 0.944

    12:30 U.S. Housing Starts, mln March 0.917 0.930

    12:30 U.S. CPI, m/m March +0.7% 0.0%

    12:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y March +2.0% +2.0%

    12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m March +0.2% +0.2%

    12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y March +2.0% +2.0%

    13:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

    13:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) March +0.7% +0.3%

    13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization March 79.6% 78.4%

    14:00 U.S. Treasury Sec Lew Speaks

    16:30 Switzerland Gov Board Member Danthine Speaks

    19:00 U.S. FOMC Member Yellen Speaks

    19:00 U.S. Treasury Sec Lew Speaks

    20:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories April +5.1

    22:45 New Zealand CPI, q/q Quarter I -0.2% +0.5%

    22:45 New Zealand CPI, y/y Quarter I +0.9% +0.9%


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