Notícias do Mercado

17 abril 2013
  • 15:30

    U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, April -1.2

  • 15:00

    Canada: Bank of Canada Rate, 1.00% (forecast 1.00%)

  • 14:40

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3035, $1.3100, $1.3125

    USD/JPY Y97.50, Y98.00, Y99.50, Y100.30

    AUD/USD $1.0400, $1.0500, $1.0575

    GBP/USD $1.5300, $1.5310, $1.5385

    USD/CAD C$1.0125, C$1.0200


  • 13:30

    European session: the British Pound declined significantly

    Data

    00:30 Australia Leading Index February +0.4% +0.6%

    05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence March 44.3 46.7 44.8

    08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y February +1.2% +1.1% +1.0%

    08:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes April

    08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate February 7.8% 7.8% 7.9%

    08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y February +1.2% +1.4% +0.8%

    08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count March -5.3 0.0 -7.0

    08:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate March 4.7% 4.7% 4.6%

    09:00 Eurozone Construction Output, m/m February -1.4% -0.8%

    09:00 Eurozone Construction Output, y/y February -7.3% +0.8%

    09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) April 2.3 20.0


    The pound dropped significantly against the dollar, having lost in the course of about a half of trading figures. Note on the dynamics of trade have affected the data that have been published by the Office for National Statistics, and showed that the number of people who applied for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last month, surprising with many experts. According to the report, in March the number of applications dropped by 7,000, reaching with a total of 1,530,000 applications. Note that according to the average forecast of economists, the value of this index was to remain unchanged. We also recall that in the period between February and January, the number of applications for benefits fell by 5,300, which was revised from the level of 1.5 million In addition, it was reported that the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.6 percent, compared with forecasts to increase to the level of 4.7 percent. Meanwhile, we note that the unemployment rate, which is calculated by the ILO, during the three months to February was 7.9 percent, compared with 7.7 percent in the three months to November. Note that many economists expect unemployment to a level only 7.8 percent. The Office for National Statistics also reported that in the period between December and February in the UK was recorded 2.56 million people unemployed, which is 70,000 more than in September and November 2012.

    In addition, the minutes of the Bank of England from April 3-4, published today, showed that the MPC voted unanimously for having to leave rates unchanged at 0.5%. As for the asset purchase program at £ 375 billion, six members voted for its preservation, and three against. The head Mervyn King, David Miles and Paul Fisher, who voted against, chose to increase it by £ 25 billion to £ 400 billion As the protocol, the IFA has confirmed recent reports that were in line with expectations, and that "the promotion by funding programs lending and asset purchases could provide a gradual economic recovery, although there were signs that the pace of credit growth has slowed, and net lending is still reduced. "

    Value of the dollar rose sharply against the euro, which was partly due to the fact that the French government presented a stability program. As it became known to reduce the budget deficit in 2014 will be 70% achieved through spending cuts. Meanwhile, it was noted that the budget deficit should amount to 2% of GDP in 2015 and 1.2% of GDP in 2016, the debt will peak at 94.3% of GDP in 2014 against 93.6% in 2013 g, and the budget deficit should reach 3.7% of GDP in 2013 and 2.9% in 2014 Note also that the French government predicts GDP growth of 2% in 2015 and beyond.

    Also influenced by the dynamics of trade data, which showed that up to February construction output in the euro area has declined, but slowed its pace of decline compared to the previous month, but still, adding signs that the currency bloc can survive its sixth quarterly economic downturn row. Note that this was the fourth consecutive monthly decline. According to the report, the construction of the month in February fell by 0.8 percent, compared with a fall of 2.1 percent in the previous month. Recall that according to initial estimates, the volume of construction in January fell by 1.4 percent.

    It is learned that among the Member States, the decline was registered in Poland, Germany and Portugal, but remained unchanged in Spain. In addition, the data showed that the annualized construction output rose in February by 0.8 percent, which followed a fall of 9 per cent in the previous month. The statistical agency also reported that the European Union construction output fell by up to 0.4 percent in February from a month earlier. Note that, in annual terms, the volume of construction in the EU decreased by 1.1 percent.

    The yen traded weaker against all major currencies against the measures taken to mitigate the monetary policies adopted by the Bank of Japan, which continue to put pressure on the Japanese yen. Additional pressure on the yen has had a growth stock index of America, which reduced demand for safe haven. Tomorrow will begin the meeting of finance ministers and central banks of the G20. This is the first meeting since then, such as Japan, the third largest economy in the world, has activated a program to combat deflation. Japan is preparing to respond to criticism from foreign colleagues. The U.S. Treasury has said that in the last time watching the large-scale measures the Bank of Japan's monetary stimulus aimed at combating chronic deflation. The sharp fall in the yen exchange rate causes concern because of the possibility of competitive devaluations by trading partners, in the U.S. state the department.


    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3114


    GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.5227


    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair fell to Y97.60


    At 14:00 GMT in Canada will publish the report of the Bank of Canada's Monetary Policy for the 2nd quarter and we will know the decision of the Bank of Canada on the basic interest rate. Also in this time will cover the application of the Bank of Canada. At 14:30 GMT the United States will present data on stocks of crude oil from the Ministry of Energy in April. At 15:15 GMT the press conference of the Bank of Canada. At 18:00 the U.S. will publish economic survey of the Fed's regional "Beige Book." At 23:50 GMT Japan will announce the overall balance of trade in goods, the adjusted balance of foreign trade, changes in the volume of exports of goods and changes in the volume of imports of goods in March.
  • 13:15

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3300, $1.3280, $1.3245/50, $1.3220, $1.3195/200

    Bids $1.3125/20, $1.3100, $1.3080/75


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.5395/00, $1.5370/75, $1.5345/50, $1.5300/20

    Bids $1.5250, $1.5225/20, $1.5200, $1.5180/75


    AUD/USD

    Offers $1.0480, $1.0445/50, $1.0420, $1.0395/00

    Bids $1.0340, $1.0330/20, $1.0310/00, $1.0250, $1.0200


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y99.50, Y99.20, Y99.00, Y98.65/70, Y98.50

    Bids Y97.80, Y97.60/50, Y97.30/25, Y97.00, Y96.80


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y130.50, Y130.00, Y129.80, Y129.40/50

    Bids Y128.50, Y128.20, Y128.00, Y127.85/80, Y127.50


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8720, stg0.8700, stg0.8675/80, stg0.8650

    Bids stg0.8590/85, stg0.8570/65, stg0.8550, stg0.8520/10, stg0.8500, stg0.8485/80


  • 10:24

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3035, $1.3100, $1.3125

    USD/JPY Y97.50, Y98.00, Y99.50, Y100.30

    AUD/USD $1.0400, $1.0500, $1.0575

    GBP/USD $1.5300, $1.5310, $1.5385

    USD/CAD C$1.0125, C$1.0200
  • 10:02

    Eurozone: Construction Output, m/m, February -0.8%

  • 10:02

    Eurozone: Construction Output, y/y, February +0.8%

  • 10:01

    Switzerland: Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations), April 20.0

  • 09:33

    United Kingdom: Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y, February +1.0% (forecast +1.1%)

  • 09:33

    United Kingdom: Average Earnings, 3m/y , February +0.8% (forecast +1.4%)

  • 09:33

    United Kingdom: Claimant count , March -7.0 (forecast 0.0)

  • 09:32

    United Kingdom: Claimant Count Rate, March 4.6% (forecast 4.7%)

  • 09:32

    United Kingdom: ILO Unemployment Rate, February 7.9% (forecast 7.8%)

  • 07:10

    Asian session: The yen fell for a second day

    00:30 Australia Leading Index February +0.4% +0.6%

    05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence March 44.3 46.7 44.8


    The yen fell for a second day against all 16 of its major peers as investors speculated Japan will escape censure at a Group of 20 meeting this week over monetary policies that have weakened its currency. The yen continued a reversal from its biggest two-day rally versus the dollar in almost three years as a gauge of U.S. stock market volatility fell the most this year, sapping demand for the Japanese currency as a haven.

    G-20 finance ministers and central bankers meet for two days from tomorrow in Washington, ahead of weekend talks of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. At their last gathering in February, they signaled that Japan could stimulate its stagnant economy as long as policy makers refrained from publicly advocating a sliding yen.

    The Australian and New Zealand dollars held gains from yesterday as rallies in stocks and commodity prices boosted demand for higher-yielding assets.

    New Zealand’s dollar climbed against most major counterparts after Auckland-based Fonterra Cooperative Group Ltd., the world’s largest dairy exporter, said whole milk powder prices rose. Whole milk powder for June delivery rose 4.4 percent to a record $6,283 a metric ton, according to Fonterra’s GlobalDairyTrade website. The so-called kiwi briefly declined after the annual inflation rate held below the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s target range for a third quarter. In New Zealand, consumer prices increased 0.9 percent from a year earlier, Statistics New Zealand said in Wellington today, matching the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey and the forecast from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.


    EUR / USD: yesterday the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3170-90

    GBP / USD: yesterday the pair traded in the range of $ 1.5350-70.

    USD / JPY: yesterday the pair rose to Y98.40.


    The UK calendar gets underway from 0830GMT, with the release of the UK employment data and the Bank of England minutes from the April meeting.



  • 06:33

    Currencies. Daily history for Apr 16'2013:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3201 +1,17%

    GBP/USD $1,5378 +0,57%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9221 -0,92%

    USD/JPY Y97,78 +1,23%

    EUR/JPY Y128,86 +2,19%

    GBP/JPY Y150,22 +1,68%

    AUD/USD $1,0383 +0,67%

    NZD/USD $0,8491 +0,82%

    USD/CAD C$1,0208 -0,08%
  • 06:04

    Schedule for today, Wednesday, Apr 17’2013:

    00:30 Australia Leading Index February +0.4% +0.6%

    05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence March 44.3 46.7

    08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y February +1.2% +1.1%

    08:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes April

    08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate February 7.8% 7.8%

    08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y February +1.2% +1.4%

    08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count March -1.5 0.0

    08:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate March 4.7% 4.7%

    09:00 Eurozone Construction Output, m/m February -1.4%

    09:00 Eurozone Construction Output, y/y February -7.3%

    09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) April 2.3

    13:30 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks April

    14:00 Canada Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report Quarter II

    14:00 Canada Bank of Canada Rate 1.00% 1.00%

    14:00 Canada BOC Rate Statement April

    14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories April +0.3

    15:15 Canada BOC Press Conference April

    16:00 U.S. FOMC Member Rosengren Speaks

    18:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book April

    20:00 U.S. Treasury Sec Lew Speaks

    22:00 New Zealand ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) March +1.0%

    23:50 Japan Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance, bln March -1086.6 -934.5


  • 06:01

    Japan: Consumer Confidence, March 44.8 (forecast 46.7)

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