(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2959 +0,15%
GBP/USD $1,6271 +0,28%
USD/CHF Chf0,9324 -0,31%
USD/JPY Y107,11 -0,07%
EUR/JPY Y138,81 +0,08%
GBP/JPY Y174,29 +0,22%
AUD/USD $0,9084 +0,56%
NZD/USD $0,8192 +0,20%
USD/CAD C$1,0969 -0,77%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y July -0.2% +0.5%
08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y July +0.6%
08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count August -33.6 -29.7
08:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate August 3.0%
08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate July 6.4% 6.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI August -0.7%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y August +0.8%
09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) August +0.3% +0.3%
09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) September 2.5
12:30 U.S. Current account, bln Quarter II -111 -114
12:30 U.S. CPI, m/m August +0.1% +0.1%
12:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y August +2.0%
12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m August +0.1% +0.2%
12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y August +1.9%
14:00 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index September 55 56
18:00 U.S. FOMC Economic Projections
18:00 U.S. FOMC Statement
18:00 U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%
18:00 U.S. FOMC QE Decision 25 15
18:30 U.S. Federal Reserve Press Conference
22:45 New Zealand GDP q/q Quarter II +1.0% +0.6%
22:45 New Zealand GDP y/y Quarter II +3.8%
23:50 Japan Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance, bln August -1023.8 -990.0
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies after the U.S. economic data. The U.S. producer price index (PPI) was flat in August, missing expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a 0.1% gain in July.
The U.S. PPI excluding food and energy increased 0.1% in August, in line with expectations, after a 0.2% gain in July.
The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. The ZEW economic sentiment index for Germany declined to 6.9 in September from 8.6 in August, beating expectations for a drop to 5.2.
Eurozone's ZEW economic sentiment index dropped to 14.2 in September from 23.7 in August, missing forecast of a decrease to 21.3.
The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar, recovering its early morning losses. The U.K. consumer price index (CPI) increased 0.4% in August, in line with expectations, after a 0.3% decrease in July.
On a yearly basis, the U.K. CPI fell to 1.5% in August from 1.6% in July, in line with expectations.
The U.K. core CPI excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco increased to 1.9% in August from 1.8% in July, beating forecasts of a 1.8% rise.
Scotland's independence referendum on Thursday continued to weigh on the pound.
The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the better-than-expected Canadian manufacturing shipments. The Canadian manufacturing shipments climbed 2.5% in July, exceeding expectations for a 1.1% rise, after a 0.9% gain in June. June's figure was revised up from a 0.6% increase.
The New Zealand dollar traded mixed against the U.S dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from New Zealand. Market participants are awaiting Wednesday morning's dairy auction on Fonterra's online platform, GlobalDairyTrade.
The Australian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the Aussie declined against the greenback after the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia's meeting minutes. The Reserve Bank of Australia reiterated it will keep interest rates unchanged for an extended period of time. The central bank added the Aussie is "above most estimates of its fundamental value".
The RBA also said "housing prices were continuing to increase in the larger cities".
The RBA assistant governor Christopher Kent said at the Bloomberg Economic Summit in Sydney on Tuesday that the weaker Aussie provides would support local business.
The Japanese yen traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from Japan.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said at a meeting of business leaders in the Kansai region today that the BoJ will add fresh easing measures if needed to achieve its 2% inflation target. Mr. Kuroda added Japan's economy will continue to recover moderately and the inflation target of 2% will be achieved as expected.
EUR/USD: $1.2840(E565mn), $1.2890-900(E585mn), $1.2995-00(E546mn)
USD/JPY Y106.50($215mn), Y107.00($536mn)
EUR/JPY: Y138.00-10(E200mn), Y139.00(E235mn), Y140.40(E200mn), Y140.70(E195mn)
EUR/GBP: stg0.7935(E250mn), stg0.7970(E612mn), stg0.7975(E2.1bn), stg8015-20(E750mn)
USD/CHF: Chf0.9300($1.2bn)
AUD/USD: $0.9000(A$345mn), $0.9100(A$895mn), $0.9150(A$261mn)
USD/CAD: C$1.0950($323mn), C$1.1125($174mn), C$1.1150($506mn)
USD/MXN: Mxn13.21($260mn), Mxn13.30($790mn)
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
00:00 Australia RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks
01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes
05:30 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks
08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m August -0.1% +0.5% +0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y August +2.5% +2.5% +2.4%
08:30 United Kingdom RPI-X, Y/Y August +2.6% +2.5%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) August -1.6% -0.2% -0.6%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) August -7.3% -6.6% -7.2%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) August -0.1% -0.1% +0.1%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) August +0.9% +0.9% +0.9%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m August -0.3% +0.4% +0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y August +1.6% +1.5% +1.5%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y August +1.8% +1.8% +1.9%
09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment September 23.7 21.3 14.2
09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment September 8.6 5.2 6.9
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. economic data. The U.S. producer price index (PPI) is expected to rise 0.1% in August, after a 0.1% gain in July.
The U.S. PPI excluding food and energy is expected to increase 0.1% in August, after a 0.2% increase in July.
The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar. The ZEW economic sentiment index for Germany declined to 6.9 in September from 8.6 in August, beating expectations for a drop to 5.2.
Eurozone's ZEW economic sentiment index dropped to 14.2 in September from 23.7 in August, missing forecast of a decrease to 21.3.
The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the economic data from the U.K. The U.K. consumer price index (CPI) increased 0.4% in August, in line with expectations, after a 0.3% decrease in July.
On a yearly basis, the U.K. CPI fell to 1.5% in August from 1.6% in July, in line with expectations.
The U.K. core CPI excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco increased to 1.9% in August from 1.8% in July, beating forecasts of a 1.8% rise.
Scotland's independence referendum on Thursday continued to weigh on the pound.
The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Canadian manufacturing shipments. The Canadian manufacturing shipments are expected to rise 1.1% in July, after a 0.6% gain in June.
EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.6160
USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) July +0.6% +1.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m August +0.1% +0.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y August +1.7% +1.8%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m August +0.2% +0.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y August +1.6% +1.7%
13:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows July -18.7 24.3
13:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows July -153.5
16:45 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks
22:45 New Zealand Current Account Quarter II 1.41 -1.04
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3070, $1.3050, $1.3000/10
Bids $1.2880/74, $1.2860/50, $1.2800
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6350, $1.6290-300
Bids 1.6185, $1.6125/20, $1.6100, $1.6050
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9250/60, $0.9220, $0.9110, $0.9100
Bids $0.8900, $0.8800
EUR/JPY
Offers Y140.00, Y139.50, Y139.20
Bids Y138.30, Y138.00, Y138.50
USD/JPY
Offers Y108.00, Y107.40-50
Bids Y106.70/65, Y106.50, Y106.05/95, Y105.50, Y105.20
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8100, stg0.8000
Bids stg0.7940, stg0.7920, stg0.7900
The RBA assistant governor Christopher Kent said at the Bloomberg Economic Summit in Sydney on Tuesday that the weaker Aussie provides would support local business. But he added that it is hard to know where the exchange rate of the Australian dollar should be.
The RBA assistant governor said non-mining business investment is expected to grow at a modest pace in 2014-15.
Mr. Kent noted that the strong Aussie had been a positive factor for investment in some sectors.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its latest meeting minutes today. The RBA reiterated it will keep interest rates unchanged for an extended period of time. The central bank added the Aussie is "above most estimates of its fundamental value, particularly given the declines in key commodity prices".
The RBA also said "housing prices were continuing to increase in the larger cities".
The central bank noted that "accommodative monetary policy was supporting demand in some sectors of the economy".
The RBA expects the economic growth will be "a little above average in both 2014 and 2015".
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said at a meeting of business leaders in the Kansai region today that the BoJ will add fresh easing measures if needed to achieve its 2% inflation target.
Mr. Kuroda added Japan's economy will continue to recover moderately and the inflation target of 2% will be achieved as expected.
The BoJ governor also said the BoJ will continue its qualitative and quantitative easing programme.
Mr. Kuroda agreed "stability in currency rates is extremely important to businesses". The central bank will do its "best to ensure currency stability", so Kuroda.
EUR/USD: $1.2840(E565mn), $1.2890-900(E585mn), $1.2995-00(E546mn)
USD/JPY Y106.50($215mn), Y107.00($536mn)
EUR/JPY: Y138.00-10(E200mn), Y139.00(E235mn), Y140.40(E200mn), Y140.70(E195mn)
EUR/GBP: stg0.7935(E250mn), stg0.7970(E612mn), stg0.7975(E2.1bn), stg8015-20(E750mn)
USD/CHF: Chf0.9300($1.2bn)
AUD/USD: $0.9000(A$345mn), $0.9100(A$895mn), $0.9150(A$261mn)
USD/CAD: C$1.0950($323mn), C$1.1125($174mn), C$1.1150($506mn)
USD/MXN: Mxn13.21($260mn), Mxn13.30($790mn)
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
00:00 Australia RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks
01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes
05:30 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks
08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m August -0.1% +0.5% +0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y August +2.5% +2.5% +2.4%
08:30 United Kingdom RPI-X, Y/Y August +2.6% +2.5%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) August -1.6% -0.2% -0.6%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) August -7.3% -6.6% -7.2%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) August -0.1% -0.1% +0.1%
08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) August +0.9% +0.9% +0.9%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m August -0.3% +0.4% +0.4%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y August +1.6% +1.5% +1.5%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y August +1.8% +1.8% +1.9%
The U.S. dollar traded mixed to higher against the most major currencies on speculation the Fed will start to hike its interest rate sooner than expected. Market participants are awaiting the Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday.
Market participants expect the Fed will cut its asset purchase program by another $10 billion.
The New Zealand dollar traded lower against the U.S dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from New Zealand. Market participants are awaiting Wednesday morning's dairy auction on Fonterra's online platform, GlobalDairyTrade.
The Australian dollar dropped against the U.S. dollar after the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia's meeting minutes. The Reserve Bank of Australia reiterated it will keep interest rates unchanged for an extended period of time. The central bank added the Aussie is "above most estimates of its fundamental value".
The RBA also said "housing prices were continuing to increase in the larger cities".
The RBA assistant governor Christopher Kent said at the Bloomberg Economic Summit in Sydney on Tuesday that the weaker Aussie provides would support local business.
The Japanese yen traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from Japan.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said at a meeting of business leaders in the Kansai region today that the BoJ will add fresh easing measures if needed to achieve its 2% inflation target. Mr. Kuroda added Japan's economy will continue to recover moderately and the inflation target of 2% will be achieved as expected.
EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.6212
USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment September 23.7 21.3 14.2
09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment September 8.6 5.2
12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) July +0.6% +1.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m August +0.1% +0.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y August +1.7% +1.8%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m August +0.2% +0.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y August +1.6% +1.7%
13:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows July -18.7 24.3
13:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows July -153.5
16:45 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks
22:45 New Zealand Current Account Quarter II 1.41 -1.04
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3069 (4612)
$1.3020 (434)
$1.2987 (160)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.2940
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2898 (4787)
$1.2876 (7027)
$1.2853 (3902)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 49070 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (4612);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 55185 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (7027);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.13 versus 1.17 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 15
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.6504 (2184)
$1.6407 (1295)
$1.6312 (1485)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.6214
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.6184 (1381)
$1.6087 (3005)
$1.5990 (1896)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 26553 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6500 (2184);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 36257 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6300 (4559);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.37 versus 1.38 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 15
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.