(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3817 -0,85%

GBP/USD $1,6530 -0,38%

USD/CHF Chf0,8818 +1,00%

USD/JPY Y102,38 +0,94%

EUR/JPY Y141,46 +0,11%

GBP/JPY Y169,24 +0,57%

AUD/USD $0,9032 -1,04%

NZD/USD $0,8537 -0,98%

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:30 Australia RBA Bulletin Quarter I             

07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) February -0.1% +0.2%     

07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) February -1.1% -0.9%     

07:00 Switzerland Trade Balance February 2.59 2.47     

07:15 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks                 

08:30 Switzerland SNB Monetary Policy Assessment                 

08:30 Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%     

10:00 Eurozone EU Economic Summit                 

10:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks                 

10:00 Eurozone European Council Meeting                 

11:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance March 3 5     

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims March 315 327     

14:00 U.S. Leading Indicators February +0.3% +0.3%     

14:00 U.S. Existing Home Sales February 4.62 4.65     

14:00 U.S. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey March -6.3 4.2     

16:30 United Kingdom MPC Member Weale Speaks                 

20:00 U.S. Bank Stress Test Results                 

21:00 New Zealand ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) February +2.8%         

The euro fell against the dollar today on the eve of publication of the two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed , followed by the first press conference Janet Yellen . It is expected that the Central Bank will continue to reduce the quantitative easing program . It is worth noting that in the last month , Fed Chairman Yellen has promised to continue to move in the direction of reduction of monetary stimulus . Positive economic statistics confirm this prediction . In addition , analysts expect the Fed to abandon the target level of unemployment, which tied terms of higher interest rates . Most experts expect that the Central Bank may move to a new practice notice of plans to raise the base interest rate and determine further action by a number of macroeconomic indicators .

Little influenced by the data for the euro area , which showed that the seasonally adjusted construction output rose in January by 1.5 per cent ( on a monthly basis ), which is followed by growth of 1.3 percent in December and fall by 0.1 percent in November . Experts predicted an increase of 1.8 percent. In annual terms, construction output rose by 8.8 percent in the beginning of the year , changing the downward trend , which was observed in recent months.

The dollar had evidence that the current account deficit the U.S. fell to a 14- year low in the fourth quarter , as the volume of exports reached record levels. This was stated in the report, which was submitted to the Ministry of Commerce . According to the negative balance of payments declined in the last quarter of 2013 to $ 81.12 billion , compared with a revised upward figure for the third quarter at $ 93.37 billion

The latter value was the lowest since the third quarter of 1999 , and represented 1.9 percent of gross domestic product ( the lowest proportion since the third quarter of 1997 ) , compared with 2.3 percent in the period from July to September. Economists forecast that the current account deficit will fall to $ 88 billion from $ 94.84 billion, which was originally reported.

For the full 2013 current account deficit was on average at 2.3 per cent of GDP , which is the lowest value since 1997.

Pound was up against the U.S. dollar , which was associated with the publication of minutes of meetings of the Bank of England and labor market data . Note that the minutes of the last meeting of the Bank of England from March 5-6, showed that members of the Central Bank were unanimous in their decision to maintain the status quo , leaving the rate at around 0.5% , and the size of its asset purchase program - at £ 375 billion MPC members noted that in the three months to December , employment growth slowed slightly in the UK , and the unemployment rate remained above the 7% mark target designated by the Bank in the past year . MPC members stressed that the recent appreciation of sterling puts downward pressure on inflation .

Meanwhile, data showed that the unemployment rate for three months ( December) compared with the previous three-month period remained unchanged - at 7.2 % , confirming the predictions of many experts. The number of applications for unemployment benefits fell by 34.6 million in February , after falling 33.9 thousand the previous month ( revised from -27.6 million). Economists were expecting a decrease only 23.3 thousand Moreover , it became known that the level of unemployment claims for employment fell in February to reach 3.5% from 3.6 % in January , showing the 16th consecutive monthly decline . The number of people in employment has reached a new record high - a little less than 30.2 million , driven by growth in self-employment.

The yen fell against the U.S. dollar . Impact on the dynamics of the data provided by Japan, as well as words BOJ board member Takahide Kiut . Report submitted to the Ministry of Finance of Japan, showed that the trade deficit declined in February to a level of 800.3 billion yen , compared with 2.8 trillion . yen in January. Deficit reduction occurred on the background of accelerating export growth and weakening imports. However, experts expect further reduction - up to 600 billion yen. Add that captures Japan 's trade deficit for 20 consecutive months ( the longest period since 1979 ) . Meanwhile, it became known that the growth rate of imports in the country in February slowed to 9% from 25.1 % in January , as export growth accelerated to 9.8% from 9.5% .

With regard to the Kiut , he warned that if the Central Bank will forever campaign to mitigate the monetary policy or to undertake additional mitigation measures , it can give rise to adverse effects on the markets .

USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.25, Y101.50, Y101.85, Y101.95, Y102.00, Y102.15-25, Y102.70, Y103.00

EUR/JPY Y142.00

EUR/USD $1.3790, $1.3800, $1.3815, $1.3860, $1.3900, $1.3915, $1.3920, $1.3960, $1.4010

GBP/USD $1.6650, $1.6675, $1.6695, $1.6700, $1.6900

EUR/GBP stg0.8300

AUD/USD $0.9000, $0.9050, $0.9100-10, $0.9150

NZD/USD $0.8350, $0.8400

USD/CAD C$1.1000, C$1.1025, C$1.1040, C$1.1070, C$1.1085, C$1.1125, C$1.1140, C$1.1150, C$1.1180, C$1.1200, C$1.1225, C$1.1235, C$1.1250

Data

04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m January -0.1% +1.3% +1.0%

05:00 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

09:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y January +1.0% +1.2% +1.3%

09:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y January +1.1% +1.3% +1.4%

09:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes

09:30 United Kingdom Claimant count February -27.6 -23.3 -34.6

09:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate February 3.6% 3.5% 3.5%

09:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate January 7.2% 7.2% 7.2%

10:00 Eurozone Construction Output, m/m January +0.9% +1.8% +1.5%

10:00 Eurozone Construction Output, y/y January -0.2% +8.8%

10:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) March 28.7 25.0 19.0

12:30 United Kingdom Chancellor Osborne Speaks

12:30 United Kingdom Annual Budget Release 2014

12:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m January -1.3% Revised From -1.4% +1.2% +0.8%

12:30 U.S. Current account, bln Quarter IV -96.37 Revised From -94.84 -88.0 -81.12

Euro traded slightly lower against the dollar today on the eve of publication of the two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed , followed by the first press conference Janet Yellen . It is expected that the Central Bank will continue to reduce the quantitative easing program . It is worth noting that in the last month , Fed Chairman Yellen, promised to continue to move in the direction of reduction of monetary stimulus . Positive economic statistics confirm this prediction . In addition, analysts expect the Fed to abandon the target level of unemployment, which tied terms of higher interest rates . Most experts expect that the Central Bank may move to a new practice notice of plans to raise the base interest rate and determine further action by a number of macroeconomic indicators .

Little influenced by the data for the euro area , which showed that the seasonally adjusted construction output rose in January by 1.5 per cent ( on a monthly basis ), which is followed by growth of 1.3 percent in December and fall by 0.1 percent in November . Experts predicted an increase of 1.8 percent. In annual terms, construction output rose by 8.8 percent in the beginning of the year , changing the downward trend , which was observed in recent months.

Pound was up against the U.S. dollar , which was associated with the publication of minutes of meetings of the Bank of England and labor market data . Note that the minutes of the last meeting of the Bank of England from March 5-6, showed that members of the Central Bank were unanimous in their decision to maintain the status quo , leaving the rate at around 0.5% , and the size of its asset purchase program - at £ 375 billion MPC members noted that in the three months to December , employment growth slowed slightly in the UK , and the unemployment rate remained above the 7% mark target designated by the Bank in the past year . MPC members stressed that the recent appreciation of sterling puts downward pressure on inflation .

Meanwhile, data showed that the unemployment rate for three months ( December) compared with the previous three-month period remained unchanged - at 7.2 % , confirming the predictions of many experts. The number of applications for unemployment benefits fell by 34.6 million in February , after falling 33.9 thousand the previous month ( revised from -27.6 million). Economists were expecting a decrease only 23.3 thousand Moreover , it became known that the level of unemployment claims for employment fell in February to reach 3.5% from 3.6 % in January , showing the 16th consecutive monthly decline . The number of people in employment has reached a new record high - a little less than 30.2 million , driven by growth in self-employment.

The yen fell against the U.S. dollar . Impact on the dynamics of the data provided by Japan, as well as words BOJ board member Takahide Kiut . Report submitted to the Ministry of Finance of Japan, showed that the trade deficit declined in February to a level of 800.3 billion yen , compared with 2.8 trillion . yen in January. Deficit reduction occurred on the background of accelerating export growth and weakening imports. However, experts expect further reduction - up to 600 billion yen. Add that captures Japan 's trade deficit for 20 consecutive months ( the longest period since 1979 ) . Meanwhile, it became known that the growth rate of imports in the country in February slowed to 9% from 25.1 % in January , as export growth accelerated to 9.8% from 9.5% .

With regard to the Kiut , he warned that if the Central Bank will forever campaign to mitigate the monetary policy or to undertake additional mitigation measures , it can give rise to adverse effects on the markets .

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3914 , after recovering slightly

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6640

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y101.70, but then declined slightly

At 18:00 GMT the economic outlook released on FOMC, and will be known FOMC decision on the basic interest rate. Also accompanying statement will be presented FOMC. At 18:30 GMT the United States will be a press conference FOMC. At 21:45 GMT New Zealand declares to the change in GDP for the 4th quarter.

EUR/USD

Offers $1.4000, $1.3967/75, $1.3945/50

Bids $1.3875/80, $1.3820/30, $1.3770/60, $1.3710/00

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6785, $1.6740, $1.6720/25, $1.6665/70

Bids $1.6545, $1.6510/00, $1.6485

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9200, $0.9165, $0.9150, $0.9140

Bids $0.9060/70, $0.9000/10, $0.8950, $0.8910/00

EUR/JPY

Offers Y142.90/00, Y142.50, Y142.00

Bids Y140.75 Y140.45/50, Y140.00, Y139.50

USD/JPY

Offers Y103.00, Y102.50/55, Y102.00

Bids Y101.20, Y101.00, Y100.50

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8470, stg0.8415/20, stg0.8405

Bids stg0.8360, stg0.8335/40, stg0.8320/15, stg0.8280/75

USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.25, Y101.50, Y101.85, Y101.95, Y102.00, Y102.15-25, Y102.70, Y103.00

EUR/JPY Y142.00

EUR/USD $1.3790, $1.3800, $1.3815, $1.3860, $1.3900, $1.3915, $1.3920, $1.3960, $1.4010

GBP/USD $1.6650, $1.6675, $1.6695, $1.6700, $1.6900

EUR/GBP stg0.8300

AUD/USD $0.9000, $0.9050, $0.9100-10, $0.9150

NZD/USD $0.8350, $0.8400

USD/CAD C$1.1000, C$1.1025, C$1.1040, C$1.1070, C$1.1085, C$1.1125, C$1.1140, C$1.1150, C$1.1180, C$1.1200, C$1.1225, C$1.1235,

C$1.1250

04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m January -0.1% +1.3% +1.0%

05:00 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

The dollar was near a four-month low against its peers amid bets the Federal Reserve will drop its jobless-rate threshold today and adopt qualitative guidance for signaling when it will raise interest rates. The Federal Open Market Committee will conclude its first meeting today after Janet Yellen succeeded Ben S. Bernanke as chair last month. The central bank will probably scrap its 6.5 percent jobless-rate threshold in favor of qualitative guidance for signaling when it will consider raising the benchmark interest rate, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists. The unemployment rate was at 6.7 percent in February, near the lowest since October 2008.

Traders’ expectations of future currency swings remained near the lowest since 2012 after President Vladimir Putin said Russia isn’t seeking to split Ukraine further following the secession of its Crimea region. Putin yesterday told Russian lawmakers not to believe “those who scare you with Russia, who yell that Crimea will be followed by other regions.” While he said Russia doesn’t plan to further split up Ukraine, Putin underscored his right to defend Russian speakers in Ukraine’s east.

China’s currency completed the biggest three-day loss yesterday since at least 2007 amid concern financial risk is increasing.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.3920

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6585-05

USD / JPY: on Asian session the pair traded in the range of Y101.25-50

The European session could be dominated by the UK data calendar and the UK 2014/15 Budget statement. The European calendar gets underway at 0745GMT, with the release of the French current account balance for January. EMU data set for release at 1000GMT includes the fourth quarter labour costs and the January construction output data. At 1500GMT, German Chancellor Angela Merkel will deliver a speech and take part in a conference discussion in Berlin. At 1700GMT, SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan will deliver a speech on moral hazard, in Bern, Switzerland. Sovereign issuance on Wednesday sees Germany re-open its 10-year benchmark 1.75% Feb 2024 Bund for up to E4bln. Across the Atlantic, the US calendar gets underway at 1100GMT, with the release of the MBA Mortgage Index for the March 14 week. The fourth quarter US current account data will follow at 1230GMT. Canadian data due at 1230GMT includes the release of the January Wholesale sales numbers. The EIA Crude Oil Stocks for the March 14 week will be published at 1430GMT. The highlight of the day comes at 1800GMT, when the FOMC announces the latest policy announcement, to be followed at 1830GMT by Fed Chair Janet Yellen's first post meet press conference.