The euro exchange rate rose slightly against the dollar, recovering with a minimum values of the session. Note that the dynamics of trade affected information that the incumbent President of Italy Giorgio Napolitano was re-elected for a second term. 87-year-old Napolitano agreed to once again participate in the elections, after parliament failed to elect the fifth attempt of his successor. On the eve of the Italian center-left leader Pier Luigi Bersani said he would step down as chairman of the Democratic Party, unless the parliament will elect a new president. Bersani, previously regarded as the most likely candidate for the post of prime minister, said the refusal of the leadership in the party, after the parliament did not support his proposed two candidates for the presidency. Also presented today by the National Association of Realtors report showed that purchases in the secondary market fell last month by 0.6% to 4.92 million for the year. The median forecast of economists projected sales would increase to 5.00 million Estimates ranged from 4.9 million to 5.2 million homes on the market prices rose, reflecting the growing demand for more expensive homes. The pace of previous months have been revised to 4.95 million from a previously reported 4.98 million purchase in the secondary market to gradually rise from a 13-year low of 4.11, which was achieved in 2008. The largest volume reached 7.08 in 2005. The average price of homes sold in the secondary market increased by 11.8 percent, the highest since November 2005, to $ 184,300 last month from $ 164,800 in March 2012.
Value of the pound rose against the dollar after amplification of risk aversion on weak report on the U.S. housing market. Note that the GBP / USD managed to recover and even reach new daily highs. Recall that the international rating agency Fitch Ratings downgraded the sovereign rating by one notch the UK - with the highest possible "AAA" to "AA +". The rating outlook - "stable," the agency said. Two months ago, a similar rating action taken agency Moody's Investors Service, the credit rating worsening the UK to "Aa1".
The yen rose against the dollar, and once again failed to take the mark Y100.00, despite the fact that the G20 has given Japan the green light on the issue of monetary policy easing, believing Aso and Kuroda, that it is aimed at fighting deflation. Note also that in fact, a weak report on the U.S. housing market has helped to reduce the mood and the USD / JPY briefly fell below 99.00. However, the pair was able to recover, and now is consolidating above 99.00. We also add that the short-term indicators for the pair USD / JPY were negative, but in a broader perspective, the positive tone prevails. However, the daily charts are moving away from overbought levels. The pair may have to wait before it attains sufficient strength to break 100.00.
The combined budget deficit of the euro area fell to 3.7 percent of gross domestic product from 4.2 percent in 2011, Eurostat said Monday.
However, government debt increased to 90.6 percent of GDP from 87.3 percent in the prior year.
The European Commission estimated the deficit to narrow to 3.5 percent of GDP in 2012 and then to fall to 2.8 percent in 2013.
The lowest government deficit in percentage of GDP was registered by Estonia, followed by Sweden, Bulgaria and Luxembourg. Meanwhile, Germany posted a government surplus of 0.2 percent.
Despite widespread austerity measures, Spain's budget deficit widened to 10.6 percent of GDP in 2012 from 9.4 percent. The 2012 shortfall was bigger than the EU estimate of 10.2 percent.
The French budget deficit came in at 4.8 percent of economic output, down from 5.3 percent in 2011, but exceeded its official target of 4.5 percent.
Existing
home sales in the
NAR said
existing home sales fell 0.6 percent to an annual rate of 4.92 million in March
after inching up by 0.2 percent to a downwardly revised 4.95 million in
February.
The drop
surprised economists, who had expected existing home sales to edge up to 5.03
million from the 4.98 million originally reported for the previous month.
EUR/USD $1.2975, $1.3000, $1.3095, $1.3100, $1.3110, $1.3120, $1.3150
USD/JPY Y98.50, Y98.55, Y99.25, Y99.50, Y100.00(large), Y100.50
EUR/JPY Y128.00, Y129.00, Y130.00
GBP/USD $1.5300
EUR/GBP stg0.8525
AUD/USD $1.0205, $1.0350, $1.0400, $1.0410
AUD/JPY Y102.20
NZD/USD $0.8400
AUD/NZD NZ$1.2150
USD/CAD C$1.0175, C$1.0230
The yen continues to trade in the region of 100 yen to the dollar after the representatives of the G20 did not criticize the actions over the soft monetary policy of the Bank of Japan. Moreover, the head of the Central Bank Haruhiko Kuroda has already hinted about expanding the monetary stimulus at the second meeting under his leadership, which will take place this week.
Euro fell back from progress made at the beginning of the session maksimov against the U.S. dollar after the current president of Italy, Giorgio Napolitano, was re-elected for a second term. 87-year-old Napolitano agreed to once again participate in the elections, after parliament failed to elect the fifth attempt of his successor. On the eve of the Italian center-left leader Pier Luigi Bersani said he would step down as chairman of the Democratic Party, unless the parliament will elect a new president. Bersani, previously regarded as the most likely candidate for the post of prime minister, said the refusal of the leadership in the party, after the parliament did not support his proposed two candidates for the presidency.
The pound was trading without a definite trend. Recall that the international rating agency Fitch Ratings downgraded the sovereign rating by one notch the UK - with the highest possible "AAA" to "AA +". The rating outlook - "stable," the agency said. Two months ago, a similar rating action taken agency Moody's Investors Service, the credit rating worsening the UK to "Aa1".
EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3036
GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.5246
USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair retreated to Y99.66
At 12:30 GMT the U.S. will report on the index of economic activity from the Chicago Fed in March. At 14:00 GMT Eurozone will publish an indicator of consumer confidence for April. At 14:00 GMT the United States will sales in the secondary market in March.
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3195/200, $1.3170/80, $1.3150/55, $1.3130, $1.3100, $1.3075/85
Bids $1.3050, $1.3030/20, $1.3010/00, $1.2990, $1.2970, $1.2950/40
GBP/USD
Offers $1.5330, $1.5300/10, $1.5280/85, $1.5255/65
Bids $1.5200, $1.5275/70, $1.5255/50, $1.5200
AUD/USD
Offers $1.0380, $1.0345/50, $1.0320, $1.0300/10, $1.0280/85
Bids $1.0250, $1.0240/30, $1.0220, $1.0200, $1.0185/80, $1.0155/50, $1.0120/15
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8630/40, stg0.8610/15, stg0.8600, stg0.8580/85
Bids stg0.8500, stg0.8485/80, stg0.8460/50
EUR/JPY
Offers Y131.50, Y131.00, Y130.65/70
Bids Y129.75/70, Y129.55/50, Y129.25/20, Y129.00, Y128.80
USD/JPY
Offers Y100.40/45, Y100.25, Y100.15/20, Y100.00
Bids Y99.50, Y99.20, Y99.00, Y98.55/50
The yen weakened, nearing the 100 per dollar level not seen since 2009, after the Bank of Japan’s monetary stimulus policies were unopposed by the Group of 20.
Japan’s currency slid against most major peers after BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, who oversees his second policy meeting this week, said he was emboldened to press ahead with a campaign to defeat deflation.
The euro rose versus the greenback before Giorgio Napolitano is sworn in to a second term as Italian president. In Italy, Napolitano could begin consultations on a new government as soon as tomorrow. The resignation of Democratic Party leader Pier Luigi Bersani increases the chances Napolitano can convince the remnants of Bersani’s Democrats to join a coalition with Silvio Berlusconi’s People of Liberty party and end a stalemate that’s left Italy without a new government eight weeks after elections.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars rallied along with Asian stocks.
EUR / USD: yesterday the pair rose to $ 1.3085
GBP / USD: yesterday the pair rose to $ 1.5245.
USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y99.90.
12:30 U.S. Chicago Federal National Activity Index March 0.44
12:30 U.S. FOMC Member Dudley Speak
14:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence April -23.5 -24.0
14:00 U.S. Existing Home Sales March 4.98 5.02
18:30 United Kingdom MPC Member Tucker Speaks