Notícias do Mercado

5 julho 2013
  • 20:00

    Dow +124.79 15,113.34 +0.83% Nasdaq +27.2 3,470.87 +0.79% S&P +13.1 1,628.51 +0.81%

  • 19:20

    American focus: the dollar has appreciated strongly against major currencies

    U.S. dollar exchange rate increased significantly against the euro, which in the first place was due to the publication of a report on employment in the United States. The Labor Department reported that U.S. employers added 195,000 jobs in June, a sign of major improvement in the labor market, said on Friday. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 7.6%. We add that the results exceeded expectations. Economists had expected the growth to 162,000, and the fall in the unemployment rate to 7.5% from 7.6% in May.

    U.S. employers added an average of 182,000 jobs each month for the past year, said the Ministry of Labour. Growth in employment in May rose by 195,000 originally reported 175,000 and 199,000 in April, compared with an earlier estimate of 149000.Federalnaya Reserve oversees employment data. Improvements could signal the imminent release of the 85-billion program of bond purchases. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said that the program could end up around speed, unemployment is 7%. The Fed said it may start to raise interest rates after the figure drops to 6.5%.

    The last picture of the labor market shows that the economy may be ready for more rapid growth. Consumer spending and strengthen the housing market have been most of the recovery, but economists predict modest growth in the second quarter because of government cuts, slow growth abroad, and the total uncertainty. The private sector added 202,000 jobs in June, led by growth in the hospitality sector, the retail sector, healthcare, and financial activities. Monthly job growth among these companies was double the average growth rate in 2012, said the Ministry of Labour. Employment in the manufacturing sector slowed. Despite the overall progress, 11800000 workers who wanted a job could not find a job for over a month. A broader measure of unemployment, which includes those who are looking for part-time work increased to 14.3% from 13.8% the previous month.

    Pound continued to decline against the U.S. dollar after the eve of the first meeting of Mark Carney as chairman of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England completed an unusual warning that the high expectations among investors tightening does not guarantee economic development. The meeting ended without any change in the policy of the central bank amid signs that the recovery in the UK economy is gaining momentum. In the retreat of its usual practice, when the policy has remained unchanged, the Bank of England issued a statement in which he said that the recovery is under way, and that he expects the annual inflation rate 2.0% in the future. Monetary Committee also said that it can raise its key interest rate sooner than investors expected. "The implied rate of the Bank of England is not justified in view of recent developments in the domestic economy," - said the Monetary Committee. Minutes of the meeting will be released on July 17. Also noticeable pressure on the pound had a report on employment in the United States, which exceeded estimates.

    The Canadian dollar was lower against the U.S. dollar after strong employment data in the U.S. and Canada, which have led to widespread growth of the U.S. dollar in light of the growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin to narrow its program of bond purchases in the coming months.

    Statistics Canada reported that the number of new jobs has decreased by 400, showing the first decline in three months, and little change after the high growth in May to 95 thousand Economists had expected employment decreased by 12.3 thousand

    The unemployment rate in June remained unchanged at 7.1% in line with forecasts. The number of jobs to full-time employment in June fell 32.4 thousand, and part-time jobs increased by 32.2 million labor force in June increased by 7.1 thousand people, compared with May. Average hourly earnings in June, +2.2% y / y Proportion of the economically active population of 66.7% in June against 66.7% in May.

    In addition, another report showed that business activity index managers seasonally adjusted fell to 55.3 in June, but remained in expansion territory, indicating that purchasing activity in Canada has increased in May. Recall that the display shows the level of business activity of the industrial sector. More than fifteen hundred managers from different regions and industries are asked to evaluate the level of purchases compared to the previous month (above, below or at the same level). The indicator value above 50 indicates an increase in purchases and the value below 50 indicates a decrease.

  • 18:20

    European stock close

    European stocks fell, paring their weekly advance, as better-than-estimated U.S. payrolls data for the past three months signaled the Federal Reserve has enough room to pare stimulus this year.

    The Stoxx Europe 600 Index dropped 1.3 percent to 288.31 at the close in London, trimming its advance this week to 1.2 percent. The gauge yesterday jumped 2.3 percent as the European Central Bank and the Bank of England pledged to keep interest rates low for the foreseeable future.

    U.S. 10-year Treasury yields climbed 19 basis points to 2.69 percent, the highest level since August 2011, after the jobs report. Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said June 19 the central bank may trim quantitative easing this year and end it in mid-2014 if the economy improves in line with its forecasts.

    The U.S. Labor Department reported better-than-forecast nonfarm-payrolls data for June and increased its count of hiring in the previous two months. Jobs rose by 195,000 workers last month, compared with the median forecast of 165,000. The jobless rate stayed at 7.6 percent. Revisions for April and May added a total of 70,000 jobs.

    National benchmark indexes dropped in 14 of the 18 western European markets.

    FTSE 100 6,375.52 -46.15 -0.72% CAC 40 3,753.85 -55.46 -1.46% DAX 7,806 -188.31 -2.36%

    In the euro area, German factory orders unexpectedly slid 1.3 percent in May after a revised 2.2 percent retreat in the previous month. Economists had predicted a gain of 1.2 percent.

    BHP Billiton, the world’s largest mining company, dropped 3.6 percent to 1,666.5 pence. Glencore Xstrata tumbled 6.5 percent to 256.85 pence. Fresnillo Plc fell 5.8 percent to 886.5 pence as gold and silver retreated. A gauge of mining companies lost 4.3 percent, falling the most among 19 industry groups on the Stoxx 600.

    Heineken fell 1 percent to 50.25 euros after JPMorgan downgraded the stock to underweight, a rating similar to sell, from neutral. The brewer may post a 4 percent drop in beer volumes because of poor weather in Europe and high inflation in emerging markets, analysts led by Mike J Gibbs wrote.

    Whitbread Plc (WTB) dropped 2.8 percent to 3,106 pence after UBS AG cut its rating on the shares to neutral from buy, with analyst Jarrod Castle citing the stock’s valuation. The owner of the Premier Inn hotel chain has rallied 27 percent so far this year and is trading at 18.7 times projected earnings, near the highest level in two years.

    Sky Deutschland jumped 4.6 percent to 5.99 euros, rising for a ninth day, its longest winning streak since November 2010. Goldman Sachs added the company to its “conviction buy” list, citing increased subscriptions and potential for mergers and acquisitions in six to nine months. Goldman also raised its 12-month price target for the shares to 7.20 euros.

  • 17:00

    European stock close in minus: FTSE 100 6,375.52 -46.15 -0.72% CAC 40 3,753.85 -55.46 -1.46% DAX 7,806 -188.31 -2.36%

  • 16:40

    Oil: an overview of the market situation

    The cost of oil futures rose sharply, rising at the same time to $ 107 per barrel, and reached a 14-month high. Note that the quotes are rising because of fears of oil supply disruptions from the Middle East. On Friday, Egypt completely closed the border with the Gaza Strip against militants in the revitalization of the adjacent Sinai. Local media reported the death last night of Egyptian border guard and wounding two of his fellow soldiers in Rafah. The situation on the peninsula escalated two days after the Egyptian military ousted the president-Islamist Mohammed Morsi. In addition, the previously reported that the Egyptian army units in the Sinai and Suez are on high alert after attacks against Egyptian security forces.

    We add that the rise in prices has also helped the U.S. report. According to a report published by the Ministry of Labor, employment in the U.S. increased in June, more than expected.

    The report states that the number of jobs outside of s / x U.S. in June rose by 195 thousand with expectations of growth in the number of 162 thousand jobs in May revised to 195 thousand from 175 thousand

    Despite the stronger-than-expected job growth, the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 7.6%. It was expected that the unemployment rate will fall to 7.5%. The unemployment rate in May was not revised (7.6%).

    The number of jobs in the private sector in June rose by 202 thousand, while the number of jobs in the manufacturing sector in June -6 th, in the service number 187 thousand jobs in the budget -7 th June, federal -5 th . Overall length of the work week in June was unchanged at 34.5 hours Average hourly earnings in June, 0.10 dollars to 24.01 dollars

    Also today it was announced that Goldman Sachs Group maintained its three-month forecast for Brent crude oil at $ 105 a barrel.

    The cost of the August futures on U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) rose to 102.46 dollars a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

    August futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture rose $ 1.68 to $ 107.18 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.

  • 16:20

    Gold: an overview of the market situation

    Gold prices fell sharply today, falling by 3%, which was associated with a marked strengthening of the dollar. It should be noted that the dynamics of trade have influenced the data on U.S. employment, which could persuade the Fed to begin scaling back its monetary stimulus this year.

    In the U.S. employers added 195,000 jobs in June, a sign of major improvement in the labor market, said the Ministry of Labour. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 7.6%. The results exceeded expectations. Economists had expected growth of 162,000 and unemployment down to 7.5% from 7.6% in May.

    U.S. employers added an average of 182,000 jobs each month for the past year, said the Ministry of Labour. Growth in employment in May rose by 195,000 originally reported 175,000 and 199,000 in April, compared with an earlier estimate of 149,000.

    The Federal Reserve monitors the data on employment. Improvements could signal the imminent release of the 85-billion program of bond purchases. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said that the program could end if unemployment reaches 7%. The Fed said it may start to raise interest rates after the rate will fall to 6.5%.

    We also add that the precious metal came under pressure after the European Central Bank signaled yesterday that can reduce interest rates.

    The data also showed that the stock of gold in exchange-traded funds decreased by $ 4.1 billion in June and $ 28.2 billion, compared with the same period a year earlier.

    The cost of the August gold futures on the COMEX fell today to $ 1214.50 per ounce.

  • 15:15

    Japan leading indicator rises more than forecast

    A leading indicator of Japan's business conditions grew faster than expected in May, preliminary data released by the Cabinet Office showed Friday.

    The composite leading index rose to 110.5 in May from an upwardly revised 107.7 in April and 106.2 in March.

    The coincident economic index, which measures the current activity, moved up slightly to 105.9 from a revised 105.1 in April.

    Meanwhile, the lagging index, a measure of firms' past performance, dropped to 108.9 in May from 109.2 in the previous month.

  • 15:00

    Canada: Ivey Purchasing Managers Index, June 55.3 (forecast 59.6)

  • 14:45

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2900 (Large), $1.2935, $1.3000, $1.3050

    USD/JPY Y98.00, Y98.50, Y98.60, Y99.00, Y99.20, Y99.25, Y99.40, Y99.75, Y100.00, Y100.50, Y101.00, Y101.50

    AUD/USD $0.9215, $0.9245, $0.9260, $0.9400, $0.9420, $0.9500

    GBP/USD $1.5000, $1.5150, $1.5200, $1.5300

    EUR/JPY Y129.00, Y129.80

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2300

    EUR/GBP Stg0.8450, Stg0.8575

    EUR/AUD A$1.4300

    USD/CHF Chf0.9500, Chf0.9525, Chf0.9575


  • 14:35

    U.S. Stocks open: Dow 15,100.63 +112.08 +0.75%, Nasdaq 3,469.71 +26.04 +0.76%, S&P 1,626.79 +11.38 +0.70%

  • 13:50

    U.S. employment rises by more than expected in June

    Employment in the U.S. increased by more than anticipated in the month of June, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Friday.

    The report said non-farm payroll employment increased by 195,000 jobs in June, matching the revised job growth seen in May.

    Economists had been expecting employment to increase by about 160,000 jobs compared to the addition of 175,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month.

    Despite the stronger than expected job growth, the unemployment rate came in unchanged at 7.6 percent. The unemployment rate had been expected to edge down to 7.5 percent.

  • 13:32

    U.S.: Average hourly earnings , June +0.4% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 13:31

    Canada: Employment , June -0.4 (forecast -12.3)

  • 13:31

    U.S.: Average workweek, June 34.5 (forecast 34.5)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Nonfarm Payrolls, June 195 (forecast 162)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Unemployment Rate, June 7.6% (forecast 7.5%)

  • 13:30

    Canada: Unemployment rate, June 7.1% (forecast 7.1%)

  • 13:03

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3040/50, $1.3000, $1.2975/80, $1.2940/50

    Bids $1.2870, $1.2860/50, $1.2830/20, $1.2805/00, $1.2750


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.5130/35, $1.5110, $1.5090/00, $1.5075/80, $1.5020/25

    Bids $1.4955/50, $1.4900, $1.4855/50


    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.9285/90, $0.9245/50, $0.9220/25, $0.9200, $0.9175/80

    Bids $0.9125/20, $0.9100, $0.9075/70, $0.9050, $0.9000


    EUR/GBP

    Offers  stg0.8715/20, stg0.8690/95, stg0.8640, stg0.8625

    Bids stg0.8500


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y130.80, Y130.50, Y130.00, Y129.85/90

    Bids Y129.00, Y128.55/50


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y101.25, Y101.00, Y100.90, Y100.45/50

    Bids Y99.80, Y99.50/45, Y99.40, Y99.25/20, Y99.00


  • 11:32

    European stocks were little changed

    European stocks were little changed, with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index heading for its biggest weekly rally in two months, as investors awaited data on the American labor market.

    U.S. data at 8:30 a.m. Washington time will probably show that employers added 165,000 jobs in June and the unemployment rate fell to 7.5 percent, matching the lowest level since 2008, according to economists. A sustained improvement in the labor market may influence how quickly the Fed pares its $85 billion monthly asset purchases.

    In the euro area, investors awaited data on factory orders in Germany, Europe’s largest economy. A report at noon Frankfurt time may show orders increased 1.2 percent in May, after dropping 2.3 percent in the previous month, economists forecast.

    Sky Deutschland jumped 4 percent to 5.96 euros, rising for a ninth day, its longest winning streak since November 2010. Goldman Sachs added the company to its “conviction buy” list, citing increased subscriptions and potential for mergers and acquisitions in six to nine months. Goldman also raised its 12-month price target for the shares to 7.20 euros.

    Seadrill, the offshore driller controlled by billionaire John Fredriksen, rose 1.7 percent to 253.90 kroner. Bank of America’s Merrill Lynch unit upgraded its rating on the stock to buy from hold, citing the company’s high dividend yield and drilling-fleet expansion.

    Heineken fell 0.4 percent to 50.54 euros after JPMorgan downgraded the stock to underweight, a rating similar to sell, from neutral. The brewer may post a 4 percent drop in beer volumes because of poor weather in Europe and high inflation in emerging markets, analysts led by Mike J Gibbs wrote.

    FTSE 100 6,458.36 +36.69 +0.57%

    CAC 40 3,803.73 -5.58 -0.15%

    DAX 7,982.41 -11.90 -0.15%

  • 11:06

    French trade deficit widens sharply in May

    The French trade deficit increased significantly in May due to a notable decline in exports, data from customs office showed Friday.

    The trade gap widened to EUR 6.01 billion in May from EUR 4.48 billion in April. The shortfall was forecast to increase to EUR 4.6 billion.

    Exports declined to EUR 36.09 billion from EUR 37.7 billion in the prior month. Imports, at the same time, remained almost unchanged at EUR 42.1 billion.

  • 11:02

    Germany: Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY), May -2.0% (forecast +0.1%)

  • 11:00

    Germany: Factory Orders s.a. (MoM), May -1.3% (forecast +1.3%)

  • 10:43

    Swiss consumer prices fall less than expected

    Swiss consumer prices declined less than expected in June, a report from the Federal Statistical Office showed Friday.

    The consumer price index fell 0.1 percent year-on-year in June compared with forecast for a 0.4 percent decline. This followed a 0.5 percent drop in May and 1.1 percent fall in June 2012.

    Month-on-month, CPI rose 0.1 percent against forecast of 0.2 percent decline. This marginal increase can be attributed to higher prices of petroleum products and seasonal increase in fruit and vegetable prices.

  • 10:28

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2900 (Large), $1.2935, $1.3000, $1.3050

    USD/JPY Y98.00, Y98.50, Y98.60, Y99.00, Y99.20, Y99.25, Y99.40, Y99.75, Y100.00, Y100.50, Y101.00, Y101.50

    AUD/USD $0.9215, $0.9245, $0.9260, $0.9400, $0.9420, $0.9500

    GBP/USD $1.5000, $1.5200, $1.5300

    EUR/JPY Y129.00, Y129.80

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2300

    EUR/GBP Stg0.8450, Stg0.8575

    EUR/AUD A$1.4300

    USD/CHF Chf0.9500, Chf0.9525, Chf0.9575

  • 10:23

    Asia Pacific stocks close

    Asian stocks rose, with the regional index on course for a second week of gains, as European policy makers signaled they will keep interest rates low for longer.

    Nikkei 225 14,309.97 +291.04 +2.08%

    Hang Seng 20,854.67 +386.00 +1.89%

    S&P/ASX 200 4,841.75 +47.01 +0.98%

    Shanghai Composite 2,007.2 +1.10 +0.05%

    Komatsu Ltd., a maker of construction and mining equipment that gets 80 percent of sales offshore, gained 2.4 percent in Tokyo.

    BHP Billiton Ltd., the world biggest miner, climbed 1.2 percent in Sydney, leading an advance among raw-material companies.

    Samsung Electronics Co. sank 3.8 percent in Seoul after the largest television maker missed estimates for second-quarter earnings.


  • 09:29

    FTSE 100 6,435.68 +14.01 +0.22 %, CAC 40 3,811.01 +1.70 +0.04 %, Xetra DAX 8,015.2 +20.89 +0.26 %

  • 08:05

    Switzerland: Foreign Currency Reserves, June 434.9

  • 07:49

    France: Trade Balance, bln, May -6 (forecast -4.5)

  • 07:26

    European bourses are initially seen mixed Friday: the FTSE up 18, the DAX up 1 and the CAC down 3

  • 07:07

    Asian session: The greenback rose

    05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index May 99.0 101.2 110.5

    05:00 Japan Coincident Index May 95.3 96.2 105.9


    The greenback rose toward its strongest in more than a month against the yen, euro and pound while the Dollar Index touched a five-week high amid speculation improvement in the U.S. economy will prompt the Federal Reserve to curb stimulus. The U.S. Labor Department will probably say today companies added 165,000 positions last month after increasing them by 175,000 in May, according to the median estimate by economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. A separate poll predicted the jobless rate fell to 7.5 percent from 7.6 percent in the previous period.

    The euro and pound slid after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi and Bank of England Governor Mark Carney signaled they will keep borrowing costs at record lows. Draghi said yesterday in Frankfurt the central bank planned to keep the euro area’s main refinancing rate at a record-low 0.5 percent or even lower for an “extended period” and that it was injecting a “downward bias in interest rates for the foreseeable future.” The BOE said in a statement yesterday in London the “implied rise in the expected future path of bank rate was not warranted by the recent developments in the domestic economy” after officials left the bank’s benchmark rate and bond-purchase program unchanged. The policy meeting was the first one led by Carney.



    EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.2885

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.5025

    USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y100.45


    The US market returns from the Independence Day holiday and jumps straight back into the fray with the monthly employment report. There is also expected on the Continent and comments from ECB officials in the wake of the "forward guidance" offered by President Draghi at the Thursday meeting. Data kicks off at at 0645GMT, when the May French trade data will be published. From 0730GMT, Germany's upper house debates and votes on the 2013 supplementary federal budget. Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble will likely speak at some point in the debate. At 1000GMT, German May manufacturing orders data is set for release. Factory orders are seen up 1.2% on the month, higher by 0.1% on year. ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeure will deliver a speech to the Amundi World Investment Forum, in Paris at 1030GMT. At 1100GMT, ECB Governing Council Member Erkki Liikanen and EU Economics and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn are due to speak in Mikkeli, Finland. The main release comes at 1230GMT, when the US Jun Non-farm Payrolls, Unemployment and average earnings numbers will cross the wires. Nonfarm payrolls are forecast to rise by 160,000 in June after a larger-than-expected 175,000 increase in May. The unemployment rate is expected to fall back to 7.5% after rising to 7.6% in May. Hourly earnings are forecast to rise 0.2%, while the average workweek is expected to hold steady at 34.5 hours. Late US data sees the release of the June Treasury STRIPS data at 1900GMT and the Money Supply (M2) numbers for the June 24 week at 2030GMT.

  • 06:27

    Commodities. Daily history for Jul 4’2013:

    Change % Change Last

    GOLD 1,247.10 -4.80 -0.38%

    OIL (WTI) 101.10 -0.14 -0.14%


  • 06:27

    Stocks. Daily history for Jul 4’2013:

    Nikkei 225 -0,26 -36,63 14,018.93%

    Hang Seng 20,450.16 302,85 1,50%

    S & P / ASX 200 4,794.7 50,57 1,07%

    Shanghai Composite 2,006.1 11,83 0,59%

    FTSE 100 6,421.67 +191.80 +3.08%

    CAC 40 3,809.31 +107.30 +2.90%

    DAX 7,994.31 +164.99 +2.11%

    DJIA 14,988.50 56.14 0.38%

    S&P 500 1,615.41 1.33 0.08%

    NASDAQ 3,443.67 10.27 0.30%


  • 06:26

    Currencies. Daily history for Jul 4'2013:


    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,2911 -0,75%

    GBP/USD $1,5073 -1,36%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9562 +1,00%

    USD/JPY Y100,11 +0,14%

    EUR/JPY Y129,29 -0,58%

    GBP/JPY Y150,87 -1,21%

    AUD/USD $0,9140 +0,62%

    NZD/USD $0,7830 +0,80%

    USD/CAD C$1,0516 +0,13%


  • 06:04

    Schedule for today, Friday, July 5’2013:

    05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index May 99.0 101.2

    05:00 Japan Coincident Index May 95.3 96.2

    06:45 France Trade Balance, bln May -4.5 -4.5

    07:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves June 441.4

    07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) June +0.1% -0.1%

    07:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) June -0.5% -0.4%

    10:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) May -2.3% +1.3%

    10:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) May -0.4% +0.1%

    12:30 Canada Unemployment rate June 7.1% 7.1%

    12:30 Canada Employment June +95.0 -12.3

    12:30 U.S. Average workweek June 34.5 34.5

    12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings June 0.0% +0.2%

    12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate June 7.6% 7.5%

    12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls June 175 162

    14:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index June 63.1 59.6


  • 06:03

    Japan: Coincident Index, May 105.9 (forecast 96.2)

  • 06:02

    Japan: Leading Economic Index , May 110.5 (forecast 101.2)

5 julho 2013
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