(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Light Crude 48.77+0.25%
Gold 1,211.10 +0.03%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 16,885.33 +2.14 +0.01%
Hang Seng 23,681.26 +195.85 +0.83%
Shanghai Composite 3,373.95 +22.51 +0.67%
FTSE 100 6,419.83 +53.32 +0.84%
CAC 40 4,112.73 +29.23 +0.72%
Xetra DAX 9,518.18 +48.52 +0.51%
S&P 500 2,025.9 +23.29 +1.16%
NASDAQ Composite 4,650.47 +57.73 +1.26%
Dow Jones 17,584.52 +212.88 +1.23%
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1839 -0,41%
GBP/USD $1,5109 -0,27%
USD/CHF Chf1,0142 +0,41%
USD/JPY Y119,25 +0,71%
EUR/JPY Y141,18 +0,29%
GBP/JPY Y180,16 +0,44%
AUD/USD $0,8077 -0,06%
NZD/USD $0,7781 +0,27%
USD/CAD C$1,1814 -0,18%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m November +11.4% -2.7%
00:30 Australia Building Permits, y/y November +2.5%
07:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) November +2.5% -0.6%
07:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) November +2.4%
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index December +0.4% +0.3%
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y December +8.2%
10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM November -0.4% -0.2%
10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) November -1.3%
10:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator December 0.18
10:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence December -5.1
10:00 Eurozone Economic sentiment index December 100.7
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) November +0.4% +0.3%
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) November +1.4% +1.1%
12:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50%
12:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility 375 375
12:00 United Kingdom MPC Rate Statement
13:30 Canada New Housing Price Index November +0.1% +0.2%
13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims December 298 291
20:00 U.S. Consumer Credit November 13.2 15.1
21:45 New Zealand Building Permits, m/m November +8.8%
23:30 Australia AiG Performance of Construction Index December 45.4
The Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) released labour market data on Wednesday. Italy's unemployment rate increased to 13.4% in November from 13.2% in October. That was the highest level since 1977.
The jobless rate among people between the age of 15 and 24 reached 43.9% in November.
Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi is pushing through reforms to help the labour market in Italy.
The German the Federal Statistics Office released its labour market data on Wednesday. The number of unemployed people in Germany declined by 27,000 in December, beating expectations for a 6,000 decline, after a 16,000 drop in November. November's figure was revised up from a 14,000 decrease.
Germany's adjusted unemployment rate fell to 6.5% in December from 6.6% in November. That was the lowest level since German reunification in 1990. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged.
Employment is high in Germany and wages are increasing, while inflation is low.
Stock indices closed higher on speculation the European Central Bank will add further stimulus measures. Eurostat released its inflation data fort the Eurozone on today. The inflation declined to an annual rate of -0.2% in December from 0.3% in November. That was the lowest level since October 2009. Analysts had expected a flat reading.
The decline was driven by falling oil prices. Energy prices dropped 6.3% in December.
The inflation excluding food and energy costs increased to an annual rate of 0.8% in December from 0.7% in November.
These figures are adding to pressure on the ECB. Investors speculate that the European Central Bank could decide on its policy meeting on January 22 to purchase government bonds.
Eurozone's unemployment rate remained unchanged at 11.5% in November, in line with expectations.
The number of unemployed people in Germany declined by 27,000 in December, beating expectations for a 6,000 decline, after a 16,000 drop in November. November's figure was revised up from a 14,000 decrease.
Germany's adjusted unemployment rate fell to 6.5% in December from 6.6% in November. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged.
German adjusted retail sales climbed 1.0% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.2% rise, after a 2.0% gain in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.9% increase.
Political uncertainty in Greece still weighed on the euro.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,419.83 +53.32 +0.84%
DAX 9,518.18 +48.52 +0.51%
CAC 40 4,112.73 +29.23 +0.72%
West Texas Intermediate oil pared gains after a government report showed that U.S. fuel stockpiles surged. Brent earlier slipped below $50 a barrel for the first time since May 2009.
Inventories of distillate fuel, a category that includes heating oil and diesel, increased by a record 11.2 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration said. Gasoline stockpiles advanced 8.12 million barrels while crude supplies decreased 3.06 million.
"This report is bearish overall because of the huge builds in distillate and gasoline supplies," John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital LLC, a New York-based hedge fund that focuses on energy, said by phone. "You can ignore the crude number because there's already so much in storage. This decline was just a drop in the bucket."
Crude slumped by 48 percent last year, the most since the 2008 financial crisis, as the U.S. pumped at the fastest pace in more than three decades and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries decided to maintain its output ceiling. The oversupply may take "months or years" to be absorbed, United Arab Emirates Energy Minister Suhail Al Mazrouei said.
WTI for February delivery increased 45 cents, or 0.9 percent, to $48.38 a barrel at 11:45 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange, paring an advance of as much as 2.9 percent. Futures earlier touched $46.83, the lowest level since April 2009. The volume of all futures traded was 52 percent above the 100-day average for the time of day.
Brent for February settlement fell 28 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $50.82 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. It earlier touched $49.66, the least since April 29, 2009. Volume for all futures traded was 78 percent above the 100-day average. The European benchmark oil traded at a $2.44 premium to WTI.
The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies after the better-than-expected U.S. economic data. Private sector in the U.S. added 241,000 jobs in December, according the ADP report on Wednesday. November's figure was revised up to 227,000 jobs from a previous reading of 208,000 jobs. Analysts expected the private sector to add 227,000 jobs.
The U.S. trade deficit narrowed to $39.0 billion in November from a deficit of $42.2 billion in October. That was the lowest level since December 2013. October's figure was revised up from a deficit of $43.4 billion. Analysts had expected a trade deficit of $42.3 billion.
The decline of a deficit was driven by falling oil prices.
The Fed will release minutes of its last meeting. Investors expect signs when the Fed will start to hike its interest rate.
The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar due to the weaker-than-expected inflation data from the Eurozone. The inflation declined to an annual rate of -0.2% in December from 0.3% in November. That was the lowest level since October 2009. Analysts had expected a flat reading.
The decline was driven by falling oil prices.
The inflation excluding food and energy costs increased to an annual rate of 0.8% in December from 0.7% in November.
These figures are adding to pressure on the ECB. Investors speculate that the European Central Bank could decide on its policy meeting on January 22 to purchase government bonds.
Eurozone's unemployment rate remained unchanged at 11.5% in November, in line with expectations.
The number of unemployed people in Germany declined by 27,000 in December, beating expectations for a 6,000 decline, after a 16,000 drop in November. November's figure was revised up from a 14,000 decrease.
Germany's adjusted unemployment rate fell to 6.5% in December from 6.6% in November. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged.
German adjusted retail sales climbed 1.0% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.2% rise, after a 2.0% gain in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.9% increase.
Political uncertainty in Greece still weighed on the euro.
The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from the U.K.
The Canadian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the Canadian economic data. Canada's trade deficit widened to C$644 million in November from a deficit of C$327 million in October. October's figure was revised down from a surplus of C$99 million. Analysts had expected a trade deficit of C$0.2 billion.
The decline was driven by falling oil prices.
Canada's seasonally adjusted Ivey purchasing managers' index fell to 55.4 in December from 56.9 in November. Analysts had expected the index to decrease to 52.3.
The Swiss franc traded lower against the U.S. dollar. The Swiss National Bank's foreign exchange reserves increased to 495.104 billion Swiss francs in December from 462.669 billion francs in November. That is the result of the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) intervention in currency markets last month.
The New Zealand dollar fell against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major market reports from New Zealand.
The Australian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the Aussie traded mixed against the greenback. The Australian Industry Group's performance of services index rose to 47.5 in December from 43.8 in November.
The Japanese yen traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major market reports from Japan.
Gold prices fell after data showed that employment in the private non-farm payrolls rose US in December more than expected.
ADP data released today showed that the level of employment in the US private sector grew last month at 241 thousand., Above is expected to increase by 227 thousand. The US economy created 227 thousand. Jobs in November, whose figure was revised upwards from 208 thousand .
Despite the fact that these data are not considered as reliable forecast on the performance of government employment report, scheduled for January 9, they do provide some insight on the future of statistics.
Later today, the Federal Reserve will publish its report next political meeting, which is expected, investors should clarify the future direction of monetary policy the US central bank.
In 2014, gold fell nearly 2% amid signs that the strengthening of the US economic recovery will force the Fed to start raising interest rates sooner and faster than expected.
Expectations of an increase of interest on loans have a negative impact on the dynamics of gold, as the precious metal are struggling to compete with earning assets during periods of high interest rates.
The cost of the February gold futures on the COMEX today fell to 1209.10 dollars per ounce.
Canada's seasonally adjusted Ivey purchasing managers' index fell to 55.4 in December from 56.9 in November. Analysts had expected the index to decrease to 52.3.
A reading above 50 indicates a rise in the pace of activity.
Seasonally adjusted inventories declined significantly to 41.7 in December from 50.8 in November.
Statistics Canada released the trade data on Wednesday. Canada's trade deficit widened to C$644 million in November from a deficit of C$327 million in October. October's figure was revised down from a surplus of C$99 million. Analysts had expected a trade deficit of C$0.2 billion.
The decline was driven by falling oil prices.
Exports decreased 3.5% in November. That was the biggest decline since January 2012. Exports of energy products declined 7.8%, while shipments of metal and non-metallic mineral products dropped 8.3%.
Imports fell 2.7% in November.
The U.S. Commerce Department released the trade data on Wednesday. The U.S. trade deficit narrowed to $39.0 billion in November from a deficit of $42.2 billion in October. That was the lowest level since December 2013. October's figure was revised up from a deficit of $43.4 billion. Analysts had expected a trade deficit of $42.3 billion.
The decline of a deficit was driven by falling oil prices.
Exports decreased 1.0% in November.
Exports to the European Union fell 7.7% in November. Exports to China declined 3.9%, while exports to Japan decreased 9.7%.
Imports dropped 2.2% in November. Petroleum imports reached the lowest level since August of 2009.
U.S. stock-index futures rose as investors await minutes from the Federal Reserve's last meeting for clues on the timing of a rate increase.
Global markets:
Nikkei 16,885.33 +2.14 +0.01%
Hang Seng 23,681.26 +195.85 +0.83%
Shanghai Composite 3,374.45 +23.01 +0.69%
FTSE 6,437.77 +71.26 +1.12%
CAC 4,132.76 +49.26 +1.21%
DAX 9,564.63 +94.97 +1.00%
Crude oil $48.50 (+1.19%)
Gold $1210.00 (-0.77%)
Private sector in the U.S. added 241,000 jobs in December, according the ADP report on Wednesday.
November's figure was revised up to 227,000 jobs from a previous reading of 208,000 jobs.
Analysts expected the private sector to add 227,000 jobs.
Official labour market data will be released on Friday. Analysts expect that U.S. unemployment rate is expected to decline to 5.7% in December from 5.8% in November. The U.S. economy is expected to add 241,000 jobs in December.
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 60.34 | +0.03% | 9.5K |
UnitedHealth Group Inc | UNH | 99.21 | +0.29% | 2.8K |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 89.95 | +0.39% | 0.2K |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 86.70 | +0.45% | 2.5K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 27.20 | +0.55% | 5.9K |
Nike | NKE | 93.51 | +0.60% | 2.0K |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 92.99 | +0.64% | 1.7K |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 46.80 | +0.67% | 9.8K |
General Electric Co | GE | 24.24 | +0.71% | 37.5K |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 31.67 | +0.80% | 3.1K |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 104.18 | +0.87% | 0.8K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 108.98 | +0.88% | 5.6K |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 42.85 | +0.92% | 16.2K |
Intel Corp | INTC | 35.61 | +0.94% | 7.2K |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 92.75 | +0.94% | 0.5K |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 157.59 | +0.97% | 1.3K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 46.10 | +0.99% | 27.0K |
Boeing Co | BA | 128.82 | +1.01% | 0.3K |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 90.81 | +1.11% | 6.3K |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 59.65 | +1.14% | 1.6K |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 186.75 | +1.20% | 2.4K |
AT&T Inc | T | 33.53 | +1.21% | 54.2K |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 102.24 | +1.28% | 0.8K |
American Express Co | AXP | 90.36 | +2.25% | 4.2K |
Travelers Companies Inc | TRV | 103.24 | 0.00% | 0.1K |
Upgrades:
American Express (AXP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman
Downgrades:
UnitedHealth (UNH) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman, target lowered from $113 to $109
Other:
EUR/USD: $1.2000(E2.3bn)
USD/JPY: Y118.00($1.0bn), Y118.50($608mn), Y119.00($320mn), Y119.50($700mn), Y120.00($1.8bn)
EUR/GBP: stg0.7825(E911mn)
USD/CHF: Chf1.0000($285mn)
USD/CAD: C$1.1700($1.5bn)
The Swiss National Bank's foreign exchange reserves increased to 495.104 billion Swiss francs in December from 462.669 billion francs in November, according to data on Wednesday. That is the result of the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) intervention in currency markets last month.
The SNB capped the franc at 1.20 per euro in September 2011. It had intervened heavily in 2012 to defend the cap.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted November +2.0% Revised From +1.9% +0.2% +1.0%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y November +2.1% Revised From +1.7% -0.8%
08:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves December 462.4 495.1
08:55 Germany Unemployment Change December -16 -6 -27
08:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. December 6.6% 6.6% 6.5%
10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate November 11.5% 11.5% 11.5%
10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Preliminary) December +0.3% 0.0% -0.2%
The U.S. dollar traded mixed to higher against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. economic data. The U.S. economy is expected to add 227,000 jobs in December, according to the ADP employment report.
The U.S. trade deficit is expected to narrow to $42.3 billion in November from $43.4 billion in October.
The Fed will release minutes of its last meeting. Investors expect signs when the Fed will start to hike its interest rate.
The euro fell against the U.S. dollar after the weaker-than-expected inflation data from the Eurozone. The inflation declined to an annual rate of -0.2% in December from 0.3% in November. That was the lowest level since October 2009. Analysts had expected a flat reading.
The decline was driven by falling oil prices.
The inflation excluding food and energy costs increased to an annual rate of 0.8% in December from 0.7% in November.
These figures are adding to pressure on the ECB. Investors speculate that the European Central Bank could decide on its policy meeting on January 22 to purchase government bonds.
Eurozone's unemployment rate remained unchanged at 11.5% in November, in line with expectations.
The number of unemployed people in Germany declined by 27,000 in December, beating expectations for a 6,000 decline, after a 16,000 drop in November. November's figure was revised up from a 14,000 decrease.
Germany's adjusted unemployment rate fell to 6.5% in December from 6.6% in November. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged.
German adjusted retail sales climbed 1.0% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.2% rise, after a 2.0% gain in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.9% increase.
Political uncertainty in Greece still weighed on the euro.
The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from the U.K.
The Canadian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar ahead of Canadian economic data. The Canadian trade surplus of C$0.1 billion in October is expected to narrow to a deficit of C$0.2 billion in November.
The Ivey purchasing managers' index is expected to drop to 52.3 in December from 56.9 in November.
The Swiss franc traded lower against the U.S. dollar. The Swiss National Bank's foreign exchange reserves increased to 495.104 billion Swiss francs in December from 462.669 billion francs in November.
EUR/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.1818
GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y119.34
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
13:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report December 208 227
13:30 Canada Trade balance, billions November 0.1 -0.2
13:30 U.S. International Trade, bln November -43.4 -42.3
15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index December 56.9 52.3
19:00 U.S. FOMC meeting minutes
23:30 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks
EUR/USD
Offers $1.2200, $1.2150, $1.2125/20, $1.2100, $1.2000
Bids $1.1800, $1.1700
GBP/USD
Offers $1.5545, $1.5485, $1.5430, $1.5400, $1.5320/00
Bids $1.5100, $1.5000
AUD/USD
Offers $0.8250, $0.8200, $0.8165/60, $0.8100
Bids $0.8035, $0.8000, $0.7950
EUR/JPY
Offers Y146.00/05, Y145.50, Y145.30, Y144.15, Y143.00
Bids Y141.40, Y141.00
USD/JPY
Offers Y121.85, Y121.50, Y121.20, Y120.90/00, Y119.90
Bids Y118.05, Y118.00, Y117.00, Y116.80
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.7900, stg0.7880/85, stg0.7875
Bids stg0.7800, stg0.7755/50, stg0.7745, stg0.7720, stg0.7700, stg0.7680
Eurostat released its inflation data fort the Eurozone on Wednesday. The inflation declined to an annual rate of -0.2% in December from 0.3% in November. That was the lowest level since October 2009.
Analysts had expected a flat reading.
The decline was driven by falling oil prices. Energy prices dropped 6.3% in December.
The inflation excluding food and energy costs increased to an annual rate of 0.8% in December from 0.7% in November.
The European Central Bank's (ECB) inflation target is close to but below 2%.
These figures are adding to pressure on the ECB. Investors speculate that the European Central Bank could decide on its policy meeting on January 22 to purchase government bonds.
European indices added the most in three weeks as data from Eurostat on Eurozone's Consumer Price Inflation showed a negative reading for the first time since October 2009 when it was -0.1%. Consumer prices fell more-than-expected to -0.2%. Analyst forecasted a flat reading of 0.0% in December after +0.2% in November. Disinflation adds pressure on the ECB to start quantitative easing measures rather sooner than later as the ECB wants to keep inflation below but close to 2 percent over the medium term.
The Unemployment Rate in Germany fell to 6.5%, a record low, beating forecast of 6.6%. Last month's reading was 6.6%. Eurozone's Unemployment Rate stayed at 11.5% in line with estimates.
The minutes from December's Federal Reserve policy meeting are due later in the day at 19:00 GMT. The minutes may give further indication on the FED's 'patient' approach on rising benchmark interest rates for the first time since 2006.
In today's session the FTSE 100 index added +0.86% quoted at 6,421.14. France's CAC 40 gained +1.14% trading at 4,130.20. Germany's DAX 30 is currently trading +1.01% at 9,565.64 points.
Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate recovered today from new lows after declining for 4 days with Brent Crude falling below the level of USD50 in today's trading for the first time since May 2009. Prices slumped 48 percent in 2014 after three years of the highest average prices in history. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, declined to as low as $46.83 today, about a 56 percent decline from its June high and the lowest since April 2009.
Markets await U.S. Crude Oil Inventories due at 15:30 GMT.
The global glut continues in 2015 and a low global demand weighs amid record output from Iraq and Russia. Both major brands lost more than 50% of their value since mid-2014 but the OPEC, responsible for 40% of worldwide oil-production, decided to leave output-rates unchanged around 30 million barrels a day.
Brent Crude gained +0.88%, currently trading above USD50 at USD51.55 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate added +1.28% currently quoted at USD48.59.
Gold prices declined in today's session for the first time in 4 days but hold close to three-week highs after successfully rising above the USD1,200-threshold yesterday.
The precious metal continues to be under pressure with a strengthening greenback as the U.S. economy recovers and the FED is moving closer to raise interest rates. Today markets await the minutes from December's Federal Reserve policy meeting due later in the day at 19:00 GMT. The minutes may give further indication on the FED's 'patient' approach on rising benchmark interest rates for the first time since 2006. Earlier in today's session investors will closely watch the publication of the ADP Employment Report on private sector job creation due at 13:15 GMT for further indications on the recovery of the U.S. labour market.
The political turmoil in Greece where the anti-austerity party Syriza could come to power after the elections taking place on January 25th and growing concerns over a potential Greek exit from the euro zone supported the precious metal's price.
The precious metal is currently quoted at USD1,214.60, -0,29% a troy ounce.
GOLD currently trading at USD1,214.60
EUR/USD: $1.2000(E2.3bn)
USD/JPY: Y118.00($1.0bn), Y118.50($608mn), Y119.00($320mn), Y119.50($700mn), Y120.00($1.8bn)
EUR/GBP: stg0.7825(E911mn)
USD/CHF: Chf1.0000($285mn)
USD/CAD: C$1.1700($1.5bn)
Japan's Abe: may be able to declare end of deflation if wages rise
(Reuters) - Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said on Wednesday he may be able to declare that Japan has broken free from a long phase of deflation if companies continue to raise wages.
Abe also said he hopes that by improving the economy Japan will be able to contribute to global growth.
Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/01/07/us-japan-economy-abe-idUSKBN0KG0LV20150107
BLOOMBERG
SNB Interventions Boost Currency Reserves to Record High
The Swiss National Bank's foreign-currency reserves hit a record in December after an appreciation of the franc forced the institution to end a two-year hiatus in interventions.
Holdings increased to 495.1 billion francs ($490 billion) from a revised 462.7 billion francs in November, the central bank based in Zurich and Bern said on its website today. The holdings are calculated according to International Monetary Fund standards at the beginning of every month.
The SNB said on Dec. 18 that it had resumed purchases of foreign currencies after the franc hit its strongest since 2012 amid a weakening of the Russian economy and the prospect of more euro-area stimulus by the European Central Bank. It imposed a negative deposit rate to stave off capital inflows and lowered its target range for three-month franc Libor to reinforce its three-year-old minimum exchange rate of 1.20 per euro.
BLOOMBERG
Global Crude Falls Below $50 as U.S. Supply Seen Adding to Glut
Oil fell below $50 a barrel in London for the first time since May 2009 amid speculation that U.S. inventories will increase, exacerbating a global supply glut that's driven prices to a five-year low.
Brent futures dropped as much as 2.3 percent for a fifth day of losses. Crude stockpiles in the world's biggest consumer probably expanded by 700,000 barrels last week, a Bloomberg News survey showed before an Energy Information Administration report today. China, the second-largest oil user, won't drive a market rebound in 2015 as its net imports will slow, according to Citigroup Inc.
European indices edge higher in early trading despite falling oil prices and the political turmoil in Greece where the anti-austerity party Syriza could come to power after the elections of January 25th. Growing concerns over a potential Greek exit from the euro zone weighs but the prospect of for additional easing measures by the ECB supports the markets.
German Retail Sales rose unexpectedly +1.0% in November compared to a forecast of +0.2% and a revised previous reading of +2.1% in October. The Unemployment Rate in Germany fell to 6.5%, a record low, beating forecast of 6.6%. Last month's reading was 6.6%.
All eyes are now on the Eurozone's Harmonized CPI that will show consumer prices declined for the first time in more than five years according to predictions. According to analyst Eurozone's Unemployment Rate will stay unchanged at 11.5%.
The minutes from December's Federal Reserve policy meeting are due later in the day at 19:00 GMT. The minutes may give further indication on the FED's 'patient' approach on rising benchmark interest rates for the first time since 2006.
The FTSE 100 index is currently trading +0.75% quoted at 6,414.23 points, Germany's DAX 30 added +0.62% trading at 9,528.59. France's CAC 40 rose by +0.89%, currently trading at 4,119.99 points.
U.S. markets closed lower for the fifth time on Tuesday as data showed slower growth in the service sector and oil prices continued to slump weighing down the energy sector. The DOW JONES index lost -0.74% closing at 17,371.64 points. The S&P 500 declined by -0.89% with a final quote of 2,002.61 just above the 2,000 points mark after falling intraday below the important level. Investors now await the FED's December minutes today and Nonfarm Payrolls due on Friday. The minutes may give further indication on the FED's 'patient' approach on rising benchmark interest rates for the first time since 2006.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng added +0.93% to 23,703.50 points. China's Shanghai Composite closed at 3,374.45 points, a gain of +0.69% ending the day at new 5-year highs as Petro-China rallied 6 percent. The index rose almost 64% last year.
Japan's Nikkei ended the day flat with a little plus of +0.01% at 16,885.33 after a choppy session ending a four day losing streak.
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted November +1.9% +0.2% +1.0%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y November +1.7% -0.8%
The greenback traded broadly stronger against its major peers ahead of the minutes from December's Federal Reserve policy meeting due later in the day at 19:00 GMT. The minutes may give further indication on the FED's 'patient' approach on rising benchmark interest rates for the first time since 2006.
Earlier in the session data on Eurozone's Unemployment Rate and Harmonized preliminary CPI are due. The figures are expected to show the first annual decline in consumer prices in the Eurozone since 2009 which would add pressure on ECB to start quantitative easing measures rather sooner than later. Mario Draghi's comments last week, that he can't rule out the risk of the deflation in the Eurozone and a possible 'Grexit', Greece's exit from the Eurozone if anti-austerity parties win in the upcoming elections also weigh on the single currency.
The Australian dollar fell against the greenback on Wednesday despite an upbeat AIG Services Index. The Index published yesterday at 23:30 GMT rose from a reading of 43.8 in November to 47.5 in December gaining 3.7 points.
New Zealand's dollar lost some of its yesterday's gains against the greenback trading at USD0.7740.
The Japanese yen traded weaker during the Asian and fell from a 3-week high against the U.S. dollar being currently quoted around USD119 as Asian stocks stabilized and dampened investors demand for a haven.
EUR/USD: the euro continued to slump against the greenback
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted November +1.9% +0.2%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y November +1.7%
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index December +0.4% +0.3%
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y December +8.2%
08:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves December 462.4
08:55 Germany Unemployment Change December -14 -6
08:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. December 6.6% 6.6%
10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate November 11.5% 11.5%
10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Preliminary) December +0.3% 0.0%
13:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report December 208 227
13:30 Canada Trade balance, billions November 0.1 -0.2
13:30 U.S. International Trade, bln November -43.4 -42.3
15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index December 56.9 52.3
15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories December -1.8
19:00 U.S. FOMC meeting minutes
23:30 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.2107 (1708)
$1.2025 (3158)
$1.1967 (680)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.1872
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1823 (2377)
$1.1785 (2708)
$1.1742 (1525)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 9 is 70160 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2500 (6645);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 9 is 63362 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1900 (6467);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.90 versus 0.95 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 6
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.5400 (848)
$1.5301 (1763
$1.5204 (336)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.5131
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.5096 (934)
$1.4999 (409)
$1.4900 (224)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 9 is 31224 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5850 (4020);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 9 is 23327 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5500 (2692);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.75 versus 0.77 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 6
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Light Crude 48.00+0.15%
Gold 1,219.00 -0.03%
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1888 -0,37%
GBP/USD $1,5150 -0,63%
USD/CHF Chf1,0100 +0,33%
USD/JPY Y118,40 -1,03%
EUR/JPY Y140,77 -1,40%
GBP/JPY Y179,36 -1,69%
AUD/USD $0,8082 +0,01%
NZD/USD $0,7760 +0,98%
USD/CAD C$1,1835 +0,63%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 16,883.19 -525.52 -3.02%
Hang Seng 23,485.41 -235.91 -0.99%
Shanghai Composite 3,353.01 +2.49 +0.07%
FTSE 100 6,366.51 -50.65 -0.79%
CAC 40 4,083.5 -27.86 -0.68%
Xetra DAX 9,469.66 -3.50 -0.04%
S&P 500 2,002.61 -17.97 -0.89%
NASDAQ Composite 4,592.74 -59.84 -1.29%
Dow Jones 17,371.64 -130.01 -0.74%