Notícias do Mercado

20 novembro 2013
  • 20:00

    Dow -57.83 15,909.20 -0.36% Nasdaq -7.08 3,924.47 -0.18% S&P -5.55 1,782.32 -0.31%

  • 18:59

    American focus : the dollar rose significantly against the euro

    The euro exchange rate has fallen against the U.S. dollar, which has been associated with the resumption of speculation about the negative ECB . The market continues to speculation that the ECB is considering introducing negative interest rates on deposits. It is expected that this measure provides for the reduction of deposit rates from 0% to -0.1 %, which is to force commercial banks to actively lend to companies and households , as the matter remains ill for the region. Speculation intensified in connection with conducting a mid-week meeting of the ECB in Frankfurt.

    Earlier this month, the ECB M. Draghi said that the bank is ready for the new measures , if required by the economic outlook . The ECB has lowered this month refinancing rate by 25 basis points to a record low of 0.25 % in a deflationary pressures and rising unemployment .

    Inflation figures for October, significantly fell short of expectations , reaching only 0.7 %. Meanwhile, the region's economy grew last quarter by only 0.1 % , while the unemployment rate was 12.2 %.

    The dollar also had statements from the President Federal Reserve Bank of New York , William Dudley , who said that despite the severe fiscal difficulties this year , the U.S. economy was able to continue the recovery and looks set to grow at a faster pace.

    "The fact that the U.S. economy has continued to grow, and GDP growth was about 2% in 2013, despite the relatively strong fiscal brake , argues that the private sector of the economy as a whole finished restoring , and now his level of activity will increase," - Dudley said .

    He pointed to the labor market report for October, which witnessed the growth of jobs and overall economic growth , which according to the first estimate , in the 3rd quarter was 2.8 %.

    Note that the important words of the president have also been Fed -Saint- Louis , James Bullard , who said that the folding of the central bank's program of quantitative easing " to be discussed " at the meeting, which will take place in December , and that the next strong data on the labor market will increase the chances of early folding. In an interview on Bloomberg TV Bullard said that recent economic data " look a little better," along with the growth of GDP, but it will depend on the steadiness of the labor market.

    The pound was down against the U.S. dollar, losing the all previously earned the position , due to the publication of minutes of the Fed's expectations . Note that investors will get a grasp of a lot of attention in the minutes , trying to find in them the answer to the question of whether to wait for coagulation of quantitative easing as early as this year. Although Ben Bernanke said yesterday that the low rates could persist for a long time after the purchase of the assets will be discontinued , immediate prospects for QE3 concern of market participants around the world. Bernanke also said that since the beginning of the program of bond purchases by the central bank , the labor market showed " significant improvements " and that the rate of increase in interest rates will likely remain low for an extended period of time after the completion of the purchase . The Fed chief said that "the last FOMC decision came as a surprise to some market participants , but it strengthened the authority of the Committee. The politician added that the decline in interest rates since September, is the result of future policy. Bernanke made ​​it clear that his views are similar to the opinion of the deputy chairman of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen , which she expressed at the hearing of the Senate Banking Committee on November 14.

    However, surprises from the protocol probably not worth waiting for , even in spite of the fact that the participants in the recent times seems to have forgotten all about the folding of incentive programs .

    The Swiss franc declined significantly against the U.S. dollar , in response , so that the positive statistics on the United States. It is learned that retail sales rose in October on the back of sustained growth of car purchases . But the weakness in key categories suggests that consumers are cautious in their spending in anticipation of the holiday shopping season . Sales of the country's retailers rose a seasonally adjusted 0.4% compared with September , after a zero change in the previous month , the Commerce Department said on Wednesday . But with the exception of a strong automotive sector , sales increased by only 0.2 %, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous month . Economists had predicted that total retail sales will grow by 0.1 %, while sales excluding autos to rise 0.2 %. Total retail sales rose by 3.9 % compared with a year ago. Excluding autos and auto parts sales rose by 2.4 % compared with a year ago.

  • 18:20

    European stock close

    European stocks were little changed as investors weighed U.S. retail and home-sales (ETSLTOTL) data, as well as comments from people familiar with the debate saying the European Central Bank is considering a smaller-than-normal cut in the deposit rate if officials decide to take it negative.

    The Stoxx Europe 600 Index climbed 0.1 percent to 322.84 at 4:30 p.m. in London. The benchmark gauge yesterday fell from a five-year high.

    National benchmark indexes retreated in 13 of the 18 western European markets.

    FTSE 100 6,681.08 -16.93 -0.25% CAC 40 4,268.37 -3.92 -0.09% DAX 9,202.07 +8.78 +0.10%

    It would be the first time the ECB has adjusted interest rates by less than a quarter of a percentage point. The concept, which has been discussed by Governing Council members, doesn’t yet have a consensus, the people said.

    Retail sales in the U.S. rose more than forecast in October. The 0.4 percent increase was the most in three months and followed no change in September, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. The median forecast of economists called for a 0.1 percent October advance.

    Separate data showed that purchases of previously-owned U.S. homes fell in October to the lowest level in four months. Sales dropped 3.2 percent from a month earlier to a 5.12 million annual rate, according to the National Association of Realtors in Washington. The median forecast of economists projected a 5.14 million pace.

    The Fed will release minutes of its October meeting after European markets close today. The document will reveal more details on the decision to maintain its pace of asset purchases at $85 billion a month. Fed policy makers will probably trim the bond-buying to $70 billion at their March 18-19 meeting, according to the median estimate.

    Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said late yesterday the central bank will probably maintain its target interest rate long after ending its monthly bond purchases.

    Metro gained 2.4 percent to 36.64 euros, posting the biggest two-day increase since November 2011. Barclays upgraded Germany’s biggest retailer to overweight, similar to a buy rating, from equal weight, citing the possible sale of a Russian operation, improving sales trends in key divisions and the possibility of reducing borrowing costs as expensive debt matures. Shares soared 7.9 percent yesterday after Metro said it is considering a partial initial public offering of its Russian Cash & Carry unit.

    Societe Television Francaise 1 (TFI) jumped 4.8 percent to 13.96 euros after France beat Ukraine to advance to the next year’s soccer World Cup. TF1, which bought the broadcast rights to the competition, yesterday fell as much as 1.3 percent in intraday trading as Natixis wrote that the probability of the French national team qualifying for the tournament was “very low.”

    Zodiac Aerospace (ZC) climbed 3.5 percent to 123.05 euros, the highest price since at least February 1993, after the world’s largest maker of airline seats posted full-year net income of 370.9 million euros ($499 million). That exceeded the 355.5 million-euro average of analysts.

    Diageo Plc lost 1.1 percent to 2,007 pence after CEO Menezes told journalists yesterday he expects the “uncertain” global economy to continue to affect sales growth for the world’s biggest distiller.

    Menezes said the company was committed to its profitability target despite slowing growth in some economies. Diageo said in August 2011 it would increase sales excluding acquisitions by an average of 6 percent a year and widen its operating-profit ">ThyssenKrupp AG declined 2.1 percent to 19 euros after Reuters cited bankers familiar with the matter as saying that the German steelmaker plans to boost capital by 10 percent. Spokesman Robin Zimmer said in e-mailed comments the company does not rule out a capital increase.

  • 17:00

    European stock close: FTSE 100 6,681.08 -16.93 -0.25% CAC 40 4,268.37 -3.92 -0.09% DAX 9,202.07 +8.78 +0.10%

  • 16:40

    Oil: an overview of the market situation

    Oil prices rose today , while continuing yesterday's trend, against the background of the fact that the volume of U.S. inventories rose last week, less than expected.

    Note that the data of the Department of Energy on changes in stocks in the U.S. for the last week have shown :

    - Oil stocks rose 0.375 million barrels to 388.463 million barrels ( experts predict that oil reserves were increased by 1 million barrels)

    - Gasoline inventories decreased by 0,345 million barrels . to 208.853 million barrels . ;

    - Distillate stocks fell 4.795 million barrels . to 112.541 million barrels .

    - Refining capacity utilization rate of 88.6 % versus 86.7 % a week earlier .

    - Oil at the terminal in Cushing rose by 1.740 million barrels . - Up to 39.9 million reaching a peak in July

    Recall that yesterday's report from the Institute of Oil API showed :

    - Capacity utilization in the week 88.1 % vs. 86.9 %

    - Distillate stocks fell this week to 4.91 million barrels

    - Gasoline inventories for the week rose to 0.084 million barrels

    - Crude oil inventories rose by 0.512 million barrels

    The course of trading also affected the U.S. data , which showed that retail sales rose in October on the back of sustained growth of car purchases . But the weakness in key categories suggests that consumers are cautious in their spending in anticipation of the holiday shopping season . Sales of the country's retailers rose a seasonally adjusted 0.4% compared with September , after a zero change in the previous month , the Commerce Department said on Wednesday . But with the exception of a strong automotive sector , sales increased by only 0.2 %, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous month .

    Economists had predicted that total retail sales will grow by 0.1 %, while sales excluding autos to rise 0.2 %.

    Total retail sales rose by 3.9 % compared with a year ago. Excluding autos and auto parts sales rose by 2.4 % compared with a year ago.

    The focus of the market also remains publication of the minutes from the previous meeting of the Fed . On how the voting members of the Fed and what their thoughts are visiting during the meeting , will largely determine the future direction of the markets. However, the surprise here is probably not worth waiting for , even in spite of the fact that the participants in the recent times seems to have forgotten all about the folding of incentive programs .

    The cost of the December futures on U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) rose to $ 93.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

    January futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture rose 66 cents to $ 107.76 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.

  • 16:20

    Gold: an overview of the market situation

    Gold prices fell markedly today , losing about 1 percent , due to the expectations of the publication of minutes of the last meeting of the Operations Committee on the open market, which may provide some clues regarding future monetary stimulus program . Recall that in recent years, ultrasoft , monetary policy has been a key factor driving gold prices up. But this year, the price of the precious metal fell almost 25 percent on expectations that the policy can be changed.

    We also note that earlier today ( 00:00 GMT) , Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said that since the beginning of the program of bond purchases by the central bank , the labor market showed " significant improvements " and that the rate of increase in interest rates is likely will remain low for an extended period of time after the purchase .

    The Fed chief said that "the last FOMC decision came as a surprise to some market participants , but it strengthened the authority of the Committee. The politician added that the decline in interest rates since September, is the result of future policy.

    Bernanke made ​​it clear that his views are similar to the opinion of the deputy chairman of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen , which she expressed at the hearing of the Senate Banking Committee on November 14.

    Meanwhile , we add that the data showed that stocks SPDR Gold Trust - the world's largest gold exchange-traded fund , fell yesterday by 1.5 million tons to 863.01 million tons, thus reaching the lowest level since February 2009 .

    Also today it was announced that in September China's gold production amounted to 37.642 tons , and the total production of the metal in January- September reached 307.809 tons. This was reported in the China Gold Association. Gold production in January -September in China by 6.8 % more than last year, the association added .

    China, the world leader in the manufacture and import of gold, in the 3rd quarter pushed India and has become the world's largest consumer of gold . Metal consumption in China in the period amounted to 209.6 tonnes , according to a recent report by the World Gold Council .

    The cost of the December gold futures on COMEX today dropped to $ 1262.90 per ounce.

  • 15:13

    Swiss economic confidence improves further in November: ZEW

    Economic confidence in Switzerland increased for the fifth consecutive month in November, continuing the upward trend seen in recent months, data from a monthly survey conducted by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) and Credit Suisse (CS) showed Wednesday.

    The ZEW-CS Indicator of economic expectations climbed to 31.6 points in November from 24.9 points in October, which was the highest reading in three years. The indicator reflects expectations of surveyed financial market experts regarding economic development in Switzerland on a six-month time horizon.

    In November, 41.4 percent of the surveyed experts said they expect Switzerland's economic conditions to improve in the next six months, which is 10.2 percentage points higher than in the previous month.

    Meanwhile, the share of analysts who were upbeat about the country's current economic situation decreased by 12 percentage points during the month.

    With regard to the Eurozone, the majority of the respondents said they expect an improvement in economic activity in the bloc in the coming months, data showed.

  • 15:00

    U.S.: Existing Home Sales , October 5.12 (forecast 5.21)

  • 15:00

    U.S.: Business inventories , September +0.6% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 14:34
  • 14:27

    Before the bell: S&P futures +0.22%, Nasdaq futures +0.36%

    U.S. stock futures rose, as retail sales climbed more than forecast in October and investors awaited minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting.

    Global markets:

    Nikkei 15,076.08 -50.48 -0.33 %

    Hang Seng 23,700.86 +43.05 +0.18 %

    Shanghai Composite 2,206.61 +13.49 +0.62 %

    FTSE 6,687.25 -10.76 -0.16%

    CAC 4,261.14 -11.15 -0.26%

    DAX 9,188.91 -4.38 -0.05%


    Crude oil: $93.74 (+0.43%).

    Gold: $1262.00 (-0.9%).

  • 13:45

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    USD/JPY Y99.00, Y99.30, Y99.50, Y99.90, Y100.00, Y100.50, Y101.30

    EUR/JPY Y134.40, Y134.75, Y135.00, Y135.05, Y135.25

    EUR/USD $1.3400, $1.3455, $1.3465, $1.3500, $1.3515, $1.3530, $1.3600

    GBP/USD $1.6100

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2365

    AUD/USD $0.9295, $0.9375, $0.9400, $0.9450

    AUD/JPY Y95.00

    CAD/JPY Y94.50

  • 13:31

    U.S.: CPI, Y/Y, October +1.0% (forecast +1.0%)

  • 13:31

    U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, October +1.7% (forecast +1.7%)

  • 13:30

    Canada: Wholesale Sales, m/m, September +0.2% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Retail sales, October +0.4% (forecast +0.1%)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Retail sales excluding auto, October +0.2% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: CPI, m/m , October -0.1% (forecast 0.0%)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, m/m, October +0.1% (forecast +0.1%)

  • 13:18

    European session: the euro fell

    07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) October +0.3% +0.1% -0.2%

    07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) October -0.5% -0.6% -0.7%

    09:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes November

    10:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) November 24.9 30.0 31.6

    Euro fell against the dollar on the comments of the representative of the ECB Weidmann , who said that the ECB is not yet technically ready to wrap up emergency measures . However, Weidmann bit offset this statement , saying that despite the fact that the moderate inflation outlook justifies expansionist policy , it is unwise to soften it further after November's decline.

    Furthermore, the pressure on the single currency price data bit manufacturers in Germany. The index of producer prices in industry in Germany fell by 0.7 percent year on year in October, following a 0.5 percent drop in September. Prices fell for the third month in succession. Economists had forecast a slower decline of 0.6 percent in October.

    On the overall index was influenced by the 1.9- percent drop in the prices of intermediate goods, and exactly the same reduction in energy costs. Meanwhile , the price of capital goods rose by 0.7 percent compared to October 2012 , and consumer prices rose by 1.8 percent.

    The producer price index fell by 0.2 percent compared to September , when it showed 0.3 percent growth. The index according to the expectations of economists was to grow by 0.1 percent in the month dimension.

    The British pound rose against the dollar and the euro after the publication of the minutes of the last meeting of the Bank of England. MPC Minutes from November 6-7, showed that the committee voted unanimously for having to leave the rate by 0.5 % and the asset purchase program at £ 375 billion As the protocol MPC noted the steady recovery in economic activity in Britain and has predicted that the economy continue to grow above the long-term average in Q2 . GDP forecast , however, may be subject to upside risks (increase confidence and improve conditions in the lending sector ), and the downside risks (the process of restoring the balance and slow income growth ) .

    MPC noted the still unstable growth of the European economy , which could damage the British economy , and suggested that " as the external situation is unlikely to stimulate growth in the UK and in view of fiscal consolidation in the country, we will keep growth forecast for the current level. Important role for economy in the medium -term recovery play household spending amid rising business costs. " Despite the recent rise in inflation expectations, the MPC believes that they are restrained in the medium term , because at the moment they do not play a big role in the demands on wages .

    The U.S. dollar fell against the yen after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said that the basic interest rate of the central bank is likely to remain near zero for another " long time " after the purchase of assets, and after the unemployment rate will fall less than 6.5 %. Bernanke made ​​it clear that his views are similar to the opinion of the deputy chairman of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen , which she expressed at the hearing of the Senate Banking Committee on November 14. "I agree with the sentiments expressed by my colleague Janet Yellen last week that the surest path to a normal approach to monetary policy , that is, we need to promote more rapid recovery ," - he said.

    Also, the dynamics of the dollar today will affect the published data from the U.S. Department of Commerce . According to the median forecast of economists , the volume of retail sales in the world's largest economy is likely to grow in October by 0.1 % , after a 0.1 % decline in the previous month .

    The yen has suspended its decline after the release of data on the trade balance of the country. In October, the trade deficit Japan rose more than analysts had expected. Imports grew at the fastest pace since 2010 , and was outweighed exports . The deficit amounted to 1.09 trillion . yen ( 10.9 billion dollars). Imports increased by 26.1 % compared with a year earlier, while exports gained 18.6%.

    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3516


    GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6160

    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair fell to Y99.78


  • 13:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3690/700, $1.3660/65, $1.3650, $1.3620/30, $1.3585-600

    Bids $1.3480/70, $1.3450


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.6250/60, $1.6200/10, $1.6180, $1.6160/65

    Bids  $1.6085/80, $1.6050/45, $1.6030, $1.6015/00


    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.9500, $0.9480, $0.9450, $0.9425/30

    Bids  $0.9350, $0.9325/20, $0.9300, $0.9250


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8500, stg0.8475/80, stg0.8440, stg0.8430, stg0.8415/20

    Bids  stg0.8340, stg0.8325/20, stg0.8300


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y136.50, Y136.00, Y135.60/70

    Bids  Y135.00, Y134.80/75, Y134.50, Y134.20/00


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y100.80, Y100.50

    Bids Y99.80, Y99.50, Y99.40/20, Y99.00


  • 11:33

    European stocks declined

    European stocks declined as investors awaited reports on U.S. retail and housing to gauge the health of the world’s biggest economy before minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting. U.S. index futures were little changed, while Asian shares retreated.

    In the U.S., a report at 8:30 a.m. in Washington may show retail sales rose 0.1 percent in October, having dropped 0.1 percent a month earlier, economists forecast in a Bloomberg survey. A separate release will probably show sales of previously owned homes increased to a 5.14 million annual pace, from a 5.29 million rate a month earlier.

    The Federal Reserve will release minutes of its October policy meeting after European markets close today. The document will reveal more details on the central bank’s decision to maintain its pace of asset purchases at $85 billion a month. Fed policy makers will probably trim the bond-buying to $70 billion at their March 18-19 meeting, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey.

    Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said late yesterday the central bank will probably maintain its target interest rate long after ending its monthly bond purchases.

    Diageo Plc lost 1.5 percent to 1,998.5 pence after Menezes told journalists yesterday he expects the “uncertain” global economy to continue to affect sales growth for the world’s biggest distiller.

    Societe Television Francaise 1 rose 6.4 percent to 14.18 euros after France beat Ukraine to advance to the next year’s soccer World Cup. TF1 yesterday fell as much as 1.3 percent in intraday trading as Natixis wrote in a note that the probability of the French national team qualifying for the tournament was “very low.”

    FTSE 100 6,666.86 -31.15 -0.47%

    CAC 40 4,255.93 -16.36 -0.38%

    DAX 9,172.1 -21.19 -0.23%

  • 11:15

    Japan's all industry activity rises for third month

    Japan's all industry activity increased for a third consecutive month in September, data released by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry showed Wednesday.

    The all industry activity index rose 0.4 percent month-on-month in September, after a 0.3 percent rise in August. The outcome was in line with expectations.

    Industrial production gained 1.3 percent on a monthly basis, recovering from a 0.9 percent drop in August. Construction output grew 1.4 percent and the indices of government services rose 0.4 percent.

    At the same time, the indicator for tertiary industry activity fell 0.2 percent month-on-month.

    On a year-on-year basis, the all industry activity index increased 2.2 percent in September following a 0.9 percent rise in the previous month.

  • 10:45

    German producer prices fall for third month

    Germany's producer prices declined for the third successive month in October, and at a faster pace than expected by economics, latest data showed Wednesday.

    The industrial producer price index decreased 0.7 percent on an annual basis in October, following the 0.5 percent drop seen in September, the Federal Statistical Office said. Prices have fallen for the third month in a row. Economist had forecast a slower decline of 0.6 percent for October.

    The headline index was influenced by a 1.9 percent drop in prices of intermediate goods, and a similar contraction in energy costs. Meanwhile, capital goods prices increased 0.7 percent from October 2012, and consumer goods prices moved up by 1.8 percent.

    The producer price index decreased 0.2 percent compared to September, when they recorded a 0.3 percent rise. The index was expected to stay unchanged month-on-month.

  • 10:31

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    USD/JPY Y99.00, Y99.30, Y99.50, Y99.90, Y100.00, Y100.50, Y101.30

    EUR/JPY Y134.40, Y134.75, Y135.00, Y135.05, Y135.25

    EUR/USD $1.3400, $1.3455, $1.3465, $1.3500, $1.3515, $1.3530, $1.3600

    GBP/USD $1.6100

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2365

    AUD/USD $0.9295, $0.9375, $0.9400, $0.9450

    AUD/JPY Y95.00

    CAD/JPY Y94.50

  • 10:17

    Asia Pacific stocks close

    Asian stocks fell for a second day after valuations on the regional benchmark index reached the highest level since May and as Samsung Electronics Co. fell and WorleyParsons Ltd. cut its profit forecast.

    Nikkei 225 15,076.08 -50.48 -0.33%

    S&P/ASX 200 5,307.67 -45.24 -0.85%

    Shanghai Composite 2,206.61 +13.49 +0.62%

    Samsung fell 1.3 percent as investors awaited a U.S. court decision on how much the South Korean handset maker should pay Apple Inc. for patent infringement.

    WorleyParsons Ltd. slumped a record 26 percent as Australia’s largest oil and gas engineering company cut its profit estimate.

    Micronics Japan Co. surged 21 percent in Tokyo after the electronics-component maker raised its full-year earnings forecast.

  • 10:00

    Switzerland: Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations), November 31.6 (forecast 30.0)

  • 08:44

    FTSE 100 6,684.59 -13.42 -0.20%, CAC 40 4,267.77 -4.52 -0.11%, Xetra DAX 9,192.29 -1.00 -0.01%

  • 07:41

    European bourses are initially seen trading mixed Wednesday: the FTSE up 3, the DAX down 10 and the CAC down 8.

  • 07:22

    Asian session: The dollar fell versus the euro and yen

    00:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks

    00:30 Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks

    04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m September +0.3% +0.5% +0.4%


    The dollar fell versus the euro and yen after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the central bank’s main interest rate will probably remain near zero for a “considerable time” after asset purchases end. The labor market has shown “meaningful improvement” since the Fed’s bond-buying program started, Bernanke said in remarks prepared for a speech to economists in Washington. A “preponderance of data” would be needed to begin removing accommodation, he said. Benchmark interest rates may remain low “perhaps well after” the jobless rate falls below the Fed’s 6.5 percent threshold, he said.

    The Commerce Department will probably say today that retail sales in the world’s biggest economy increased 0.1 percent in October after a 0.1 percent decline the previous month, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. A separate report is projected to show consumer prices stagnated in October from the previous month, after rising 0.2 percent in September.

    The yen briefly extended declines after data today showed growth in imports outstripped exports in October, leaving a trade deficit of 1.09 trillion yen ($10.9 billion), more than all 28 forecasts in a Bloomberg survey. Imports climbed 26.1 percent from a year earlier, while exports gained 18.6 percent.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair rose to $ 1.3580

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose $ 1.6145

    USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to the level of Y99.95


    BOE Minutes at 0930GMT the morning focus.


  • 07:00

    Germany: Producer Price Index (MoM), October -0.2% (forecast +0.1%)

  • 07:00

    Germany: Producer Price Index (YoY), October -0.7% (forecast -0.6%)

  • 06:32

    Commodities. Daily history for Nov 19’2013:

    GOLD 1,272.90 0.60 0.05%

    OIL (WTI) 93.40 0.37 0.40%

  • 06:32

    Stocks. Daily history for Nov 19’2013:

    Nikkei 225 15,126.56 -37.74 -0.25%

    S&P/ASX 200 5,352.9 -31.76 -0.59%

    Shanghai Composite 2,193.13 -4.09 -0.19%

    FTSE 100 6,698.01 -25.45 -0.38%

    CAC 40 4,272.29 -48.39 -1.12%

    DAX 9,193.29 -32.14 -0.35%

    Dow -4.11 15,971.91 -0.03%

    Nasdaq -17.18 3,931.89 -0.44%

    S&P -3.28 1,788.25 -0.18%

  • 06:31

    Currencies. Daily history for Nov 19'2013:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3537 +0,24%

    GBP/USD $1,6119 +0,07%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9108 -0,21%

    USD/JPY Y100,12 +0,13%

    EUR/JPY Y135,55 +0,38%

    GBP/JPY Y161,38 +0,21%

    AUD/USD $0,9433 +0,60%

    NZD/USD $0,8370 +0,43%

    USD/CAD C$1,0468 +0,39%

  • 06:02

    Schedule for today, Wednesday, Nov 20’2013:

    00:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks

    00:30 Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks

    04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m September +0.3% +0.5%

    07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) October +0.3% +0.1%

    07:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) October -0.5% -0.6%

    09:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes November

    10:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) November 24.9 30.0

    10:20 United Kingdom BOE Chief Economist Spencer Dale Speaks

    13:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m September +0.5% +0.4%

    13:30 U.S. Retail sales October -0.1% +0.1%

    13:30 U.S. Retail sales excluding auto October +0.4% +0.2%

    13:30 U.S. CPI, m/m October +0.2% 0.0%

    13:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y October +1.2% +1.0%

    13:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m October +0.1% +0.1%

    13:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y October +1.7% +1.7%

    15:00 U.S. Existing Home Sales October 5.29 5.21

    15:00 U.S. Business inventories September +0.3% +0.4%

    15:00 U.S. FOMC Member Dudley Speak

    15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories November +2.6

    17:10 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks

    18:30 United Kingdom MPC Member Weale Speaks

    19:00 U.S. FOMC meeting minutes

    21:15 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks

    21:15 Canada Gov Council Member Macklem Speaks

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