The dollar declined significantly against the euro, losing the all previously earned a position that has been associated with the release of weak U.S. data .
As it became known , sales of existing homes fell in September - this is an indication that the rise in interest rates during the summer caused a cooling of the housing market.
Sales of existing homes fell 1.9 % in September from the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.29 million , reported in the National Association of Realtors. The pace of the previous month was revised down to 5.39 million from 5.48 million previously voiced Nevertheless , the data show that the pace of sales in July and August were the best since 2009. Economists had expected sales rate in September was 5.3 million. In general, the situation in the housing market remains an important driver of economic growth in the U.S.
The latest data showed prices continued to rise, but at a slower pace than in previous months. The average price of an existing home was $ 199,200 , which is 11.7 % more than the year before.
It should also be noted that the pressure on the dollar is rising against the background of the fact that many market participants are waiting for the publication of data on the number of jobs outside agriculture on Tuesday, as well as official data on unemployment in the United States . It is expected that the figure will be released above the acceptable threshold of 6.5 % of the Federal Reserve System, and therefore Fed QE3 will continue the program in its entirety. October 22 , after the delay associated with the shutdown in the United States, will be published by the government's employment report . According to the median forecast of analysts in the U.S. economy in the past month has been created 180 thousand jobs , higher than the August figure of 169 thousand, however , it is expected that the official unemployment rate was 7.3 %.
The pound fell slightly against the U.S. dollar , in response , so that the report on the UK from Markit
As we learned from the survey Markit Economics, the UK household finances remain under pressure in October , but the assessment of the employment situation has improved slightly .
The seasonally adjusted index of household finances , which measures the overall presentation of the financial well-being of households , was 41 in October and has remained in negative territory. The index values below 50 indicate deterioration , while those above 50 indicate improvement.
The October reading was slightly better than the values of 40.8 in September , and was above the long-term average at 37.9 .
Expectations of households of their personal finances over the next twelve months have been pessimistic in October. The relevant sub-index was 44.2 , and remained broadly unchanged since September.
Meanwhile , the survey found that the trends in the labor market has improved during October . Indicator of activity in the workplace remained above the neutral mark the ninth consecutive month.
The Japanese yen has lost some ground against the dollar, which has been associated with the release of data on the trade deficit of the country. Today in Tokyo, the Ministry of Finance reported that in September, imports exceeded exports by 932.1 billion yen ($ 9.5 billion ) . This value was higher than previously expected by analysts to increase 918.6 billion in additional pressure on the Japanese currency had words of Governor of the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda , who promised to continue loose monetary policy to achieve stable inflation.
In addition , another report showed that the index of leading indicators fell in August to the level of 106.8 points compared to 107.9 points in July . Recall that the preliminary value of the index for August was at 106.5 points.
Meanwhile, the data showed that the index of coincident economic indicators, which is designed to assess the current economic activity , fell in August to reach 107.6 points, compared with 107.7 points in July . Note that the latter result confirmed the preliminary estimates.
We also learned that the lagging index , which measures past performance of the economy, has moved up to August to the level of 114.4 points, compared with 113.1 points in July. We add that according to initial estimates , the index was at 112.8 points.
European stocks gained for an eighth day as companies from Royal Philips NV to Akzo Nobel AG reported profit that beat estimates and investors speculated the Federal Reserve may maintain stimulus measures into next year.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 0.3 percent to 319.51 at 4:35 p.m. in London, the highest level since June 2008. The gauge has risen 2.9 percent this month as U.S. lawmakers agreed to extend the government’s borrowing authority until 2014 and ended the first partial government shutdown in 17 years.
National benchmark indexes climbed in 15 of the 18 western European markets.
FTSE 100 6,630.65 +8.07 +0.12% CAC 40 4,273 -13.03 -0.30% DAX 8,859.2 -5.90 -0.07%
In the U.S., the Fed will maintain its monthly bond-buying program until March after a 16-day government shutdown trimmed fourth-quarter economic growth by 0.3 percentage point and disrupted the flow of data, according to the median forecast of economists in survey conducted Oct. 17-18. Policy makers will taper asset purchases to $70 billion from $85 billion, the poll forecast.
A previous survey had indicated the U.S. central bank would start trimming stimulus measures at last month’s gathering. The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee’s last two meetings this year are scheduled for Oct. 29-30 and Dec. 17-18.
A release tomorrow may show U.S. payrolls increased by 180,000 in September, after gaining 169,000 a month earlier, economists forecast. The government shutdown delayed the Labor Department data originally due on Oct. 4.
Philips climbed 5.3 percent to 25.73 euros, its highest price since July 2010. The company said third-quarter earnings before interest, taxes, amortization and one-time items rose to 634 million euros, compared with the 567 million-euro average estimate of analysts.
Akzo surged 7 percent to 51.82 euros, its biggest gain since December, after saying earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization climbed 7 percent to 456 million euros. Analysts on average had estimated 444 million euros.
Actelion jumped 5.7 percent to 68.25 Swiss francs as the U.S. Food and Drug Administration said late Oct. 18 that it approved the use of Opsumit once daily for treating pulmonary arterial hypertension.
SAP added 4.9 percent to 56.15 euros after saying third-quarter operating profit adjusted for some items rose to 1.3 billion euros as revenue from the Hana database product surged 79 percent. The world’s largest maker of business-management software reiterated a July forecast for double-digit percentage growth for software-related services sales this year, excluding currency swings.
Tod’s SpA (TOD) slipped 3 percent to 124.50 euros and Hugo Boss AG fell 2.4 percent to 93.25 euros after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. downgraded both stocks to sell from neutral.
The cost of oil futures moderately declined today , dropping below $ 100 per barrel ( Brent Brent), that was the first time c June this year , after it submitted a report showed that crude oil inventories in the U.S. rose to the highest level in three months. It should also be remembered that the price of oil fell last week , despite the strong depreciation of the U.S. dollar against major world currencies . This once again confirms that the main driver of the oil market right now are the dynamics of supply and geopolitical risks in the Middle East and North Africa.
Today, prices fell 1.3 percent after the Energy Information Administration reported that:
- Oil stocks rose 4.0 million barrels to 374.5 million barrels ;
- Gasoline inventories fell by 2.6 million barrels . to 217.3 million barrels . ;
- Distillate inventories fell by 1.8 million barrels . to 124.2 million barrels .
- Refining capacity utilization rate 86.2 % versus 86.0 % a week earlier ;
- Oil terminal in Cushing and rose by 0.4 million barrels . up to 33 million barrels
Recall that the Department of Energy has postponed release of data last week in connection with a 16 -day partial shatdaunom the federal government, which ended on October 17.
In addition, we add that the course of trade affected by data that showed that Saudi Arabia has increased oil production in August by 160 thousand barrels per day - up to 10.2 million barrels a day. The volume of oil exports from the country surged in August to 7.8 million barrels a day - a maximum of 14 months.
The cost of the November futures on U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) fell to $ 99.79 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
December futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture fell 33 cents to $ 109.65 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.
Gold prices have stabilized today , after fixing the largest weekly increase last week. Note that this significant rise was due to expectations that the Federal Reserve will adjust the restriction of the program of monetary stimulus .
Gold rose nearly 4 percent last week on expectations that the Fed will maintain stimulus measures after two weeks shatdauna U.S. government, which has lowered growth expectations . But the strongest growth among the other assets reduced gold's appeal to investors , and made a weak physical demand .
We also add that the stabilization of prices is also due to the fact that many market participants are waiting for the publication of data on the number of jobs outside agriculture on Tuesday, as well as official data on unemployment in the United States . It is expected that the figure will be released above the acceptable threshold of 6.5 % of the Federal Reserve System, and therefore Fed QE3 will continue the program in its entirety. October 22 , after the delay associated with the shutdown in the United States, will be published by the government's employment report . According to the median forecast of analysts in the U.S. economy in the past month has been created 180 thousand jobs , higher than the August figure of 169 thousand, however , it is expected that the official unemployment rate was 7.3 %.
We also add that the data presented today showed that the gold reserves of the world's largest exchange-traded fund SPDR Gold Shares were near the lows for the last 4.5 years , after falling last week, which was the seventh row.
The cost of the December gold futures on COMEX today rose to $ 1316.70 per ounce.
EUR/USD $1.3530, $1.3535, $1.3550, $1.3555, $1.3625, $1.3640, $1.3650, $1.3700, $1.3750
USD/JPY Y97.00, Y97.25, Y97.60, Y97.80, Y98.00, Y98.25, Y98.50, Y98.60
GBP/USD $1.6000, $1.6225
AUD/USD $0.9525, $0.9550, $0.9600, $0.9625, $0.9645, $0.9700
NZD/USD $0.8395, $0.8575, $0.8675
USD/CAD C$1.0290
U.S. stock-index futures were little changed as investors awaited the release of earnings and tomorrow’s jobless data to assess the strength of the economy.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 14,693.57 +132.03 +0.91%
Hang Seng 23,438.15 +98.05 +0.42%
Shanghai Composite 2,229.24 +35.46 +1.62%
FTSE 6,630.61 +8.03 +0.12%
CAC 4,272.87 -13.16 -0.31%
DAX 8,859.3 -5.80 -0.07%
Crude oil $99.92 -0.88%
Gold $1319.10 +0.34%
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3765, $1.3745/50, $1.3720, $1.3700
Bids $1.3655/50, $1.3625/15, $1.3605/595, $1.3580
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6320/30, $1.6300, $1.6280, $1.6250/60, $1.6220/25, $1.6200
Bids $1.6150, $1.6140, $1.6125/20, $1.6100, $1.6060/50
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9750, $0.9725/30, $0.9700, $0.9675/80
Bids $0.9625/20, $0.9605/00, $0.9580, $0.9560/50
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8550/55, stg0.8520/30, stg0.8510, stg0.8490/500, stg0.8465/70
Bids stg0.8445/40, stg0.8425/15, stg0.8400, stg0.8370/65
EUR/JPY
Offers Y135.00, Y134.80, Y134.50
Bids Y133.55/50, Y133.20, Y133.00
USD/JPY
Offers Y98.80, Y98.50, Y98.20
Bids Y97.50, Y97.35, Y97.20, Y97.10/00
Most European stocks gained, extending a five-year high for the Stoxx Europe 600 Index, as companies from Royal Philips NV to Akzo Nobel AG reported profit that beat estimates. Asian shares advanced and U.S. index futures were little changed.
In the U.S., the Fed will maintain its monthly bond-buying program until March after a 16-day government shutdown trimmed fourth-quarter economic growth by 0.3 percentage point and disrupted the flow of data, according to the median forecast of economists in a Bloomberg survey conducted Oct. 17-18. Policy makers will taper asset purchases to $70 billion from $85 billion, the poll forecast.
In Japan, exports increased 11.5 percent in September from a year earlier, a finance ministry report showed. That compared with a 14.6 percent advance in August and trailed the 15.6 percent gain forecast by economists in a Bloomberg survey.
Philips climbed 6.4 percent to 25.99 euros, the highest price since July 2010. The company said third-quarter earnings before interest, taxes, amortization and one-time items rose to 634 million euros ($867 million), compared with the 567 million-euro average estimate of analysts in a Bloomberg survey.
Akzo surged 8.3 percent to 52.44 euros, the biggest gain in two years, after saying earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization climbed 7 percent to 456 million euros. Analysts on average estimated 444 million euros.
FTSE 100 6,632.48 +9.90 +0.15%
CAC 40 4,273.09 -12.94 -0.30%
DAX 8,853.37 -11.73 -0.13%
EUR/USD $1.3530, $1.3535, $1.3550, $1.3555, $1.3625, $1.3650, $1.3700, $1.3750
USD/JPY Y97.00, Y97.25, Y97.60, Y97.80, Y98.00, Y98.25, Y98.50, Y98.60
GBP/USD $1.6000, $1.6225
AUD/USD $0.9525, $0.9550, $0.9600, $0.9625, $0.9645, $0.9700
NZD/USD $0.8395, $0.8575, $0.8675
Asian stocks rose, with the regional benchmark index extending a five-month high, amid speculation the Federal Reserve will delay stimulus cuts.
Nikkei 225 14,693.57 +132.03 +0.91%
Hang Seng 23,379.42 +39.32 +0.17%
S&P/ASX 200 5,351.8 +30.33 +0.57%
Shanghai Composite 2,229.24 +35.46 +1.62%
Canon Inc., the world’s biggest camera maker, gained 1.4 percent as a weaker yen boosted the earnings outlook for Japanese exporters.
Tencent Holdings Inc. jumped to a record in Hong Kong, pacing gains among Internet companies after industry bellwether Google Inc.’s ad sales topped estimates.
Qantas Airways Ltd. slipped 5.6 percent, falling a second day after Australia’s largest carrier said last week it expects the lowest yields for passenger flights in more than a decade.
The yen fell against all of its 16 major peers after Japan posted a bigger-than-estimated trade deficit and gains in stocks reduced demand for haven assets. In Japan, imports exceeded exports by 932.1 billion yen ($9.5 billion) in September, the finance ministry said in Tokyo today. That was more than the 918.6 billion trade gap expected by economists in a Bloomberg News survey and compared with a revised 962.8 billion deficit in August.
Japan’s currency weakened as Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda pledged to continue easing to achieve stable inflation.
The dollar traded near the weakest since February against major counterparts before data forecast to show U.S. unemployment held above the threshold for the Federal Reserve to start tapering stimulus. Fed policy makers had pledged since December they won’t consider raising the interest rate as long as the unemployment rate exceeds 6.5 percent. The jobless rate held at 7.3 percent last month, economists in a Bloomberg poll projected before the Labor Department data on Oct. 22. The release was postponed from Oct. 4 because of the partial government shutdown. Economists in a separate Bloomberg survey estimate nonfarm payrolls increased by 180,000 workers last month.
The 17-nation euro was 0.2 percent from the strongest in more than eight months ahead of a report this week which may show the region’s consumer confidence was the highest since July 2011. In Europe, an index of consumer sentiment probably rose to minus 14.5 this month, the highest since July 2011, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg before the European Commission data on Oct. 23.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.3665
GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in a range of $ 1.6150-70
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y98.10
Monday is a fairly quiet data session on both sides of the Atlantic, as the markets prepare for the catch-up up US data later in the week. The main US release is scheduled for Tuesday at 1230GMT, when the September jobs data will finally be published. Early European data sees the release of the German September PPI numbers at 0600GMT. Analysts are looking for an on month fall of 0.7% on the month. At 0800GMT, the Italian August industrial orders numbers will cross the wires. Economists are looking for a modest improvement of July's -2.2%.
00:30 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks
04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m August +0.5% +0.3% +0.3%
06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) September -0.1% +0.1%
06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) September -0.5% -0.7%
10:00 Germany Bundesbank Monthly Report October
12:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks
12:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m August +1.5% +0.6%
14:00 U.S. Existing Home Sales September 5.48 5.31
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories October +6.8 +2.8