(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 47.72 +0.04%
Gold 1,244.90 -0.18%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei +43.93 19085.31 +0.23%
TOPIX +0.21 1530.41 +0.01%
Hang Seng +7.29 24327.70 +0.03%
CSI 300 +11.93 3461.98 +0.35%
Euro Stoxx 50 +31.48 3452.18 +0.92%
FTSE 100 +15.99 7340.71 +0.22%
DAX +135.56 12039.68 +1.14%
CAC 40 +38.06 5032.76 +0.76%
DJIA -4.72 20656.58 -0.02%
S&P 500 -2.49 2345.96 -0.11%
NASDAQ -3.95 5817.69 -0.07%
S&P/TSX +85.15 15433.61 +0.55%
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,0782 -0,09%
GBP/USD $1,2514 +0,29%
USD/CHF Chf0,9929 +0,13%
USD/JPY Y110,97 -0,25%
EUR/JPY Y119,66 -0,34%
GBP/JPY Y138,86 +0,04%
AUD/USD $0,7624 -0,64%
NZD/USD $0,7027 -0,19%
USD/CAD C$1,3351 +0,15%
00:30 Japan Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) March 53.3 53.5
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index (Finally) January 104.8 105.5
05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Finally) January 115.6
07:45 France GDP, Y/Y (Finally) Quarter IV 1.0% 1.1%
07:45 France GDP, q/q (Finally) Quarter IV 0.2% 0.4%
08:00 France Services PMI (Preliminary) March 56.4 56.1
08:00 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) March 52.2 52.4
08:30 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) March 54.4 54.6
08:30 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) March 56.8 56.5
09:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) March 55.4 55.3
09:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) March 55.5 55.3
09:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals February 44.7 44.9
12:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks
12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y February 1.7%
12:30 Canada Consumer Price Index m / m February 0.9% 0.2%
12:30 Canada Consumer price index, y/y February 2.1% 2.1%
12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense February 1.5%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation February -0.2% 0.5%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders February 1.8% 1.2%
13:05 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks
13:45 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) March 54.2 54.8
13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) March 53.8 54.2
14:00 U.S. FOMC Member Dudley Speak
Major US stock indexes finished the session with a slight decrease. Investors bought cheaper bank stocks, but remained cautious before voting on the health care bill, which is seen as the first political test of President Donald Trump.
As it became known today, last week the number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits unexpectedly increased, but remained below the level associated with the strengthening of the labor market. Initial applications for unemployment benefits increased by 15,000 people and, taking into account seasonal fluctuations, reached 258,000 for the week ending March 18. The appeals for the previous week were revised, and showed 2,000 more applications received than previously reported. The four-week moving average of calls, which is considered to be the best indicator of labor market trends, increased by only 1,000 to 240,000.
However, the Ministry of Commerce said that sales of new single-family homes in the US rose to a seven-month high in February, indicating that the housing market recovery continued to gain momentum despite high prices and limited supplies. According to the data, sales of new buildings rose 6.1% to 592,000 units last month, the highest level since July 2016. The pace of sales in January was revised to 558,000 units from previously reported 555,000 units. Economists predicted that sales of new homes would grow by 0.7 percent to 565,000 units last month.
Most components of the DOW index recorded a decline (19 out of 30). More shares fell UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH, -1.20%). Leader of the growth were shares of NIKE, Inc. (NKE, + 2.74%).
Most sectors of the S & P index finished trading in the red. The technological sector fell most of all (-0.4%). The leader of growth was the financial sector (+ 0.3%).
At closing:
Dow -0.02% 20.656.51 -4.79
Nasdaq -0.07% 5,817.69 -3.95
S & P -0.11% 2,345.96 -2.49
Major U.S. stock-indexes higher in late morning trading on Thursday as investors snapped up beaten-down bank stocks, but remained cautious ahead of a vote on a healthcare bill that is seen as President Donald Trump's first policy test.
Most of Dow stocks in positive area (24 of 30). Top loser - Intel Corporation (INTC-0.59%). Top gainer - NIKE, Inc. (NKE, +2.56%).
Almost all of S&P sectors in positive area. Top loser - Technology (-0.1%). Top gainer - Conglomerates (+1.1%).
At the moment:
Dow 20699.00 +103.00 +0.50%
S&P 500 2355.00 +12.50 +0.53%
Nasdaq 100 5376.00 +10.25 +0.19%
Oil 47.89 -0.15 -0.31%
Gold 1244.70 -5.00 -0.40%
U.S. 10yr 2.42 +0.02
In March 2017, the DG ECFIN flash estimate of the consumer confidence indicator increased in both the euro area (by 1.2 points to -5.0) and the EU (by 1.0 point to -4.2), thereby broadly offsetting the decreases registered in February.
Views shift in G20 communique language on trade as showing consensus to improve global trade architecture, not abandon it
Trump administration's proposed budget cuts for multilateral institutions would not have a direct impact on IMF finances, income
Sales of new single-family houses in February 2017 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 592,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 6.1 percent (±17.3 percent)* above the revised January rate of 558,000 and is 12.8 percent (±18.0 percent)* above the February 2016 estimate of 525,000.
The median sales price of new houses sold in February 2017 was $296,200. The average sales price was $390,400.
EURUSD: 1.0680-90 (EUR 365m) 1.0700 (895m) 1.0725-35 (695m) 1.0770 (735m) 1.0800 (455m) 1.0830 (400m) 1.0850 (755m) 1.0900 (675m)
USDJPY: 110.40-50 (USD 325m) 111.60-70 (460m) 112.50 (245m) 112.75 (1.3bln) 112.85 (395m) 113.00 (1.4bln)
GBPUSD: 1.2440-50 (GBP 215m) 1.2480-1.2500 (230m)
USDCHF 0.9900 (USD 180m)
AUDUSD: 0.7500 (AUD 1.4bln) 0.7525 (1.5bln) 0.7575 (205) 0.7640-50 (320m)
U.S. stock-index futures were flat as investors remained cautious ahead of a vote on the healthcare bill - President Donald Trump's first significant policy test.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 19,085.31 +43.93 +0.23%
Hang Seng 24,327.70 +7.29 +0.03%
Shanghai 3,248.91 +3.69 +0.11%
FTSE 7,320.01 -4.71 -0.06%
CAC 5,001.99 +7.29 +0.15%
DAX 11,945.59 +41.47 +0.35%
Crude $48.19 (+0.31%)
Gold $1,250.30 (+0.05%)
EUR/USD
Offers: 1.0800 1.0820 1.0830 1.0850 1.0880 1.0900
Bids: 1.0765 1.0750 1.0730 1.0700 1.0680 1.0650
GBP/USD
Offers: 1.2520 1.2550-55 1.2580 1.2600 1.2630 1.2650
Bids: 1.2465 1.2450 1.2425-30 1.2400 1.2380 1.2360 1.2335-40 1.2320 1.2300
EUR/JPY
Offers: 120.00 120.30 120.50 120.85 121.00 121.50
Bids: 119.50 119.30 119.00 118.80 118.65 118.50
EUR/GBP
Offers: 0.8655-60 0.8685 0.8700 0.8725-30 0.8750 0.8780-85 0.8800
Bids: 0.8625-30 0.8600 0.8580-85 0.8550 0.8530 0.8500
USD/JPY
Offers: 111.30 111.50 111.65 111.80 112.00 112.25 112.50112.80 113.00
Bids: 111.00 110.80 110.65110.50110.35110.20 110.00
AUD/USD
Offers: 0.7665 0.7680-85 0.7700 0.7720 0.0.7735 0.7750
Bids: 0.7625 0.7600 0.7580 0.7565 0.7550 0.7500
(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)
ALCOA INC. | AA | 33.73 | 0.04(0.12%) | 111 |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 74.49 | -0.58(-0.77%) | 9324 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 849.35 | 1.29(0.15%) | 4480 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 141.5 | 0.08(0.06%) | 63675 |
AT&T Inc | T | 41.75 | 0.10(0.24%) | 1435 |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 19.6 | 0.12(0.62%) | 32933 |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 34.12 | 0.02(0.06%) | 671 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 57.89 | 0.12(0.21%) | 20546 |
Deere & Company, NYSE | DE | 110.04 | 0.27(0.25%) | 200 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 81.71 | -0.05(-0.06%) | 1573 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 11.88 | 0.11(0.93%) | 51371 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 13 | 0.14(1.09%) | 13360 |
General Electric Co | GE | 29.56 | 0.03(0.10%) | 2761 |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 34.41 | 0.02(0.06%) | 9096 |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 231.7 | 0.63(0.27%) | 5120 |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 824.25 | -5.34(-0.64%) | 7047 |
Intel Corp | INTC | 35.51 | 0.14(0.40%) | 3051 |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 174.99 | 0.21(0.12%) | 5096 |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 87.7 | 0.17(0.19%) | 21011 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 65 | -0.03(-0.05%) | 4499 |
Nike | NKE | 54.45 | 0.53(0.98%) | 59683 |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 34.39 | -0.08(-0.23%) | 367 |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 56.15 | 0.26(0.47%) | 5371 |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 257.26 | 2.25(0.88%) | 26150 |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 42.45 | 0.07(0.17%) | 747 |
Visa | V | 88.49 | -0.03(-0.03%) | 269 |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 70.1 | -0.15(-0.21%) | 176 |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 112.09 | 0.01(0.01%) | 431 |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 46.22 | 0.16(0.35%) | 1467 |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 22.52 | 0.10(0.45%) | 4050 |
Upgrades:
Downgrades:
Altria (MO) downgraded to Underperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital Mkts; target $62
Other:
In the week ending March 18, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 258,000, an increase of 15,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 241,000 to 243,000. The 4-week moving average was 240,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 1,750 from 237,250 to 239,000.
The survey of 116 firms, consisting of 65 retailers, showed that growth in the volumes of sales was similar to that seen in February, but is set to accelerate in the year to April.
Sales for the time of year were considered to be slightly below seasonal norms. Orders placed on suppliers fell again over the year, but are set to rise somewhat next month.
The moderate increase in headline retail sales volumes was driven by the grocery and clothing sectors. Year-on-year growth in internet sales volumes picked up to broadly in line with the long-run average. Internet sales volumes are expected to grow at broadly similar pace in the year to April.
French election candidates' policy plans carry mixed credit implications for rated sectors
Prevailing macroeconomic conditions to continue to drive credit profiles of french banks and insurers
While very unlikely, any significant increase in likelihood that France leaves EU would be "deeply credit negative for all rated sectors in France"
"Impact of elections on France's structured finance market will likely be limited, in the absence of a victory for Marine Le Pen"
Estimates of the quantity bought in retail sales increased by 3.7% compared with February 2016 and increased by 1.4% compared with January 2017; this monthly growth is seen across all store types.
The underlying pattern as suggested by the 3 month on 3 month movement decreased by 1.4% for the second month in a row; the largest decrease since March 2010 and only the second fall since December 2013.
Average store prices (including fuel) increased by 2.8% on the year, the largest growth since March 2012; the largest contribution came from petrol stations, where year-on-year average prices rose by 18.7%.
Online sales (excluding automotive fuel) increased year-on-year by 20.7% and by 3.3% on the month, accounting for approximately 15.3% of all retail spending.
U.S. policy uncertainty, Brexit, Chinese rebalancing keep outlook clouded
Incoming data have increased confidence that the expansion will continue to firm
The future contribution from energy prices to global inflation is expected to be very limited
World trade expected to expand broadly in line with global activity despite U.S policy uncertainty
Sees potential impact of Brexit upon Germany as muted in the short term, given the diversified structure of its exports
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.0975 (2265)
$1.0920 (989)
$1.0874 (47)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.0798
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.0729 (678)
$1.0685 (400)
$1.0631 (598)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 41951 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1450 (3954);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 45018 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0350 (3977);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.07 versus 1.08 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 22
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.2713 (826)
$1.2617 (324)
$1.2522 (734)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.2494
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2384 (570)
$1.2287 (241)
$1.2190 (453)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 15139 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (1198);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 17226 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3088);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.14 versus 1.16 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 22
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
While economic expectation and the propensity to buy picked up again after a decline in the previous month, income expectations fell slightly. Because propensity to save also rose again in March, the consumer climate prognosis in April is 9.8 points, and thus slightly lower than the 10.0 points in March.
A rise in inflation in Germany and the resultant intensified concerns over income buying power have obviously hindered full recovery of consumer sentiment in March this year. While economic expectations and the propensity to buy largely compensated for losses from the previous month of February, income expectations were down for the second time in a row. Since the propensity to save increased once again, consumer climate declined overall in March.
Crude oil imports from Saudi Arabia -12.9 pct y/y at 1.24 mln bpd
Crude oil imports from Angola -31.9 pct y/y at 849,0
Crude oil imports from Iran +18.1 pct y/y at 657,9
Statement by Reserve Bank Governor Graeme Wheeler:
"Macroeconomic indicators in advanced economies have been positive over the past two months. However, major challenges remain with on-going surplus capacity in the global economy and extensive geo-political uncertainty.
Global headline inflation has increased, partly due to a rise in commodity prices, although oil prices have fallen more recently. Core inflation has been low and stable. Monetary policy is expected to remain stimulatory, but less so going forward, particularly in the US.
The trade-weighted exchange rate has fallen 4 percent since February, partly in response to weaker dairy prices and reduced interest rate differentials. This is an encouraging move, but further depreciation is needed to achieve more balanced growth.
Quarterly GDP was weaker than expected in the December quarter, but some of this is considered to be due to temporary factors. The growth outlook remains positive, supported by on-going accommodative monetary policy, strong population growth, and high levels of household spending and construction activity. Dairy prices have been volatile in recent auctions and uncertainty remains around future outcomes.
House price inflation has moderated, and in part reflects loan-to-value ratio restrictions and tighter lending conditions. It is uncertain whether this moderation will be sustained given the continued imbalance between supply and demand".
European stocks fell to a one-week low Wednesday, with bank shares among the worst performing, as investors questioned whether the new U.S. administration can soon deliver the fiscal and regulatory changes needed to support the "Trump trade."
The Dow fell for a fifth straight session Wednesday as the broader market staged a modest rebound on the back of technology stocks. The selloff came as issues with the Republicans' health-care bill prompted investors to question Trump's ability to follow through on promises of tax reforms and $1 trillion in infrastructure spending, according to Connor Campbell, financial analyst at Spreadex. A vote on the bill has been set for Thursday.
Global markets stabilized after skidding a day earlier, though investors were on edge ahead of a vote on U.S. health care later Thursday that could be a barometer for future Trump administration policies. After U.S. stocks rebounded Wednesday and oil and the dollar seemed to have found near-term support, participants in Asia-Pacific markets were wary.