Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron said on Tuesday the International Monetary Fund (IMF) was right that Britain's exit from the European Union (EU) would pose risks to the country's economy.

"The IMF is right - leaving the EU would pose major risks for the UK economy. We are stronger, safer and better off in the European Union," he tweeted.

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Jens Weidmann said in an interview with the Financial Times published on Tuesday that the central bank was independent, adding that the central bank's monetary policy was appropriate.

"It's not unusual for politicians to have opinions on monetary policy, but we are independent," he said.

"The ECB has to deliver on its price stability mandate and thus an expansionary monetary policy stance is appropriate at this juncture regardless of different views about specific measures," Weidmann added.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said in a speech on Tuesday that the Fed should delay its interest rate hike until inflation accelerated.

"It might prove prudent to wait until the inflation data are stronger before we undertake a second rate hike," he said.

Philadelphia Fed president that there were the downside risks to the inflation outlook.

Harker noted that the U.S. economy was strong.

"Overall, my view of the economy is upbeat. Our financial system is in good shape, our economic fundamentals are sound, our labour markets remain dynamic, and our income growth is solid. Consumer spending is also increasing at a solid pace," he said.

Harker is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.

China's Ministry of Commerce released its foreign direct investment (FDI) data on Tuesday. Foreign direct investment inflows in China rose to $12.9 billion in March, up 7.8% from a year earlier.

Foreign investors mainly invested in the country's growing services sector.

The German IFO, the French Insee and the Italian Istat institutes said in its survey on Tuesday that the economy in the Eurozone is expected to continue to recover moderately. Real gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to rise by 0.4% in the first three quarters of 2016. The growth will be driven by domestic demand.

According to IFO, Insee, and Istat, inflation in the Eurozone is expected to be -0.1% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2016 and 0.3% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2016. Low energy prices weigh on inflation.

Downside risks to the Eurozone's economy is the slowdown in emerging economies, the survey said.

The Bank of Japan released its bank lending data on Tuesday. Bank lending in Japan increased 2.0% year-on-year in March, after a 2.2% rise in February.

Lending excluding trusts climbed 2.0% in March, lending from trusts rose 2.3%, while lending from foreign banks was down 1.2%.

The National Australia Bank (NAB) released its business confidence index for Australia on Tuesday. The index rose to 6 points in March from 3 points in February.

"The lift in business conditions to these levels not only suggests that Australia is withstanding the uncertainty offshore, but that the recovery in the non-mining sectors of the economy have in fact stepped up a gear this month," NAB Group Chief Economist Alan Oster said.

The main business conditions index increased to 12 points in March from 8 points in February, while employment rose to 5 points from 1 points.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its World Economic Outlook on Tuesday. The IMF lowered its global economic growth forecasts due to a modest recovery in advanced economies and the slowdown in emerging economies.

The global economy will expand 3.2% in 2016, down from the previous forecast of 3.4%, and 3.5% in 2017, down from the previous forecast of 3.6%, according to the IMF.

"Lower growth means less room for error. Persistent slow growth has scarring effects that themselves reduce potential output and with it, demand and investment," Maurice Obstfeld, the IMF Economic Counsellor and Director of the Research Department, said.

The IMF said in its report that main risks to the outlook are financial risks, geopolitical shocks and political discord.

The IMF cut its growth forecasts in advanced economies to 1.9% in 2016, down from the previous estimate of 2.1%, and to 2.0% in 2017, down from 2.1%, while emerging markets expected to expand 4.1% in 2016, down from 4.5%, and 4.6% in 2017, down from 4.7%.

The lender downgraded its growth forecast for the Eurozone for 2016 to 1.5% from 1.7% and for 2017 to 1.6% from 1.7%.

The U.S. economy is expected to grow 2.4% in 2016, down from the January forecast of 2.6%, and 2.5% in 2017, down from the previous forecast of 2.6%.

China's economy is expected to expand 6.5% in 2016, up from the previous forecast of 6.3%, and 6.2% in 2017, up from the previous forecast of 6.0%, while India's economy is expected to grow 7.5% in 2016 and in 2017, unchanged from the previous estimates.

UK's GDP is expected to rise 1.9% in 2016, down from the previous forecast of 2.2%, and 2.2% in 2017, unchanged from the previous estimate.

Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan said in an interview with the CNBC on Tuesday that the Fed could raise its interest rate in the near future. He pointed out that the interest rate hike in December was the right decision, adding that gradual interest rate hikes would be appropriate.

Kaplan expects the U.S. economy to expand below 2% this year.

Dallas Fed president noted that next five years would be more complex for the Fed than the past five years.

He also said that the weak global growth weighed on the U.S. economy.

Kaplan is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.

USDJPY: 109.30 (USD 220m) 110.00 (551m) 110.50 (660m) 111.00 (900m)

EURUSD: 1.1225-30 (USD 838m) 1.1250-55 (1.95bln) 1.1400 (227m) 1.1400 (1.88bln)1.1435 (300m) 1.1450-55 (807m) 1.1500 (635m)

EURGBP 0.7975 ( EUR 400m)

EURJPY 122.50 (EUR 200m) 126.90 (480m)

EURCHF 1.0975 (EUR 400m) 1.0989 (300m)

AUDUSD: 0.7450 (AUD 221m) 0.7475 (317m) 0.7600 (253m)

USDSGD 1.3425 (USD 443m)

Eurostat release its preliminary house price index for the Eurozone on Tuesday. The index was flat in the fourth quarter, after a 1.0% gain in the third quarter.

On a yearly basis, house prices climbed 2.9% in the fourth quarter, after a 2.2% rise in the third quarter. The third quarter's figure was revised down from a 2.3% increase.

The U.S. Labor Department released its import and export prices data on Tuesday. The U.S. import price index increased by 0.2% in March, missing expectations for a 1.0% rise, after a 0.4% decline in February. It was the first rise since June 2015.

February's figure was revised down from a 0.3% drop.

The rise was mainly driven by higher prices for fuel imports, which climbed 4.9% in March.

U.S. export prices were flat in March, after a 0.5% fall in February. February's figure was revised down a 0.4% decrease.

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) released its small-business optimism index for the U.S. on Tuesday. The index dropped to 92.6 in March from 92.9 in February. It was the lowest level since February 2014.

6 of 10 sub-indexes declined last month, while 4 sub-indexes rose.

"The small business sector, which historically produced half of our private GDP and served as the "R&D" sector of our economy, is underperforming, doing little more than operating in maintenance mode. Slow economic growth is now just a result of population growth, more haircuts, retail customers, health care patients, etc. But there is no exuberance, no optimism and not much hope, the numbers make it clear," NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg said.

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

01:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence March 3 6

06:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Finally) March 0.4% 0.8% 0.8%

06:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Finally) March 0.0% 0.3% 0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) March 0.1% 2.6% 2.0%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) March -8.2% Revised From -8.1% -6.0% -6.5%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) March 0.1% 0.2% 0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) March -1.1% -1.0% -0.9%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y March 1.3% 1.4% 1.6%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m March 0.5% 0.3% 0.4%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m March 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y March 0.3% 0.4% 0.5%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y March 1.2% 1.3% 1.5%

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the release of the U.S. import price index data. The U.S. import price index is expected to rise 1.0% in March, after a 0.3% fall in February.

The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from the Eurozone. Destatis released its final consumer price data for Germany on Tuesday. German final consumer price index were up 0.8% in March, in line with the preliminary estimate, after a 0.4% rise in February.

On a yearly basis, German final consumer price index increased to 0.3% in March from 0.0% in February, in line with the preliminary estimate.

Energy prices dropped 8.9% year-on-year in March, while food prices climbed 1.3%.

Consumer prices excluding energy increased 1.4% year-on-year in March.

The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar on the better-than-expected consumer price inflation data from the U.K. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released the consumer price inflation data for the U.K. on Tuesday. The U.K. consumer price index rose to 0.5% year-on-year in March from 0.3% in February, exceeding expectations for a rise to 0.4%.

The increase was mainly driven by rises in air fares and clothing prices. Food prices declined.

On a monthly basis, U.K. consumer prices increased 0.4% in March, exceeding expectations for a 0.4% gain, after a 0.2% rise in February.

Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices climbed to 1.5% year-on-year in March from 1.2% in February, beating expectations for an increase to 1.3%.

The U.K. house price index increased at a seasonally adjusted rate of 0.4% in February, after a 0.9% rise in January.

On a yearly basis, the U.K. house price index increased at a seasonally adjusted rate of 7.6% in February, after a 7.9% in January.

EUR/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.1393

GBP/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.4347

USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:30 U.S. Import Price Index March -0.3% 1.0%

18:00 U.S. Federal budget March -193 -104

EUR/USD

Offers 1.1445-50 1.1460-70 1.1480 1.1500 1.1530 1.1550

Bids 1.1400 1.1385 1.1370 1.1350 1.1330-35 1.1310 1.1300 1.1275-80 1.1250

GBP/USD

Offers 1.4285 1.4300 1.4320-25 1.4350 1.4380 1.4400 1.4420 1.4450

Bids 1.4250 1.4225-30 1.4200 1.4185 1.4165 1.4150 1.4100 1.4080 1.4050-60

EUR/JPY

Offers 123.80 124.00 124.30 124.50 124.80 125.00

Bids 123.30 123.00 122.70 122.50 122.00 121.80 121.50 121.00

EUR/GBP

Offers 0.8020 0.8030 0.8050 0.8075-80 0.8100 0.8120 0.8130 0.8150

Bids 0.8000 0.7985 0.797 0.7950 0.7930 0.7900 0.7880 0.7850

USD/JPY

Offers 108.50 108.80-85 109.00-10 109.30 109.50 109.80 110.00

Bids 108.00 107.85 107.60-65 107.50 107.30 107.00

AUD/USD

Offers 0.7650-55 0.7580 0.7600 0.7625-30 0.7650 0.7700 0.7720 0.7735-40 0.7750

Bids 0.7620 0.7600 0.7580 0.7550 0.7520 0.7500 0.7485 0.7465 0.7450 0.7430 0.7400

According to the British Retail Consortium (BRC) and KPMG sales monitor, the U.K. retail sales decreased by an annual rate of 0.7% on a like-for-like basis in March, after a 0.1% rise in February.

On a total basis, retail sales were flat year-on-year in March.

"Neither growth nor decline in total year-on-year sales in March, although this relatively disappointing picture is distorted by the earlier timing of Easter this year," BRC Chief Executive, Helen Dickinson, said.

The German statistical office Destatis released its wholesale prices for Germany on Tuesday. German wholesale prices rose 0.3% in March, after a 0.5% decrease in February.

On a yearly basis, wholesale prices in Germany dropped 2.6% in March, after a 1.9% decline in February. Wholesale prices have been declining since July 2013.

The annual fall was mainly driven by a 17.6% drop in solid fuels and related products.

Destatis released its final consumer price data for Germany on Tuesday. German final consumer price index were up 0.8% in March, in line with the preliminary estimate, after a 0.4% rise in February.

On a yearly basis, German final consumer price index increased to 0.3% in March from 0.0% in February, in line with the preliminary estimate.

Energy prices dropped 8.9% year-on-year in March, while food prices climbed 1.3%.

Consumer prices excluding energy increased 1.4% year-on-year in March.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its house inflation data for the U.K. on Tuesday. The U.K. house price index increased at a seasonally adjusted rate of 0.4% in February, after a 0.9% rise in January.

On a yearly basis, the U.K. house price index increased at a seasonally adjusted rate of 7.6% in February, after a 7.9% in January.

The higher house price inflation England was mainly driven by an increase in prices in the East, the South East and London.

The average mix-adjusted house price was £284,000 in February, down from £292,000 in January.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released the consumer price inflation data for the U.K. on Tuesday. The U.K. consumer price index rose to 0.5% year-on-year in March from 0.3% in February, exceeding expectations for a rise to 0.4%.

The increase was mainly driven by rises in air fares and clothing prices. Food prices declined.

On a monthly basis, U.K. consumer prices increased 0.4% in March, exceeding expectations for a 0.4% gain, after a 0.2% rise in February.

Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices climbed to 1.5% year-on-year in March from 1.2% in February, beating expectations for an increase to 1.3%.

The Retail Prices Index increased to 1.6% year-on-year in March from 1.3% in February, exceeding expectations for a rise to 1.4%.

The consumer price inflation is below the Bank of England's 2% target.

Japan's Finance Minister Taro Aso said on Tuesday that the government could act against the appreciation of the yen if needed.

"We would take necessary steps under certain circumstances if one-sided and speculative moves were observed. I believe we can respond in line with the G20 agreement," he said.

Experts at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Jose Vinals, Simon Gray and Kelly Eckhold, said in a paper that negative interest rates had a positive impact on the economy and inflation, by boosting demand and supporting stable prices.

The IMF experts noted that wholesale interest rates fell, while credit growth in the Eurozone rose since the European Central Bank introduced negative interest rates.

But experts also said that there were risks as negative interest rates could lead to lower profitability of commercial banks.

Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan said on Monday that an interest rate hike in April was unlikely as the Fed needed more time to analyse the economic data. He added that he could vote for an interest rate hike in June if the U.S. economic data was strong.

Dallas Fed president noted that he would closely watch the GDP and labour market data.

Kaplan is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.

China's Premier Li Keqiang said on Monday that there were more positive signs in the Chinese economy, but the downward remained relatively big. He pointed out that the government would launch investment projects and implement reforms to support the economy.

USD/JPY: 109.30 (USD 220m) 110.00 (551m) 110.50 (660m) 111.00 (900m)

EUR/USD: 1.1225-30 (USD 838m) 1.1250-55 (1.95bln) 1.1400 (227m) 1.1400 (1.88bln) 1.1435 (300m) 1.1450-55 (807m) 1.1500 (635m)

EUR/GBP 0.7975 ( EUR 400m)

EUR/JPY 122.50 (EUR 200m) 126.90 (480m)

EUR/CHF 1.0975 (EUR 400m) 1.0989 (300m)

AUD/USD: 0.7450 (AUD 221m) 0.7475 (317m) 0.7600 (253m)

USD/SGD 1.3425 (USD 443m

The yen has rocketed higher against the dollar in recent weeks, touching 17-month highs and having gained 11 percent since the Bank of Japan introduced negative interest rates in January.

As the Abenomics plan to revive the economy is partly predicated on a weak currency spurring exports, this has not gone down well in Tokyo. Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga warned on Monday that the Group of 20 rich nations' agreement to eschew competitive currency devaluations was no bar to Japan intervening to stop "one-sided" moves.

With the International Monetary Fund holding meetings later this week, now would be an embarrassing time for Japan to sell yen on currency markets. But to view this as a short-term problem of financial diplomacy is to underestimate the depth of the problem.

Negative interest rates in Japan have spawned negative unintended consequences. Stocks have fallen 13 percent, with banks, whose very business model is undermined, the hardest hit. That has left many with the belief that the Bank of Japan is constrained: neither negative rates nor its massive purchases of stocks and bonds are having the intended effect.

EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $1.1400-15

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $1.4225-45

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y108.25

Based on Reuters materials

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1539 (2540)

$1.1490 (1997)

$1.1456 (404)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1412

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1350 (150)

$1.1304 (2507)

$1.1243 (3302)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 6 is 29649 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (2662);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 6 is 43518 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0900 (4833);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.47 versus 1.43 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 11

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4506 (2392)

$1.4409 (1532)

$1.4313 (1093)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4239

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.4186 (737)

$1.4090 (1250)

$1.3993 (1750)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 6 is 22510 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4500 (2392);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 6 is 27395 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3850 (3766);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.21 versus 1.03 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 11

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1404 +0,05%

GBP/USD $1,4232 +0,75%

USD/CHF Chf0,9545 +0,14%

USD/JPY Y107,96 -0,09%

EUR/JPY Y123,12 -0,02%

GBP/JPY Y153,65 +0,68%

AUD/USD $0,7593 +0,53%

NZD/USD $0,6851 +0,63%

USD/CAD C$1,29 -0,67%

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

01:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence March 3

06:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Finally) March 0.4% 0.8%

06:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Finally) March 0.0% 0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) March 0.1% 2.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) March -8.1% -6.2%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) March 0.1% 0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) March -1.1% -1.0%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y March 1.3% 1.4%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m March 0.5% 0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m March 0.2% 0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y March 0.3% 0.4%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y March 1.2% 1.3%

12:30 U.S. Import Price Index March -0.3% 1.0%

18:00 U.S. Federal budget March -193