Noticias del mercado

15 junio 2015
  • 22:00

    U.S.: Net Long-term TIC Flows , April 53.9

  • 22:00

    U.S.: Total Net TIC Flows, April 106.6

  • 17:07

    Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor Christopher Kent: the central bank’s monetary policy is working

    Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Assistant Governor Christopher Kent said on Monday that the central bank's monetary policy was working despite strong headwinds like "the significant decline in mining investment, fiscal consolidation at state and federal levels and the exchange rate".

    He pointed out that rising house prices in combination with strong growth of credit are potential risk for Australia's economy.

    "Consumption growth has picked up since 2013. But it is still a little weaker than suggested by historical experience," the RBA assistant governor said.

  • 16:57

    European Central Bank President Mario Draghi: a "strong and comprehensive agreement" between Greece and its creditors is needed as soon as possible

    European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi said on Monday before the European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Affair's Committee that the ball lies in Athens' court to act. He noted that a "strong and comprehensive agreement" between Greece and its creditors was needed as soon as possible.

    Draghi pointed out that emergency funding for Greek banks will be extended "as long as Greek banks are solvent and have sufficient collateral". He also said that the ECB provides €118 billion in funds to Greek banks, equivalent to 66% of Greece's gross domestic product (GDP).

    The ECB president noted that Eurozone's economy continued to recover moderately, while inflation is expected to remain low in the coming months before rising.

  • 16:39

    European Central Bank Executive Board Member Peter Praet: more structural reforms needed to be implement in the Eurozone

    European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board Member Peter Praet said on Monday that more structural reforms needed to be implement in the Eurozone and the monetary policy should create the conditions for sustainable long-run growth.

    "The main point I would like to make is as follows. For many euro area countries structural reforms are central to higher long-run growth. And that each economy achieves this is in turn critical to an efficient implementation of monetary policy and, over time, to the integrity of monetary union. But there is no "one size fits all" model for how countries should go about tackling structural challenges," he noted.

    "Structural reforms can raise long-run growth in two ways: by raising the trend of long-term growth, and by reducing the fluctuations around that trend," Praet added.

  • 16:18

    NAHB housing market index jumps to 59 in June

    The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) released its housing market index for the U.S. on Monday. The NAHB housing market index jumped to 59 in June from 54 in May. It was the highest level since September 2014.

    Analysts had expected the index to rise to 56.

    A level above 50.0 is considered positive, below indicates a negative outlook.

    The increase was driven by a rise in all three components of the index. The current sales conditions subindex rose seven points to 65 in June, the subindex measuring sales expectations in the next six months climbed six points to 69, while the buyer traffic subindex was up five points to 44.

    "Builders are reporting more serious and committed buyers at their job sites and this is reflected in recent government data showing that new-home sales and single-family construction are gaining momentum," the NAHB Chairman Tom Woods said.

    The NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe noted that current and future sales expectations subindices indicate the housing market will continue to strengthen in the coming months.

  • 16:00

    U.S.: NAHB Housing Market Index, June 59 (forecast 56)

  • 15:54

    U.S. industrial production declines 0.2% in May

    The Federal Reserve released its industrial production report on Monday. The U.S. industrial production dropped 0.2% in May, missing expectations for a 0.3% increase, after a 0.5% decline in April. April's figure was revised down from a 0.3% decrease.

    The decline was driven by lower mining output. Mining output dropped by 0.3% in May as oil and gas well drilling plunged 7.9%.

    Utility output climbed by 0.2% in May, after a 3.7% drop in April.

    The U.S. manufacturing production declined 0.2% in May.

    Capacity utilisation rate fell to 78.1% in May from 78.3% in April. April's figure was revised up 78.2%. Analysts had expected a capacity utilisation rate of 78.3%.

    These figures are pointing to a slower economic growth in the U.S.

  • 15:46

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EUR/USD: $1.1200(E539mn), $1.1250(E327mn), $1.1335(E506mn)

    USD/JPY: Y122.00($810mn), Y123.00($1.4bn), Y123.35-50($1.2bn)

    GBP/USD: $1.5420(Gbp219mn) * EUR/GBP: Gbp0.7300(E850mn)

    USD/CHF: Chf0.9250($500mn), Chf0.9450($500mn)

    AUD/USD: $0.7600(A$400mn), $0.7650(A$510mn), $0.7700(A$596mn), $0.7735(A$610mn)

    AUD/NZD: NZ$1.0900(A$374mn): AUD/JPY: Y95.00(A$200mn)

    USD/CAD: C$1.2100($895mn), C$1.2400-15($400mn)

  • 15:29

    Central Bank of Russia lowers its key interest rate to 11.5%

    The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) lowered its key interest rate to 11.5% from 12.5% on Monday. This decision was widely expected by analysts.

    This decision indicates that inflationary pressure in Russia was weakening.

    It was the fourth cut in 2015.

    The central bank noted that it was ready for further interest rate cut.

  • 15:15

    U.S.: Capacity Utilization, May 78.1% (forecast 78.3%)

  • 15:15

    U.S.: Industrial Production (MoM), May -0.2% (forecast 0.3%)

  • 15:15

    U.S.: Industrial Production YoY , May 1.4%

  • 15:01

    NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index plunges to -1.98 in June

    The New York Federal Reserve released its survey on Monday. The NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index declined to -1.98 in June from 3.09 in May, missing expectations for an increase to 5.2. It was lowest level since January 2013.

    The decline was driven by a drop in new orders. The new orders index dropped to -2.12 in June from 3.85 in May.

    The price-paid index increased to 9.62 in June from 9.38 in May.

    The index for the number of employees climbed to 8.65 in June from 5.21 last month.

    The general business conditions expectations index for the next six months was down to 25.84 in June from 29.81 in May.

  • 14:52

    Canadian manufacturing shipments drop 2.1% in April

    Statistics Canada released manufacturing shipments on Monday. Canadian manufacturing shipments dropped 2.1% in April, missing forecasts of a 1.0% decrease, after a 2.7% rise in March. March's figure was revised down from a 2.9% gain.

    The drop was driven by lower sales of food, aerospace products and parts, and petroleum and coal products. Sales of food plunged 5.7% in April, production of aerospace products and parts dropped 17.8%, while sales of petroleum and coal products fell 2.7%

    Sales decreased in 8 of 21 categories.

  • 14:41

    Italian consumer prices climb 0.1% in May

    The Italian statistical office Istat released its consumer price inflation data on Monday. Italian consumer prices rose 0.1% in May, after 0.1% in April. April's figure was revised down from a 0.2% increase.

    The rise was driven by higher prices of non-regulated energy products (+1.8%) and higher prices of services.

    On a yearly basis, Italian consumer prices climbed 0.1% in May, after a 0.1% decline in April. April's figure was revised down from a 0.2% gain.

    The increase was driven by lower decline in prices of non-regulated energy products (May: -7.2% vs. -8.7% in April) and by higher prices of services (May: +0.8% vs. -0.6% in April).

  • 14:32

    U.S.: NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index , June -1.98 (forecast 5.2)

  • 14:30

    Canada: Manufacturing Shipments (MoM), April -2.1% (forecast -1.0%)

  • 14:23

    Foreign exchange market. European session: the euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar as the weekend's debt talks between Greece and its creditors were unsuccessful

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    (Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

    07:00 Eurozone ECB's Jens Weidmann Speaks

    07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m May -2.1% -0.8%

    07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y May -5.2% -6%

    07:15 Switzerland Retail Sales (MoM) April 0.7% 2.1%

    07:15 Switzerland Retail Sales Y/Y April -2.4% Revised From -2.8% 1.6%

    07:30 Australia RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks

    09:00 Eurozone Trade balance unadjusted April 22.9 Revised From 23.4 24.9

    The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. economic data. The U.S. industrial production is expected to climb 0.3% in May, after a 0.3% drop in April. The NAHB housing market index is expected to climb to 56 in June from 54 in May.

    The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar as the weekend's debt talks between Greece and its creditors were unsuccessful. An EU Commission official said that there are still big differences between the Greek reform plan and the demand of the creditors.

    European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker noted that a new debt deal could be reached until the end of the month.

    The next round of talks is scheduled to at the finance ministers' meeting this Thursday in Luxembourg.

    Germany' Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann said on Monday that time is running out for Greece to reach a new debt agreement with its creditors. He added that Athens should act quickly.

    Meanwhile, Eurostat released its trade data for the Eurozone on Monday. Eurozone's unadjusted trade surplus rose to €24.9 billion in April from €22.9 billion in March. March's figure was revised down from a surplus of €23.4 billion.

    Exports climbed by seasonally adjusted rate of 1.1%, while imports declined 1.6%.

    The European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is scheduled to speak at 13:00 GMT.

    The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from the U.K.

    Standard & Poor's downgraded its outlook on the U.K.'s credit rating to negative on Friday.

    The Canadian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Canadian economic data. Canada's manufacturing shipments are expected to decrease 1.0% in April, after a 2.9% rise in April.

    The Swiss franc traded lower against the U.S. dollar despite the mostly better-than-expected economic data from Switzerland. Switzerland's producer and import prices fell 0.8% in May, after a 2.1% drop in April.

    On a yearly basis, producer and import prices plunged 6.0% in May, after a 5.2% drop in April.

    The decline was driven by lower prices for chemical and pharmaceutical products. Prices for petroleum and petroleum products increased in May.

    Retail sales in Switzerland rose at an annual rate of 1.6% in April, after a 2.4% decline in March. March's figure was revised up from a 2.8% drop.

    Sales of food, beverages and tobacco fell at an annual rate of 0.4%, while non-food sales increased 3.9%.

    On a monthly basis, retail sales excluding petrol prices climbed by 2.2% in April. Sales of food, beverages and tobacco were up 1.4%, while non-food sales rose 3.9%.

    EUR/USD: the currency pair decreased to $1.1203

    GBP/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.5486

    USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y123.66

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) April 2.9% -1.0%

    12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index June 3.09 5.2

    13:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

    13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization May 78.2% 78.3%

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) May -0.3% 0.3%

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production YoY May 1.9%

    14:00 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index June 54 56

    20:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows April 17.6

    21:55 Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks

  • 14:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers 1.1260 1.1280 1.1300 1.1320 1.1340 1.1365 1.1380 1.1400

    Bids 1.1220 1.1200 1.1185 1.1150 1.1130 1.1100 1.1080-85 1.1065 1.1050


    GBP/USD

    Offers 1.5550 1.5580 1.5600 1.5625 1.5650 1.5675 1.5700

    Bids 1.5500-10 1.5480-85 1.5460 1.5440-45 1.5425 1.5400


    EUR/GBP

    Offers 0.7250 0.7265 0.7280 0.7300 0.7320-25 0.7350

    Bids 0.7210 0.7200 0.7185 0.7160 0.7130 0.7100


    EUR/JPY

    Offers 139.20 139.50 139.80 140.00 140.20 140.50

    Bids 138.50 138.30 138.00 137.50 137.00


    USD/JPY

    Offers 123.80 124.00 124.25 124.40 124.75-80 125.00

    Bids 123.30 123.00 122.80 122.60 122.30 122.00


    AUD/USD

    Offers 0.7730 0.7750 0.7770 0.7785 0.7800 0.7830 0.7850 0.7865 0.7880 0.7900

    Bids 0.7700 0.7680 0.7650 0.7625-30 0.7600 0.7585 0.7550

  • 11:51

    Germany’ Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann: time is running out for Greece to reach a new debt agreement with its creditors

    Germany' Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann said on Monday that time is running out for Greece to reach a new debt agreement with its creditors. He added that Athens should act quickly.

    "We need to ensure that Greece can stand on its own legs without the help of partners. That's why the ball is clearly in the court of the Greek government," Weidmann said.

    The Bundesbank president also said that high debt and the resulting tax burden for companies and households could have a negative impact on the growth in the Eurozone.

    "The fact is that the circumstances named are all factors that burden growth and that cannot be eliminated with a monetary policy that is still so expansionary," he noted.

  • 11:40

    Eurozone's unadjusted trade surplus rises to €24.9 billion in April

    Eurostat released its trade data for the Eurozone on Monday. Eurozone's unadjusted trade surplus rose to €24.9 billion in April from €22.9 billion in March. March's figure was revised down from a surplus of €23.4 billion.

    Exports climbed by seasonally adjusted rate of 1.1%, while imports declined 1.6%.

  • 11:28

    Switzerland's producer and import prices fall 0.8% in May

    The Federal Statistical Office released its producer and import prices data on Monday. Switzerland's producer and import prices fell 0.8% in May, after a 2.1% drop in April.

    On a yearly basis, producer and import prices plunged 6.0% in May, after a 5.2% drop in April.

    The decline was driven by lower prices for chemical and pharmaceutical products. Prices for petroleum and petroleum products increased in May.

  • 11:21

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EUR/USD: $1.1200(E539mn), $1.1250(E327mn), $1.1335(E506mn)

    USD/JPY: Y122.00($810mn), Y123.00($1.4bn), Y123.35-50($1.2bn)

    GBP/USD: $1.5420(Gbp219mn) * EUR/GBP: Gbp0.7300(E850mn)

    USD/CHF: Chf0.9250($500mn), Chf0.9450($500mn)

    AUD/USD: $0.7600(A$400mn), $0.7650(A$510mn), $0.7700(A$596mn), $0.7735(A$610mn)

    AUD/NZD: NZ$1.0900(A$374mn): AUD/JPY: Y95.00(A$200mn)

    USD/CAD: C$1.2100($895mn), C$1.2400-15($400mn)

  • 11:09

    Swiss retail sales rise 1.6% in April

    The Federal Statistical Office released its retail sales data for Switzerland on Monday. Retail sales in Switzerland rose at an annual rate of 1.6% in April, after a 2.4% decline in March.

    March's figure was revised up from a 2.8% drop.

    Sales of food, beverages and tobacco fell at an annual rate of 0.4%, while non-food sales increased 3.9%.

    On a monthly basis, retail sales excluding petrol prices climbed by 2.2% in April. Sales of food, beverages and tobacco were up 1.4%, while non-food sales rose 3.9%.

  • 11:00

    Eurozone: Trade balance unadjusted, April 24.9

  • 10:53

    According to a poll, 51% of German respondents would prefer the Greek exit from the Eurozone

    According to a new poll from the German broadcaster ZDF, 51% of German respondents would prefer the Greek exit from the Eurozone, while 41% of German respondents would prefer to keep Greece in the Eurozone.

    1,230 randomly selected people were asked.

    70% of respondents said that they want no more concessions in the debt talks between Greece and its creditors.

    65% of respondents believe that there will no damage on the German economy if Greece leaves the Eurozone.

  • 10:34

    Fitch Ratings affirms the credit ratings of the U.K., France and Sweden

    Fitch Ratings has affirmed the credit ratings of the U.K., France and Sweden. According to Fitch Ratings, the UK's Long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) has been affirmed at 'AA+', while the outlook was stable.

    France's Long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDR) has been affirmed at 'AA' with a stable outlook.

    Fitch has affirmed Sweden's Long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDR) at 'AAA' with a stable outlook. "Sweden's 'AAA' ratings reflect its high income per capita, strong governance and human development indicators, and a track record of sound economic policy implementation," Fitch said.

  • 10:22

    The weekend’s debt talks between Greece and its creditors were unsuccessful

    The European Commission said on Sunday that the weekend's debt talks between Greece and its creditors were unsuccessful. An EU Commission official said that there are still big differences between the Greek reform plan and the demand of the creditors.

    European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker noted that a new debt deal could be reached until the end of the month.

    The next round of talks is scheduled to at the finance ministers' meeting this Thursday in Luxembourg.

  • 09:15

    Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, y/y, May -6%

  • 09:15

    Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, m/m, May -0.8%

  • 09:15

    Switzerland: Retail Sales Y/Y, April 1.6%

  • 08:20

    Foreign exchange market. Asian session

    (Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

    ---


    Euro dropped for the first time in four days after the latest round of negotiations between Greece and its creditors fell apart. The latest failed attempt to find a formula to unlock as much as 7.2 billion euros ($8.1 billion) in aid for the anti-austerity government of Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras means Greece has two weeks until its euro-area bailout expires with no future financing arrangement in place. The burden of finding a resolution now shifts to a meeting of euro-area finance ministers set for June 18.

    The dollar gain as data showing the U.S. economy continues to gain speed. Wholesale prices in the U.S. rose in May, giving the figure gains in two of the past three months that may eventually filter through to consumers, helping reassure Federal Reserve policy makers that inflation is progressing toward their target.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.1190

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.5525

    USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y123.55

  • 08:06

    Options levels on monday, June 15, 2015:

    EUR / USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.1367 (1899)

    $1.1327 (879)

    $1.1294 (185)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.1197

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.1126 (1435)

    $1.1072 (3740)

    $1.1041 (1800)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date July, 2 is 47135 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1400 (3267);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date July, 2 is 776523 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0500 (8494);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.62 versus 1.67 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 12


    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.5805 (2112)

    $1.5707 (596)

    $1.5611 (1623)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.5533

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.5488 (335)

    $1.5392 (1165)

    $1.5295 (1997)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date July, 2 is 21950 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5500 (2551);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date July, 2 is 21790 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5300 (1997);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.99 versus 1.02 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 12


    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 00:30

    Currencies. Daily history for Jun 12’2015:

    (pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,1265 +0,25%

    GBP/USD $1,5560 +0,32%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9275 -0,67%

    USD/JPY Y123,38 -0,08%

    EUR/JPY Y139,00 +0,17%

    GBP/JPY Y191,08 -0,23%

    AUD/USD $0,7730 -0,30%

    NZD/USD $0,6984 -0,42%

    USD/CAD C$1,2318 + 0,18%

  • 00:01

    Schedule for today, Monday, Jun 15’2015:

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    07:00 Eurozone ECB's Jens Weidmann Speaks

    07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m May -2.1%

    07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y May -5.2%

    07:15 Switzerland Retail Sales (MoM) April 0.7%

    07:15 Switzerland Retail Sales Y/Y April -2.8%

    07:30 Australia RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks

    09:00 Eurozone Trade balance unadjusted April 23.4

    12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) April 2.9% -1.0%

    12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index June 3.09 5.2

    13:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

    13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization May 78.2% 78.3%

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) May -0.3% 0.3%

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production YoY May 1.9%

    14:00 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index June 54 56

    20:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows April -100.9

    20:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows April 17.6

    21:55 Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks

Enfoque del mercado
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AUDUSD
EURUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
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XAGUSD
XAUUSD
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