Major U.S. stock-indexes little changed on Friday. Oil erased earlier gains, pressured by persistent global oversupply and a bleak demand outlook. They have lost about 70% since mid year 2014.
Nonfarm payrolls surged in December and unemployment rate held steady at 5%. October and November payrolls were revised sharply higher.
Most of Dow stocks in negative area (17 of 30). Top looser - Chevron Corporation (CVX, -1,24%). Top gainer - Apple Inc. (AAPL, +1.73%).
S&P sectors mixed. Top looser - Basic Materials (-0,8%). Top gainer - Conglomerates (+0,9%).
At the moment:
Dow 16458.00 +39.00 +0.24%
S&P 500 1938.00 +5.00 +0.26%
Nasdaq 100 4325.00 +35.75 +0.83%
Oil 33.08 -0.19 -0.57%
Gold 1102.70 -5.10 -0.46%
U.S. 10yr 2.14 -0.01
Stock indices closed lower as a drop in shares of oil companies weighed on stock markets.
Meanwhile, the economic data from Germany was mostly weaker than expected. Destatis released its industrial production data for Germany on Friday. German industrial production fell 0.3% in November, missing expectations for a 0.5% gain, after a 0.5% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.2% increase.
The output of capital goods decreased 3.3% in November, energy output rose 2.5%, and the production in the construction sector was up 1.6%, while the production of intermediate goods climbed 1.1%. The output of consumer goods jumped 1.9%.
German industrial production excluding energy and construction declined by 0.8% in November.
Germany's seasonally adjusted trade surplus decreased to €19.7 billion in November from 20.5 in October.
Exports rose at a seasonally and calendar-adjusted 0.4% in November, while imports climbed 1.6%.
On a yearly basis, German exports increased 7.7% in November, while imports rose by 5.3%.
Germany's current account surplus was at €24.7 billion in November, up from €22.9 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a surplus of €23.0 billion.
According to the French Customs, France's trade deficit narrowed to €4.63 billion in November from €4.87 billion in October, missing expectations for a decline to a deficit of €3.95 billion. Exports climbed 3.0% in November, while imports rose 2.0%.
The French statistical office Insee its industrial production figures on Friday. Industrial production in France declined 0.9% in November, missing expectations for a 0.4% decline, after a 0.7% rise in October.
The U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS) released trade data for the U.K. on Friday. The U.K. trade deficit in goods narrowed to £10.64 billion in November from £11.20 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a deficit of £11.83 billion.
The decline in deficit was driven by a drop in imports. Exports of goods dropped 1.3% in November, while imports slid 2.5%.
The total trade deficit, including services, narrowed to £3.17 billion in November from £3.51 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a deficit of £4.14 billion.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 5,912.44 -41.64 -0.70 %
DAX 9,849.34 -130.51 -1.31 %
CAC 40 4,333.76 -69.82 -1.59 %
Oil prices traded mixed as Chinese stock market stabilised. The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced on Thursday that it suspended circuit-breaker rules. The circuit-breaker rules intended to stop free-falling share prices and to calm markets.
Concerns over the global oil oversupply weighed on oil prices.
Market participants are also awaiting the release of the number of active U.S. rigs later in the day.
WTI crude oil for February delivery declined to $32.65 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent crude oil for February rose to $33.85 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
Oil prices traded mixed as Chinese stock market stabilised. The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced on Thursday that it suspended circuit-breaker rules. The circuit-breaker rules intended to stop free-falling share prices and to calm markets.
Concerns over the global oil oversupply weighed on oil prices.
Market participants are also awaiting the release of the number of active U.S. rigs later in the day.
WTI crude oil for February delivery declined to $32.65 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent crude oil for February rose to $33.85 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
Polish equities declined on Friday. The broad market benchmark, the WIG Index, lost 0.96%. Sector-wise, chemicals sector (+0.68%) was sole gainer within the WIG Index, while materials (-2.93%) lagged behind.
The large-cap stocks plunged by 1.17%, as measured by the WIG30 Index. Within the index components, bank ALIOR (WSE: ALR) and property developer GTC (WSE: GTC) were the weakest performers, tumbling by 4.78% and 4.11% respectively. Other major losers were railway freight transport operator PKP CARGO (WSE: PKP), genco ENERGA (WSE: ENG), copper producer KGHM (WSE: KGH) and videogame developer CD PROJEKT (WSE: CDR), dropping by 3.05%-3.78%. On the other side of the ledger, chemical producer SYNTHOS (WSE: SNS) led a handful of gainers with a 2.6% advance, followed by genco PGE (WSE: PGE) and footwear retailer CCC (WSE: CCC), adding 1.44% and 1.24% respectively.
Gold price declined on a stronger U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar rose against other currencies after the release of the better-than-expected U.S. labour market data. The U.S. Labor Department released the labour market data on Friday. The U.S. economy added 292,000 jobs in December, exceeding expectations for a rise of 200,000 jobs, after a gain of 252,000 jobs in November. November's figure was revised up from a rise of 211,000 jobs.
The increase was partly driven by a rise in construction, professional and technical services, and health care. Health care sector added 39,200 jobs in December, professional and business services sector added 73,000 jobs, while construction added 45,000.
The manufacturing sector added 8,000 jobs in December, while mining sector shed 8,000 jobs.
The U.S. unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.0% in December, in line with expectations.
Average hourly earnings were flat in December, missing forecasts of a 0.2% gain, after a 0.2% increase in November.
The labour-force participation rate increased to 62.6% in December from 62.5% in November.
February futures for gold on the COMEX today fell to 1091.80 dollars per ounce.
The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Philip Lane said in an interview with the Irish Times that the ECB could add further stimulus measures if needed to reach the 2% inflation target.
"It's important to say that no door has been closed. If the data flow over the next number of months is that more needs to be done, more can be done," he said.
Lane noted that there is the uncertainty in the global economy.
"There's an unusually high amount of uncertainty at the moment," he noted.
The ECB kept its interest rate unchanged at 0.05% in December, but lowered its deposit rate to -0.3% from -0.2%. The asset-buying programme will be extended until the end of March 2017. Earlier, the asset buying programme was intended to run until September 2016. The volume of the monthly purchases remained unchanged.
Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare released its labour cash earnings data on Friday. Labour cash earnings in Japan were flat year-on-year in November, missing expectations for a 0.7% rise, after a 0.7% rise in October.
Contractual earnings increased 0.5% year-on-year in November, while special cash earnings plunged 8.6%.
Total real wages slid 0.4% in November, after a 0.4% drop in October.
The Australian Industry Group (AiG) released its construction data for Australia on late Sunday evening. The Ai Group/HIA Australian Performance of Construction Index fell to 46.8 in December from 50.7 in November.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector, a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
The decline was driven by weak activity in the engineering and commercial construction sectors.
The U.S. Commerce Department released wholesale inventories on Friday. Wholesale inventories in the U.S. fell 0.3% in November, missing expectations for a 0.1 decline, after a 0.3% decrease in October. September's figure was revised down from a 0.1% decline.
The decline was driven by a fall in inventories of non-durable and durable goods. Inventories of non-durable goods decreased 0.5% in November, while inventories of durable goods fell 0.2%.
Wholesale sales slid 1.0% in November, after a 0.2% fall in October.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics released its retail sales data on Friday. Retail sales in Australia rose 0.4% in November, in line with expectations, after a 0.6% gain in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.5% increase.
The increase was mainly driven by higher household goods sales and department stores sales. Household goods sales were up 0.6% in November, while department stores sales increased 0.6%.
On a yearly basis, retail sales climbed 4.3% in November, after a 3.9% rise in October.
Japan's Cabinet Office released its preliminary leading index data on Friday. The leading index decreased to 103.9 in November from 104.2 in October.
Japan's coincident index was down to 111.6 in November from 113.2 in October. It was the lowest level since March 2015.
U.S. stock-index futures advanced.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 17,697.96 -69.38 -0.39%
Hang Seng 20,453.71 +120.37 +0.59%
Shanghai Composite 3,186.78 +61.77 +1.98%
FTSE 5,997.58 +43.50 +0.73%
CAC 4,421.4 +17.82 +0.40%
DAX 10,072.79 +92.94 +0.93%
Crude oil $33.88 (+1.83%)
Gold $1094.50 (-1.20%)
The U.S. Labor Department released the labour market data on Friday. The U.S. economy added 292,000 jobs in December, exceeding expectations for a rise of 200,000 jobs, after a gain of 252,000 jobs in November. November's figure was revised up from a rise of 211,000 jobs.
The increase was partly driven by a rise in construction, professional and technical services, and health care. Health care sector added 39,200 jobs in December, professional and business services sector added 73,000 jobs, while construction added 45,000.
The manufacturing sector added 8,000 jobs in December, while mining sector shed 8,000 jobs.
The U.S. unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.0% in December, in line with expectations.
Average hourly earnings were flat in December, missing forecasts of a 0.2% gain, after a 0.2% increase in November.
The labour-force participation rate increased to 62.6% in December from 62.5% in November.
These figures indicate that the Fed may raise its interest rate further this year. The Fed hiked its interest rates by a 0.25% to between 0.25% and 0.50% in December.
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 14.50 | 3.87% | 1.5K |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 8.50 | 2.78% | 49.0K |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 5.76 | 2.67% | 19.3K |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 20.75 | 2.42% | 23.5K |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 48.66 | 2.31% | 17.1K |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 621.00 | 2.15% | 20.6K |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 12.96 | 2.05% | 41.2K |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 30.60 | 2.03% | 31.9K |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 99.78 | 1.90% | 70.9K |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 61.40 | 1.87% | 1.2K |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 219.50 | 1.79% | 6.8K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 84.50 | 1.78% | 9.4K |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 167.50 | 1.75% | 0.5K |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 739.00 | 1.74% | 3.8K |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 30.68 | 1.72% | 10.1K |
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP | AIG | 59.25 | 1.59% | 0.5K |
Hewlett-Packard Co. | HPQ | 10.94 | 1.58% | 43.7K |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 57.58 | 1.57% | 21.3K |
E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co | DD | 62.45 | 1.54% | 10.9K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 52.93 | 1.46% | 70.4K |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 64.85 | 1.42% | 1.4K |
FedEx Corporation, NYSE | FDX | 136.50 | 1.42% | 1.3K |
General Electric Co | GE | 29.37 | 1.38% | 31.0K |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 134.70 | 1.38% | 13.9K |
Boeing Co | BA | 134.82 | 1.36% | 0.2K |
Intel Corp | INTC | 32.27 | 1.35% | 8.3K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 25.75 | 1.34% | 1.5K |
Visa | V | 74.77 | 1.33% | 20.9K |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 77.20 | 1.27% | 9.0K |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 100.75 | 1.26% | 12.7K |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 97.67 | 1.26% | 399.6K |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 42.12 | 1.20% | 0.6K |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 100.39 | 1.18% | 0.9K |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 45.80 | 1.17% | 32.4K |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 78.00 | 1.06% | 2.0M |
Nike | NKE | 60.47 | 1.04% | 5.2K |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 65.70 | 1.03% | 7.2K |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 58.74 | 1.03% | 1.1K |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 31.72 | 1.02% | 2.6K |
AT&T Inc | T | 33.85 | 1.01% | 19.8K |
Travelers Companies Inc | TRV | 107.51 | 1.01% | 3.3K |
American Express Co | AXP | 64.45 | 0.96% | 0.1K |
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC. | HON | 100.00 | 0.78% | 0.3K |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 126.33 | 0.74% | 10.2K |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 116.47 | 0.70% | 1.2K |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 52.12 | 0.31% | 0.7K |
United Technologies Corp | UTX | 92.13 | 0.25% | 0.8K |
International Paper Company | IP | 36.28 | -0.03% | 0.2K |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 8.27 | -5.49% | 210.9K |
Statistics Canada released housing market data on Friday. Building permits in Canada slid 19.6% in November, missing expectations for a 3.0% decline, after a 9.9% gain in October. October's figure was revised up from a 9.1% increase.
The drop was driven by declines in residential and non-residential sectors.
Building permits for non-residential construction plunged 22.7% in November, while permits in the residential sector dropped 17.8%.
Statistics Canada released the labour market data on Friday. Canada's unemployment rate remained unchanged at 7.1% in December, in line with expectations.
The labour participation rate rose to 65.9% in December from 65.8% in November.
The Bank of Canada monitors closely the labour participation rate.
The number of employed people climbed by 22,800 jobs in December, exceeding expectations for a rise of 10,000 jobs, after a 35,700 decrease in November.
The increase was driven by a rise in part-time work. Full-time employment was down by 6,400 in December, while part-time employment increased by 38,400 jobs.
USD/JPY 117.05 (USD 200m) 119.20 (330m)
EUR/USD 1.0800 (EUR 775m) 1.1000 (534m)
GBP/USD 1.4750 (GBP 240m) 1.4800 (365m)
USD/CHF 0.9800 (USD 300m)
AUD/USD 0.7000 (AUD 351m)
USD/CAD 1.3900 (USD 628m)
EUR/JPY 129.00 (EUR 200m)
Upgrades:
DuPont (DD) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Bernstein
Alcoa (AA) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie
Barrick Gold (ABX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Sterne Agee CRT
Downgrades:
United Tech (UTX) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie
Other:
Microsoft (MSFT) initiated with a Outperform at BMO Capital Markets; target $64
Apple (AAPL) target lowered to $125 from $130 at Cowen
Apple (AAPL) target lowered to $146 from $160 at Canaccord Genuity
The Hellenic Statistical Authority released its preliminary industrial production data for Greece on Friday. Greek industrial production jumped 3.2% in November, after a 1.2% decline in October.
On a yearly basis, industrial production in Greece rose at an adjusted rate of 1.8% in November, after a 1.9% drop in October.
Production in the manufacturing sector increased at an annual rate of 1.1% in November, output in the mining and quarrying sector slid 1.3%, while electricity production climbed by 5.5%.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
00:30 Australia Retail Sales, M/M November 0.6% Revised From 0.5% 0.4% 0.4%
01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY December 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Preliminary) November 113.6 Revised From 113.3 116.6
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index (Preliminary) November 104.2 103.9 103.9
06:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate (non s.a.) December 3.4% 3.7% 3.7%
07:00 Germany Current Account November 22.9 Revised From 23.0 24.7
07:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) November 0.5% Revised From 0.2% 0.5% -0.3%
07:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) November 0.5% Revised From 0.0% 0.1%
07:00 Germany Trade Balance (non s.a.), bln November 22.3 Revised From 22.5 20.6
07:45 France Industrial Production, y/y November 2.3% 2.8%
07:45 France Industrial Production, m/m November 0.7% Revised From 0.5% -0.4% -0.9%
07:45 France Trade Balance, bln November -4.87 Revised From -4.58 -3.95 -4.63
08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) December -0.1% -0.3% -0.4%
08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) December -1.4% -1.2% -1.3%
09:30 United Kingdom Total Trade Balance November -3.51 Revised From -4.14 -3.17
The U.S. dollar traded mixed to higher against the most major currencies ahead of the release of the U.S. labour market data today. Analysts expect that U.S. unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 5.0% in December. The U.S. economy is expected to add 200,000 jobs in December, after adding 211,000 jobs in November.
Wholesale inventories in the U.S. are expected to decline 0.1% in November, after a 0.1% decrease in October.
The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the release of the mostly weaker-than-expected economic data from the Eurozone. Destatis released its industrial production data for Germany on Friday. German industrial production fell 0.3% in November, missing expectations for a 0.5% gain, after a 0.5% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.2% increase.
The output of capital goods decreased 3.3% in November, energy output rose 2.5%, and the production in the construction sector was up 1.6%, while the production of intermediate goods climbed 1.1%. The output of consumer goods jumped 1.9%.
German industrial production excluding energy and construction declined by 0.8% in November.
Germany's seasonally adjusted trade surplus decreased to €19.7 billion in November from 20.5 in October.
Exports rose at a seasonally and calendar-adjusted 0.4% in November, while imports climbed 1.6%.
On a yearly basis, German exports increased 7.7% in November, while imports rose by 5.3%.
Germany's current account surplus was at €24.7 billion in November, up from €22.9 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a surplus of €23.0 billion.
According to the French Customs, France's trade deficit narrowed to €4.63 billion in November from €4.87 billion in October, missing expectations for a decline to a deficit of €3.95 billion. Exports climbed 3.0% in November, while imports rose 2.0%.
The French statistical office Insee its industrial production figures on Friday. Industrial production in France declined 0.9% in November, missing expectations for a 0.4% decline, after a 0.7% rise in October.
The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the release of the U.K. trade data. The U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS) released trade data for the U.K. on Friday. The U.K. trade deficit in goods narrowed to £10.64 billion in November from £11.20 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a deficit of £11.83 billion.
The decline in deficit was driven by a drop in imports. Exports of goods dropped 1.3% in November, while imports slid 2.5%.
The total trade deficit, including services, narrowed to £3.17 billion in November from £3.51 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a deficit of £4.14 billion.
The Canadian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Canadian economic data. The unemployment rate in Canada is expected to remain unchanged at 7.1% in December.
Canada's economy is expected to add 10,000 jobs in December.
The Canadian building permits are expected to fall 3.0% in November, after a 9.1% rise in October.
The Swiss franc traded lower against the U.S. dollar. The Swiss Federal Statistics Office released its consumer inflation data on Friday. Switzerland's consumer price index fell 0.4% in December, missing expectations for a 0.3% fall, after a 0.1% decrease in November.
The decline was partly driven by lower prices for petroleum and food products.
On a yearly basis, Switzerland's consumer price index rose to -1.3% in December from -1.4% in November, missing forecasts for a 1.2% drop.
EUR/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.0858
GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.4568
USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
13:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) November 9.1% -3%
13:30 Canada Unemployment rate December 7.1% 7.1%
13:30 Canada Employment December -35.7 10
13:30 U.S. Average workweek December 34.5 34.5
13:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings December 0.2% 0.2%
13:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls December 211 200
13:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate December 5% 5%
15:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories November -0.1% -0.1%
20:00 U.S. Consumer Credit November 15.98 18.25
EUR/USD
Offers 1.0900 1.0930 1.0950 1.0965 1.0985 1.1000 1.1025 1.1050
Bids 1.0850 1.0830 1.0800 1.0780 1.0750 1.0720 1.0700 1.0680 1.0665 1.0650
GBP/USD
Offers 1.4625 1.4640 1.4665 1.4685 1.4700 1.4725-30 1.4750
Bids 1.4600 1.4580 1.4565 1.4550 1.4530 1.4500 1.4485 1.4465 1.4450
EUR/GBP
Offers 0.7480-85 0.7500 0.7520 0.7550 0.7575 0.7600
Bids 0.7420-25 0.7400 0.7380-85 0.7365 0.7350 0.7335 0.7320 0.7300
EUR/JPY
Offers 129.00 129.30 129.50 129.80 130.00 130.30 130.50 130.75 131.00
Bids 128.50 128.20 128.00 127.80 127.50 127.00 126.80 126.50
USD/JPY
Offers 118.50-55 118.80-85 119.00 119.30 119.60 119.80 120.00
Bids 118.00 117.80 117.50 117.25-30 117.00 116.85 116.65 116.50
AUD/USD
Offers 0.7055-60 0.7080 0.7100 0.7120-25 0.7150 0.7180 0.7200
Bids 0.7025-30 0.7000 0.6985 0.6950 0.6930 0.6900
Stock indices traded higher as the Chinese stock market stabilised. The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced on Thursday that it suspended circuit-breaker rules. The circuit-breaker rules intended to stop free-falling share prices and to calm markets.
Yesterday's trading session was halted after less than half an hour after opening as China's central continued to devaluate the yuan. It was the shortest trading day in the stock market's 25-year history.
Meanwhile, the economic data from Eurozone was mostly weaker than expected. Destatis released its industrial production data for Germany on Friday. German industrial production fell 0.3% in November, missing expectations for a 0.5% gain, after a 0.5% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.2% increase.
The output of capital goods decreased 3.3% in November, energy output rose 2.5%, and the production in the construction sector was up 1.6%, while the production of intermediate goods climbed 1.1%. The output of consumer goods jumped 1.9%.
German industrial production excluding energy and construction declined by 0.8% in November.
Germany's seasonally adjusted trade surplus decreased to €19.7 billion in November from 20.5 in October.
Exports rose at a seasonally and calendar-adjusted 0.4% in November, while imports climbed 1.6%.
On a yearly basis, German exports increased 7.7% in November, while imports rose by 5.3%.
Germany's current account surplus was at €24.7 billion in November, up from €22.9 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a surplus of €23.0 billion.
According to the French Customs, France's trade deficit narrowed to €4.63 billion in November from €4.87 billion in October, missing expectations for a decline to a deficit of €3.95 billion. Exports climbed 3.0% in November, while imports rose 2.0%.
The French statistical office Insee its industrial production figures on Friday. Industrial production in France declined 0.9% in November, missing expectations for a 0.4% decline, after a 0.7% rise in October.
The U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS) released trade data for the U.K. on Friday. The U.K. trade deficit in goods narrowed to £10.64 billion in November from £11.20 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a deficit of £11.83 billion.
The decline in deficit was driven by a drop in imports. Exports of goods dropped 1.3% in November, while imports slid 2.5%.
The total trade deficit, including services, narrowed to £3.17 billion in November from £3.51 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a deficit of £4.14 billion.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 5,985.84 +31.76 +0.53 %
DAX 10,025.77 +45.92 +0.46 %
CAC 40 4,403.41 -0.17 0.00%
The Swiss Federal Statistics Office released its consumer inflation data on Friday. Switzerland's consumer price index fell 0.4% in December, missing expectations for a 0.3% fall, after a 0.1% decrease in November.
The decline was partly driven by lower prices for petroleum and food products.
On a yearly basis, Switzerland's consumer price index rose to -1.3% in December from -1.4% in November, missing forecasts for a 1.2% drop.
The U.K. Office for National Statistics (ONS) released trade data for the U.K. on Friday. The U.K. trade deficit in goods narrowed to £10.64 billion in November from £11.20 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a deficit of £11.83 billion.
The decline in deficit was driven by a drop in imports. Exports of goods dropped 1.3% in November, while imports slid 2.5%.
The total trade deficit, including services, narrowed to £3.17 billion in November from £3.51 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a deficit of £4.14 billion.
According to the French Customs, France's trade deficit narrowed to €4.63 billion in November from €4.87 billion in October, missing expectations for a decline to a deficit of €3.95 billion. October's figure was revised down from a deficit of €4.58 billion.
Exports climbed 3.0% in November, while imports rose 2.0%.
On a yearly basis, exports rose 2.0% in November, while imports gained 2.1%.
USD/JPY 117.05 (USD 200m) 119.20 (330m)
EUR/USD 1.0800 (EUR 775m) 1.1000 (534m)
GBP/USD 1.4750 (GBP 240m) 1.4800 (365m)
USD/CHF 0.9800 (USD 300m)
AUD/USD 0.7000 (AUD 351m)
USD/CAD 1.3900 (USD 628m)
EUR/JPY 129.00 (EUR 200m)
The French statistical office Insee its industrial production figures on Friday. Industrial production in France declined 0.9% in November, missing expectations for a 0.4% decline, after a 0.7% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.5% increase.
Manufacturing output increased 0.4% in November, while construction output climbed 0.2%.
Output in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply and waste management dropped 6.7% in November.
On a yearly basis, the French industrial production climbed 2.8% in November, after a 2.3% gain in October.
Destatis released its industrial production data for Germany on Friday. German industrial production fell 0.3% in November, missing expectations for a 0.5% gain, after a 0.5% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.2% increase.
The output of capital goods decreased 3.3% in November, energy output rose 2.5%, and the production in the construction sector was up 1.6%, while the production of intermediate goods climbed 1.1%.
The output of consumer goods jumped 1.9%.
German industrial production excluding energy and construction declined by 0.8% in November.
Destatis released its trade data for Germany on Friday. Germany's seasonally adjusted trade surplus decreased to €19.7 billion in November from 20.5 in October.
Exports rose at a seasonally and calendar-adjusted 0.4% in November, while imports climbed 1.6%.
On a yearly basis, German exports increased 7.7% in November, while imports rose by 5.3%.
Germany's current account surplus was at €24.7 billion in November, up from €22.9 billion in October. October's figure was revised down from a surplus of €23.0 billion.
The Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs released its unemployment data for Switzerland on Friday. The Swiss unemployment rate remained at a seasonally adjusted 3.4% in December.
On a seasonally unadjusted basis, the unemployment rate in Switzerland increased to 3.7 in December from 3.4% in November, in line with expectations.
The number of unemployed people in Switzerland rose by 10,486 to 158,629 in December from a month earlier.
The youth unemployment rate was up to 3.7% in December from 3.6% in November.
Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans said in a speech on Thursday that the Fed should hike its interest rate twice this year as inflation remains very low.
"I am less optimistic about the inflation outlook than most of my colleagues. Given the persistently-low- inflation record of the past six years and given how slowly inflation evolves when it is at such low levels, it may be difficult to return inflation to target over the next two or three years," he said.
"From my perspective, the costs of raising the federal funds rate too quickly far exceed the costs of removing accommodation too slowly," Evans added.
Evans is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.
Billionaire George Soros said at an economic forum in Sri Lanka on Thursday that the global markets are facing a crisis, noting that China is a main risk factor for the global economy.
"China has a major adjustment problem. I would say it amounts to a crisis. When I look at the financial markets there is a serious challenge which reminds me of the crisis we had in 2008," he said.
Soros pointed out that the slowdown in the Chinese economy and the devaluation of the yuan weigh on the global economy.
According to data from the Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index, consumers' expectations for U.S. economy increased to 44.2 in in the week ended January 03 from 43.6 the prior week. It was the highest level since October 11.
The increase was driven by a more favourable assessment of the measure of views of the economy. The measure of views of the economy rose to 37.0 from 34.5.
The buying climate fell to 39.4 from 40.6.
The personal finances index increased to 56.2 from 55.6.
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1028 (5129)
$1.0978 (5421)
$1.0958 (2846)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.0859
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.0794 (9260)
$1.0747 (2896)
$1.0699 (4893)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 8 is 54936 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1100 (6696);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 8 is 78455 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0800 (9260);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.43 versus 1.31 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 7
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.4900 (519)
$1.4800 (589)
$1.4701 (552)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.4617
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.4597 (766)
$1.4499 (583)
$1.4400 (121)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 8 is 22604 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5100 (2007);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 8 is 19040 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5100 (3084);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.84 versus 0.90 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 7
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual
00:30 Australia Retail Sales, M/M November 0.6% Revised From 0.5% 0.4% 0.4%
01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY December 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Preliminary) November 113.6 Revised From 113.3 116.6
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index (Preliminary) November 104.2 103.9 103.9
06:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate (non s.a.) December 3.4% 3.7% 3.7%
07:00 Germany Current Account November 23.0 24.7
07:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) November 0.2% 0.5% -0.3%
07:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) November 0.0%
07:00 Germany Trade Balance (non s.a.), bln November 22.5 20.6
The U.S. dollar advanced against the yen after Chinese stocks rebounded. However some analysts are warning that the greenback may weaken if Shanghai stocks lose momentum again.
Higher oil prices persuaded investors to favor higher yields and move away from the safe-haven yen.
The Australian dollar rose as gains in Chinese stocks outweighed weak domestic data. The AiG Performance of Construction Index declined to 46.8 in December from 50.7 reported previously. Meanwhile retail sales rose by 4% in November in line with expectations. October reading was revised to 6% from 5%.
EUR/USD: the pair fell to $1.0862 in Asian trade
USD/JPY: the pair rose to Y118.42
GBP/USD: the pair slightly declined to $1.4610
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
07:45 France Industrial Production, y/y November 2.3%
07:45 France Industrial Production, m/m November 0.5% -0.4%
07:45 France Trade Balance, bln November -4.58 -3.95
08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) December -0.1% -0.3%
08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) December -1.4% -1.2%
09:30 United Kingdom Total Trade Balance November -4.14
13:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) November 9.1% -3%
13:30 Canada Unemployment rate December 7.1% 7.1%
13:30 Canada Employment December -35.7 10
13:30 U.S. Average workweek December 34.5 34.5
13:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings December 0.2% 0.2%
13:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls December 211 200
13:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate December 5% 5%
15:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories November -0.1% -0.1%
20:00 U.S. Consumer Credit November 15.98 18.25
West Texas Intermediate futures for February delivery rebounded to $33.97 (+2.10%), while Brent crude rose to $34.37 (+1.84%) on stabilization in Chinese stock markets. Investors panicked after the People's Bank of China set the exchange rate of the national currency lower; however today the PBOC set the midpoint rate of the yuan higher. In the previous session crude prices fell to 12-year lows and today's gains were limited by persistent supply glut.
Chinese stocks rose today, but this week's turmoil intensified concerns over health of the economy of the second-biggest oil consumer and potential demand growth.
Gold slid to $1,103.10 (-0.42%) retreating from a nine-week high after the People's Bank of China set the midpoint rate of the yuan higher. This move supported Asian stocks and reduced demand for bullion. Some analysts say that now volatility on Chinese stock markets drives gold.
Assets of SPDR Gold Trust, world's biggest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.65% to 645.13 tonnes on Thursday, the first gain in three weeks.
U.S. stock indices dropped on Thursday on concerns over strength of the Chinese economy.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 392.14 points, or 2.3%, to 16,514.37. The S&P 500 plunged 47.18 points, or 2.4%, to 1,943.08. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 146.34 points, or 3%, to 4,689.43.
The U.S. Department of Labor reported that the number of initial unemployment claims declined by 10,000 to 277,000 in the week ending January 2 pointing to positive progress in the labor market. However economists had expected a more significant decline to 275,000.
This morning in Asia Hong Kong Hang Seng gained 1.06%, or 215.83, to 20,549.17. China Shanghai Composite Index rose 2.74%, or 85.77, to 3,210.77. The Nikkei declined 0.06%, or 9.96, to 17,757.38.
Asian stock indices outside Japan advanced. Chinese stocks rose after yesterday's plunge. Today Chinese authorities suspended the recently implemented tool, which automatically stops trading once stocks drop 5-7%. Experts explained that the system encouraged investors to sell stocks after declines reached 5%.
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 33.29 +0.06%
Gold 1,108.80 +0.09%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
HANG SENG 20,385.48 -595.33 -2.84%
S&P/ASX 200 5,010.34 -112.79 -2.20%
TOPIX 1,457.94 -30.90 -2.08%
SHANGHAI COMP 3,115.9 -245.94 -7.32%
FTSE 100 5,954.08 -119.30 -2.0 %
CAC 40 4,403.58 -76.89 -1.7 %
Xetra DAX 9,979.85 -234.17 -2.3 %
S&P 500 1,943.09 -47.17 -2.4 %
NASDAQ Composite 4,689.43 -146.34 -3.0 %
Dow Jones Industrial Average 16,514.1 -392.41 -2.3 %
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,0931 +1,38%
GBP/USD $1,4615 -0,09%
USD/CHF Chf0,9931 -1,42%
USD/JPY Y117,66 -0,68%
EUR/JPY Y128,60 +0,69%
GBP/JPY Y171,97 -0,77%
AUD/USD $0,7009 -0,87%
NZD/USD $0,6624 -0,21%
USD/CAD C$1,4113 +0,28%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
00:30 Australia Retail Sales, M/M November 0.5% 0.4%
01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY December 0.7%
02:00 China Trade Balance, bln December 54.1
05:00 Japan Coincident Index (Preliminary) November 113.3
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index (Preliminary) November 104.2
06:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate (non s.a.) December 3.4% 3.7%
07:00 Germany Current Account November 23.0
07:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) November 0.2% 0.5%
07:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) November 0.0%
07:00 Germany Trade Balance (non s.a.), bln November 22.5
07:45 France Industrial Production, y/y November 2.3%
07:45 France Industrial Production, m/m November 0.5% -0.4%
07:45 France Trade Balance, bln November -4.58 -3.95
08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) December -0.1% -0.3%
08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) December -1.4% -1.2%
09:30 United Kingdom Total Trade Balance November -4.14
13:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) November 9.1% -3%
13:30 Canada Unemployment rate December 7.1% 7.1%
13:30 Canada Employment December -35.7 10
13:30 U.S. Average workweek December 34.5 34.5
13:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings December 0.2% 0.2%
13:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls December 211 200
13:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate December 5% 5%
15:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories November -0.1% -0.1%
20:00 U.S. Consumer Credit November 15.98 18.25