The Standard & Poor's 500 Index capped its worst-ever four-day start to a year as turmoil in China spread around the world and billionaire George Soros warned that a larger crisis may be brewing.
The U.S. equities benchmark ended the first four days of 2016 lower by 4.9 percent, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average has erased more than 900 points so far this year. Selling in global equities began in China, where shares fell 7 percent after the central bank weakened the yuan an eighth day. Crude settled at a 12-year low, and copper dipped below $2 for the first time since 2009. The yen reached a four-month high and gold surged on haven demand.
Fresh concern that China's slowdown will hamper global growth has wiped $2.5 trillion off the value of global equities this year, as the nation's tolerance for a weaker currency is viewed as evidence policy makers are struggling to revive an economy that's the world's biggest user of resources. U.S. crude's tumble toward $30 a barrel heightened fears of disinflation and fueled concern that junk-rated energy producers won't be able to stay solvent.
Concern briefly eased after the China Securities Regulatory Commission announced the suspension of a new stock circuit-breaker that forced local exchanges to shut for the second day this week before the move gave way to anxiety that policy makers are struggling with how to contain the months-long turmoil in its financial markets.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slid 2.4 percent at 4 p.m in New York. The index is down 4.9 percent this year, its worst start in data going back to 1928. The MSCI All-Country World Index fell for a fourth day, bringing its slide this year to 5.2 percent.
China's devaluation revived the angst that sent financial markets into turmoil last summer, driving U.S. stocks to three-month lows Wednesday in a selloff led by commodity producers. Comments by Soros exacerbated market jitters after he told an economic forum in Sri Lanka today that global markets are facing a crisis and investors need to be very cautious.
The US dollar weakened against other major currencies after data showed that the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits fell last week, less than expected, while concerns over the outlook for the Chinese economy once again contributed to the strengthening of demand for traditional safe-haven currency such as the yen and Swiss franc.
US Department of Labor said the number of Americans who first applied for unemployment benefits decreased last week, while pointing to a gradual improvement in the labor market.
According to the report, in the week ended Jan. 2, the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits fell by 10,000, to a level of 277,000 (seasonally adjusted). Economists, however, expected to decline to 275 000. The figures for the previous week, I have not been revised. The Labor Department said that there were no special factors influencing the latest weekly data.
The dollar came under pressure after the minutes of the December Fed meeting showed that some of the officials expressed concern that inflation may remain at a consistently low level, despite the decision to raise interest rates.
The pound fell against the dollar by updating at least 2015, which was established on April 13 and reached its lowest level since June 11, 2010. The pressure on the currency has continued collapse in global stock markets and the decline in oil prices to a 12-year low. Little support was provided data on the housing market in Britain. The Halifax Bank of Scotland reported that house prices increased significantly at the end of December, while exceeding the forecasts of experts. According to the data, housing prices rose 1.7 percent in December after a zero change in November (revised from -0.2 per cent). Economists had forecast growth of only 0.5 percent. On an annual basis, prices in the period from October to December increased by 9.5 percent compared with an increase of 9 percent over the previous three months (in November). It was expected that the growth rate will remain unchanged. "The housing market remains a significant difference between supply and demand. The latest data pointed to a further reduction in the number of homes available for sale, - said Martin Ellis, economist at Halifax. - This situation is unlikely to change significantly in the short term, this should not expect continued growth housing prices. "
In general, the pound remains bearish bias after the Federal Reserve raised its rate, as well as the Bank of England rumors that the regulator did not dare to, and an important step in 2016. In addition, investors are waiting for a report on employment in the United States, scheduled for Friday, which will help to assess the Fed's intention to continue the gradual tightening of monetary policy. It is expected that the number of people employed in non-agricultural sector increased by 200 thousand. In December, after increasing by 211 thousand. If the figures exceed the forecasts, the fall of GBP / USD pair may accelerate.
The euro rose substantially against the dollar, recouping all the ground lost since the beginning of the week. Experts point to risk aversion, which has intensified because of another collapse of world stock markets, the euro as the currency of funding was the winner. The focus of macroeconomic reports were also in the euro area, which were mixed. A report from the European Commission showed economic sentiment in the euro zone rose to 106.8 points in December from 106.1 points. Economists had expected the figure will not change. Business climate index, which points to the phase of the economic cycle, improved to 0.41 from 0.36. Experts predicted to rise to 0.40. The index of consumer sentiment rose to -5.7 from -5.9, which coincided with the forecasts of experts.
Meanwhile, data from Eurostat showed that at the end of November the unemployment rate in the euro area decreased to 10.5% from 10.6% in October (revised from 10.7%). The latter value was the lowest since October 2011. Experts expect that the unemployment rate will be 10.7%.
In addition, Eurostat reported that the results of November retail sales (seasonally adjusted) fell by 0.3% in the euro area and increased by 0.2% among the 28 EU countries. Recall that in October there was a decrease in sales of 0.2% in the eurozone and a zero change in the EU. It was expected that sales in the euro zone will grow by 0.2%. In annual terms, the index of retail sales rose by 1.4% in the euro area and by 2.6% in the EU. It was predicted that sales in the euro zone will grow by 2.0% after rising 2.4% in October (revised from 2.5%).
The Japanese yen has risen more than 100 pips against the dollar, entrenched below Y118.00, which was caused by a new wave of risk aversion and increased demand for safe-haven assets. The yen has risen on the news about another devaluation of the yuan and the collapse of the Asian markets, which were followed by European markets. Recall, China's stock market half an hour after the opening exchanges closed because of the collapse of quotations by more than 7%. In addition, China is now sharply lowered rate of the yuan against the dollar - 0.51%, which caused further concern among market participants. Central Bank set the official exchange rate of the local currency at the level of 6.5646 yuan per dollar, which is the lowest level since March 2011. Yesterday's rate fixing was 6.5314 yuan per dollar, and closing - 6.555 yuan per dollar.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Stephen Poloz said in a speech on Thursday that the weak Canadian dollar helps the Canadian economy to adjust to low oil prices.
"The depreciation of our currency is a natural part of the process," he noted.
"Movements in exchange rates are helping economies, including ours, make the adjustments that must take place," Poloz added.
Poloz pointed out that the central bank's monetary policy is focussed on the inflation target.
"The Bank of Canada will continue to run an independent monetary policy, anchored by our inflation target, and we will use our tools to manage risks along the way," the BoC president said.
Major U.S. stocks lower on Thursday, as market volatility in China and a relentless slide in oil prices unnerved investors, already jittery after a shaky start to the year. China allowed the biggest fall in the yuan in five months, and Shanghai stocks were halted for the second time this week after another brutal selloff tripped a new circuit breaker.
Almost all Dow stocks in negative area (28 of 30). Top looser - The Boeing Company (BA, -2,45%). Top gainer - Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT, +1.96%).
All S&P sectors also in negative area. Top looser - Basic Materials (-1,7%).
At the moment:
Dow 16616.00 -222.00 -1.32%
S&P 500 1959.00 -27.00 -1.36%
Nasdaq 100 4371.00 -75.75 -1.70%
Oil 33.47 -0.50 -1.47%
Gold 1106.30 +14.40 +1.32%
U.S. 10yr 2.18 +0.00
The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) released its Quarterly Economic Survey for the U.K. on Thursday. The BCC said that the most key balances were weaker in Q4 than in Q3, noting that the UK economy is facing challenges, despite the growth.
"Coming after relatively weak figures in our Q3 survey, the falling balances in Q4 highlight the risk that the pace of growth may slow further in the short term. The results also underscore the serious obstacles that the UK will face when trying to rebalance the economy towards net exports. While worsening global circumstances are the main impediment, the domestic drive towards boosting net exports is also inadequate," David Kern, Chief Economist of the British Chambers of Commerce, said.
Polish equity market closed lower on Thursday. The broad market measure, the WIG Index, fell by 2.22%. All sectors in the WIG Index were down. Materials (-5.93%) fared the worst, followed by utilities (-3.77%) and IT sector (-2.71%).
The large-cap stocks' measure, the WIG30 Index, dropped by 2.52%. Property developer GTC (WSE: GTC) and oil refiner PKN ORLEN (WSE: PKN) were the only gainers among the WIG30 Index components, advancing 2.1% and 0.11% respectively. At the same time, copper producer KGHM (WSE: KGH) recorded the biggest daily decline, slumping 6.41% on concerns over future demand for copper from China, the world's largest consumer of the metal. Other most prominent losers were retailers CCC (WSE: CCC) and LPP (WSE: LPP), videogame developer CD PROJEKT (WSE: CDR) and genco PGE (WSE: PGE), tumbling by 4.52%-5.76%.
Stock indices traded lower on concerns over the slowdown in the Chinese economy. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) continued to devaluate the yuan. The central bank set the yuan midpoint at 6.5646, down 0.5% from the day before. It was the lowest level since March 2011. Trading was halted after stocks plunged.
Falling oil prices also weighed on the stock markets.
Meanwhile, the economic data from Eurozone was mixed. The European Commission released its economic sentiment index for the Eurozone on Thursday. The index increased to 106.8 in December from 106.1 in November. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 106.1.
The increase was driven by higher confidence in industry.
The industrial confidence index climbed to -2.0 in December from -3.2 in November, exceeding expectations for a gain to -2.9.
The final consumer confidence index was up to -5.7 in December from -5.9 in November, in line with expectations.
The business climate index increased to 0.41 in December from 0.36 in November. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 0.40.
Eurostat released its unemployment data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Eurozone's unemployment rate declined to 10.5% in November from 10.6% in October. It was the lowest reading since October 2011. October's figure was revised down from 10.7%. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to rise to 10.7%.
Destatis released its retail sales for Germany on Thursday. German adjusted retail sales rose 0.2% in November, missing forecasts of a 0.5% gain, after a 0.1% fall in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.4% drop.
On a yearly basis, German unadjusted retail sales jumped 2.3% in November, missing expectations for a 2.4% gain, after a 2.1% rise in October.
German seasonal adjusted factory orders climbed 1.5% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% increase, after a 1.7% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.8% gain.
The rise was driven by an increase in foreign and domestic orders. Foreign orders increased by 0.6% in November, while domestic orders rose by 2.6%.
Halifax released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. House prices in the U.K. jumped 1.7% in December, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% gain, after a flat reading in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.2% decrease.
On a yearly basis, house prices climbed 9.5% in the three months to December, after a 9.0% increase in the three months to November. Analysts had expected the index to rise 9.0%.
"There remains, however, a substantial gap between demand and supply with the latest figures showing a further decline in the number of properties available for sale. This situation is unlikely to change significantly in the short-term, resulting in continuing upward pressure on prices," Halifax's housing economist Martin Ellis said.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 5,954.08 -119.30 -1.96 %
DAX 9,979.85 -234.17 -2.29 %
CAC 40 4,403.58 -76.89 -1.72 %
Oil prices declined to 10-year lows as Chinese stocks dropped. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) continued to devaluate the yuan. The central bank set the yuan midpoint at 6.5646, down 0.5% from the day before. It was the lowest level since March 2011, and the highest cut since August 2015. Trading was halted after stocks plunged. It was the shortest trading day in the stock market's 25-year history.
Concerns over the global oil oversupply also weighed oil prices. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday, U.S. crude inventories slid by 5.1 million barrels to 482.3 million in the week to January 01.
Analysts had expected U.S. crude oil inventories to decline by 1.5 million barrels.
Gasoline inventories increased by 10.6 million barrels, according to the EIA.
Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, climbed by 917,000 barrels.
WTI crude oil for February delivery declined to $32.10 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent crude oil for February fell to $32.16 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
Gold price rose due to increasing demand for safe-haven assets. Geopolitical tensions and concerns over slowdown in the Chinese economy supported gold price. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) continued to devaluate the yuan. The central bank set the yuan midpoint at 6.5646, down 0.5% from the day before. It was the lowest level since March 2011. Trading was halted after stocks plunged.
February futures for gold on the COMEX today rose to 1107.40 dollars per ounce.
According to data released by the People's Bank of China (PBoC) on Thursday, China's foreign-exchange reserves declined by $107.9 billion to $3.33 trillion in December, after a drop by $87.2 billion in November. The latest fall was the biggest monthly decline on record.
China's foreign exchange reserves plunged $512.66 billion in 2015. It was the biggest annual fall on record.
The People's Bank of China (PBoC) on Thursday added 70 billion yuan to the financial system.
The central bank added 130 billion yuan to the financial system on Tuesday. It was the biggest injection since September 2015.
The People's Bank of China (PBoC) continued to devaluate the yuan. The central bank set the yuan midpoint at 6.5646, down 0.5% from the day before. It was the lowest level since March 2011, and the highest cut since August 2015.
The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced on Thursday that it suspended circuit-breaker rules. The circuit-breaker rules intended to stop free-falling share prices and to calm markets.
Today's trading session was halted after less than half an hour after opening as China's central continued to devaluate the yuan. It was the shortest trading day in the stock market's 25-year history.
China's securities regulator today announced new rules to restrict selling by big shareholders. These rules will take effect on January 9.
Big shareholders can't sell more than 1% of a listed company's share capital every three months, and they have to disclose their plans 15 days in advance.
Canada's seasonally adjusted Ivey purchasing managers' index plunged to 49.9 in December from 63.6 in November. Analysts had expected the index to decline to 56.7.
A reading above 50 indicates a rise in the pace of activity, below 50 indicates a contraction in the pace of activity.
The supplier deliveries index was up to 54.2 in December from 53.4 in November, while employment index fell to 51.8 from 53.8.
The prices index was decreased to 54.8 in December from 55.2 in November, while inventories slid to 41.7 from 58.4.
Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker said in a speech on Thursday that the U.S. inflation is likely to return to 2% target over the near term.
"After the price of oil bottoms out, I would expect to see headline inflation move significantly higher. And after the value of the dollar ultimately tops out, core inflation should move back toward 2 percent," he said.
Lacker noted that the Fed should continue to hike its interest rate.
"While there is uncertainty about the pace at which monetary policy rates will rise, the case for an upward adjustment in rates should be clear," Richmond Fed president said.
Lacker is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.
The Hellenic Statistical Authority released its unemployment data on Thursday. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Greece declined to 24.5% in October from 24.6% in September. August's figure was revised up from 24.6%.
The number of unemployed fell by 8,289 persons compared with September 2015.
The youth unemployment rate was 48.6% in October.
U.S. stock-index futures sank.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 17,767.34 -423.98 -2.33%
Hang Seng 20,333.34 -647.47 -3.09%
Shanghai Composite 3,115.9 -245.94 -7.32%
FTSE 5,909.35 -164.03 -2.70%
CAC 4,364.02 -116.45 -2.60%
DAX 9,876.57 -337.45 -3.30%
Crude oil $32.71 (-3.71%)
Gold $1102.80 (+1.00%)
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 8.15 | 2.64% | 15.7K |
E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co | DD | 63.38 | 0.00% | 0.4K |
International Paper Company | IP | 37.39 | 0.00% | 32.6K |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 44.87 | -1.43% | 2.6K |
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC. | HON | 100.75 | -1.46% | 48.3K |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 62.61 | -1.48% | 19.2K |
AT&T Inc | T | 33.54 | -1.53% | 84.8K |
Deere & Company, NYSE | DE | 74.45 | -1.60% | 0.5K |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 31.10 | -1.61% | 2.4K |
United Technologies Corp | UTX | 91.62 | -1.61% | 2.7K |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 116.40 | -1.69% | 8.0K |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 41.60 | -1.70% | 10.5K |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 98.65 | -1.73% | 7.7K |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 76.50 | -1.75% | 9.7K |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 132.70 | -1.83% | 4.8K |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 58.05 | -1.89% | 2.5K |
General Electric Co | GE | 29.67 | -1.92% | 142.8K |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 620.50 | -1.92% | 43.0K |
UnitedHealth Group Inc | UNH | 113.25 | -1.94% | 0.4K |
Nike | NKE | 60.29 | -1.95% | 8.7K |
Boeing Co | BA | 136.00 | -2.04% | 2.0K |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 166.34 | -2.06% | 9.2K |
3M Co | MMM | 141.50 | -2.07% | 1.3K |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 20.93 | -2.15% | 48.8K |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 727.50 | -2.17% | 12.2K |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 100.73 | -2.18% | 99.8K |
American Express Co | AXP | 63.00 | -2.20% | 1.0K |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 75.75 | -2.22% | 27.0K |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 126.20 | -2.23% | 2.5K |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 56.80 | -2.29% | 18.1K |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 64.70 | -2.30% | 7.1K |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 98.05 | -2.30% | 15.0K |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 51.21 | -2.31% | 1.7K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 84.05 | -2.35% | 46.2K |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 30.50 | -2.46% | 7.5K |
Visa | V | 73.40 | -2.48% | 5.6K |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 98.20 | -2.48% | 721.7K |
Intel Corp | INTC | 32.25 | -2.51% | 53.5K |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 61.23 | -2.52% | 13.8K |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 48.84 | -2.55% | 22.9K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 25.30 | -2.73% | 22.2K |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 12.75 | -2.75% | 129.0K |
FedEx Corporation, NYSE | FDX | 136.89 | -2.76% | 0.5K |
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP | AIG | 58.07 | -2.81% | 8.4K |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 14.54 | -2.87% | 1.9K |
Hewlett-Packard Co. | HPQ | 10.95 | -3.01% | 29.9K |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 212.30 | -3.08% | 10.1K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 52.38 | -3.09% | 53.7K |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 30.95 | -3.76% | 23.1K |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 8.28 | -3.83% | 359.3K |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 5.90 | -4.38% | 331.9K |
Upgrades:
Downgrades:
HP Inc. (HPQ) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo
Other:
Apple (AAPL) target lowered to $130 from $140 at RBC Capital Mkts
USDJPY 117.30 (USD270m) 117.60-65 (276m) 118.00 (274m) 119.00 (USD 2.55bln)
EURUSD 1.0650 (EUR 792m) 1.0715-20 (923m) 1.0750(955m) 1.0770-80(621m), 1.0800 (EUR 781m) 1.0815-25 (558m) 1.0850 (831m) 1.0880-85 (584m) 1.0900 (739m) 1.0950 (544m)
GBPUSD 1.4575 (GBP 163m) 1.4600 (GBP 903m) 1.4800 (596m)
USD/CAD 1.4000 (USD 276m) 1.4025 (280m)
AUD/USD 0.7000 (AUD 397m) 0.7030-35 (230m) 0.7100 (259m) 0.7300 (224m)
EUR/CHF 1.0830 (EUR 174m)
AUD/JPY: 85.00 (AUD 345m)
The U.S. Labor Department released its jobless claims figures on Thursday. The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending January 02 in the U.S. declined by 10,000 to 277,000 from 287,000 in the previous week. Analysts had expected jobless claims to fall to 275,000.
Jobless claims remained below 300,000 the 44th straight week. This threshold is associated with the strengthening of the labour market.
Continuing jobless claims increased by 25,000 to 2,230,000 in the week ended December 26.
The Italian statistical office Istat released its unemployment data on Thursday. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate decreased to 11.3% in November from 11.5% in October. It was the lowest level since November 2012.
The number of unemployed people was 2.871 million in November, down by 1.6% from the month before.
The youth unemployment rate fell to 38.1% in November from 39.3% in October.
The employment rate increased to 56.4% in November from 56.3% in October.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m November 3.3% Revised From 3.9% -3% -12.7%
00:30 Australia Trade Balance November -3.25 Revised From -3.30 -3.1 -2.90
07:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) November 1.7% Revised From 1.8% 0.1% 1.5%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y November 2.1% 2.4% 2.3%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted November -0.1% Revised From -0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index December 0.0% Revised From -0.2% 0.5% 1.7%
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y December 9% 9% 9.5%
10:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator December 0.36 0.4 0.41
10:00 Eurozone Economic sentiment index December 106.1 106.1 106.8
10:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence December -3.2 -2.9 -2
10:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Finally) December -5.9 -5.7 -5.7
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) November -0.2% Revised From -0.1% 0.2% -0.3%
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) November 2.4% Revised From 2.5% 2% 1.4%
10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate November 10.6% Revised From 10.7% 10.7% 10.5%
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the release of the U.S. initial jobless claims data today. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. is expected to decline by 12,000 to 275,000 last week.
The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the release of the mixed economic data from the Eurozone. The European Commission released its economic sentiment index for the Eurozone on Thursday. The index increased to 106.8 in December from 106.1 in November. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 106.1.
The increase was driven by higher confidence in industry.
The industrial confidence index climbed to -2.0 in December from -3.2 in November, exceeding expectations for a gain to -2.9.
The final consumer confidence index was up to -5.7 in December from -5.9 in November, in line with expectations.
The business climate index increased to 0.41 in December from 0.36 in November. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 0.40.
Eurostat released its unemployment data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Eurozone's unemployment rate declined to 10.5% in November from 10.6% in October. It was the lowest reading since October 2011. October's figure was revised down from 10.7%. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to rise to 10.7%.
Destatis released its retail sales for Germany on Thursday. German adjusted retail sales rose 0.2% in November, missing forecasts of a 0.5% gain, after a 0.1% fall in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.4% drop.
On a yearly basis, German unadjusted retail sales jumped 2.3% in November, missing expectations for a 2.4% gain, after a 2.1% rise in October.
German seasonal adjusted factory orders climbed 1.5% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% increase, after a 1.7% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.8% gain.
The rise was driven by an increase in foreign and domestic orders. Foreign orders increased by 0.6% in November, while domestic orders rose by 2.6%.
The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar. Halifax released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. House prices in the U.K. jumped 1.7% in December, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% gain, after a flat reading in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.2% decrease.
On a yearly basis, house prices climbed 9.5% in the three months to December, after a 9.0% increase in the three months to November. Analysts had expected the index to rise 9.0%.
"There remains, however, a substantial gap between demand and supply with the latest figures showing a further decline in the number of properties available for sale. This situation is unlikely to change significantly in the short-term, resulting in continuing upward pressure on prices," Halifax's housing economist Martin Ellis said.
The Canadian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Canadian economic data. Canada's seasonally adjusted Ivey purchasing managers' index is expected to drop to 56.7 in December from 63.6 in November.
The Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz is expected to speak at 13:25 GMT.
EUR/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.0874
GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.4532
USD/JPY: the currency pair decreased to Y117.32
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
13:25 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks
13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims December 2198 2193
13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims January 287 275
15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index December 63.6 56.7
EUR/USD
Offers 1.0825-30 1.0850 1.0865 1.0880 1.0900 1.0930
Bids 1.0780 1.0750 1.0720 1.0700 1.0680 1.0665 1.0650 1.0630 1.0600
GBP/USD
Offers 1.4600 1.4620-25 1.4640 1.4665 1.4685 1.4700 1.4725-30 1.4750
Bids 1.4580 1.4565 1.4550 1.4530 1.4500 1.4485 1.4465 1.4450
EUR/GBP
Offers 0.7400-05 0.7420 0.7435 0.7450 0.7475-80 0.7500
Bids 0.7380-85 0.7365 0.7350 0.7335 0.7320 0.7300 0.7275-80 0.7250
EUR/JPY
Offers 127.30 127.50 127.75 128.00 128.20 128.50 128.75 129.00
Bids 126.80 126.50 126.30 126.00 125.85 125.50
USD/JPY
Offers 118.00 118.20 118.35-40 118.80-85 119.00 119.30 119.60
Bids 117.50 117.25-30 117.00
AUD/USD
Offers 0.7040-45 0.7060 0.7085 0.7100 0.7120-25 0.7150
Bids 0.7000 0.6985 0.6950 0.6930 0.6900
Stock indices traded lower on concerns over the slowdown in the Chinese economy. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) continued to devaluate the yuan. The central bank set the yuan midpoint at 6.5646, down 0.5% from the day before. It was the lowest level since March 2011. Trading was halted after stocks plunged.
Falling oil prices also weighed on the stock markets.
Meanwhile, the economic data from Eurozone was mixed. The European Commission released its economic sentiment index for the Eurozone on Thursday. The index increased to 106.8 in December from 106.1 in November. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 106.1.
The increase was driven by higher confidence in industry.
The industrial confidence index climbed to -2.0 in December from -3.2 in November, exceeding expectations for a gain to -2.9.
The final consumer confidence index was up to -5.7 in December from -5.9 in November, in line with expectations.
The business climate index increased to 0.41 in December from 0.36 in November. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 0.40.
Eurostat released its unemployment data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Eurozone's unemployment rate declined to 10.5% in November from 10.6% in October. It was the lowest reading since October 2011. October's figure was revised down from 10.7%. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to rise to 10.7%.
Destatis released its retail sales for Germany on Thursday. German adjusted retail sales rose 0.2% in November, missing forecasts of a 0.5% gain, after a 0.1% fall in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.4% drop.
On a yearly basis, German unadjusted retail sales jumped 2.3% in November, missing expectations for a 2.4% gain, after a 2.1% rise in October.
German seasonal adjusted factory orders climbed 1.5% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% increase, after a 1.7% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.8% gain.
The rise was driven by an increase in foreign and domestic orders. Foreign orders increased by 0.6% in November, while domestic orders rose by 2.6%.
Halifax released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. House prices in the U.K. jumped 1.7% in December, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% gain, after a flat reading in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.2% decrease.
On a yearly basis, house prices climbed 9.5% in the three months to December, after a 9.0% increase in the three months to November. Analysts had expected the index to rise 9.0%.
"There remains, however, a substantial gap between demand and supply with the latest figures showing a further decline in the number of properties available for sale. This situation is unlikely to change significantly in the short-term, resulting in continuing upward pressure on prices," Halifax's housing economist Martin Ellis said.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 5,909.61 -163.77 -2.70 %
DAX 9,842.79 -371.23 -3.63 %
CAC 40 4,353.58 -126.89 -2.83 %
Destatis released its factory orders data for Germany on Thursday. German seasonal adjusted factory orders climbed 1.5% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% increase, after a 1.7% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.8% gain.
The rise was driven by an increase in foreign and domestic orders. Foreign orders increased by 0.6% in November, while domestic orders rose by 2.6%.
New orders from the Eurozone declined 0.5% in November, while orders from other countries climbed 1.4%.
Orders of the intermediate goods increased by 4.8% in November, capital goods orders were down 0.1%, while consumer goods orders dropped 2.4%.
Destatis released its retail sales for Germany on Thursday. German adjusted retail sales rose 0.2% in November, missing forecasts of a 0.5% gain, after a 0.1% fall in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.4% drop.
On a yearly basis, German unadjusted retail sales jumped 2.3% in November, missing expectations for a 2.4% gain, after a 2.1% rise in October.
Sales of non-food products increased at an annual rate of 2.3% in November, while sales of food, beverages and tobacco products climbed by 2.4%.
Halifax released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. House prices in the U.K. jumped 1.7% in December, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% gain, after a flat reading in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.2% decrease.
On a yearly basis, house prices climbed 9.5% in the three months to December, after a 9.0% increase in the three months to November. Analysts had expected the index to rise 9.0%.
"There remains, however, a substantial gap between demand and supply with the latest figures showing a further decline in the number of properties available for sale. This situation is unlikely to change significantly in the short-term, resulting in continuing upward pressure on prices," Halifax's housing economist Martin Ellis said.
The European Commission released its economic sentiment index for the Eurozone on Thursday. The index increased to 106.8 in December from 106.1 in November. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 106.1.
The increase was driven by higher confidence in industry.
The industrial confidence index climbed to -2.0 in December from -3.2 in November, exceeding expectations for a gain to -2.9.
The final consumer confidence index was up to -5.7 in December from -5.9 in November, in line with expectations.
The business climate index increased to 0.41 in December from 0.36 in November. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 0.40.
Eurostat released its unemployment data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Eurozone's unemployment rate declined to 10.5% in November from 10.6% in October. It was the lowest reading since October 2011.
October's figure was revised down from 10.7%.
Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to rise to 10.7%.
There were 16.924 million unemployed in the Eurozone in November, down by 130.000 from October.
The lowest unemployment rate in the Eurozone in November was recorded in Germany (4.5%) and Malta (5.1%), and the highest in Greece (24.6% in September 2015) and Spain (21.4%).
The youth unemployment rate was 22.5% in the Eurozone in November, compared to 23.2% in October a year ago.
Eurostat released its retail sales data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Retail sales in the Eurozone fell 0.3% in November, missing expectations for a 0.2% rise, after a 0.2% decline in October. October's figure was revised down from a 0.1% fall.
The decline was mainly driven by lower non-food sales and automotive fuel sales. Non-food sales fell 0.4% in November, while automotive fuel sales declined 0.7%.
Food, drinks and tobacco sales slid 0.1% in November.
On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone climbed 1.4% in November, missing forecasts of a 2.0% gain, after a 2.4% increase in October. October's figure was revised down from a 2.5% gain.
The annual rise was driven by non-food sales, gasoline sales, and food, drinks and tobacco sales.
Non-food sales gained 1.8% year-on-year in November, gasoline sales increased 1.8%, while food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 0.8%.
USD/JPY 117.30 (USD270m) 117.60-65 (276m) 118.00 (274m) 119.00 (USD 2.55bln)
EUR/USD 1.0650 (EUR 792m) 1.0715-20 (923m) 1.0750(955m) 1.0770-80(621m), 1.0800 (EUR 781m) 1.0815-25 (558m) 1.0850 (831m) 1.0880-85 (584m) 1.0900 (739m) 1.0950 (544m)
GBP/USD 1.4575 (GBP 163m) 1.4600 (GBP 903m) 1.4800 (596m)
USD/CAD 1.4000 (USD 276m) 1.4025 (280m)
AUD/USD 0.7000 (AUD 397m) 0.7030-35 (230m) 0.7100 (259m) 0.7300 (224m)
EUR/CHF 1.0830 (EUR 174m)
AUD/JPY 85.00 (AUD 345m)
The Fed released its December monetary policy meeting minutes on Wednesday. The Fed raised its interest rate in December. Fed officials expressed concerns about low inflation in the U.S., saying that they "would carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal".
Fed officials said that labour market continued to improve, noting that "underutilization of labour resources has diminished appreciably since early this year".
According to the minutes, the U.S. economy is expected to grow moderately, while the labour market is expected to continue to improve.
The minutes showed that further interest rate hikes will depend on the labour market and inflation data.
Fed officials pointed out that the downside risks to U.S. economy from global economic and financial developments diminished since late summer.
Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said in an interview with CNBC on Wednesday that the Fed is likely to raise its interest rate faster than expected by markets. He said that market expectations of the two interest rate hikes in 2016 are "too low".
Fischer pointed out that the Fed does not know how many interest rate hikes there will be this year.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics released its trade data on Thursday. Australia's trade deficit narrowed to A$2.90 billion in November from A$3.25 billion in October, exceeding expectations for a decline to a deficit of A$3.10 billion. October's figure was revised up from a deficit of A$3.30 billion.
Exports increased by 1.0% in November, while imports fell 1.0%.
Exports were driven by a rise in rural goods exports.
The World Bank on Wednesday cut its global economic growth forecast for 2016 and 2017 due to weak growth in major emerging economies.
The World Bank expects that the global economy would grow 2.9% in 2016, down from its June forecast of 3.3%. 2017 global growth was downgraded to 3.1%, down from its June forecast of 3.2%.
"This outlook is expected to be buttressed by recovery in major high-income economies, stabilizing commodity prices, and a continuation of low interest rates. All this does not rule out the fact that there is a low-probability risk of disorderly slowdown in major emerging markets, as U.S. interest rates rise after a long break and the US dollar strengthens, and as a result of geopolitical concerns," World Bank Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Kaushik Basu said in the report.
The global economy was estimated to expand 2.4% in 2015.
China's economy is expected to expand 6.7% in 2016 (6.9% in 2015), down from its June forecast of 7.0%, and 6.5% in 2017, down from its June forecast of 6.9%.
Growth in the U.S. is expected to expand 2.7% in 2016, down from its June forecast of 2.8, and 2.4% in 2017, unchanged from its June forecast.
In the Eurozone, the economy is expected to grow 1.7% in 2016, down from its June forecast of 1.8%, and 1.7% in 2017, up from its June forecast of 1.6%.
In Japan, the economy is expected to expand 1.3% in 2016, down from its June forecast of 1.7%, and 0.9% in 2017, down from its June forecast of 1.2%.
Developing countries are expected to grow by 4.8% in 2016, down from its June forecast of 5.2%.
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.0959 (2117)
$1.0917 (5513)
$1.0881 (1087)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.0799
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.0753 (6060)
$1.0724 (3047)
$1.0686 (4349)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 8 is 56161 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1100 (7171);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 8 is 73421 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0450 (8033);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.31 versus 1.33 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 6
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.4900 (476)
$1.4800 (566)
$1.4702 (339)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.4615
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.4597 (832)
$1.4499 (273)
$1.4400 (122)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 8 is 21559 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5100 (2007);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 8 is 19382 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5100 (3084);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.90 versus 0.91 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 6
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual
00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m November 3.3% Revised From 3.9% -3% -12.7%
00:30 Australia Trade Balance November -3.25 Revised From -3.30 -3.1 -2.90
07:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) November 1.8% 0.1% 1.5%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y November 2.1% 2.4% 2.3%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted November -0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
The U.S. dollar declined against the yen and the Swiss franc amid greater demand for safe-haven assets. China continued to devalue the yuan supporting opinion that the situation in the country's economy is worse than it seems. Trading on Chinese stock markets was stopped within less than half an hour after the open time amid sharp declines in stock prices. Investors panicked after the central bank of China lowered the exchange rate of the national currency to 6.5646 yuan per dollar (the minimum level since August 2015).
The greenback declined against the euro too after the Federal Reserve released minutes of its latest meeting. Some policy makers expressed concerns over still-low inflation.
Turmoil on Chinese stock markets sent the Australian dollar down despite better-than-expected trade balance data. The country's trade deficit came in at -A$2.906 million in November compared to -A$3.305 million reported previously. Economists had expected the deficit to contract to -A$3.100 million. Exports rose by 1%, while imports declined by 1%.
EUR/USD: the pair rose to $1.0813 in Asian trade
USD/JPY: the pair fell to Y117.97
GBP/USD: the pair declined to $1.4622
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index December -0.2% 0.5%
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y December 9% 9%
10:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator December 0.36 0.4
10:00 Eurozone Economic sentiment index December 106.1 106.1
10:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence December -3.2 -2.9
10:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Finally) December -5.9 -5.7
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) November -0.1% 0.2%
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) November 2.5% 2%
10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate November 10.7% 10.7%
13:25 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks
13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims December 2198 2193
13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims January 287 275
15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index December 63.6 56.7
22:30 Australia AiG Performance of Construction Index December 50.7
West Texas Intermediate futures for February delivery plunged to $32.94 (-3.03%), while Brent crude dropped to $33.09 (-3.33%) amid turmoil on Chinese stock markets and the ongoing global supply glut. Trading on Chinese stock markets was suspended twice this week. Today stocks lost around 7% in less than half an hour. Investors are concerned about economic growth in the world's second-biggest oil consumer.
Meanwhile the Energy Information Administration reported yesterday that U.S. crude oil stockpiles fell by 5.1 million barrels last week. However production remained above 9 million barrels a day, which is more than last year.
Gold rose to $1,099.00 (+0.65%) as demand for this safe-haven asset rose amid plunging stocks. Chinese stocks dropped more than 7% triggering automatic stop mechanism for the second time this week after People's Bank of China today lowered the yuan against the U.S. dollar.
Some analysts say that investors are going to be concerned about emerging-market currencies and currencies of countries exposed to shocks from China's economy boosting demand for gold, the yen and the U.S. dollar.
U.S. stock indices dropped on Wednesday amid plunging oil prices and geopolitical tensions.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 251.8 points, or 1.47%, to 16,906. The S&P 500 lost 26.39 points, or 1.31%, to 1,990 (all of its 10 sectors closed lower). The Nasdaq Composite declined 55.67 points, or 1.14%, to 4,835.
The U.S. Department of Commerce reported that the trade deficit declined substantially in November as both imports and exports fell. The deficit contracted by 5% to $42.37 billion compared to October. Exports and imports fell by 0.9% and 1.7% respectively.
Minutes of the Federal Reserve's December meeting showed yesterday that the decision to raise interest rates was made by an unanimous vote, but some policy makers expressed concerns over low inflation and negative influence from slow growth in emerging economies.
This morning in Asia Hong Kong Hang Seng fell 2.44%, or 511.40, to 20,469.41. China Shanghai Composite Index plunged 7.32%, or 245.95, to 3,115.89. The Nikkei fell 2.16%, or 392.85, to 17,798.47.
Asian stock indices fell. Japanese stocks dropped amid substantial declines in Chinese markets and lack of positive dynamics in U.S. stock indices. A stronger yen also weighed on stocks.
Trading in Chinese markets was stopped within less than half an hour after the open time amid sharp declines in stock prices. Investors panicked after the central bank of China lowered the exchange rate of the national currency to 6.5646 yuan per dollar (the minimum level since August 2015).
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 34.06 +0.26%
Gold 1,093.30 +0.13%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 18,191.32 -182.68 -0.99 %
Hang Seng 20,980.81 -207.91 -0.98 %
Shanghai Composite 3,361.84 +74.13 +2.25 %
FTSE 100 6,073.38 -63.86 -1.04 %
CAC 40 4,480.47 -57.16 -1.26 %
Xetra DAX 10,214.02 -96.08 -0.93 %
S&P 500 1,990.26 -26.45 -1.31 %
NASDAQ Composite 4,835.77 -55.67 -1.14 %
Dow Jones 16,906.51 -252.15 -1.47 %
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,0780 +0,31%
GBP/USD $1,4628 -0,31%
USD/CHF Chf1,0072 -0,12%
USD/JPY Y118,46 -0,49%
EUR/JPY Y127,71 -0,20%
GBP/JPY Y173,3 -0,80%
AUD/USD $0,7070 -1,26%
NZD/USD $0,6638 -0,98%
USD/CAD C$1,4073 +0,56%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m November 3.9% -3%
00:30 Australia Trade Balance November -3.30 -3.1
07:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) November 1.8% 0.1%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y November 2.1% 2.4%
07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted November -0.4% 0.5%
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index December -0.2%
08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y December 9%
10:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator December 0.36 0.4
10:00 Eurozone Economic sentiment index December 106.1 106.1
10:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence December -3.2 -2.9
10:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Finally) December -5.9 -5.7
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) November -0.1% 0.2%
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) November 2.5% 2%
10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate November 10.7% 10.7%
13:25 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks
13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims December 2198 2193
13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims January 287 275
15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index December 63.6 56.7
22:30 Australia AiG Performance of Construction Index December 50.7