Noticias del mercado

7 enero 2016
  • 23:30

    Australia: AiG Performance of Construction Index, December 46.8

  • 20:16

    American focus: the US dollar fell

    The US dollar weakened against other major currencies after data showed that the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits fell last week, less than expected, while concerns over the outlook for the Chinese economy once again contributed to the strengthening of demand for traditional safe-haven currency such as the yen and Swiss franc.

    US Department of Labor said the number of Americans who first applied for unemployment benefits decreased last week, while pointing to a gradual improvement in the labor market.

    According to the report, in the week ended Jan. 2, the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits fell by 10,000, to a level of 277,000 (seasonally adjusted). Economists, however, expected to decline to 275 000. The figures for the previous week, I have not been revised. The Labor Department said that there were no special factors influencing the latest weekly data.

    The dollar came under pressure after the minutes of the December Fed meeting showed that some of the officials expressed concern that inflation may remain at a consistently low level, despite the decision to raise interest rates.

    The pound fell against the dollar by updating at least 2015, which was established on April 13 and reached its lowest level since June 11, 2010. The pressure on the currency has continued collapse in global stock markets and the decline in oil prices to a 12-year low. Little support was provided data on the housing market in Britain. The Halifax Bank of Scotland reported that house prices increased significantly at the end of December, while exceeding the forecasts of experts. According to the data, housing prices rose 1.7 percent in December after a zero change in November (revised from -0.2 per cent). Economists had forecast growth of only 0.5 percent. On an annual basis, prices in the period from October to December increased by 9.5 percent compared with an increase of 9 percent over the previous three months (in November). It was expected that the growth rate will remain unchanged. "The housing market remains a significant difference between supply and demand. The latest data pointed to a further reduction in the number of homes available for sale, - said Martin Ellis, economist at Halifax. - This situation is unlikely to change significantly in the short term, this should not expect continued growth housing prices. "

    In general, the pound remains bearish bias after the Federal Reserve raised its rate, as well as the Bank of England rumors that the regulator did not dare to, and an important step in 2016. In addition, investors are waiting for a report on employment in the United States, scheduled for Friday, which will help to assess the Fed's intention to continue the gradual tightening of monetary policy. It is expected that the number of people employed in non-agricultural sector increased by 200 thousand. In December, after increasing by 211 thousand. If the figures exceed the forecasts, the fall of GBP / USD pair may accelerate.

    The euro rose substantially against the dollar, recouping all the ground lost since the beginning of the week. Experts point to risk aversion, which has intensified because of another collapse of world stock markets, the euro as the currency of funding was the winner. The focus of macroeconomic reports were also in the euro area, which were mixed. A report from the European Commission showed economic sentiment in the euro zone rose to 106.8 points in December from 106.1 points. Economists had expected the figure will not change. Business climate index, which points to the phase of the economic cycle, improved to 0.41 from 0.36. Experts predicted to rise to 0.40. The index of consumer sentiment rose to -5.7 from -5.9, which coincided with the forecasts of experts.

    Meanwhile, data from Eurostat showed that at the end of November the unemployment rate in the euro area decreased to 10.5% from 10.6% in October (revised from 10.7%). The latter value was the lowest since October 2011. Experts expect that the unemployment rate will be 10.7%.

    In addition, Eurostat reported that the results of November retail sales (seasonally adjusted) fell by 0.3% in the euro area and increased by 0.2% among the 28 EU countries. Recall that in October there was a decrease in sales of 0.2% in the eurozone and a zero change in the EU. It was expected that sales in the euro zone will grow by 0.2%. In annual terms, the index of retail sales rose by 1.4% in the euro area and by 2.6% in the EU. It was predicted that sales in the euro zone will grow by 2.0% after rising 2.4% in October (revised from 2.5%).

    The Japanese yen has risen more than 100 pips against the dollar, entrenched below Y118.00, which was caused by a new wave of risk aversion and increased demand for safe-haven assets. The yen has risen on the news about another devaluation of the yuan and the collapse of the Asian markets, which were followed by European markets. Recall, China's stock market half an hour after the opening exchanges closed because of the collapse of quotations by more than 7%. In addition, China is now sharply lowered rate of the yuan against the dollar - 0.51%, which caused further concern among market participants. Central Bank set the official exchange rate of the local currency at the level of 6.5646 yuan per dollar, which is the lowest level since March 2011. Yesterday's rate fixing was 6.5314 yuan per dollar, and closing - 6.555 yuan per dollar.

  • 18:33

    The Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz: the weak Canadian dollar helps the Canadian economy to adjust to low oil prices

    The Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Stephen Poloz said in a speech on Thursday that the weak Canadian dollar helps the Canadian economy to adjust to low oil prices.

    "The depreciation of our currency is a natural part of the process," he noted.

    "Movements in exchange rates are helping economies, including ours, make the adjustments that must take place," Poloz added.

    Poloz pointed out that the central bank's monetary policy is focussed on the inflation target.

    "The Bank of Canada will continue to run an independent monetary policy, anchored by our inflation target, and we will use our tools to manage risks along the way," the BoC president said.

  • 18:26

    British Chambers of Commerce’s Quarterly Economic Survey: the most key balances were weaker in Q4 than in Q3

    The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) released its Quarterly Economic Survey for the U.K. on Thursday. The BCC said that the most key balances were weaker in Q4 than in Q3, noting that the UK economy is facing challenges, despite the growth.

    "Coming after relatively weak figures in our Q3 survey, the falling balances in Q4 highlight the risk that the pace of growth may slow further in the short term. The results also underscore the serious obstacles that the UK will face when trying to rebalance the economy towards net exports. While worsening global circumstances are the main impediment, the domestic drive towards boosting net exports is also inadequate," David Kern, Chief Economist of the British Chambers of Commerce, said.

  • 16:58

    China’s foreign-exchange reserves drop in December

    According to data released by the People's Bank of China (PBoC) on Thursday, China's foreign-exchange reserves declined by $107.9 billion to $3.33 trillion in December, after a drop by $87.2 billion in November. The latest fall was the biggest monthly decline on record.

    China's foreign exchange reserves plunged $512.66 billion in 2015. It was the biggest annual fall on record.

  • 16:46

    The People’s Bank of China adds 70 billion yuan to the financial system

    The People's Bank of China (PBoC) on Thursday added 70 billion yuan to the financial system.

    The central bank added 130 billion yuan to the financial system on Tuesday. It was the biggest injection since September 2015.

  • 16:42

    The People’s Bank of China continues to devaluate the yuan

    The People's Bank of China (PBoC) continued to devaluate the yuan. The central bank set the yuan midpoint at 6.5646, down 0.5% from the day before. It was the lowest level since March 2011, and the highest cut since August 2015.

  • 16:37

    China suspends circuit-breaker rules

    The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced on Thursday that it suspended circuit-breaker rules. The circuit-breaker rules intended to stop free-falling share prices and to calm markets.

    Today's trading session was halted after less than half an hour after opening as China's central continued to devaluate the yuan. It was the shortest trading day in the stock market's 25-year history.

  • 16:27

    China's securities regulator announces new rules to restrict selling by big shareholders

    China's securities regulator today announced new rules to restrict selling by big shareholders. These rules will take effect on January 9.

    Big shareholders can't sell more than 1% of a listed company's share capital every three months, and they have to disclose their plans 15 days in advance.

  • 16:12

    Canada’s Ivey purchasing managers’ index plunges to 49.9 in December

    Canada's seasonally adjusted Ivey purchasing managers' index plunged to 49.9 in December from 63.6 in November. Analysts had expected the index to decline to 56.7.

    A reading above 50 indicates a rise in the pace of activity, below 50 indicates a contraction in the pace of activity.

    The supplier deliveries index was up to 54.2 in December from 53.4 in November, while employment index fell to 51.8 from 53.8.

    The prices index was decreased to 54.8 in December from 55.2 in November, while inventories slid to 41.7 from 58.4.

  • 16:00

    Canada: Ivey Purchasing Managers Index, December 49.9 (forecast 56.7)

  • 15:54

    Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker: inflation in the U.S. is likely to return to 2% target over the near term

    Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker said in a speech on Thursday that the U.S. inflation is likely to return to 2% target over the near term.

    "After the price of oil bottoms out, I would expect to see headline inflation move significantly higher. And after the value of the dollar ultimately tops out, core inflation should move back toward 2 percent," he said.

    Lacker noted that the Fed should continue to hike its interest rate.

    "While there is uncertainty about the pace at which monetary policy rates will rise, the case for an upward adjustment in rates should be clear," Richmond Fed president said.

    Lacker is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.

  • 15:32

    Greek unemployment rate declines to 24.5% in October

    The Hellenic Statistical Authority released its unemployment data on Thursday. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Greece declined to 24.5% in October from 24.6% in September. August's figure was revised up from 24.6%.

    The number of unemployed fell by 8,289 persons compared with September 2015.

    The youth unemployment rate was 48.6% in October.

  • 14:44

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    USDJPY 117.30 (USD270m) 117.60-65 (276m) 118.00 (274m) 119.00 (USD 2.55bln)

    EURUSD 1.0650 (EUR 792m) 1.0715-20 (923m) 1.0750(955m) 1.0770-80(621m), 1.0800 (EUR 781m) 1.0815-25 (558m) 1.0850 (831m) 1.0880-85 (584m) 1.0900 (739m) 1.0950 (544m)

    GBPUSD 1.4575 (GBP 163m) 1.4600 (GBP 903m) 1.4800 (596m)

    USD/CAD 1.4000 (USD 276m) 1.4025 (280m)

    AUD/USD 0.7000 (AUD 397m) 0.7030-35 (230m) 0.7100 (259m) 0.7300 (224m)

    EUR/CHF 1.0830 (EUR 174m)

    AUD/JPY: 85.00 (AUD 345m)

  • 14:40

    Initial jobless claims decline to 277,000 in the week ending January 02

    The U.S. Labor Department released its jobless claims figures on Thursday. The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending January 02 in the U.S. declined by 10,000 to 277,000 from 287,000 in the previous week. Analysts had expected jobless claims to fall to 275,000.

    Jobless claims remained below 300,000 the 44th straight week. This threshold is associated with the strengthening of the labour market.

    Continuing jobless claims increased by 25,000 to 2,230,000 in the week ended December 26.

  • 14:30

    U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, January 277 (forecast 275)

  • 14:30

    U.S.: Continuing Jobless Claims, December 2230 (forecast 2193)

  • 14:27

    Italy’s unemployment rate decreases to 11.3% in November, the lowest level since October 2012

    The Italian statistical office Istat released its unemployment data on Thursday. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate decreased to 11.3% in November from 11.5% in October. It was the lowest level since November 2012.

    The number of unemployed people was 2.871 million in November, down by 1.6% from the month before.

    The youth unemployment rate fell to 38.1% in November from 39.3% in October.

    The employment rate increased to 56.4% in November from 56.3% in October.

  • 14:15

    Foreign exchange market. European session: the euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the release of the mixed economic data from the Eurozone

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    (Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

    00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m November 3.3% Revised From 3.9% -3% -12.7%

    00:30 Australia Trade Balance November -3.25 Revised From -3.30 -3.1 -2.90

    07:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) November 1.7% Revised From 1.8% 0.1% 1.5%

    07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y November 2.1% 2.4% 2.3%

    07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted November -0.1% Revised From -0.4% 0.5% 0.2%

    08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index December 0.0% Revised From -0.2% 0.5% 1.7%

    08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y December 9% 9% 9.5%

    10:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator December 0.36 0.4 0.41

    10:00 Eurozone Economic sentiment index December 106.1 106.1 106.8

    10:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence December -3.2 -2.9 -2

    10:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Finally) December -5.9 -5.7 -5.7

    10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) November -0.2% Revised From -0.1% 0.2% -0.3%

    10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) November 2.4% Revised From 2.5% 2% 1.4%

    10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate November 10.6% Revised From 10.7% 10.7% 10.5%

    The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the release of the U.S. initial jobless claims data today. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. is expected to decline by 12,000 to 275,000 last week.

    The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the release of the mixed economic data from the Eurozone. The European Commission released its economic sentiment index for the Eurozone on Thursday. The index increased to 106.8 in December from 106.1 in November. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 106.1.

    The increase was driven by higher confidence in industry.

    The industrial confidence index climbed to -2.0 in December from -3.2 in November, exceeding expectations for a gain to -2.9.

    The final consumer confidence index was up to -5.7 in December from -5.9 in November, in line with expectations.

    The business climate index increased to 0.41 in December from 0.36 in November. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 0.40.

    Eurostat released its unemployment data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Eurozone's unemployment rate declined to 10.5% in November from 10.6% in October. It was the lowest reading since October 2011. October's figure was revised down from 10.7%. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to rise to 10.7%.

    Destatis released its retail sales for Germany on Thursday. German adjusted retail sales rose 0.2% in November, missing forecasts of a 0.5% gain, after a 0.1% fall in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.4% drop.

    On a yearly basis, German unadjusted retail sales jumped 2.3% in November, missing expectations for a 2.4% gain, after a 2.1% rise in October.

    German seasonal adjusted factory orders climbed 1.5% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% increase, after a 1.7% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.8% gain.

    The rise was driven by an increase in foreign and domestic orders. Foreign orders increased by 0.6% in November, while domestic orders rose by 2.6%.

    The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar. Halifax released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. House prices in the U.K. jumped 1.7% in December, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% gain, after a flat reading in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.2% decrease.

    On a yearly basis, house prices climbed 9.5% in the three months to December, after a 9.0% increase in the three months to November. Analysts had expected the index to rise 9.0%.

    "There remains, however, a substantial gap between demand and supply with the latest figures showing a further decline in the number of properties available for sale. This situation is unlikely to change significantly in the short-term, resulting in continuing upward pressure on prices," Halifax's housing economist Martin Ellis said.

    The Canadian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Canadian economic data. Canada's seasonally adjusted Ivey purchasing managers' index is expected to drop to 56.7 in December from 63.6 in November.

    The Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz is expected to speak at 13:25 GMT.

    EUR/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.0874

    GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.4532

    USD/JPY: the currency pair decreased to Y117.32

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    13:25 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks

    13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims December 2198 2193

    13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims January 287 275

    15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index December 63.6 56.7

  • 14:01

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers 1.0825-30 1.0850 1.0865 1.0880 1.0900 1.0930

    Bids 1.0780 1.0750 1.0720 1.0700 1.0680 1.0665 1.0650 1.0630 1.0600


    GBP/USD

    Offers 1.4600 1.4620-25 1.4640 1.4665 1.4685 1.4700 1.4725-30 1.4750

    Bids 1.4580 1.4565 1.4550 1.4530 1.4500 1.4485 1.4465 1.4450


    EUR/GBP

    Offers 0.7400-05 0.7420 0.7435 0.7450 0.7475-80 0.7500

    Bids 0.7380-85 0.7365 0.7350 0.7335 0.7320 0.7300 0.7275-80 0.7250


    EUR/JPY

    Offers 127.30 127.50 127.75 128.00 128.20 128.50 128.75 129.00

    Bids 126.80 126.50 126.30 126.00 125.85 125.50


    USD/JPY

    Offers 118.00 118.20 118.35-40 118.80-85 119.00 119.30 119.60

    Bids 117.50 117.25-30 117.00


    AUD/USD

    Offers 0.7040-45 0.7060 0.7085 0.7100 0.7120-25 0.7150

    Bids 0.7000 0.6985 0.6950 0.6930 0.6900

  • 12:44

    German seasonal adjusted factory orders jump 1.5% in November

    Destatis released its factory orders data for Germany on Thursday. German seasonal adjusted factory orders climbed 1.5% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.1% increase, after a 1.7% rise in October. October's figure was revised up from a 1.8% gain.

    The rise was driven by an increase in foreign and domestic orders. Foreign orders increased by 0.6% in November, while domestic orders rose by 2.6%.

    New orders from the Eurozone declined 0.5% in November, while orders from other countries climbed 1.4%.

    Orders of the intermediate goods increased by 4.8% in November, capital goods orders were down 0.1%, while consumer goods orders dropped 2.4%.

  • 12:36

    German adjusted retail sales rise .2% in November

    Destatis released its retail sales for Germany on Thursday. German adjusted retail sales rose 0.2% in November, missing forecasts of a 0.5% gain, after a 0.1% fall in October. October's figure was revised up from a 0.4% drop.

    On a yearly basis, German unadjusted retail sales jumped 2.3% in November, missing expectations for a 2.4% gain, after a 2.1% rise in October.

    Sales of non-food products increased at an annual rate of 2.3% in November, while sales of food, beverages and tobacco products climbed by 2.4%.

  • 12:32

    House prices in the U.K. jump 1.7% in December

    Halifax released its house prices data for the U.K. on Thursday. House prices in the U.K. jumped 1.7% in December, exceeding expectations for a 0.5% gain, after a flat reading in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.2% decrease.

    On a yearly basis, house prices climbed 9.5% in the three months to December, after a 9.0% increase in the three months to November. Analysts had expected the index to rise 9.0%.

    "There remains, however, a substantial gap between demand and supply with the latest figures showing a further decline in the number of properties available for sale. This situation is unlikely to change significantly in the short-term, resulting in continuing upward pressure on prices," Halifax's housing economist Martin Ellis said.

  • 12:26

    Eurozone’s economic sentiment index climbs to 106.8 in December

    The European Commission released its economic sentiment index for the Eurozone on Thursday. The index increased to 106.8 in December from 106.1 in November. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 106.1.

    The increase was driven by higher confidence in industry.

    The industrial confidence index climbed to -2.0 in December from -3.2 in November, exceeding expectations for a gain to -2.9.

    The final consumer confidence index was up to -5.7 in December from -5.9 in November, in line with expectations.

    The business climate index increased to 0.41 in December from 0.36 in November. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 0.40.

  • 12:17

    Eurozone's unemployment rate drops to 10.5% in November, the lowest reading since October 2011

    Eurostat released its unemployment data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Eurozone's unemployment rate declined to 10.5% in November from 10.6% in October. It was the lowest reading since October 2011.

    October's figure was revised down from 10.7%.

    Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to rise to 10.7%.

    There were 16.924 million unemployed in the Eurozone in November, down by 130.000 from October.

    The lowest unemployment rate in the Eurozone in November was recorded in Germany (4.5%) and Malta (5.1%), and the highest in Greece (24.6% in September 2015) and Spain (21.4%).

    The youth unemployment rate was 22.5% in the Eurozone in November, compared to 23.2% in October a year ago.

  • 12:12

    Eurozone’s retail sales fall 0.3% in November

    Eurostat released its retail sales data for the Eurozone on Thursday. Retail sales in the Eurozone fell 0.3% in November, missing expectations for a 0.2% rise, after a 0.2% decline in October. October's figure was revised down from a 0.1% fall.

    The decline was mainly driven by lower non-food sales and automotive fuel sales. Non-food sales fell 0.4% in November, while automotive fuel sales declined 0.7%.

    Food, drinks and tobacco sales slid 0.1% in November.

    On a yearly basis, retail sales in the Eurozone climbed 1.4% in November, missing forecasts of a 2.0% gain, after a 2.4% increase in October. October's figure was revised down from a 2.5% gain.

    The annual rise was driven by non-food sales, gasoline sales, and food, drinks and tobacco sales.

    Non-food sales gained 1.8% year-on-year in November, gasoline sales increased 1.8%, while food, drinks and tobacco sales rose 0.8%.

  • 11:24

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    USD/JPY 117.30 (USD270m) 117.60-65 (276m) 118.00 (274m) 119.00 (USD 2.55bln)

    EUR/USD 1.0650 (EUR 792m) 1.0715-20 (923m) 1.0750(955m) 1.0770-80(621m), 1.0800 (EUR 781m) 1.0815-25 (558m) 1.0850 (831m) 1.0880-85 (584m) 1.0900 (739m) 1.0950 (544m)

    GBP/USD 1.4575 (GBP 163m) 1.4600 (GBP 903m) 1.4800 (596m)

    USD/CAD 1.4000 (USD 276m) 1.4025 (280m)

    AUD/USD 0.7000 (AUD 397m) 0.7030-35 (230m) 0.7100 (259m) 0.7300 (224m)

    EUR/CHF 1.0830 (EUR 174m)

    AUD/JPY 85.00 (AUD 345m)

  • 11:01

    Eurozone: Retail Sales (MoM), November -0.3% (forecast 0.2%)

  • 11:00

    Eurozone: Economic sentiment index , December 106.8 (forecast 106.1)

  • 11:00

    Eurozone: Unemployment Rate , November 10.5% (forecast 10.7%)

  • 11:00

    Eurozone: Business climate indicator , December 0.41 (forecast 0.4)

  • 11:00

    Eurozone: Industrial confidence, December -2 (forecast -2.9)

  • 11:00

    Eurozone: Consumer Confidence, December -5.7 (forecast -5.7)

  • 10:07

    Fed’s December monetary policy meeting minutes: Fed officials express concerns about low inflation in the U.S

    The Fed released its December monetary policy meeting minutes on Wednesday. The Fed raised its interest rate in December. Fed officials expressed concerns about low inflation in the U.S., saying that they "would carefully monitor actual and expected progress toward its inflation goal".

    Fed officials said that labour market continued to improve, noting that "underutilization of labour resources has diminished appreciably since early this year".

    According to the minutes, the U.S. economy is expected to grow moderately, while the labour market is expected to continue to improve.

    The minutes showed that further interest rate hikes will depend on the labour market and inflation data.

    Fed officials pointed out that the downside risks to U.S. economy from global economic and financial developments diminished since late summer.

  • 09:41

    Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer: the Fed is likely to raise its interest rate faster than expected by markets

    Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said in an interview with CNBC on Wednesday that the Fed is likely to raise its interest rate faster than expected by markets. He said that market expectations of the two interest rate hikes in 2016 are "too low".

    Fischer pointed out that the Fed does not know how many interest rate hikes there will be this year.

  • 09:21

    Australia's trade deficit narrows to A$2.90 billion in November

    The Australian Bureau of Statistics released its trade data on Thursday. Australia's trade deficit narrowed to A$2.90 billion in November from A$3.25 billion in October, exceeding expectations for a decline to a deficit of A$3.10 billion. October's figure was revised up from a deficit of A$3.30 billion.

    Exports increased by 1.0% in November, while imports fell 1.0%.

    Exports were driven by a rise in rural goods exports.

  • 09:13

    World Bank lowered its global economic forecasts for 2016 and 2017

    The World Bank on Wednesday cut its global economic growth forecast for 2016 and 2017 due to weak growth in major emerging economies.

    The World Bank expects that the global economy would grow 2.9% in 2016, down from its June forecast of 3.3%. 2017 global growth was downgraded to 3.1%, down from its June forecast of 3.2%.

    "This outlook is expected to be buttressed by recovery in major high-income economies, stabilizing commodity prices, and a continuation of low interest rates. All this does not rule out the fact that there is a low-probability risk of disorderly slowdown in major emerging markets, as U.S. interest rates rise after a long break and the US dollar strengthens, and as a result of geopolitical concerns," World Bank Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Kaushik Basu said in the report.

    The global economy was estimated to expand 2.4% in 2015.

    China's economy is expected to expand 6.7% in 2016 (6.9% in 2015), down from its June forecast of 7.0%, and 6.5% in 2017, down from its June forecast of 6.9%.

    Growth in the U.S. is expected to expand 2.7% in 2016, down from its June forecast of 2.8, and 2.4% in 2017, unchanged from its June forecast.

    In the Eurozone, the economy is expected to grow 1.7% in 2016, down from its June forecast of 1.8%, and 1.7% in 2017, up from its June forecast of 1.6%.

    In Japan, the economy is expected to expand 1.3% in 2016, down from its June forecast of 1.7%, and 0.9% in 2017, down from its June forecast of 1.2%.

    Developing countries are expected to grow by 4.8% in 2016, down from its June forecast of 5.2%.

  • 09:01

    United Kingdom: Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y, December 9.5% (forecast 9%)

  • 09:01

    United Kingdom: Halifax house price index, December 1.7% (forecast 0.5%)

  • 09:01

    United Kingdom: Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y, December 9.5% (forecast 9%)

  • 08:29

    Options levels on thursday, January 7, 2016:

    EUR / USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.0959 (2117)

    $1.0917 (5513)

    $1.0881 (1087)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.0799

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.0753 (6060)

    $1.0724 (3047)

    $1.0686 (4349)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 8 is 56161 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1100 (7171);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 8 is 73421 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0450 (8033);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.31 versus 1.33 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 6


    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.4900 (476)

    $1.4800 (566)

    $1.4702 (339)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.4615

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.4597 (832)

    $1.4499 (273)

    $1.4400 (122)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 8 is 21559 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5100 (2007);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 8 is 19382 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5100 (3084);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.90 versus 0.91 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 6


    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 08:02

    Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the U.S. dollar declined

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual

    00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m November 3.3% Revised From 3.9% -3% -12.7%

    00:30 Australia Trade Balance November -3.25 Revised From -3.30 -3.1 -2.90

    07:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) November 1.8% 0.1% 1.5%

    07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y November 2.1% 2.4% 2.3%

    07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted November -0.4% 0.5% 0.2%

    The U.S. dollar declined against the yen and the Swiss franc amid greater demand for safe-haven assets. China continued to devalue the yuan supporting opinion that the situation in the country's economy is worse than it seems. Trading on Chinese stock markets was stopped within less than half an hour after the open time amid sharp declines in stock prices. Investors panicked after the central bank of China lowered the exchange rate of the national currency to 6.5646 yuan per dollar (the minimum level since August 2015).

    The greenback declined against the euro too after the Federal Reserve released minutes of its latest meeting. Some policy makers expressed concerns over still-low inflation.

    Turmoil on Chinese stock markets sent the Australian dollar down despite better-than-expected trade balance data. The country's trade deficit came in at -A$2.906 million in November compared to -A$3.305 million reported previously. Economists had expected the deficit to contract to -A$3.100 million. Exports rose by 1%, while imports declined by 1%.

    EUR/USD: the pair rose to $1.0813 in Asian trade

    USD/JPY: the pair fell to Y117.97

    GBP/USD: the pair declined to $1.4622

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index December -0.2% 0.5%

    08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y December 9% 9%

    10:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator December 0.36 0.4

    10:00 Eurozone Economic sentiment index December 106.1 106.1

    10:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence December -3.2 -2.9

    10:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Finally) December -5.9 -5.7

    10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) November -0.1% 0.2%

    10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) November 2.5% 2%

    10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate November 10.7% 10.7%

    13:25 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks

    13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims December 2198 2193

    13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims January 287 275

    15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index December 63.6 56.7

    22:30 Australia AiG Performance of Construction Index December 50.7

  • 08:01

    Germany: Factory Orders s.a. (MoM), November 1.5% (forecast 0.1%)

  • 08:00

    Germany: Retail sales, real adjusted , November 0.2% (forecast 0.5%)

  • 08:00

    Germany: Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y, November 2.3% (forecast 2.4%)

  • 01:30

    Australia: Building Permits, m/m, November -12.7% (forecast -3%)

  • 01:30

    Australia: Trade Balance , November -2.90 (forecast -3.1)

  • 00:32

    Currencies. Daily history for Jan 6’2016:

    (pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,0780 +0,31%

    GBP/USD $1,4628 -0,31%

    USD/CHF Chf1,0072 -0,12%

    USD/JPY Y118,46 -0,49%

    EUR/JPY Y127,71 -0,20%

    GBP/JPY Y173,3 -0,80%

    AUD/USD $0,7070 -1,26%

    NZD/USD $0,6638 -0,98%

    USD/CAD C$1,4073 +0,56%

  • 00:01

    Schedule for today, Thursday, Jan 7’2016:

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    00:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m November 3.9% -3%

    00:30 Australia Trade Balance November -3.30 -3.1

    07:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) November 1.8% 0.1%

    07:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y November 2.1% 2.4%

    07:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted November -0.4% 0.5%

    08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index December -0.2%

    08:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y December 9%

    10:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator December 0.36 0.4

    10:00 Eurozone Economic sentiment index December 106.1 106.1

    10:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence December -3.2 -2.9

    10:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Finally) December -5.9 -5.7

    10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) November -0.1% 0.2%

    10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) November 2.5% 2%

    10:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate November 10.7% 10.7%

    13:25 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks

    13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims December 2198 2193

    13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims January 287 275

    15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index December 63.6 56.7

    22:30 Australia AiG Performance of Construction Index December 50.7

7 enero 2016
Enfoque del mercado
Cuotas
Símbolo Bid Ask Tiempo
AUDUSD
EURUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
XAGEUR
XAGUSD
XAUUSD
Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer
Abrir cuenta demo y página personal
Entiendo y acepto la Política de Privacidad y estoy de acuerdo con que mi nombre y datos de contacto sean procesados por TeleTrade y utilizados para contactarme en lo referente a: