Noticias del mercado

10 febrero 2015
  • 23:59

    Schedule for today, Wednesday, Feb 11’2015:

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    01:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence February +2.4%

    02:00 Japan Bank holiday

    02:30 Australia Home Loans December -0.7% +2.3%

    04:00 China New Loans January 697 1355

    11:00 Eurozone Eurogroup Meetings

    17:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories February +6.3

    21:00 U.S. Federal budget January 1.9 -2.6

    23:30 New Zealand Business NZ PMI January 57.7

  • 21:00

    Dow +0.75% 17,862.18 +132.97 Nasdaq +1.23% 4,784.11 +58.10 S&P +0.99% 2,067.01 +20.27

  • 18:28

    FOMC member Jeffrey Lacker: interest rate hike in June is “the attractive option”

    The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker said on Tuesday that interest rate hike in June is "the attractive option" for him.

    Lacker is a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee this year. He is a regular critic of the Fed's stimulus measures.

  • 18:11

    Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz rejects that he has been talking down the Canadian dollar

    The Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Stephen Poloz rejected on Tuesday that he has been talking down the Canadian dollar. He added that the decline of the loonie depends on Canada's economy.

    The BoC governor noted that oil prices are responsible for the performance of the economy.

    The Canadian dollar fell 3.2% since interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada on January 21. The central bank lowered its interest rate to 0.75% from 1.00%.

    Poloz pointed out that the further interest rate cut will depend on the economy's fundamentals.

  • 18:01

    European stocks close: most stocks closed higher on hopes for a possible debt deal between Greece and its international creditors

    Most stock indices traded higher on hopes for a possible debt deal between Greece and its international creditors. The euro group of finance ministers will meet in Brussels on Wednesday. Greece's Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis is expected to present new reform proposals.

    Industrial production in France climbed 1.5% in December, exceeding expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.2% drop in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.3% decline.

    The U.K. GDP estimate by NIESR rose to 0.7% in three months to January, up from 0.5% in the fourth quarter of 2014.

    The increase was driven by growth in services.

    Manufacturing production in the U.K. rose 0.1% in December, missing expectations for a 0.3% rise, after a 0.8% increase in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.7% gain.

    On a yearly basis, manufacturing production in the U.K. increased 2.4% in December, beating expectations for a 2.0% gain, after a 3.0% rise in November. November's figure was revised up from a 2.7% increase.

    Industrial production in the U.K. decreased 0.2% in December, missing forecasts of a 0.3% rise, after a flat reading in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.1% decrease.

    The decline was driven by falls in mining and energy sectors.

    On a yearly basis, industrial production in the U.K. rose 0.5% in December, missing expectations for a 0.8% increase, after a 1.1% gain in November.

    Indexes on the close:

    Name Price Change Change %

    FTSE 100 6,829.12 -8.03 -0.12%

    DAX 10,753.83 +90.32 +0.85%

    CAC 40 4,695.65 +44.57 +0.96%

  • 18:00

    European stocks closed: FTSE 100 6,829.12 -8.03 -0.12% CAC 40 4,695.65 +44.57 +0.96% DAX 10,753.83 +90.32 +0.85%

  • 17:40

    Oil: a review of the market situation

    Oil futures fell modestly today, breaking a three-day rally at the same time, which was caused by reports by the International Energy Agency (IEA), as well as concerns about slowing growth in China.

    Today, the IEA said that oil production in the fields with hard to recover reserves in the United States by the end of 2020 will increase to 5.2 million barrels per day (b / d) from last year's level of 3.6 million. The IEA expects to maintain a surplus of oil in the world to the middle of this year, when its reserves in industrialized countries can come close to the historical record of 2.83 billion barrels of that recorded in August 1998. The IEA also noted that the oil market goes lower point, and raw materials will start to go up, though restrained pace. According to experts of the agency, in the second half of the excess supply will start to decline, and the market will gradually recover against the backdrop of slowing growth in oil production in the world.

    It is worth emphasizing that the forecast by the IEA is markedly different from yesterday's report of OPEC, which experts said that the demand for oil cartel will grow this year against the background of reduction in the rate of production growth in the US, which proves the correctness of the chosen company policy to reduce prices to suppress competition and recovery demand for oil. According to the monthly report of the OPEC cartel's oil demand in 2015 will grow by about 110,000 barrels per day to 29.2 million barrels a day. Previously, the forecast was adjusted in the direction of growth in demand for 400,000 barrels per day.

    Also, market participants analyze the report on China, which showed that the consumer price index in January rose by 0.8% compared to the same period of the previous year against growth of 1.5% in December. Analysts had expected an increase of 1.1%. Consumer price inflation in China fell to a 5-year low in January, reinforcing fears of deflation, while the growth of China's economy slows. Low inflation gives the central bank more room for further easing of monetary policy to stimulate the sluggish economy.

    The course of trade is also affected by expectations of tomorrow's publication of data on oil reserves. "Progress report on a significant increase in US oil inventories can stop the growth of prices", - the bank's analysts wrote ANZ. It is expected that the results of last week's oil reserves rose by 3.8 million., While setting a new record high.

    March futures price for US light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) dropped to 50.73 dollars per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

    March futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mix fell to $ 0.72 to $ 57.07 a barrel on the London Stock Exchange ICE Futures Europe.

  • 17:32

    Foreign exchange market. American session: the U.S. dollar traded mixed higher against the most major currencies despite the better-than-expected U.S. job openings figures

    The U.S. dollar traded mixed higher against the most major currencies despite the better-than-expected U.S. job openings figures. Job openings climbed to 5.028 million in December from 4.847 million in November. That was the highest level since January 2001.

    November's figure was revised down from 4.972 million.

    Analysts had expected job openings to rise to 4.992 million.

    Wholesale inventories in the U.S. rose 0.1% in December, missing expectations for a 0.2% increase, after a 0.8% gain in November.

    The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar. Concerns over Greece's further bailout policy still weighed on the euro.

    Industrial production in France climbed 1.5% in December, exceeding expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.2% drop in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.3% decline.

    The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the solid U.K. GDP estimate. The NIESR GDP estimate rose to 0.7% in three months to January, up from 0.5% in the fourth quarter of 2014.

    The increase was driven by growth in services.

    Manufacturing production in the U.K. rose 0.1% in December, missing expectations for a 0.3% rise, after a 0.8% increase in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.7% gain.

    On a yearly basis, manufacturing production in the U.K. increased 2.4% in December, beating expectations for a 2.0% gain, after a 3.0% rise in November. November's figure was revised up from a 2.7% increase.

    Industrial production in the U.K. decreased 0.2% in December, missing forecasts of a 0.3% rise, after a flat reading in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.1% decrease.

    The decline was driven by falls in mining and energy sectors.

    On a yearly basis, industrial production in the U.K. rose 0.5% in December, missing expectations for a 0.8% increase, after a 1.1% gain in November.

    The Swiss franc traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland's consumer price index dropped 0.4% in January, in line with expectations, after a 0.5% decline in December.

    On a yearly basis, Switzerland's consumer price index declined to -0.5% in January from -0.3% in December, beating expectations for a 0.6% drop.

    These figures have added to concerns over deflation in Switzerland.

    Switzerland's unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.1% in January. December's figure was revised up from 3.2%. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to rise to 3.2%.

    The Canadian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from Canada.

    The Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz rejected on Tuesday that he has been talking down the Canadian dollar.

    The New Zealand dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the kiwi increased against the greenback in the absence of any major economic reports from New Zealand.

    The Australian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the Aussie traded higher against the greenback after the mixed economic data from Australia. The National Australia Bank's business confidence index rose to 3 in January from 2 in December.

    Australia's house price index was up 1.9% in the fourth quarter, missing expectations for a 2.0% rise, after a 1.4% increase in the third quarter. The third quarter's figure was revised down from a 1.5% gain.

    The Japanese yen declined against the U.S. dollar due to decreasing demand in the safe-haven currency. In the overnight trading session, the yen traded mixed against the greenback. Japan's tertiary industry index fell 0.3% in December, missing expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a 0.2% increase in November.

  • 17:20

    Gold: a review of the market situation

    Gold prices declined moderately today, approaching at the same time to a minimum on Friday. The growth of the precious metal was limited increase US bond yields, and the fall - the situation in Greece and Ukraine.

    Experts note that the probability of a Greek exit from the eurozone has improved, as Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has taken a tough stance against foreign debt, saying that Greece will not extend the loan program for the current environment. But European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker said that the euro zone will not meet these requirements.

    "Given the lingering concerns over Greece, as well as the crisis in Ukraine, gold should find support in the near future to hold above $ 1,225," - said a trader at MKS Group Jason Cherizola.

    The rise in price of gold is also constrained amid growing opportunities early rate hike by the Federal Reserve after a positive employment report in the United States, released last week, has forced investors to reconsider the expectations of the first rate rise in June.

    "With the strengthening of the US dollar should not expect a significant increase in the price of gold in dollar terms, but in terms of the euro is likely we will see a rise in price due to increased purchases of coins and bullion," - said Carsten Fritsch analyst at Commerzbank.

    Had little impact as US data. It is learned that in December wholesale inventories rose by only 0.1%, while sales declined by 0.4%. Inventories of durable goods rose 0.8%, stocks of cars gained 0.3%, while stocks non-durable goods rose by 0.7%. Sales of durable goods increased 0.2% (cars + 0.4%), while sales of non-durable goods fell by 1.7%. The ratio of inventories to sales was 1.22 versus 1.21 in November and 1.16 a year ago.

    As for the situation in the physical market, the margins in China have not changed, but remained in the range of $ 2.50-3.50. This indicates that increasing the demand for lower levels.

    March futures price of gold on the COMEX today fell to 1236.00 dollars per ounce.

  • 17:14

    NIESR’s gross domestic product rose to 0.7% in three months to January

    The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) released its estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) for the U.K. on Tuesday. The GDP estimate rose to 0.7% in three months to January, up from 0.5% in the fourth quarter of 2014.

    The increase was driven by growth in services.

    According to NIESR, the economy is expected to grow 2.9% in 2015 and 2.3% in 2016.

    The economy will benefit from lower oil prices, NIESR said.

    NIESR forecasts that inflation will be about 0.5% in 2015, while unemployment rate will be about 5.25% by the end of the year.

  • 16:57

    Wholesale inventories in the U.S. rose 0.1% in December

    The U.S. Commerce Department released wholesale inventories on Tuesday. Wholesale inventories in the U.S. rose 0.1% in December, missing expectations for a 0.2% increase, after a 0.8% gain in November.

    Inventories of durable goods increased 0.2% in December, while inventories of non-durable goods fell by 0.1%.

    Inventories of computers, peripheral equipment, and software climbed by 2.6 percent, while inventories of petroleum and petroleum products dropped by 6.2%.

    Wholesale sales declined by 0.4 percent in December, driven by a 1.7% fall in sales of non-durable goods.

  • 16:34

    Job openings increased to 5.028 million in December, the highest level since January 2001

    The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report on Tuesday. Job openings climbed to 5.028 million in December from 4.847 million in November. That was the highest level since January 2001.

    November's figure was revised down from 4.972 million.

    Analysts had expected job openings to rise to 4.992 million.

    The number of job openings was little changed for total private (4.5 million), while increased for government (518,000) in December.

    The hires rate was 3.7% in December.

    Total separations rose to 4.886 million in December from 4.700 million in November. That was the highest level since October 2008.

    The JOLTS report is one of the Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's favourite labour market indicators.

  • 16:02

    U.S.: JOLTs Job Openings, December 5028 (forecast 4992)

  • 16:00

    United Kingdom: NIESR GDP Estimate, January +0.7%

  • 16:00

    U.S.: Wholesale Inventories, December +0.1% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 15:35
  • 15:27

    Before the bell: S&P futures +0.58%, Nasdaq futures +0.51%

    U.S. stock-index futures rose amid speculation Greece will reach a compromise with its creditors.

    Global markets:

    Nikkei 17,652.68 -59.25 -0.33%

    Hang Seng 24,528.1 +7.10 +0.03%

    Shanghai Composite 3,141.27 +46.15 +1.49%

    FTSE 6,833.59 -3.56 -0.05%

    CAC 4,708.38 +57.30 +1.23%

    DAX 10,771.35 +107.84 +1.01%

    Crude oil $52.19 (-1.25%)

    Gold $1236.80 (-0.36%)

  • 14:50

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EUR/USD: $1.1350(E516mn), $1.1450(E1.2bn)

    USD/JPY: Y117.00($2.5bn), Y118.00($1.37bn), Y118.50($546mn), Y119.00($380mn)

    GBP/USD: $1.5000(Gbp771mn), $1.5100(Gbp1.6bn), $1.5300(Gbp1.83bn)

    AUD/USD: $0.7650(A$529mn), $0.7900(A$202mn), $0.7925(A$417mn)

    AUD/JPY: Y94.00(A$350mn)

    NZD/USD: $0.7350(NZ$201mn)

    USD/CAD: C$1.2350($300mn), C$1.2415($385mn), C$1.2450($495mn), C$1.2500($381mn)

  • 14:46

    Company News: The Coca-Cola Company (KO) reported better than expected fourth quarter profits

    The Coca-Cola Company (KO) earned $0.44 per share in the fourth quarter, beating analysts' estimate of $0.42. Revenue in the fourth quarter decreased 1.5% year-over-year to $10.87 billion, but exceeding analysts' estimate of $10.77 billion.

    The company has announced that it expects mid single digit EPS growth in 2015, in line with the growth rate in 2014.

    The Coca-Cola Company (KO) shares increased to $42.93 (+4.12%) prior to the opening bell.

  • 14:00

    Foreign exchange market. European session: the euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar as concerns over Greece's further bailout policy weighed on the euro

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    (Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

    00:01 United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y January -0.4% +0.2%

    00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence January 2 3

    00:30 Australia House Price Index (QoQ) Quarter IV +1.4% Revised From +1.5% +2.0% +1.9%

    00:30 Australia House Price Index (YoY) Quarter IV +9.1% +6.8%

    01:30 China PPI y/y January -3.3% -3.7% -4.3%

    01:30 China CPI y/y January +1.5% +1.1% +0.8%

    06:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate January 3.1% Revised From 3.2% 3.2% 3.1%

    07:45 France Industrial Production, m/m December -0.2% Revised From -0.3% +0.3% +1.5%

    07:45 France Industrial Production, y/y December -2.6% -0.1%

    08:00 G20 G20 Meetings

    08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) January -0.5% -0.4% -0.4%

    08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) January -0.3% -0.6% -0.5%

    09:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) December 0.0% Revised From -0.1% +0.3% -0.2%

    09:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) December +1.1% +0.8% +0.5%

    09:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) December +0.8% Revised From +0.7% +0.3% +0.1%

    09:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) December +3.0% Revised From +2.7% +2.0% +2.4%

    The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. job openings figures. Job openings are expected to rise to 4.99 million in December from 4.97 million in November.

    The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar as concerns over Greece's further bailout policy weighed on the euro.

    Industrial production in France climbed 1.5% in December, exceeding expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.2% drop in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.3% decline.

    The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the mostly weaker-than expected manufacturing output data from the U.K. Manufacturing production in the U.K. rose 0.1% in December, missing expectations for a 0.3% rise, after a 0.8% increase in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.7% gain.

    On a yearly basis, manufacturing production in the U.K. increased 2.4% in December, beating expectations for a 2.0% gain, after a 3.0% rise in November. November's figure was revised up from a 2.7% increase.

    Industrial production in the U.K. decreased 0.2% in December, missing forecasts of a 0.3% rise, after a flat reading in November. November's figure was revised up from a 0.1% decrease.

    The decline was driven by falls in mining and energy sectors.

    On a yearly basis, industrial production in the U.K. rose 0.5% in December, missing expectations for a 0.8% increase, after a 1.1% gain in November.

    The Swiss franc traded lower against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland's consumer price index dropped 0.4% in January, in line with expectations, after a 0.5% decline in December.

    On a yearly basis, Switzerland's consumer price index declined to -0.5% in January from -0.3% in December, beating expectations for a 0.6% drop.

    These figures have added to concerns over deflation in Switzerland.

    Switzerland's unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.1% in January. December's figure was revised up from 3.2%. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to rise to 3.2%.

    EUR/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.1272

    GBP/USD: the currency pair decreased to $1.5195

    USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y119.15

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    13:20 U.S. FOMC Member Laker Speaks

    15:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate January +0.6%

    15:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings December 4970 4992

    17:45 Canada Gov Council Member Wilkins Speaks

    23:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence February +2.4%

  • 13:50

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.1410-20, $1.1400, $1.1370, $1.1320

    Bids $1.1270-65, $1.1260-50, $1.1200, $1.1100

    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.5350-55, $1.5295/305

    Bids $1.5155-45, $1.5105/00, $1.5085/80

    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.7900, $0.7845/50

    Bids $0.7700, $0.7655/50

    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y135.50, Y135.00

    Bids Y134.00, Y133.50, Y133.00

    USD/JPY

    Offers Y120.50, Y120.00, Y119.40/60

    Bids Y118.50, Y118.10/00

    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.7495/500

    Bids stg0.7400

  • 13:29

    Switzerland’s consumer price inflation dropped 0.4% in January

    The Swiss Federal Statistics Office released its consumer inflation data on Tuesday. Switzerland's consumer price index dropped 0.4% in January, in line with expectations, after a 0.5% decline in December.

    On a yearly basis, Switzerland's consumer price index declined to -0.5% in January from -0.3% in December, beating expectations for a 0.6% drop.

    These figures have added to concerns over deflation in Switzerland.

  • 13:00

    European stock markets mid-session: DAX and CAC40 recover from early losses, FTSE100 still negative

    European stocks extended yesterday's losses in early trading but the DAX and CAC40 could recover and are now trading in positive territory. The commodity heavy FTSE100 is weighed down by oil and financial stocks. Fears of a possible Grexit, a Greek Exit from the Eurozone, re-emerge. Greek Defence Minister said that if Greece will get no help from the European Union it can look somewhere else. European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker warned Greece that the Eurozone is not going to accept Tsirpas plans.

    Weak data from China fuelled expectations on further monetary easing by the People's Bank of China. China's consumer inflation hit a five-year low rising just 0.8% from a year before and factory deflation further grew. The Chinese PPI declined for the 35th consecutive time. Deflation grew more-than-expected by -4.3% in January. Economists expected a reading of -3.7%. In December the PPI was at -3.3%. CPI for January came in at +0.8%, lower than the estimated +1.1%, further slowing compared to +1.5% in December.

    The French Industrial Production, month on month, rose by +1.5% in December, beating forecasts for an increase by +0.3%. The solid growth in December came after disappointing data from November with a revised negative growth -0.2%. Year on year Industry output declined -0.1% compared to -2.6% in November.

    While Industrial Production declined, Manufacturing Production rose in December.

    U.K.'s Industrial Production declined by -0.2% on a monthly basis in December according to the U.K. Office for National Statistics, short of expectations for an +0.3% increase. On a yearly basis Industrial Production grew less than predicted +0.5% compared to forecasts of +0.8%. Manufacturing Production grew by a seasonally adjusted 0.1% in December, compared to expectations for an increase of +0.3%. Year on year it rose by +2.4%, beating expectations of +2.0%. Markets await the NIESR GDP Estimate scheduled for 15:00 GMT.

    The FTSE 100 index is currently trading -0.48% quoted at 6,804.33 points. Germany's DAX 30 gained +0.25% trading at 10,689.65. France's CAC 40 is currently trading at 4,669.45 points, +0.39%.

  • 12:20

    Oil: Prices decline as Chinese inflation data and IEA report weighs

    Oil prices declined in today's trading after the International Energy Agency stated that prices are likely to fall as stockpiles will increase. Stockpiles help by OPEC-members will reach an all-time high in the middle of 2015. China's inflation at a five-year low fuelled concerns about the world's second largest oil consumer's economic outlook. Brent Crude lost -0.60%, currently trading at USD57.99 a barrel. On January 13th Crude hit a low at USD45.19 and began to rise on reports on declining rig numbers in the U.S. and capital expenditure cuts. Crude had the biggest 2-week gain in 17 years. West Texas Intermediate declined by -1.23% currently quoted at USD52.21.

    Worldwide supply still exceeds demand in a period of low global economic growth and the OPEC refusing to cut output rates to stabilize prices. Smaller OPEC members want to cut production but the organisation, responsible for 40% of worldwide production focuses on its fight for market share. Rising U.S. stockpiles are contributing to a global glut that drove prices almost 50 percent lower last year. The U.S., Brazil, Russia and the OPEC are producing at record levels.

  • 12:00

    Gold prices almost flat despite Greek concerns and Lunar New Year

    Gold is trading almost flat today despite concerns over Greece, weak equity markets and physical demand due to the upcoming Lunar New Year holidays in China. Yesterday the precious metal was sought after as safe-haven asset on renewed concerns over the developments in Greece after slumping on Friday on U.S. jobs data. Over the weekend Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsirpas ruled out any extension of the international bailout and reaffirmed that he will stick to his plan to roll back austerity measures. On late Friday Standard and Poor's downgraded Greece from B- to B, only one notch higher than "default" and kept the outlook for Greece negative. S&P warned that time is running out for Greece to reach an agreement. Greek Defence Minister said that if Greece will get no help from the European Union it can look somewhere else. European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker warned Greece that the Eurozone is not going to accept Tsirpas plans.

    The precious metal is currently quoted at USD1,238.10, +0,02% a troy ounce. On Thursday the 22nd of January gold reached a five-month high at USD1,307.40.

  • 11:30

    U.K.: Industrial Production declines, Manufacturing Production rises

    While Industrial Production declined, Manufacturing Production rose in December.

    U.K.'s Industrial Production declined by -0.2% on a monthly basis in December according to the U.K. Office for National Statistics, short of expectations for an +0.3% increase. On a yearly basis Industrial Production grew less than predicted +0.5% compared to forecasts of +0.8%.

    Manufacturing Production grew by a seasonally adjusted 0.1% in December, compared to expectations for an increase of +0.3%. Year on year it rose by +2.4%, beating expectations of +2.0%.

    Markets await the NIESR GDP Estimate scheduled for 15:00 GMT.

  • 11:06

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EUR/USD: $1.1350(E516mn), $1.1450(E1.2bn)

    USD/JPY: Y117.00($2.5bn), Y118.00($1.37bn), Y118.50($546mn), Y119.00($380mn)

    GBP/USD: $1.5000(Gbp771mn), $1.5100(Gbp1.6bn), $1.5300(Gbp1.83bn)

    AUD/USD: $0.7650(A$529mn), $0.7900(A$202mn), $0.7925(A$417mn)

    AUD/JPY: Y94.00(A$350mn)

    NZD/USD: $0.7350(NZ$201mn)

    USD/CAD: C$1.2350($300mn), C$1.2415($385mn), C$1.2450($495mn), C$1.2500($381mn)

  • 10:40

    China’s consumer inflation hits a five-year low – fuelling easing hopes

    Weak data from China fuelled expectations on further monetary easing by the People's Bank of China. China's consumer inflation hit a five-year low rising just 0.8% from a year before and factory deflation further grew.

    The Chinese PPI declined for the 35th consecutive time. Deflation grew more-than-expected by -4.3% in January. Economists expected a reading of -3.7%. In December the PPI was at -3.3%.

    CPI for January came in at +0.8%, lower than the estimated +1.1%, further slowing compared to +1.5% in December.

  • 10:31

    United Kingdom: Industrial Production (YoY), December +0.5% (forecast +0.8%)

  • 10:31

    United Kingdom: Manufacturing Production (YoY), December +2.4% (forecast +2.0%)

  • 10:30

    United Kingdom: Industrial Production (MoM), December -0.2% (forecast +0.3%)

  • 10:30

    United Kingdom: Manufacturing Production (MoM) , December +0.1% (forecast +0.3%)

  • 10:20

    Press Review: Brent crude rally ends as China inflation hits five-year low

    BLOOMBERG

    Low-Inflation Inertia Adds Risk of Misfire in Fed Rate-Rise Plan

    (Bloomberg) -- Prices go up and prices go down. At the Federal Reserve, a bigger worry now is that they stay the same.

    U.S. central bankers are betting the economy is near an inflection point where demand is strong enough to create more jobs, eventually nudging both wages and prices higher. A report Friday showed payrolls in the past three months rose the most in 17 years while wages showed the biggest gains since 2008, reinforcing views the threshold is close.

    That should help meet Fed Chair Janet Yellen's requirement for officials to be "reasonably confident" inflation is heading higher before raising interest rates this year.

    The nagging problem that's making them "nervous," says St. Louis Fed President James Bullard: the longer inflation stays below the Fed's 2 percent target -- as it has for 32 months -- the higher the risk that it remains stuck in a low range.

    Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-02-10/low-inflation-inertia-adds-risk-of-misfire-in-fed-rate-rise-plan

    REUTERS
    Brent crude rally ends as China inflation hits five-year low

    (Reuters) - Brent fell below $58 a barrel on Tuesday after China's consumer inflation came in at a five-year low for January, raising worries about oil demand in the world's second-largest economy.

    The International Energy Agency (IEA) also said the United States will remain the world's top source of oil supply growth up to 2020, defying expectations of a dramatic slowdown in shale output and keeping fears of a continuing glut at the forefront.

    Brent crude slipped 64 cents to $57.70 by 0730 GMT (2:30 a.m. EST), ending a three-day rally. The benchmark gained more than 9 percent last week, its biggest weekly rise since February 2011.

    Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/02/10/us-markets-oil-idUSKBN0LE06820150210

    REUTERS
    UK's Osborne says danger of 'very bad outcome' on Greece increasing: Bloomberg

    (Reuters) - British finance minister George Osborne said the danger of a miscalculation leading to a "very bad outcome" between Greece and the euro area is increasing, Bloomberg reported.

    "It's clear that the risks to the world economy, the risk to the British economy of this standoff between the euro zone and Greece, is growing each day," Osborne said in an interview with Bloomberg Television in Istanbul late on Monday.

    "The risks of a miscalculation or a misstep leading to a very bad outcome are growing as well," Osborne said.

    Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/02/10/us-eurozone-greece-britain-idUSKBN0LE0GQ20150210

  • 10:00

    European Stocks. First hour: Indices extend losses on Greece concerns

    European stocks extend yesterday's losses. On Monday indices declined sharply tracking losses on Wall Street and Asia on concerns over economic growth in China and worries about developments in Greece. Over the weekend Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsirpas had ruled out any extension of the international bailout and reaffirmed that he will stick to his plan to roll back austerity measures. On late Friday Standard and Poor's downgraded Greece from B- to B, only one notch higher than "default" and kept the outlook for Greece negative. S&P warned that time is running out for Greece to reach an agreement. Greek Defence Minister said that if Greece will get no help from the European Union it can look somewhere else. European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker warned Greece that the Eurozone is not going to accept Tsirpas plans.

    The French Industrial Production, month on month, rose by +1.5% in December, beating forecasts for an increase by +0.3%. The solid growth in December came after disappointing data from November with a revised negative growth -0.2%. Year on year Industry output declined -0.1% compared to -2.6% in November.

    The FTSE 100 index is currently trading -0.58% quoted at 6,797.16 points. Germany's DAX 30 dropped -0.43% trading at 10,617.82. France's CAC 40 lost -0.20%, currently trading at 4,641.99 points.

  • 09:20

    France: Industrial Production rose more-than-expected in December

    The French Industrial Production, month on month, rose by +1.5% in December, beating forecasts for an increase by +0.3%. The solid growth in December came after disappointing data from November with a revised negative growth -0.2%.

    Year on year Industry output declined -0.1% compared to -2.6% in November.

    The Euro is still trading flat against the greenback at currently USD1.1323.

  • 09:15

    Switzerland: Consumer Price Index (MoM) , January -0.4% (forecast -0.4%)

  • 09:15

    Switzerland: Consumer Price Index (YoY), January -0.5% (forecast -0.6%)

  • 09:00

    Global Stocks: Wall Street and Nikkei lose, Chinese stocks rise the most in a week on stimulus bets

    U.S. markets declined on Monday after Friday's solid jobs data that fuelled speculations on a mid-year rate-hike. Renewed worries over Greek debt negotiations weighed on the markets. On late Friday S&P downgraded Greece from B- to B, only one notch higher than "default" and kept the outlook for Greece negative. Worries over the world's second largest economy, China, also weighed markets down after data on inflation came in below estimates.

    The DOW JONES index lost -0.53% closing at 17,729.21 points. The S&P 500 declined by -0.42% with a final quote of 2,046.74 points with nine out of ten sectors negative. Only the energy sector added gains as oil prices rose.

    Chinese stocks traded higher on Tuesday adding the most in a weak. Weak inflation data from China fuelled expectations on further monetary easing by the People's Bank of China to boost the world's second largest economy. China's consumer inflation hit a five-year low and factory deflation deepened. The Chinese PPI declined more-than-expected by -4.3% in January. Economists expected a reading of -3.7%. In December the PPI was at -3.3%. CPI for January came in at +0.8%, lower than the estimated +1.1% further slowing compared to +1.5% in December. Hong Kong's Hang Seng is trading +0.15% at 24,557.27 points. China's Shanghai Composite closed at 3,141.27 points +1.49%.

    Japan's Nikkei lost on Tuesday, closing -0.36% with a final quote of 17,652.68 points reversing some of its early losses. Concerns over Greece's bailout and its consequences for the whole Eurozone weighed on the index.

  • 08:50

    France: Industrial Production, y/y, December -0.1%

  • 08:45

    France: Industrial Production, m/m, December +1.5% (forecast +0.3%)

  • 08:30

    Foreign exchange market. Asian session: U.S. dollar traded broadly lower against the most major currencies

    (Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual

    00:01 United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y January -0.4% +0.2%

    00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence January 2 3

    00:30 Australia House Price Index (QoQ) Quarter IV +1.4% Revised From +1.5% +2.0% +1.9%

    00:30 Australia House Price Index (YoY) Quarter IV +9.1% +6.8%

    01:30 China PPI y/y January -3.3% -3.7% -4.3%

    01:30 China CPI y/y January +1.5% +1.1% +0.8%

    06:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate January 3.2% 3.2% 3.1%

    The U.S. dollar traded lower against most major currencies but the greenback remained supported and losses were limited by Friday's labour market data. The U.S. economy added 257,000 jobs in January, exceeding expectations for a rise of 231,000 jobs, after a gain of 329,000 jobs in December. December's figure was revised up from a rise of 252,000 jobs. The upbeat jobs report is seen as a strong indication that the Federal Reserve is on track to hike benchmark interest rates in the middle of the year.

    The euro traded almost flat after Friday's slump and yesterday's weak recovery on worries over Greek debt negotiations. On late Friday S&P downgraded Greece from B- to B, only one notch higher than "default" and kept the outlook for Greece negative.

    The Australian dollar rose versus the greenback in Asian trade after data showed moderate housing and business conditions. The National Australia Bank's Business Confidence rose for January to 3 points with a previous reading of 2. The House Price Index quarter on quarter grew less-than-expected by +1.9%in the IV quarter compared to revised +1.4% in the III quarter. Analysts expected a reading of +2.0%. On a yearly basis the Index grew +6.8% in the fourth quarter. In the previous quarter the index grew by +9.1%.

    Weak data from China, Australia's biggest trade partner, fuelled expectations on further monetary easing by the People's Bank of China. China's consumer inflation hit a five-year low and factory deflation deepened. The Chinese PPI declined more-than-expected by -4.3% in January. Economists expected a reading of -3.7%. In December the PPI was at -3.3%. CPI for January came in at +0.8%, lower than the estimated +1.1% further slowing compared to +1.5% in December.

    New Zealand's dollar added gains against the greenback in Asian trade. The RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler said on Wednesday last week that interest rates will remain on hold "for some time".

    The Japanese yen traded flat against the greenback on Tuesday. Japan's Tertiary Industry Index came in lower than expected at -0.3% for December. Analysts expected the index to rise by +0.1% compared to +0.2% in the previous month.

    EUR/USD: the euro traded slightly higher against the greenback

    USD/JPY: the U.S. dollar almost flat against the yen

    GPB/USD: Sterling traded higher against the U.S. dollar

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    07:45 France Industrial Production, m/m December -0.3% +0.3%

    07:45 France Industrial Production, y/y December -2.6%

    08:00 G20 G20 Meetings

    08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) January -0.5% -0.4%

    08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) January -0.3% -0.6%

    09:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) December -0.1% +0.3%

    09:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) December +1.1% +0.8%

    09:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) December +0.7% +0.3%

    09:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) December +2.7% +2.0%

    13:20 U.S. FOMC Member Laker Speaks

    15:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate January +0.6%

    15:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories December +0.8% +0.2%

    15:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings December 4970 4992

    17:45 Canada Gov Council Member Wilkins Speaks

    21:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories February +6.1

  • 07:45

    Switzerland: Unemployment Rate, January 3.1% (forecast 3.2%)

  • 07:23

    Options levels on tuesday, February 10, 2015:

    EUR / USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.1513 (2066)

    $1.1444 (366)

    $1.1396 (236)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.1337

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.1230 (2220)

    $1.1187 (2301)

    $1.1129 (2025)

    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 6 is 97500 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (4903);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 6 is 97424 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (4697);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.00 versus 0.88 from the previous trading day according to data from February, 6

    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.5505 (1670)

    $1.5407 (512)

    $1.5311 (1452)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.5244

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.5186 (540)

    $1.5090 (667)

    $1.4993 (1875)

    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 6 is 21514 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5500 (1670);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 6 is 27168 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5000 (1875);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.26 versus 0.99 from the previous trading day according to data from February, 6

    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 03:03

    Nikkei 225 17,596.07 -115.86 -0.65%, Hang Seng 24,453.23 -67.77 -0.28%, Shanghai Composite 3,086.54 -8.58 -0.28%

  • 02:32

    China: PPI y/y, January -4.3% (forecast -3.7%)

  • 02:30

    China: CPI y/y, January +0.8% (forecast +1.1%)

  • 01:32

    Australia: House Price Index (YoY), Quarter IV +6.8%

  • 01:30

    Australia: National Australia Bank's Business Confidence, January 3

  • 01:30

    Australia: House Price Index (QoQ), Quarter IV +1.9% (forecast +2.0%)

  • 01:02

    United Kingdom: BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y, January +0.2%

  • 00:52

    Japan: Tertiary Industry Index , December -0.3% (forecast +0.1%)

  • 00:32

    Commodities. Daily history for Feb 9’2015:

    (raw materials / closing price /% change)

    Light Crude 52.86 +2.26%

    Gold 1,241.50 +0.56%

  • 00:31

    Stocks. Daily history for Feb 9’2015:

    (index / closing price / change items /% change)

    Nikkei 225 17,711.93 +63.43 +0.36%

    Hang Seng 24,521 -158.39 -0.64%

    Shanghai Composit 3,095.12 +19.22 +0.62%

    FTSE 100 6,837.15 -16.29 -0.24%

    CAC 40 4,651.08 -39.95 -0.85%

    Xetra DAX 10,663.51 -182.88 -1.69%

    S&P 500 2,046.74 -8.73 -0.42%

    NASDAQ Composite 4,726.01 -18.39 -0.39%

    Dow Jones Industrial Average 17,729.21 -95.08 -0.53%

  • 00:30

    Currencies. Daily history for Feb 9’2015:

    (pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,1324 +0,04%

    GBP/USD $1,5215 -0,13%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9234 -0,19%

    USD/JPY Y118,64 -0,16%

    EUR/JPY Y134,34 -0,13%

    GBP/JPY Y180,49 -0,30%

    AUD/USD $0,7800 +0,03%

    NZD/USD $0,7408 +0,73%

    USD/CAD C$1,2466 -0,45%

  • 00:00

    Schedule for today, Tuesday, Feb 10’2015:

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    01:50 Japan Tertiary Industry Index December +0.2% +0.1%

    02:01 United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y January -0.4%

    02:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence January 2

    02:30 Australia House Price Index (QoQ) Quarter IV +1.5% +2.0%

    02:30 Australia House Price Index (YoY) Quarter IV +9.1%

    03:30 China PPI y/y January -3.3% -3.7%

    03:30 China CPI y/y January +1.5% +1.1%

    08:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate January 3.2% 3.2%

    09:45 France Industrial Production, m/m December -0.3% +0.3%

    09:45 France Industrial Production, y/y December -2.6%

    10:00 G20 G20 Meetings

    10:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) January -0.5% -0.4%

    10:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) January -0.3% -0.6%

    11:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) December -0.1% +0.3%

    11:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) December +1.1% +0.8%

    11:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) December +0.7% +0.3%

    11:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) December +2.7% +2.0%

    15:20 U.S. FOMC Member Laker Speaks

    17:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate January +0.6%

    17:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories December +0.8% +0.2%

    17:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings December 4970 4992

    19:45 Canada Gov Council Member Wilkins Speaks

    23:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories February +6.1

Enfoque del mercado
Cuotas
Símbolo Bid Ask Tiempo
AUDUSD
EURUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
XAGEUR
XAGUSD
XAUUSD
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