The dollar depreciated significantly against the euro, reaching a minimum of 13 April. The main pressure on the currency was weak data on the US housing market, which is likely to make the Fed more cautious approach to the issue of rising interest rates in the next few months.
The Commerce Department said that the establishment of new homes in the US fell more than expected in March, while the number of building permits reached a one-year low, suggesting a cooling of the housing market. Bookmarks new homes fell by 8.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate reached 1.09 million units, the lowest level since October. February data were revised to a level of 1.19 million units, compared with earlier estimates of 1.18 million units. Economists had forecast that the bookmarks of new homes will fall to 1170 thousand. Units last month. The fall in the last month pointed to a slowdown in the property market. Nevertheless, the fundamental indicators of the housing market remain strong amid growing labor market. Last month, bookmarks single-family homes, the largest segment of the market, fell by 9.2 percent to 764,000 units, the lowest since October. Building permits fell 7.7 percent to 1.09 million units last month, the lowest level since March last year.
The focus of the comments were also officials of the Federal Reserve System. Fed President Dudley of New York said that the economic conditions in the US "mostly favorable", but the Fed should be cautious when raising interest rates. Boston Fed President Rosengren, however, said the Fed could raise rates faster than currently expected by investors. Futures on interest rates Fed point to 1% probability of a rate hike in April and 20% probability in June.
The pound has appreciated almost 150 pips against the dollar, updating the maximum of the current month. The growth of currency contributed to a general increase in risk appetite and the results of a public opinion poll reporting the excess number of supporters of the preservation of Britain in the European Union. A further increase in couples restrain statements of the Bank of England's Carney. He said that in the event of a serious threat to the Central Bank may lower interest rates. Carney also paid attention to the exit of Britain from the EU, and once again warned about the risks facing the economy in the run-up to the forthcoming referendum. "Voting in favor of leaving the EU could lead to a long period of uncertainty about the economic outlook This, in turn, could put pressure on demand and exports, and to sow doubts about the ability of the economy to continue to grow in the future.", - The head of the Central Bank said. "Also Brekzit may lead to an increase in mortgage interest rates, accelerating inflation and higher bank interest rates in the role of the London financial sector also significantly reduced after the release of the country out of the EU." - Added Carney. Meanwhile, Carney noted that the deterioration of the situation in China could harm Britain than withdrawal from the European Union.
The Canadian dollar rose substantially against the US dollar, reaching a maximum of 10 July 2015, which was due to rising oil prices and widespread weakening of the US currency. Oil futures rise in price, as the oil strike in Kuwait almost halved the volume of production in the country, and overshadowed the bearish sentiment. At the same time, analysts expect that production will fall short again, and soon, investors will focus on an excess of supply. "In the coming days, production in Kuwait may partially recover due to the reallocation of workers to strike is not published, and the use of reserves, which will help to avoid force majeure with loading" - believe Eurasia Group analysts. Investors are also awaiting the publication of the American Petroleum Institute (API) oil reserves. If the API reported a significant fall of stocks, oil prices could rise even more.
A slight effect on the Canadian dollar had the statements of the Bank of Canada's runners. He said that the strong GDP data for Q1 to some extent explained by temporary factors. As for the situation on the currency market, Poloz said that the restoration of the Canadian dollar is related to a change in expectations for monetary policy of the USA and Canada "Despite the fact that recent economic data were generally encouraging, they differ in the variable nature. We have not seen concrete evidence of increasing the volume of investment and accelerating growth in the number of new companies probability that the inflation target will be reached earlier expectations, very low, "-. said the head of the Bank of Canada.
Stock indices closed higher on an increase in oil prices. Oil prices rose as Kuwait's oil production declined on the strike in the oil sector.
Positive economic data from the Eurozone also supported stocks. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research released its economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone on Tuesday. Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index increased to 11.2 in April from 4.3 in March, exceeding expectations for a rise to 8.0.
"Surprisingly positive economic news from China seem to have improved the sentiment amongst financial market experts. On balance, however, the continued poor growth in China and other important emerging markets continues to be a burden for the German export industry. Furthermore, concern about Great Britain's possible exit from the EU seems to be having a negative impact," head of the "International Finance and Financial Management" Research Department at ZEW, Sascha Steffen, said.
Eurozone's ZEW economic sentiment index climbed to 21.5 in April from 10.6 in March, beating expectations for a decline to 8.8.
The European Central Bank (ECB) released its current account on Tuesday. Eurozone's current account surplus declined to a seasonally adjusted €19.0 billion in February from €27.5 billion in January. January's figure was revised up from a surplus of €25.4 billion.
The trade surplus fell to €24.6 billion in February from €30.4 billion in January. The surplus on services increased to €6.8 billion in February from €3.8 billion in January.
The ECB said in a survey on Tuesday that the negative deposit rate had a positive impact on lending volumes.
"Regarding the impact of the ECB's negative deposit facility rate, banks reported a positive impact on lending volumes, specifically for loans to households, but a negative impact on their net interest income and loan margins for the last quarter of 2015 and the first quarter of 2016," the ECB said.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,405.35 +51.83 +0.82 %
DAX 10,349.59 +229.28 +2.27 %
CAC 40 4,566.48 +59.64 +1.32 %
The European Central Bank (ECB) said in a survey on Tuesday that the negative deposit rate had a positive impact on lending volumes.
"Regarding the impact of the ECB's negative deposit facility rate, banks reported a positive impact on lending volumes, specifically for loans to households, but a negative impact on their net interest income and loan margins for the last quarter of 2015 and the first quarter of 2016," the ECB said.
Spain's Finance Minister Luis de Guindos said on Tuesday that the country would miss its budget deficit target this year. He noted that the deficit was expected to be 3.6% of GDP in 2016, higher than the European Commission's target of below 3%.
de Guindos also said that the deficit was expected to be 2.9% of GDP in 2017.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Stephen Poloz said before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance on Tuesday that the recent economic data was encouraging but also quite variable.
He noted that there was no evidence of higher investment.
"We have not yet seen concrete evidence of higher investment and strong firm creation. These are some of the ingredients needed for a return to natural, self-sustaining growth with inflation sustainably on target," Poloz said.
The BoC governor also said that the Canadian economy was hit by a drop in oil prices.
Prices of oil futures jumped more than 2 percent, as oil workers strike in Kuwait almost halved the volume of production in the country, and overshadowed the bearish sentiment.
Thousands of Kuwaiti oil strike a third day to protest against planned pay reform the public sector. Against this background, oil production fell to 1.5 million. Barrels per day, compared with an average of 2.8 million in March. Barrels per day.
"Kuwait supports the strike price of oil," - said Tamas Varga, oil analyst at PVM Oil Associates. At the same time, analysts expect that production will fall short again, and soon, investors will focus on an excess supply on world markets.
"In the coming days, oil production in Kuwait may partially recover due to reallocation of workers to strike is not published, and the use of reserves, which will help to avoid force majeure with loading" - believe experts of Eurasia Group.
Recall, on Sunday, the leading oil producers meeting ended without result: the countries did not manage to come to an agreement regarding the extraction of raw materials freezing. Meanwhile, today the Deputy Minister of oil Javadi Iran said that Iran's oil production may reach dosanktsionnyh levels within two months. Iran has refused to freeze production at the level of January, and wants to return to the level of 4 million barrels per day, on which production was up to the imposition of sanctions.
In the course of trade is also affected by expectations the publication of the American Petroleum Institute (API) oil reserves. If the API reported a significant fall of stocks, oil prices could rise even more. On Wednesday, the US Department of Energy was to publish official data on stocks.
WTI for delivery in May rose to $42.48 a barrel. Brent for May rose to $44.26 a barrel.
Polish equity market closed slightly higher on Tuesday. The broad market measure, the WIG index, added 0.83%. Except for chemicals (-0.14%) and utilities (-0.39%), every sector in the WIG Index rose, with materials (+5.29%) outperforming.
The large-cap benchmark, the WIG30 Index, surged by 0.77%. Within the index components, copper producer KGHM (WSE: KGH) and coal miners BOGDANKA (WSE: LWB) and JSW (WSE: JSW) led the gainers, skyrocketing by 5.29%, 8.83% and 3.43% respectively, supported by rallies in commodities. Other major advancers were oil refiner PKN ORLEN (WSE: PKN), agricultural producer KERNEL (WSE: KER) and bank PEKAO (WSE: PEO), climbing by 2.82%, 2.71% and 2.13% respectively. On the other side of the ledger, genco ENERGA (WSE: ENG), chemical producer GRUPA AZOTY (WSE: ATT) and bank MILLENNIUM (WSE: MIL) were among the weakest performers, dropping by 2.3%, 2.02% and 1.79% respectively.
The Bank of England (BoE) Governor Mark Carney said before the House of Lords economic affairs committee on Tuesday that the uncertainty about the results of the referendum on Britain's membership in the European Union (EU) seemed to weigh on Britain's economy.
He noted that Britain's exit from the EU could have a negative impact on Britain's financial stability, property markets, market liquidity, and on the rest of the EU.
"Some elements of these risks may be beginning to manifest," Carney said.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Glenn Stevens said in a speech on Tuesday that central banks' inability to boost the global growth was the biggest risk to the global financial system.
"Our inability, so far, durably to lift growth prospects is arguably the biggest vulnerability the global financial system faces today. This needs to be our focus," he said.
Stevens also said that ultra-low interest rates for a longer period was a big problem for savers.
Referring to helicopter money, the RBA governor noted that it was easier to start doing helicopter money than to stop.
"Desperate times call for desperate measures, perhaps. Are we that desperate?" he added.
Gold prices rose nearly 2 percent by updating the April, which was caused by the widespread weakening of the US dollar after the release of weak housing data.
"One of the reasons for today's dynamics is the weakening of the dollar. Another reason is that strong demand for silver in Shanghai also has caused the growth of gold purchases, "- said the expert of Lee Cheong Gold Dealers Ronald Leung.
The Commerce Department said that the establishment of new homes in the US fell more than expected in March, while the number of building permits reached a one-year low, suggesting a cooling of the housing market. Bookmarks new homes fell by 8.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate reached 1.09 million units, the lowest level since October. February data were revised to a level of 1.19 million units, compared with earlier estimates of 1.18 million units. Economists had forecast that the bookmarks of new homes will fall to 1170 thousand. Units last month. The fall in the last month pointed to a slowdown in the property market. Nevertheless, the fundamental indicators of the housing market remain strong amid growing labor market. Last month, bookmarks single-family homes, the largest segment of the market, fell by 9.2 percent to 764,000 units, the lowest since October. Building permits fell 7.7 percent to 1.09 million units last month, the lowest level since March last year.
World stocks rose on Tuesday, but it did not dampen the demand for gold, which is often seen as a hedge against risk.
Traders are also watching the comments of officials of the Federal Reserve System, to assess the prospects for US monetary policy. Earlier today the President of the New York Fed, William Dudley said that the economic conditions in the US, "mainly favorable," but the Fed should be cautious when raising interest rates. Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren, however, said the Fed could raise rates faster than currently expected by investors. "Gold is likely to continue to rise in price in the second quarter, because the dollar will remain relatively weak due to the revision of the expectations of the Fed raising interest rates," - said an analyst at Mitsubishi Corp Jonathan Butler.
Meanwhile, today, China - the largest consumer of gold - will launch its light gold prices in an attempt to gain more control over pricing and enhance the impact on the market
The cost of the June gold futures on the COMEX today rose $ 20.6 to $ 1255.7 per ounce.
Kuwait's crude output dropped to 1.1 million barrels a day on Sunday, down from 2.8 million barrels a day in March due to the strike in the oil sector. The strike is open-ended.
A spokesman for Kuwait's oil ministry said on Tuesday that the oil output rose to 1.5 million barrels a day on today. The oil output still below the output for March.
Iran's oil deputy minister Rokneddin Javadi said on Tuesday that the country's oil output would reach 4 million barrels a day level in June.
Major U.S. stock-indexes moxed. Dow Jones industrial average were slightly higher on Tuesday as crude rose after an oil workers' strike in Kuwait hurt output. The Nasdaq composite edged lower, weighed by a 23% slide in Illumina. The diagnostic test maker's shares were trading at $138.50 after its preliminary results fell short of expectations.
Most if Dow stocks in positive are (22 of 30). Top looser - International Business Machines Corporation (IBM, -5,32%). Top gainer - The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS +2,36%).
All S&P sectors in positive area. Top gainer - Basic Materials (+1,9%).
At the moment:
Dow 17981.00 +53.00 +0.30%
S&P 500 2095.00 +8.25 +0.40%
Nasdaq 100 4545.50 -1.00 -0.02%
Oil 42.63 +1.44 +3.50%
Gold 1255.30 +20.30 +1.64%
U.S. 10yr 1.80 +0.02
Business NZ released its performance of services index for New Zealand on late Monday evening. The index fell to 54.8 in March from 56.7 in February. It was the lowest level since November 2014It was
February's figure was revised down from 56.9.
A reading above 50.0 indicates the expansion of activity.
The fall was driven by declines in all sub-indexes.
The afternoon March data on construction permits and commenced construction projects were disappointing. Despite on a y/y basis there's some increase in the permits, the latter declined slightly in relation to the previous month and are at the lowest level of the year so far.
The market in the US starts trading from cautious growth -
The Warsaw market, due to the favourable developments on the copper market, posted a noticeable upward move on KGHM shares which drove up the WIG20 index to the level of 1,960 points.
USD/JPY 108.50 (USD 366m) 110.00 (1.07bln) 110.50 (599m)
EUR/USD: 1.1300 (EUR 361m) 1.1310-25 (603m) 1.1400 (534m) 1.1460 (245m)
AUD/USD: 0.7590 (AUD 210m) 0.7750 (388m)
USD/CAD 1.2250 (USD 400m) 1.2900 (598m) 1.3100 (235m)
AUD/JPY 84.65 (AUD 236m)
The Italian statistical office Istat released its industrial production data on Tuesday. Industrial production in Italy climbed at a seasonally-adjusted rate of 0.3% in February, after a 1.6% decline in January. January's figure was revised down from a 1.9% rise.
On a yearly basis, industrial production in Italy jumped at a seasonally-adjusted rate of 0.3% in February, after a 1.7% decrease in January.
The construction cost index for residential buildings remained unchanged in February compared with the previous month, the cost index for road construction with tunnel section fell by 0.3%, while the cost index for road construction without tunnel section declined by 0.3%.
The Bank of Italy released its current account on Tuesday. Italy's current account surplus rose €1.38 billion in February from €1.09 billion in February last year.
The goods trade surplus rose to €4.36 billion in February from €4.25 billion in February last year.
The deficit on services increased to €1.13 billion in February from €972 million in February last year.
The primary income surplus was €282 million in February, while the secondary income deficit was €2.13 billion.
U.S. stock-index futures advanced.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 16,874.44 +598.49 +3.68%
Hang Seng 21,436.21 +274.71 +1.30%
Shanghai Composite 3,042.95 +9.29 +0.31%
FTSE 6,381.12 +27.60 +0.43%
CAC 4,558.3 +51.46 +1.14%
DAX 10,347.57 +227.26 +2.25%
Crude oil $40.25 (+1.18%)
Gold $1252.10 (+1.38%)
(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)
3M Co | MMM | 170 | 0.45(0.2654%) | 1406 |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 10.21 | 0.12(1.1893%) | 49635 |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 61.74 | -0.43(-0.6916%) | 7374 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 637.11 | 1.76(0.277%) | 20913 |
American Express Co | AXP | 62.87 | 0.28(0.4474%) | 2000 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 108 | 0.52(0.4838%) | 118312 |
AT&T Inc | T | 38.77 | 0.12(0.3105%) | 7400 |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 16.2 | 0.38(2.402%) | 227857 |
Boeing Co | BA | 132.77 | 0.80(0.6062%) | 1370 |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 79.64 | 0.39(0.4921%) | 2250 |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 99.02 | 0.32(0.3242%) | 2399 |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 28.38 | 0.19(0.674%) | 9306 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 45.4 | 0.29(0.6429%) | 76112 |
E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co | DD | 64.7 | -0.00(-0.00%) | 751 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 85.99 | 0.21(0.2448%) | 4705 |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 111.15 | 0.70(0.6338%) | 154437 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 13.36 | 0.11(0.8302%) | 35525 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 11.23 | 0.21(1.9056%) | 313352 |
General Electric Co | GE | 31.15 | 0.09(0.2898%) | 15290 |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 31.4 | 0.09(0.2874%) | 3656 |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 157.5 | -1.52(-0.9559%) | 111662 |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 769.99 | 3.38(0.4409%) | 5001 |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 137 | 0.20(0.1462%) | 3695 |
Intel Corp | INTC | 31.75 | 0.10(0.316%) | 31021 |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 146.45 | -6.08(-3.9861%) | 128942 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 111.2 | 0.27(0.2434%) | 45346 |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 62.45 | 0.18(0.2891%) | 9939 |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 129.3 | 0.45(0.3492%) | 13555 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 56.76 | 0.30(0.5313%) | 48094 |
Nike | NKE | 59.86 | 0.29(0.4868%) | 2190 |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 32.75 | 0.14(0.4293%) | 7067 |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 82.96 | 0.13(0.1569%) | 2007 |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 61.16 | 0.27(0.4434%) | 2987 |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 255 | 1.12(0.4412%) | 14895 |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 46.29 | 0.07(0.1515%) | 1902 |
Travelers Companies Inc | TRV | 116.64 | 0.63(0.5431%) | 685 |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 17.44 | 0.13(0.751%) | 40259 |
United Technologies Corp | UTX | 105.47 | 0.34(0.3234%) | 200 |
UnitedHealth Group Inc | UNH | 129.9 | 2.09(1.6352%) | 26185 |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 51.95 | 0.22(0.4253%) | 1300 |
Visa | V | 81.66 | 0.21(0.2578%) | 3603 |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 69.91 | 0.05(0.0716%) | 882 |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 101.86 | 0.38(0.3745%) | 12358 |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 36.52 | 0.00(0.00%) | 19743 |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 17.37 | 0.20(1.1648%) | 1619 |
The U.S. Commerce Department released the housing market data on Tuesday. Housing starts in the U.S. dropped 8.8% to 1.089 million annualized rate in March from a 1.194 million pace in February, missing expectations for a decrease to 1.170 million. It was the lowest level since October 2015.
February's figure was revised up from 1.178 million units.
The drop was driven by declines in starts of single-family and multi-family homes.
Housing market benefits from the strengthening of the labour market.
Building permits in the U.S. fell 7.7% to 1.086 million annualized rate in March from a 1.177 million pace in February, missing expectations for a 1,200 million pace. It was the lowest level since March 2015.
Starts of single-family homes slid 9.2% in March. Building permits for single-family homes were down 1.2%.
Starts of multi-family buildings fell 7.9% in March. Permits for multi-family housing slid 18.6%.
Upgrades:
Downgrades:
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) downgraded to Sell from Underperform at Credit Agricole
Other:
AT&T (T) target raised to $44 from $39 at Nomura
Facebook (FB) target raised to $130 from $115 at Needham
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes
08:00 Eurozone Current account, unadjusted, bln February 8.3 Revised From 6.3 11.1
09:00 Eurozone Construction Output, y/y February 4.9% Revised From 6% 2.5%
09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment April 10.6 8.8 21.5
09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment April 4.3 8 11.2
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the release of the U.S. housing market data. Housing starts in the U.S. are expected to decline to 1.170 million units in March from 1.178 million units in February.
The number of building permits is expected to increase to 1.200 million units in March from 1.177 million units in February.
The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the release of the positive economic data from the Eurozone. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research released its economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone on Tuesday. Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index increased to 11.2 in April from 4.3 in March, exceeding expectations for a rise to 8.0.
"Surprisingly positive economic news from China seem to have improved the sentiment amongst financial market experts. On balance, however, the continued poor growth in China and other important emerging markets continues to be a burden for the German export industry. Furthermore, concern about Great Britain's possible exit from the EU seems to be having a negative impact," head of the "International Finance and Financial Management" Research Department at ZEW, Sascha Steffen, said.
Eurozone's ZEW economic sentiment index climbed to 21.5 in April from 10.6 in March, beating expectations for a decline to 8.8.
The European Central Bank (ECB) released its current account on Tuesday. Eurozone's current account surplus declined to a seasonally adjusted €19.0 billion in February from €27.5 billion in January. January's figure was revised up from a surplus of €25.4 billion.
The trade surplus fell to €24.6 billion in February from €30.4 billion in January. The surplus on services increased to €6.8 billion in February from €3.8 billion in January.
The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic data from the U.K.
The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar ahead of a speech by the Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz.
EUR/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.1349
GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.4387
USD/JPY: the currency pair climbed to Y109.48
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 U.S. Housing Starts March 1178 1170
12:30 U.S. Building Permits March 1177 1200
13:30 Australia RBA's Governor Glenn Stevens Speech
14:30 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks
15:00 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks
23:50 Japan Tertiary Industry Index February 1.5%
23:50 Japan Trade Balance Total, bln March 242.8 834.6
UnitedHealth reported Q1 FY 2016 earnings of $1.81 per share (versus $1.46 in Q1 FY 2015), beating analysts' consensus of $1.72.
The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $44.527 bln (+24.5% y/y), slightly above consensus estimate of $44.279 bln.
UnitedHealth also issued guidance for FY16, raising EPS to $7.75-7.95 from previously projected $7.60-7.80 (versus analysts' consensus estimate of $7.73) and revenues to approx. $182 bln from $180 bln (versus analysts' consensus estimate of $181.59 bln).
UNH rose to $130.00 (+1.71%) in pre-market trading.
EUR/USD
Offers: 1.1350 1.1365 1.1385 1.1400 1.1420 1.1450 1.1465-70 1.1500
Bids: 1.1320 1.1300 1.1275-80 1.1250 1.1235 1.1220 1.1200 1.1180 1.1160 1.1150
GBP/USD
Offers: 1.4350 1.4370 1.4390-1.4400 1.4420 1.4450 1.4480 1.4500
Bids: 1.4300 1.4280 1.4250 1.4230 1.4200 1.4180-85 1.4165 1.4150 1.4120-25 1.4100
EUR/JPY
Offers: 123.85 124.00 124.30 124.50 124.75 125.00 125.30 125.50
Bids: 123.50 123.20 123.00 122.80 122.50 122.00 121.75-80 121.50 121.30 121.00
EUR/GBP
Offers: 0.7925-30 0.7950 0.7980 0.8000 0.8020 0.8030 0.8050
Bids: 0.7900 0.7880 0.7850 0.7830 0.7800 0.7780 0.7750
USD/JPY
Offers: 109.10 109.30 109.50 109.75-80 110.00 110.20 110.50
Bids: 108.75-80 108.50 108.20 108.00 107.80-85 107.60-65 107.50
AUD/USD
Offers: 0.7820 0.7850 0.7880 0.7900 0.7930 0.7950
Bids: 0.7760 0.7740 0.7700 0.7680 0.7650 0.7620-25 0.7600 0.7580 0.7550
Johnson & Johnson reported Q1 FY 2016 earnings of $1.68 per share (versus $1.56 in Q1 FY 2015), beating analysts' consensus of $1.65.
The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $17.482 bln (+0.60% y/y), almost in-line with analysts' consensus estimate of $17.491 bln.
Johnson & Johnson also issued guidance for FY16, raising EPS to $6.53-6.68 from previously expected $6.43-6.58 (versus analysts' consensus of $6.53) and revenues to $71.2-71.9 bln from previously expected $70.8-71.5 bln (versus analysts' consensus of $71.54 bln).
JNJ rose to $112.50 (+1.42%) in pre-market trading.
Today's session seems to unfold into the continuation of yesterday's strong attitude of the market, which would not subside despite the potentially favorable external conditions. The German market has been influenced by the positive ZEW index readings that were just released, and the DAX index is gaining more than 2%.
By the middle of the session, the WIG20 index reached the level of 1963 point (+ 0.90%) on the turnover of PLN 201 mln.
Stock indices traded higher on an increase in oil prices. Oil prices rose as Kuwait's oil production declined on the strike in the oil sector.
Positive economic data from the Eurozone also supported stocks. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research released its economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone on Tuesday. Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index increased to 11.2 in April from 4.3 in March, exceeding expectations for a rise to 8.0.
"Surprisingly positive economic news from China seem to have improved the sentiment amongst financial market experts. On balance, however, the continued poor growth in China and other important emerging markets continues to be a burden for the German export industry. Furthermore, concern about Great Britain's possible exit from the EU seems to be having a negative impact," head of the "International Finance and Financial Management" Research Department at ZEW, Sascha Steffen, said.
Eurozone's ZEW economic sentiment index climbed to 21.5 in April from 10.6 in March, beating expectations for a decline to 8.8.
The European Central Bank (ECB) released its current account on Tuesday. Eurozone's current account surplus declined to a seasonally adjusted €19.0 billion in February from €27.5 billion in January. January's figure was revised up from a surplus of €25.4 billion.
The trade surplus fell to €24.6 billion in February from €30.4 billion in January. The surplus on services increased to €6.8 billion in February from €3.8 billion in January.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,394.64 +41.12 +0.65 %
DAX 10,340.48 +220.17 +2.18 %
CAC 40 4,564.75 +57.91 +1.28 %
The European Central Bank (ECB) released its current account on Tuesday. Eurozone's current account surplus declined to a seasonally adjusted €19.0 billion in February from €27.5 billion in January. January's figure was revised up from a surplus of €25.4 billion.
The trade surplus fell to €24.6 billion in February from €30.4 billion in January.
The surplus on services increased to €6.8 billion in February from €3.8 billion in January.
The primary income surplus fell to €1.4 billion in February from €3.2 billion in January, while the secondary income deficit increased to €13.8 billion from €9.9 billion.
Eurozone's unadjusted current account surplus climbed to €11.1 billion in February from €8.3 billion in January. January's figure was revised up from a surplus of €6.3 billion.
The Eurostat released its construction production data for the Eurozone on Tuesday. Construction production in the Eurozone declined 1.1% in February, after a 2.4% rise in January. January's figure was revised down from a 3.6% rise.
Civil engineering output rose 0.9% in February, while production in the building sector was down 1.5%.
On a yearly basis, construction output rose 2.5% in February, after a 4.9% gain in January. January's figure was revised down from a 6.0% increase.
Civil engineering output increased 1.3% year-on-year in February, while production in the building sector climbed 2.8%.
The ZEW Center for European Economic Research released its economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone on Tuesday. Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index increased to 11.2 in April from 4.3 in March, exceeding expectations for a rise to 8.0.
The assessment of the current situation in Germany declined by 3.0 points to 47.7 points.
"Surprisingly positive economic news from China seem to have improved the sentiment amongst financial market experts. On balance, however, the continued poor growth in China and other important emerging markets continues to be a burden for the German export industry. Furthermore, concern about Great Britain's possible exit from the EU seems to be having a negative impact," head of the "International Finance and Financial Management" Research Department at ZEW, Sascha Steffen, said.
Eurozone's ZEW economic sentiment index climbed to 21.5 in April from 10.6 in March, beating expectations for a decline to 8.8.
The assessment of the current situation in the Eurozone fell by 0.3 points to -12.1 points.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its minutes from April monetary policy meeting on Tuesday. The RBA said that the Australian economy expanded moderately in the December quarter.
The Australian inflation was likely to remain at low levels over the next year or two, the RBA said.
According to the central bank, the monetary policy should be accommodative, while low interest rates should help to support the consumer demand and the activity in the housing market.
Members said that a stronger Australian dollar could have a negative impact on rebalancing towards the non-mining sectors of the economy.
The central bank noted that it could ease monetary policy further if needed, the minutes said.
The RBA kept unchanged its interest rate at 2.00% in April.
The Conference Board (CB) released its leading economic index for Australia on Monday. The leading economic index (LEI) fell 0.3% in February, after a 0.5% decline in January.
The coincident index increased 0.1% in February, after a flat reading in January.
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said in an interview with the Wall Street Journal over weekend that a stronger yen could weigh on inflation and could lead to further stimulus measures by the central bank.
"If excessive appreciation continues, that could affect not just actual inflation, but even the trend in inflation through its impact on business confidence, business activity, and even through inflation expectations," he said.
Kuroda pointed out that the exchange rate of the yen was the target of the BoJ's monetary policy, adding that the BoJ continued to closely monitor exchange-rate movements.
BoJ governor reiterated that the central bank would add further stimulus measures if needed to reach 2% inflation target.
Kuroda noted that there was room for further cut in interest rates, technically and theoretically speaking.
Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said in a speech on Monday that the U.S. economy was strong enough for further interest rates.
"The outlook is strong enough to engender further decline in the unemployment rate, even with some gradual normalization of interest rates," he said.
Rosengren noted that markets were too pessimistic regarding the Fed's monetary policy.
"While I believe that gradual federal funds rate increases are absolutely appropriate, I do not see that the risks are so elevated, nor the outlook so pessimistic, as to justify the exceptionally shallow interest rate path currently reflected in financial futures markets," Boston Fed president said.
Rosengren is a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said in an interview on Monday that the U.S. economy was in "uncharted waters".
"Even now, with the current economic environment, we're still in somewhat uncharted waters, and Chair Yellen has been bringing real creativity and real open-mindedness to how we approach monetary policy. That's the right thing for the country," he said.
Kashkari noted that developments abroad had an impact on the U.S. economy.
"Clearly what happens in global financial markets, as an example, will affect the U.S. economy. We can't be blind to the fact that actions we take could affect global economic developments, which in turn will have an effect on our economy. We need to think about those feedback loops, and I believe that we do," Minneapolis Fed president said.
Kashkari is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.
USD/JPY 108.50 (USD 366m) 110.00 (1.07bln) 110.50 (599m)
EUR/USD: 1.1300 (EUR 361m) 1.1310-25 (603m) 1.1400 (534m) 1.1460 (245m)
AUD/USD: 0.7590 (AUD 210m) 0.7750 (388m)
USD/CAD 1.2250 (USD 400m) 1.2900 (598m) 1.3100 (235m)
AUD/JPY 84.65 (AUD 236m)
Commodity currencies rose on Tuesday with the Australian dollar hitting a 10-month high while the yen edged lower after oil prices appeared to stabilize from a sharp slide, underpinning risk sentiment.
The Aussie and other commodity currencies benefited from oil's bounce off lows touched on Monday, when they came under pressure after major oil producing countries failed to agree on an output freeze on Sunday. As risk appetite in broader financial markets also recovered, the U.S. dollar held the upper hand against the low-yielding yen.
The yen showed little reaction to news that Japan's government nominated Takako Masai, an executive at Shinsei Bank Ltd and an advocate of aggressive monetary easing, to join the Bank of Japan's policy board. New York Fed President William Dudley, seen as close to the Fed's mainstream thinking, said on Monday U.S. economic conditions are "mostly favorable" yet the Federal Reserve remains cautious in raising interest rates because threats loom. Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said in an interview with the Wall Street Journal that the trend in inflation could be affected if the yen continued to appreciate excessively.
EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $1.1375-05
GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.4160
USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to Y107.80
Based on Reuters materials
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1459 (3712)
$1.1429 (2063)
$1.1384 (927)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1335
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1273 (2718)
$1.1228 (3534)
$1.1198 (3707)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 6 is 34836 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (4013);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 6 is 48826 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0900 (4793);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.40 versus 1.43 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 18
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.4603 (1462)
$1.4505 (2772)
$1.4408 (2151)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.4325
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.4286 (266)
$1.4191 (1067)
$1.4094 (1640)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 6 is 25109 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4500 (2772);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 6 is 30811 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3850 (4053);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.23 versus 1.22 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 18
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
Morning mood of market participants in Asia has definitely been better than yesterday, reflecting recent advances of Wall Street's major indexes that rose to the new highs and calmly reacted to the lack of consensus in Doha. Nikkei rose more than 3%, and European indices are likely to be making up for the previous losses either. However, we don't look at this comeback as if it is something coming off a new inspiration to trade. We do not see the latter in the morning, so the beginning of the session in Europe is most likely going to be quiet.
In the macro calendar, today ZEW index will be announced in Germany as well as data on industrial production and retail sales in Poland.
Yesterday's behavior of the Warsaw Stock Exchange showed that the Polish market is still under the influence of the environment and the activity remains relatively subdued. This day should not change anything. From a technical point of view the market today can combat with the level of 1,950 points on the WIG20 index.
European stock markets erased earlier losses and finished in the green on Monday as traders looked beyond the impact of a failed attempt by major oil producers to agree on an output freeze.
U.S. stocks closed higher Monday at their best levels in several months as Wall Street shrugged off a drop in crude futures, after a closely watched meeting of major producers in Doha, Qatar, on Sunday failed to result in a hoped-for freeze of oil output.
Shares in Asia markets rose Tuesday, with Japan leading gains as the yen eased off recent strength. Stock markets rose in most other Asia markets. Investors were less worried about volatility in the price of crude oil, which rebounded after a brief slip overnight.
Based on MarketWatch materials
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 40.05+0.68%
Gold 1,235.00 0.00%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 16,275.95 -572.08 -3.40 %
Hang Seng 21,161.5 -154.97 -0.73 %
S&P/ASX 200 5,137.06 -20.43 -0.40 %
Shanghai Composite 3,034.07 -44.05 -1.43 %
FTSE 100 6,353.52 +9.77 +0.15 %
CAC 40 4,506.84 +11.67 +0.26 %
Xetra DAX 10,120.31 +68.74 +0.68 %
S&P 500 2,094.34 +13.61 +0.65 %
NASDAQ Composite 4,960.02 +21.80 +0.44 %
Dow Jones 18,004.16 +106.70 +0.60 %
(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1312 +0,22%
GBP/USD $1,4275 +0,51%
USD/CHF Chf0,9643 -0,34%
USD/JPY Y108,85 +0,09%
EUR/JPY Y123,13 +0,35%
GBP/JPY Y155,36 +0,59%
AUD/USD 0,7749 +0,36%
NZD/USD $0,6956 +0,55%
USD/CAD C$1,2689 -1,02%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes
08:00 Eurozone Current account, unadjusted, bln February 6.3
09:00 Eurozone Construction Output, y/y February 6%
09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment April 10.6
09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment April 4.3 8
12:30 U.S. Housing Starts March 1178 1170
12:30 U.S. Building Permits March 1177 1200
13:30 Australia RBA's Governor Glenn Stevens Speech
14:30 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks
15:00 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks
23:50 Japan Tertiary Industry Index February 1.5%
23:50 Japan Trade Balance Total, bln March 242.8 834.6