The US dollar rose significantly against the euro, updating yesterday's high. Experts point out that the cause of this trend was the resumption of purchases of the US currency against the background of positive statistics on the US housing market. Meanwhile, some investors opted to take profits on the part of the pair EUR / USD after a three-day increase. Today, the National Association of Realtors reported that home sales in the secondary market rose in March and were slightly higher compared with a year earlier. The total volume of home sales in the secondary market jumped 5.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate reached 5.33 million. Compared with a downwardly revised level of 5.07 million in February. Sales rose in all four major regions and were 1.5 percent higher than in March 2015. Lawrence Yun, the NAR economist, said that home sales showed a good recovery in March, after an uncharacteristically large decline in February. The average house price in the secondary market for all housing types was $ 222,700, which is 5.7 percent higher than in March 2015. The increase in prices in March was noted in the 49 th month in a row. Total housing inventory increased by 5.9 percent to 1.98 million homes, but still remained 1.5 percent lower than a year ago (2.01 million). At the current sales rate 4.5 months is required to sell stocks in the market, as compared with 4.4 months in February.
Market participants are also starting to switch attention to tomorrow's ECB meeting. Many experts believe that the ECB will not run additional measures to support the economy, and would prefer to wait for the effects of the recent large-scale measures. Recall that last month the ECB lowered all interest rates, increased the size of the quantitative easing program and announced the launch of a new series of four targeted long-term refinancing operations (TLTRO), each with a term of four years. Reuters survey showed that most analysts do not expect further reduction of the ECB. Analysts also believe that negative rates will not harm the euro-zone economy, and low GDP growth and inflation in the region is a result of weak demand. Most likely, during the April meeting of the Central Bank will focus on the details of his previous statements and try to shed more light on the details of the new program for the purchase of bonds.
The British pound traded mixed against the dollar, but generally remains in a narrow range. Market participants continue to analyze data on the labor market in Britain, as well as waiting for tomorrow's publication of statistics on retail sales, which will have an important role against the backdrop of slowing activity in most sectors of the economy. The Office for National Statistics reported that the unemployment rate was 5.1 percent in the three months to February. The indicator has not changed compared to the previous three months and matched economists' expectations. The employment rate was 74.1 percent, the highest level since records began in 1971 data. Average earnings including bonuses rose by 1.8 percent, and excluding bonuses rose by 2.2 per cent compared with a year earlier. In March, the level of applications for unemployment benefits remained unchanged at 2.1 percent, as expected by economists. The number of people claiming benefits rose by 6,700, confounding expectations for a decline of 11,300.
The impact on the pound also provided news related to "Brekzitom". the latest survey results, presented the agency Ipsos MORI, indicated that 49% of British people in favor of preserving the country within the EU, and only 39% - for withdrawal from the. Recall that in March this ratio was 49% and 41%, respectively. The main reason that most people want to stay in the EU, is the fear of the consequences for the economy.
The Canadian dollar rose modestly against the US dollar, updating yesterday's high and briefly breaking CAD1.2600 mark (for the first time from 6 July 2015). The main support provided currency rise in price of oil futures on the background on US petroleum inventories report, which pointed to a smaller-than-expected increase in crude oil stocks. US Department of Energy reported that in the week of April 9-15, oil stocks rose 2.1 million barrels to 538.6 million barrels (historic high for this time of year). Analysts had expected an increase of reserves by 2.5 million. Barrels. Oil reserves in Cushing terminal fell 248,000 barrels to 64.3 million barrels. Gasoline inventories fell by 110,000 barrels to 239.7 million barrels. Analysts had expected a drop of 1.5 million barrels. Meanwhile, refining capacity utilization rate increased by 0.2% to 89.4%. Analysts expected an increase of 0.1%. Also, the data showed that oil production in the US in the week April 9-15, fell to 8.953 million barrels per day versus 8.977 million barrels the previous week.
Major U.S. stock-indexes slightly higher on Wednesday as a recovery in oil added to the boost from earnings reports that beat tempered expectations. Crude pared earlier losses after a report showed a less-than-expected build in U.S. stockpiles. A three-day strike by Kuwaiti oil workers had driven prices higher and helped the S&P 500 breach 2,100 on Tuesday, about 30 points shy of its record high.
Investors are focused on the earnings season as they seek catalysts to drive stocks higher. Big-bank earnings reports last week were better than expected and helped lift sentiment, even though expectations for profit growth are bleak.
Most of Dow stocks in positive area (18 of 30). Top looser - The Coca-Cola Company (KO, -4,44%). Top gainer - UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH +2,77%).
S&P sectors mixed. Top looser - Conglomerates (-0,7%). Top gainer - Basic Materials (+0,8%).
At the moment:
Dow 18031.00 +70.00 +0.39%
S&P 500 2099.25 +5.50 +0.26%
Nasdaq 100 4547.75 +21.00 +0.46%
Oil 43.51 +1.04 +2.45%
Gold 1255.70 +1.40 +0.11%
U.S. 10yr 1.81 +0.02
Stock indices closed higher as oil prices rebounded. Oil prices rose on the U.S. crude oil inventories data. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Wednesday, U.S. crude inventories rose by 2.08 million barrels to 538.6 million in the week to April 15. Analysts had expected U.S. crude oil inventories to rise by 2.5 million barrels.
Market participants also eyed the economic data from the Germany. Destatis released its producer price index (PPI) for Germany on Wednesday. German PPI producer prices were flat in March, missing expectations for a 0.2% rise, after a 0.5% drop in February.
On a yearly basis, German PPI dropped 3.1% in March, missing expectations for a 2.9% decrease, after a 3.0% fall in February. It was the biggest drop since January 2010.
PPI excluding energy sector fell by 0.9% year-on-year in March. Energy prices were down 9.2% year-on-year in March.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its labour market data on Wednesday. The U.K. unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.1% in the December to February quarter, in line with expectations.
The claimant count rose by 6,700 people in March, missing expectations for a fall by 11,300, after a decrease of 9,300 people in February. February's figure was revised down from a 18,000 decrease.
U.K. unemployment in the November to January period increased by 21,000 to 1.7 million from the previous quarter. It was the first rise since the May-July quarter of 2015.
The employment rate remained unchanged at 74.1% in the December to February quarter. It was the highest reading since 1971.
Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, climbed by 2.2% in the December to February quarter, after a 2.2% gain in the November to January quarter.
Average weekly earnings, including bonuses, rose by 1.8% in the December to February quarter, in missing expectations for a 2.3% gain, after a 2.1% increase in the November to January quarter.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,410.26 +4.91 +0.08 %
DAX 10,421.29 +71.70 +0.69 %
CAC 40 4,591.92 +25.44 +0.56 %
Germany's Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel said on Wednesday that the European Central Bank's monetary policy reached its limits.
"Printing money is not a sustainable economic policy," he said.
Oil futures prices rise moderately, continuing yesterday's trend. The market has a report on US petroleum reserves, which have a smaller-than-expected increase in crude oil stocks.
Further price increases constrain news of the completion of a three-day strike of Kuwaiti oil. According to Kuwait increased production to 1.6 million barrels per day compared to 1.1 million barrels per day on Sunday. However, such production volumes are still significantly below the March figure of 2.8 million barrels per day. "Kuwait is returned to full production, and we expected that oil will fall even further after the failure of the Doha meeting", - said the chief raw SEB analyst Bjarne Shildrop. Recall oil-producing countries following the meeting in Doha on April 17 failed to come to an agreement on freezing oil production. The next time a possible freeze of production will be discussed at the OPEC meeting in Vienna in June.
Meanwhile, the US Department of Energy reported that in the week of April 9-15, oil stocks rose 2.1 million barrels to 538.6 million barrels (historic high for this time of year). Analysts had expected an increase of reserves by 2.5 million. Barrels. Oil reserves in Cushing terminal fell 248,000 barrels to 64.3 million barrels. Gasoline inventories fell by 110,000 barrels to 239.7 million barrels. Analysts had expected a drop of 1.5 million barrels. Distillate stocks fell by 3.6 million barrels to 159.9 million barrels. Analysts predicted that distillate stocks remain unchanged. Meanwhile, refining capacity utilization rate increased by 0.2% to 89.4%. Analysts expected an increase of 0.1%. Also, the data showed that oil production in the US in the week April 9-15, fell to 8.953 million barrels per day versus 8.977 million barrels the previous week. Recall yesterday's report from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed that crude oil inventories last week rose by 3.1 mln. Barrels, while analysts had expected growth of 2.4 million. Barrels. Oil reserves in Cushing terminal fell by 0.2 million barrels, gasoline inventories -.. By 1.02 million barrels, while distillate stocks - by 2.3 million barrels..
WTI for delivery in May rose to $42.77 a barrel. Brent for May rose to $44.53 a barrel.
Polish equities closed flat on Wednesday. The broad market measure, the WIG Index, inched up 0.08%. Sector performance within the WIG Index was mixed. Banking sector (-0.98%) fared the worst, while materials (+1.90%) outperformed.
The large-cap stocks' measure, the WIG30 Index, dropped by 0.18%. In the index basket, banks MBANK (WSE: MBK) and MILLENNIUM (WSE: MIL) were the poorest performers, slumping 3.57% and 3.28% respectively on analyst downgrade. They were followed by agricultural producer KERNEL (WSE: KER) and FMCG-wholesaler EUROCASH (WSE: EUR), tumbling 2.54% and 2.15% respectively. On the plus side, genco TAURON PE (WSE: TPE), thermal coal miner BOGDANKA (WSE: LWB), footwear retailer CCC (WSE: CCC) and copper producer KGHM (WSE: KGH) posted the best gains, returning 2.01%-3.17%.
Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Ian McCafferty said in a speech on Wednesday that wage growth could pick up faster once inflation starts to rise.
"Although the pick-up in wages as the labour market has tightened appears to have been interrupted by current low inflation, once CPI (consumer price index) inflation starts to rise, behaviour is likely to revert, and wage inflation may rise surprisingly quickly in response," he said.
McCafferty noted that the uncertainty around the referendum on Britain's membership in the European Union weighed on business investment in Britain.
"Very recently there have been some signs that increased uncertainty linked to the outcome of the EU referendum to be held on 23 June may weigh on investment in coming months, such that we may see a slight softening in GDP growth through the summer," he said.
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda signals on Wednesday that the central bank could ease its monetary policy further, saying that the BoJ's presence in the exchange-traded fund (ETF) market was "not too big".
Kuroda pointed out that helicopter money was not an option for the central bank.
"It's unthinkable. The BOJ isn't thinking about this at all," the BoJ governor said.
Gold futures again traded in the green zone after a moderate decline in the first half of trading, despite the significant strengthening of the US dollar.
"Concerns about China's support gold in the beginning of the year, but now has increased the influence of other factors. Expectation of rising inflation in the United States and the possibility of negative interest rates in Japan and the eurozone This should increase the demand for gold, - said an analyst at Capital Economics Simon Gambarini - Gold can. rise in price to $ 1,350 per troy ounce. "
This year gold has risen in price by 18%, as investors prefer safe assets on the background of anxiety in relation to a global economic slowdown. Meanwhile, expectations that the Fed will stick to a cautious approach to tightening monetary policy, also support the demand for the precious metal. Recall increase in interest rates will boost the dollar, making it more attractive to investors, but it will put pressure on gold, making it more expensive for buyers in other currencies.
Little influenced by the current US statistics. The National Association of Realtors reported that home sales in the secondary market rose in March and were slightly higher compared with a year earlier. The total volume of home sales in the secondary market jumped 5.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate reached 5.33 million compared with the revised downward the level of 5.07 million in February. Sales rose in all four major regions last month and were 1.5 percent higher than in March 2015.
Lawrence Yun, the NAR chief economist, said that home sales in the secondary market showed a good recovery in March following an uncharacteristically large decline in February. Total reserves of housing in the end of March increased by 5.9 percent to 1.98 million homes, but still 1.5 percent lower than a year ago (2.01 million). At the current sales rate 4.5 months is required to sell stocks in the market, as compared with 4.4 months in February.
The cost of the June gold futures on the COMEX today rose by $ 1.2 to $ 1255.5 per ounce.
Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said on Wednesday that he was not confident if oil producers could agree to freeze the oil production at the meeting in June. He noted that Saudi Arabia had a capacity to rise its oil output, adding that Russia was also able to increase its oil output.
Novak noted that it could happen that there would be no need in a deal on the freeze on the oil output in June as the oil market could start to rebalance.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its crude oil inventories data on Wednesday. U.S. crude inventories rose by 2.08 million barrels to 538.6 million in the week to April 15.
Analysts had expected U.S. crude oil inventories to rise by 2.5 million barrels.
Gasoline inventories decreased by 110,000 barrels, according to the EIA.
Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, declined by 248,000 barrels.
U.S. crude oil imports climbed by 247,000 barrels per day.
Refineries in the U.S. were running at 89.4% of capacity, up from 89.2% the previous week.
Oil production fell by 0.3% last week to 8.953 million barrels a day from 8.977 in the previous week.
The National Association of Realtors released existing homes sales figures in the U.S. on Wednesday. Sales of existing homes climbed 5.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million in March from 5.07 in February. February's figure was revised down from 5.08 million units.
Analysts had expected an increase to 5.30 million units.
"Buyer demand remains sturdy in most areas this spring and the mid-priced market is doing quite well. However, sales are softer both at the very low and very high ends of the market because of supply limitations and affordability pressures," the NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said.
Sales to first-time buyers remained unchanged at 30% in March.
"With rents steadily rising and average fixed rates well below 4 percent, qualified first-time buyers should be more active participants than what they are right now," Yun said.
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.04%, Nasdaq +0.08%, S&P +0.05%
Wall Street began the day with cosmetic pluses, which is not surprising taking into consideration the previous trading of future contracts. In fact, the beginning of the US can be considered as neutral and in the case of the S&P500 as an attempt to keep the area of the 2,100 points.
Recently it became a standard, that regardless of the mood of Americans, with the start of trading on Wall Street on the Warsaw market was either the same or neutral, even better situation. Will see if we can continue on this pattern.
The German government said on Wednesday that it expected the country's economy to expand 1.7% this year, unchanged from its previous forecast, and 1.5% in 2017, down from its previous forecast of a 1.8% growth.
Export growth is expected to be 2.9% this year and 3.7% in 2017.
The government expects German private consumption to rise by 2.0% this year and by 1.5% in 2017.
U.S. stock-index futures were little changed.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 16,906.54 +32.10 +0.19%
Hang Seng 21,236.31 -199.90 -0.93%
Shanghai Composite 2,972.57 -70.25 -2.31%
FTSE 6,387.94 -17.41 -0.27%
CAC 4,570.5 +4.02 +0.09%
DAX 10,366.84 +17.25 +0.17%
Crude oil $41.61 (-2.02%)
Gold $1252.20 (-0.17%)
(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)
ALCOA INC. | AA | 10.54 | 0.01(0.095%) | 25633 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 629.28 | 1.38(0.2198%) | 3477 |
American Express Co | AXP | 63.99 | 0.42(0.6607%) | 2458 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 106.75 | -0.16(-0.1497%) | 85637 |
AT&T Inc | T | 38.89 | -0.03(-0.0771%) | 574 |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 16.33 | 0.01(0.0613%) | 28540 |
Boeing Co | BA | 129.69 | -2.99(-2.2535%) | 38246 |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 80.24 | -0.15(-0.1866%) | 3900 |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 100 | -0.50(-0.4975%) | 4000 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 45.62 | -0.01(-0.0219%) | 28176 |
Deere & Company, NYSE | DE | 82.35 | -0.01(-0.0121%) | 2000 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 85.95 | -0.26(-0.3016%) | 1684 |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 112.45 | 0.16(0.1425%) | 82788 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 13.46 | 0.02(0.1488%) | 15097 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 11.93 | -0.08(-0.6661%) | 412875 |
General Electric Co | GE | 31.14 | -0.01(-0.0321%) | 5669 |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 31.79 | -0.18(-0.563%) | 1200 |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 162.25 | -0.40(-0.2459%) | 2222 |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 758 | 4.07(0.5398%) | 2010 |
Hewlett-Packard Co. | HPQ | 12.7 | -0.08(-0.626%) | 2600 |
Intel Corp | INTC | 31.01 | -0.59(-1.8671%) | 1448727 |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 143.85 | -0.15(-0.1042%) | 3059 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 112.75 | 0.07(0.0621%) | 2418 |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 63.24 | -0.08(-0.1263%) | 2836 |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 57.14 | 0.28(0.4924%) | 797 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 56.17 | -0.22(-0.3901%) | 96147 |
Nike | NKE | 59.53 | -0.03(-0.0504%) | 1828 |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 61 | 0.10(0.1642%) | 112 |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 247.3 | -0.07(-0.0283%) | 9660 |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 45.77 | -0.83(-1.7811%) | 95319 |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 16.92 | 0.00(0.00%) | 30926 |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 52.19 | 0.11(0.2112%) | 253 |
Visa | V | 80.85 | 0.10(0.1238%) | 569 |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 69.8 | 0.03(0.043%) | 390 |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 103.03 | 0.39(0.38%) | 2879 |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 36.9 | 0.57(1.569%) | 45195 |
Upgrades:
Downgrades:
Boeing (BA) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill
Intel (INTC) downgraded to Market Perform from Outerpform at Northland Capital
Other:
Yahoo! (YHOO) target raised to $40 from $31 at Piper Jaffray
Yahoo! (YHOO) target raised to $37 from $36 at Axiom Capital
Yahoo! (YHOO) maintained with a Neutral at Mizuho; target raised to $38 from $37
Yahoo! (YHOO) maintained with a Sector Perform at RBC Capital; target raised to $38 from $33
UnitedHealth (UNH) target raised to $156 from $150 at Mizuho
Facebook (FB) target raised to $137 from $125 at Raymond James
Intel (INTC) target lowered to $32 from $33 at Cowen; Market Perform
Statistics Canada released wholesale sales figures on Wednesday. Wholesale sales dropped 2.2% in February, missing expectations for a 0.3% fall, after a flat reading rise in January.
The decline was mainly driven by a drop in the machinery, equipment and supplies.
Sales of motor vehicle and parts were down 3.5% in February, while sales in in the machinery, equipment and supplies subsector slid 4.8%.
Inventories increased by 0.2% in February.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) March -0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) March -3.0% -2.9% -3.1%
08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y February 2.1% 2.3% 1.8%
08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count March -9.3 Revised From -18 -11.3 6.7
08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate February 5.1% 5.1% 5.1%
09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) April 2.5 2.5 11.5
10:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks
11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications April 10% 1.3%
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the release of the U.S. economic data. The existing home sales in the U.S. are expected to rise to 5.30 million units in March from 5.08 million units in January.
The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar despite the negative economic data from Germany. Destatis released its producer price index (PPI) for Germany on Wednesday. German PPI producer prices were flat in March, missing expectations for a 0.2% rise, after a 0.5% drop in February.
On a yearly basis, German PPI dropped 3.1% in March, missing expectations for a 2.9% decrease, after a 3.0% fall in February. It was the biggest drop since January 2010.
PPI excluding energy sector fell by 0.9% year-on-year in March. Energy prices were down 9.2% year-on-year in March.
The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar despite the weak labour market data from the U.K. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its labour market data on Wednesday. The U.K. unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.1% in the December to February quarter, in line with expectations.
The claimant count rose by 6,700 people in March, missing expectations for a fall by 11,300, after a decrease of 9,300 people in February. February's figure was revised down from a 18,000 decrease.
U.K. unemployment in the November to January period increased by 21,000 to 1.7 million from the previous quarter. It was the first rise since the May-July quarter of 2015.
The employment rate remained unchanged at 74.1% in the December to February quarter. It was the highest reading since 1971.
Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, climbed by 2.2% in the December to February quarter, after a 2.2% gain in the November to January quarter.
Average weekly earnings, including bonuses, rose by 1.8% in the December to February quarter, in missing expectations for a 2.3% gain, after a 2.1% increase in the November to January quarter.
The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar ahead of the release of the Canadian economic data. Wholesales sales in Canada are expected to decrease 0.3% in February, after a flat reading in January.
The Swiss franc traded higher against the U.S. dollar. A survey by the ZEW Institute and Credit Suisse Group showed on Wednesday that Switzerland's economic sentiment index climbed to 11.5 in April from 2.5 in March. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 2.5.
"In regard to economic expectations as well as the current economic situation in Switzerland, the large majority of respondents do not expect to see any changes," the ZEW said.
EUR/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.1387
GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.4406
USD/JPY: the currency pair climbed to Y109.25
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m February 0.0% -0.3%
12:30 U.S. Chicago Federal National Activity Index March -0.29
13:00 United Kingdom MPC Member McCafferty Speaks
14:00 U.S. Existing Home Sales March 5.08 5.3
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories April 6.634 2.5
20:15 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks
Stock indices traded lower on a drop in oil prices. Oil prices fell as workers in Kuwait's oil sector ended a three-day strike.
Market participants also eyed the economic data from the Germany. Destatis released its producer price index (PPI) for Germany on Wednesday. German PPI producer prices were flat in March, missing expectations for a 0.2% rise, after a 0.5% drop in February.
On a yearly basis, German PPI dropped 3.1% in March, missing expectations for a 2.9% decrease, after a 3.0% fall in February. It was the biggest drop since January 2010.
PPI excluding energy sector fell by 0.9% year-on-year in March. Energy prices were down 9.2% year-on-year in March.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its labour market data on Wednesday. The U.K. unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.1% in the December to February quarter, in line with expectations.
The claimant count rose by 6,700 people in March, missing expectations for a fall by 11,300, after a decrease of 9,300 people in February. February's figure was revised down from a 18,000 decrease.
U.K. unemployment in the November to January period increased by 21,000 to 1.7 million from the previous quarter. It was the first rise since the May-July quarter of 2015.
The employment rate remained unchanged at 74.1% in the December to February quarter. It was the highest reading since 1971.
Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, climbed by 2.2% in the December to February quarter, after a 2.2% gain in the November to January quarter.
Average weekly earnings, including bonuses, rose by 1.8% in the December to February quarter, in missing expectations for a 2.3% gain, after a 2.1% increase in the November to January quarter.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,373.32 -32.03 -0.50 %
DAX 10,313.41 -36.18 -0.35 %
CAC 40 4,548.84 -17.64 -0.39 %
EUR/USD
Offers: 1.1385 1.1400 1.1420 1.1450 1.1465-70 1.1500
Bids: 1.1345-50 1.1320 1.1300 1.1275-80 1.1250 1.1235 1.1220 1.1200 1.1180 1.1160 1.1150
GBP/USD
Offers: 1.4385 1.4400 1.4420 1.4450 1.4480 1.4500
Bids: 1.4350 1.4325-30 1.4300 1.4280 1.4250 1.4230 1.4200 1.4180-85 1.4165 1.4150
EUR/JPY
Offers: 124.00 124.30 124.50 124.75 125.00 125.30 125.50 125.75 126.00
Bids: 123.50 123.20 123.00 122.80 122.50 122.00 121.75-80 121.50 121.30 121.00
EUR/GBP
Offers: 0.7920-25 0.7950 0.7980 0.8000 0.8020 0.8030 0.8050
Bids: 0.7880 0.7850 0.7830 0.7800 0.7780 0.7750
USD/JPY
Offers: 109.00 109.20 109.35 109.50 109.75-80 110.00 110.20 110.50
Bids: 108.75 108.50 108.20 108.00 107.80-85 107.60-65 107.50
AUD/USD
Offers: 0.7800 0.7820 0.7850 0.7880 0.7900 0.7930 0.7950
Bids: 0.7760 0.7740 0.7700 0.7680 0.7650 0.7620-25 0.7600 0.7580 0.7550
Intel reported Q1 FY 2016 earnings of $0.54 per share (versus $0.41 in Q1 FY 2015), beating analysts' consensus of $0.48.
The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $13.801 bln (+8% y/y), slightly below consensus estimate of $13.826 bln.
Intel lowered 2016 outlook and guided Q2 revenues below consensus ($13-14 bln versus. consensus of $14.18 bln).
The company also announced restructuring plan that would include the layoff of 12 ths workers globally, representing nearly 11% of its worldwide workforce.
INTC fell to $30.91 (-2.18%) in pre-market trading.
Volatility is suppressed in the Warsaw market today, while the trading activity picked up against the backdrop of a correction, which, altogether, does not look promising for the bullish party. By the halfway point of the session, the turnover on the WIG20 index amounted to PLN 270 mln.
The overall technical context of the trading session remains the same, with neutral levels, which are played from the first minutes of trade today. The WIG20 remains frozen in the region of 1,955 points, losing 0.4 percent. Taking into account the fact that the German DAX and the French CAC have posted similar declines so far, and futures on the S&P500 are at zero level, it is difficult to expect a movement that will pull the market out of the current focal point. We expect that the new impulse will rather be associated owing to signals from the US markets later on today.
The Bank of Greece released its current account data on Wednesday. Greece's current account deficit narrowed to €0.80 billion in February from €1.45 billion in February last year.
The Greek deficit on trade in goods declined to €1.45 billion in February from €1.59 billion in February last year, while the services surplus fell to €156 million from €382 million.
The primary income deficit turned into a surplus of €440 million in February from €140 million in February last year, while the deficit on secondary income turned into a surplus of €48 million from a deficit of €110 million last year.
The capital account surplus climbed to €244 million in February from €109 million last year.
Destatis released its producer price index (PPI) for Germany on Wednesday. German PPI producer prices were flat in March, missing expectations for a 0.2% rise, after a 0.5% drop in February.
On a yearly basis, German PPI dropped 3.1% in March, missing expectations for a 2.9% decrease, after a 3.0% fall in February. It was the biggest drop since January 2010.
PPI excluding energy sector fell by 0.9% year-on-year in March.
Energy prices were down 9.2% year-on-year in March.
Consumer non-durable goods prices fell 0.3% year-on-year in March, intermediate goods sector prices decreased by 2.3%, while capital goods prices increased 0.6% and durable consumer goods sector prices gained 1.4%.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its labour market data on Wednesday. The U.K. unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.1% in the December to February quarter, in line with expectations.
The claimant count rose by 6,700 people in March, missing expectations for a fall by 11,300, after a decrease of 9,300 people in February. February's figure was revised down from a 18,000 decrease.
U.K. unemployment in the November to January period increased by 21,000 to 1.7 million from the previous quarter. It was the first rise since the May-July quarter of 2015.
The employment rate remained unchanged at 74.1% in the December to February quarter. It was the highest reading since 1971.
Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, climbed by 2.2% in the December to February quarter, after a 2.2% gain in the November to January quarter.
Average weekly earnings, including bonuses, rose by 1.8% in the December to February quarter, in missing expectations for a 2.3% gain, after a 2.1% increase in the November to January quarter.
The Bank of England monitors closely the wages growth it considers when to start hiking its interest rate.
A survey by the ZEW Institute and Credit Suisse Group showed on Wednesday that Switzerland's economic sentiment index climbed to 11.5 in April from 2.5 in March. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 2.5.
"In regard to economic expectations as well as the current economic situation in Switzerland, the large majority of respondents do not expect to see any changes," the ZEW said.
The current conditions rose to -0.1 in April from -2.7 in March.
The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) released its employment rate for the fourth quarter on Tuesday. The employment rate in the OECD rose by 0.2% to 66.5% in the fourth quarter of 2015. It was slightly below pre-crisis peak of the first quarter of 2008.
The employment rate in the Eurozone was up 0.1% to 64.7% in the fourth quarter, the employment rate in the United Kingdom rose by 0.5% to 73.2%, while the rate in the United States climbed 0.2% to 68.9%.
Greece's employment rate climbed by 1.7% to 51.4% in the fourth quarter, while the employment rate in Germany increased by 0.1% to 74.1%.
The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and the Bank of Spain Governor Luis Maria Linde said on Tuesday that Spain should continue to implement reforms to lower its budget deficit.
"Our challenge is to reduce the amount of public debt," he said.
European Commission Vice President Valdis Dombrovskis said on Tuesday that Portugal would breach the Stability and Growth Pact.
"The Commission considers that the government's plans are at risk of non-compliance with the provisions of the Stability and Growth Pact," he said.
The Portuguese government plans to reduce its budget deficit to 2.2% of GDP this year from 4.4% in 2015.
The Ministry of Finance released its trade data for Japan on the late Tuesday evening. Japan's trade surplus rose to ¥755 billion in March from ¥242.8 billion in February. Analysts had expected a surplus of ¥834.6 billion.
Exports fell 6.8% year-on-year in March, while imports dropped 14.9%.
Exports to Asia declined by 9.7% year-on-year in March, exports to the United States decreased by 5.1%, while exports to the European Union climbed by 12.1%.
Imports from Asia plunged by 5.3% year-on-year in March, imports from the United States slid by 20.0%, while imports from the European Union declined by 3.7%.
USD/JPY 108.00 (USD 200m) 108.75 (415m) 109.00 (390m) 110.00 (1.85bln)
EUR/USD: 1.1200 (EUR 247m) 1.1220 (358m) 1.1300 (EUR 522m) 1.1330 (212m) 1.1400-10 (557m)
AUD/USD: 0.7800 (AUD 661m)
USD/CAD 1.2600 (USD 653m) 1.2650-55 (207m) 1.2700 (445m) 1.2940 (673m) 1.2955 (250m) 1.3000 (285m)
EUR/JPY 122.00 (EUR 300m) 122.60 (210m) 125.80-85 (300m)
AUD/NZD 1.1200 (AUD 762m)
The mood before the session was defined by the declines on the Chinese market, and the downward move on commodity markets as well as declines in futures on European indices.
The WIG20 futures (June series) began the day sliding about 0.5% into the red.
WIG20 index opened at 1963.66 points (-0.06% to previous close)
WIG 48535.73 -0.12%
WIG30 2182.01 -0.25%
mWIG40 3619.45 0.31%
The sectoral blue chips started the day on a bearish note either, which is understandable given its correlation with the environment. The sector of small and medium-sized companies (the mWIG40 index), where mostly domestic capital is traded, retains a more optimistic attitude.
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1481 (4340)
$1.1457 (2057)
$1.1424 (918)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1365
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1312 (2618)
$1.1286 (2850)
$1.1255 (3586)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 6 is 36538 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1400 (4340);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 6 is 49236 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0900 (4726);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.35 versus 1.40 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 19
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.4605 (1468)
$1.4508 (3093)
$1.4412 (2151)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.4367
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.4292 (275)
$1.4195 (1072)
$1.4097 (1640)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 6 is 25784 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4500 (3093);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 6 is 31063 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3850 (4042);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.20 versus 1.23 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 19
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
Commodity-linked currencies like the Australian and Canadian dollars pulled back from recent peaks on Wednesday as a rally in crude oil prices stalled after a oil workers' strike in Kuwait ended.
The U.S. Federal Reserve's caution over raising interest rates, coupled with ultra-loose monetary policies in Japan and Europe, has boosted the appeal of the higher-yielding Aussie this year.
The Aussie's recent surge -it has gained seven percent this year after plumbing a seven-year low in January- had analysts wondering whether the currency had climbed too far too fast.
In March, ECB chief Mario Draghi unleashed a bold easing package but the euro rallied after he suggested there would be no further cuts.
EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $1.1355-75
GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.4365
USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to Y108.85
Based on Reuters materials
During Tuesday's trading on Wall Street, investors were focused mainly on the results of companies. As a result, indices DJIA and S&P500 ended the day with increases of about 0.3 percent and the Nasdaq Composite slipped by 0.4 percent. The market was supported by rise in commodity prices, in technological sector investors reacted to the weak performance of IBM.
Night fall of contract for the S&P500 indicates that moods are worse now than at the time of closing of trading on European indices. It is therefore expected that yesterday's rise in the DAX (+2.3%) will take this morning some form of correction, which will most likely echo in the Polish market in the form of corrective stance on the WIG20.
Raw materials markets today are reassessing both oil and copper, both being direct drivers of the WIG20 performance. Yesterday's 1 percent increase, had healthy dynamics of raw materials as one of the major contributors. Therefore, correction in raw materials should reflect in a correction of WIG20 at opening.
European stock markets finished firmly higher on Tuesday as a round of upbeat earnings reports and a solid rebound in oil prices helped lift the region's benchmarks.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished firmly above the key 18,000 mark Tuesday, but U.S. stocks closed off of their intra-day highs as a slump in shares of large-cap tech firms, led by International Business Machines Corp., canceled out positive sentiment from stable oil prices and a string of better-than-expected earnings.
Asian stocks mixed as markets focus on European Central Bank remarks. The European Central Bank's governing council is meeting, and investors are closely watching for what President Mario Draghi might say at the news conference later this week.
Based on MarketWatch materials
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 40.96 -0.29%
Gold 1,251.80 -0.20%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
HANG SENG 21,383.86 +222.36 +1.05%
S&P/ASX 200 5,188.8 +51.74 +1.01%
TOPIX 1,363.03 +42.88 +3.25%
SHANGHAI COMP 3,042.95 +9.29 +0.31%
FTSE 100 6,405.35 +51.83 +0.82 %
CAC 40 4,566.48 +59.64 +1.32 %
Xetra DAX 10,349.59 +229.28 +2.27 %
S&P 500 2,100.8 +6.46 +0.31 %
NASDAQ Composite 4,940.33 -19.69 -0.40 %
Dow Jones 18,053.6 +49.44 +0.27 %
(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1355 +0,38%
GBP/USD $1,4392 +0,81%
USD/CHF Chf0,9618 -0,26%
USD/JPY Y109,26 +0,38%
EUR/JPY Y124,06 +0,75%
GBP/JPY Y157,25 +1,20%
AUD/USD $0,7811 +0,79%
NZD/USD $0,7045 +1,26%
USD/CAD C$1,2669 -0,16%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) March -0.5% 0.2%
06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) March -3.0% -2.9%
08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y February 2.1% 2.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count March -18 -10
08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate February 5.1% 5.1%
09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) April 2.5
10:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks
11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications April 10%
12:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m February 0.0% -0.3%
12:30 U.S. Chicago Federal National Activity Index March -0.29
13:00 United Kingdom MPC Member McCafferty Speaks
14:00 U.S. Existing Home Sales March 5.08 5.3
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories April 6.634
20:15 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks