(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
00:30 Australia CPI, q/q Quarter III 0.7% 0.6%
00:30 Australia CPI, y/y Quarter III 1.5% 1.7%
00:30 Australia Trimmed Mean CPI q/q Quarter III 0.6% 0.5%
00:30 Australia Trimmed Mean CPI y/y Quarter III 2.2% 2.4%
07:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey November 9.6 9.4
07:45 France Consumer confidence October 97 97
11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications October 11.8%
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories October 8.028
18:00 U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision 0.25%
18:00 U.S. FOMC Statement
20:00 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 2.75% 2.75%
20:00 New Zealand RBNZ Rate Statement
23:50 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Preliminary) September -1.2% -0.5%
23:50 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Preliminary) September -0.4%
Stock indices closed lower on weak corporate earnings and as oil prices declined. Oil prices hit 2-months-low on concerns over the global oil oversupply.
BASF shares fell as the company lowered its full-year forecast.
Meanwhile, the economic data from the Europe was mainly negative. The European Central Bank (ECB) released its M3 money supply figures on Tuesday. M3 money supply rose 4.9% in September from last year, missing expectations for a 5.0% gain, after a 4.9 % increase in August. August's figure was revised up from a 4.8% rise.
Loans to the private sector in the Eurozone climbed 1.1% in September from the last year, in line with expectations, after a 1.0% gain in August.
The Office for National Statistics released its U.K. GDP data on Tuesday. The preliminary U.K. gross domestic product (GDP) climbed 0.5% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 0.6% gain, after a 0.7% rise in the second quarter. It was the slowest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012.
The slow pace of the growth was driven by weak output in the construction and manufacturing sectors. Construction fell 2.2% in the third quarter, production declined 0.3%, while services rose 0.7%.
"The economy overall is still expanding steadily. However, the sectoral pattern is mixed," the ONS chief economist Joe Grice said.
On a yearly basis, the preliminary U.K. GDP increased 2.3% in the third quarter, missing forecasts of a 2.4% rise, after a 2.4% gain in the second quarter.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,365.27 -51.75 -0.81 %
DAX 10,692.19 -109.15 -1.01 %
CAC 40 4,847.07 -50.06 -1.02 %
Polish equity market was modestly higher on Tuesday, with the broad market measure, the WIG index, edging up 0.09%. Sector-wise, materials (-2.28%) tumbled the most, while technology names (+0.55%) fared the best.
The large-cap stocks' benchmark, the WIG30 Index, inched down 0.03%. In the index basket, BOGDANKA (WSE: LWB) continued to retreat, losing 5.23%. Other major laggards were HANDLOWY (WSE: BHW), KGHM (WSE: KGH) and LOTOS (WSE: LTS), plunging by 2.12%, 2.03 and 1.35% respectively. On the other side of the ledger, PKO BP (WSE: PKO), PZU (WSE: PZU), ENERGA (WSE: ENG) and ASSECO POLAND (WSE: ACP) were the strongest performers, gaining 1%-1.46%.
Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor Minouche Shafik said on Tuesday that the normalisation process of the monetary policy may pose a risk to financial stability.
"Order-flow imbalances could preface a prolonged period of volatility, a severe reduction in market liquidity, and ultimately a loss of confidence in the ability of markets to contribute to sustainable growth. In short, there is a risk to financial stability," she said.
Shafik added that the improvement of the transparency could help to address this risk.
"Monetary policy makers in the US and UK will likely consider it appropriate to gradually tighten monetary policy should the recovery in their respective economies continue," BoE deputy governor said.
Major U.S. stock-indexes lower on Tuesday after mixed earnings reports from major U.S. companies, weaker-than-expected data and further declines in crude oil prices.
Investors are also watching the Federal Reserve, which began its two-day policy meeting. While expectations of a rate hike this week are slim, traders will focus on the Fed's statement on Wednesday for clues on the timing of a liftoff. Corporate results remain in sharp focus as investors scrutinize the reports for the measures companies are taking to grow revenue and protect profit margins.
Most of Dow stocks in negative area (21 of 30). Top looser - Chevron Corporation (CVX, -1.77%). Top gainer - Pfizer Inc. (PFE, +2.66%).
Most of S&P index sectors in negative area. Top looser - Basic Materials (-1.7%). Top gainer - Healthcare (+0,9%).
At the moment:
Dow 17491.00 -40.00 -0.23%
S&P 500 2055.50 -6.75 -0.33%
Nasdaq 100 4623.50 +7.25 +0.16%
Oil 42.96 -1.02 -2.32%
Gold 1167.00 +0.80 +0.07%
U.S. 10yr 2.01 -0.05
Saudi Arabian oil minister Ali al-Naimi said on Tuesday that the market should determine oil prices.
"Prices are a function of supply and demand," he said.
al-Naimi also said that the country was considering to cut energy subsidies. This decision would lead to a rise its domestic energy prices. Domestic energy prices in Saudi Arabia are among the lowest in the world.
Oil prices fell on concerns over the global oil oversupply. Market participants are awaiting the release of U.S. crude oil inventories data. The American Petroleum Institute (API) is scheduled to release its U.S. oil inventories data later in the day, and U.S. oil inventories data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration is expected on Wednesday.
The EIA will also release its latest estimates of U.S. oil output.
According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) last Wednesday, U.S. crude inventories increased by 8.03 million barrels to 476.6 million in the week to October 16. It was the fourth consecutive increase.
WTI crude oil for December delivery declined to $42.58 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent crude oil for December fell to $46.80 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
Gold price rose ahead of the release of the Fed's monetary policy meeting results on Wednesday. The Fed's monetary policy meeting begins today.
It is unlikely that the Fed will change its monetary policy at its October meeting. Market participants will closely monitor the Fed's statement for signals when the Fed will start its raising interest rates. Most market participants expect that the Fed will not start raising its interest rates this year.
December futures for gold on the COMEX today increased to 1168.80 dollars per ounce.
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny said on Tuesday that monetary policy alone cannot fight deflation. Active fiscal and structural policies are needed, he added.
"We need active fiscal policy, we need elements of structural policy that also would increase demand but we also have to see that there may be strong underlying forces," he said.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond released its survey of manufacturing activity on Tuesday. The composite index for manufacturing rose to -1 in October from -5 in September.
The increase was driven by a rise in new orders. New orders subindex was up to 0 from -12.
Shipments subindex decline to -4 in October from -3 in September.
"Order backlogs and shipments declined, while new orders levelled off. Manufacturing employment remained soft, growing at the same pace as a month ago. The average workweek shortened and average wages rose moderately," the survey said.
The Conference Board released its consumer confidence index for the U.S. on Tuesday. The index dropped to 97.6 in October from 102.6 in September, missing expectations for a rise to 103.0. September's figure was revised down from 103.0.
The decline was mainly driven by the worse outlook for current conditions. The present conditions index fell to 112.1 in October from 120.3 in September.
The Conference Board's consumer expectations index for the next six months decreased to 88.0 in October from 90.8 in September.
"Consumers were less positive in their assessment of present-day conditions, in particular the job market, and were moderately less optimistic about the short-term outlook. Despite the decline, consumers still rate current conditions favourably, but they do not anticipate the economy strengthening much in the near-term," the director of economic indicators at The Conference Board, Lynn Franco, said.
The percentage of consumers expecting more jobs in the coming months was down to 22.2% in October from 24.8% in September.
Markit Economics released its preliminary services purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the U.S. on Tuesday. The U.S. preliminary services purchasing managers' index (PMI) declined to 54.4 in October from 55.1 in September. It was the lowest level since January.
Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 55.1.
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in economic activity.
The decline was driven by a slowdown in new business growth and a weaker employment growth.
"Combined with the manufacturing results released last week, the services PMI survey indicates that the pace of economic growth slowed in October to the weakest since January, when business was hit by extreme weather," Markit Chief Economist Chris Williamson.
He added that the figures suggest that the U.S. economy was expanding at an annual rate of 1.8% at the beginning of the fourth quarter.
USD/JPY 120.00 (USD 374m) 120.20-25 (330m) 120.60-65 (400m)
EUR/USD 1.1000 (EUR 363m) 1.1250 (1.1bln)
GBP/USD 1.5400 (GBP 175m)
USD/CAD 1.3000 (USD 241m)
AUD/USD 0.7225 (AUD 393m) 0.7250 (1.46bln)
AUD/JPY 85.50 (AUD 331m)
U.S. stock-index futures slipped before the Federal Reserve begins a two-day monetary policy meeting amid mixed earnings reports and as data showed orders for business equipment unexpectedly declined.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 18,777.04 -170.08 -0.90%
Hang Seng 23,142.73 +26.48 +0.11%
Shanghai Composite 3,434.27 +4.69 +0.14%
FTSE 6,385.66 -31.36 -0.49%
CAC 4,861.61 -35.52 -0.73%
DAX 10,732.02 -69.32 -0.64%
Crude oil 43.39 (-1.34%)
Gold $1167.19 (+0.15%)
The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index increased 5.1% in August, in line with expectations, after a 5.0% gain in July.
San Francisco, Denver and Dallas were the largest contributors to the rise, where prices climbed by 10.7%, 10.7% and 9.4%, respectively.
"Home prices continue to climb at a 4% to 5% annual rate across the country. Most other recent housing indicators also show strength," chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices David Blitzer said.
On a monthly basis, the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index rose by a seasonally adjusted 0.4% rate in August.
The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index measures single-family home prices in 20 U.S. cities.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
07:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator September 1.64 Revised From 1.63 1.65
09:00 Eurozone Private Loans, Y/Y September 1.0% 1.1% 1.1%
09:00 Eurozone M3 money supply, adjusted y/y September 4.9% Revised From 4.8% 5% 4.9%
09:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III 0.7% 0.6% 0.5%
09:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (Preliminary) Quarter III 2.4% 2.4% 2.3%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders September -3.0% Revised From -2.3% -1.2% -1.2%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation September -0.9% Revised From 0.0% 0% -0.4%
12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense -2.1% Revised From -1% -2%
13:00 U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y August 5.0% 5.1% 5.1%
The U.S. dollar traded against the most major currencies after the release of the weaker-than-expected U.S. durable goods orders data. The U.S. Commerce Department released durable goods orders data on Tuesday. The U.S. durable goods orders decreased 1.2% in September, in line with expectations, after a 3.0% drop in August. August's figure was revised down from a 2.3% fall.
The decline was partly driven by a weak demand for transportation equipment, which slid by 2.9% in September.
The U.S. durable goods orders excluding transportation fell 0.4% in September, missing expectations for a flat reading, after a 0.9% decrease in August. August's figure was revised down from a flat reading.
The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index increased 5.1% in August, in line with expectations, after a 5.0% gain in July.
The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the mixed economic data from the Eurozone. The European Central Bank (ECB) released its M3 money supply figures on Tuesday. M3 money supply rose 4.9% in September from last year, missing expectations for a 5.0% gain, after a 4.9 % increase in August. August's figure was revised up from a 4.8% rise.
Loans to the private sector in the Eurozone climbed 1.1% in September from the last year, in line with expectations, after a 1.0% gain in August.
The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the release of the weaker-than-expected economic data from the U.K. The Office for National Statistics released its U.K. GDP data on Tuesday. The preliminary U.K. gross domestic product (GDP) climbed 0.5% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 0.6% gain, after a 0.7% rise in the second quarter. It was the slowest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012.
The slow pace of the growth was driven by weak output in the construction and manufacturing sectors. Construction fell 2.2% in the third quarter, production declined 0.3%, while services rose 0.7%.
"The economy overall is still expanding steadily. However, the sectoral pattern is mixed," the ONS chief economist Joe Grice said.
On a yearly basis, the preliminary U.K. GDP increased 2.3% in the third quarter, missing forecasts of a 2.4% rise, after a 2.4% gain in the second quarter.
The Swiss franc traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. UBS released its consumption index for Switzerland on Tuesday. The UBS consumption index increased to 1.65 in September from 1.64 in August. August's figure was revised up from 1.63.
The increase was partly driven by a rise in automobiles sales.
"Lower prices for foreign-produced consumer goods in Swiss francs, such as automobiles, may be the likely reason," the bank said.
EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
USD/JPY: the currency pair declined to Y120.33
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) October 55.1 55.1
14:00 U.S. Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index October -5
14:00 U.S. Consumer confidence October 103 103
16:20 Canada Gov Council Member Lane Speaks
23:50 Japan Retail sales, y/y September 0.8% 0.4%
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 35.40 | 5.99% | 823.3K |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 35.08 | 2.69% | 146.3K |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 53.91 | 1.89% | 2.9K |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 14.25 | 1.42% | 203.0K |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 31.32 | 1.39% | 92.5K |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 7.58 | 1.07% | 0.2K |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 8.81 | 0.46% | 23.2K |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 115.75 | 0.41% | 295.5K |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 63.62 | 0.30% | 3.8K |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 215.50 | 0.11% | 3.8K |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 58.07 | 0.09% | 0.1K |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 77.55 | 0.08% | 7.0K |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 100.00 | 0.06% | 0.1K |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 609.00 | 0.06% | 1.1K |
Visa | V | 78.17 | -0.01% | 1.0K |
Boeing Co | BA | 146.54 | -0.11% | 92.9K |
AT&T Inc | T | 33.60 | -0.18% | 0.7K |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 113.25 | -0.24% | 0.3K |
Hewlett-Packard Co. | HPQ | 28.00 | -0.25% | 4.5K |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 103.50 | -0.26% | 19.0K |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 124.65 | -0.29% | 0.4K |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 111.83 | -0.31% | 0.8K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 28.85 | -0.35% | 25.1K |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 46.18 | -0.39% | 0.5K |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 52.90 | -0.40% | 2.5K |
General Electric Co | GE | 29.43 | -0.41% | 2.4K |
Intel Corp | INTC | 34.40 | -0.55% | 1.3K |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 11.95 | -0.58% | 12.8K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 53.93 | -0.59% | 141.7K |
E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co | DD | 60.00 | -0.61% | 0.6K |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 61.00 | -0.65% | 0.4K |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 80.64 | -0.71% | 2.7K |
Deere & Company, NYSE | DE | 76.94 | -0.74% | 0.3K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 88.07 | -0.79% | 0.9K |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 42.25 | -0.80% | 0.2K |
FedEx Corporation, NYSE | FDX | 156.00 | -1.18% | 0.3K |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 70.60 | -1.29% | 1.0K |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 35.19 | -1.35% | 10.6K |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 15.02 | -4.21% | 333.3K |
The U.S. Commerce Department released durable goods orders data on Tuesday. The U.S. durable goods orders decreased 1.2% in September, in line with expectations, after a 3.0% drop in August. August's figure was revised down from a 2.3% fall.
The decline was partly driven by a weak demand for transportation equipment, which slid by 2.9% in September.
The U.S. durable goods orders excluding transportation fell 0.4% in September, missing expectations for a flat reading, after a 0.9% decrease in August. August's figure was revised down from a flat reading.
The U.S. durable goods orders excluding defence dropped 2.0 % in September, after a 2.1% decline in August. August's figure was revised down from a 1.0% decrease.
A stronger U.S. dollar weighs on U.S. exports and makes imports more attractive for consumers in the U.S.
EUR/USD
Offers 1.1075-80 1.1100 1.1125 1.1150 1.1175-80 1.1200 1.1220 1.1250
Bids 1.1025-30 1.1000 1.0985 1.0960 1.0930 1.0900 1.0885 1.0850
GBP/USD
Offers 1.5355-60 1.5380-85 15400 1.5420-25 1.5445-50 1.5480 1.5500-10 1.5525-30 1.5550
Bids 1.5320 1.5300 1.5285 1.5265 1.5250 1.5220 1.5200 1.5175-80 1.5150
EUR/GBP
Offers 0.7225-30 0.7250 0.7275-80 0.7300 0.7325-30 0.7350
Bids 0.7175-80 0.7165 0.7150 0.7130 0.7100 0.7085 0.7050
EUR/JPY
Offers 133.30 133.50-60 133.75-80 134.00 134.20-25 134.50
Bids 132.75-80 132.50 132.25-30 132.00 131.80 131.50 131.30 131.00
USD/JPY
Offers 120.65 120.80 121.00 121.20 121.35 121.50 121.80 122.00 122.25 122.50
Bids 120.20-25 120.00 119.80-85 119.50 119.25-30 119.00 118.80 118.50
AUD/USD
Offers 0.7265 0.7280-85 0.7300 0.7325 0.7335 0.7350 0.7375 0.7400
Bids 0.7225-30 0.7200 0.7180-85 0.7150 0.7125-30 0.7100
Merck reported Q3 earnings of $0.96 per share (versus $0.9 in Q3 FY 2014), beating analysts' consensus of $0.92.
The company's revenues amounted to $10.100 bln (-4.3% y/y), in line with consensus estimate of $10.078 bln.
Merck expects FY15 EPS of $3.55-3.60 (above consensus of $3.50) and revenues of $39.2-39.8 bln (in line with consensus of $39.64 bln).
MRK rose to $53.55 (+1.21%) in pre-market trading.
Yandex reported Q3 earnings of RUB 10.80 per share (versus RUB 0.31 in Q3 FY 2014), beating analysts' consensus of RUB 10.08.
The company's revenues amounted to RUB 15.439 bln (+18.2% y/y), beating consensus estimate of $14.991 bln.
Yandex increased its previously announced revenue guidance to +14-16% y/y in ruble terms from +11-13% y/y.
YNDX rose to $14.37 (+2.28%) in pre-market trading.
Stock indices traded lower on weak corporate earnings. BASF shares fell as the company lowered its full-year forecast, while Novartis shares declined on the weaker-than-expected third quarter earnings.
Meanwhile, the economic data from the Europe was mainly negative. The European Central Bank (ECB) released its M3 money supply figures on Tuesday. M3 money supply rose 4.9% in September from last year, missing expectations for a 5.0% gain, after a 4.9 % increase in August. August's figure was revised up from a 4.8% rise.
Loans to the private sector in the Eurozone climbed 1.1% in September from the last year, in line with expectations, after a 1.0% gain in August.
The Office for National Statistics released its U.K. GDP data on Tuesday. The preliminary U.K. gross domestic product (GDP) climbed 0.5% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 0.6% gain, after a 0.7% rise in the second quarter. It was the slowest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012.
The slow pace of the growth was driven by weak output in the construction and manufacturing sectors. Construction fell 2.2% in the third quarter, production declined 0.3%, while services rose 0.7%.
"The economy overall is still expanding steadily. However, the sectoral pattern is mixed," the ONS chief economist Joe Grice said.
On a yearly basis, the preliminary U.K. GDP increased 2.3% in the third quarter, missing forecasts of a 2.4% rise, after a 2.4% gain in the second quarter.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,394.14 -22.88 -0.36 %
DAX 10,776.86 -24.48 -0.23 %
CAC 40 4,880.49 -16.64 -0.34 %
The German newspaper Sueddeutsche Zeitung reported on Tuesday that lenders will not transfer a €2 billion bailout tranche to Greece as the Greek government missed to implement required reforms. The paper noted that the government approved only 14 of 48 required reforms.
European Union Commission Vice-President Valdis Dombrovskis said on Tuesday that the Greek government should recapitalise biggest Greek bank by the end of the year.
"We all agree to finalize bank recapitalization by end of this year," he said.
UBS released its consumption index for Switzerland on Tuesday. The UBS consumption index increased to 1.65 in September from 1.64 in August. August's figure was revised up from 1.63.
The increase was partly driven by a rise in automobiles sales.
"Lower prices for foreign-produced consumer goods in Swiss francs, such as automobiles, may be the likely reason," the bank said.
The lender noted that the low interest rate supported purchases of consumer durables.
The European Central Bank (ECB) released its M3 money supply figures on Tuesday. M3 money supply rose 4.9% in September from last year, missing expectations for a 5.0% gain, after a 4.9 % increase in August. August's figure was revised up from a 4.8% rise.
Loans to the private sector in the Eurozone climbed 1.1% in September from the last year, in line with expectations, after a 1.0% gain in August.
The Office for National Statistics released its U.K. GDP data on Tuesday. The preliminary U.K. gross domestic product (GDP) climbed 0.5% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 0.6% gain, after a 0.7% rise in the second quarter. It was the slowest pace since the fourth quarter of 2012.
The slow pace of the growth was driven by weak output in the construction and manufacturing sectors. Construction fell 2.2% in the third quarter, production declined 0.3%, while services rose 0.7%.
"The economy overall is still expanding steadily. However, the sectoral pattern is mixed," the ONS chief economist Joe Grice said.
On a yearly basis, the preliminary U.K. GDP increased 2.3% in the third quarter, missing forecasts of a 2.4% rise, after a 2.4% gain in the second quarter.
Moody's Investors Service said on Monday that the U.S. government will be able to pay money, regardless if the debt limit will be raised or not.
"Even if the debt limit is not raised, we believe the government will order its payment priorities to allow the Treasury to continue servicing its debt obligations," Moody's Senior Vice President Steven Hess said.
The U.S. government needs to cut expenditures by 11% across fiscal 2016 to stay in the black if the debt limit deal will not be reached.
Statistics New Zealand released its trade data on late Monday evening. New Zealand's trade deficit widened to NZ$1,222 million in September from NZ$1,079 million in August. August's figure was revised up from a deficit of NZ$1,035 million.
Analysts had expected the deficit to decline to NZ$800 million.
Exports rose 2.0% year-on-year in September, while imports decreased by 1.2%.
"The value of imports from China has increased across most commodities for the last 12 months. Mobile phones and laptops led the increase, up a quarter of a billion dollars," Statistics NZ international statistics senior manager Jason Attewell said.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) Executive Director Fatih Birol said on Monday that oil prices could rise from mid-2016 on a lower investment in the oil industry.
"If it comes true, this will be the first time in two decades we will see oil investments declining for two consecutive years," he said.
Birol pointed out that oil investments already dropped by more than 20% in 2015.
The French Labour Ministry released its labour market data on Monday. The number of unemployed people in France fell by 0.7% in September. It was the biggest monthly decline since 2007.
The unemployment in France has continued to increase since French President Francois Hollande took office in 2012.
The French government is struggling to bring down unemployment despite a rise in economic growth.
USD/JPY 120.00 (USD 374m) 120.20-25 (330m) 120.60-65 (400m)
EUR/USD 1.1000 (EUR 363m) 1.1250 (1.1bln)
GBP/USD 1.5400 (GBP 175m)
USD/CAD 1.3000 (USD 241m)
AUD/USD 0.7225 (AUD 393m) 0.7250 (1.46bln)
AUD/JPY 85.50 (AUD 331m)
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1237 (2100)
$1.1171 (841)
$1.1122 (402)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1056
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1001 (3102)
$1.0958 (3091)
$1.0899 (1441)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 6 is 42796 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3311);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 6 is 53891 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0900 (5270);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.26 versus 1.29 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 26
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.5602 (1193)
$1.5503 (2304)
$1.5406 (1397)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.5344
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.5293 (2738)
$1.5197 (2935)
$1.5098 (1920)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 6 is 20841 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5350 (2580);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 6 is 21150 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5200 (2935);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.01 versus 1.02 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 26
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
West Texas Intermediate futures for December delivery plunged to $43.46 (-1.18%), while Brent crude fell to $47.16 (-0.80%). Goldman Sachs wrote that distillate storage utilization was "alarmingly high" in both the U.S. and Europe.
Goldman Sachs indicated there was a probability of "15 to 30% each winter month" in Europe that storage tanks would be filled with a warmer-than-expected winter being a key risk. However, European weather forecasts are close to seasonal averages.
Meanwhile the greatest near-term concern remains China's economic growth.
Gold is currently at $1,164.80 (-0.12%) as the Federal Reserve begins its two-day policy meeting later today. Investors are waiting for hints on the timing of rate hike in the U.S.
Most market participants don't expect the Fed to raise rates at this week's meeting, but they will be looking for signs of readiness to do so in December. Fed policymakers' messages suggest that they have been concerned over slow global economic growth and mixed domestic data. That's why some analysts believe that the first rate hike in nearly a decade will not be conducted before 2016.
U.S. stock indices mostly retreated on Monday with energy stocks leading declines amid weak oil prices.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 23.65, or 0.1%, to 17,623.05. The S&P 500 declined 3.97 points, or 0.2%, to 2,071.18 (its energy sector fell 2.5%). The Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 2.84, or less than 0.1%, to 5,034.70.
Monday session was range bound as investors were cautious ahead of a Federal Reserve's meeting and prepared for quarterly earnings reports from 170 companies on the S&P 500 due this week.
In U.S. futures markets, traders put a 4% probability on a Fed rate hike at this week's policy meeting. They put a 33% chance on an increase in December.
This morning in Asia Hong Kong Hang Seng fell 0.81%, or 186.83, to 22,929.42. China Shanghai Composite Index lost 1.82%, or 62.25, to 3.367.33. The Nikkei fell 0.92%, or 174.51, to 18,772.61.
Asian indices were weighed by declines in commodity prices and China industrial profits data.
The National Bureau of Statistics reported that profits of Chinese industrial companies fell 0.1% y/y in September compared to an 8.8% plunge in August. "Even though the rate of industrial losses narrowed in September, given that downward pressure on the industrial economy continues, the industrial profit outlook is still not optimistic," the NBS said.
The euro little changed against the U.S. dollar ahead of a Fed meeting, which starts later today. Most market participants expect the Fed to hold onto soft monetary policy and postpone a rate increase till 2016. Such expectations are likely to weigh on the greenback and support the euro in the short-term outlook. Tomorrow the Federal Reserve will only publish its monetary policy statement, there will be no conference. Investors will study the statement to see clues on the timing a rate hike.
The yen gained due to its safe-haven status as sources reported that a U.S. warship sailed near China's artificial islands in the South China Sea.
The New Zealand dollar is under the pressure amid a weak report on the country's trade balance. The indicator came in at -Nz$1,222 million compared to expectations for -Nz$825 million. Exports fell to Nz$3.69 billion, while imports rose to Nz$4.91 billion.
EUR/USD: the pair fluctuated within $1.1035-70 in Asian trade
USD/JPY: the pair fell to Y120.45
GBP/USD: the pair traded within $1.5345-60
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
07:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator September 1.63
09:00 Eurozone Private Loans, Y/Y September 1.0% 1.1%
09:00 Eurozone M3 money supply, adjusted y/y September 4.8% 5%
09:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III 0.7% 0.6%
09:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (Preliminary) Quarter III 2.4% 2.4%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders September -2.3% -1.2%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation September 0.0% 0%
12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense -1%
13:00 U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y August 5.0% 5.1%
13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) October 55.1 55.1
14:00 U.S. Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index October -5
14:00 U.S. Consumer confidence October 103 103
16:20 Canada Gov Council Member Lane Speaks
23:50 Japan Retail sales, y/y September 0.8% 0.4%
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 43.83 -0.34%
Gold 1,163.30 -0.25%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 18,947.12 +121.82 +0.65 %
Hang Seng 23,116.25 -35.69 -0.15 %
Shanghai Composite 3,430.36 +17.92 +0.53 %
FTSE 100 6,417.02 -27.06 -0.42 %
CAC 40 4,897.13 -26.51 -0.54 %
Xetra DAX 10,801.34 +6.80 +0.06 %
S&P 500 2,071.18 -3.97 -0.19 %
NASDAQ Composite 5,034.7 +2.84 +0.06 %
Dow Jones 17,623.05 -23.65 -0.13 %
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1052 +0,33%
GBP/USD $1,5349 +0,24%
USD/CHF Chf0,9825 +0,43%
USD/JPY Y120,98 -0,38%
EUR/JPY Y133,71 -0,08%
GBP/JPY Y185,69 -0,15%
AUD/USD $0,7242 +0,37%
NZD/USD $0,6773 +0,34%
USD/CAD C$1,3159 -0,04%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
7:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator September 1.63
09:00 Eurozone Private Loans, Y/Y September 1.0% 1.1%
09:00 Eurozone M3 money supply, adjusted y/y September 4.8% 5%
09:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III 0.7% 0.6%
09:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (Preliminary) Quarter III 2.4% 2.4%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders September -2.3% -1.3%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation September 0.0% 0%
12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense -1%
13:00 U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y August 5.0% 5.1%
13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) October 55.1 55.1
14:00 U.S. Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index October -5
14:00 U.S. Consumer confidence October 103 102.9
16:20 Canada Gov Council Member Lane Speaks
23:50 Japan Retail sales, y/y September 0.8% 0.4%