Stock indices closed lower on the economic data from the Eurozone. The European Central Bank (ECB) released its current account on Monday. Eurozone's current account surplus declined to a seasonally adjusted €25.4 billion in January from €28.6 billion in December. December's figure was revised up from a surplus of €25.5 billion.
The trade surplus rose to €27.6 billion in January from €27.2 billion in December.
The surplus on services decreased to €3.6 billion in January from €4.9 billion in December.
Eurozone's unadjusted current account surplus dropped to €6.3 billion in January from €44.8 billion in December. December's figure was revised up from a surplus of €41.4 billion.
ECB Executive Board Member Benoit Coeure said in a speech Monday that the central bank's latest stimulus measures should help to boost lending to households and businesses and to support the recovery, noting that there was "no shortage of tools".
He also said that the ECB's stimulus measures supported demand for goods and services in the Eurozone and improved financing conditions.
The Bundesbank released its monthly report on Monday. The central bank said that it expected the German economy to expand in the first quarter of 2016 at least as strong as in the second half of 2015, while the economic growth is expected to slow in the second quarter of 2016. The German economy grew 0.3% in the third and fourth quarters of 2015.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,184.58 -5.06 -0.08 %
DAX 9,948.64 -2.16 -0.02 %
CAC 40 4,427.8 -34.71 -0.78 %
Major U.S. stock-indexes little changed on Monday as losses in energy and materials stocks were offset by gains in healthcare and telecom shares. Crude prices edged up despite uncertainty about a plan to freeze production and signs of U.S. producers increasing drilling activity. A report showed U.S. existing home sales fell 7,1% in February, widely missing the 2,2% drop expected, in a troubling sign for an economy which has otherwise looked resilient to the global economic slowdown.
Dow stocks mixed (15 vs 15). Top looser - Chevron Corporation (CVX, -1,55%). Top gainer - NIKE, Inc. (NKE, +3,11%).
S&P sectors also mixed. Top looser - Basic Materials (-0,9%). Top gainer - Healthcare (+0,4%).
At the moment:
Dow 17504.00 +12.00 +0.07%
S&P 500 2037.25 -0.25 -0.01%
Nasdaq 100 4401.25 +6.50 +0.15%
Oil 41.31 +0.17 +0.41%
Gold 1244.50 -9.80 -0.78%
U.S. 10yr 1.90 +0.03
The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) said on Sunday that according to PwC study, potential costs of Britain's exit from the European Union could be £100 billion (5% of GDP) and 950,000 jobs by 2020.
"This analysis shows very clearly why leaving the European Union would be a real blow for living standards, jobs and growth," CBI Director-General, Carolyn Fairbairn, said.
"The findings from PwC's independent study also explain why the majority of UK businesses are in favour of remaining within the European Union. Even under optimistic assumptions, an exit triggers serious economic disruption," she added.
Polish equity market closed lower on Monday. The broad market benchmark, the WIG Index, lost 0.33%. Sector-wise, informational technology sector (-2.05%) was the worst-performing group, while chemicals (+1.13%) outpaced.
The large-cap stocks' measure, the WIG30 Index, fell by 0.49%. Within the index components, railway freight transport operator PKP CARGO (WSE: PKP) recorded the biggest drop, down 8.89%. Other major decliners were IT-company ASSECO POLAND (WSE: ACP), bank BZ WBK (WSE: BZW) and insurer PZU (WSE: PZU), plunging by 3.73%, 3.47% and 2.9% respectively. On the other side of the ledger, two coal miners BOGDANKA (WSE: LWB) and JSW (WSE: JSW), became the session's best performers, gaining 6.18% and 5.05% respectively.
European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board Member Benoit Coeure said in a speech Monday that the central bank's latest stimulus measures should help to boost lending to households and businesses and to support the recovery, noting that there was "no shortage of tools".
He also said that the ECB's stimulus measures supported demand for goods and services in the Eurozone and improved financing conditions.
Coeure pointed out that economic and fiscal policies were needed to support the monetary policy.
The Conference Board (CB) released its leading economic index for Australia on Monday. The leading economic index (LEI) fell 0.4% in January, after a 0.3% decline in December.
The coincident index was flat in January, after a 0.1% gain in December.
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Erkki Liikanen said on Monday that the ECB could expand its stimulus measures further if needed.
"If the outlook or financing conditions deteriorate, the ECB still has capacity to boost inflation and growth," he said.
Liikanen pointed out that the central bank would keep its interest rates at present or lower levels for a longer period.
The European Central Bank (ECB) purchased €12.4 billion of government and agency bonds under its quantitative-easing program last week.
The ECB bought €1.8 billion of covered bonds, and €100 million of asset-backed securities.
The ECB cut its interest rate to 0.00% from 0.05% and deposit rate to -0.4% from -0.3% at its March monetary policy meeting. The ECB also expanded its monthly purchases to €80 billion from €60 billion, to take effect in April. Purchases will include non-bank corporate debt.
The central bank will launch further four targeted longer-term refinancing operations (LTRO).
The Bundesbank released its monthly report on Monday. The central bank said that it expected the German economy to expand in the first quarter of 2016 at least as strong as in the second half of 2015, while the economic growth is expected to slow in the second quarter of 2016.
The German economy grew 0.3% in the third and fourth quarters of 2015.
The central bank said that industry and construction rose sharply in January. But the Bundesbank pointed to "a stagnation in the new orders received by industry and the further deterioration in business expectations according to the Ifo business climate index, which has, moreover, been accompanied by a marked decline in previously stable and expansionary output and export expectations".
Consumer sentiment remained very confident, according to the central bank.
The European Commission released its preliminary consumer confidence figures for the Eurozone on Monday. Eurozone's preliminary consumer confidence index fell to -9.7 in March from -8.8 in February. Analysts had expected the index to rise to -8.5.
European Union's consumer confidence index decreased by 0.7 points to -7.3 in March.
San Francisco Fed President John Williams said in an interview with Market News International on Monday that the Fed could hike its interest rate in April or June if the U.S. economic data remains strong.
"All else equal, assuming everything else is basically the same and the data flow continues the way I hope and expect, then April or June would definitely be potential times to have an increase in interest rates," he said.
Williams noted that there were still global economic and financial risks but the U.S. economy managed to withstand headwinds from abroad.
Williams is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.
The National Association of Realtors released existing homes sales figures in the U.S. on Monday. Sales of existing homes slid 7.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.08 million in February from 5.47 in January. Analysts had expected a decrease to 5.31 million units.
"Sales took a considerable step back in most of the country last month, and especially in the Northeast and Midwest," the NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said.
Sales to first-time buyers remained dropped to 30% in February from 32% in January.
"The overall demand for buying is still solid entering the busy spring season, but home prices and rents outpacing wages and anxiety about the health of the economy are holding back a segment of would-be buyers," Yun said.
Spain's Economy Ministry released its trade data on Monday. The trade deficit widened to €2.39 billion in January from €1.79 billion in December.
Exports rose at an annual rate of 2.1% year-on-year in January, while imports climbed 0.8%.
US markets opened with a slight decline, fully in line with what we would expect from the morning. The short-term trend remains pointed upward, but profit-taking steps taken by market participants are natural, especially that the most important market events are already behind us.
On the Warsaw Exchange the biggest obstacle to the bulls is banking sector. Throughout the sector, heaviest losses are borne by holders of shares of BZ WBK, which lost more than 4 percent. Similarly, in the second line, ING BSK and Bank Millennium are negatively affecting the market. The supply is also active on other companies of the banking sector. As a result the decline of the WIG20 index is almost 1 percent.
U.S. stock-index were little changed.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei Closed
Hang Seng 20,684.15 +12.52 +0.06%
Shanghai Composite 3,020.12 +64.97 +2.20%
FTSE 6,172.31 -17.33 -0.28%
CAC 4,433.66 -28.85 -0.65%
DAX 9,930.5 -20.30 -0.20%
Crude oil $41.27 (+0.32%)
Gold $1244.00 (-0.82%)
The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) released its industrial order books balance on Monday. The CBI industrial order books balance rose to -14 in March from-17 in February, in line with expectations.
The index reflected weakness in the food and drink sector.
Export orders remained unchanged in March.
"March has been a mixed month for the UK's manufacturers. Whilst total order and export books remained steady, a drop in output reflected some volatility in the food and drink sector. Reassuringly, manufacturers expect a swift turnaround in activity," the CBI director of economics Rain Newton-Smith said.
"While the Budget included several policies that should drive growth, the absence of further measures to support innovation, and research and development, was a missed opportunity to boost investment," she added.
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 235.05 | 0.97% | 56612 |
Nike | NKE | 63.40 | 0.64% | 29491 |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 32.15 | 0.59% | 3012 |
AT&T Inc | T | 38.70 | 0.36% | 7696 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 107.79 | 0.27% | 1251 |
United Technologies Corp | UTX | 99.19 | 0.14% | 202 |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 29.48 | 0.10% | 12646 |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 59.75 | 0.08% | 1200 |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 738.00 | 0.05% | 1225 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 105.96 | 0.04% | 79662 |
Visa | V | 73.78 | 0.00% | 1529 |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 52.25 | 0.00% | 1800 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 13.64 | 0.00% | 3038 |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 66.92 | -0.04% | 2846 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 551.75 | -0.06% | 10390 |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 111.37 | -0.07% | 78253 |
3M Co | MMM | 165.21 | -0.07% | 300 |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 53.20 | -0.08% | 4757 |
FedEx Corporation, NYSE | FDX | 163.57 | -0.09% | 410 |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 99.10 | -0.10% | 864 |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 28.30 | -0.11% | 2512 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 84.10 | -0.12% | 3265 |
General Electric Co | GE | 30.88 | -0.13% | 6046 |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 35.10 | -0.20% | 13420 |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 157.28 | -0.20% | 2551 |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 60.35 | -0.22% | 2303 |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 45.50 | -0.22% | 4873 |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 131.00 | -0.27% | 355 |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 16.80 | -0.30% | 23640 |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 97.40 | -0.30% | 2397 |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 75.22 | -0.33% | 1625 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 53.27 | -0.41% | 9617 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 43.33 | -0.49% | 4018 |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 9.98 | -0.50% | 9257 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 10.64 | -1.14% | 130155 |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 14.56 | -1.25% | 68536 |
Intel Corp | INTC | 32.21 | -1.48% | 76503 |
Upgrades:
Tesla Motors (TSLA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie
Downgrades:
Intel (INTC) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Bernstein; target $26
Other:
The WIG 20 index defended the level of 1,943 points, and is likely to get subjected to another round of downward pressure stemming from a wave of moderate profit-taking. What seemed as a very weak beginning of trading in Euroland turned into a relatively flat session. The German DAX, after an initial decline of 0.9 percent reverted to its equilibrium level. This improvement in relation to the morning's quotations did not affect the listing on the Warsaw Stock Exchange, which remains under the bearish pressure.
Stock indices traded higher on the economic data from the Eurozone. The European Central Bank (ECB) released its current account on Monday. Eurozone's current account surplus declined to a seasonally adjusted €25.4 billion in January from €28.6 billion in December. December's figure was revised up from a surplus of €25.5 billion.
The trade surplus rose to €27.6 billion in January from €27.2 billion in December.
The surplus on services decreased to €3.6 billion in January from €4.9 billion in December.
Eurozone's unadjusted current account surplus dropped to €6.3 billion in January from €44.8 billion in December. December's figure was revised up from a surplus of €41.4 billion.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,194.37 +4.73 +0.08 %
DAX 10,025.5 +74.70 +0.75 %
CAC 40 4,462.88 +0.37 +0.01 %
The Bank of Italy released its current account on Monday. Italy's current account surplus turned into a deficit of €1.07 billion in January from a surplus of €6.3 billion in December.
The trade surplus rose to €1.04 billion in January from €742 million in January last year.
The deficit on services decreased to €651 million in January from €720 million in January last year.
The primary income surplus was €186 million in January, while the secondary income deficit was €1.64 billion.
Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker said on Monday that inflation was likely to rise in coming years.
"I am reasonably confident that, barring subsequent shocks, inflation will move back to the FOMC's 2 percent objective over the medium term," he said.
Lacker noted that inflation was low due to low oil prices and a stronger U.S. dollar.
Lacker is not a voting member on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) this year.
According to property tracking website Rightmove, U.K. house prices rose 1.3% in March, after a 2.9% increase in February.
"While the start of 2016 has seen an encouraging but modest uptick in the number of properties coming to market, demand and momentum have combined to push prices over £300,000," Rightmove director and housing market analyst, Miles Shipside, said.
On a yearly basis, house prices in the U.K. climbed 7.6% in March, after a 7.3% increase in February.
The European Central Bank (ECB) released its current account on Monday. Eurozone's current account surplus declined to a seasonally adjusted €25.4 billion in January from €28.6 billion in December. December's figure was revised up from a surplus of €25.5 billion.
The trade surplus rose to €27.6 billion in January from €27.2 billion in December.
The surplus on services decreased to €3.6 billion in January from €4.9 billion in December.
The primary income surplus fell to €4.7 billion in January from €7.6 billion in December, while the secondary income deficit decreased to €10.5 billion from €11.0 billion.
Eurozone's unadjusted current account surplus dropped to €6.3 billion in January from €44.8 billion in December. December's figure was revised up from a surplus of €41.4 billion.
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Jens Weidmann said in an interview over the weekend that there was no need for further stimulus measures by the ECB.
"It would make sense to pause," he said, adding that reforms were needed.
Weidmann warned about helicopter money, saying that it will weigh on the central bank's balance sheets.
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Christine Lagarde said in an interview on Friday that the global economy would be worse without negative interest rate in Europe and Japan as negative interest rates helped to support global growth and inflation.
"If we had not had those negative rates, we would be in a much worse place today, with inflation probably lower than where it is, with growth probably lower than where we have it," she said.
Lagarde noted that time was needed to analyse effects of negative interest rates.
IMF managing director pointed out that the IMF could upgrade its economic growth forecast for China.
BOS Bank posted a net loss of PLN 51.12 mln in 2015 againt to PLN 65.57 mln profit a year earlier.
The result on banking operations fell 8.8% to PLN 486 mln. Net interest income fell 9.7% (totaled PLN 261.41 mln against to PLN 289.44 mln a year earlier), while fee & commission income actually increased 9.4% y/y.
Total assets of the bank amounted to PLN 20.92 billion at the end of 2015 against PLN 19.67 billion at the end of 2014.
BOS Bank is the company indirectly controlled by the Polish government.
Shares of the BOS Bank are listed since 1997 on the main market of the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Warsaw.
The People's Bank of China (PBoC) on Monday injected 130 billion yuan ($20 billion) in the financial system by offering seven-day reverse repurchase agreements, increasing efforts to combat capital flight from the country's economy and stock markets.
The PBoC already injected 110 billion yuan in the financial system on Friday.
China's central bank set today's daily fixing at 6.4824 per U.S. dollar, down from 6.4628 on Friday.
The new series of futures contracts on the WIG20 index (FW20M16) started the week with decline of 0.26% (the contract opened at 1,943 points).
In Europe, the mood in the morning are also slightly downward, but does not change the general picture of the situation.
The market is calm and we see a consolidation there.
The WIG20 index opened at 1951,90 points (-0,51% to previous close)
WIG 48029,37 -0,38%*
WIG30 2175,38 -0,53%
mWIG40 3570,29 -0,12%
*/ - change to previous close
We lose a lot from Friday's close, but we have to remember about the specifics of Friday's - expiration of futures - session. We return to the area Thursday's maximum and at the same time to the psychological level of 1,950 points.
Today we begin shortened week (Easter holidays). In the case of global sentiment it looks to be a slight correction or gap of increases after earlier gains. Stock Exchange in Japan is closed for holidays, but outside of China in Asia we see a slight red color.
Future contracts in the US moved down, though on a small scale. From the point of view of emerging markets it is important to keep an eye on the raw materials market where we also see declines after successful last week sessions.
Monday's session should be a calmer session with possibility of a small adjustments. The Warsaw market has significantly departed from the level of 1900 points and is heading towards 2000 points. Nevertheless, according to the presented form recently, after successful sessions a rest would be natural.
There are no meaningful data in macro calendar today.
European stocks closed higher Friday, with an assist from further European Central Bank dovish signals. The ECB's chief economist, Peter Praet, suggested Friday that interest rates could be cut further. He also expressed openness to "helicopter money," the idea of the central bank effectively delivering money directly to the people, rather than via loans to banks or purchases of assets.
The S&P 500 and the Dow industrials rallied on Friday, buoyed by an advance in heath-care and financial stocks that helped shares notch a fifth straight week of gains. Both the S&P 500 and the Dow industrials ended in positive territory for the year, while the Dow logged six days of gains in a row-the longest winning streak since early October.
Stocks in China rose Monday after authorities signaled a loosening stance toward margin trading, the practice of using borrowed money to buy shares. Those gains came after a state-backed company called China Securities Finance Corp. published new interest rates on a range of loans that it gives to brokerages.
Based on MarketWatch materials
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 16,724.81 -211.57 -1.25%
Hang Seng 20,671.63 +167.82 +0.82%
Shanghai Composite 2,954.93 +50.10 +1.72%
FTSE 100 6,189.64 -11.48 -0.19%
CAC 40 4,462.51 +19.62 +0.44%
Xetra DAX 9,950.8 +58.60 +0.59%
S&P 500 2,049.58 +8.99 +0.44%
NASDAQ Composite 4,795.65 +20.66 +0.43%
Dow Jones 17,602.3 +120.81 +0.69%