Notícias do Mercado

16 dezembro 2013
  • 19:21

    American focus : the euro lost some previously earned positions against the dollar

    Euro fell against the dollar retreated from a session high , which was associated with the release of U.S. data . One of the reports showed that in December, the index of activity in the manufacturing sector of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York rose to 0.98 , compared to -2.21 in November. According to the average forecast of economists , the value of production index would grow to a level of 4.9 .

    In addition, it was reported that in December preliminary index of business activity in the U.S. manufacturing sector Markit PMI showed a slowdown in expansion. The index fell from 54.7 to 54.4 , confounding forecast 54.9 , but kept in the area of ​​expansion over the 50.0 mark key . The slowdown impacted by lower index of new orders component , with new export orders remained unchanged . Employment and procurement prices rose moderately .

    No less important were also data on industrial production . They showed that industrial production in the U.S. in November for the first time exceeded the pre-recession peak , which is another sign of renewed growth in the economy.

    The volume of industrial production, which includes manufacturing, utilities , mining sector grew by 1.1 % compared with October . This is the highest growth for the year . Capacity utilization rose by 0.8% to 79.0 . Economists had expected industrial production growth of 0.6% and capacity utilization to 78.5% . Industrial Production in October revised to 0.1% . Growth in the manufacturing industry, which is the largest in terms of production , made ​​in November to 0.6%. The largest growth was the automotive industry , followed by textile , oil and coal , wood products ,

    The Canadian dollar was trading lower against the U.S. dollar , but has regained some of the previously lost positions . Note that a moderate impact on the couple had data that showed that investments in securities of non-residents of Canada in October totaled $ 4.4 billion and mainly occurred in corporate debt instruments . At the same time , Canadian investment in foreign securities decreased due to the sale of shares in the United States.

    Investments of non-residents in Canadian bonds decreased by $ 38 million , mainly a reflection of flow of funds between the bond market and the money market .

    Investments of non-residents in Canadian stocks rose to $ 4.5 billion , after rising 10.7 billion in September. Increased investment in stocks continues for six of the last seven months . In September, the shares were acquired mainly in the secondary market . In October the price of Canadian shares rose by 4.5% , reaching a peak in May 2011 with

    Foreign investment in bonds in October amounted to $ 6.1 billion , mainly due to new securities denominated in U.S. dollars.

    Acquisition of foreign corporate bonds in August was $ 4.7 billion , which includes bonds as private and public companies.

    Foreign ownership of government bonds declined. Long-term interest rates in Canada declined in October for the second month in a row.

    Investments of non-residents in Canadian money market instruments in October fell by $ 6.2 billion after six months of consecutive growth in the amount of 12.4 billion

  • 14:15

    U.S.: Capacity Utilization, November 79.0% (forecast 78.5%)

  • 14:15

    U.S.: Industrial Production (MoM), November +1.1% (forecast +0.6%)

  • 14:00

    U.S.: Total Net TIC Flows, October 194.9

  • 14:00

    U.S.: Net Long-term TIC Flows , October 35.4 (forecast 31.4)

  • 13:58

    U.S.: Manufacturing PMI, December 54.4 (forecast 54.9)

  • 13:45

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.50, Y102.60, Y103.00, Y103.20, Y103.50, Y104.00

    EUR/USD $1.3650, $1.3700, $1.3705, $1.3720, $1.3725, $1.3745, $1.3750, $1.3800, $1.3825

    GBP/USD $1.6325, $1.6400

    USD/CHF Chf0.8925

    AUD/USD $0.8900, $0.8950, $0.8965, $0.9100, $0.9120-25

    EUR/SEK Sek8.9795, Sek9.0500

    AUD/JPYY92.55

    USD/CAD Cad1.0700

    EUR/CHF Chf1.2190

    NZD/USD $0.8240

  • 13:31

    U.S.: Nonfarm Productivity, q/q, Quarter III +3.0% (forecast +2.9%)

  • 13:31

    Canada: Foreign Securities Purchases, October 4.41 (forecast 9.24)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index , December 0.98 (forecast 4.9)

  • 13:15

    European session: the euro rose

    07:58 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 48.4 49.1 47.1

    07:58 France Services PMI (Preliminary) December 48.0 48.9 47.4

    08:28 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 52.7 53.1 54.2

    08:28 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) December 55.7 55.2 54

    08:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 51.6 51.9 52.7

    08:58 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) December 51.2 51.5 51.0

    10:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. October 14.3 15.2 14.5

    The euro rose against the dollar after strong data on business activity in the euro zone and Germany. Eurozone private sector activity grew at a faster pace in December , and to a greater extent than expected by economists , showed a survey conducted by Markit Economics. On a seasonally adjusted composite index of production, which measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and the services sector rose to 52.1 December from 51.7 in November. Economists had expected a modest increase to 51.9 .

    Led recovery of the total activity of the private sector is worth purchasing managers index for the manufacturing sector , which rose to 52.7 in December from 51.6 in November , reaching its highest level in thirty one month. Economists had forecast an increase to 51.9 . Meanwhile, the activity indicator for the services sector fell to a four-month low of 51 in December from 51.2 in November , marking the third consecutive slowdown . Expectations were at 51.5 .

    Activity index for the manufacturing of Germany rose in December to its highest level in thirty months , indicating a much more rapid increase in activity. The seasonally adjusted purchasing managers' index (PMI) for the manufacturing rose to 54.2 in December from 52.7 in November. Value in December was the highest in thirty months. Economists had expected the index to rise to 53.1 .

    Production in the manufacturing sector rose the steepest pace since May 2011 , and growth accelerated for the third month in a row. This reflects the continued growth of new business, which was the fastest since April 2011 . Input price inflation faced by German producers, accelerated in December , while the selling prices for the products increased only slightly due to strong competition for new orders.

    Meanwhile, the activity indicator for the services sector fell to 54 in December from 55.7 in November. Economists' expectations were at a decline to 55.2 . The composite index , reflecting activity in the manufacturing sector and in the services sector fell to two-month low of 55.2 in December from 55.4 in November.

    Pound rose against the dollar , recovering from the lows . Economic Calendar for Britain today presented only data on the housing market . According to real estate Rightmove, the average asking price for homes for sale on the website Rightmove, was 1.9 % lower in December compared to November , but remained 5.4% higher than at the end of 2012 . In November , house prices fell by 2.4% m / m and rose 4.0 % y / y

    Monthly decline , typical for this time of year , was the smallest since the beginning of December to the global credit crisis and suggests that the demand for real estate remains high, which is expected to support prices afloat in 2014 - according to Rightmove.

    " The smallest drop in December 2006 shows that the housing market is on track to grow further momentum in 2013 ," - said Miles Shipsayd , director of Rightmove. Due to the constant lack of proposals , house price inflation has gathered momentum in 2013, exerting upward pressure on prices . Only increase in the number of homes for sale until spring will be sufficient to limit the rate of appreciation of property prices to the extent observed in 2013 - said Shipsayd .


    EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3789


    GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.6288 , and then rose to $ 1.6349

    USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y103.16 and stepped

    At 13:30 GMT , Canada will report on the volume of transactions with foreign securities in October. At 13:30 GMT the U.S. manufacturing index will be released in December Empire Manufacturing and changes in the level of labor productivity in the non-manufacturing sector for the 3rd quarter . At 14:00 GMT to make a speech , ECB President Mario Draghi . In the U.S. at 14:00 GMT will net purchases of long-term U.S. securities by foreign investors in October , the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector in December , total net purchases of U.S. securities by foreign investors in October , in the 14:15 GMT - the load factor of production capacity, the change in volume of industrial production in November. At 17:00 GMT a speech SNB board member Fritz Zurbrugg . At 23:00 GMT Australia is to publish an index of leading economic indicators from the Conference Board in October.

  • 13:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3870/80, $1.3850, $1.3830/35, $1.3815/20, $1.3790-805

    Bids $1.3740, $1.3705/00


    GBP/USD

    Offers  $1.6420/30, $1.6395/400, $1.6380, $1.6355/60, $1.6335/40

    Bids $1.6280, $1.6250, $1.6240, $1.6220


    AUD/USD

    Offers  $0.9045/50, $0.8980/90

    Bids $0.8920, $0.8900, $0.8850


    EUR/JPY

    Offers  Y143.50, Y143.00, Y142.45/50, Y142.20

    Bids Y141.50, Y141.25/20, Y141.00, Y140.50


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y104.00, Y103.80, Y103.45/50, Y103.20

    Bids Y102.50, Y102.20, Y102.00, Y101.80


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8575/85, stg0.8550, stg0.8520/30, stg0.8500, stg0.8475/80

    Bids stg0.8380, stg0.8355/45, stg0.8330/20


  • 10:31

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    USD/JPY Y102.50, Y102.70, Y103.00, Y103.25, Y103.50, Y104.00, Y105.00

    EUR/JPY Y142.00

    EUR/USD $1.3600, $1.3700, $1.3750, $1.3760, $1.3800, $1.3810

    GBP/USD $1.6360

    GBP/USD Y168.50

    USD/CHF Chf0.9000

    AUD/USD $0.8820, $0.8950, $0.9000, $0.9010, $0.9020, $0.9100, $0.9160

    NZD/USD $0.8200, $0.8275

    NZD/JPY Y84.50

    USD/CAD C$1.0590, C$1.0595, C$1.0600, C$1.0615, C$1.0640, C$1.0750

  • 10:01

    Eurozone: Trade Balance s.a., October 14.5 (forecast 15.2)

  • 08:59

    Eurozone: Manufacturing PMI, December 52.7 (forecast 51.9)

  • 08:59

    Eurozone: Services PMI, December 51.0 (forecast 51.5)

  • 08:29

    Germany: Manufacturing PMI, December 54.2 (forecast 53.1)

  • 08:29

    Germany: Services PMI, December 54 (forecast 55.2)

  • 07:59

    France: Services PMI, December 47.4 (forecast 48.9)

  • 07:58

    France: Manufacturing PMI, December 47.1 (forecast 49.1)

  • 06:57

    Asian session: The yen strengthened from a five-year low

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) December -2.4% -1.9%

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) December +4.0% +4.5% +5.4%

    01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 50.8 51.0 50.5


    The yen strengthened from a five-year low as investors assess U.S. economic data to see when the Federal Reserve will start to taper monetary stimulus. While 34 percent of economists surveyed by Bloomberg forecast the Fed will probably decide to reduce $85 billion in monthly bond purchases at its Dec. 17-18 meeting, futures traders bet it will keep interest rates near zero at least until the end of next year.

    Reports from the Fed today are projected to show that U.S. manufacturing is improving. Industrial production probably rose 0.6 percent last month from October when it fell 0.1 percent, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. A gauge of manufacturing in the New York region is likely to have advanced to a three-month high, a separate poll of economists shows.

    The euro reached a one-month high against the pound ahead of European data on manufacturing and services. London-based Markit Economics will probably say today that its composite index for the services and manufacturing industries in the currency bloc rose to 52 in December from 51.7 in November, economists forecast.

    The central bank’s quarterly Tankan business confidence report today showed sentiment among Japan’s largest manufacturers rose to the highest level since 2007.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.3760

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6290-10

    USD / JPY: on Asian session the pair fell to Y102.60


    A busy schedule is expected to provide direction this week in thinned out Christmas markets as dealers look ahead to data releases from UK CPI on Tuesday, FOMC rate decision/minutes on Wednesday, UK Retail Sales on Thursday, followed by UK GDP on Friday.

  • 06:01

    Schedule for today, Monday, Dec 16’2013:

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) December -2.4%

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) December +4.0% +4.5%

    01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 50.8 51.0

    07:58 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 48.4 49.1

    07:58 France Services PMI (Preliminary) December 48.0 48.9

    08:28 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 52.7 53.1

    08:28 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) December 55.7 55.2

    08:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 51.6 51.9

    08:58 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) December 51.2 51.5

    10:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. October 14.3 15.2

    11:00 Germany Bundesbank Monthly Report December

    13:30 Canada Foreign Securities Purchases October 8.36 9.24

    13:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index December -2.21 4.9

    13:30 U.S. Nonfarm Productivity, q/q (Revised) Quarter III +1.9% +2.9%

    13:58 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 54.7 54.9

    14:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

    14:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows October 25.5 31.4

    14:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows October -106.8

    14:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) November -0.1% +0.6%

    14:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization November 78.1% 78.5%

    16:15 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

    17:00 Switzerland Gov Board Member Fritz Zurbrugg Speaks

    23:00 Australia Conference Board Australia Leading Index October +0.3%

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