(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2847 +0,01%
GBP/USD $1,6388 +0,17%
USD/CHF Chf0,9396 -0,03%
USD/JPY Y108,85 +0,03%
EUR/JPY Y139,86 +0,06%
GBP/JPY Y178,39 +0,21%
AUD/USD $0,8844 -0,27%
NZD/USD $0,8065 -0,57%
USD/CAD C$1,1074 +0,33%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
00:00 Australia Conference Board Australia Leading Index July +0.4%
01:30 Australia RBA Financial Stability Review
01:35 Japan Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) September 52.2 52.5
06:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator August 1.66
08:00 Germany IFO - Business Climate September 106.3 105.9
08:00 Germany IFO - Current Assessment September 111.1 110.6
08:00 Germany IFO - Expectations September 101.7 101.3
13:00 Belgium Business Climate September -7.3 -7.1
13:00 Switzerland SNB Quarterly Bulletin Quarter III
14:00 U.S. New Home Sales August 412 432
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories September +3.7
16:05 U.S. FOMC Member Narayana Kocherlakota
The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies after the U.S. economic data. The preliminary U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers' index remained unchanged at 57.9 in September, missing expectations for an increase to 58.1.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond's manufacturing index climbed to 14 in September from 12 in August, beating forecasts for a decrease to 10.
The euro rose against the U.S. dollar despite the weak manufacturing and services purchasing managers' index from the Eurozone. Eurozone's preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) declined to 50.5 in September from 50.7 in August, missing expectations for a fall to 50.6.
Eurozone's preliminary services PMI decreased to 52.8 in September from 53.1 in August, missing expectations for a rise to 53.2.
Germany's preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index fell to 50.3 in September from 51.4 in August, missing expectations for a decline to 51.3.
Germany's preliminary services PMI rose to 55.4 in September from 54.9 in August, beating expectations for a drop to 54.6.
France's preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index increased to 48.8 in September from 46.9 in August, exceeding expectations for a gain to 47.1.
France's preliminary services PMI dropped to 49.4 in September from 50.3 in August, missing expectations for a decrease to 50.2.
The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar. The number of mortgage approvals decreased to 41,588 in August from 42,715 in July, missing expectations for an increase to 42,900.
The U.K. public sector net borrowing posted a surplus of £10.9 billion in August, after a deficit of £0.47 billion in July. July's figure was revised from a deficit of £1.10 billion. Analysts had expected a surplus of £10.3 billion.
The Canadian dollar dropped against the U.S. dollar after Canadian retail sales. Retail sales in Canada declined 0.1% in July, missing expectations for a 0.4% rise, after a 1.2% increase in June. June's figure was revised up from a 1.1% gain.
Canadian retail sales excluding auto sales dropped 0.6% in July, missing expectations for a 0.1% fall, after a 1.5% increase.
The New Zealand dollar fell against the U.S dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from New Zealand.
Market participants are awaiting Fonterra's annual results on Wednesday.
In the overnight trading session, the New Zealand dollar, Australian dollar and yen were supported by the better-than-expected preliminary Chinese HSBC manufacturing purchasing managers' index. The HSBC manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose to 50.5 in September from 50.2 in August, beating expectations for a decline to 50.0
The Australian dollar declined against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from Australia.
The Japanese yen traded decreased against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from Japan. Markets in Japan were closed for a public holiday.
Statistics Canada released retail sales data today. Retail sales declined 0.1% in July, missing expectations for a 0.4% rise, after a 1.2% increase in June. June's figure was revised up from a 1.1% gain.
Sales at general merchandise stores fell 2.7%, while sales at supermarkets and grocery stores decreased 1.1%.
Motor vehicle and parts sales jumped 1.6%.
Retail sales excluding auto sales dropped 0.6% in July, missing expectations for a 0.1% fall, after a 1.5% increase.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
00:00 Japan Bank holiday
01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) September 50.2 50.0 50.5
06:58 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) September 46.9 47.1 48.8
06:58 France Services PMI (Preliminary) September 50.3 50.2 49.4
07:28 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) September 51.4 51.3 50.3
07:28 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) September 54.9 54.6 55.4
07:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) September 50.7 50.6 50.5
07:58 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) September 53.1 53.2 52.8
08:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals August 42.8 42.9 41.6
08:30 United Kingdom PSNB, bln August -1.1 10.3 10.9
The U.S. dollar traded mixed to lower against the most major currencies. The greenback took a breather after a recent rally.
The greenback increased in recent months on speculation the Fed will start to hike its interest rate sooner than expected.
The existing home sales in the U.S. are expected to increase to 5.21 million units in August from 5.15 million units in July.
The euro rose against the U.S. dollar despite the weak manufacturing and services purchasing managers' index from the Eurozone. Eurozone's preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) declined to 50.5 in September from 50.7 in August, missing expectations for a fall to 50.6.
Eurozone's preliminary services PMI decreased to 52.8 in September from 53.1 in August, missing expectations for a rise to 53.2.
Germany's preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index fell to 50.3 in September from 51.4 in August, missing expectations for a decline to 51.3.
Germany's preliminary services PMI rose to 55.4 in September from 54.9 in August, beating expectations for a drop to 54.6.
France's preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index increased to 48.8 in September from 46.9 in August, exceeding expectations for a gain to 47.1.
France's preliminary services PMI dropped to 49.4 in September from 50.3 in August, missing expectations for a decrease to 50.2.
The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar despite the weak economic data from the U.K. The number of mortgage approvals decreased to 41,588 in August from 42,715 in July, missing expectations for an increase to 42,900.
The U.K. public sector net borrowing posted a surplus of £10.9 billion in August, after a deficit of £0.47 billion in July. July's figure was revised from a deficit of £1.10 billion. Analysts had expected a surplus of £10.3 billion.
The Canadian dollar increased against the U.S. dollar ahead of Canadian retail sales. Retail sales in Canada are expected to rise 0.4% in July, after a 1.1% gain in June.
Canadian retail sales excluding automobiles are expected to decline 0.1% in July, after a 1.5% rise in June.
EUR/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.2900
GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.6414
USD/JPY: the currency pair fell to Y108.24
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 Canada Retail Sales, m/m July +1.1% +0.4%
12:30 Canada Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m July +1.5% -0.1%
13:20 U.S. FOMC Member Jerome Powell Speaks
18:00 U.S. FOMC Member Narayana Kocherlakota
22:45 New Zealand Trade Balance, mln August -692 -1125
EUR/USD
Offers $1.2995, $1.2950/56, $1.2930/35
Bids $1.2800, $1.2788
GBP/USD
Offers 1.6480/85, 1.6430/35
Bids 1.6300, $1.6210/00, $1.6180
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9100, $0.9050-55, $0.8940/60
Bids $0.8825, $0.8800, $0.8778/77, $0.8750/57
EUR/JPY
Offers Y140.00
Bids Y138.80, Y138.20
USD/JPY
Offers Y110.00, Y109.50
Bids Y107.48
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.7980
Bids stg0.7800
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
00:00 Australia Conference Board Australia Leading Index July +0.2% +0.5%
01:30 Australia RBA Financial Stability Review
01:35 Japan Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) September 52.2 52.5 51.7
06:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator August 1.66 1.35
08:00 Germany IFO - Business Climate September 106.3 105.9 104.7
08:00 Germany IFO - Current Assessment September 111.1 110.6 110.5
08:00 Germany IFO - Expectations September 101.7 101.3 99.3
The U.S. dollar traded mixed to higher against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. new home sales. New home sales in the U.S. are expected to increase to 432,000 units in August from 412 units in July.
The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar due to the weaker-than-expected Germany's Ifo business climate index and comments by the European Central Bank President Mario Draghi. The Ifo business climate index for Germany declined to 104.7 in September from 106.3 in August. That was the fifth successive in five months and the lowest level since April 2013.
Analysts had expected the Ifo business climate index to fall to 105.9.
The European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi said in a French radio interview on Wednesday that the ECB will keep its monetary policy accommodative for as long as needed to bring inflation to 2% inflation target.
The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from the U.K.
The Swiss franc traded lower against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland's UBS consumption indicator declined to 1.35 points in August from 1.67 points in July. July's figure was revised up from 1.66 points.
EUR/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.2826
GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
13:00 Belgium Business Climate September -7.3 -7.1
14:00 U.S. New Home Sales August 412 432
16:05 U.S. FOMC Member Narayana Kocherlakota
EUR/USD: $1.2840(E200mn), $1.2870(E200mn), $1.2900(E749mn), $1.2950(E550mn)
USD/JPY: Y108.30($230mn), Y108.50($250mn), Y109.00($200mn), Y110.00-10($200mn)
GBP/USD: $1.6220(stg200mn), $1.6350(stg100mn), $1.6400(stg482mn), $1.6425(stg185mn)
USD/CHF: Chf0.9250($250mn), Chf0.9330-35($910mn), Chf0.9370($200mn), Chf0.9450($210mn)
AUD/USD: $0.8800(A$400mn), $0.8900(A$844mn)
NZD/USD: $0.8200(NZ$400mn), $0.8320(NZ$1.0bn)
USD/CAD: C$1.0900($350mn), C$1.0940-50($205mn), C$1.1000($336mn)
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
00:00 Japan Bank holiday
01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) September 50.2 50.0 50.5
06:58 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) September 46.9 47.1 48.8
06:58 France Services PMI (Preliminary) September 50.3 50.2 49.4
07:28 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) September 51.4 51.3 50.3
07:28 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) September 54.9 54.6 55.4
07:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) September 50.7 50.6 50.5
07:58 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) September 53.1 53.2 52.8
08:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals August 42.8 42.9 41.6
08:30 United Kingdom PSNB, bln August -1.1 10.3 10.9
The U.S. dollar traded mixed to lower against the most major currencies. The greenback remained supported by speculation the Fed will start to hike its interest rate sooner than expected.
The New Zealand dollar traded slightly higher against the U.S dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from New Zealand.
Market participants are awaiting Fonterra's annual results on Wednesday.
The New Zealand dollar, Australian dollar and yen were supported by the better-than-expected preliminary Chinese HSBC manufacturing purchasing managers' index. The HSBC manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose to 50.5 in September from 50.2 in August, beating expectations for a decline to 50.0
The Australian dollar climbed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from Australia.
The Japanese yen rose against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from Japan. Markets in Japan were closed for a public holiday.
EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.6390
USD/JPY: the currency pair fell to Y108.59
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 Canada Retail Sales, m/m July +1.1% +0.4%
12:30 Canada Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m July +1.5% -0.1%
13:20 U.S. FOMC Member Jerome Powell Speaks
18:00 U.S. FOMC Member Narayana Kocherlakota
22:45 New Zealand Trade Balance, mln August -692 -1125
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.2975 (2724)
$1.2941 (2110)
$1.2891 (310)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.2849
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2818 (3755)
$1.2780 (3259)
$1.2752 (5425)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 54148 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (4934);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 58862 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (5654);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.09 versus 1.10 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 22
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.6601 (1443)
$1.6502 (2699)
$1.6405 (1479)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.6376
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.6294 (4656)
$1.6197 (1966)
$1.6099 (3395)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 3 is 31727 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6700 (3731);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 3 is 41309 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6300 (4656);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.30 versus 1.30 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 22
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.