The U.S. dollar declined against the most major currencies after the weaker-than-expected U.S. durable goods orders and gross domestic product (GDP). The U.S. durable goods orders declined 1.0% in May, missing expectations for a 0.1% fall, after a 0.6% fall in April. The U.S. core durable goods orders (excluding transportation) decreased 0.1% in May, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain, after 0.3% rise in April.
The U.S. durable goods orders excluding defence increased 0.6% May, after a 0.8% decline in April.
The U.S. GDP dropped 2.9% in the first quarter, missing expectations for a 1.7% decline, after a 1.0% decline the previous quarter.
The euro increased against the U.S. dollar. The Gfk consumer climate index is expected to increase to 8.9 in July from 8.6 in June. June's figure was revised up from 8.5. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 8.6.
The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar. The Confederation of Business Industry released retail sales for the U.K. The CBI retail sales volume balance dropped to +4 in June from +16 in May. That was the lowest level since November 2013. Analysts had expected an increase to +25.
The Swiss franc traded higher against the U.S. dollar. The UBS consumption indicator for Switzerland climbed to 1.77 points in May from a revised 1.68 points in April.
The New Zealand dollar surged against the U.S dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in New Zealand.
The Australian dollar rose against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in Australia.
The Japanese yen traded higher against the U.S. dollar. The corporate service price index (CSPI) in Japan increased 3.6% in May, exceeding expectations for a 3.2% gain, after a 3.4% rise in April.
EUR/USD $1.3530-40, $1.3550, $1.3560, $1.3600, $1.3620, $1.3625, $1.3630, $1.3650, E1.3655
USD/JPY Y101.50, Y101.70, Y102.00, Y102.10-20
GBP/USD $1.6975, $1.7030
USD/CHF Chf0.8945
EUR/CHF Chf1.2200
AUD/USD $0.9400
Economic calendar (GMT0):
03:00 Australia RBA Assist Gov Lowe Speaks
06:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey July 8.5 8.6 8.9
06:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator May 1.72 1.77
10:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance June 16 25 4
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. durable goods orders and gross domestic product (GDP). The U.S. durable goods orders should decline 0.1% in May, after a 0.6% fall in April.
The U.S. GDP should drop 1.7% in the first quarter, after a 1.0% decline the previous quarter.
The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. The Gfk consumer climate index is expected to increase to 8.9 in July from 8.6 in June. June's figure was revised up from 8.5. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 8.6.
The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar due to yesterday's Bank of England Governor Mark Carney comments. He said that the interest rate hike will be driven by the U.K. economic data. He also said that wages in the U.K. are softer than expected by the BoE. These comments by Mark Carney could mean there is no need to hike interest rate.
The Confederation of Business Industry released retail sales for the U.K. The CBI retail sales volume balance dropped to +4 in June from +16 in May. That was the lowest level since November 2013. Analysts had expected an increase to +25.
The Swiss franc traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. The UBS consumption indicator for Switzerland climbed to 1.77 points in May from a revised 1.68 points in April.
EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair decreased to $1.6951
USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders May -0.6% -0.1%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation May +0.3% +0.3%
12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense May -0.8%
12:30 U.S. PCE price index, q/q (Finally) Quarter I +1.3% +1.3%
12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, q/q (Finally) Quarter I +3.1% +3.1%
12:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (Finally) Quarter I -1.0% -1.7%
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3695/00, $1.3688, $1.3670/80, $1.3645
Bids $1.3580, $1.3550, $1.3535, $1.3515/10
GBP/USD
Offers $1.7110/20, $1.7090, $1.7080/85, $1.7062
Bids $1.6950, $1.6920, $1.6910/00, $1.6845
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9545, $0.9500, $0.9460, $0.9450, $0.9430
Bids $0.9320, $0.9300, $0.9255, $0.9230
EUR/JPY
Offers Y140.00, Y139.50, Y139.20, Y139.00
Bids Y138.40, Y138.20, Y138.00
USD/JPY
Offers Y102.80, Y102.65, Y102.40, Y102.20
Bids Y101.70, Y101.50, Y101.00
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8100, stg0.8080, stg0.8050, stg0.8035/40
Bids stg0.7950, stg0.7900
EUR/USD $1.3530-40, $1.3550, $1.3560, $1.3600, $1.3620, $1.3625, $1.3630, $1.3650, E1.3655
USD/JPY Y101.50, Y101.70, Y102.00, Y102.10-20
GBP/USD $1.6975, $1.7030
USD/CHF Chf0.8945
EUR/CHF Chf1.2200
AUD/USD $0.9400
Economic calendar (GMT0):
03:00 Australia RBA Assist Gov Lowe Speaks
06:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey July 8.5 8.6 8.9
06:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator May 1.72 1.77
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. The U.S. currency was supported by the yesterday's strong U.S. economic data. The CBI consumer confidence index climbed to 85.2 in June from a reading of 82.2 in May. That was the highest level since January 2008.
New home sales in the U.S. jumped 18.6% in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 504,000 units. That was the highest level since May 2008.
The New Zealand dollar traded slightly higher against the U.S dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in New Zealand.
The Australian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in Australia. The U.S. currency was supported by the yesterday's strong U.S. economic data.
The Japanese yen traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. The corporate service price index (CSPI) in Japan increased 3.6% in May, exceeding expectations for a 3.2% gain, after a 3.4% rise in April.
EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.6959
USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
10:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance June 16 25
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders May -0.6% -0.1%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation May +0.3% +0.3%
12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense May -0.8%
12:30 U.S. PCE price index, q/q (Finally) Quarter I +1.3% +1.3%
12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, q/q (Finally) Quarter I +3.1% +3.1%
12:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (Finally) Quarter I -1.0% -1.7%
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3679 (2115)
$1.3652 (3464)
$1.3633 (1836)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3607
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3577 (1009)
$1.3554 (3746)
$1.3523 (5109)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date July, 3 is 30694 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3700 (3999);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date July, 3 is 41549 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (5341);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.35 versus 1.38 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 24
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.7200 (2064)
$1.7101 (2242)
$1.7004 (2353)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.6972
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.6897 (1996)
$1.6799 (1698)
$1.6700 (2412)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date July, 3 is 20180 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,7100 (2353);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date July, 3 is 26082 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6700 (2412);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.28 versus 1.27 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 24
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
EUR/USD $1,3602 -0,01%
GBP/USD $1,6982 -0,26%
USD/CHF Chf0,8939 -0,03%
USD/JPY Y101,96 +0,06%
EUR/JPY Y138,69 +0,05%
GBP/JPY Y173,14 -0,20%
AUD/USD $0,9366 -0,60%
NZD/USD $0,8669 -0,58%
USD/CAD C$1,0745 +0,16%
03:00 Australia RBA Assist Gov Lowe Speaks
06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index June +0.7% +0.7%
06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y June +11.1%
06:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey July 8.5 8.6
06:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator May 1.72
10:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance June 16 25
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders May -0.6% -0.1%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation May +0.3% +0.3%
12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense May -0.8%
12:30 U.S. PCE price index, q/q (Finally) Quarter I +1.3% +1.3%
12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, q/q (Finally) Quarter I +3.1% +3.1%
12:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (Finally) Quarter I -1.0% -1.7%
13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) June 58.1 58.6
14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories June -0.6