(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,3784 -0,30%
GBP/USD $1 ,6575 +0,27%
USD/CHF Chf0,8847 +0,54%
USD/JPY Y102,06 -0,20%
EUR/JPY Y140,69 -0,50%
GBP/JPY Y169,16 +0,08%
AUD/USD $0,9219 +0,64%
NZD/USD $0,8598 +0,31%
USD/CAD C$1,1100 -0,59%(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index March +0.6%
07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y March +9.4%
09:00 Eurozone M3 money supply, adjusted y/y February +1.2% +1.3%
09:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) February -1.5% +0.5%
09:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) February +4.3% +2.4%
12:30 U.S. FOMC Member Pianalto Speaks
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims March 320 326
12:30 U.S. PCE price index, q/q Quarter IV +2.6%
12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, q/q Quarter IV +1.3%
12:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (Finally) Quarter III +2.4% +2.7%
14:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) February +0.1% +0.2%
17:00 Switzerland Gov Board Member Fritz Zurbrugg Speaks
23:30 Japan Unemployment Rate February 3.7% 3.7%
23:30 Japan Household spending Y/Y February +1.1% +0.3%
23:30 Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y March +1.1% +1.2%
23:30 Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y March +0.9% +0.9%
23:30 Japan National Consumer Price Index, y/y February +1.4% +1.5%
23:30 Japan National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y February +1.3% +1.3%
23:50 Japan Retail sales, y/y February +4.4% +3.6%
The Euro is trading lower against the dollar, which has been associated with the release of U.S. data , as well as statements from representatives of the Central Bank. Ministry of Commerce announced today that orders for planes take off in February , masking slow demand for other industrial and durable goods. According to the report , orders for durable goods - products such as refrigerators and cars , period of use for more than three years - rose a seasonally adjusted 2.2% in February compared with the previous month , said Wednesday . This is the strongest value in November. Result January was revised downward to fall by 1.3%. Economists forecast that overall orders for durable goods rise by 1.1%. New orders for civilian and defense aircraft and parts led growth. Excluding the volatile transportation segment , orders for durable goods rose by only 0.2 %. New orders for primary metals and electronic products led the growth. But the demand for electrical machinery and equipment declined last month.
Little support for the euro had words of a member of the Governing Council of the ECB Luis Linde, who said that the eurozone faces a small but real risk of deflation , which could force the European Central Bank to take action. Linde, which is the main central bank of Spain, said that the ECB is ready and should be taken to avoid a deflationary trend. His comments were made after Tuesday's other Fed officials have sent a strong signal that they want to consider drastic measures to protect against dangerous low inflation. Earlier Wednesday, the head of the central bank of Slovakia Jozef Makuch said that the ECB is ready to fight to prevent a decline in prices, which , according to him, threatening to undermine the recovery in the eurozone.
Pound was up against the U.S. dollar , thus responding to the U.S. data and statements by the Bank of England Huila . Note that a member of the Bank of England Monetary Committee in an interview with Martin Weale Reading Post said that there is evidence of improvement in the economy. Britain feels better than Europe amid rising wages. Member of the Monetary Committee , which decides on rates , said uneven recovery : in some parts of it better than others. According to Wil there can be no guarantees with respect to any increase in interest rates in the future , but any increase will be gradual . He said: " I think everything is going very well . It is evident that the economy is growing faster than a year ago. Inflation slightly below the target level after a long period exceeding it , it's certainly good news that we are doing our job . Wage growth is encouraging, we need revenue . " Will gave to understand how the economic picture is not the same in different parts of the country : " From the point of view of the Committee - a national policy that we are pursuing , should consider all and not only the rich part. Painting is never completely uniform . "
USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.50, Y102.00, Y102.15, Y102.30, Y102.40, Y102.50, Y102.65, Y103.10
EUR/USD $1.3800, $1.3830/40, $1.3850, $1.3900/05, $1.3935
AUD/USD $0.8950, $0.8970/75, $0.9000, $0.9100
USD/CAD Cad1.1080, Cad1.190, Cad1.1265, Cad1.1350
GBP/USD $1.6510, $1.6530
EUR/CHF Chf1.2300
EUR/GBP stg0.8285, stg0.8305
07:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey April 8.5 8.5 8.5
07:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator February 1.44 1.57
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders February -1.0% +1.1% +2.2%
12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation February +1.1% +0.3% +0.2%
12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense February -1.8% +2.0% +1.8%
Euro fell against the dollar despite strong data on consumer confidence in Germany. German consumer confidence index , as expected , remained 7 - year high in April , but the events in the Crimea may affect consumer sentiment in the coming weeks , showed on Wednesday the results of a survey research group GfK. Expected consumer confidence index remained unchanged at 8.5, in line with expectations . Result is consistent with the March value , which was the highest since January 2007. The survey , based on the opinions of consumers in 2000 , was held on the eve of the crisis escalates to the referendum and the subsequent annexation of Russian autonomous region of Crimea in Ukraine . If Crimean crisis will spread to other parts of Ukraine , will be very likely negative effect on German consumer sentiment , said the GfK. " It can not be excluded that this event will unsettle consumers in the coming weeks ," the statement said.
Economic expectations of consumers in March were on the road to recovery. The indicator rose by 1.3 points to 33.2 points. According to GfK, a favorable global growth prospects with improved export prospects , as well as lower interest rates will stimulate the propensity to invest .
Meanwhile , a measure of expected income fell by three points to 45.6 points in March . Nevertheless , expectations remain at very high levels , while stable job market strengthens hopes for a greater increase in collective income. After a slight decline in the previous month, the third component of consumer confidence , willingness to purchase , registered a clear gain of 6.6 points , reaching 55.5 points in March . The indicator shows that the upward trend that started in early 2013 , was continued. Stable labor market, good dynamics of income and moderate inflation will continue to maintain a willingness to buy . GfK has confirmed that private consumption will again be a reliable pillar of the economy this year.
U.S. Department of Commerce published a report on orders for durable goods contributed to the growth of the U.S. dollar against the yen. Orders for durable goods - products such as refrigerators and cars , period of use for more than three years - rose a seasonally adjusted 2.2% in February compared to a month earlier , said the Ministry of Commerce on Wednesday . This is the strongest value in November. Result January was revised downward to fall by 1.3%. Economists forecast that overall orders for durable goods rise by 1.1%.
New orders for civilian and defense aircraft and parts led growth. Fluctuations in these categories can cause significant changes in the overall index . The Boeing Company reported an increase almost twice the number of orders for its aircraft in February compared to a month earlier.
Excluding the volatile transportation segment , orders for durable goods rose by only 0.2 %. New orders for primary metals and electronic products led the growth. But the demand for electrical machinery and equipment declined last month.
The Australian dollar rose for a fourth day after the head of the Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens in his speech said that the period of record-low interest rates will continue for some time . However, he warned that the region's economic prospects remain uncertain due to the attenuation of the boom in the mining industry .
EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3781
GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6562
USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y102.47
At 21:45 GMT New Zealand will release the trade balance (for 12 months , from the beginning of the year ) , trade balance for February.
USD/JPY Y101.00, Y101.50, Y102.00, Y102.15, Y102.30, Y102.40, Y102.50, Y102.65, Y103.10
EUR/USD $1.3800, $1.3830/40, $1.3850, $1.3900/05, $1.3935
AUD/USD $0.8950, $0.8970/75, $0.9000, $0.9100
USD/CAD Cad1.1080, Cad1.190, Cad1.1265, Cad1.1350
GBP/USD $1.6510, $1.6530
EUR/CHF Chf1.2300
EUR/GBP stg0.8285, stg0.8305
00:30 Australia RBA Financial Stability Review March
06:00 Australia RBA's Governor Glenn Stevens Speech
The euro remained lower against most of its 16 major peers as weaker European business data fueled speculation the region’s economic recovery will falter. Ifo Institute’s German business climate index, based on a survey of 7,000 executives, fell to 110.7 in March after increasing to 111.3 the previous month, the highest level since July 2011. Economists predicted a decline to 110.9, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Germany is Europe’s biggest economy.
The shared currency was near the lowest in three weeks versus the greenback before U.S. reports that analysts predict will show higher durable goods orders and stronger economic growth. In the U.S., durable goods orders probably increased 0.8 percent in February from the previous month, when they dropped 1 percent, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News before the Commerce Department releases data today.
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart said yesterday he expects rate increases in the second half of next year. The Atlanta Fed’s Lockhart said yesterday “the second half of 2015 is a reasonable time frame in which we might get to lift off” the benchmark interest rate from a record low. Lockhart, answering questions in a forum in Atlanta, said the U.S. central bank will probably begin to raise the main interest rate more than six months after halting its purchases of bonds.
The Aussie rose for a fourth day after RBA Governor Stevens said there are encouraging early signs of a handover from mining-led demand growth to domestic consumption. He repeated today that borrowing costs, currently at a record-low 2.5 percent, were likely to remain steady for a period.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.3810
GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6425-40
USD / JPY: on Asian session the pair traded in the range of Y102.25-40