(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3825 -0,09%

GBP/USD $1,6531 +0,22%

USD/CHF Chf0,8799 -0,09%

USD/JPY Y102,26 +0,04%

EUR/JPY Y141,39 -0,04%

GBP/JPY Y169,03 +0,25%

AUD/USD $0,9160 +0,38%

NZD/USD $0,8571 +0,30%

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:30 Australia RBA Financial Stability Review     March             

06:00 Australia RBA's Governor Glenn Stevens Speech                 

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index March +0.6%         

07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y March +9.4%         

07:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey April 8.5 8.5     

07:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator February 1.44         

12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders February -1.0% +1.1%     

12:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation February +1.1% +0.3%     

12:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense February -1.8% +2.0%     

14:00 Switzerland SNB Quarterly Bulletin Quarter I             

14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories March +5.9         

21:45 New Zealand Trade Balance, mln February 306 600

The euro exchange rate against the dollar rose sharply , returning almost all the ground lost during today's trading . Impact on the dynamics of the U.S. data , as well as the statements of the ECB's Draghi . Report from the Conference Board showed that consumer confidence index has improved markedly in March , while offsetting the decline in February . The index now stands at 82.3 points ( 1985 = 100 points ) , compared to 78.3 points in February . Present situation index fell to 80.4 points from 81.0 points, while the expectations index rose to 83.5 from 76.5 . Meanwhile, it became known that the assessment of current conditions consumers almost unchanged in March - the proportion of those who reported improvement of business conditions rose to 22.9 percent from 21.2 percent, while those who reported worsening , has risen to 23 2 percent from 22.0 percent . Estimation by consumers of the labor market was relatively unchanged - the proportion of those who said about improving conditions , decreased to 13.1 percent from 13.4 percent, and is reported to decline increased to 33.0 percent from 32.4 percent .

As for Draghi speech , he noted that the ECB will do everything necessary to maintain price stability . Perhaps he hinted at HTA program aimed at helping vulnerable members of the eurozone by buying their government bonds , which was proposed in the fall of 2012, but did not work. He also said that the soft policy will support the gradual elimination of the lag in economic growth. According to him, visible signs that monetary policy becomes more effective . Draghi also spoke about the euro , noting that the strengthening of the euro caused by external factors , including the Japanese monetary policy , as well as increased confidence in the eurozone. Furthermore, he added that the ECB is closely monitoring the situation with the exchange rate.

The British pound rose against the dollar , helped by data on inflation in Britain and weak U.S. data . In the UK inflation slowed in February , as expected , to a four-year low due to lower transport prices showed Tuesday, official data Office for National Statistics . Consumer prices rose 1.7 percent year -on-year after increasing 1.9 percent in January. Growth rates in line with economists' expectations . On a monthly measurement of consumer prices rose by 0.5 percent , according to the forecast , offsetting a drop of 0.6 percent in January. At the same time, core inflation , which excludes prices of energy, food , alcoholic beverages and tobacco , rose to 1.7 percent from 1.6 percent .

Meanwhile, U.S. data showed that new home sales fell in February , becoming the latest sign that the severe weather conditions and rising mortgage rates undermine the housing market recovery . Sales of newly built homes fell 3.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 440,000 compared with the previous month , the Ministry of Commerce said . Strong growth in January was revised downward to an annual rate of 455,000 . Data on sales of new buildings represent a small portion of the homes purchased in the United States and may be subject to significant revisions . But they provide more current sensor market conditions than some other figures , because they are calculated at the time of signing the contract , and not when it is closed . February sales were lower than expected by economists and 447,000 were at the lowest level since September.

USD/JPY Y102.15, Y102.50, Y102.80/85, Y103.00, Y103.25, Y103.30

EUR/USD $1.3680, $1.3720/25, $1.3755, $1.3800, $1.3900

AUD/USD $0.9075, $0.9180/85

GBP/JPY Y171.00

USD/CAD Cad1.1140, Cad1.1150/60, Cad1.1200, Cad1.1250/60, Cad1.1275, Cad1.1300

GBP/USD $1.6705

EUR/CHF Chf1.2225

GBP/CHF Chf1.5000

USD/CHF Chf0.8860

09:00 Germany IFO - Business Climate March 111.3 110.9 110.7

09:00 Germany IFO - Current Assessment March 114.4 114.6 115.2

09:00 Germany IFO - Expectations March 108.3 107.7 106.4

09:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m February -0.3% +0.5% +0.6%

09:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y February +2.8% +2.6% +2.7%

09:30 United Kingdom RPI-X, Y/Y February +2.8% +2.6% +2.7%

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) February -0.9% +0.4% -0.4%

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) February -3.1% -5.3% -5.7%

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) February +0.3% +0.2% 0.0%

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) February +1.2% +1.0% +0.5%

09:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals February 50.0 50.0 47.6

09:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m February -0.6% +0.5% +0.5%

09:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y February +1.9% +1.7% +1.7%

09:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y February +1.6% +1.6% +1.7%

11:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance March 37 30 13

Euro fell against the dollar on weak data on Germany from the IFO. Level of business confidence in Germany fell more than expected in March , according to the monthly report from the institute IFO. Business climate index , which reflects business sentiment fell to 110.7 from 111.3 in February, when according to the expectations index was down to 110.9 . Meanwhile, the assessment of current conditions improved to 115.2 from 114.4 in the previous month . Economists expected the index to rise slightly to 114.6 . The expectations index fell to 106.4 in March from 108.3 a month ago. Experts' forecasts were at 107.7 .

Furthermore, the pressure on the euro was head of the Bundesbank comments . Governor of the Bank of Germany Jens Weidmann said in an interview today MNI, that negative interest rates until represent a kind of " terra incognita ", and there is no certainty that they will help to lower rates on loans. Head of the Bundesbank , who is also a member of the ECB Governing Council , admitted that negative rates can be an adequate tool to curb growth in the euro , but this issue requires more careful consideration.

"We should discuss their efficiency, their costs and side effects , - said Weidmann . He also added that this is not intended to completely exclude an application QE. In addition, Weidmann said that in case of risks to price stability, followed by tightening monetary policy.

The British pound rose moderately against the U.S. dollar after a report on inflation. In the UK inflation slowed in February , as expected , to a four-year low due to lower transport prices showed Tuesday, official data Office for National Statistics . Consumer prices rose 1.7 percent year -on-year after increasing 1.9 percent in January. Growth rates in line with economists' expectations .

On a monthly measurement of consumer prices rose by 0.5 percent , according to the forecast , offsetting a drop of 0.6 percent in January . At the same time , core inflation , which excludes prices of energy, food , alcoholic beverages and tobacco , rose to 1.7 percent in February from 1.6 percent in January.

Another report showed that the number of mortgage certificates to purchase a home in the UK unexpectedly fell in February to its highest level in almost six and a half years , to reflect the latest data from the British Bankers Association (BBA).

Agreed amount of mortgage loans decreased from a seasonally adjusted 47,550 to 49,341 in January , which was revised to 49,972 . Economists had forecast an increase on the 50,000 figure . The level of January is the highest since September 2007 , when it was 54,148 . In February 2013 the number of certificates was 31,073 .

The total number of approvals , which includes re- mortgage and other secured borrowings , was 78,424 in February, compared with 81,047 in the previous month .

Gross mortgage borrowing increased by 47 percent annually to 11.5 billion pounds in February to the highest level since August 2008 . Credit card spending rose by 7 per cent compared with the previous year to 8.2 billion pounds . Deposits of individuals increased by 3.7 percent .

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3784

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6504

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y102.47

U.S. at 13:00 GMT release index of home prices in 20 major cities of S & P / Case-Shiller, national composite house price index S & P / CaseShiller January to 14:00 GMT - indicator of consumer confidence for March, sales in the primary market in February.

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3950, $1.3930, $1.3890-910, $1.3845/50

Bids $1.3800, $1.3765/60, $1.3755-30, $1.3725/20, $1.3710/00, $1.3694

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6620, $1.6600, $1.6580/85, $1.6515/20

Bids $1.6470/65, $1.6455/50, $1.6410/00, $1.6385/80

AUD/USD

Offers $0.9245/50, $0.9200, $0.9155/60

Bids $0.9100, $0.9085/80, $0.9050, $0.9020/10, $0.9000

EUR/JPY

Offers Y142.50, Y142.00, Y141.45/50

Bids Y141.00, Y140.50/40, Y140.00

USD/JPY

Offers Y103.00, Y102.80, Y102.50

Bids Y102.00, Y101.80, Y101.50, Y101.25/20

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8450, stg0.8435/40, stg0.8420/25, stg0.8405/10

Bids stg0.8350, stg0.8320/15

USD/JPY Y102.15, Y102.50, Y102.80/85, Y103.00, Y103.25, Y103.30

EUR/USD $1.3680, $1.3720/25, $1.3755, $1.3800, $1.3900

AUD/USD $0.9075, $0.9180/85

GBP/JPY Y171.00

USD/CAD Cad1.1140, Cad1.1150/60, Cad1.1200, Cad1.1250/60, Cad1.1275, Cad1.1300

GBP/USD $1.6705

EUR/CHF Chf1.2225

GBP/CHF Chf1.5000

USD/CHF Chf0.8860

02:00 China Leading Index February +0.3% Revised From +1.2% +0.9%

04:45 Australia RBA Assist Gov Lowe Speaks

The euro held gains versus most of its major counterparts before a report today that may show business confidence in Germany, the region’s biggest economy, held near a 2 1/2-year high. The Ifo institute’s business climate index, which is a measure of sentiment in Germany and based on a survey of 7,000 executives, was probably at 110.9 this month, according to the median estimate of economists polled by Bloomberg News. The gauge rose to 111.3 in February, the strongest reading since July 2011.

Europe’s shared currency remained higher versus its U.S. peer before European Central Bank President Mario Draghi speaks today and after data yesterday signaled growth in manufacturing and services in the region stayed close to the fastest in almost three years. Draghi is scheduled to deliver a lecture in Paris today. He said this month the euro area’s economy was meeting the central bank’s baseline scenario of a gradual recovery, following a decision by policy makers to keep the benchmark rate at a record-low 0.25 percent.

The U.S. Commerce Department may say today new home sales fell 4.9 percent last month to a 445,000 annualized pace, according to the median forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. A separate report may show the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s home price index climbed 0.6 percent in January after a 0.8 percent advance the previous month.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3830-40

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6490-05

USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y102.35

The European calendar kicks off at 0745GMT, with the release of the French March business climate index, along with the service and manufacturing sentiment indices. At 0800GMT, the Spanish February PPI data will be released. The main European release comes at 0900GMT, when the German March IfO business climate index crosses the wires. the business climate is seen edging lower to 110.9, while the expectations index is seen slipping to 107.7 from 108.3.  Across the Atlantic, the calendar gets underway at 1145GMT, when the ICSC-Goldman Store Sales data for the March 22 week are published. The Redbook Average for the same period are set for release at 1255GMT. At 1300GMT, the January FHFA Home Price Index and the January S&P/Case-Shiller Index will cross the wires. February New Home Sales data will be released at 1400GMT, along with the Conference Board's March Consumer confidence data. Central bankers are set to appear late in the day. At 2100GMT, Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Dennis Lockhart will hold a fireside chat on the economic outlook, in Atlanta. At 2300GMT, Philly Fed President Charles Plosser will give a speech on the economic outlook and monetary policy, in New York.