The dollar rose modestly against the euro, reaching maximum values at the same time from 20 November 2013. Market participants expect more details on sanctions against Russia. EU Council at the level of Permanent Representatives of 28 countries agreed community today at a meeting in Brussels on economic sanctions against Russia. Reported by the Reuters news agency quoted a diplomatic source. In this companion Reuters added that economic sanctions against Russia in the EU will be reviewed after three months. Bloomberg agency agreement also confirms new sanctions against Russia. According to the agency, the list includes new sanctions restricting access Russian state banks to capital markets, the ban on exports to the Russian equipment for oil embargo on future arms sales to Russia, as well as restrictions on the supply of dual-use equipment.
Little support was U.S. data that showed in July index of consumer confidence in the U.S. jumped to 90.9 points, which was the maximum value of the index since October 2007. This was reported by a research organization Conference Board, which calculates this indicator. However, the indicator value for June was revised from 85.2 points to 86.4 points. Analysts had expected the index to increase to 85.5 points from the previously specified level. Indicator of the attitude of U.S. consumers to the current financial situation in July rose to 88.3 points compared with 86.3 in the previous month. The index of consumer expectations for the next six months jumped to 92.7 points from 86.4 points.
The British pound weakened against the dollar after an early growth data on mortgage loans. Number of mortgage approvals in the UK rose more than expected in June to its highest level since February of last year, data showed on Tuesday the Bank of England. Approved applications for house purchase increased to 67 196, 4-month high of 62,007 in May. Predicted moderate growth to 63000. Loans to individuals increased by 2.5 billion pounds. In total, loans secured by housing increased by 2.1 billion pounds in June, compared with a rise of 2.3 billion pounds in May. On an annual basis, secured loans rose 1.5 percent.
Consumer loans grew by only 0.4 billion pounds, after rising by 0.7 billion pounds. Annual growth remained unchanged at 5.3 percent. M4 money supply rose 0.1 percent in June from May. On an annual basis M4 decreased by 0.6 percent compared with 0.8 percent drop in May.
The yen depreciated markedly against the dollar, reaching a three-week low at the same time. Demand for the dollar is still maintained before the release of preliminary data on U.S. economic growth in the second quarter and the statement of the Federal Reserve's rate. Investors also expect the employment report for July on Friday. Earlier this month, the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen noted that U.S. interest rates may rise sooner if the recovery in the labor market will continue.
EUR/USD $1.3350, $1.3400, $1.3450, $1.3490, $1.3500, $1.3570
USD/JPY Y101.55/65, Y101.75, Y101.85/90
USD/CAD C$1.0735, C$1.0765, C$1.0810, C$1.0880
EUR/GBP Stg0.8000
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3500-10, $1.3485, $1.3440-50
Bids $1.3420, $1.3410-09
GBP/USD
Offers $1.7080, $1.7065
Bids $1.6920, $1.6900
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9480, $0.9450, $0.9420/25
Bids $0.9385/80, $0.9370, $0.9350, $0.9320
EUR/JPY
Offers Y137.75/80, Y137.50, Y137.20/25
Bids Y136.85/80, Y136.50, Y136.00
USD/JPY
Offers Y102.20, Y102.04
Bids Y101.85/80, Y101.50, Y101.20
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8000, stg0.7980/85, stg0.7950
Bids stg0.7900
EUR/USD $1.3350, $1.3400, $1.3450, $1.3490, $1.3500, $1.3570
USD/JPY Y101.55/65, Y101.75, Y101.85/90
USD/CAD C$1.0735, C$1.0765, C$1.0810, C$1.0880
EUR/GBP Stg0.8000
01:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m June -4.3% +1.2%
The dollar was within 0.1 percent of its strongest in almost six weeks against major peers before reports this week that may show the U.S. economy rebounded and employers boosted payrolls. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News predict the Commerce Department will say tomorrow that U.S. gross domestic product climbed an annualized 3 percent last quarter, indicating the fastest pace of growth for the world's biggest economy since the quarter ended September 2013 and a rebound from a 2.9 percent contraction in January to March of this year.
Economists in separate poll forecast Labor Department data due Aug. 1 will indicate employers boosted payrolls in July by more than 200,000 jobs for a sixth-straight month.
Interest-rate increases may come "sooner and be more rapid than currently envisioned" if the labor market continues to improve more quickly than anticipated, Fed Chair Janet Yellen told lawmakers this month.
New Zealand's dollar remained lower after falling yesterday to the weakest in more than a month.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3435-40
GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $ 1.6975
USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y102.00
A generally light data calendar for Monday (US Svcs PMI at 1345GMT then pending home sales at 1400GMT the stand out interest) with moves to come from end month flows and any geopolitical developments.
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3521 (1332)
$1.3490 (844)
$1.3467 (196)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3430
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3414 (7011)
$1.3395 (3652)
$1.3368 (3365)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 8 is 28741 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3600 (3997);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 8 is 34440 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (7011);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.20 versus 1.21 from the previous trading day according to data from July, 28
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.7200 (1636)
$1.7101 (2035)
$1.7004 (988)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.6969
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.6897 (2167)
$1.6799 (2403)
$1.6700 (1157)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 8 is 16929 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,7250 (2424);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 8 is 25502 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,7000 (2679);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.51 versus 1.51 from the previous trading day according to data from Jule, 28
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,3439 +0,07%
GBP/USD $1,6981 +0,04%
USD/CHF Chf0,9038 -0,09%
USD/JPY Y101,84 +0,02%
EUR/JPY Y136,86 +0,08%
GBP/JPY Y172,93 +0,05%
AUD/USD $0,9403 +0,10%
NZD/USD $0,8547 -0,06%
USD/CAD C$1,0797 -0,14%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
01:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m June -4.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Net Lending to Individuals, bln June 2.7 2.6
08:30 United Kingdom Mortgage Approvals June 62 63
13:00 U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y May +10.8% +9.8%
14:00 U.S. Consumer confidence July 85.2 85.5
20:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories July -0.6
22:45 New Zealand Building Permits, m/m June -4.6%
23:50 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) June +0.7% -1.0%
23:50 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) June +1.0%