Notícias do Mercado

30 maio 2014
  • 16:30

    Foreign exchange market. American session: the U.S. dollar traded lower against the most major currencies after the release of mixed U.S. economic data

    The U.S. dollar traded lower against the most major currencies after the release of mixed U.S. economic data. The personal spending in the U.S. declined 0.1% in April, after a 0.9% in March. Analysts had expected a rise of 0.2%.

    The personal income in the U.S. increased 0.3% in April, meeting expectations, after a 0.5% gain in March.

    Reuters/Michigan consumer sentiment index declined to 81.9 in May, from 82.8 in April. Analysts had forecasted the index to climb to 82.9.

    The Chicago purchasing managers' index climbed to a seven-month high of 65.5 in May, from 63.0 in March. Analysts had expected a decrease to 60.2.

    The euro increased against the U.S. dollar. The German adjusted retail sales dropped 0.9% in April, after a 0.7% decline in March. Analysts had expected a 0.4% rise.

    The unadjusted retail sales in Germany climbed 3.4% in April, after a decrease of 1.9% in March.

    The British pound climbed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in the U.K.

    The Swiss franc traded higher against the U.S. dollar. KOF leading indicator for Switzerland dropped to 99.8 in May from 101.8 in April. April’s figure was revised down to 101.8 from 102.04. Analysts had expected an increase to 102.05.

    The Canadian dollar declined against the U.S. dollar due to the weak Canadian gross domestic product. The Canadian gross domestic product increased 0.1% in March, meeting analysts’ expectations, after a 0.2% gain in February. This data means that the Bank of Canada will likely keep interest rates unchanged next week.

    The raw material price index in Canada climbed 0.1% in April, after a 0.6% rise in March. Analysts had expected a 1.2% gain.

    The New Zealand dollar traded mixed against the U.S dollar. The number of new dwellings excluding apartments in New Zealand climbed 2.7% on year. That is the highest level since September 2007.

    The building permits in New Zealand increased 1.5% in April, after an 8.3% gain in March.

    The Australian dollar was up against the U.S. dollar after the release of the better-than-expected private sector credit data in Australia, but later lost its gains. The private sector credit data in Australia increased 0.5% in April, from a 0.4% rise in March. Analysts had expected a 0.4% gain. On a yearly basis, the private sector credit data in Australia rose 4.6% in April, from a 4.4% rise in March.

    The Japanese yen traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after release of mixed economic data in Japan. Japan's core consumer price index excluding fresh food climbed at an annual rate of 3.2% in April, after a 1.3% increase in March. That was the fastest pace since February 1991. Analysts had expected 3.1% rise.

    Household spending in Japan declined by an annualized rate of 4.6% in April, after a 7.2% rise in March. Analysts had forecasted a 3.2% decrease.

    The industrial production in Japan decreased 2.5% in April, after a 0.7% gain in March. Analysts had expected a 1.9% drop.

  • 14:55

    U.S.: Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, May 81.9 (forecast 82.9)

  • 14:45

    U.S.: Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index , May 65.5 (forecast 60.2)

  • 14:40

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3550-60, $1.3600, $1.3620-30, $1.3650

    USD/JPY Y100.90-101.00, Y101.90-Y102.00, Y102.05, Y102.20

    GBP/USD $1.6660, $1.6700, $1.6775

    AUD/USD $0.9200, $0.9235, $0.9290, $0.9300

    NZD/USD $0.8400, $0.8520

  • 14:17

    Weak economy growth in Canada

    The Canadian gross domestic product increased 0.1% in March, meeting analysts’ expectations, after a 0.2% gain in February. The reason for this weak economy growth is a slowdown of activity in many sectors:  final domestic demand, household final consumption, business capital formation overall and in residential structures, in inventories and in exports.

    This data means that the Bank of Canada will likely keep interest rates unchanged next week.

  • 14:00

    Disappointing U.S. personal spending figures in April

    The personal spending in the U.S. declined 0.1% in April, after a 0.9% in March. Analysts had expected a rise of 0.2%.

    The personal income in the U.S. increased 0.3% in April, meeting expectations, after a 0.5% gain in March.

  • 13:31

    U.S.: Personal spending , April -0.1% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 13:31

    U.S.: Personal Income, m/m, April +0.3% (forecast +0.3%)

  • 13:31

    U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m, April +0.2% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 13:31

    U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y, April +1.4%

  • 13:30

    Canada: GDP (m/m) , March +0.1% (forecast +0.1%)

  • 13:30

    Canada: Raw Material Price Index, April +0.1% (forecast +1.2%)

  • 13:30

    Canada: Industrial Product Prices, m/m, April -0.2% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 13:02

    Foreign exchange market. European session: the U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the release of the U.S. economic data

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    01:30    Australia          Private Sector Credit, m/m         April      +0.4%  +0.4%   +0.5%

    01:30    Australia          Private Sector Credit, y/y           April      +4.4%               +4.6%

    05:00    Japan              Housing Starts, y/y                    April      -2.9%   -8.2%    -3.3%

    06:00    Germany         Retail sales, real adjusted            April      -0.7%   +0.4%   -0.9%

    06:00    Germany         Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y April      -1.9%               +3.4%

    07:00    Switzerland      KOF Leading Indicator                May       101.8   102.05    99.8

    The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the release of the U.S. economic data. Personal income in the U.S. should increase 0.3% in April, after 0.5% gain in March. Personal spending in the U.S. should rise 0.2% in April, after a 0.9% increase in March. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index should decline to 60.2 in May from 63.0 in April. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index should increase to 82.9 in May from 82.8 in April.

    The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar. The German adjusted retail sales dropped 0.9% in April, after a 0.7% decline in March. Analysts had expected a 0.4% rise.

    The unadjusted retail sales in Germany climbed 3.4% in April, after a decrease of 1.9% in March.

    The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in the U.K.

    The Swiss franc traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. KOF leading indicator for Switzerland dropped to 99.8 in May from 101.8 in April. April’s figure was revised down to 101.8 from 102.04. Analysts had expected an increase to 102.05.

    The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar amid the Canadian gross domestic product. The Canadian GDP should increase 0.1% in March, after a 0.2% gain in February.

    The raw material price index in Canada should climb 1.2% in April, after a 0.6% rise in March.

    EUR/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.3617

    GBP/USD: the currency pair climbed to $1.6757

    USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    12:30    Canada   Raw Material Price Index                                              April      +0.6%  +1.2% 

    12:30    Canada   GDP (m/m)                                                                 March   +0.2%  +0.1% 

    12:30    U.S.        Personal Income, m/m                                                 April      +0.5%  +0.3% 

    12:30    U.S.        Personal spending                                                        April      +0.9%  +0.2% 

    12:30    U.S.        PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m                         April      +0.2%  +0.2% 

    12:30    U.S.        PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y                           April      +1.2%                

    13:45    U.S.        Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index                            May       63.0      60.2     

    13:55    U.S.        Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Finally)   May       82.8      82.9     

    21:00    U.S.        FOMC Member Charles Plosser Speaks

  • 13:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3800, $1.3775, $1.3735, $1.3685/90, $1.3640/45  

    Bids $1.3550, $1.3525/20, $1.3500


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.6950, $1.6930/35, $1.6900, $1.6885, $1.6840, $1.6815

    Bids $1.6690, $1.6660, $1.6600, $1.6550


    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.9410, $0.9390, $0.9370, $0.9335

    Bids $0.9270, $0.9200, $0.9150, $0.9100


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y140.00, Y139.75/80, Y139.50, Y139.30, Y138.80

    Bids Y137.50, Y137.00, Y136.70, Y136.50


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y103.00, Y102.40, Y102.15, Y101.90

    Bids Y101.35, Y101.05/00, Y100.80


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8200, stg0.8170, stg0.8150

    Bids stg0.8080, stg0.8050, stg0.8035/30, stg0.8005/000

  • 10:20

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    EUR/USD $1.3550-60, $1.3600, $1.3620-30, $1.3650

    USD/JPY Y100.90-101.00, Y101.90-Y102.00, Y102.05, Y102.20

    GBP/USD $1.6660, $1.6700, $1.6775

    AUD/USD $0.9200, $0.9235, $0.9290, $0.9300

    NZD/USD $0.8400, $0.8520

  • 10:01

    Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the Japanese yen traded higher against the U.S. dollar after release of mixed economic data in Japan

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    01:30    Australia          Private Sector Credit, m/m         April      +0.4%  +0.4%   +0.5%

    01:30    Australia          Private Sector Credit, y/y           April      +4.4%               +4.6%

    05:00    Japan              Housing Starts, y/y                    April      -2.9%   -8.2%    -3.3%

    06:00    Germany         Retail sales, real adjusted            April      -0.7%   +0.4%   -0.9%

    06:00    Germany         Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y April      -1.9%               +3.4%

    07:00    Switzerland      KOF Leading Indicator                May       101.8   102.05    99.8 

    The U.S. dollar traded lower against the most major currencies after Thursday's weak U.S. economic growth data. The U.S. gross domestic product dropped 1.0% in the first quarter, after a 0.1% rise the previous quarter. Analysts had expected a 0.6% decline. That was the first drop in U.S. GDP since the first quarter of 2011.

    The New Zealand dollar traded higher against the U.S dollar after the release of domestic building consents data in New Zealand. The number of new dwellings excluding apartments in New Zealand climbed 2.7% on year. That is the highest level since September 2007.

    The building permits in New Zealand increased 1.5% in April, after an 8.3% gain in March.

    The Australian dollar was up against the U.S. dollar after the release of the better-than-expected private sector credit data in Australia. The private sector credit data in Australia increased 0.5% in April, from a 0.4% rise in March. Analysts had expected a 0.4% gain. On a yearly basis, the private sector credit data in Australia rose 4.6% in April, from a 4.4% rise in March.

    The Japanese yen traded higher against the U.S. dollar after release of mixed economic data in Japan. Japan's core consumer price index excluding fresh food climbed at an annual rate of 3.2% in April, after a 1.3% increase in March. That was the fastest pace since February 1991. Analysts had expected 3.1% rise.

    Household spending in Japan declined by an annualized rate of 4.6% in April, after a 7.2% rise in March. Analysts had forecasted a 3.2% decrease.

    The industrial production in Japan decreased 2.5% in April, after a 0.7% gain in March. Analysts had expected a 1.9% drop.

    EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

    GBP/USD: the currency pair climbed to $1.6740

    USD/JPY: the currency pair declined to Y101.50

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    12:30    Canada   Raw Material Price Index                                              April      +0.6%  +1.2%  

    12:30    Canada   GDP (m/m)                                                                 March   +0.2%  +0.1%  

    12:30    U.S.        Personal Income, m/m                                                 April      +0.5%  +0.3%  

    12:30    U.S.        Personal spending                                                        April      +0.9%  +0.2%  

    12:30    U.S.        PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m                         April      +0.2%  +0.2%  

    12:30    U.S.        PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y                           April      +1.2%                 

    13:45    U.S.        Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index                            May       63.0      60.2      

    13:55    U.S.        Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Finally)   May       82.8      82.9      

    21:00    U.S.        FOMC Member Charles Plosser Speaks

  • 08:00

    Switzerland: KOF Leading Indicator, May 99.8 (forecast 102.05)

  • 07:00

    Germany: Retail sales, real adjusted , April -0.9% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 07:00

    Germany: Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y, April +3.4%

  • 06:24

    Options levels on friday, May 30, 2014:

    EUR / USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.3728 (4576)

    $1.3695 (1601)

    $1.3648 (322)

    Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3604

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.3470 (6987)

    $1.3430 (3750)

    $1.3388 (4973)

    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 6 is 57243 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3850 (6050);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date June, 6 is 75539 contracts, with the maximum number of contractswith strike price $1,3500 (6987);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.32 versus 1.32 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 29

    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.7000 (2763)

    $1.6901 (2056)

    $1.6803 (1372)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.6735

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.6695 (2652)

    $1.6598 (2524)

    $1.6499 (969)

    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 6 is 24273 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,7000 (2763);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date June, 6 is 27176 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6700 (2652);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.12 versus 1.11 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 29

    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 02:31

    Australia: Private Sector Credit, y/y, April +4.6%

  • 02:30

    Australia: Private Sector Credit, m/m, April +0.5% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 00:50

    Japan: Industrial Production (MoM) , April -2.5% (forecast -1.9%)

  • 00:50

    Japan: Industrial Production (YoY), April +4.1%

  • 00:30

    Japan: Unemployment Rate, April 3.6% (forecast 3.6%)

  • 00:30

    Japan: Household spending Y/Y, April -4.6% (forecast -3.4%)

  • 00:30

    Japan: Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y, May +3.1%

  • 00:30

    Japan: Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y, May +2.8% (forecast +2.9%)

  • 00:30

    Japan: National Consumer Price Index, y/y, April +3.4%

  • 00:30

    Japan: National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y, April +3.2%

  • 00:20

    Currencies. Daily history for May 29'2014:

    (pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3602 +0,07%

    GBP/USD $1,6716 +0,04%

    USD/CHF Chf0,8977 -0,06%

    USD/JPY Y101,73 -0,09%

    EUR/JPY Y138,36 -0,01%

    GBP/JPY Y170,04 -0,05%

    AUD/USD $0,9304 +0,77%

    NZD/USD $0,8489 -0,08%

    USD/CAD C$1,0836 -0,33%

  • 00:05

    United Kingdom: Gfk Consumer Confidence, May 0 (forecast -1)

  • 00:00

    Schedule for today, Friday, May 30’2014:

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    01:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, m/m April +0.4% +0.4%

    01:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, y/y     April     +4.4%       

    05:00 Japan Housing Starts, y/y April -2.9% -8.2%

    06:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted April -0.7% +0.4%

    06:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y April -1.9%

    07:00 Switzerland KOF Leading Indicator May 102.04 102.05

    12:30 Canada Industrial Product Prices, m/m April +0.4% +0.4%

    12:30 Canada Raw Material Price Index April +0.6% +1.2%

    12:30 Canada GDP (m/m) March +0.2% +0.1%

    12:30 U.S. Personal Income, m/m April +0.5% +0.3%

    12:30 U.S. Personal spending April +0.9% +0.2%

    12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m April +0.2% +0.2%

    12:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y April +1.2%

    13:45 U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index May 63.0 60.2

    13:55 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Finally) May 82.8 82.9

    21:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Plosser Speaks

30 maio 2014
O foco de mercado
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