Notícias do Mercado

15 dezembro 2014
  • 23:34

    Commodities. Daily history for Dec 15’2014:

    (raw materials / closing price /% change)

    Light Crude 55.35 -1.00%

    Gold 1,193.80 -1.15%

  • 23:33

    Stocks. Daily history for Dec 15’2014:

    (index / closing price / change items /% change)

    Nikkei 225 17,099.4 -272.18 -1.57%

    Hang Seng 23,027.85 -221.35 -0.95%

    Shanghai Composite 2,953.42 +15.25 +0.52%

    FTSE 100 6,182.72 -117.91 -1.87%

    CAC 40 4,005.38 -103.55 -2.52%

    Xetra DAX 9,334.01 -260.72 -2.72%

    S&P 500 1,989.63 -12.70 -0.63%

    NASDAQ Composite 4,605.16 -48.44 -1.04%

    Dow Jones 17,180.84 -99.99 -0.58%

  • 23:31

    Currencies. Daily history for Dec 15’2014:

    (pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,2436 -0,14%

    GBP/USD $1,5636 -0,52%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9654 +0,13%

    USD/JPY Y117,81 -0,70%

    EUR/JPY Y146,50 -0,86%

    GBP/JPY Y184,2 -1,23%

    AUD/USD $0,8210 -0,51%

    NZD/USD $0,7743 -0,40%

    USD/CAD C$1,1670 +0,86%

  • 23:00

    Schedule for today, Tuesday, Dec 16’2014:

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    00:15 Australia RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks

    00:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes

    01:35 Japan Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 52.0 52.3

    01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 50.0 49.8

    07:00 United Kingdom Bank Stress Test Results

    07:00 United Kingdom BOE Financial Stability Report

    07:00 United Kingdom Publication of the Systemic Risk Survey

    07:58 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 48.4 48.7

    07:58 France Services PMI (Preliminary) December 47.9 48.6

    08:28 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 49.5 50.4

    08:28 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) December 52.1 52.6

    08:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 50.1 50.5

    08:58 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) December 51.1 51.6

    09:00 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks

    09:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m November 0.0% +0.1%

    09:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y November +2.3% +2.3%

    09:30 United Kingdom RPI-X, Y/Y November +2.4%

    09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) November -1.5% -1.1%

    09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) November -8.4% -8.3%

    09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) November -0.3% -0.3%

    09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) November -0.5% -0.2%

    09:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m November +0.1% +0.1%

    09:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y November +1.3% +1.2%

    09:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y November +1.5% +1.5%

    10:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment December 11.0 20.1

    10:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. October 17.7 18.2

    10:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment December 11.5 19.8

    10:45 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks

    13:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) October +2.1% -0.4%

    13:30 Canada Foreign Securities Purchases October 4.37 5.21

    13:30 U.S. Housing Starts, mln November 1009 1025

    13:30 U.S. Building Permits, mln November 1080 1050

    14:45 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) December 54.8 56.1

    21:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories December +4.4

    21:45 New Zealand Current Account Quarter III -1.07 -5.32

    23:30 Australia Leading Index November 0.0%

    23:50 Japan Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance, bln November -977.5 -990.0

  • 21:00

    U.S.: Net Long-term TIC Flows , October -1.4 (forecast 72.8)

  • 21:00

    U.S.: Total Net TIC Flows, October +178.4

  • 20:00

    Dow -69.49 17,211.34 -0.40% Nasdaq -38.9 4,614.70 -0.84% S&P -9 1,993.33 -0.45%

  • 17:00

    European stocks close: stocks closed lower as oil prices continue to decline

    Stock indices closed lower as oil prices continue to decline. Investors have concerns that falling oil prices is a sign of global economic weakness.

    Concerns over political instability in Greece also weighed on markets.

    Germany's Bundesbank released its monthly report. Bundesbank said that if oil prices continue to decline, it will cut its inflation forecast for 2015 by 0.4%. Bundesbank expects inflation of 1.1% in 2015.

    Indexes on the close:

    Name Price Change Change %

    FTSE 100 6,182.72 -117.91 -1.87%

    DAX 9,334.01 -260.72 -2.72%

    CAC 40 4,005.38 -103.55 -2.52%

  • 16:42

    Foreign exchange market. American session: the U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies after the mixed U.S. economic data

    The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies after the mixed U.S. economic data. The U.S. industrial production increased 1.3% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.8% rise, after a 0.1% gain in October. That was the highest rise since May 2010. October's figure was revised up from a 0.1% decrease.

    The increase was driven by bigger output of consumer goods and business equipment.

    The NAHB housing market index fell to 57.0 in December from 58.0 in November, missing expectations for a rise to 59.0.

    The NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index dropped to -3.6 in November from 10.2 in October. That was the first negative reading since January 2013. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 12.1.

    The decline was driven by a fall in orders and shipments.

    The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. Germany's Bundesbank released its monthly report. Bundesbank said that if oil prices continue to decline, it will cut its inflation forecast for 2015 by 0.4%. Bundesbank expects inflation of 1.1% in 2015.

    The British pound fell against the U.S. dollar despite the better-than-expected industrial order books balance. The CBI industrial order books balance climbed to +5% in December from +3% in November. That was the highest level since August. Analysts expected the CBI industrial order books balance to remain unchanged at +3%.

    The Swiss franc traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland's producer and import prices declined 0.7% in November, missing forecasts of a 0.2% rise, after a 0.1% fall in October.

    On a yearly basis, producer and import prices decreased 1.6% in November, after a 1.1% drop in October.

    The New Zealand dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the kiwi traded lower against the greenback in the absence of any major economic reports.

    The Australian dollar mixed against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the Aussie traded mixed against the greenback after the Australian outlook report and new motor vehicle sales data for Australia. Australia's government said that the budget deficit will be A$40.4 billion in the fiscal year ending June 30, 2015, down from May's estimate of A$29.8 billion.

    The unemployment rate in Australia is expected to be 6.5% by mid 2015, up from May's estimate of 6.25%.

    Australia's new motor vehicle sales declined 0.6% in November, after a 1.6% drop in October.

    The Japanese yen rose against the U.S. dollar due to risk aversion. Japan's Tankan manufacturing index decline to 12 in the fourth quarter from 13 in the third quarter.

    Japan's Tankan non-manufacturing index rose to 16 in the fourth quarter from 13 in the third quarter.

  • 16:40

    Oil: a review of the market situation

    Oil prices are mixed, but remain near multi-year lows after, due to the statement by the Minister of Energy UAE, expectations of economic data on China and the forthcoming meeting of the Fed.

    Recall UAE Energy Minister Mohammed Suhail al-Mazrui said the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will not back down from its decision to keep oil production quotas, even if oil prices fall to $ 40 per barrel. The minister said that OPEC will wait at least three months prior to the convening of an extraordinary meeting. Previous OPEC meeting held in Vienna on 27 November next is scheduled for June 5th. "We are not ready to change his mind just because prices have fallen to $ 60 or $ 40 per barrel - said S.Aliyev-Mazrui at a conference in Dubai. - We do not targetiruem any price, the market will stabilize itself." According to the representative of the United Arab Emirates, the current situation does not require an emergency meeting of OPEC.

    The course of trading also influenced today's message from the Central Bank of China, which stated that China's economic growth to slow again in 2015, falling to 7.1% from 7.4% this year. "The Chinese economy is undergoing a period of transformation, which leads to a slowdown in its development", - said the publication of data, chief economist of the People's Bank of China Ma Jun. He said the slowdown in the first place happens due to lower inflows to the Chinese real estate market. "However, despite this, the employment rate and the price level during the year will remain stable, the Chinese economy will be more prerequisites for sustainable growth," - said Ma Jun.

    The report of the People's Bank of China noted that due to the recovery in global growth at the end of next year we can expect an increase of Chinese exports. However, the decisions taken by the Fed are a threat to the anticipated growth.

    Investors remained cautious ahead of the upcoming policy meeting on Wednesday, the Fed, as the continuing speculation about the prospect of a rate hike in the US next year, fueled by expectations that the US central bank may adjust their forecasts.

    Cost of January futures for US light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) dropped to 56.45 dollars per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

    January futures price for North Sea petroleum mix of Brent rose $ 0.05 to $ 61.11 a barrel on the London Stock Exchange ICE Futures Europe.

  • 16:20

    Gold: a review of the market situation

    Gold prices declined markedly today, approaching at the same time to the level of $ 1,200 per ounce and has lost much of the increase last week. Recall precious metal jumped nearly 3% last week as steep losses on oil and stock markets fueled increased demand for safe assets amid lingering concerns about the global economic slowdown.

    The course of today's trading affects the strengthening of the US dollar and expectations of the upcoming Fed meeting, on which market participants are hoping to get clues about the timing of rate increases. Experts specializing in the projections of US policy, note that the Fed could remove the phrase "extended period" and replace it with the phrase about the slow rate increase, depending on the incoming data. However, do not reach the target level of inflation in the United States could force the monetary authorities to remain faithful to the formulation of the long-term. With recent indicators on employment growth markets rely on central bank forecasts increase in GDP for 2015 and 2016., As well as reducing the forecasts for inflation and unemployment.

    Little impact on prices also helped US data showing that industrial production rose to a seasonally adjusted 1.3% in November. This is the largest increase since May 2010. Economists had expected an increase of 0.8%. Another sign of the gain was a small upward adjustment of data on industrial production in the last three months. In November, manufacturing output rose by 1.1%, and on a broad basis. Production of consumer goods increased by 2.5%, and the largest growth rate since August 1998. In the municipal sector issuance jumped 5.1% against the cold weather last month. In the mining sector, however, production decreased - by 0.1%. Capacity utilization rose to 80.1%. This is higher than 79.4%, mentioned in the consensus forecast, and the highest rate since March 2008.

    Meanwhile, investors remain cautious about the stagnating economy and the euro zone after the unexpected decision of the Greek government to postpone the parliamentary vote on the election of the president on December 17, which is two months ahead of schedule.

    The cost of the December gold futures on the COMEX today fell $ 12.9 to 1209.10 dollars per ounce.

  • 16:07

    NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index: the first negative reading since January 2013

    The New York Federal Reserve released its survey on Monday. The NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index dropped to -3.6 in November from 10.2 in October. That was the first negative reading since January 2013.

    Analysts had expected the index to rise to 12.1.

    The decline was driven by a fall in orders and shipments.

  • 15:37

    NAHB housing market index declined to 57.0 in December

    The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) released its housing market index for the U.S. today. The NAHB housing market index fell to 57.0 in December from 58.0 in November, missing expectations for a rise to 59.0.

    A level above 50.0 is considered positive, below indicates a negative outlook.

    The NAHB Chairman Kevin Kelly said that businesses of builders have improved. He added that the NAHB expects builders to remain confident next year.

  • 15:00

    U.S.: NAHB Housing Market Index, December 57 (forecast 59)

  • 14:57

    U.S. industrial production rose 1.3% in November

    The Federal Reserve released its industrial production report on Monday. The U.S. industrial production increased 1.3% in November, exceeding expectations for a 0.8% rise, after a 0.1% gain in October. That was the highest rise since May 2010. October's figure was revised up from a 0.1% decrease.

    The increase was driven by bigger output of consumer goods and business equipment. The output of consumer goods was up 2.5% in November, the largest increase since August 1998.

    Motor vehicle output surged 5.1% in November, the highest increase since July.

    Business equipment production climbed 1.2%.

    Capacity utilisation rate climbed to 80.1% in November from 77.6% in October, the highest since March 2008. October's figure was revised up from 78.9%.

    Analysts had expected a capacity utilisation rate of 79.4%.

  • 14:33

    U.S. Stocks open: Dow 17,318.08 +37.25 +0.22%, Nasdaq 4,679.41 +25.81 +0.55%, S&P 2,008.42 +6.09 +0.30%

  • 14:25

    Before the bell: S&P futures +0.65%, Nasdaq futures +0.74%

    U.S. stock futures rose as energy companies advanced and corporate deals boosted confidence in the strength of the economy.

    Global markets:

    Nikkei 17,099.4 -272.18 -1.57%

    Hang Seng 23,027.85 -221.35 -0.95%

    Shanghai Composite 2,953.66 +15.48 +0.53%

    FTSE 6,288.13 -12.50 -0.20%

    CAC 4,114.42 +5.49 +0.13%

    DAX 9,603.59 +8.86 +0.09%

    Crude oil $57.78 (-0.09%)

    Gold $1208.80 (-1.14%)

  • 14:15

    U.S.: Industrial Production (MoM), November +1.3% (forecast +0.8%)

  • 14:15

    U.S.: Capacity Utilization, November 80.1% (forecast 79.4%)

  • 14:02

    DOW components before the bell

    (company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)


    Merck & Co Inc

    MRK

    57.73

    +0.02%

    5.0K

    Wal-Mart Stores Inc

    WMT

    83.85

    +0.05%

    0.1K

    Procter & Gamble Co

    PG

    89.61

    +0.07%

    41.3K

    Verizon Communications Inc

    VZ

    45.70

    +0.26%

    28.3K

    Home Depot Inc

    HD

    100.10

    +0.32%

    0.2K

    Intel Corp

    INTC

    36.35

    +0.35%

    111.4K

    International Business Machines Co...

    IBM

    155.95

    +0.37%

    1.3K

    The Coca-Cola Co

    KO

    41.06

    +0.37%

    2.0K

    McDonald's Corp

    MCD

    90.98

    +0.40%

    0.2K

    AT&T Inc

    T

    32.31

    +0.47%

    8.4K

    Cisco Systems Inc

    CSCO

    26.98

    +0.47%

    24.3K

    General Electric Co

    GE

    25.янв

    +0.48%

    81.9K

    Johnson & Johnson

    JNJ

    104.94

    +0.49%

    2.4K

    Boeing Co

    BA

    121.40

    +0.52%

    0.2K

    JPMorgan Chase and Co

    JPM

    60.37

    +0.55%

    65.7K

    Goldman Sachs

    GS

    189.90

    +0.57%

    0.6K

    Microsoft Corp

    MSFT

    47.22

    +0.58%

    0.3K

    Nike

    NKE

    96.75

    +0.60%

    0.9K

    Pfizer Inc

    PFE

    31.14

    +0.61%

    0.5K

    Caterpillar Inc

    CAT

    91.25

    +0.83%

    0.8K

    Chevron Corp

    CVX

    103.25

    +0.85%

    1.9K

    Exxon Mobil Corp

    XOM

    87.35

    +0.87%

    34.9K

    Travelers Companies Inc

    TRV

    103.16

    0.00%

    0.1K

    UnitedHealth Group Inc

    UNH

    98.75

    -0.01%

    1.3K

    American Express Co

    AXP

    90.60

    -0.44%

    0.1K

  • 13:45

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EUR/USD: $1.2200(E1.2bn), $1.2400(E1.5bn), $1.2450(E730mn), $1.2500(E3.0bn)

    USD/JPY: Y117.50($754mn), Y118.80($1.0bn), Y120.00($665mn), Y121.00($1.1bn)

    GBP/USD: $1.6000(stg304mn)

    EUR/GBP: stg0.7875

    USD/CHF: Chf0.9635-40($315mn)

    AUD/USD: $0.8275

    AUD/JPY: Y100.00(A$510mn)

    USD/CAD: C$1.1500($352mn), C$1.1600($352mn), C$1.1700 ($512mn)

  • 13:45

    Upgrades and downgrades before the market open

    Upgrades:

    Exxon Mobil (XOM) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital Markets


    Downgrades:

    Ford (F) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank


    Other:

    Twitter (TWTR) initiated at Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities, target $49

  • 13:30

    U.S.: NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index , November -3.6 (forecast 12.1)

  • 13:03

    Foreign exchange market. European session: the U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. economic data

    Economic calendar (GMT0):

    (Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) December -1.7% -3.3%

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) December +8.5% +7.0%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) November -1.6% -0.6%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) November -0.5% -3.8%

    08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m November -0.1% +0.2% -0.7%

    08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y November -1.1% -1.6%

    11:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance December 3 3 5

    11:00 Germany Bundesbank Monthly Report

    The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. economic data. The U.S. industrial production is expected to rise 0.8% in November, after a 0.1% decrease in October.

    The NAHB housing market index is expected to climb to 59 in December from 58 in November.

    The greenback remained supported by Friday's better-than-expected Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary consumer sentiment index. The index rose to 93.8 in December from a final reading of 88.8 in November, exceeding expectations for an increase to 89.6. That was the highest level since January 2007.

    The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar. Germany's Bundesbank released its monthly report. Bundesbank said that if oil prices continue to decline, it will cut its inflation forecast for 2015 by 0.4%. Bundesbank expects inflation of 1.1% in 2015.

    The British pound fell against the U.S. dollar despite the better-than-expected industrial order books balance. The CBI industrial order books balance climbed to +5% in December from +3% in November. That was the highest level since August. Analysts expected the CBI industrial order books balance to remain unchanged at +3%.

    The Swiss franc traded lower against the U.S. dollar. Switzerland's producer and import prices declined 0.7% in November, missing forecasts of a 0.2% rise, after a 0.1% fall in October.

    On a yearly basis, producer and import prices decreased 1.6% in November, after a 1.1% drop in October.

    EUR/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.2415

    GBP/USD: the currency pair decreased to $1.5658

    USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y118.98

    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    13:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index November 10.2 12.1

    14:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) November -0.1% +0.8%

    14:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization November 78.9% 79.4%

    15:00 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index December 58 59

    21:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows October 164.3 72.8

    21:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows October -55.6

  • 13:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.2500

    Bids $1.2355/50

    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.5850, $1.5800, $1.5780/85, $1.5760/65

    Bids $1.5610/00, $1.5520

    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.8390/00, $0.8375/80, $0.8350, $0.8300

    Bids $0.8220, $0.8200, $0.8180, $0.8150

    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y149.50, Y149.00, Y148.50, Y147.80/00

    Bids Y147.00, Y146.85/80, Y146.50, Y146.00

    USD/JPY

    Offers Y119.50/60, Y119.25, Y119.00

    Bids Y118.00, Y117.50

    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8020, stg0.8000, stg0.7980

    Bids stg0.7800

  • 12:43

    CBI industrial order books balance jumped to +3% in December

    The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) released its industrial order books balance. The CBI industrial order books balance climbed to +5% in December from +3% in November. That was the highest level since August.

    Analysts expected the CBI industrial order books balance to remain unchanged at +3%.

    The CBI's director for economics Rain Newton-Smith said that export products have improved and the growth of output is expected.

  • 12:00

    European stock markets mid-session: European shares are trading higher today

    As oil prices recovered from early session/5-1/2-year lows European stock indices followed - driven by the energy sector. Indices recouped some of last week's losses. The FTSE 100 index added +0.37% quoted at 6,324.09 points. U.K. CBI industrial trends orders rose unexpectedly from 3 to 5. France's CAC 40 gained +0.37% trading at 4,124.03 and Germany's DAX 30 is up +0.14 at 9,608.17 points. Markets await the NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index and data on U.S. Industrial production later in the day.

  • 11:20

    Oil: prices recover from new 5-1/2 year lows

    Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate are trading higher after marking new 5-1/2 year lows in early trading. Brent Crude is up +1.15% trading currently at USD62.56 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate added +0.66% currently quoted at USD58.19. Both benchmarks have collapsed about 20 percent since Nov. 26, the day before the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed to leave its production limit unchanged at 30 million barrels a day. Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Kuwait, the group's three biggest members, this month deepened discounts on shipments to Asia, bolstering speculation that they're fighting for market share.

    Today prices were supported after Libya announced today it was unable to load at two ports. Markets remain under pressure after Friday's forecasts of the IEA that global demand growth will decline. The IEA cut its 2015 global oil demand growth forecast for the fourth time in five months by 230,000 barrels per day to 0.9 million barrel per day due to oversupply and a weaker global economy. OPEC gave the same forecast, the lowest since 2003, in its monthly report on Dec. 10. Markets will remain volatile before the FED's meeting and China data due on Tuesday.

  • 11:00

    United Kingdom: CBI industrial order books balance, December 5 (forecast 3)

  • 11:00

    Gold prices decline on speculation the FED is moving closer to an interest hike

    Gold prices fell in today's trading, cutting previous weeks gains that were fuelled by slumping oil prices and a decline in global stock markets, amid speculations the FED is going to raise interest rates as the U.S. economy grows. Investors are looking forward to the upcoming FED meeting later in the week on Wednesday. The precious metal is currently quoted at USD1,210.20 or -0,91 % a troy ounce, still above the important key-level of USD 1200.

    GOLD currently trading at USD1,210.20

  • 10:25

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EUR/USD: $1.2200(E1.2bn), $1.2400(E1.5bn), $1.2450(E730mn), $1.2500(E3.0bn)

    USD/JPY: Y117.50($754mn), Y118.80($1.0bn), Y120.00($665mn), Y121.00($1.1bn)

    GBP/USD: $1.6000(stg304mn)

    EUR/GBP: stg0.7875

    USD/CHF: Chf0.9635-40($315mn)

    AUD/USD: $0.8275

    AUD/JPY: Y100.00(A$510mn)

    USD/CAD: C$1.1500($352mn), C$1.1600($352mn), C$1.1700 ($512mn)

  • 09:20

    Press Review: Abe coalition secures big Japan election win with record low turnout

    REUTERS

    Abe coalition secures big Japan election win with record low turnout

    TOKYO, Dec 15 (Reuters) - Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, brushing aside suggestions that a low turnout tarnished his coalition's election win, vowed on Monday to stick to his reflationary economic policies, tackle painful structural reforms and pursue his muscular security stance.

    But doubts persist as to whether Abe, who now has a shot to become a rare long-lasting leader in Japan, can engineer sustainable growth with his "Abenomics" recipe of hyper-easy monetary policy, government spending and promises of deregulation.

    Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/12/15/japan-election-idUSL3N0TY0D220141215

    BLOOMBERG

    Draghi's QE Battle Almost Won as Economists See Action

    The battle over whether to start quantitative easing in the euro region is all but won, economists say.

    More than 90 percent of respondents in Bloomberg's monthly survey predict the Bank will begin large-scale buying of government bonds next year, up from 57 percent last month. An announcement will most likely come in the first quarter, with any decision taken against the objections of some policy makers, the poll of 55 economists showed.

    Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-15/draghi-s-qe-battle-almost-won-as-economists-see-action.html

    BLOOMBERG

    Hedge Funds' Bullish Gold Bets Defy Goldman Outlook: Commodities

    Hedge Funds are the most bullish on gold since August, defying Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s prediction that the rally in prices will fade.

    The net-long position in New York futures and options climbed for a fourth week, the longest stretch of increases since July, government data show. Futures jumped 2.7 percent last week, the most since June, as a plunge in global equities erased about $2 trillion from the value of stocks.

    Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-14/hedge-funds-bullish-gold-bets-defy-goldman-outlook-commodities.html

  • 09:00

    European Stocks. First hour: European indices open slightly higher

    European indices recover in early trading after Friday's selloff and the biggest weekly decline in three years caused by weak Chinese data and a slump in oil prices. Energy shares recover after last weeks decline caused by falling oil prices. The FTSE 100 index is currently trading +0.09% quoted at 6,306.53 points, Germany's DAX 30 added +0.13% trading at 9,606.89. France's CAC 40 rose by +0.23%, currently trading at 4,118.28 points. Markets await the Bundesbank's Monthly Report and U.K's CBI Industrial Order Books Balance due at 11:00 GMT and later in the day the NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index and data on U.S. Industrial production.

  • 08:15

    Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, m/m, November -0.7% (forecast +0.2%)

  • 08:15

    Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, y/y, November -1.6%

  • 08:00

    Global Stocks: Indices weighed down by oil prices and growth concerns

    U.S. markets slumped on Friday. The DOW JONES lost -1.79% closing at 17,280.83 points, the S&P 500 declined -1.62%, with a final quote of 2,002.33 points. It was the worst performing week of the S&P index since May 2012 although the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary consumer sentiment index rose to 93.8 in December from a final reading of 88.8 in November, exceeding expectations for an increase to 89.6. Falling oil prices and weak data from China fuelled concerns about global demand and overshadowed the strong U.S. consumer confidence data.

    Hong Kong's Hang Seng is trading -1.05% at 23,004.50. China's Shanghai Composite closed at 2,953.66 points, a gain of +0.53%.

    Japan's Nikkei lost -1.57% closing at 17,099.40 at a four-year low although Prime Minister Shinzo Abe led his ruling coalition to a landslide victory at this weekend's snap elections securing a two-third majority of the lower house of parliament now controlling 325 of the 475 seats. The outcome of the elections backs up Prime Minister Abe's "Abenomics", his structural reforms and monetary and fiscal stimulus

  • 07:30

    Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the greenback trading steady to weaker

    (Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) December -1.7% -3.3%

    00:01 United Kingdom Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) December +8.5% +7.0%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) November -1.6% -0.6%

    00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) November -0.5% -3.8%

    The greenback traded mixed to weaker against its major peers after its recent gains. Markets await data on the Industrial Production, Capcity Utilisation and the NAHB Housing Market index later in the day and the FED's interest rate decision on Wednesday.

    The Australian dollar recovered from early losses trading at the lowest since June 2010 after commodities slumped and a hostage situation in a café in Sydney's financial district where a black flag with Arabic writing was placed in a window. New Motor Vehicle Sales in November declined -0.6%, with a reading for October of -1.6%. Data for the whole year showed a decline of -3.8%.

    New Zealand's dollar further declined after its recent rally against the U.S. dollar. Markets are looking forward to the release of the GDP data on Wednesday.

    The Japanese yen rose against in the U.S. dollar after Prime Minister Shinzo Abe led his ruling coalitition to a landslide victory at this weekend's snap elections securing a two-third majority of the lower house of parliament now controlling 325 of the 475 seats. The outcome of the elections backs up Prime Minister Abe's "Abenomics", his structural reforms and monetary and fiscal stimulus which are likely to weigh on the yen in the long term. Yesterday BoJ Tankan. Manufacturing Index declined from 13 to a reading of 12 whereas the BoJ Tankan. Non-Manufacturing Index climbed from 13 to 16 giving a mixed picture.


    EUR/USD: the euro added against the greenback

    USD/JPY: the U.S. dollar traded weaker against the yen

    GPB/USD: The British pound traded stronger against the U.S. dollar


    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m November -0.1% +0.2%

    08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y November -1.1%

    11:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance December 3 3

    11:00 Germany Bundesbank Monthly Report

    13:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index November 10.2 12.1

    14:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) November -0.1% +0.8%

    14:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization November 78.9% 79.4%

    15:00 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index December 58 59

    21:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows October 164.3 72.8

    21:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows October -55.6

  • 06:16

    Options levels on monday, December 15, 2014:

    EUR / USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.2575 (3240)

    $1.2534 (1746)

    $1.2506 (356)

    Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.2442

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.2398 (762)

    $1.2359 (1631)

    $1.2334 (1954)

    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 9 is 48563 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2500 (7175);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 9 is 55248 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2000 (7761);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.14 versus 1.14 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 12

    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.6002 (1915)

    $1.5904 (1635)

    $1.5807 (1562)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.5725

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.5689 (1333)

    $1.5593 (1011)

    $1.5495 (963)

    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 9 is 18307 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5850 (2012);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 9 is 17670 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5200 (1699);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.97 versus 0.98 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 12

    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 02:32

    Nikkei 225 17,144.41 -227.17 -1.31%, Hang Seng 22,910.18 -339.02 -1.46%, Shanghai Composite 2,905.01 -33.16 -1.13%

  • 00:33

    Australia: New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) , November -3.8%

  • 00:32

    Australia: New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) , November -0.6%

  • 00:05

    United Kingdom: Rightmove House Price Index (YoY), December +7.0%

  • 00:01

    United Kingdom: Rightmove House Price Index (MoM), December -3.3%

O foco de mercado
Cotações
Símbolo Bid Ask Horário
AUDUSD
EURUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
XAGEUR
XAGUSD
XAUUSD
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