Notícias do Mercado

18 dezembro 2013
  • 20:00

    Dow +190.87 16,066.13 +1.20% Nasdaq +17.63 4,041.31 +0.44% S&P +18.4 1,799.40 +1.03%

  • 19:00

    U.S.: Fed Interest Rate Decision , 0.25% (forecast 0.25%)

  • 18:40

    American focus : the euro regained almost all previously lost ground against the dollar

    Rate of the euro regained some ground against the dollar, on the eve of the announcement of the outcome of the meeting of the Federal Reserve System . The main issue now worried investors , is the following : will the Fed to reduce the volume of purchases of Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities ? Given the number of factors fundamental nature , we can say that a certain reduction in purchases may occur . Among these factors in the first place is worth noting the main macroeconomic reports published during the last month . The data indicate that the recovery of the U.S. economy has enough solid foundation and it can be self-sufficient in order to further improve the employment situation and not only.

    Note that initially the strengthening of the dollar helped the U.S. data , which showed that the volume of construction of new homes rose in November to its highest level in almost six years - is the latest sign of renewed movement in the restoration sector. Construction of new homes in the U.S. rose by 22.7% in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.091 million . The result was higher than economists forecast in 990 000 , and helped increase the average growth rate over the past three months to 951,000 . Sharp increase in construction of new homes was primarily driven by 21% growth in the construction of single-family homes , the largest and most stable segment of the market . In November, building permits, an indicator of future construction, fell slightly to the level of 1.007 million . Permits jumped 6.7% in October.

    Pound rose substantially against the U.S. dollar , which helped the British data. As it became known , the number of applications for unemployment benefits in the UK fell slightly to 3.8 percent in November from 3.9 percent in October . The rate of change in line with expectations of economists.

    The number of people applying for unemployment benefits fell by 36,700 to 1.27 million, the lowest level since January 2009 . Economists had expected a drop of 35 200. During August to October was recorded 30.09 million people in employment aged 16 and over , up 250,000 compared to the period from May to July , and more than 485 thousand in comparison with a year earlier . At the same time , the unemployment rate fell to 7.4 percent, compared with a gain of 0.3 percentage points from May to July . The result was lower than expected 7.6 percent . Average weekly earnings , including bonuses , taking into account , rose by 0.9 per cent from August to October compared with the same period a year earlier.

    The yen fell against the dollar after a negative report on the trade balance of the country and on the eve of the announcement of the Fed meeting . Note that in November Japan reported the largest trade deficit , which amounted to Y1, 29 trillion . yen ($ 12.6 billion ) , reported today in the Ministry of Finance in Tokyo. In accordance with the average estimate of economists , the index should make Y1350 billion yen. Imports rose by 21.1 % compared with a year earlier, with the support of the upcoming increase in demand due to the sales tax in April. Exports rose by 18.4%.

  • 18:20

    European stock close

    European stocks rose, rebounding from yesterday’s decline, as investors waited for the Federal Reserve to decide whether to reduce its monthly asset purchases.

    The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 0.8 percent to 313.92 at 4:30 p.m. in London. The gauge has still fallen 3.5 percent from this year’s high on Nov. 28 as better-than-estimated U.S. economic data led some investors to speculate the Fed will decide to slow bond purchases at today’s meeting.

    “We will probably see Fed tapering as a gradual process rather than a dramatic change,” Hugh Cuthbert, who helps manage about $1 billion at SVM Asset Management Ltd. in Edinburgh, said by phone. “When markets go up a lot, people look for excuses to take profits. If the U.S. economy is improving and the hands on the till are doing the tapering in a measured way, then that’s good news.”

    About 34 percent of economists surveyed by Bloomberg on Dec. 6 predicted that the U.S. central bank will decide to reduce its $85 billion monthly bond-buying program after European markets close today.

    National benchmark indexes rose in 14 of the 18 western-European markets.

    FTSE 100 6,492.08 +5.89 +0.09% CAC 40 4,109.51 +40.87 +1.00% DAX 9,181.75 +96.63 +1.06%  

    TUI gained 3.7 percent to 11.66 euros as Europe’s biggest tour operator posted net income of 4.3 million euros ($5.9 million) for the financial year that ended on Sept. 30. The average analyst estimate had called for a loss. The company predicted that sales will climb next year as its TUI Travel Plc business attracts more customers.

    Centrica climbed 1.6 percent to 328.4 pence. The energy supplier said it will extend its share-buyback program next year after subsidiary Direct Energy agreed to sell its gas-fired power stations in Texas to Blackstone Group LP for $685 million.

    Electrolux AB (ELUXB) rose 3.5 percent to 159.50 kronor as UBS AG upgraded the home-appliances maker to buy from neutral. The brokerage cited the shares’ recent decline. The stock tumbled 20 percent from this year’s high on Aug. 2 through yesterday’s close. UBS also said that renewed economic growth in the euro area in 2014 would benefit the maker of dishwashers.

    Bwin.Party Digital Entertainment Plc advanced 8.5 percent to 125.5 pence after forecasting a ">Endesa SA (ELE) jumped 7 percent to 22.16 euros after saying it will pay a gross dividend of 1.50 euro a share for 2013. The consensus analyst estimate had called for 38 euro cents a share, according to Kepler Cheuvreux.

    Technip slid 6.3 percent to 62.80 euros, the largest decline on the Stoxx 600. The French oilfield-services company said late yesterday that the operating ">

  • 17:00

    European stock close: FTSE 100 6,492.08 +5.89 +0.09% CAC 40 4,109.51 +40.87 +1.00% DAX 9,181.75 +96.63 +1.06%

  • 16:40

    Oil: an overview of the market situation

    Crude oil futures rose during today's trading , rising above $ 109 per barrel (mark Brent) and $ 97 per barrel (mark WTI), as many investors are waiting for the announcement of the decision of the Federal Reserve's program of monetary stimulus . Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is expected to provide details of when the U.S. central bank could begin to reduce its $ 85 billion program to buy bonds , which are based on global assets , including commodities and the U.S. dollar.

    Oil prices also rose in the U.S. against the background that the data showed a decrease in oil reserves. Report from the Department of Energy on changes in stocks in the week December 9-14, showed :

    - Oil reserves fell by 2.941 million barrels to 372.305 million barrels ;

    - Gasoline inventories increased by 1,337 million barrels . to 220.486 million barrels . ;

    - Distillate inventories fell by 2.11 million barrels . to 115.955 million barrels .

    - Refining capacity utilization rate of 91.5 % against 92.6 % a week earlier .

    Meanwhile, add that yesterday its data on oil presented the Institute of Oil API. They showed :

    - Crude oil inventories -2.5 million barrels

    - Gasoline inventories last week -0.481 million barrels

    - Distillate stocks last week -0.434 million barrels

    - Capacity utilization in the week 91.4% against 92.7 %

    The course of trade was also influenced by the U.S. data , which showed that the volume of construction of new homes rose in November to its highest level in almost six years - is the latest sign of renewed movement in the restoration sector.

    Construction of new homes in the U.S. rose by 22.7% in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.091 million . The result was higher than economists forecast in 990 000 , and helped increase the average growth rate over the past three months to 951,000 . Sharp increase in construction of new homes was primarily driven by 21% growth in the construction of single-family homes , the largest and most stable segment of the market . In November, building permits, an indicator of future construction, fell slightly to the level of 1.007 million . Permits jumped 6.7% in October. The data showed that the growth rates of return to the building , which were observed at the beginning of this year, before a recovery in the sector affected by rising interest rates. Builders began construction on average 869,000 homes in the period from June to August.

    Cost January futures for U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) grew by $ 0.19 - to $ 97.46 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

    January futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture increased by $ 1.22 to $ 109.45 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.

  • 16:20

    Gold: an overview of the market situation

    Gold prices fell slightly in anticipation of the announcement of the Fed meeting . Note that many investors expect to hear hints about when the U.S. central bank will reduce its program of quantitative easing , known as quantitative easing . Concerns about the reduction of the program , which now amounts to $ 85 billion in the month , lowered the price of gold this year is 25 percent. We also add that ultrasoft monetary policy of the Bank raised the price of gold to record highs in 2011.

    Analysts say that the price of the precious metal can be restored if the Fed said that before the narrowing of this program is still far away. Note that 34 % of the experts surveyed by Bloomberg, believe that the Fed will start winding down the program quantitative easing (QE) at the December meeting. Over 46% of the analysts interviewed by the newspaper The Wall Street Journal, to expect that the Fed will announce a reduction of monthly volumes of redemption of bonds , which now constitute the $ 85 billion before the end of January 2014 , as the outlook for the U.S. economy improved. While only 25% of respondents expect the Central Bank decreasing volumes quantitative easing (QE) at the December meeting.

    Meanwhile, adding that investment interest in physical gold funds continued to wane - stocks in SPDR Gold Shares fell yesterday by 2.1 tons.

    Indian demand remained depressed due to lack of inventory on the market, which kept the prize at a high level . Today, officials from the Reserve Bank of India said that it would be premature to remove " barriers " on imports of the precious metal .

    In addition, it became known that gold exports from Australia - the world's second largest producer of the metal after China, may fall by 4 per cent in 2013 /14 - to the level of 270 tons. This was stated by the Australian Bureau of Resources and Energy .

    The cost of the December gold futures on the COMEX today dropped to $ 1229.90 per ounce.

  • 15:30

    U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, December -2.9

  • 14:36

    U.S. Stocks open: Dow 15,900.17 +24.91 +0.16%, Nasdaq 4,025.71 +2.03 +0.05%, S&P 1,783.10 +2.10 +0.12%

  • 14:23

    Before the bell: S&P futures +0.20%, Nasdaq futures +0.17%

    U.S. stock-index futures rose, before Federal Reserve policy makers announce whether they will slow the pace of their monthly bond-buying program.

    Global markets:

    Nikkei 15,587.8 +309.17 +2.02%

    Hang Seng 23,143.82 +74.59 +0.32%

    Shanghai Composite 2,148.29 -2.79 -0.13%

    FTSE 6,499.33 +13.14 +0.20%

    CAC 4,100.7 +32.06 +0.79%

    DAX 9,172.01 +86.89 +0.96%


    Crude oil $97.48 (+0.27%).

    Gold $1231.90 (+0.15%).

  • 13:46

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    USD/JPY Y102.50, Y102.60, Y102.80, Y102.85, Y102.95, Y103.00, Y103.20, Y103.50, Y104.00

    EUR/USD $1.3650, $1.3685, $1.3700, $1.3735, $1.3745, $1.3750, $1.3800

    GBP/USD $1.6145, $1.6300

    EUR/USD Sek9.04

    AUD/USD $0.8890, $0.8900, $0.8950, $0.8975, $0.9000

    NZD/USD $0.8250, $0.8350

    USD/CAD C$1.0450, C$1.0500, C$1.0550, C$1.0570, C$1.0585, C$1.0700

  • 13:31

    U.S.: Building Permits, mln, November 1.007 (forecast 0.990)

  • 13:30

    Canada: Wholesale Sales, m/m, October +1.4% (forecast +0.4%)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Housing Starts, mln, September 0.873 (forecast 0.910)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Housing Starts, mln, October 0.889 (forecast 0.921)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Housing Starts, mln, November 1.091 (forecast 0.950)

  • 13:00

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers $1.3850, $1.3830/35, $1.3815/20, $1.3800/05, $1.3775/85

    Bids $1.3745-20, $1.3710/00, $1.3670/65


    GBP/USD

    Offers $1.6420/30, $1.6390/400, $1.6380

    Bids $1.6320/10, $1.6295/90, $1.6250/40, $1.6200


    AUD/USD

    Offers $0.9045/50, $0.8980/90, $0.8950, $0.8925/30

    Bids $0.8880, $0.8850, $0.8825, $0.8800


    EUR/JPY

    Offers Y143.00, Y142.45/50, Y142.20, Y141.95/00

    Bids Y141.25/20, Y141.00, Y140.50


    USD/JPY

    Offers Y103.80, Y103.45/50, Y103.20

    Bids Y102.50, Y102.20, Y102.00


    EUR/GBP

    Offers stg0.8520/30, stg0.8500, stg0.8475/80, stg0.8467

    Bids stg0.8400, stg0.8395/90, stg0.8375, stg0.8355/45, stg0.8330/20, stg0.8300/290


  • 11:30

    European stocks rose

    European stocks rose, rebounding from yesterday’s decline, as investors waited for the Federal Reserve to decide whether to reduce its monthly asset purchases. U.S. index futures and Asian shares also gained.

    The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 0.4 percent to 312.65 at 8:36 a.m. in London. The gauge has still fallen 3.9 percent from this year’s high on Nov. 28 as better-than-estimated U.S. economic data led some investors to speculate the Fed will decide to slow bond purchases at today’s meeting. Contracts on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 0.2 percent today, while the MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.7 percent.

    About 34 percent of economists surveyed by Bloomberg on Dec. 6 predicted that the U.S. central bank will decide to reduce its $85 billion monthly bond-buying program after European markets close today.

    TUI gained 3.2 percent to 11.60 euros as Europe’s biggest tour operator posted net income of 4.3 million euros ($5.9 million) for the financial year that ended on Sept. 30. The average analyst estimate had called for a loss.

    Elektrobit surged 17 percent to 2.46 euros after the Finnish maker of software products for the automotive industry forecast operating profit of about 8 million euros in 2013. The company predicted 5.1 million euros in November.

    Technip slid 7.6 percent to 61.94 euros. The French oilfield-services company said late yesterday that the operating ">FTSE 100 6,507.33 +21.14 +0.33%

    CAC 40 4,093.89 +25.25 +0.62%

    DAX 9,170.22 +85.10 +0.94%

  • 11:00

    United Kingdom: CBI retail sales volume balance, December 34 (forecast 9)

  • 10:21

    Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

    USD/JPY Y102.50, Y102.60, Y102.80, Y102.85, Y102.95, Y103.00, Y103.20, Y103.50, Y104.00

    EUR/USD $1.3650, $1.3685, $1.3700, $1.3735, $1.3745, $1.3750, $1.3800

    GBP/USD $1.6145, $1.6300

    EUR/USD Sek9.04

    AUD/USD $0.8890, $0.8900, $0.8950, $0.8975, $0.9000

    NZD/USD $0.8250, $0.8350

    USD/CAD C$1.0450, C$1.0500, C$1.0550, C$1.0570, C$1.0585, C$1.0700

  • 10:02

    Eurozone: Construction Output, y/y, October -2.4%

  • 10:01

    Switzerland: Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations), December 39.4 (forecast 36.0)

  • 10:01

    Eurozone: Construction Output, m/m, October -1.2%

  • 09:31

    United Kingdom: Claimant Count Rate, November 3.8% (forecast 3.8%)

  • 09:31

    United Kingdom: Claimant count , November -36.7 (forecast -35.2)

  • 09:30

    United Kingdom: ILO Unemployment Rate, October 7.4% (forecast 7.6%)

  • 09:01

    Germany: IFO - Expectations , December 107.4 (forecast 106.5)

  • 09:00

    Germany: IFO - Business Climate, December 109.5 (forecast 109.7)

  • 09:00

    Germany: IFO - Current Assessment , December 111.6 (forecast 112.5)

  • 08:39

    FTSE 100 6,510.18 +23.99 +0.37%, CAC 40 4,094.4 +25.76 +0.63%, Xetra DAX 9,150.47 +65.35 +0.72%

  • 07:30

    Foreign exchange market. Asian session: U.S. dollar stronger after FED policy meeting

    (Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual

    00:30 Australia RBA Bulletin

    06:45 Switzerland SECO Economic Forecasts

    07:00 Switzerland Trade Balance November 3.23 2.41 3.87

    The greenback traded stronger to mixed against its major peers in Asian trade after the FED's policy meeting ended yesterday as FED Chair Janet Yellen stated that rates are going to be raised next year once economic parameters were met - finally removing the "considerable time" from the minutes. She further said "the committee considers it unlikely to begin normalization process for at least the next couple of meetings". The U.S. dollar extended its gains against the euro, the British pound and the Japanese Yen.

    The Australian dollar recovered slightly from a four year low after yesterday's slump.

    New Zealand's dollar traded positive to stable against the greenback currently quoted at USD0.7707. The GDP on a quarterly basis beat expectations by +0.3% with a reading of +1.0%. Yearly GDP in the third quarter decreased from +3.9% to +3.2%, missing forecasts by 0.1%.

    The Japanese yen continued to decline versus the U.S. dollar after the currency hit a monthly high on Tuesday fuelled by fears over falling oil prices and Russia's economic crisis.


    EUR/USD: the euro lost against the greenback

    USD/JPY: the U.S. dollar traded stronger against the yen

    GPB/USD: The British pound traded weaker against the U.S. dollar


    The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

    (time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

    09:00 Eurozone EU Economic Summit

    09:00 Germany IFO - Business Climate December 104.7 105.6

    09:00 Germany IFO - Current Assessment December 110.0 110.3

    09:00 Germany IFO - Expectations December 99.7 100.9

    09:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) November +0.8% +0.3%

    09:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) November +4.3% +4.5%

    13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims December 294 297

    14:45 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) December 56.2 57.1

    15:00 U.S. Leading Indicators November +0.9% +0.6%

    15:00 U.S. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey December 40.8 26.3

    21:45 New Zealand Visitor Arrivals November +3.3%

  • 07:22

    European bourses are seen opening higher Weds: the FTSE up 7, the DAX up 23 and the CAC up 7.

  • 06:57

    Asian session: The yen dropped

    00:00 New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence December 60.5 64.1

    01:30 China Property Prices, y/y November +9.6% +9.9%


    The yen dropped versus its 16 major peers after data showed the nation reported its biggest trade deficit on record, eroding the nation’s haven appeal. Japan’s merchandise trade deficit for November was 1.35 trillion yen ($13.1 billion) on a seasonally-adjusted basis, compared with the 1.2 trillion yen median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey. Imports climbed 21.1 percent from a year earlier while exports rose 18.4 percent, the finance ministry said.

    The Bloomberg Dollar Index was little changed for a second day at 1,016.15 before the Fed decision. There’s about a 60 percent chance the Fed will announce a reduction in its $85 billion monthly asset-purchase program today, according to Mohamed El-Erian, chief executive officer of Pacific Investment Management Co. “The market is going to be reacting to the package and not just one element, which is the taper,” said El-Erian.

    Australia’s dollar rose from near a four-month low after Reserve Bank Governor Glenn Stevens said that low borrowing costs are supporting higher spending in the economy. The RBA governor said the board has maintained an “open mind” on whether it needs to cut interest rates further as it sees signs low borrowing costs are supporting spending. He reiterated that balanced growth would probably require a lower exchange rate.


    EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3760-75

    GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.6290

    USD / JPY: on Asian session the pair traded rose to Y103.05


    Germany Ifo data due at 0900GMT to provide the morning's focus though the mentioned FOMC  ater will overshadow.

  • 06:21

    Commodities. Daily history for Dec 17’2013:

    Gold $1,231.3 -14.20 -1.14%

    Oil $97.13 -0.35 -0.36%

  • 06:20

    Stocks. Daily history for Dec 17’2013:

    Nikkei 225 15,278.63 +125.72 +0.83%

    S&P/ASX 200 5,103.19 +13.56 +0.27%

    Shanghai Composite 2,151.08 -9.78 -0.45%

    FTSE 100 6,486.19 -36.01 -0.55%

    CAC 40 4,068.64 -51.24 -1.24%

    DAX 9,085.12 -78.44 -0.86%

    Dow -9.96 15,874.61 -0.06%

    Nasdaq -5.84 4,023.68 -0.14%

    S&P -5.55 1,780.99 -0.31%

  • 06:20

    Currencies. Daily history for Dec 17'2013:

    (pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,3767 +0,05%

    GBP/USD $1,6262 -0,21%

    USD/CHF Chf0,8848 -0,25%

    USD/JPY Y102,66 -0,35%

    EUR/JPY Y141,34 -0,29%

    GBP/JPY Y166,94 -0,56%

    AUD/USD $0,8897 -0,54%

    NZD/USD $0,8270 +0,17%

    USD/CAD C$1,0605 +0,09%

  • 06:01

    Schedule for today, Wednesday, Dec 18’2013:

    00:00 New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence December 60.5

    01:30 China Property Prices, y/y November +9.6%

    09:00 Germany IFO - Business Climate December 109.3 109.7

    09:00 Germany IFO - Current Assessment December 112.2 112.5

    09:00 Germany IFO - Expectations December 106.3 106.5

    09:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y October +0.7% +0.8%

    09:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y October +0.8% +0.9%

    09:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes

    09:30 United Kingdom Claimant count November -41.7 -35.2

    09:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate November 3.9% 3.8%

    09:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate October 7.6% 7.6%

    10:00 Eurozone ECOFIN Meetings December

    10:00 Eurozone Construction Output, m/m October -1.3%

    10:00 Eurozone Construction Output, y/y October -0.2%

    10:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) December 31.6 36.0

    11:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance December 1 9

    13:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m October +0.2% +0.4%

    13:30 U.S. Housing Starts, mln September 0.891 0.910

    13:30 U.S. Housing Starts, mln October 0.921

    13:30 U.S. Housing Starts, mln November 0.950

    13:30 U.S. Building Permits, mln November 1.034 0.990

    15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories December -10.6

    19:00 U.S. FOMC Economic Projections

    19:00 U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%

    19:00 U.S. FOMC Statement

    19:00 U.S. FOMC QE Decision

    19:30 U.S. Federal Reserve Press Conference

    21:45 New Zealand GDP q/q Quarter III +0.2% +1.1%

    21:45 New Zealand GDP y/y Quarter III +2.5% +3.4%

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