Notícias do Mercado

16 janeiro 2014
  • 16:40

    Oil: an overview of the market situation

    Oil prices are mixed , though with a slight modification. On the dynamics of trade affect expectations increasing supplies from the Middle East and North Africa, which outweighed the news about a noticeable drop in U.S. oil inventories .

    Today, as it became known that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) kept its forecast for global oil demand in 2014 at 90.91 million barrels per day , which is 1.2 % higher than in 2013 , said the cartel. OPEC has maintained its forecast for global oil demand this year at 90.9 million b / d

    By the end of 2013 , global demand for OPEC oil estimated at 89.86 million b / d (an increase of 1 % compared to 2012 ) .

    Forecast oil production countries on OPEC for 2014 increased by 70 thousand b / d - up to 55.38 million b / d (up by 1.27 million b / d relative to 2013). The main growth will provide the United States, Canada, Brazil and Sudan , while in Norway and Mexico is expected to reduce production . Demand for OPEC oil this year is expected to reach 29.6 million b / d to 0.4 million b / d below the level of 2013. In December last year , OPEC cut oil production by 20 thousand b / d compared with November - to 29.44 million b / d . In the beginning of December, OPEC kept oil production quotas at 30 million b / d .

    At the same time, investors continue to monitor developments in Iran and is ranked fifth in the world in oil production. Earlier Thursday, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said that Tehran expects to reach an agreement with the OPEC oil production quotas that Iran was able to get right to produce raw materials as part of its volume.

    " The sanctions restricting trade in oil from Iran, has not yet taken off < ... > In the future, we may see a slight increase in Iran's oil exports to countries such as India, China , South Africa, South Korea and Japan . However, shipments will be limited to U.S. pressure and quotas on imports of Iranian oil , "- said an analyst at Natixis SA Abhishek Deshpande .

    It should also be noted that the mixed dynamics in the prices of oil futures transactions is largely due to a technical correction . On the eve of the price of oil futures have risen markedly influenced by data on further reductions in U.S. commercial crude oil inventories . Today , market participants with the beginning of the next trading day record profits , resulting a day earlier.

    February futures price of U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) dropped to $ 93.92 per barrel.

    February futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture rose $ 0.13 to $ 107.01 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.

  • 16:20

    Gold: an overview of the market situation

    Gold prices rose slightly after a government report that inflation in the U.S. rose , increasing the appeal of the precious metal as a hedge against inflation.

    As it became known , U.S. consumer prices increased slightly last month, but the overall level of inflation remains weak while the Federal Reserve decided to cut its bond purchasing program . Consumer Price Index, which measures how much Americans pay for goods and services , rose a seasonally adjusted 0.3% in December compared with the previous month . Base prices , which exclude volatile food and energy , rose only 0.1%. Compared with a year earlier , overall consumer prices rose by 1.5%, while core prices rose 1.7%. Annual inflation target is 2% Fed . Economists forecast that prices in general will rise by 0.3%, while core prices will rise by 0.1 % in November. Energy prices showed a monthly increase , while gasoline prices rose by 3.1%.

    " The need for gold as a safe asset no longer dominates the market : the U.S. economy is showing signs of improvement , the EU is putting in place plans for the economy and fears somewhat subsided crisis " - analysts Heraeus Metals,

    It is worth noting that the markets are closely watching the data in an attempt to understand whether the U.S. Federal Reserve have enough evidence of economic recovery to continue to reduce its bond purchases even more in 2014.

    Recall that the Fed announced its first QE reduction of $ 10 billion ( to $ 75 billion ) in December , citing an improving economy .

    Support investors' appetite for risky assets and yesterday's report from the Federal Reserve , which is known as the "Beige Book" . It was said that the U.S. economy continued to grow at a moderate pace since the end of November until the end of 2013.

    Cost February gold futures on the COMEX today rose to $ 1241.90 per ounce.

  • 06:22

    Commodities. Daily history for Jan 15’2013:

    Gold  $1,239.20 -$6.20 -0.50%

    Oil  $94.38 +$1.79 +1.93%

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